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【中英字幕】彭博财经简报26.11.11

共 3 集

剧集目录

集标题时长
P1【中英字幕】彭博财经简报26.11.11 【双字&原声】42:15
P2【中英字幕】彭博财经简报26.11.11 【英字&原声】42:13
P3【中英字幕】彭博财经简报26.11.11 【无字&原声】42:13

P1 · 【中英字幕】彭博财经简报26.11.11 p01 【双字&原声】 (P1)

字幕摘录

时间英文中文
0:14It's 5 a.m. in New York City, 10 a.m. here in London.现在是纽约早上5点 伦敦早上10点
0:17Good morning, everybody.早上好,大家好,谢谢
0:18I'm Anna我是安娜,我叫安纳
0:18Edwards with your Bloomberg Brief.爱德华兹与你的彭博简介。
0:20Let's get you set up for the day ahead.令诸众生安住前天.
0:22Equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from CoreWeave, reviving在核心网络的季度结果比预期的要强之后,股票得到增殖,恢复活力
0:27investor confidence in the AI trade.投资者对AI贸易的信心.
0:30Andropix Bankers说正在考虑提高估价
0:33for the firm's blockbuster IPO at $1.5 trillion or more.以1.5万亿或更多美元的价格 买下公司的IPO
0:38And a hot CPI print ramps up rate热的CPI打印率上升了
展开字幕全文(866 条)
序号英文中文
1It's 5 a.m. in New York City, 10 a.m. here in London.现在是纽约早上5点 伦敦早上10点
2Good morning, everybody.早上好,大家好,谢谢
3I'm Anna我是安娜,我叫安纳
4Edwards with your Bloomberg Brief.爱德华兹与你的彭博简介。
5Let's get you set up for the day ahead.令诸众生安住前天.
6Equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from CoreWeave, reviving在核心网络的季度结果比预期的要强之后,股票得到增殖,恢复活力
7investor confidence in the AI trade.投资者对AI贸易的信心.
8Andropix Bankers说正在考虑提高估价
9for the firm's blockbuster IPO at $1.5 trillion or more.以1.5万亿或更多美元的价格 买下公司的IPO
10And a hot CPI print ramps up rate热的CPI打印率上升了
11Mike Betts.麦克贝茨。
12Cash treasury markets are closed for Veterans Day after a surge in yields.现金库市场在收益激增后关闭,用于退伍军人日。
13Let's get a check on the markets then around the world.让我们检查一下市场 然后在世界各地。
14Here's Winnie Hsu in Hong Kong香港的荣氏
15for the latest on the Asia trade.最近关于亚洲贸易的情况。
16Winnie.荣曰.
17Good morning, Anna.早上好,安娜,你好吗?
18Well, as you mentioned,嗯,如你所说,
19we are seeing pretty positive sentiment in Asia today and actually Asian stocks rising我们今天在亚洲看到相当积极的情绪 和实际上亚洲的股票上升
20for a third day, headed for its best three days gains since August.进入8月份以来最好的三天
21Now, as you mentioned,现在,正如你提到的,
22we have the better than expected results from CoreWeave that really reassured investors我们的CoreWeave结果比预期的要好 能让投资者放心
23that the AI computing demand is still very strong.AI计算需求仍然非常强烈.
24还有 FT报道说 Andropix
25Bankers are considering a raising IPO valuation for the company.银行家们正在考虑提高公司IPO的估值。
26So that together you are所以你们在一起
27seeing tech stocks in Asia leading gain index here up by about 3.6 percent, also being lifted亚洲的科技存量领先增长指数 上升了3.6% 也正在被取消
28by the gains that we saw in TSMC.由我们在TSMC中看到的成果。
29Of course, we did have that 60 percent jump in revenue当然,我们确实有 60%的收入跳跃
30for October.为十月.
31And plus the company saying that it is investing 500 million dollars each in再加上公司说 投资5亿美金
32Andropix and OpenAI.安德罗皮克斯和OpenAI.
33Now, Flipboard and take a look at the bond space because we are seeing现在,翻板,看看 债券空间,因为我们看到
34the impact from that harder than expected U.S. CPI numbers raising the expectation for美国消费物价指数比预期的要高,对美国消费物价指数的影响提高了人们的期望。
35the Fed to tighten more aggressively.美联储要更加严厉
36That is why you are seeing Japan's 10-year and这就是为什么你看到 日本的十年和
37five-year here higher by about nine basis points for the yields.五年的产量比这高9个基点
38And we are also seeing我们还看到
39a bit of a weakness in the Japanese yen, in fact, weakening to its weakest level in more日元的一点弱点 事实上 更弱到最弱
40than a month after we saw a bit of a strength when it comes to the U.S. dollar.一个多月后,我们看到了一点强力 当涉及到美元。
41Winnie,荣耀,
42thanks very much.非常感谢
43Winnie Su with a look at Asia.荣耀 苏与看亚洲.
44Now onto Europe.现在进入欧洲。
45This is a picture,这是一张照片,
46a snapshot really of what we are seeing here in the European session.我们在欧洲会议上看到的一幕。
47The stock 600 up股票600块
48three-tenths of one percent, catching up with the U.S., a strong earnings story to sell.三十分之一,赶上美国, 一个强大的收入故事出售。
49And some people pointing to the European equity markets as being a bit of a haven away from一些人指向欧洲股权市场 是一个有点避风港
50turmoil in U.S. tech.美国科技的动荡
51European tech actually benefiting today up by 1.8 percent and keeping欧洲技术今天实际受益1.8%,
52an eye on what's going on in fixed income of all sorts.观察各种固定收入的情况。
53No cash trading in the Treasury财务处没有现金交易
54market in the United States.美国市场。
55But yesterday we saw Treasuries and European bond markets但昨天我们看到了 国库和欧洲债券市场
56really roiled by that much higher, well, the higher print than expected on CPI and what这么高的印数比预期的要高
57that did to yields.这的确使产量下降。
58So we continue to watch where yields are moving.因此,我们继续观察产量在移动。
59With that in mind,考虑到这一点,
60we've got U.S. two-year futures on the board for you as we continue to track the fallout当我们继续追踪后遗症时, 美国的两年期货就在董事会上
61from that CPI print and the hawkish commentary from the Fed and the reassessments of Fed对美联储的重新评估
62rate hike bets that we've seen as a result.速率上涨的赌注,我们已经看到的结果。
63NASDAQ futures up by 1.7 percent.纳斯达克期货涨1.7%.
64S&P 期货
65up by eight-tenths of one percent.增长了百分之八十分之一
66从CoreWeave传来的一些新闻线
67and Anthropic, as we mentioned in our headlines, acting as something of a comfort to the tech正如我们在头条新闻中所提到的 对科技来说是一种安慰
68trade.贸易。
69Let's get some of the stocks we're watching this morning.我们早上看的股票
70这是Olivia Levieux。
71Good morning, Anna.早上好,安娜,你好吗?
72You'd be hard pressed to find a part of the tape both globally and你很难找到 磁带的一部分 全球和
73in U.S. pre-market that isn't dominated right now by the AI trade.在美国的市场前, 现在不受AI贸易的支配。
74Particularly, though,尤其是,虽然,
75this morning, we're focusing on CoreWeave.今天上午,我们集中关注科雷韦
76They lifted their four-year guidance and beat他们解除了四年的指引,打了
77on third quarter revenue.第三季度的收入。
78Both of those metrics coming in ahead, handily ahead, actually,这两种衡量标准都提前, 手脚提前,实际上,
79of Wall Street expectations, helping to calm investor nerves over CoreWeave's debt-laden在华尔街的预期中,帮助投资者平息了CoreWeave的负债
80businesses and, in general, the challenges facing the data center industry.商业,以及数据中心行业普遍面临的挑战。
81That's lifting这是抬
82AI stocks across the board.AI股票横行.
83Another area that we're focused on, though, is the AI photonics我们关注的另一个领域是AI光学
84complex.复杂。
85Coherence and momentum are both higher in pre-market trading.市场前贸易的一致性和势头都较高。
86After Japanese peer仅次于日本同行
87Hamamatsu Photonics was up almost 15 percent, showing that photonics demand is still incredibly哈马松光子公司上升了近15% 显示光子公司的需求仍然惊人
88strong.强壮。
89It's a key component in data centers.这是数据中心的关键组件。
90Finally, we have results from Alcon.最后,我们得到了阿尔康的结果。
91They're他们是
92down in Europe and they're down in pre-market U.S. trading after disappointing third quarter在欧洲,他们 在美国市场前的交易 令人失望的第三季度
93results that were led by a weakness in their implantables business.由植入物业务的弱点所带动的结果。
94Olivia 非常感谢你
95Olivia Levieux和你的前市场搬运工
96Coming up this来了
97hour, we will get into conversation about the tech trade with Olaolu Ogongu, who joins一小时后,我们将讨论 与奥拉奥卢·奥贡古的技术交易, 他加入了
98us from Citi, joining us to talk about the AI rally and how that rubs up against moves我们花旗人 一起讨论AI集会 以及那与动作有何冲突
99in bond markets.债券市场。
100Let's get back to the CoreWeave story, though, talking of AI.让我们回到CoreWeave的故事,虽然,谈论AI.
101Shares are extending gains股份扩大收益
102after posting strong results and an upbeat forecast, with the CEO Michael Intrator calling在发布强效结果和乐观预测后 首席执行官迈克尔·Intrator呼叫
103it a breakout quarter for the firm.这是律所的逃生季度
104让我们把Tom MacKenzie, 自己的主播带来
105trade here in London, with me, of course, and here to tell us all the things we need当然,在伦敦,我在这里交易, 在这里告诉我们我们需要的一切
106to know about the tech trade.了解技术交易。
107先从CoreWeave开始.
108What was comforting about为何如此安慰
109CoreWeave要说什么?
110你几乎可以从Michael Intrator那里得到解脱, 当然,CEO,
111company, on the back of earnings and the upgrades to the forecast.公司,收入的背面 升级到预测。
112So they're now forecasting所以他们现在在预测
113$13.3 billion in revenue for the full year.全年收入133亿元.
114So that was a significant beat.所以,这是一个显著的节拍。
115Losses for损失
116the company have narrowed, so that's significant.公司缩小了,这很重要。
117And they have this chunky backlog of about他们有一大堆积压
118$132 billion, above $132 billion in terms of orders that they now need to execute on.1 320亿美元,超过1 320亿美元 订单,他们现在需要执行。
119So in all those metrics, this is very positive for a company that's come under increased因此,在所有这些衡量标准中, 这对一个公司来说是非常积极的, 公司正在增加
120scrutiny, of course, around its business model and how viable it is because they have to当然,围绕其业务模式及其可行性来审查,因为它们必须
121borrow at high rates to build out the infrastructure, to build out the data sensors and buy the高利率借款建造基础设施,建造数据传感器并购买
122chips that they then lease on to the likes of Microsoft and open AI.然后租给微软的芯片 打开AI
123So a beat on that这么一拍
124$62 billion.620亿元.
125But certainly it's a tick in the box, and they need to continue performing但肯定在盒子里 需要继续表演
126in these quarters to really assuage the concerns.在这些方面 真正缓解关注。
127But the market, or at least the stock, has但市场,至少股票,有
128cooled higher this morning.今天早上凉了
129Even if we still have questions and concerns about the role of Nvidia right now, it seems即使我们现在对恩维迪亚的角色仍有疑问和担忧,似乎
130that the narrative about CoreWeave is at least a positive one in the short term.关于CoreWeave的叙述在短期内至少是积极的。
131What else还有什么
132have we got in the mix, then?那我们有混音吗?
133Anthropic and the conversations there about, well, we knowAnthropic和那里的对话 我们知道
134a bit more about the timing, don't we, it seems, about this IPO, the planned timing更多关于时间,是不是,我们似乎, 关于这个IPO, 计划的时间
135and the planned valuations.和计划的估值。
136What are the reports like around just how high or low the valuation报告是什么样子的 只是估价有多高或低
137might go?也许去?
138报告显示对Anthropix IPO的需求巨大.
139The Financial Times front金融时报前线
140page today, they're looking at a valuation potentially of more than one and a half, more在今天的网页上, 他们正在寻找一个潜在的价值 超过一个半,更多
141than one and a half trillion dollars.超过1.5万亿美元。
142Now that would make it the biggest IPO ever on这将是有史以来最大的IPO
143record.记录。
144They had set a pricing yesterday in the update to the S1, the SEC, the Securities他们昨天在S1的更新中 设定了定价 证监会 证券
145Exchange Commission, of between $70 to $78 per share.交易委员会,每股70至78美元。
146It seems they now may increase看来他们现在可能会增加
147that pricing, which is unusual given the demand they've seen.价格,这是不寻常的 鉴于他们已经看到的需求。
148And in terms of the forward在前进方面
149picture, look, this is still a company that is projecting into the 2030s commitments of20世纪30年代的承诺
150around 900 billion US dollars, but revenues are growing.大约900亿美元,但收入正在增长。
151The revenue growth is phenomenal.收入增长惊人。
152It's nearly 50%.近五成'.
153It's slowed.减速了
154The revenue growth has slowed, but from a very, very high收入增长放缓,但从非常,非常高的水平上看
155level, it seems right now, and this is the most important takeaway, this IPO will get级别,它似乎现在, 这是最重要的外卖, 这个IPO会得到
156through.通过。
157Then in the secondaries, how do the public markets then react to that?然后,在二手货, 公共市场如何反应呢?
158Is there有没有
159a pot?锅?
160Does it sustain it?它能维持下去吗?
161Or do people take cash off the table?还是人们会把现金从桌子上拿走?
162Yeah, we certainly did have one guest on Asia programming, I think, didn't we, who was-是的,我们确实有一个嘉宾 在亚洲的节目,我想,是不是我们,谁是...
163Jack Selby.杰克・塞尔比。
164Yeah, a little bit cautious on what happens when lockups come to an end and that sort是啊,有点谨慎 会发生什么 当锁 结束,那种
165of thing.东西。
166OpenAI, third quarter revenue numbers coming through from OpenAI up by 50%.OpenAI,来自OpenAI的第三季度收入数字增加了50%.
167I mean,我是说...
168you're telling us a comforting story about monetization and the ability to monetize these你告诉我们一个令人欣慰的故事 关于货币化 和这些货币化的能力
169models.模特儿们
170是啊,听着,我想如果你把这些 三个业务一起,CoreWeave,Anthropic,
171OpenAI, one clear takeaway for the bulls is the demand continues to be there, massiveOpenAI, 公牛的一个明显的外卖 是需求继续在那里, 巨大的
172demand, massive demand for compute.需求,大量的计算需求。
173这是CoreWeave的故事 与积压的132
17410亿,对前沿模型的大量需求 仍然为OpenAI和Anthropic。
175OpenAI, 作为
176you said, 10 billion US dollars in the most recent quarter in terms of the revenues that你说,在最近一个季度 收入100亿美元
177came through.来了
178So on an annualized rate, you're looking at revenues now of about 50, 5-0,因此,按年化率计算,你目前的收入约为50,5-0.
179about 50 billion dollars annualized revenues for OpenAI.OpenAI的年收入约为500亿美元。
180So they are catching up with Anthropic所以他们追上安斯罗皮克了
181and they are proving that there is still demand.他们正在证明,仍有需求。
182Now, they're still making a loss and losses现在,他们仍然在损失和损失
183and the margin is still very much in negative territory for OpenAI, but those losses have并且对OpenAI来说 利润率仍然非常低 但是这些损失
184narrowed.缩小。
185Okay, Tom, thank you very much.好吧,汤姆,非常感谢。
186Tom McKenzie, of course, with the latest on those tech themes.汤姆·麦肯齐,当然, 最新的技术主题。
187Tech themes rubbing up against the latest inflation data out of the US.技术主题与最新的美国通货膨胀数据相冲突。
188The latest CPI最新的消费物价指数
189report came in then hot, sending two-year Treasury yields soaring by the most in some两年的国库收益飙升了
19019 months.19个月。
191Chicago Fed President Austin Coolsby weighed in on the report on PBS NewsHour.芝加哥联邦总统奥斯汀·柯尔斯比在PBS新闻频道的报道中做了评论.
192Take a listen.来听听
193It's another distressing report, borderline disturbing.这是另一个令人不安的报告, 边界扰动。
194So we've got a real inflation所以,我们有一个真正的通货膨胀
195issue on our hands that has been developing and we're going to have to deal with that.我们手上的问题, 一直在发展, 我们将不得不处理。
196Now the cash Treasury market is closed today in the US, but there's movement elsewhere,现今美国现金库市场已经关闭 但其他地方也有动向
197of course, and there was a plenty of movement in yesterday's session.当然了,昨天的会议也有很多动静
198Ven Ram joins us,文・拉姆加入我们
199Bloomberg's Ven Ram, with some analysis.彭博社的"文拉姆",附有一些分析.
200So, Ven, we established over the last 24 hours所以,文,我们在过去24小时里建立了
201that stocks like tech and that bond markets, once again, do not like inflation and that's股票如科技 债券市场,再次, 不喜欢通货膨胀,这是
202certainly what we saw at the front end of the US curve.当然,我们看到的 美国曲线的前端。
203How surprised were you by the你有多惊讶
204extent of the move in Treasuries and other global bond markets on the back of that inflation通货膨胀背后的国库和其他全球债券市场的移动程度
205print?打印吗?
206Hi, Anna.嗨,安娜,你好吗?
207So I don't think I was surprised at all because, you know, this was an accident所以我不觉得惊讶 因为,你知道,这是一个意外
208that was waiting to happen.等待着发生
209We have discussed in recent sessions how well the US economy我们在最近几届会议上讨论过美国经济如何发展
210has been doing, real growth has been above 3%, which is above trend, and you've got inflation一直以来,实际增长 已经超过3%, 这是高于趋势,
211that is running well above 3% and yesterday's inflation was to the upside.而昨天的通货膨胀是好的。
212So the markets所以市场
213have been glossing over the fact that, you know, how far does the Fed have to put up美联储要忍受多久
214And it looks like they have to go a long way because, you know, even the Fed's own estimate看上去他们必须走很长的路 因为,你知道,连美联储自己的估计
215of the real neutral rate is 120 basis points now, and clearly that's understating it, and现在实际中性率是120个基点 很明显这是低估了它
216as Gulsby said, this is disturbing, and I think that the Fed has got to go more than正如Gulsby所说,这是令人不安的,我认为美联储必须不止
217three times, which is what the markets are currently pricing in, and if the Fed has got如果美联储已经得到
218to keep raising rates, I think that the front end is more or less there around 475, 478,为了不断提高利率,我认为前端 大约是475,478,
219which is the spread over the Fed mid-rate is considerable, but if you look at the long美联储的中位率是相当可观的 但是如果你看看
220end, that's where I'm really concerned, and I think that the 10-year is hovering around结束,这就是我真正关心的地方, 我认为十年正在徘徊
2215% as we talk, but I think that the 10-year and the 30-year yields really have much more5%,我们说话, 但我认为,十年和30年的产量 真的很多
222work to do, and I think that the direction of yields is higher from here.我认为,从这里来看,产量的方向更高。
223Yes, it's interesting, isn't it?是的,这很有趣,不是吗?
224We got back above 5%, didn't we, yesterday on the 10-year?我们回到了5%以上,是不是,昨天的十年?
225We closed at 4.99, and obviously no cash trading today.我们4时99分关门了 显然今天没有现金交易
226So what dictates the direction of travel是什么决定了旅行的方向?
227next then, Ven?接下来呢,文?
228We saw, of course, the fallout from the AI nervousness in the United States当然,我们看到美国AI的紧张情绪
229post the midterms.张贴中期。
230That led to quite a lot of bond buying and therefore lower yields,这导致了大量的债券购买, 并因此降低了收益,
231but that thought process or that investment thesis seems to have moved aside.但那个思考过程 或投资论文似乎已经转移了。
232Well, as there are going to be episodes of volatility in the equity markets, you will股权市场会有波动 你会的
233see tactical rallies in treasuries, but I don't think that's the sustainable or the在国库里看到战术集会, 但我不认为这是可持续或
234direction of treasuries from here, because if you're a nominal bond holder, you want因为如果你是名义债券持有者
235to be compensated for inflation.以补偿通货膨胀。
236That's the point of buying bonds, and if you're not getting这就是买债券的意义 如果你得不到
237an adequate inflation compensation, what is the point of that five nominal coupons, because适当的通货膨胀补偿,那五张名义优惠券有什么意义,因为
238they're going to be eroded by inflation?他们会被通货膨胀侵蚀?
239So I think that the direction of yields, at least所以我认为,产量的方向,至少
240the long-dated bonds, is definitely higher from here, and I think that we are not yet长久以来的债券 肯定比这里更高 我认为我们还没有
241in the value zone.在值区。
242If you look at the median of the inflation-adjusted yields on the 10-year如果按通货膨胀调整后的10年产量的中位数
243treasuries going back in history, it's about 2.5%, and we are not at that level, so I think历史上的国库,大约是2.5%, 我们没有达到这个水平,所以我想
244that we have got further to go here.说我们还有更多的事要做
245Okay, Ven, thank you very much.好的,文,非常感谢
246Thanks for谢谢
247the analysis.分析。
248Bloomberg's Ven Ram from the Markets Live team.彭博的Ven Ram来自市场现场团队.
249Now to other top stories现在到其他顶级故事
250that are trending on the Bloomberg terminal this morning.今早布隆伯格航站楼出现的趋势
251Morgan Stanley says global equity摩尔根 斯坦利说全球股权
252hedge funds cut risk at the fastest pace in more than a decade through the first week对冲基金减少风险的速度超过10年,一直持续到第一周
253The retreat came as AI stocks sold off following the midterm elections.后期选举结束后,
254Hedge funds returns对冲基金收益
255in the first week of November were negative across all regions.在11月第一个星期,所有区域都呈负数。
256U.S.美国.
257Ambassador to China驻华大使
258David Perdue说Nvidia CEOJensen Huang和一位中国人之间的争议
259spy is posing a test to bilateral relations.间谍正在考验双边关系
260He says U.S.-China relations are quite bumpy他说中美关系很不稳定
261ahead of next week's summit between Presidents Trump and the Chinese President to take place在川普总统和中国总统下周峰会之前
262in Shenzhen in China.在中国深圳.
263Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Scott Besson hailed an improvement与此同时,财政部长斯科特·贝松对改进表示欢迎。
264in U.S.-China engagements ahead of President Trump's visit next week.在川普总统下星期访问之前,
265He spoke to the他跟那个
266National Committee on U.S.-China Relations.中美关系全国委员会.
267We are establishing a direct channel to ensure我们正在建立一个直接渠道来确保
268that either nation can promptly alert the other to serious incidents involving its S.I.两国可以迅速提醒对方注意涉及其特别情报的严重事件。
269levels.水平。
270作为S. I.
271advances, so will the need to engage in new areas of risk management需要参与风险管理的新领域
272and to demonstrate how our two great nations can reconcile the demands of competition with并展示我们两个伟大国家如何能够调和竞争的要求,
273the responsibilities of leadership.领导责任。
274Coming up on the program, Russia and Ukraine try接下来,俄罗斯和乌克兰尝试
275to negotiate a peace deal.谈和约
276More on that next.接下来会有更多
277This is Bloomberg.这是彭博社
278This is Bloomberg Brief.这是彭博简介。
279I'm Anna Edwards live in London.我是安娜·爱德华兹 住在伦敦
280Ukraine and Russia continue a second day of U.S.-led乌克兰和俄罗斯继续以美国为首的第二天
281Let's get an update with Bloomberg's Greg Sullivan.让我们来了解一下彭博的格雷格·沙利文
282Greg, what's the latest then coming格雷格,什么是最新到来
283from these talks?从这些谈话?
284A couple of days in and some of the language seems to be quite positive.几天内和一些语言似乎相当正面.
285Any substance?有物质吗?
286Right.对
287The second day of talks did kick off第二天的谈话开始
288today.今时.
289Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said that issues like de-escalation, potential乌克兰总统沃洛迪米尔·泽连斯基说,缓和、潜力等问题
290ceasefires over the Black Sea and energy infrastructure could be on the table in today's talks.在今天的会谈中,对黑海的停火和能源基础设施可以放在桌面上。
291Coming来了
292out of yesterday's talks, the U.S. and Ukraine cast them as rather constructive and productive.在昨天的会谈中,美国和乌克兰把会谈说成是建设性的和富有成效的。
293Russia was slightly more reticent.俄罗斯的沉默略微强烈。
294An official that was part of the talks said that it's参加会谈的官员说
295still too early to say how the negotiations are going.现在说谈判进展还为时过早。
296These are the first negotiations这是第一次谈判
297since February when the U.S. shifted its focus to the its war on Iran.自2月美国将重点转移到对伊朗的战争之后.
298So now that they're所以现在他们
299resuming, it is an interesting sign that there is some momentum and some sides are casting恢复,这是一个有趣的迹象,即出现了一些势头,一些方面正在发挥
300it as constructive.很有建设性
301But still, the fact remains that a lot of issues remain on the table and然而,事实仍然是,许多问题仍然摆在桌面上。
302there is quite a chasm between the two sides leading into these talks on those issues.双方之间存在着很大的分歧,导致就这些问题举行会谈。
303Meanwhile, the attacks by both sides do seem to continue then, Greg.同时,双方的攻击似乎仍在继续,格雷格。
304That's right.没错
305We saw attacks overnight from both Ukraine and Russia.我们一夜之间看到来自乌克兰和俄罗斯的袭击。
306Ukraine said that乌克兰说,
307energy infrastructure was struck while Russia said that oil infrastructure in Luga was hit.俄罗斯说卢加的石油基础设施受到冲击,
308So they haven't been quite to the same scale that we saw leading up to the attacks.因此,他们还没有达到我们所看到的 攻击前的规模。
309Both两者
310sides have been escalating their attacks prior to these talks, yet clearly it's still ongoing,双方在会谈前不断升级攻击,但显然仍在继续,
311even as President Zelensky said that today potential ceasefires over energy could be正如泽连斯基总统所说,今天潜在的能源停火可能是
312{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}就放在桌子上 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}我还没说
313But again, Russia has cautioned that it is still too early to say, and up但俄罗斯再次告诫说,现在说起来还为时过早。
314until now Russia hasn't backed away from its maximalist demands and has been cautious直到现在,俄罗斯一直没有放弃其最大的要求,并且一直谨慎行事.
315about any kind of acceptance of a ceasefire, actually broadly rejecting the need for a基本上拒绝接受停火的必要性。
316ceasefire as potentially only buying Ukraine time to regroup.停火可能只是为乌克兰重新集结争取时间。
317Right.对
318It's interesting.这很有趣。
319At this meeting, we have the US, of course, bringing these在这个会议上,我们让美国,当然,带来这些
320two sides together.两边在一起。
321Ukraine is there.乌克兰在那里。
322Russia is there.俄罗斯在那里。
323Not much European presence, but没有多少欧洲的存在,但
324there has been some suggestion that maybe Europe has a part to play here then, Greg.有人建议,也许欧洲可以在这里发挥作用,格雷格。
325That's right.没错
326It's actually interesting.这其实很有趣。
327Yesterday, on Tuesday, ahead of the talks,昨天,星期二,在会谈前,
328Ukraine said that they met with their European counterparts who are in Abu Dhabi, alongside乌克兰说,他们与在阿布扎比的欧洲同行会晤。
329US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner.美国特使史蒂夫·维特科夫和贾里德·库什纳.
330Today, the head of the Ukrainian delegation,今天,乌克兰代表团团长,
331Rustam Umarov, said that after the trilateral talks with Russia and the US, Ukraine plansRustam Umarov说,在与俄罗斯和美国进行三边会谈之后,乌克兰计划
332to meet again with their European partners.与他们的欧洲伙伴再次会面。
333And then on top of that, US Secretary of State还有,美国国务卿
334Marco Rubio said that Europe needs a place at the table and he hopes that the talks will马可·鲁比奥说,欧洲需要坐到桌面上,他希望会谈能够进行
335expand to include them going forward.扩大范围,以包括未来。
336And that makes sense for Europe, who sees this这对欧洲来说是有道理的,谁看到这个
337conflict as part of their security infrastructure, that see it as a direct threat since it is冲突是其安全基础设施的一部分,因为它被视为一种直接威胁,因为它是
338in Europe, and they have long wanted to be at the table, but have largely been excluded在欧洲,他们早就想坐在桌子上,但基本上被排除在外
339from talks during President Trump's second administration.特朗普总统第二任执政期间的谈话
340Just briefly then, Greg, what are the sticking points?简而言之 格雷格 问题是什么?
341Are we still talking about territory我们还在谈论领土
342and the future security guarantees for Ukraine?以及乌克兰未来的安全保障?
343Those are the big ones.这些都是大的。
344There have been a lot of issues on the table, but there's no桌上有很多问题,但是没有
345doubt that the two most intractable issues are the security guarantees.怀疑两个最棘手的问题是安全保证。
346It's hard to这很难
347see what Moscow would accept that would also please Kiev and be secure enough that they看莫斯科会接受什么 基辅也会喜欢的 安全到他们
348would feel that there is less of a threat of Russian aggression going down the future.俄国侵略的威胁会减少
349And then, like you said, territory.然后,就像你说的, 领土。
350Moscow hasn't backed away from demands that Ukraine莫斯科没有放弃乌克兰的要求
351has been able to take militarily.已经能够采取军事手段。
352Ukraine says that it's their sovereign territory.乌克兰说这是他们的主权领土.
353They don't want to take it.他们不想拿它。
354A lot of it is heavily fortified, and losing it would potentially有很多东西是坚固的 失去它可能
355leave other areas of Ukraine open to future attack.使乌克兰其他地区今后可以受到攻击。
356So those do remain two huge sticking因此,这些仍然是两个巨大的粘贴
357points.点。
358Greg, thank you so much.格雷格,非常感谢。
359Thanks for the update.谢谢你的更新。
360This is Greg Sullivan with the latest on those talks taking place in Abu Dhabi.这是最近阿布扎比会谈的格雷格·沙利文
361Coming up on the program, U.S. Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, he's dodged an impeachment美国战争部长皮特·赫格塞斯 上节目时 他躲过了弹劾
362effort.努力起来。
363More on that and what else is making headlines in our front page news next.更多关于这一点,还有什么 是我们头条新闻的头条新闻。
364This这个
365is Bloomberg.这是彭博。
366Welcome back.欢迎回来
367This is The Brief.这是简报。
368Now, Chevron has reported its second straight现在,雪佛龙报告了它的第二直线
369quarter blockbuster results in its latest earnings.季度封锁导致其最新收入。
370不过,CFO Ima Bonner并不是
371taking these boom times for granted.将这些繁荣时期视为理所当然。
372On the latest episode of Bloomberg, Chief Future关于彭博社最新一集,未来社长
373Officer, Bonner takes Bloomberg's Amarie Horden to the Permian Basin, where Chevron警官,邦纳把彭博的阿玛莉·霍登带到彼尔米亚盆地,在那里雪佛龙
374produces about a million barrels a day.每天生产约100万桶。
375A million barrels a day is our sweet spot because we have the factory optimized at a一天一百万桶是我们的甜点 因为我们把工厂优化在一个
376million barrels a day.一天一百万桶。
377We have reliability efforts that allow us to produce at a million我们有可靠的努力 使我们生产百万
378barrels a day with less cost.每天桶,成本较低。
379What does reliability mean?可靠性是什么意思?
380I mean, it means keeping our plant here up for the maximum amount of time.我的意思是,它意味着保持我们的植物 在这里最多的时间。
381So avoiding如此回避
382unplanned events, shutdowns, issues with equipment, issues with the whales coming into the facility.计划外的事件 关机 设备问题 鲸鱼进入设施的问题
383There's 27 whales coming into this facility.有27只鲸鱼进入这个设施
384We try and make them as productive as possible.我们努力让他们尽可能有成果。
385One of the ways we're doing that is putting advanced chemicals into the reservoir.我们这样做的方法之一是把先进的化学物质放进水库。
386And还有
387think of that as kind of it washes the oil from the rock.把它当成是洗了岩石上的油
388And so this is an area where因此,这是一个领域,
389we have seen over the last year, 20 percent increase in production from whales that have我们看到去年 鲸鱼产量增长了20%
390been treated with this chemical.用这种化学品处理过
391It also involves keeping the facilities running at high它还涉及使设施保持高水平运作。
392reliability, equipment monitoring, doing turnarounds, proactive maintenance.可靠性、设备监测、周转、主动维护。
393All of全体
394those things allow the equipment behind us to operate at the right technical limits that这些东西可以让我们身后的设备 在正确的技术限度下运作
395also contributes to reliability.还有助于可靠性。
396How important is that in a time of geopolitics where potentially other places are a little在地缘政治时代,其他地方可能有点
397bit on uncertain footing?有点不确定吗?
398It's critical always, but at a time where we've got disruptions around the world, at总是很关键,但是,当我们 受到干扰 世界各地,在
399a time where the U.S. is a net exporter, it's even more important.此时美国是净出口国,这更为重要.
400你可以看布隆伯格首席未来官 由Chevron CFO Ima Bonner主演
401That's这是
402tonight at nine thirty Eastern Time on Bloomberg Television.今晚东部时间9点30分 彭博电视台
403Time now for your front page news.现在是你的头版新闻。
404First up on The Washington Post, the House narrowly blocked an effort to impeach Defense首先在《华盛顿邮报》上 众议院狭隘地阻止了弹劾国防的努力
405Secretary Pete Hegseth.皮特·赫格塞斯部长
406Democrats who take over Congress in January have said they will1月份接管国会的民主党人已经说过了
407seek to use their power to remove Hegseth from office.试图利用他们的力量 解除赫格塞斯的职务
408Next up, The New York Times reported接下来,纽约时报报道
409Treasury Secretary Scott Becker overnight.财政部长斯科特·贝克过夜。
410We will get the perspective from Citi of what我们会从花旗那里了解
411this means for tech investing, how this rubs up against higher inflation and the bond这意味着技术投资 如何抵消高通胀和债券
412market moves of this week.本周市场动向.
413More on that shortly.更多关于这个不久。
414This is Bloomberg.这是彭博社
415It's five thirty a.m. in New York City, ten thirty a.m. here in London.现在是纽约早上5点30分 伦敦早上10点30分
416Good晨报
417everybody.每个人。
418我是Anna Edwards 和你的彭博简介。
419Let's get you set up for the day ahead.令诸众生安住前天.
420Equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from Core Weave, reviving在核心编织取得比预期的更强劲的季度成果之后,股票得到增殖,恢复活力
421investor confidence in the AI trade.投资者对AI贸易的信心.
422Anthropics bankers said to be considering a higher valuation人类学的银行家们据说正在考虑提高估价
423for the firm's blockbuster IPO at one and a half trillion dollars or more.公司以1.5万亿美元或更多
424And a hot和热
425CPI print ramps up rate hike bets.CPI打印坡道提高速率 提高赌注。
426Cash treasury markets are closed for Veterans Day after退役军人现金库市场关闭
427a surge in yields.产量激增。
428Quick check on the markets then, pre-market as we are.快速检查市场,然后,我们是市场前。
429S&P futures, NASDAQS&P 期货,纳斯达克
430futures both point higher.期货都更高
431European futures getting a boost from the tech trade and actually欧洲的未来从技术贸易中得到了促进,实际上
432threatening to close at a record here in Europe.威胁要结束欧洲的纪录
433Meanwhile, U.S. futures do point higher.与此同时,美国的未来的确指向更高的方向.
434Those这些
435markets are getting some comfort overnight to the markets.市场在一夜之间得到了一些舒适的市场。
436And broadly speaking, in the futures大致来说,未来
437market around bonds, we do see a continuation of the higher yield story that was so dominant在债券的市场中,我们确实看到 高收益故事的延续 如此主导
438yesterday after that that higher than expected inflation report.之后昨天,通货膨胀报告高于预期。
439Let's get some stocks to我们拿些股票来
440watch today.今日观.
441这是Olivia Lafue。
442Hi, Anna.嗨,安娜,你好吗?
443Yes, every single part of the AI trade is是的,AI贸易的每一个部分都是
444getting a boost today from neoclouds to server and memory providers to data center industrial从新云到服务器和内存提供商 到数据中心工业
445players.玩家们
446Every facet is gaining.每一个方面都在增加。
447And that's in large part, as you mentioned, due to the这在很大程度上,正如你提到的,因为
448solid set of results that we got from CoreWeave.我们从CoreWeave那里得到的 坚实的成果
449They upped their guidance for the year and他们在这一年中加强了他们的引导,
450reported a solid set of third quarter sales.3季度的销售量
451Both of those prints coming in ahead of Wall墙前的两张指纹
452Street estimates and really helping to calm investor nerves about the debt laden business街道估计和真正帮助 平息投资者的神经 关于负债累累的企业
453CoreWeave目前正在运行
454Speaking to investors today, they're pointing out the他们今天跟投资者谈话时指出
455fact that short interest in CoreWeave was quite high and also the fact that it's just对CoreWeave的短短兴趣相当高,而且只是
456this is just relief.这仅仅是解脱。
457We're seeing relief across the board from investors today.我们今天看到投资者的全方位解脱.
458Another又一个
459sector of the or sect of the AI trade that's strong today is photonic stocks.AI贸易中今天很活跃的 光子股票
460Momentum时刻
461there continuing from yesterday.从昨天就开始了
462We had strong results from Japanese peer Hamamatsu regarding我们从日本同行Hamamatsu那里 得到了有力的结果
463a strong demand continuing for photonics with regards to data centers.在数据中心方面,对光学的强烈需求仍在继续。
464So you're seeing所以你看见了
465coherent and momentum strong off the back of that.紧紧地紧紧地压下去
466One stock that's not happy today,今天不开心的股票
467contrary to its name bright view, their fourth quarter results were disappointing and their与其名称的明亮观点相反,他们第四季度的结果令人失望,他们
468guidance also underwhelmed investors.指导也使投资者陷入困境。
469Stock is down 17 percent.股票下降了17%。
470So perhaps underwhelmed所以也许下沉
471is a bit of an under exaggeration there.有点夸张
472They seem to be very, very disappointed with the他们似乎非常非常失望
473results.结果。
474Yeah, bit of an understatement, not such a bright view.是啊,有点少说, 不是这么明亮的景色。
475Olivia, thank you very奥利维亚,谢谢你
476much.非常喜欢
477Olivia, the view with the latest on the stocks we're watching this morning.Olivia 今天早上我们看的股票最新风景
478Now现在
479a tech rally is lifting stocks higher, as Olivia was pointing out, following strong正如Olivia指出的, 科技集会正在提高股票,
480CoreWeave和OpenAI的季度结果。
481So that's the back story.这就是背后的故事。
482Feeling感觉
483better about technology this morning.今天早上科技比较好
484Let's bring into the conversation then Olaolu Agango,让我们把奥拉奥卢·阿甘戈带到谈话中
485who is head of portfolio construction and analytics at Citi.他是花旗投资组合建设和分析的负责人。
486Very nice to have you with很高兴你陪我
487us, Olaolu.我们,奥拉奥卢。
488Your thoughts then on AI post the midterms, but in the context of all the你对AI的想法 贴出了中期, 但在所有背景
489volatility we've seen in markets, a sell off followed by something of a rebound.市场波动, 出售,然后是反弹。
490Where何处
491does that leave you and your expectations around AI investment?这是否让你和你对AI投资的期望落空了?
492Well, thank you so much谢谢
493for having me.感谢有我。
494I mean, we say elections create volatility, but really it's the fundamentals我的意思是,我们说选举 造成波动, 但实际上这是基本
495that drives long term results and the volatility last week.这推动着长期的结果和上星期的波动。
496You know, we can't underscore it你知道,我们不能强调它
497in the data that we look at.我们所研究的数据。
498We're looking at the VIX going back to 1990 and it was the我们正在寻找VIX 回溯到1990年,这是
499third highest one day percentage change in the VIX.VIX的1天百分比变化第三高。
500So like that puts it in context.所以,这样就把它放在背景上。
501A lot of volatility, but if we go back to earnings again, long term fundamentals is driven,很多波动,但如果我们再次回到收入, 长期的基本要素驱动,
502you know, by earnings were 80% of the way through more than 80% of the way through.你知道,通过收入是80% 通过超过80%的方式。
503We are seeing我们看见了
50430% year-over-year earnings growth for what has been reported thus far recent earnings included.迄今所报告的最近收入的年比收入增长30%。
505It's been outstanding is the third consecutive quarter of over 25% year-over-year earnings连续第三季度超过25%的年收入
506growth.增长。
507It is the eighth consecutive quarter of double digit earnings growth.这是两位数收入增长的连续第八季度。
508So where does that那么,这是哪里
509put us just with, you know, valuations overall for the S&P?我们只是用,你知道的, 总体评估S&P?
510It's about 18 times.约十八遍.
511It's not expensive.不贵.
512It's the lowest it's been in roughly three years.这是大约三年来最低的
513So we like the market here.所以我们喜欢这里的市场。
514We continue to like我们继续喜欢
515the market here.这里的市场。
516Last week it was market trying to predict policy and it's a hard game to predict.上周市场试图预测政策 很难预测
517Okay, so PEs make things look attractive.好吧,所以PEs 使事情看起来有吸引力。
518Valuations are attractive.估价很有吸引力。
519Then you say,然后你说,
520I mean, some skeptics point to the earnings side of that PE and say, we're just not quite so我的意思是,一些怀疑论者指出 收入方面PE,说,我们只是不是那么
521confident in that as we used to be.对我们以前一样有信心
522And maybe analysts haven't caught up with the political可能分析师没有赶上政治
523developments that we now anticipate in 2027 post the midterms, a slower rollout of data centers,目前我们预计在2027年中期之后出现的事态发展,数据中心的推出速度放慢,
524essentially.基本上说
525If we do see that slowing down, does that undermine the earnings story or not materially?如果我们确实看到这种减速,那是否会损害收入的故事?
526So yes, elections happened last week.因此,是的,选举在上周举行。
527Regardless of the party that are in power,无论哪个政党执政,
528a couple of things that, you know, you really can't change.几件事,你知道, 你真的不能改变。
529I'll talk about deficits in a second,我一会儿再谈赤字问题
530but AI is one, I was joking with some of the other day, you can't put the genie back in the bottle.但AI是其中之一, 我开玩笑 某天,你不能把精灵 回到瓶。
531They are between 3,000 and 5,000 data centers in the US.美国有3 000至5 000个数据中心。
532You can't have AI without data centers.没有数据中心,你就不能有AI。
533Those 3,000 and 5,000 are operating data centers and they're an equal amount.这三千和五千个在运行数据中心 它们的数量是相等的
534They're in different他们不一样
535stages of planning.规划阶段。
536Now, yes, we have an election.现在,是的,我们有一个选举。
537There are government officials.有政府官员.
538There are some有几个
539states that are reluctant or hesitant around the development of data centers.(c) 在开发数据中心方面不情愿或犹豫不决的国家。
540But there are also但是还有
541some government officials in states that are very pro data centers.一些政府官员在州 那些非常支持数据中心。
542At the end of the day,临终时.
543it is a state by state legislation.根据州立法,它是一个州。
544If there is apprehension or pushback, and once that you just如果有恐惧或退缩,一旦你
545go to another state and you build, you know, there are also jokes that can build in space.去另一个州,你建造,你知道, 还有一些笑话可以建立 在空间。
546But regardless of which, you still need cybersecurity.但不管是什么 你仍然需要网络安全
547So that's a big component of AI.这是AI的一大部分。
548You still need critical minerals.你还需要关键的矿物
549You need copper.你需要铜。
550You need steel.你需要钢铁
551You need aluminum.你需要铝。
552You need a number of other things that are persistent regardless of the election and the,你需要一些其他的 坚持不懈的东西 无论选举和,
553you know, quote unquote slowdown.要知道,引出未引用的减速。
554For us in our portfolios, we're overweight cybersecurity.对于我们的投资组合来说, 我们超重的网络安全。
555We're overweight some of those critical metals that you need in order to construct data center我们超重一些 关键金属,你需要 建造数据中心
556art of the infrastructure build out.基础设施的艺术建设。
557And so are you expecting to see a slowdown in AI capex?所以你想看AI卡佩斯减速吗?
558And if so,如果是的话
559is that going to be what we want?这就是我们想要的吗?
560Because I wasn't sure through the last earnings season,因为我在上个收入季节都不确定
561whether as an investor community, we were comforted by high capex or slightly disturbed by it.无论是作为一个投资社区, 我们感到安慰 高顶帽或稍为不安。
562So there are two components, right?所以有两个组件,对不对?
563So the capex is necessary in the early stages of any innovation.因此,在任何创新的早期阶段,盖帽是必要的.
564We expect that to slow at some point.我们希望这在某个时候会减缓。
565It's not concerning for us.这跟我们无关
566One company's capex is another一家公司的顶盖是另一家
567company's revenue.公司收入。
568And that's, again, just the initial part.这是,再次,只是初始部分。
569But if you think of the life cycle但是如果你想到生命周期
570this innovative technology that we have, we're just in the early innings of it.我们掌握的这种创新技术, 我们刚刚进入早期。
571So we're talking这么说吧
572about the hyperscalers.关于超标的。
573We're talking about data centers.我们说的是数据中心
574Yes.对
575But arguably we have not seen the但可以说我们没有看到
576productivity gains yet for the vast majority of companies with regards to AI.在大赦国际方面,绝大多数公司的生产率都有所提高。
577And that in and of和这个在和
578itself is an additional boost.它本身就是一个额外的推动力。
579So whilst yes, capex we do expect to slow at some point with所以,虽然是的,盖顶 我们期望在某个时候 减缓与
580earlier or later, frankly, is not really the key driver.坦率地说,早或晚并非真正的关键驱动力。
581The key driver is once the infrastructure关键驱动力曾经是基础设施
582is in place, the productivity gains and benefits that we expect to see for the broader corporate生产率的提高和效益,我们期望看到更广泛的公司
583universe is still expected to be able to drive long term earnings and growth.宇宙仍然可望能够推动长期收入和增长。
584OK. And that might摆 也许
585have an impact on inflation.影响通货膨胀。
586Talking of inflation, that data taking some of the market by surprise,谈到通货膨胀, 数据占据了一些市场 惊喜,
587moving the bond market substantially, particularly at the short end.大力推动债券市场的发展,特别是在短期。
588Let's just have a listen to how让我们听听如何
589the Chicago Fed, of course, how he captured the mood around that CPI print.当然,芝加哥美联储, 他如何抓住 周围的情绪 在CPI打印。
590It's another distressing report, borderline disturbing.这是另一个令人不安的报告, 边界扰动。
591So we've got a real inflation所以,我们有一个真正的通货膨胀
592issue on our hands that has been developing and we're going to have to deal with that.我们手上的问题, 一直在发展, 我们将不得不处理。
593Borderline disturbing for Gullsby.格尔斯比的边界线干扰。
594How did it impact your thinking around fixed income?如何影响你对固定收入的思考?
595I mean, are you factoring in a higher inflation for longer environment, not just on the back我的意思是,你是否考虑一个更高的通货膨胀 对于更长的环境, 不只是背面
596of yesterday's print, but more broadly thinking about U.S. inflation?更广义地思考美国通货膨胀?
597So I will say our view,所以我要说我们的观点,
598and I think we have a fairly non consensus view, our view is that inflation will run hotter than我认为我们有一个 相当非共识的观点, 我们的观点是,通货膨胀会比
599consensus is thinking and that really by not hiking at the last FOMC meeting, the Fed is美联储在考虑 美联储没有在FOMC上次会议上徒步旅行
600setting themselves up to be behind the curve.设置自己在曲线后面。
601CPI print yesterday came in higher now, you know,CPI昨天的印刷品更高 现在,你知道,
602month over month type of readings can be volatile.一个月多的读数可能不稳定。
603But the share of CPI components that are rising at但是,消费物价指数组件的份额正在上升。
6045% or faster jumped to 56% in October.在10月份,5%或更快地跃升到56%。
605It was up from 44% in September.这比9月份的44%有所增加。
606So October share is the所以十月份额是
607highest since 2022.自2022年以来最高.
608So yes, we do think inflation is a concern.因此,我们确实认为通货膨胀是一个问题。
609Now, with regards to fixed income,关于固定收入
610we've been saying this for some time, the Fed and the Fed share have made it very, very clear that美联储和美联储已经说得很清楚了
611price stability and bringing in inflation is a number one priority for them.价格稳定和带来通货膨胀是它们的首要优先事项。
612And we're not there我们不在那里
613yet.还没有。
614As a result of that, you couple where we are with inflation, the signaling or, you know,因此,你和通货膨胀 信号或,你知道,
615they don't do signaling, but they've been very overt with regards to that, we expect rates to他们不做信号, 但他们一直非常公开 关于这一点, 我们期望费率
616go higher.再高一点
617As a result of that, earlier in the year, and actually recently as well, we've adjusted因此,今年早些时候,以及最近,我们做了一些调整
618our duration position.我们的期限位置。
619So we moved from our mid and trend our mid and longer term duration,因此,我们从我们的中期和趋势 中长期,
620and we're a shorter duration fixed income instruments.而且我们是更短的固定收入工具
621Why?为什么?
622Because we wanted to be因为我们想成为
623able to try and insulate ourselves somewhat from the moves that we're expecting in the back end.能够尝试和隔离我们自己 与我们期待的动作 在后端。
624We also, and this has been quite some time, we've allocated and added to gold other areas that can我们还,这已经相当长的时间, 我们分配和增加了黄金 其他领域可以
625increase the balance in portfolios, because with regards to fixed income, we do believe it's going增加投资组合的平衡, 因为对于固定收入,我们确实相信这是去
626to be challenging, continues to be volatile.挑战性强,仍然不稳定。
627Alalu, thank you very much.阿拉鲁,非常感谢
628Alalu Agunga,阿拉卢·阿贡加
629thank you for your time from Citi.谢谢你从花旗来的时间。
630Good to get your perspective on the program.很高兴你对节目的看法
631Now to other top stories that are trending on the Bloomberg terminal this morning.现在,到其他顶级故事 正在流行 在彭博终端今天上午。
632Iran says it will伊朗说会的
633not remove a single atom of enriched nuclear material from the country.不从该国清除一个浓缩核材料原子。
634In an interview with在接受采访时
635the pan-Arab TV network, Al Mayadeed, Iran's Supreme National Security Council secretary said泛阿拉伯电视网 伊朗最高国家安全委员会秘书Al Mayadeed说
636Iran has informed Russia that its enriched material will remain in the country for domestic use.伊朗已通知俄罗斯,其浓缩材料将留在该国供国内使用。
637He said the material is required to design nuclear-powered ships and submarines.他说这些材料是设计核动力舰艇和潜艇所需的.
638Prices价格
639of baby food and formula in the United States surged by the most on record in October, rising美国的婴儿食品和配方奶粉在10月份激增,创纪录,上升
640by about five percent.大约5%。
641A combination of factors are likely contributing to the increase in formula各种因素可能促使公式增加
642prices, including higher costs for ingredients and transportation inflation.(a) 价格,包括原料成本较高和运输通货膨胀。
643BYD has apologizedBYD已经道歉了
644after some of its great Tang electric SUVs were assembled with their front and rear wheel rims之后,它的一些伟大的唐式电力SUV 组装了它们的前轮和后轮轮圈
645reversed.倒转。
646The automaker traced the mistake to a supplier and says the affected vehicles are safe汽车制造商追踪到一个供应商 说受影响车辆是安全的
647to drive.开车
648BYD is offering replacement rims and restarting the warranty period.BYD提供替换轮廓并重启保修期.
649Coming up on the马上就来
650program, a bumpy relation.程序,一个模糊的关系。
651The U.S. ambassador to China calls for diligence when dealing with美国驻华大使呼吁在与
652the Nvidia affair.恩维迪亚事件
653More on that next.接下来会有更多
654This is Bloomberg.这是彭博社
655We are establishing a direct channel我们正在建立一个直接渠道
656to ensure that either nation can promptly alert the other to serious incidents involving its确保任何国家能够迅速向对方发出警告,提醒对方注意涉及其经济、社会和文化权利的严重事件。
657models.模特儿们
658As SI advances, so will the need to engage in new areas of risk management and to demonstrate随着职业分类的推进,参与风险管理新领域和展示的必要性也将取得进展。
659how our two great nations can reconcile the demands of competition with the responsibilities我们两个伟大国家如何能够调和竞争要求与责任
660of leadership.领导权。
661That was Treasury Secretary Scott Besson hailing an improvement in U.S.-China这是财政部长斯科特·贝松 欢呼美国和中国的改善
662engagement at an event in New York.在纽约参加一个活动。
663Meanwhile, U.S. ambassador to China, David Perdue, stayed与此同时,美国驻华大使大卫·佩杜埃留了下来
664more cautious.更谨慎
665He spoke exclusively to Bloomberg.他只和布隆伯格谈话.
666Stephen Engle.斯蒂芬·恩格尔.
667I think the situation with Nvidia我想恩维迪亚的情况
668is another reminder that we have to stay diligent.再一次提醒我们必须坚持不懈。
669National security is part of this economic国家安全是经济的一部分
670conversation because economic security is national security.因为经济安全是国家安全
671And so what we're doing with China is所以,我们做的中国
672bumpy right now.现在很尴尬
673We have some areas of disagreement, but we have engagement.我们有一些分歧,但我们有接触。
674Joining us now from从现在开始加入我们
675Washington, Mika Solna of Bloomberg government.华盛顿,彭博政府的米卡·索尔纳.
676Mika, good to get your perspective.美嘉,你的观点真好
677Thanks for谢谢
678taking us through this story and a number of others.带我们通过这个故事 和其他一些。
679Let's start with this then, U.S.-China先这样吧,美国中国
680relations.关系
681And it's interesting, the language coming from the U.S. envoy to China, relations有趣的是,来自美国驻华使节的语言,关系
682are bumpy after the Nvidia affair.在恩维迪亚事件后 变得很颠簸
683At another time, you might imagine that what we've seen from在另一个时间,你可能会想象 我们所看到的
684Nvidia and the scandal around that alleged spy, that might have resulted in a lot more outspokenNvidia和关于那个间谍的丑闻 可能更直言不讳
685language from Capitol Hill.国会山的语言
686Do you get the sense that the Republicans or the leadership are just你是否感觉到共和党或领导层只是
687trying to play this down because we're approaching this important meeting?因为我们正接近这个重要会议?
688Yeah, I mean, I would say是啊,我的意思是,我会说
689the response, at least from both the White House and the overall administration, has been pretty至少白宫和整个政府的反应都不错
690tame so far in light of these allegations with Jensen Huang.根据黄詹森的这些指控 驯服至今
691I know that the president has said,我知道总统说过,
692has addressed the issue on the heels of his meeting next week in China.下星期他在中国举行会议之后,已经谈到这个问题。
693But I do think that但我确实认为
694this is going to create a lot of tension, as we just heard David Perdue say.正如我们刚才听到大卫·佩杜伊所说,这将造成许多紧张。
695And I do think that我觉得
696could potentially bleed into that meeting when it comes to those national security issues.在涉及国家安全问题时,可能流血而死。
697We have to remind our audience that the president has become extremely close with Jensen Huang我们必须提醒观众 总统已经和黄詹森很亲密了
698as he kind of continues this AI race between the U.S. and China.他继续美国和中国之间的AI比赛
699And on another subject, but obviously in Washington, House Republicans have been trying而在另一个主题上, 但显然在华盛顿, 众议院共和党人一直在尝试
700to impeach Pete Hegseth, or at least a number have, but others have stood in the way of that弹劾Pete Hegseth, 或至少几个人有, 但其他人却阻止了这一点
701effort.努力起来。
702When things change in January, that might lead to a different outcome.当1月情况发生变化时,可能导致不同的结果。
703What have we learned我们学到了什么
704from this process?从这个过程?
705Yeah, definitely.当然
706I mean, I think it still shows that a lot of Republicans我的意思是,我认为它仍然显示 很多共和党人
707are really hesitant to break with President Trump and the administration in any way.与川普总统及政府决裂,
708I spoke with我和他谈过了
709more than a dozen House Republicans yesterday, both about the impeachment vote and just the昨天十多名众议院的共和党人 既谈弹劾投票 也谈
710overall outcome of the midterms and how they're feeling about President Trump, if they blame him以及他们对特朗普总统的感受,
711at all for the stinging losses that Republicans faced both in the House and Senate and in those共和党在众议院和参议院 以及参议院 都面临巨大的损失
712prize races.比赛奖金。
713And a lot of them are really reluctant to place any blame on the president,很多人都不愿意把任何责任归咎于总统
714which I think still shows that this administration has a stronghold, especially in this lame duck我认为它仍然显示 这个政府有一个据点, 特别是在这个跛脚的鸭子上
715period heading into December, where Republicans are really going to try and pass the last of the在12月,共和党人 将尝试 和通过最后一个
716president's agenda.总统的议程。
717They see it as their last opportunity to get everything they can before他们认为这是他们最后的机会 得到所有他们以前能做的
718this total democratic takeover.这个完全民主的接管。
719But you're absolutely right that we may see this come again,但你绝对是对的,我们可能会看到这又来了,
720as well as potential other impeachments next Congress, which have a greater chance of passing.以及可能发生的其他弹劾 下届国会, 他们有更大的可能通过。
721Right.对
722Yes, that'll be an interesting pivot to watch.是的,这将是一个有趣的 中枢观看。
723Now, Russia and Ukraine,现在,俄罗斯和乌克兰,
724they're talking in Abu Dhabi.他们在阿布扎比说话
725How are those conversations?这些谈话怎么样?
726Obviously, the U.S. is there显然,美国在那里
727and leading those talks.并领导这些会谈。
728How are those talks being viewed from Washington?华盛顿对这些会谈的看法如何?
729Yeah, I think that there's optimism in Washington overall, at least in Capitol Hill.是的,我想华盛顿是乐观的, 至少在国会山。
730And the White还有白色
731House was very eager and has remained eager to try and progress these peace talks.豪斯非常渴望,并且一直渴望努力推动这些和平谈判。
732But I do think但我确实认为
733there's also a lot of skepticism.也有很多怀疑论.
734And this war has been ongoing for years now.这场战争已经持续多年了
735The Trump特朗普号
736administration and the president have said that they would swiftly end this conflict,当局和总统说,他们将迅速结束这场冲突,
737but it's been a lot more complicated.但事情已经复杂得多了
738And we're seeing this in a lot of the other global conflicts我们在其他许多全球冲突中都看到了这一点。
739that the president has weighed into extensively and even created, including the war in Iran,总统已经深入,甚至制造, 包括伊朗战争,
740that these are a lot more complicated.更复杂一些
741And this will be the resumption of talks after a very long这将是在很长一段时间后恢复会谈
742period that was kind of stalled and heading into kind of this rockier period between Ukraine and进入乌克兰与乌克兰之间的一段时期
743U.S. in particular, in light of some comments that were made by U.S. officials regarding特别是美国,鉴于美国官员就
744Russian President Vladimir Putin.俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京.
745Mika, thanks very much.美嘉,非常感谢
746Mika Solna of Bloomberg Government,彭博政府的米卡·索尔纳
747thank you very much for your time.非常感谢你的时间。
748Now, one stock we're keeping a firm eye on, of course,现在,一个股票,我们正在牢牢监视, 当然,
749is CoreWeave, its earnings giving a boost to the market with a strong quarter and a rosy forecast.CoreWeave的收入以强劲的季度和优美的预测为市场提供了动力。
750Let's get the perspective of Matt Bloxham from Bloomberg Intelligence.让我们从彭博情报部了解马特·布洛瑟姆的观点.
751Well, there you go,好了,给你,
752pre-market up by nearly 14 percent there, Matt.马特,在上市前涨了近14%
753This was an epicenter of market concern some这是市场关注的中心
754weeks ago.几个星期前
755Now it seems to be acting as a comfort.现在它似乎是一种安慰。
756NASDAQ futures up really quite healthily,纳斯达克的未来非常健康,
757partly on the back of the guidance we're getting here.部分的背面 我们得到的指导在这里。
758Yeah, I mean, definitely the guidance was是啊,我的意思是, 绝对的指导是
759helpful, you know, modest upgrade to the full year revenue and profit.帮助,你知道, 适度升级到全年的收入和利润。
760For me, the more interesting对我来说,更有趣
761point was the commentary around the sources of funding in the near term.关于近期筹资来源的评论是这一点。
762We'll see one of the我们会看到一个
763problems with CoreWeave recently has been that big spike in yields because of the question marks最近CoreWeave的问题 是因为有问题
764about how they can fund this massive rollout.他们如何资助这次大规模推出。
765It's going to be a cash flow negative company,这将是一个现金流负公司,
766at least the next three or four years, according to consensus.根据共识,至少今后三四年。
767And the CEO said that they're going总裁说他们要去
768to get about nine billion dollars of prepayment funding from their customers and that they've got从客户那里得到90亿美元的预付资金 并且他们得到了
769a delayed drawdown investment grade facility in the pipes, too.管道投资级设施也推迟缩编。
770So we don't need to go and tap所以,我们不需要去敲打
771expensive debt to keep funding the business in the term.高额债务 继续资助企业在期限。
772And for me, that's like a very important对我来说,这就像一个非常重要的
773signal for the company to give.给公司的信号
774Because this company isn't typical.因为这个公司并不典型.
775So we get comfort from我们从这里得到安慰
776the top line demand forecasts, maybe.顶线需求预测,也许。
777But they're not typical in terms of the debt story, are they?但他们在债务故事上并不典型,是吗?
778No, they're not.不,他们不是。
779It's quite a complicated debt structure.这是一个相当复杂的债务结构。
780And some of the unsecured debt和一些无担保债务
781spiked as much as 15% yields recently because there are these question marks about the kind最近产量猛增15%,因为有关于此类的疑问
782of mismatch between revenue and profit growth, but the amount of capital investment they're making收入和利润增长之间的不匹配, 但他们的资本投资额
783near term, you know, tens of billions of dollars of cash outflow.不久,你知道, 数百亿美元的现金流出。
784And how do you continue to fund你如何继续资助
785that?那个?
786And what's the trajectory towards cash flow break even?现金流断流的轨迹是什么?
787What about Anthropic then?那安东尼呢?
788Also还有
789getting some comfort there, are we, from this talk, certainly in other media, about just how在那里得到一些安慰, 我们,从这个演讲, 当然在其他媒体,
790high the valuation could go here?高的估价可以在这里吗?
791Not as high as some of the really elevated levels we've previously不如以前一些真正高的水平
792seen, but talk us through these latest numbers.说说最新数字
793Yeah, I mean, it's been a bit of a journey for them是啊,我意思是, 对他们来说,这是一个有点旅行
794in the last few weeks, hasn't it?过去几周,不是吗?
795You know, I'll say that the news today that maybe the bankers你知道,我会说,今天的消息, 也许银行家
796are looking to push the valuation up towards 1.5 trillion, you know, still a long way short,想要将估值推向1.5万亿美元, 你知道,仍然很短,
797the two trillion that people were talking about not so long ago, but much better than the 1.2 to不久前人们谈论的两万亿, 但比1.2到0.
7981.3, that they're kind of essentially the baseline, if you like, of the IPO.1.3,它们基本上是IPO的基准,如果你喜欢的话。
799It's really down to the这真的下到
800manhood team to kind of go and see investors give a very convincing pitch about the fundamentals,男子气概的团队 去看看投资者 给出一个非常有说服力的投注 关于基础,
801the size of the addressable market, their sustainable profitability path, you know,可以解决的市场规模, 他们的可持续盈利路径,你知道,
802the moat they've got around the business.护城河 他们有围绕生意。
803That's really what's going to, you know,这才是真正的,你知道,
804test investors' appetite.测试投资者的胃口。
805And I guess they're probably keeping their fingers crossed that we我猜他们可能 保持他们的手指交叉,我们
806have a week without too many more or any more unexpected, negative bits of news around the一个星期没有太多或更多意外的负面新闻
807broader industry.扩大工业范围。
808Yes, and perhaps they'll be pleased with some of the positive news we've had是的,也许他们会很高兴 我们有一些积极的消息
809甚至从OpenAI。
810So some comfort perhaps on the ability to monetise the business?所以,也许有些安慰 能力货币化的业务?
811Is that这是
812what we should read into the revenue numbers there?我们该读到那里的收入数字吗?
813Yeah, I think so.是的,我想是这样。
814OpenAI出来了,
815reportedly told investors that Q3 revenue was about 10 billion, about 50% up sequentially,据报道,告诉投资者,Q3的收入约为100亿,相继上升了50%左右,
816和我们从Anthropic听到的一样
817Anthropic的Q3号码很多
818bigger, 17 billion dollars.更大的,170亿美元。
819What it showed you is OpenAI has pivoted into the same enterprise AI显示OpenAI是同一企业的支柱AI
820opportunity that Anthropic's really focused on.安特罗皮克真正关注的机会
821It suggests there's plenty of demand there.这表明那里有很多需求。
822They're also kind of improving their kind of profitability trajectory too.他们的利润轨迹也有所改进。
823So yeah,所以,没错,
824it's a positive data point.这是一个正数据点。
825I think it should in theory at least be a big enough market,我认为从理论上讲,它至少应该是一个足够大的市场,
826big enough market for both of these companies to grow substantially from where they are today.这两家公司的市场都足够大,可以从今天开始大幅度增长。
827Matt, thank you very much.马特,非常感谢
828Matt Bloxham from Bloomberg Intelligence with all those tech彭博情报部的马特·布洛瑟姆
829themes.主题。
830Coming up, your day ahead.马上就来,你的未来。
831That's next.这是下一个。
832This is Bloomberg.这是彭博社
833Welcome back to The Brief.欢迎回到《简报》
834Now a look at what is ahead for today.现在看看今天的前景。
835A host of Fed speak including Hammock, Barr,包括哈莫克,巴尔,
836Daly and Schmid.达利和施密德.
837Throughout the day we get that commentary coming from those Fed speakers.整天我们从那些美联储演讲者那里得到评论
838OPEC will be out with its monthly oil report.欧佩克将发表月度石油报告。
839That's later this morning.今晨过后.
840And the cash treasury还有现金库
841market is closed, of course, in observance of Veterans Day.当然,为了纪念退伍军人日,市场是关闭的。
842Certainly wasn't closed yesterday.昨天当然没有关门
843More on that in just a moment.过一会儿再谈
844Let's have a look at some of these macro movers for you.让我们来看看这些大型移动器。
845And in fact, thinking about yesterday and the big moves that we saw higher in yields,事实上,想想昨天 和我们看到的产量较高的大动作,
846certainly at the two-year horizon, also at the five-year went over 5% on 10-year yields at one当然,在两年的时间内,五年的产量在十年的产量中超过了5%。
847point.点。
848Well, we see a continuation of that trajectory and Wednesday's futures picture我们看到轨迹的延续 和周三的未来
849waiting for cash trade tomorrow.等待明天的现金交易。
850The broader futures picture for equities looks pretty positive.更广阔的股票期货前景看起来相当乐观。
851We're up by 1.9% on NASDAQ futures.纳斯达克期货涨1.9%.
852Thinking about where we go on the core.想着我们往哪里去
853We've story and我们的故事和
854profit.利润。
855All of that offering a little bit of comfort around that AI tech narrative.所有这一切为人工智能技术说明提供了一点安慰。
856Quick look at where we are on commodities.快看看我们在商品方面的情况。
857Brent prices moving a little bit higher.布伦特的价钱涨了一点
858Gold prices move a little bit higher.黄金价格上升了一点
859Brent and WTI, of course, focused on developments in the当然,布伦特和世界投资倡议的重点是:
860Middle East.中东。
861The Iranians taking a tough line on enrichment of uranium.伊朗人在铀浓缩问题上采取强硬立场.
862The gold price is perhaps金价或许是
863more focused on CPI and the trajectory for Fed interest rates.更注重消费物价指数和美联储利率的轨迹。
864That is it for Bloomberg Brief.这是为彭博简介。
865Surveillance is a hedge.监视是一种篱笆。
866This is Bloomberg.这是彭博社
该视频共有字幕 866 条。解锁更多字幕为会员功能,请移动到 价格

P2 · 【中英字幕】彭博财经简报26.11.11 p02 【英字&原声】 (P2)

字幕摘录

时间英文中文
0:14It's 5 a.m. in New York City, 10 a.m. here in London.现在是纽约早上5点 伦敦早上10点
0:17Good morning, everybody.早上好,大家好,谢谢
0:18I'm Anna我是安娜,我叫安纳
0:18Edwards with your Bloomberg Brief.爱德华兹与你的彭博简介。
0:20Let's get you set up for the day ahead.令诸众生安住前天.
0:22Equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from CoreWeave, reviving在核心网络的季度结果比预期的要强之后,股票得到增殖,恢复活力
0:27investor confidence in the AI trade.投资者对AI贸易的信心.
0:30Andropix Bankers说正在考虑提高估价
0:33for the firm's blockbuster IPO at $1.5 trillion or more.以1.5万亿或更多美元的价格 买下公司的IPO
0:38And a hot CPI print ramps up rate热的CPI打印率上升了
展开字幕全文(565 条)
序号英文中文
1It's 5 a.m. in New York City, 10 a.m. here in London.现在是纽约早上5点 伦敦早上10点
2Good morning, everybody.早上好,大家好,谢谢
3I'm Anna我是安娜,我叫安纳
4Edwards with your Bloomberg Brief.爱德华兹与你的彭博简介。
5Let's get you set up for the day ahead.令诸众生安住前天.
6Equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from CoreWeave, reviving在核心网络的季度结果比预期的要强之后,股票得到增殖,恢复活力
7investor confidence in the AI trade.投资者对AI贸易的信心.
8Andropix Bankers说正在考虑提高估价
9for the firm's blockbuster IPO at $1.5 trillion or more.以1.5万亿或更多美元的价格 买下公司的IPO
10And a hot CPI print ramps up rate热的CPI打印率上升了
11Mike Betts.麦克贝茨。
12Cash treasury markets are closed for Veterans Day after a surge in yields.现金库市场在收益激增后关闭,用于退伍军人日。
13Let's get a check on the markets then around the world.让我们检查一下市场 然后在世界各地。
14Here's Winnie Hsu in Hong Kong香港的荣氏
15for the latest on the Asia trade.最近关于亚洲贸易的情况。
16Winnie.荣曰.
17Yeah, good morning, Anna.是的,早上好,安娜,你好吗?
18Well, as you mentioned,嗯,如你所说,
19we are seeing pretty positive sentiment in Asia today and actually Asian stocks rising我们今天在亚洲看到相当积极的情绪 和实际上亚洲的股票上升
20for a third day, headed for its best three days gains since August.进入8月份以来最好的三天
21Now, as you mentioned,现在,正如你提到的,
22we have the better than expected results from CoreWeave that really reassured investors我们的CoreWeave结果比预期的要好 能让投资者放心
23that the AI computing demand is still very strong.AI计算需求仍然非常强烈.
24还有 FT报道说 Andropix
25Bankers are considering a raising IPO valuation for the company.银行家们正在考虑提高公司IPO的估值。
26So that together you are所以你们在一起
27seeing tech stocks in Asia leading gain index here up by about 3.6 percent, also being lifted亚洲的科技存量领先增长指数 上升了3.6% 也正在被取消
28by the gains that we saw in TSMC.由我们在TSMC中看到的成果。
29Of course, we did have that 60 percent jump in revenue当然,我们确实有 60%的收入跳跃
30for October.为十月.
31And plus the company saying that it is investing 500 million dollars each in再加上公司说 投资5亿美金
32Andropix and OpenAI.安德罗皮克斯和OpenAI.
33Now, Flipboard and take a look at the bond space because we are seeing现在,翻板,看看 债券空间,因为我们看到
34the impact from that, hotter than expected US CPI numbers raising the expectation for因此,美国消费物价指数的热度比预期的要高。
35the Fed to tighten more aggressively.美联储要更加严厉
36That is why you are seeing Japan's 10 year and这就是为什么你看到 日本的十年和
37five year here higher by about nine basis points for the yields.五年的产量比这高9个基点
38And we are also seeing我们还看到
39a bit of a weakness in the Japanese yen, in fact, weakening to its weakest level in more日元的一点弱点 事实上 更弱到最弱
40than a month after we saw a bit of a strength when it comes to the US dollar.一个多月后,我们看到美元有一点强劲。
41Winnie, thanks very much.荣,非常感谢。
42Winnie Sue with a look at Asia.荣瑞苏一览亚洲.
43Now on to Europe.现在进入欧洲。
44This is这是
45a picture, a snapshot really of what we are seeing here in the European session.一个图片,一个真实的快照 我们在这里看到的欧洲会议。
46The stock库存
47600 up three tenths of one percent catching up with the US, a strong earnings story to600倍的十分之三 赶上美国, 一个强大的收入故事
48sell.卖掉。
49And some people pointing to the European equity markets as being a bit of a haven away有些人指向欧洲的股权市场 像是个避风港
50from turmoil in US tech.美国科技的动荡
51European tech actually benefiting today up by 1.8 percent and keeping欧洲技术今天实际受益1.8%,
52an eye on what's going on in fixed income of all sorts.观察各种固定收入的情况。
53No cash trading in the Treasury财务处没有现金交易
54market in the United States.美国市场。
55But yesterday we saw Treasuries and European bond markets但昨天我们看到了 国库和欧洲债券市场
56really roiled by that much higher.被这么高的地盘搅了
57Well, the higher print than expected on CPI and what那么,高于预期的 消费物价指数和什么
58that did to yield.这确实使自己屈服了。
59So we continue to watch where yields are moving.因此,我们继续观察产量在移动。
60With that in mind,考虑到这一点,
61we've got US two year futures on the board for you as we continue to track the fallout继续追踪后遗症 我们为你准备了两年的未来
62from that CPI print and the hawkish commentary from the Fed and the reassessments of Fed对美联储的重新评估
63rate hike bets that we've seen as a result.速率上涨的赌注,我们已经看到的结果。
64NASDAQ futures up by 1.7 percent, S&P futures纳斯达克期货上涨1.7% S&P期货
65up by eight tenths of one percent.上升了百分之八的1%。
66从CoreWeave传来的一些新闻线
67and Anthropic, as we mentioned in our headlines, acting as something of a comfort to the tech正如我们在头条新闻中所提到的 对科技来说是一种安慰
68trade.贸易。
69Let's get some of the stocks we're watching this morning.我们早上看的股票
70这是Olivia LaVue。
71Good morning, Anna.早上好,安娜,你好吗?
72You'd be hard pressed to find a part of the tape both globally and你很难找到 磁带的一部分 全球和
73in US pre-market that isn't dominated right now by the AI trade, particularly though this在美国前市场, 现在不是由AI贸易主导, 尤其是这个
74morning we're focusing on CoreWeave.早上我们集中关注核心网络
75They lifted their four-year guidance and beat on他们解除了四年的指引 继续前进
76third quarter revenue.第三季度收入。
77Both of those metrics coming in handily ahead actually of Wall Street这两条标准都巧妙地领先于华尔街
78expectations helping to calm investor nerves over CoreWeave's debt-laden businesses and帮助投资者平息CoreWeave债务累累的企业和
79in general the challenges facing the data center industry.一般而言,数据中心行业面临的挑战。
80That's lifting AI stocks这就是解除AI股票
81across the board.包罗万象。
82Another area that we're focused on though is the AI photonics complex.我们关注的另一个领域是AI光子复合体.
83Coherence and Lumentum are both higher in pre-market trading after Japanese peer Hamamatsu在日本同行哈马松之后, 市场前交易的一致性和意义都更高
84Photonics was up almost 15 percent, showing that photonics demand is still incredibly光子素上升了近15% 显示光子素的需求仍然惊人
85strong.强壮。
86It's a key component in data centers.这是数据中心的关键组件。
87Finally, we have results from Alcon.最后,我们得到了阿尔康的结果。
88They're他们是
89down in Europe and they're down in pre-market US trading after disappointing third quarter在欧洲,他们倒下 在市场前的美国贸易 令人失望的第三季度
90results that were led by a weakness in their implantables business.由植入物业务的弱点所带动的结果。
91Olivia 非常感谢你
92Olivia Levue和你的前市场推销员
93Coming up this来了
94hour we will get into conversation about the tech trade with Olaolu Ogongu who joins us一小时后,我们开始讨论 与奥拉奥卢·奥贡古的技术交易
95from Citi joining us to talk about the AI rally and how that rubs up against moves in从花旗加入我们 谈论AI集会 和如何抹黑 移动英寸
96bond markets.债券市场。
97Let's get back to the CoreWeave story though talking of AI.让我们回到CoreWeave的故事,尽管谈论AI.
98Shares are extending股份正在扩展
99gains after posting strong results and an upbeat forecast with the CEO Michael Intrator与首席执行官迈克尔·Intrator一起公布强有力的成果并作出乐观的预测
100calling it a breakout quarter for the firm.给律所打个突破区
101我们把Tom McKenzie带进来,主播
102opening trade here in London, with me of course and here to tell us all the things we need在伦敦开设贸易, 当然,我在这里 告诉我们我们需要的一切
103to know about the tech trade.了解技术交易。
104先从CoreWeave开始.
105What was comforting about what Core何谓安慰什么核心
106Weave had to say?编织必须说?
107你可以从CEOMichael Intrator那里 得到解脱
108of course of this company, on the back of earnings and the upgrade to the forecast.当然,这家公司, 在收入的背面 和升级到预测。
109So they're now forecasting $13.3 billion in revenue for the full year.所以他们现在预测全年收入133亿美元.
110So that was a significant所以这很重要
111beat.节拍。
112Losses for the company have narrowed so that's significant and they have this chunky公司的损失已经缩小了 所以这是重大的, 他们有这个巨大的
113backlog of about $132 billion, above $132 billion in terms of orders that they now need to execute积压约1 320亿美元,超过1 320亿美元,目前需要执行
114on.继续
115So on all those metrics this is very positive for a company that's come under increased因此,在所有这些衡量标准上 这非常正面 对于一个公司,它已经得到了增加
116scrutiny of course around its business model and how viable it is because they have to borrow当然要围绕其商业模式加以审查,并检查其可行性,因为它们必须借款;
117at high rates to build out the infrastructure, to build out the data sensors and buy the chips that高收费建造基础设施 建造数据传感器 购买芯片
118they then lease on to the likes of Microsoft and OpenAI.然后租借给微软公司和OpenAI公司
119So a beat on that terms.这么说吧
120This isn't这不是
121completely out of the woods for CoreWeave.完全走出森林为科雷织。
122They still have net debt of about $62 billion他们还有620亿美元的债务
123but certainly it's a tick in the box and they need to continue performing in these quarters但他们肯定在盒子里 需要继续表演
124to really assuage the concerns but the market or at least the stock has cooled higher this morning.真正缓解关注 但市场或至少 股票已经降温 今天上午。
125Yeah even if we still have questions and concerns about the role of Nvidia right now it seems that是啊,即使我们还有问题和担心 关于Nvidia的角色现在,似乎
126the narrative out of CoreWeave is at least a positive one in the short term.CoreWeave的叙述在短期内至少是正面的。
127What else have还有什么?
128we got in the mix then?我们混进去了?
129Anthropic and the conversations there about the, well we know安东尼和那里的对话 我们知道
130a bit more about the timing don't we it seems, about this IPO, the planned timing at least and更多关于时机,我们不 它看起来,关于这个IPO, 计划的时间至少和
131planned valuations.计划估值。
132What are the reports like around just how high or low the valuation might报告是什么样子的 只是估价有多高或低
133go here?来这里?
134The reports suggest there is huge demand for Anthropics IPOs.报告表明对人类学IPO的需求巨大.
135The Financial Times front金融时报前线
136page today they're looking at a valuation potentially of more than one and a half,今天他们正在研究一个超过1.5的估价
137more than one and a half trillion dollars.超过1.5万亿美元。
138Now that would make it the biggest IPO ever on record.这将是有史以来最大的IPO记录。
139They had set a pricing yesterday in the update to the S1, the SEC, the Securities Exchange Commission他们昨天在S1的更新中 设定了定价 证监会 证券交易委员会
140of between 70 to 78 dollars per share.每股70至78美元之间。
141It seems they now may increase that pricing which is看来他们现在可能会增加价格,也就是
142unusual given the demand they've seen.他们看到的要求不同寻常
143And in terms of the forward picture, look this is still从前景来看,看这还是
144a company that is projecting into the 2030s commitments of around 900 billion US dollars2030年代约9 000亿美元的承诺
145but revenues are growing.但收入正在增长。
146The revenue growth is phenomenal, it's nearly 50 percent, it's slowed,收入的增长是惊人的, 将近50%, 它放缓,
147the revenue growth is slowed but from a very very high level.收入增长放缓,但增长幅度非常高。
148It seems right now, and this is the现在看来,这是
149most important takeaway, this IPO will get through.最重要的外卖, 这个IPO会通过。
150Then in the secondaries, how do the public markets然后在二手店里 公共市场怎么样
151then react to that?然后对此作出反应?
152Is there a pot, does it sustain it or do people take cash off the table?有没有大麻,它维持它 或者人们从桌子上拿走现金?
153Yeah we certainly did have one guest on Asia program I think, didn't we, who was... Jack Selby.是啊,我们确实有一个客人 在亚洲的节目 我想,是不是我们,谁是... 杰克・塞尔比。
154Yeah a little bit cautious on what happens when lockups come to an end and that sort of thing.是啊,有点谨慎 当锁 结束和那种事情。
155Open AI,第三季度收入数字通过Open AI增加50%.
156I mean我是说
157telling us a comforting story about monetization and the ability to monetize these models.告诉我们一个令人欣慰的故事 关于货币化 和将这些模型货币化的能力。
158如果你把这些三家企业放在一起 CoreWeave Anthropic 开放AI
159the one clear takeaway for the bulls is the demand continues to be there.对公牛来说唯一明确的外卖是需求还在继续
160Massive demand,巨大的需求,
161massive demand for compute, that's the CoreWeave story with that backlog of 132 billion,大量的需求计算, 这是核心 Weave的故事 与积压的132亿,
162massive demand for the frontier models still for Open AI and Anthropic.对开放AI和Anthropic的前沿模型的大量需求。
163Open AI, as you said,打开AI,正如你说的,
16410 billion US dollars in the most recent quarter in terms of the revenues that came through,从最近一个季度的收入来看,100亿美元,
165on an annualized rate.年薪标准。
166You're looking at revenues now of about 50 billion dollars,你现在看到的是500亿美元的收入,
167annualized revenues for Open AI.公开AI的年收入。
168So they are catching up with Anthropic and they are proving所以他们追上Anthropic 他们证明
169that there is still demand.仍然有需求。
170Now they're still making a loss and the margin is still very much现在他们还在亏本,赔率仍然很高
171in negative territory for Open AI, but those losses have narrowed.但是损失已经缩小了
172Okay Tom, thank you very好吧,汤姆,谢谢你
173much.非常喜欢
174Tom McKenzie of course with the latest on those tech themes.Tom McKenzie当然有这些技术主题的最新消息
175Tech themes rubbing up against技术主题与
176the latest inflation data out of the US.美国最新的通货膨胀数据。
177The latest CPI report came in then hot,最新的消费物价指数报告当时很热
178sending two-year treasury yields soaring by the most in some 19 months.两年的国库收益在大约19个月里猛增最多。
179Chicago Fed President芝加哥联邦主席
180Austin Coolsby weighed in on the report on PBS NewsHour.奥斯汀·柯尔斯比在PBS新闻频道的报道中有所评价.
181Take a listen.来听听
182It's another distressing又是又一个烦恼
183report, borderline disturbing.报告,边界线扰动。
184So we've got a real inflation issue on our hands that has been所以我们手上有真正的通货膨胀问题
185developing and we're going to have to deal with that.正在发展,我们不得不处理。
186Now the cash treasury market is closed today现今金库市场今日关闭
187in the US, but there's movement elsewhere of course and there was plenty of movement in在美国,但有移动 当然其他地方, 有很多移动
188yesterday's session.昨天的会议。
189Ven Ram joins us, Bloomberg's Ven Ram, with some analysis.文・拉姆加入我们,彭博的文・拉姆, 有一些分析。
190So we established所以我们建立了
191over the last 24 hours that stocks like tech and that bond markets once again do not like inflation过去24小时内 科技等股票和债券市场 再次不喜欢通货膨胀
192and that's certainly what we saw at the front end of the US curve.这当然是我们在美国曲线前端看到的。
193How surprised were you by the你有多惊讶
194extent of the move in treasuries and other global bond markets on the back of that inflation print?国库和其他全球债券市场的变动幅度?
195Hi Anna, so I don't think I was surprised at all because you know this was an accident嗨,安娜,所以我不觉得惊讶,因为你知道这是一个意外
196that was waiting to happen.等待着发生
197We have discussed in recent sessions how well the US economy has我们最近几届会议讨论过美国经济如何发展
198been doing, real growth has been above 3% which is above trend and you've got inflation that is一直以来,实际增长 3%以上,高于趋势 通货膨胀是
199running well above 3% and yesterday's inflation was to the upside.而昨天的通货膨胀是好的。
200So the markets have been所以市场已经
201glossing over the fact that you know how far does the Fed have to put up rates here and it looks掩盖了一个事实,你知道 美联储必须多远 将利率在这里,它看起来
202like they have to go a long way because you know even the Fed's own estimate of the real neutral就像他们必须走很长的路 因为你甚至知道美联储自己 对真正的中立者的估计
203rate is 120 basis points now and clearly that's understating it and as Goolsbee said this is速率是120个基点 现在,很明显,这是 低估它,正如Goolsbee说这是
204disturbing and I think that the Fed has got to go more than three times which is what the markets are美联储必须走三次多 那就是市场
205currently pricing in and if the Fed has got to keep raising rates I think that the front end is如果美联储继续提高利率 我认为前端是
206more or less there around 475, 478 which is the spread over the Fed mid-rate is considerable but大约475 478美元 也就是美联储中产率的分布很大
207if you look at the long end that's where I'm really concerned and I think that the 10 year is如果你看长的一端 那才是我真正关心的地方 我认为10年是
208hovering around 5% as we talk but I think that the 10 year and the 30 year yields have really在我们谈话时徘徊在5%左右 但我认为10年和30年的产量
209have much more work to do and I think that the direction of yields is higher from here.还有更多的工作要做,我认为产量的方向从这里更高。
210Yes it's interesting isn't it we got back above 5% didn't we yesterday on the 10 year we closed有意思的是,我们回来的不是5%以上吗 昨天我们关闭了10年
211at 4.99 and obviously no cash trading today.今天没有现金交易
212So what dictates the direction of travel next then接下来旅行的方向是什么?
213Ven?温?
214We saw of course the the fallout from the AI nervousness in the United States post the当然,我们看到了美国AI的紧张情绪 带来的后遗症
215buying and therefore lower yields but that thought process or that trip that investment购买并因此降低收益,但思考过程或投资之旅
216thesis seems to have moved aside.论文似乎已经挪到一边去了。
217Well as there are going to be episodes of volatility in the会有波动
218equity markets you will see tactical rallies in treasuries but I don't think that's the股票市场,你会看到战术集会 在国库,但我不认为这是
219sustainable or the strategic direction of treasuries from here because you know if you're或从这里得到的国库战略方向 因为你知道自己是否
220a nominal bond holder you want to be compensated for inflation that's the point of buying bonds名义债券持有者,您想获得通货膨胀补偿,这是购买债券的要点
221and if you if you're not getting an adequate inflation compensation如果你没有得到足够的通货膨胀补偿
222what is the point of that five nominal coupons because they are going to be eroded by inflation那五张名义优惠券有什么意义,因为它们将被通货膨胀侵蚀
223so I think that the direction of yields at least the long date of the bonds is definitely higher所以我认为,收益方向 至少在债券的漫长日期 绝对更高
224from here and I think that we are not yet in the value zone if you look at the median of the从这里,我认为,我们还没有 在价值区 如果你看看中间值
225inflation adjusted yields on the 10 year treasury is going back in history it's about two and a half10年的通货膨胀调整收益率 在历史上是 大约是2.5年
226percent and I we are not at that level so I think that we have got further to go here.我和我们没有达到这个水平 所以我想我们还有更多的工作要做
227Okay Ben thank you very much thanks for the analysis Bloomberg's还好 本非常感谢你对彭博公司的分析
228Venram from the markets live team now to other top stories that are trending on the Bloomberg来自市场现场的Venram 团队到其他顶级故事 正在流行于彭博会
229terminal this morning Morgan Stanley says global equity hedge funds cut risk at the fastest paceMorgan Stanley说,全球股权对冲基金以最快的速度降低风险
230in more than a decade through the first week of November the retreat came as AI stocks sold off在11月第一个星期的十几年里, 退场是随着AI股票的出售而来的
231following the midterm elections hedge funds returns in the first week of November were在中期选举之后,11月第一个星期的对冲基金收益
232negative across all regions.所有区域的负数。
233美国驻华大使David Perdue指出,
234Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang and an alleged Chinese spy is posing a test to bilateral relations heNvidia首席执行官Jensen Huang和一位中国间谍 正在考验他的双边关系
235says US-China relations are quote bumpy ahead of next week's summit between presidents Trump说中美关系在川普总统下周的峰会前 出现颠簸
236and the Chinese to take place in Shenzhen in China meanwhile treasury secretary Scott Besson和中国人将在深圳举行 同时,财政部秘书斯科特·贝松
237hailed an improvement in US-China engagements ahead of president Trump's visit next week在川普总统下周访问之前,
238he spoke to the national committee on US-China relations.他和中美关系全国委员会谈过了
239We are establishing a direct channel to ensure that either nation can promptly alert the other我们正在建立一个直接渠道,以确保任何国家能够迅速向对方发出警报。
240to serious incidents involving its SI models.涉及其职业分类模型的严重事件。
241As SI advances so will the need to engage in随着职业介绍所的推进,需要参与
242new areas of risk management and to demonstrate how our two great nations can reconcile the新的风险管理领域,并展示我们两个伟大国家如何协调
243demands of competition with the responsibilities of leadership.要求与领导责任竞争。
244Coming up on the program Russia即将上演俄罗斯的节目
245and Ukraine try to negotiate a peace deal more on that next this is Bloomberg.接下来是彭博社,
246This is Bloomberg Brief I'm Anna Edwards live in London.这是彭博简介 我是安娜·爱德华兹住在伦敦
247Ukraine and Russia continue a second day乌克兰和俄罗斯继续第二天
248of US-led peace talks in Abu Dhabi let's get an update with Bloomberg's Greg Sullivan.美国主导的阿布扎比和谈 让我们了解彭博的格雷格·沙利文
249Greg what's格雷格,这是什么?
250the latest then coming from these talks a couple of days in and some of the language seems to be最近从这些谈话中传来的一些语言
251quite positive any substance?相当积极的任何物质?
252Right the second day of talks did kick off today Ukrainian president今天,乌克兰总统的第二天会谈确实开始了
253Volodymyr Zelensky said that issues like de-escalation potential ceasefires over沃洛迪米尔·泽连斯基说,诸如缓和可能停火的问题
254the Black Sea and energy infrastructure could be on the table in today's talks.在今天的会谈中,黑海和能源基础设施可以放在桌面上。
255Coming out of出来了
256yesterday's talks the US and Ukraine cast them as rather constructive and productive.昨天的会谈使美国和乌克兰认为它们具有相当的建设性和建设性。
257Russia was俄罗斯当时
258slightly more reticent an official that was part of the talks said that it's still too early to say稍稍迟钝一点 身为谈判一部分的官员说 现在说还为时过早
259how the negotiations are going.谈判进展如何?
260These are the first negotiations since February when the US这是美国2月份以来的第一次谈判
261shifted its focus to the its war on Iran so now that they're resuming it is an interesting sign现在他们又重新发动了这场战争,
262that there is some momentum and some sides are casting it as constructive but still the fact有一些势头,有些方面认为它具有建设性,但事实仍然是:
263remains that a lot of issues remain on the table and there is quite a chasm between the two sides双方仍然存在着很大的分歧
264leading into these talks on those issues.就这些问题展开会谈。
265Meanwhile the attacks by both sides do seem to continue同时双方的攻击似乎仍在继续
266That's right we saw attacks overnight from both Ukraine and Russia.没错,我们一晚上就看到来自乌克兰和俄罗斯的攻击。
267Ukraine said that乌克兰说,
268energy infrastructure was struck while Russia said that oil infrastructure in Ust-Luga was hit俄罗斯说乌斯图-卢加的石油基础设施受到冲击,
269so they haven't been quite to the same scale that we saw leading up to the attacks.所以他们还没有达到我们所看到的 攻击前的规模
270Both sides双方
271have been escalating their attacks prior to these talks yet clearly it's still ongoing even as在会谈之前,他们的攻击不断升级,但显然仍在进行之中,即使
272Zelensky said that today potential ceasefires over energy could be on the table but again Russia hasZelensky说,今天潜在的能源停火可能摆在桌面上,但俄罗斯再次
273cautioned that it is still too early to say and up until now Russia hasn't backed away from its警告说,现在说起来还为时过早,直到现在,俄罗斯还没有放弃它。
274maximalist demands and has been cautious about any kind of acceptance of a ceasefire actually最大程度的要求,并对实际接受停火的任何形式持谨慎态度
275broadly rejecting the need for a ceasefire as potentially only buying Ukraine time to regroup.普遍反对停火,因为可能只是为乌克兰重新集结争取时间。
276Right and it's interesting so at this meeting we have the U.S. of course bringing these two sides癸 Τ届 硂穦 и讽礛穦Τ瓣 р硂ㄢ娩盿ㄓ
277together Ukraine is there Russia is there not much European presence but there has been some俄国没有多少欧洲存在,
278suggestion that maybe Europe has a part to play here then Greg.说明欧洲也许可以在这里发挥作用 然后是格雷格
279That's right it's actually没错,其实
280interesting yesterday on Tuesday ahead of the talks Ukraine said that they met with昨天在会谈前的星期二,乌克兰说,他们会晤
281their European counterparts who are in Abu Dhabi alongside U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and在阿布扎比的欧洲同行与美国特使Steve Witkoff和
282Jared Kushner.贾里德·库什纳.
283Today the head of the Ukrainian delegation Rustam Umarov said that after the今天,乌克兰代表团团长鲁斯塔姆·乌马罗夫说,
284trilateral talks with Russia and the U.S. Ukraine plans to meet again with their European partners与俄罗斯和美国的三边会谈计划再次与欧洲伙伴会晤
285and then on top of that U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that Europe needs a place at the然后在美国国务卿马可·鲁比奥的上面说,欧洲需要有一个位置
286table and he hopes that the talks will expand to include them going forward and that makes sense他希望会谈能够扩大范围,包括继续会谈,这样才有意义。
287for Europe who sees this conflict as part of their security infrastructure that see it as a direct欧洲认为这场冲突是其安全基础设施的一部分,认为它是直接的
288threat since it is in Europe and they have long wanted to be at the table but have largely been由于威胁是在欧洲,他们早就想坐到桌子上,但基本上一直
289excluded from talks during President Trump's second administration.特朗普总统第二任执政期间被排除在会谈之外.
290Just briefly then Greg只是短暂的,然后格雷格
291I mean what are the what are the sticking points are we still talking about territory and the我的意思是,什么是什么是坚守点 我们仍然谈论领土和
292future security guarantees for Ukraine?乌克兰未来的安全保障?
293Those are the big ones there have been a lot of issues on这些是大问题,有很多问题
294the table but there's no doubt that the two most intractable issues are the security guarantees.但毫无疑问,两个最棘手的问题是 安全保障。
295It's hard to see what Moscow would accept that would also please Kiev and be secure enough that很难想象莫斯科会接受什么 也能让基辅高兴 并且足够安全
296they would feel that there is a less of a threat of Russian aggression going down the future and他们觉得俄国侵略的威胁会减少
297then like you said territory.就像你说的地盘
298Moscow hasn't backed away from demands that Ukraine cede territory it莫斯科没有放弃乌克兰割让领土的要求
299still controls and that Moscow hasn't been able to take militarily.莫斯科一直无法军事控制
300Ukraine says that it's their乌克兰说这是他们的
301sovereign territory they don't want to take it a lot of it is heavily fortified and losing it would主权领土,他们不想占据它 很多是它 大量防御工事,失去它会
302potentially leave other areas of Ukraine open to future attack so those do remain two huge sticking未来乌克兰的其他地区可能会遭到攻击 所以这些地方仍然有两根巨大的刺痕
303points.点。
304Greg thank you so much thanks for the update Bloomberg's Greg Sullivan with the latest格雷格非常感谢你 更新了布隆伯格的格雷格·沙利文
305on those talks taking place in Abu Dhabi.在阿布扎比举行的会谈
306美国战争部长Pete Hegseth
307he's dodged an impeachment effort more on that and what else is making headlines in our front他躲过了弹劾 更多的关于这一点 还有什么是我们前面的头条新闻
308page news next this is Bloomberg.接下来是彭博社
309Welcome back this is the brief now Chevron has reported its欢迎回来 这是雪佛龙现在报告的情况
310second straight quarter a blockbuster results in its latest earnings.第二直四分之一的块块 导致它的最新收入。
311不过,CFO Ima Bonner不是
312taking these boom times for granted on the latest episode of Bloomberg chief future officer Bonner在布隆伯格未来首席军官伯纳的最近一集中,
313takes Bloomberg's Anne Marie Horden to the Permian Basin where Chevron produces about a million把彭博的安妮·玛丽·霍登带到佩尔米安盆地 雪佛龙在那里生产了大约一百万
314barrels a day.一天一桶。 (笑声)
315A million barrels a day is our sweet spot because we have the factory optimized一天一百万桶是我们的甜点 因为工厂已经优化了
316at a million barrels a day we have reliability efforts that allow us to produce at a million每天一百万桶,我们有可靠的努力 使我们生产百万桶
317barrels a day with less cost.每天桶,成本较低。
318What does reliability mean?可靠性是什么意思?
319I mean it means keeping our plant here我的意思是,它意味着保持我们的植物在这里
320up for the maximum amount of time so avoiding unplanned events shutdowns issues with equipment* 尽量缩短时间,避免意外事件
321issues with the wells coming into the the facility there's 27 wells coming into this facility we try27口井进入了我们尝试的
322make them as productive as possible one of the ways we're doing that is putting advanced chemicals让他们尽可能多地生产 我们这样做的方法之一 是放置先进的化学品
323into the reservoir and think of that as kind of it washes the oil from the rock and so this is an进入水库 想到它会把岩石上的油洗掉
324area where we have seen over the last year 20 percent increase in production from whales that去年我们看到鲸鱼产量增加了20%
325have been treated with this chemical.已经用这种化学品处理过。
326It also involves keeping the facilities running at high它还涉及使设施保持高水平运作。
327reliability equipment monitoring doing turnarounds proactive maintenance all of those things allow进行可靠设备监测 进行主动维护
328the equipment behind us to operate at the right technical limits that also contributes to reliability我们后面的设备在适当的技术限度下运行,这也有助于提高可靠性
329how important is that in a time of geopolitics where potentially other places are a little bit在地缘政治时代,其他地方可能有点
330on uncertain footing it's critical always but at a time where we've got disruptions around the world在不确定的基础上,它总是关键 但此时,我们有 扰乱世界各地
331at a time where the US is a net exporter and it's even more important and you can watch Bloomberg此时美国是净出口国 更重要的是 你可以看布隆伯格
332Chief Future Officer featuring Chevron CFO Ima Bonner that's tonight at 9 30 eastern time on今晚9点30分东部时间
333Bloomberg television time now for your front page news first up on the Washington Post the彭博电视台的首页新闻 首播于华盛顿邮报
334house narrowly blocked an effort to impeach defense secretary Pete Hegseth Democrats who take over屋里狭窄地堵住了弹劾国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯 接管的民主党人的努力
335Congress in January have said they will seek to use their power to remove Hegseth from office一月份的国会说,他们将试图 利用他们的权力 解除黑格赛的职务
336next up the New York Times reported Treasury Secretary Scott Begley of what this means for接下来纽约时报报道了财政部长斯科特·贝格利(Scott Begley) 这代表着什么
337tech investing how this rubs up against higher inflation and the bond market moves of this week科技投资如何消磨通货膨胀和本周债券市场波动
338more on that shortly this is Bloomberg it's 5 30 a.m in New York City 10 30 a.m here in London很快这里就是彭博社 纽约早上5点30分 伦敦早上10点30分
339good morning everybody I'm Anna Edwards with your Bloomberg Brief let's get you set up for the day早上好,大家好 我是安娜·爱德华兹 与你的彭博简介 让我们为你安排一天
340ahead equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from Core Weave在核心编织的季度结果比预期的要强之后,股票会得到提升
341reviving investor confidence in the AI trade Anthropix bankers said to be considering a higher恢复投资者对AI贸易的信心,据说Anthropix银行家正在考虑提高
342valuation for the firm's blockbuster IPO at one and a half trillion dollars or more and a hot CPI价值1.5万亿美元或更多 和热的消费物价指数
343print ramps up rate hike bets cash treasury markets are closed for Veterans Day after a surge现金市场被关闭 退役军人日
344in yields quick check on the markets then pre-market as we are S&P futures nasdaq futures快速查查市场,然后上市前,因为我们是S&P期货 Nasdaq期货
345both point higher European futures getting a boost from the tech trade and actually threatening to高欧洲期货从技术贸易中 得到提振 并威胁
346close at a record here in Europe meanwhile US futures do point higher those joint tech themes而美国的未来 却将联合技术主题提升到更高的水平
347{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}在Core Weave和Anthropix的周围 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}他们一晚上给大家一些安慰
348we do see a continuation of the higher yield story that was so dominant yesterday after that我们确实看到一个 更高的收益故事的延续 昨天如此主导之后
349higher than expected inflation report let's get some stocks to watch today here's Olivia Lafue比预期的通胀报告还要高, 让我们看看今天的股票,这里是Olivia Lafue
350hi Anna yes every single part of the AI trade is getting a boost today from neoclouds to serverHi Anna 是的 AI交易的每个部分 今天都从新云到服务器都有了增长
351and memory providers to data center industrial players every facet is gaining and that's in和数据中心的内存提供者 工业玩家的每一个方面都在增加
352large part as you mentioned due to the solid set of results that we got from Core Weave they大部分是你们提到的 因为我们从核心编织中获得的坚实结果
353guidance for the year and reported a solid set of third quarter sales both of those prints coming该年的指南,并报告了一套坚固的第三季度销售量,这两种印刷品都来了
354in ahead of wall street estimates and really helping to calm investor nerves about the debt帮助投资者平息债务
355laden business that Core Weave is currently running speaking to investors today they're今天Core Weave正在跟投资者谈话
356pointing out the fact that short interest in Core Weave was quite high and also the fact that指出对核心编织的短暂兴趣相当高,并且指出
357it's just this is just relief we're seeing relief across the board from investors today只是今天投资者的解脱
358another sector of the or sect of the AI trade that's strong today is photonic stocks momentum人工智能贸易的另一部分或部分 今天很活跃 是光子股票的势头
359they're continuing from yesterday we had strong results from Japanese peer Hamamatsu regarding从昨天开始 我们从日本同行Hamamatsu的 强烈结果
360a strong demand continuing for photonics with regards to data centers so you're seeing coherent对数据中心的光子学需求很大,所以你可以看到一致性
361and momentum strong off the back of that one stock that's not happy today contrary to its name bright和强大的动力 从一个股票的背面 今天不高兴 与它的名字亮
362view their fourth quarter results were disappointing and their guidance also underwhelmed investors认为他们的第四季度结果令人失望,他们的指导也使投资者感到沮丧。
363stock is down 17 percent so perhaps underwhelm is a bit of an under exaggeration there they seem to股票跌了17% 所以也许下沉 有点夸张了
364be very very disappointed with the results yeah bit of an understatement not such a bright view对结果非常失望 有点小题大作 不太清楚
365Olivia thank you very much Olivia the view with the latest on the stocks we're watching this morningOlivia 非常感谢你 Olivia 今天早上看的股票最新风景
366now a tech rally is lifting stocks higher as Olivia was pointing out following strong quarterly现在科技集会正在提高股票水平 就像Olivia指出的
367results from both Core Weave and Open AI so that's the backstory feeling better about technologyCore Weave和Open AI的结果, 使得对技术的背面感觉更好
368this morning let's bring into the conversation then Olaolu Agango who is head of portfolio今天早上,我们把奥拉奥卢·阿甘戈带到对话中来 谁是组合的负责人
369and analytics at City very nice to have you with us Olaolu your thoughts then on AI post the midterms和在城市的分析 很高兴你和我们在一起 奥劳鲁,然后你的想法 在AI 张贴的中期。
370but in the context of all the volatility we've seen in markets a sell-off following but followed但从市场波动的角度来看 市场有售卖行为
371{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}你和你在人工智能投资上的期望是什么 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}你应该知道
372well thank you so much for having me I mean we say elections create volatility but really is非常感谢你邀请我 我们说选举会造成动荡 但真的
373the fundamentals that drives long-term results and the volatility last week you know we can't推动长期成果的基本因素 以及上周的波动
374underscore it in the data that we look at we're looking at the VIX going back to 1990 and it was在数据中强调,我们正在研究 VIX 追溯到1990年
375the third highest one day percentage change in the VIX so like that puts it in context there's a lotVIX中第三高的一天百分比变化 这样就使它在上下文中有很多
376of volatility but if we go back to earnings again long-term fundamentals is driven you know by by不稳定,但如果我们回去 收入再次 长期的基本原理驱动 通过
377earnings we're 80 percent of the way through more than 80 percent of the way through we are seeing收入占我们80%的路 通过超过80%的路 通过我们看到
37830 percent year-over-year earnings growth for what has been reported thus far recent earnings迄今报告的近年收入增长30%
379included it's been outstanding is the third consecutive quarter of over 25 percent year-over-year包括它一直未完成 是连续第三季度 超过25%的一年
380earnings growth it is the eighth consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings growth so where收入增长是两位数收入增长的连续第八季度。
381does that put us just with you know valuations overall for the S&P it's about 18 times it's not这是否意味着我们只是 与你知道 总体的估价 对S&P 它大约18倍
382expensive it's the lowest it's been in roughly three years so we like the market here we continue价格是三年来最低的 所以我们喜欢这里的市场
383like the market here last week it was market trying to predict policy and and it's a hard就像上周这里的市场一样 市场试图预测政策 很难
384game to predict okay so PEs make things look attractive valuations are attractive then游戏可以预测,所以PEs 使事物看起来有吸引力的估价是具有吸引力的
385you say I mean some any skeptics some skeptics point to the earnings side of that PE and say你说我是指某些怀疑者 某些怀疑者指的就是PE的收入
386we're just not quite so confident in that as we used to be and maybe analysts haven't caught up我们只是不太有信心 像我们过去一样 也许分析师没有赶上
387with the political developments that we now anticipate in 2027 post the midterms a slower随着我们目前预计的2027年中期政治发展放缓,
388rollout of data centers essentially if we do see that slowing down does that undermine the数据中心的推出,基本上如果我们看到减速会损害到
389earnings story or not materially so yes elections happened last week regardless of the party that不管有没有收入 所以上星期有选举
390are empowered there are a couple of things that you know you really can't change I'll talk about有几件事情是不能改变的 我会说
391deficits in a second but AI is one I was joking with with some of the other day you can't put有一秒钟的赤字,但AI是之一 我开玩笑与一些前天 你不能说
392the genie back in the bottle they are between 3 000 and 5 000 call of data centers in the US在瓶子里的精灵 在美国有3000到5000个数据中心
393you can't have AI without data centers those 3 000 and 5 000 are operating data centers and你不能有AI 没有数据中心 那3000和5000是运行数据中心
394they're an equal amount they're in different stages of planning now yes we have an election他们的金额是相等的 他们处于不同的计划阶段 现在有选举
395there are government officials there are some states that are reluctant or hesitant around有政府官员 有一些州 不愿意或犹豫不决
396the development of data centers but there are also some some some government officials in states数据中心的发展,但各州也有一些政府官员。
397that are very pro data centers at the end of the day it is a state by state legislation if there数据中心在一天结束时是州立法规定的
398is apprehension or pushback and once that you just go to another state and you build you know害怕或退缩 一旦你去了另一个州 你就会建起来
399there are also jokes they can build in space but regardless of which you still need cyber security还有一些笑话,他们可以在太空制造,但不管你还需要什么网络安全
400so that's a big component of AI you still need critical minerals you need copper you need steel所以这是人工智能的一大部分 你仍然需要关键的矿物 你需要铜 你需要钢铁
401you need aluminum you need a number of other things that are persistent regardless of the你需要铝,你需要一些其他的 持久的东西,无论
402election and the you know quote-unquote slowdown for us in our portfolios we're overweight cyber在选举和你知道的引文 - 引文 减速 在我们的组合 我们超重的网络
403security we're overweight some of those critical metals that you need in order to construct data安全,我们超重一些 关键金属,你需要 构建数据
404你期待AI capex的减速
405and if so is that going to be what we want allowed because i wasn't sure through the last earnings如果是这样,那就是我们想要允许的 因为我不确定通过最后的收入
406season whether as an investor community we were comforted by high capex or slightly disturbed by无论我们作为投资人 是否被高额的暴风雨 或稍有不安
407so there there are two components right so the capex is necessary in the early stages of any因此,有两部分是正确的,所以顶盖在早期是必需的。
408innovation we expect that to slow at some point it's not it's not concerning for us one company's创新,我们期望在某个时候减慢 与我们公司无关
409capex is another company's revenue and that's again just the initial part but if you think ofCapex是另一家公司的收入,这还是最初的部分,但如果你想到
410the life cycle of this innovative technology that we have we're just in the early innings of it so我们掌握的这种创新技术的生命周期 才刚刚开始
411we're talking about the hyperscalers we're talking about data centers yes but arguably we have not我们谈论的超规模的,我们谈论的数据中心 是的,但可以说我们没有
412seen the productivity gains yet for the vast majority of companies with regards to AI and that在大赦国际方面,绝大多数公司都取得了生产率的提高。
413in and of itself is an additional boost so whilst yes capex we do expect to slow it at some point这本身就是一种额外的刺激,所以,虽然是顶峰,我们确实期望在某个时候减缓它。
414with this earlier or later franklin is not really the key driver the key driver is once theFranklin不是关键司机 关键司机曾经是
415infrastructure is in place the productivity gains and benefits that we expect to see for the broader基础设施已经到位,我们期望在更大范围内看到生产率的提高和效益。
416corporate universe is still expected to be able to drive long-term earnings and grow okay and that公司宇宙仍然有望推动长期收入并增长,
417might have an impact on inflation talking of inflation that data taking some in the market可能会对通货膨胀产生影响 说通货膨胀, 数据带一些在市场上
418by surprise moving the bond market substantially particularly at the short end let's just have a特别在短短的一端 我们来一个
419listen to how austin gulsby of the chicago fed of course how he captured captured the mood around听听芝加哥的奥斯汀·古斯比 如何捕捉周围的情绪
420that cpi print it's another distressing report borderline disturbing so we we've got a real那CPI的指纹是另一个令人困扰的报告 边界线干扰 所以我们有真实的
421inflation issue on our hands that has been developing and and we're going to have to deal我们手上的通货膨胀问题 一直在发展,我们不得不处理
422with that borderline disturbing for gulsby allow how did it impact your thinking around fixed income对Gulsby来说 边界线的干扰 允许它如何影响你对固定收入的思考
423i mean are you factoring in a higher inflation for longer environment not just on the back of我的意思是,你考虑 较高的通货膨胀 对于更长的环境 不只是背面
424yesterday's print but more broadly thinking about u.s inflation so so i will say our our昨天的印刷品,但更广义的 思考你的通货膨胀 所以我要说我们
425view and i think we have a fairly non-consensus view our view is that inflation will run hotter我们的观点是通货膨胀会更热
426than consensus is thinking and that really by not hiking at the last foc meeting that the fed而不是共识是思考, 而实际上,不徒步 在最后一次foc会议,
427is setting themselves up to be behind the curve cpi print yesterday came in higher now you know昨天的cpi打印值上升了 你知道
428month over month type of readings can be volatile but the share of cpi components that are rising at每月的读数类型可能不稳定,但cpi组件的比例在上升。
4295%或更快的跳跃到56% 在october 它从44 在September 所以october份额
430is the highest since 2022 so yes we do think inflation is a concern now with regards to是2022年以来最高的 所以是的 我们确实认为 通货膨胀是现在
431fixed income we've been saying this for some time the the fed and the fed chair have made固定收入 我们已经说了一段时间了 联邦和联邦的椅子已经做了
432it very very clear that price stability and bringing in inflation is a number one priority价格稳定和通货膨胀是头等大事
433for them and we're not there yet as a result of that you couple where we are with inflation the对他们来说,我们还没到那里,因为你们和通货膨胀在一起
434signaling or you know they don't do signaling but they've been very overt with regards to that信号,或你知道他们不做信号, 但他们一直非常公开
435we expect rates to go higher as a result of that earlier in the year and actually recently as well由于今年早些时候,以及最近,我们预计费率会提高。
436we've adjusted our duration position so we moved from our our mid and trend our mid and longer我们调整了工期位置 所以我们从我们的中点和趋势
437term duration and we're in shorter duration fixed income instruments why because we wanted to be我们的固定收入工具 是因为我们想成为
438able to to try and insulate ourselves somewhat from the the moves that we're expecting in the能够尝试和隔绝 我们期待的动作
439and add it to gold other areas that can increase the balance in并添加到金色的其他地区,增加平衡
440portfolios because with regards to fixed income we do believe is going to be challenging continues因为在固定收入方面,我们确实相信,将继续面临挑战。
441to be volatile alalu thank you very much alalu aganga thank you for your time from city good to感谢你们从城市到城市的时间
442get your perspective on the program now to other top stories that are trending on the blueberg将你对节目的看法 转到蓝贝格上流传的其他顶尖故事
443terminal this morning iran says it will not remove a single atom of enriched nuclear material from今早Iran说它不会从 浓缩核材料中移除一个原子
444the country in an interview with the pan arab tv network al mayadeed iran supreme national security在接受泛阿拉伯电视网的采访时,
445council secretary said iran has informed russia that its enriched material will remain in the政务院秘书说,伊兰已经通知俄罗斯,其浓缩材料将留在
446country for domestic use he said the material is required to design nuclear-powered ships他说,这些材料是设计核动力船舶所需的。
447and submarines prices of baby food and formula in the united states surged by the most on record美国婴儿食品和配方的低价涨幅创纪录最高
448in october rising by about five percent a combination of factors are likely contributing综合各种因素可能促成
449to the increase in formula prices including higher costs for ingredients and transportation包括增加成份和运输费用
450inflation byd has apologized after some of its great tang electric suvs were assembled通货膨胀 byd 已经道歉 在它的一些伟大的 尖端电动软体组装
451with their front and rear wheel rims reversed the automaker traced the mistake to a supplier汽车制造商把错误追踪到供应商身上
452and says the affected vehicles are safe to drive byd is offering replacement并说受影响的车辆是安全的驾驶 字节是提供替换
453rims and restarting the warranty period coming up on the program a bumpy relation轮回和重开 保修期 即将到来 程序
454the u.s ambassador to china calls for diligence when dealing to the invidia affair more on that驻中国大使呼吁在应对印度事件时注意
455next this is going back we are establishing a direct channel to ensure that either nation我们正建立一个直接的渠道 确保任何国家
456can promptly alert the other to serious incidents involving its si models as si advances so will能够迅速提醒对方注意 涉及Si模型的严重事件 随着Si的推进
457the need to engage in new areas of risk management and to demonstrate how our two great nations can需要参与风险管理的新领域,并展示我们两个伟大国家如何能够
458reconcile the demands of competition with the responsibilities of leadership that was treasury调和竞争要求与财政部门的领导责任
459secretary scott besson hailing an improvement in u.s china engagement at an event in new yorkScott Besson秘书 欢呼纽约的一场赛事 中中国人参与的改善
460meanwhile u.s ambassador to china david purdue stayed more cautious he spoke exclusively to与此同时,驻中国大使达维德·普尔杜德(英语:David Purdue)则保持了更加谨慎的态度,他只和他交谈过
461bloomberg steven engel i think the situation with invidia is another reminder that we have to stay布兰博格史蒂芬·恩格尔 我觉得Invidia的情况 又一次提醒我们必须留下
462diligent national security is part of this economic conversation because economic security is national勤奋的国家安全是经济对话的一部分 因为经济安全是国家的
463and so what we're doing with china is bumpy right now we have some areas of disagreement but we have因此,我们正在做的瓷器是颠簸 现在,我们有一些 分歧的领域,但我们有
464现在从Washton Mika Solener 从开花伯格政府的 rika 好加入我们
465get your perspective thanks for taking us through this story and and a number of others let's start来听听你的观点 谢谢你带我们看这个故事 还有其他几个 让我们开始吧
466with this then u.s china relations and it's interesting the language coming from the u.s与这时的u.s瓷关系 和有趣的语言来自u.
467envoy to china relations are bumpy after the invidia affair at another time you might imagine that来中国关系的特使 在另一个时候的Invidia事件之后 变得很颠簸
468what we've seen from invidia and the scandal around that alleged spy that might have resulted我们从Invidia那里看到的一切 以及那个间谍的丑闻
469in a lot more outspoken language from capitol hill do you get the sense that the republicans你是否觉得共和党
470or the leadership are just trying to play this down because we're approaching this important或领导只是试图 发挥这一点 因为我们正在接近这个重要
471meeting yeah i mean i i would say that the response at least from both the white house我想说至少两个白宫都有反应
472and the overall administration has been pretty tame so far in light of these allegations根据这些指控,迄今为止,整个行政当局相当温和。
473with jensen huang i know that the president has said has addressed the issue on the heels of我知道总统说过 这个问题在紧接着
474his meeting next week in china but i do think that this is going to create a lot of tension as他下周在中国的会面 但我确实认为 这会造成很多紧张
475we just heard uh you know the david purdue say um and i i do think that this could potentially我们刚刚听到 呃... 你知道达维德·普杜德说...
476bleed into that meeting when it comes to those national security issues we have to i have to在那个会议上流血了 当涉及到国家安全问题时... ...我们必须...
477remind our audience that the president has become extremely close with jensen huang提醒我们的观众, 总统已经变得非常接近 詹森・洪
478um in the as he kind of continues this ai race with the between the u.s and china and on another嗯,在那种他 继续这个AI比赛 与U.s和瓷器之间 和另一个
479subject but obviously in washington house republicans have been trying to impeach但显然在沃顿房子里 共和党人一直试图弹劾
480pete hexes or at least a number have but others have stood in the way of that effort when thingsPeter Hexes或至少几个人有 但其他人却阻止了这项努力
481change in january that might lead to a different outcome what what have we learned from this process我们从这一进程中学到了什么?
482yeah definitely i mean i think it still shows that a lot of republicans are really hesitant to break肯定的,我的意思是,我认为它仍然显示 很多共和党人 真的犹豫打破
483with president trump and the administration in any way i spoke with more than a dozen house我和十几间房子谈过
484republicans yesterday both about the impeachment vote and just the overall outcome of the midterms昨天的共和党 既关于弹劾投票 也只是中期结果
485how they're feeling about president trump if they blame him at all for the stinging losses他们怎么看总统胜诉 如果他们把刺痛的损失归咎于他
486that republicans faced both in the house and senate and in those surprise races and a lot共和党在众议院和参议院 以及那些突袭赛和很多
487of them are really reluctant to place any blame on the president which i think still shows that他们真的不愿意把任何责任 归咎于总统 我认为仍然显示
488this administration has a stronghold especially in this lame duck period heading into december这个政府有一个据点, 特别是在这个烂鸭子时期, 朝十月。
489uh where republicans are really going to try and pass the last of the president's agenda it's they共和党人真正想要通过 总统的最后议程 是他们
490see it as their last opportunity to get everything they can before this total democratic takeover认为这是他们最后的机会 得到一切他们能 在此之前,彻底民主接管
491but you're absolutely right that we may see this come again as well as potential other impeachments但你绝对是对的,我们可能会看到这个又来了 以及潜在的其他弹劾
492a next congress which have a greater chance of passing right yes that'll be an interesting下届国会 更有机会通过右侧 是的,这将是一个有趣的
493pivot to watch now russia and ukraine they're talking in abu dhabi how are those conversations看着现在的鲁西亚和乌克赖恩 他们用阿布哈比语说话 谈话怎么样
494obviously the u.s is there and leading those talks how are those talks being viewed from washington很明显,你在那里 领导这些会谈 如何看待这些会谈
495yeah i think that there's optimism in washington overall at least in capitol hill and and the是的,我认为在劳顿 总体上是乐观的,至少 在卡皮托山和
496house was very eager and has remained eager to try and progress these peace talks um but i do房子非常渴望 并且一直渴望 尝试并推进这些和谈
497think that there's also a lot of skepticism and this is this war has been ongoing for years now认为也有很多怀疑 这场战争已经持续多年了
498the trump administration and the president have said you know that they would swiftly end this总统说你知道他们会迅速结束这一切
499conflict but it's been a lot more complicated and we're seeing this in a lot of the other global冲突已经复杂得多了 我们在很多其他全球
500conflicts that the president has weighed into extensively and even created including the war包括战争在内的冲突
501iran that these are a lot more complicated and this will be the the resumption of talks after更复杂的是,这将会是会谈的恢复
502a very long period of that was kind of stalled and heading into kind of this rockier period一段很长的时期 有点停滞 并进入了一段比较美好的时期
503between ukraine and the u.s in particular in light of some comments that were made by u.s officials特别是根据美国官员的一些评论
504regarding russian president Vladimir Putin.关于俄罗斯总统普京
505Mika thanks very much Mika Solna of Bloomberg美嘉非常感谢彭博社的美嘉·索尔娜
506government thank you very much for your time now one stock we're keeping a firm eye on of course政府非常感谢你的时间 现在一个股票,我们正在牢牢监视 当然,
507it's earnings giving a boost to the market with a strong quarter and a rosy forecast let's get the以强劲的四分之一 和优美的预测来刺激市场
508perspective of matt bloxham from Bloomberg intelligence well there you go pre-market up by从布隆伯格的情报界看Matt Bloxham的视角... ...你到市场前...
509nearly 14 percent then matt and this was an epicenter of market concern some weeks ago近14%,然后Matt, 这是几星期前市场关注的中心
510now it seems to be acting as a comfort nasdaq futures up really quite healthily partly on the现在它似乎 是一个舒适的纳斯达克未来 真的很健康 部分在
511back of the guidance we're getting here yeah i mean definitely that the guidance was helpful回到我们这里的指引...
512you know modest upgrade to the full year revenue and profit for me the more interesting uh point你知道,适度升级到全年收入 和利润对我来说更有趣的呃点
513was the commentary around the sources of funding in the near term we'll see one of the problems近期内我们将会看到一个问题。
514with core we recently has been that big spike in in yields because of the question marks about how我们最近产量猛增 因为有问题
515{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}他们可以资助这次大规模推广 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}至少下一个是现金流负数公司 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}他们可以资助这次大规模推广
516three or four years according to consensus and that the ceo said that they're going to get about根据共识,3年或4年 和Ceo说,他们要去
517nine billion dollars of prepayment funding from their customers and that they've got a delayed他们的客户预付了90亿美元 并且他们延迟了
518down investment grade facility in the pipes too so i we don't need to go and tap expensive debt也降低水管的投资等级设施,所以我们不需要去抢走昂贵的债务
519to keep funding the business in their term and i for me that's like being a very important signal继续资助他们的生意 对我来说 这就像一个非常重要的信号
520for the company to give because this company isn't typical so we get comfort from the top line demand公司给予,因为这个公司不是典型的 所以我们得到了舒适 从顶级的需求
521forecasts maybe but they're not typical in terms of the debt story are they no they're not it's预测也许,但从债务故事来看,它们不是典型的,不是
522quite a complicated um debt structure and you know some of the unsecured debt you know spiked相当复杂的债务结构 你知道一些无担保债务 你知道猛增
523as much as 15 percent yields recently uh because there are these question marks about you know the最近有15%的产量 因为有关于你的问题
524kind of mismatch between revenue and profit growth but the amount of capital investment they're收入和利润增长不匹配 但资本投资的金额
525making near terms you know tens of billions dollars of cash outflow and how do you continue使你几乎知道数百亿美元的现金流出 以及你如何继续
526to fund that and you know what's the trajectory towards cash flow break even what about anthropic来资助它,你知道什么是轨迹 现金流断,甚至人类。
527then onto anthropic also getting some comfort there are we from this talk certainly in other然后进入人类生活 也得到一些安慰... ...
528media about just how high the valuation could go here not as high as some of the really elevated媒体说这里的估值可能比一些真正的高
529levels we've previously seen but talk us through these latest yeah i mean it's been a bit of a我们以前见过的水平,但谈谈我们 通过这些最新 是的,我的意思是,它已经有点
530journey for them in the last few weeks hasn't that um i you know also that the news today that maybe他们过去几周的旅程不是... ...嗯...
531the bankers are looking to push the valuation up towards 1.5 trillion you're still a long way银行家们想把估值推到1.5万亿 你还有很长的路要走
532{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}简言之 人们谈论的两万亿 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}但比他们想的要好得多
5331.2 to 1.3 that the kind of essentially the baseline if you like it of the of the ipo1.2到1.3 那种基本上属于基线的,如果你喜欢的话
534it's really down to the manor team to kind of go and see investors give a very convincing pitch它真的下到庄园团队 那种去 看到投资者给出一个非常令人信服的投注
535about the fundamentals the size of the addressable market their sustainable profitability path you关于基本 大小的可解决市场 他们的可持续盈利路径 您
536know the moat they've got around the business that's really what's going to you know test知道他们有护城河 周围的生意, 这真的是什么,你知道测试
537investors appetite and i guess they're probably keeping their fingers crossed that we get through投资人的胃口,我想他们可能 保持他们的手指交叉
538a week without too many more or any more unexpected negative bits of news around the border industry一周没有太多或更多意外的负面新闻
539yes and perhaps they'll be pleased with some of the positive news we've had out from是的,也许他们会很高兴 我们从一些积极的消息
540even open ai so some comfort perhaps on the ability to monetize the business is that what甚至开放AI 所以一些安慰 也许对货币化 业务的能力是,
541we should read into the revenue numbers there yeah i think this is so open ai came out where我们应该读一下那里的收入数字 我觉得这里很开放
542we reportedly told investors that q3 revenue was about 10 billion about 50 up sequentially据报道,我们告诉投资者 q3的收入大约100亿左右 连续50个
543very similar growth trajectory to what we heard from anthropic now with the anthropics q3 number和我们从人类学中听到的 人类学的q3 数字相似
544was a lot bigger 17 billion dollars what it showed you was open ai it has pivoted into the170亿美元 显示你开着的Ai,它潜入
545enterprise ai opportunity that anthropics really focused on that you know it suggests there's人类学真正关注的机会 你知道这说明
546plenty of demand there they're also kind of improving their kind of profitability trajectory那里的需求量很大 他们也正在改善他们的利润轨迹
547too so yeah it's a positive data point i think it should in theory at least be a big enough market是的,这是一个积极的数据点 我认为在理论上至少应该是一个足够大的市场
548plenty big enough market for both of these companies to grow substantially from where they这些公司的市场足够大,可以从那里大幅度增长
549are today matt thank you very much matt block some from bloomberg intelligence with all those tech今天是Matt 非常感谢你 Matt 和所有那些技术一起 阻止一些来自盛大的智力
550themes coming up your day ahead that's next this is bloomberg welcome back to the brief now we'll接下来是盛盛的盛会 欢迎回到简报中
551look at what is ahead for today a host of fed speak including hammock bar daily and schmidt看看今天要做什么 包括吊床酒吧和鸡尾酒
552throughout the day we get that commentary coming from those fed speakers opec will be out with一天之内,我们得到的评论 从那些提供消息的演讲者 opec将会与
553its monthly oil report that's later this morning and the cash treasury market is closed of course今早的月度石油报告 当然 国库现金市场已经关闭了
554in observance of veterans day certainly wasn't closed yesterday more on that in just a moment在纪念老兵的日子里,昨天当然没有关闭了,就在一瞬间
555let's have a look at some of these macro movers for you and in fact thinking about yesterday让我们来看看一些这些 宏观的推动者 给你,事实上思考一下昨天
556and the big moves that we saw higher in yield certainly at the two-year horizon also at the以及我们所看到产量较高的大步 肯定在两年内
557year went over five percent on five on 10-year yields at one point well we see a continuation一年每10年的产量超过5%, 一次不错,我们看到继续
558of that trajectory and wednesday's futures picture waiting for cash trade tomorrow the broader那轨迹和周二的期货图 等着明天进行现金交易
559futures picture for equities looks pretty positive we're up by 1.9 on nasdaq futures thinking about股票的期货图看起来很正面 我们比纳斯达克期货的1.9
560where we go on the core we've story and profit all of that offering a little bit of comfort在那里,我们去核心 我们的故事和利润 所有提供一点点的舒适
561{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}看一看我们商品的价位 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}现在
562little bit higher gold prices move a little bit higher and brent and wti of course focused on一点点高的黄金价格移动 一点点高, Brent和wti当然专注于
563in the middle east the iranians taking a tough line on enrichment of uranium the gold price is在中东部,伊朗人对铀浓缩采取强硬路线 黄金价格是
564perhaps more focused on cpi and the trajectory for fed interest rates that is it for bloomberg也许更注重cpi 和喂养利率的轨迹 也就是开花伯格的利率
565brief surveillance is ahead this is bloomberg短暂的监视即将到来 这片开阔的山庄
该视频共有字幕 565 条。解锁更多字幕为会员功能,请移动到 价格

P3 · 【中英字幕】彭博财经简报26.11.11 p03 【无字&原声】 (P3)

字幕摘录

时间英文中文
0:14It's 5 a.m. in New York City, 10 a.m. here in London.现在是纽约早上5点 伦敦早上10点
0:17Good morning, everybody.早上好,大家好,谢谢
0:18I'm Anna我是安娜,我叫安纳
0:18Edwards with your Bloomberg Brief.爱德华兹与你的彭博简介。
0:20Let's get you set up for the day ahead.令诸众生安住前天.
0:22Equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from CoreWeave, reviving在核心网络的季度结果比预期的要强之后,股票得到增殖,恢复活力
0:27investor confidence in the AI trade.投资者对AI贸易的信心.
0:30Andropix Bankers说正在考虑提高估价
0:33for the firm's blockbuster IPO at $1.5 trillion or more.以1.5万亿或更多美元的价格 买下公司的IPO
0:38And a hot CPI print ramps up rate热的CPI打印率上升了
展开字幕全文(565 条)
序号英文中文
1It's 5 a.m. in New York City, 10 a.m. here in London.现在是纽约早上5点 伦敦早上10点
2Good morning, everybody.早上好,大家好,谢谢
3I'm Anna我是安娜,我叫安纳
4Edwards with your Bloomberg Brief.爱德华兹与你的彭博简介。
5Let's get you set up for the day ahead.令诸众生安住前天.
6Equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from CoreWeave, reviving在核心网络的季度结果比预期的要强之后,股票得到增殖,恢复活力
7investor confidence in the AI trade.投资者对AI贸易的信心.
8Andropix Bankers说正在考虑提高估价
9for the firm's blockbuster IPO at $1.5 trillion or more.以1.5万亿或更多美元的价格 买下公司的IPO
10And a hot CPI print ramps up rate热的CPI打印率上升了
11Mike Betts.麦克贝茨。
12Cash treasury markets are closed for Veterans Day after a surge in yields.现金库市场在收益激增后关闭,用于退伍军人日。
13Let's get a check on the markets then around the world.让我们检查一下市场 然后在世界各地。
14Here's Winnie Hsu in Hong Kong香港的荣氏
15for the latest on the Asia trade.最近关于亚洲贸易的情况。
16Winnie.荣曰.
17Yeah, good morning, Anna.是的,早上好,安娜,你好吗?
18Well, as you mentioned,嗯,如你所说,
19we are seeing pretty positive sentiment in Asia today and actually Asian stocks rising我们今天在亚洲看到相当积极的情绪 和实际上亚洲的股票上升
20for a third day, headed for its best three days gains since August.进入8月份以来最好的三天
21Now, as you mentioned,现在,正如你提到的,
22we have the better than expected results from CoreWeave that really reassured investors我们的CoreWeave结果比预期的要好 能让投资者放心
23that the AI computing demand is still very strong.AI计算需求仍然非常强烈.
24还有 FT报道说 Andropix
25Bankers are considering a raising IPO valuation for the company.银行家们正在考虑提高公司IPO的估值。
26So that together you are所以你们在一起
27seeing tech stocks in Asia leading gain index here up by about 3.6 percent, also being lifted亚洲的科技存量领先增长指数 上升了3.6% 也正在被取消
28by the gains that we saw in TSMC.由我们在TSMC中看到的成果。
29Of course, we did have that 60 percent jump in revenue当然,我们确实有 60%的收入跳跃
30for October.为十月.
31And plus the company saying that it is investing 500 million dollars each in再加上公司说 投资5亿美金
32Andropix and OpenAI.安德罗皮克斯和OpenAI.
33Now, Flipboard and take a look at the bond space because we are seeing现在,翻板,看看 债券空间,因为我们看到
34the impact from that, hotter than expected US CPI numbers raising the expectation for因此,美国消费物价指数的热度比预期的要高。
35the Fed to tighten more aggressively.美联储要更加严厉
36That is why you are seeing Japan's 10 year and这就是为什么你看到 日本的十年和
37five year here higher by about nine basis points for the yields.五年的产量比这高9个基点
38And we are also seeing我们还看到
39a bit of a weakness in the Japanese yen, in fact, weakening to its weakest level in more日元的一点弱点 事实上 更弱到最弱
40than a month after we saw a bit of a strength when it comes to the US dollar.一个多月后,我们看到美元有一点强劲。
41Winnie, thanks very much.荣,非常感谢。
42Winnie Sue with a look at Asia.荣瑞苏一览亚洲.
43Now on to Europe.现在进入欧洲。
44This is这是
45a picture, a snapshot really of what we are seeing here in the European session.一个图片,一个真实的快照 我们在这里看到的欧洲会议。
46The stock库存
47600 up three tenths of one percent catching up with the US, a strong earnings story to600倍的十分之三 赶上美国, 一个强大的收入故事
48sell.卖掉。
49And some people pointing to the European equity markets as being a bit of a haven away有些人指向欧洲的股权市场 像是个避风港
50from turmoil in US tech.美国科技的动荡
51European tech actually benefiting today up by 1.8 percent and keeping欧洲技术今天实际受益1.8%,
52an eye on what's going on in fixed income of all sorts.观察各种固定收入的情况。
53No cash trading in the Treasury财务处没有现金交易
54market in the United States.美国市场。
55But yesterday we saw Treasuries and European bond markets但昨天我们看到了 国库和欧洲债券市场
56really roiled by that much higher.被这么高的地盘搅了
57Well, the higher print than expected on CPI and what那么,高于预期的 消费物价指数和什么
58that did to yield.这确实使自己屈服了。
59So we continue to watch where yields are moving.因此,我们继续观察产量在移动。
60With that in mind,考虑到这一点,
61we've got US two year futures on the board for you as we continue to track the fallout继续追踪后遗症 我们为你准备了两年的未来
62from that CPI print and the hawkish commentary from the Fed and the reassessments of Fed对美联储的重新评估
63rate hike bets that we've seen as a result.速率上涨的赌注,我们已经看到的结果。
64NASDAQ futures up by 1.7 percent, S&P futures纳斯达克期货上涨1.7% S&P期货
65up by eight tenths of one percent.上升了百分之八的1%。
66从CoreWeave传来的一些新闻线
67and Anthropic, as we mentioned in our headlines, acting as something of a comfort to the tech正如我们在头条新闻中所提到的 对科技来说是一种安慰
68trade.贸易。
69Let's get some of the stocks we're watching this morning.我们早上看的股票
70这是Olivia LaVue。
71Good morning, Anna.早上好,安娜,你好吗?
72You'd be hard pressed to find a part of the tape both globally and你很难找到 磁带的一部分 全球和
73in US pre-market that isn't dominated right now by the AI trade, particularly though this在美国前市场, 现在不是由AI贸易主导, 尤其是这个
74morning we're focusing on CoreWeave.早上我们集中关注核心网络
75They lifted their four-year guidance and beat on他们解除了四年的指引 继续前进
76third quarter revenue.第三季度收入。
77Both of those metrics coming in handily ahead actually of Wall Street这两条标准都巧妙地领先于华尔街
78expectations helping to calm investor nerves over CoreWeave's debt-laden businesses and帮助投资者平息CoreWeave债务累累的企业和
79in general the challenges facing the data center industry.一般而言,数据中心行业面临的挑战。
80That's lifting AI stocks这就是解除AI股票
81across the board.包罗万象。
82Another area that we're focused on though is the AI photonics complex.我们关注的另一个领域是AI光子复合体.
83Coherence and Lumentum are both higher in pre-market trading after Japanese peer Hamamatsu在日本同行哈马松之后, 市场前交易的一致性和意义都更高
84Photonics was up almost 15 percent, showing that photonics demand is still incredibly光子素上升了近15% 显示光子素的需求仍然惊人
85strong.强壮。
86It's a key component in data centers.这是数据中心的关键组件。
87Finally, we have results from Alcon.最后,我们得到了阿尔康的结果。
88They're他们是
89down in Europe and they're down in pre-market US trading after disappointing third quarter在欧洲,他们倒下 在市场前的美国贸易 令人失望的第三季度
90results that were led by a weakness in their implantables business.由植入物业务的弱点所带动的结果。
91Olivia 非常感谢你
92Olivia Levue和你的前市场推销员
93Coming up this来了
94hour we will get into conversation about the tech trade with Olaolu Ogongu who joins us一小时后,我们开始讨论 与奥拉奥卢·奥贡古的技术交易
95from Citi joining us to talk about the AI rally and how that rubs up against moves in从花旗加入我们 谈论AI集会 和如何抹黑 移动英寸
96bond markets.债券市场。
97Let's get back to the CoreWeave story though talking of AI.让我们回到CoreWeave的故事,尽管谈论AI.
98Shares are extending股份正在扩展
99gains after posting strong results and an upbeat forecast with the CEO Michael Intrator与首席执行官迈克尔·Intrator一起公布强有力的成果并作出乐观的预测
100calling it a breakout quarter for the firm.给律所打个突破区
101我们把Tom McKenzie带进来,主播
102opening trade here in London, with me of course and here to tell us all the things we need在伦敦开设贸易, 当然,我在这里 告诉我们我们需要的一切
103to know about the tech trade.了解技术交易。
104先从CoreWeave开始.
105What was comforting about what Core何谓安慰什么核心
106Weave had to say?编织必须说?
107你可以从CEOMichael Intrator那里 得到解脱
108of course of this company, on the back of earnings and the upgrade to the forecast.当然,这家公司, 在收入的背面 和升级到预测。
109So they're now forecasting $13.3 billion in revenue for the full year.所以他们现在预测全年收入133亿美元.
110So that was a significant所以这很重要
111beat.节拍。
112Losses for the company have narrowed so that's significant and they have this chunky公司的损失已经缩小了 所以这是重大的, 他们有这个巨大的
113backlog of about $132 billion, above $132 billion in terms of orders that they now need to execute积压约1 320亿美元,超过1 320亿美元,目前需要执行
114on.继续
115So on all those metrics this is very positive for a company that's come under increased因此,在所有这些衡量标准上 这非常正面 对于一个公司,它已经得到了增加
116scrutiny of course around its business model and how viable it is because they have to borrow当然要围绕其商业模式加以审查,并检查其可行性,因为它们必须借款;
117at high rates to build out the infrastructure, to build out the data sensors and buy the chips that高收费建造基础设施 建造数据传感器 购买芯片
118they then lease on to the likes of Microsoft and OpenAI.然后租借给微软公司和OpenAI公司
119So a beat on that terms.这么说吧
120This isn't这不是
121completely out of the woods for CoreWeave.完全走出森林为科雷织。
122They still have net debt of about $62 billion他们还有620亿美元的债务
123but certainly it's a tick in the box and they need to continue performing in these quarters但他们肯定在盒子里 需要继续表演
124to really assuage the concerns but the market or at least the stock has cooled higher this morning.真正缓解关注 但市场或至少 股票已经降温 今天上午。
125Yeah even if we still have questions and concerns about the role of Nvidia right now it seems that是啊,即使我们还有问题和担心 关于Nvidia的角色现在,似乎
126the narrative out of CoreWeave is at least a positive one in the short term.CoreWeave的叙述在短期内至少是正面的。
127What else have还有什么?
128we got in the mix then?我们混进去了?
129Anthropic and the conversations there about the, well we know安东尼和那里的对话 我们知道
130a bit more about the timing don't we it seems, about this IPO, the planned timing at least and更多关于时机,我们不 它看起来,关于这个IPO, 计划的时间至少和
131planned valuations.计划估值。
132What are the reports like around just how high or low the valuation might报告是什么样子的 只是估价有多高或低
133go here?来这里?
134The reports suggest there is huge demand for Anthropics IPOs.报告表明对人类学IPO的需求巨大.
135The Financial Times front金融时报前线
136page today they're looking at a valuation potentially of more than one and a half,今天他们正在研究一个超过1.5的估价
137more than one and a half trillion dollars.超过1.5万亿美元。
138Now that would make it the biggest IPO ever on record.这将是有史以来最大的IPO记录。
139They had set a pricing yesterday in the update to the S1, the SEC, the Securities Exchange Commission他们昨天在S1的更新中 设定了定价 证监会 证券交易委员会
140of between 70 to 78 dollars per share.每股70至78美元之间。
141It seems they now may increase that pricing which is看来他们现在可能会增加价格,也就是
142unusual given the demand they've seen.他们看到的要求不同寻常
143And in terms of the forward picture, look this is still从前景来看,看这还是
144a company that is projecting into the 2030s commitments of around 900 billion US dollars2030年代约9 000亿美元的承诺
145but revenues are growing.但收入正在增长。
146The revenue growth is phenomenal, it's nearly 50 percent, it's slowed,收入的增长是惊人的, 将近50%, 它放缓,
147the revenue growth is slowed but from a very very high level.收入增长放缓,但增长幅度非常高。
148It seems right now, and this is the现在看来,这是
149most important takeaway, this IPO will get through.最重要的外卖, 这个IPO会通过。
150Then in the secondaries, how do the public markets然后在二手店里 公共市场怎么样
151then react to that?然后对此作出反应?
152Is there a pot, does it sustain it or do people take cash off the table?有没有大麻,它维持它 或者人们从桌子上拿走现金?
153Yeah we certainly did have one guest on Asia program I think, didn't we, who was... Jack Selby.是啊,我们确实有一个客人 在亚洲的节目 我想,是不是我们,谁是... 杰克・塞尔比。
154Yeah a little bit cautious on what happens when lockups come to an end and that sort of thing.是啊,有点谨慎 当锁 结束和那种事情。
155Open AI,第三季度收入数字通过Open AI增加50%.
156I mean我是说
157telling us a comforting story about monetization and the ability to monetize these models.告诉我们一个令人欣慰的故事 关于货币化 和将这些模型货币化的能力。
158如果你把这些三家企业放在一起 CoreWeave Anthropic 开放AI
159the one clear takeaway for the bulls is the demand continues to be there.对公牛来说唯一明确的外卖是需求还在继续
160Massive demand,巨大的需求,
161massive demand for compute, that's the CoreWeave story with that backlog of 132 billion,大量的需求计算, 这是核心 Weave的故事 与积压的132亿,
162massive demand for the frontier models still for Open AI and Anthropic.对开放AI和Anthropic的前沿模型的大量需求。
163Open AI, as you said,打开AI,正如你说的,
16410 billion US dollars in the most recent quarter in terms of the revenues that came through,从最近一个季度的收入来看,100亿美元,
165on an annualized rate.年薪标准。
166You're looking at revenues now of about 50 billion dollars,你现在看到的是500亿美元的收入,
167annualized revenues for Open AI.公开AI的年收入。
168So they are catching up with Anthropic and they are proving所以他们追上Anthropic 他们证明
169that there is still demand.仍然有需求。
170Now they're still making a loss and the margin is still very much现在他们还在亏本,赔率仍然很高
171in negative territory for Open AI, but those losses have narrowed.但是损失已经缩小了
172Okay Tom, thank you very好吧,汤姆,谢谢你
173much.非常喜欢
174Tom McKenzie of course with the latest on those tech themes.Tom McKenzie当然有这些技术主题的最新消息
175Tech themes rubbing up against技术主题与
176the latest inflation data out of the US.美国最新的通货膨胀数据。
177The latest CPI report came in then hot,最新的消费物价指数报告当时很热
178sending two-year treasury yields soaring by the most in some 19 months.两年的国库收益在大约19个月里猛增最多。
179Chicago Fed President芝加哥联邦主席
180Austin Coolsby weighed in on the report on PBS NewsHour.奥斯汀·柯尔斯比在PBS新闻频道的报道中有所评价.
181Take a listen.来听听
182It's another distressing又是又一个烦恼
183report, borderline disturbing.报告,边界线扰动。
184So we've got a real inflation issue on our hands that has been所以我们手上有真正的通货膨胀问题
185developing and we're going to have to deal with that.正在发展,我们不得不处理。
186Now the cash treasury market is closed today现今金库市场今日关闭
187in the US, but there's movement elsewhere of course and there was plenty of movement in在美国,但有移动 当然其他地方, 有很多移动
188yesterday's session.昨天的会议。
189Ven Ram joins us, Bloomberg's Ven Ram, with some analysis.文・拉姆加入我们,彭博的文・拉姆, 有一些分析。
190So we established所以我们建立了
191over the last 24 hours that stocks like tech and that bond markets once again do not like inflation过去24小时内 科技等股票和债券市场 再次不喜欢通货膨胀
192and that's certainly what we saw at the front end of the US curve.这当然是我们在美国曲线前端看到的。
193How surprised were you by the你有多惊讶
194extent of the move in treasuries and other global bond markets on the back of that inflation print?国库和其他全球债券市场的变动幅度?
195Hi Anna, so I don't think I was surprised at all because you know this was an accident嗨,安娜,所以我不觉得惊讶,因为你知道这是一个意外
196that was waiting to happen.等待着发生
197We have discussed in recent sessions how well the US economy has我们最近几届会议讨论过美国经济如何发展
198been doing, real growth has been above 3% which is above trend and you've got inflation that is一直以来,实际增长 3%以上,高于趋势 通货膨胀是
199running well above 3% and yesterday's inflation was to the upside.而昨天的通货膨胀是好的。
200So the markets have been所以市场已经
201glossing over the fact that you know how far does the Fed have to put up rates here and it looks掩盖了一个事实,你知道 美联储必须多远 将利率在这里,它看起来
202like they have to go a long way because you know even the Fed's own estimate of the real neutral就像他们必须走很长的路 因为你甚至知道美联储自己 对真正的中立者的估计
203rate is 120 basis points now and clearly that's understating it and as Goolsbee said this is速率是120个基点 现在,很明显,这是 低估它,正如Goolsbee说这是
204disturbing and I think that the Fed has got to go more than three times which is what the markets are美联储必须走三次多 那就是市场
205currently pricing in and if the Fed has got to keep raising rates I think that the front end is如果美联储继续提高利率 我认为前端是
206more or less there around 475, 478 which is the spread over the Fed mid-rate is considerable but大约475 478美元 也就是美联储中产率的分布很大
207if you look at the long end that's where I'm really concerned and I think that the 10 year is如果你看长的一端 那才是我真正关心的地方 我认为10年是
208hovering around 5% as we talk but I think that the 10 year and the 30 year yields have really在我们谈话时徘徊在5%左右 但我认为10年和30年的产量
209have much more work to do and I think that the direction of yields is higher from here.还有更多的工作要做,我认为产量的方向从这里更高。
210Yes it's interesting isn't it we got back above 5% didn't we yesterday on the 10 year we closed有意思的是,我们回来的不是5%以上吗 昨天我们关闭了10年
211at 4.99 and obviously no cash trading today.今天没有现金交易
212So what dictates the direction of travel next then接下来旅行的方向是什么?
213Ven?温?
214We saw of course the the fallout from the AI nervousness in the United States post the当然,我们看到了美国AI的紧张情绪 带来的后遗症
215buying and therefore lower yields but that thought process or that trip that investment购买并因此降低收益,但思考过程或投资之旅
216thesis seems to have moved aside.论文似乎已经挪到一边去了。
217Well as there are going to be episodes of volatility in the会有波动
218equity markets you will see tactical rallies in treasuries but I don't think that's the股票市场,你会看到战术集会 在国库,但我不认为这是
219sustainable or the strategic direction of treasuries from here because you know if you're或从这里得到的国库战略方向 因为你知道自己是否
220a nominal bond holder you want to be compensated for inflation that's the point of buying bonds名义债券持有者,您想获得通货膨胀补偿,这是购买债券的要点
221and if you if you're not getting an adequate inflation compensation如果你没有得到足够的通货膨胀补偿
222what is the point of that five nominal coupons because they are going to be eroded by inflation那五张名义优惠券有什么意义,因为它们将被通货膨胀侵蚀
223so I think that the direction of yields at least the long date of the bonds is definitely higher所以我认为,收益方向 至少在债券的漫长日期 绝对更高
224from here and I think that we are not yet in the value zone if you look at the median of the从这里,我认为,我们还没有 在价值区 如果你看看中间值
225inflation adjusted yields on the 10 year treasury is going back in history it's about two and a half10年的通货膨胀调整收益率 在历史上是 大约是2.5年
226percent and I we are not at that level so I think that we have got further to go here.我和我们没有达到这个水平 所以我想我们还有更多的工作要做
227Okay Ben thank you very much thanks for the analysis Bloomberg's还好 本非常感谢你对彭博公司的分析
228Venram from the markets live team now to other top stories that are trending on the Bloomberg来自市场现场的Venram 团队到其他顶级故事 正在流行于彭博会
229terminal this morning Morgan Stanley says global equity hedge funds cut risk at the fastest paceMorgan Stanley说,全球股权对冲基金以最快的速度降低风险
230in more than a decade through the first week of November the retreat came as AI stocks sold off在11月第一个星期的十几年里, 退场是随着AI股票的出售而来的
231following the midterm elections hedge funds returns in the first week of November were在中期选举之后,11月第一个星期的对冲基金收益
232negative across all regions.所有区域的负数。
233美国驻华大使David Perdue指出,
234Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang and an alleged Chinese spy is posing a test to bilateral relations heNvidia首席执行官Jensen Huang和一位中国间谍 正在考验他的双边关系
235says US-China relations are quote bumpy ahead of next week's summit between presidents Trump说中美关系在川普总统下周的峰会前 出现颠簸
236and the Chinese to take place in Shenzhen in China meanwhile treasury secretary Scott Besson和中国人将在深圳举行 同时,财政部秘书斯科特·贝松
237hailed an improvement in US-China engagements ahead of president Trump's visit next week在川普总统下周访问之前,
238he spoke to the national committee on US-China relations.他和中美关系全国委员会谈过了
239We are establishing a direct channel to ensure that either nation can promptly alert the other我们正在建立一个直接渠道,以确保任何国家能够迅速向对方发出警报。
240to serious incidents involving its SI models.涉及其职业分类模型的严重事件。
241As SI advances so will the need to engage in随着职业介绍所的推进,需要参与
242new areas of risk management and to demonstrate how our two great nations can reconcile the新的风险管理领域,并展示我们两个伟大国家如何协调
243demands of competition with the responsibilities of leadership.要求与领导责任竞争。
244Coming up on the program Russia即将上演俄罗斯的节目
245and Ukraine try to negotiate a peace deal more on that next this is Bloomberg.接下来是彭博社,
246This is Bloomberg Brief I'm Anna Edwards live in London.这是彭博简介 我是安娜·爱德华兹住在伦敦
247Ukraine and Russia continue a second day乌克兰和俄罗斯继续第二天
248of US-led peace talks in Abu Dhabi let's get an update with Bloomberg's Greg Sullivan.美国主导的阿布扎比和谈 让我们了解彭博的格雷格·沙利文
249Greg what's格雷格,这是什么?
250the latest then coming from these talks a couple of days in and some of the language seems to be最近从这些谈话中传来的一些语言
251quite positive any substance?相当积极的任何物质?
252Right the second day of talks did kick off today Ukrainian president今天,乌克兰总统的第二天会谈确实开始了
253Volodymyr Zelensky said that issues like de-escalation potential ceasefires over沃洛迪米尔·泽连斯基说,诸如缓和可能停火的问题
254the Black Sea and energy infrastructure could be on the table in today's talks.在今天的会谈中,黑海和能源基础设施可以放在桌面上。
255Coming out of出来了
256yesterday's talks the US and Ukraine cast them as rather constructive and productive.昨天的会谈使美国和乌克兰认为它们具有相当的建设性和建设性。
257Russia was俄罗斯当时
258slightly more reticent an official that was part of the talks said that it's still too early to say稍稍迟钝一点 身为谈判一部分的官员说 现在说还为时过早
259how the negotiations are going.谈判进展如何?
260These are the first negotiations since February when the US这是美国2月份以来的第一次谈判
261shifted its focus to the its war on Iran so now that they're resuming it is an interesting sign现在他们又重新发动了这场战争,
262that there is some momentum and some sides are casting it as constructive but still the fact有一些势头,有些方面认为它具有建设性,但事实仍然是:
263remains that a lot of issues remain on the table and there is quite a chasm between the two sides双方仍然存在着很大的分歧
264leading into these talks on those issues.就这些问题展开会谈。
265Meanwhile the attacks by both sides do seem to continue同时双方的攻击似乎仍在继续
266That's right we saw attacks overnight from both Ukraine and Russia.没错,我们一晚上就看到来自乌克兰和俄罗斯的攻击。
267Ukraine said that乌克兰说,
268energy infrastructure was struck while Russia said that oil infrastructure in Ust-Luga was hit俄罗斯说乌斯图-卢加的石油基础设施受到冲击,
269so they haven't been quite to the same scale that we saw leading up to the attacks.所以他们还没有达到我们所看到的 攻击前的规模
270Both sides双方
271have been escalating their attacks prior to these talks yet clearly it's still ongoing even as在会谈之前,他们的攻击不断升级,但显然仍在进行之中,即使
272Zelensky said that today potential ceasefires over energy could be on the table but again Russia hasZelensky说,今天潜在的能源停火可能摆在桌面上,但俄罗斯再次
273cautioned that it is still too early to say and up until now Russia hasn't backed away from its警告说,现在说起来还为时过早,直到现在,俄罗斯还没有放弃它。
274maximalist demands and has been cautious about any kind of acceptance of a ceasefire actually最大程度的要求,并对实际接受停火的任何形式持谨慎态度
275broadly rejecting the need for a ceasefire as potentially only buying Ukraine time to regroup.普遍反对停火,因为可能只是为乌克兰重新集结争取时间。
276Right and it's interesting so at this meeting we have the U.S. of course bringing these two sides癸 Τ届 硂穦 и讽礛穦Τ瓣 р硂ㄢ娩盿ㄓ
277together Ukraine is there Russia is there not much European presence but there has been some俄国没有多少欧洲存在,
278suggestion that maybe Europe has a part to play here then Greg.说明欧洲也许可以在这里发挥作用 然后是格雷格
279That's right it's actually没错,其实
280interesting yesterday on Tuesday ahead of the talks Ukraine said that they met with昨天在会谈前的星期二,乌克兰说,他们会晤
281their European counterparts who are in Abu Dhabi alongside U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and在阿布扎比的欧洲同行与美国特使Steve Witkoff和
282Jared Kushner.贾里德·库什纳.
283Today the head of the Ukrainian delegation Rustam Umarov said that after the今天,乌克兰代表团团长鲁斯塔姆·乌马罗夫说,
284trilateral talks with Russia and the U.S. Ukraine plans to meet again with their European partners与俄罗斯和美国的三边会谈计划再次与欧洲伙伴会晤
285and then on top of that U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that Europe needs a place at the然后在美国国务卿马可·鲁比奥的上面说,欧洲需要有一个位置
286table and he hopes that the talks will expand to include them going forward and that makes sense他希望会谈能够扩大范围,包括继续会谈,这样才有意义。
287for Europe who sees this conflict as part of their security infrastructure that see it as a direct欧洲认为这场冲突是其安全基础设施的一部分,认为它是直接的
288threat since it is in Europe and they have long wanted to be at the table but have largely been由于威胁是在欧洲,他们早就想坐到桌子上,但基本上一直
289excluded from talks during President Trump's second administration.特朗普总统第二任执政期间被排除在会谈之外.
290Just briefly then Greg只是短暂的,然后格雷格
291I mean what are the what are the sticking points are we still talking about territory and the我的意思是,什么是什么是坚守点 我们仍然谈论领土和
292future security guarantees for Ukraine?乌克兰未来的安全保障?
293Those are the big ones there have been a lot of issues on这些是大问题,有很多问题
294the table but there's no doubt that the two most intractable issues are the security guarantees.但毫无疑问,两个最棘手的问题是 安全保障。
295It's hard to see what Moscow would accept that would also please Kiev and be secure enough that很难想象莫斯科会接受什么 也能让基辅高兴 并且足够安全
296they would feel that there is a less of a threat of Russian aggression going down the future and他们觉得俄国侵略的威胁会减少
297then like you said territory.就像你说的地盘
298Moscow hasn't backed away from demands that Ukraine cede territory it莫斯科没有放弃乌克兰割让领土的要求
299still controls and that Moscow hasn't been able to take militarily.莫斯科一直无法军事控制
300Ukraine says that it's their乌克兰说这是他们的
301sovereign territory they don't want to take it a lot of it is heavily fortified and losing it would主权领土,他们不想占据它 很多是它 大量防御工事,失去它会
302potentially leave other areas of Ukraine open to future attack so those do remain two huge sticking未来乌克兰的其他地区可能会遭到攻击 所以这些地方仍然有两根巨大的刺痕
303points.点。
304Greg thank you so much thanks for the update Bloomberg's Greg Sullivan with the latest格雷格非常感谢你 更新了布隆伯格的格雷格·沙利文
305on those talks taking place in Abu Dhabi.在阿布扎比举行的会谈
306美国战争部长Pete Hegseth
307he's dodged an impeachment effort more on that and what else is making headlines in our front他躲过了弹劾 更多的关于这一点 还有什么是我们前面的头条新闻
308page news next this is Bloomberg.接下来是彭博社
309Welcome back this is the brief now Chevron has reported its欢迎回来 这是雪佛龙现在报告的情况
310second straight quarter a blockbuster results in its latest earnings.第二直四分之一的块块 导致它的最新收入。
311不过,CFO Ima Bonner不是
312taking these boom times for granted on the latest episode of Bloomberg chief future officer Bonner在布隆伯格未来首席军官伯纳的最近一集中,
313takes Bloomberg's Anne Marie Horden to the Permian Basin where Chevron produces about a million把彭博的安妮·玛丽·霍登带到佩尔米安盆地 雪佛龙在那里生产了大约一百万
314barrels a day.一天一桶。 (笑声)
315A million barrels a day is our sweet spot because we have the factory optimized一天一百万桶是我们的甜点 因为工厂已经优化了
316at a million barrels a day we have reliability efforts that allow us to produce at a million每天一百万桶,我们有可靠的努力 使我们生产百万桶
317barrels a day with less cost.每天桶,成本较低。
318What does reliability mean?可靠性是什么意思?
319I mean it means keeping our plant here我的意思是,它意味着保持我们的植物在这里
320up for the maximum amount of time so avoiding unplanned events shutdowns issues with equipment* 尽量缩短时间,避免意外事件
321issues with the wells coming into the the facility there's 27 wells coming into this facility we try27口井进入了我们尝试的
322make them as productive as possible one of the ways we're doing that is putting advanced chemicals让他们尽可能多地生产 我们这样做的方法之一 是放置先进的化学品
323into the reservoir and think of that as kind of it washes the oil from the rock and so this is an进入水库 想到它会把岩石上的油洗掉
324area where we have seen over the last year 20 percent increase in production from whales that去年我们看到鲸鱼产量增加了20%
325have been treated with this chemical.已经用这种化学品处理过。
326It also involves keeping the facilities running at high它还涉及使设施保持高水平运作。
327reliability equipment monitoring doing turnarounds proactive maintenance all of those things allow进行可靠设备监测 进行主动维护
328the equipment behind us to operate at the right technical limits that also contributes to reliability我们后面的设备在适当的技术限度下运行,这也有助于提高可靠性
329how important is that in a time of geopolitics where potentially other places are a little bit在地缘政治时代,其他地方可能有点
330on uncertain footing it's critical always but at a time where we've got disruptions around the world在不确定的基础上,它总是关键 但此时,我们有 扰乱世界各地
331at a time where the US is a net exporter and it's even more important and you can watch Bloomberg此时美国是净出口国 更重要的是 你可以看布隆伯格
332Chief Future Officer featuring Chevron CFO Ima Bonner that's tonight at 9 30 eastern time on今晚9点30分东部时间
333Bloomberg television time now for your front page news first up on the Washington Post the彭博电视台的首页新闻 首播于华盛顿邮报
334house narrowly blocked an effort to impeach defense secretary Pete Hegseth Democrats who take over屋里狭窄地堵住了弹劾国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯 接管的民主党人的努力
335Congress in January have said they will seek to use their power to remove Hegseth from office一月份的国会说,他们将试图 利用他们的权力 解除黑格赛的职务
336next up the New York Times reported Treasury Secretary Scott Begley of what this means for接下来纽约时报报道了财政部长斯科特·贝格利(Scott Begley) 这代表着什么
337tech investing how this rubs up against higher inflation and the bond market moves of this week科技投资如何消磨通货膨胀和本周债券市场波动
338more on that shortly this is Bloomberg it's 5 30 a.m in New York City 10 30 a.m here in London很快这里就是彭博社 纽约早上5点30分 伦敦早上10点30分
339good morning everybody I'm Anna Edwards with your Bloomberg Brief let's get you set up for the day早上好,大家好 我是安娜·爱德华兹 与你的彭博简介 让我们为你安排一天
340ahead equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from Core Weave在核心编织的季度结果比预期的要强之后,股票会得到提升
341reviving investor confidence in the AI trade Anthropix bankers said to be considering a higher恢复投资者对AI贸易的信心,据说Anthropix银行家正在考虑提高
342valuation for the firm's blockbuster IPO at one and a half trillion dollars or more and a hot CPI价值1.5万亿美元或更多 和热的消费物价指数
343print ramps up rate hike bets cash treasury markets are closed for Veterans Day after a surge现金市场被关闭 退役军人日
344in yields quick check on the markets then pre-market as we are S&P futures nasdaq futures快速查查市场,然后上市前,因为我们是S&P期货 Nasdaq期货
345both point higher European futures getting a boost from the tech trade and actually threatening to高欧洲期货从技术贸易中 得到提振 并威胁
346close at a record here in Europe meanwhile US futures do point higher those joint tech themes而美国的未来 却将联合技术主题提升到更高的水平
347{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}在Core Weave和Anthropix的周围 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}他们一晚上给大家一些安慰
348we do see a continuation of the higher yield story that was so dominant yesterday after that我们确实看到一个 更高的收益故事的延续 昨天如此主导之后
349higher than expected inflation report let's get some stocks to watch today here's Olivia Lafue比预期的通胀报告还要高, 让我们看看今天的股票,这里是Olivia Lafue
350hi Anna yes every single part of the AI trade is getting a boost today from neoclouds to serverHi Anna 是的 AI交易的每个部分 今天都从新云到服务器都有了增长
351and memory providers to data center industrial players every facet is gaining and that's in和数据中心的内存提供者 工业玩家的每一个方面都在增加
352large part as you mentioned due to the solid set of results that we got from Core Weave they大部分是你们提到的 因为我们从核心编织中获得的坚实结果
353guidance for the year and reported a solid set of third quarter sales both of those prints coming该年的指南,并报告了一套坚固的第三季度销售量,这两种印刷品都来了
354in ahead of wall street estimates and really helping to calm investor nerves about the debt帮助投资者平息债务
355laden business that Core Weave is currently running speaking to investors today they're今天Core Weave正在跟投资者谈话
356pointing out the fact that short interest in Core Weave was quite high and also the fact that指出对核心编织的短暂兴趣相当高,并且指出
357it's just this is just relief we're seeing relief across the board from investors today只是今天投资者的解脱
358another sector of the or sect of the AI trade that's strong today is photonic stocks momentum人工智能贸易的另一部分或部分 今天很活跃 是光子股票的势头
359they're continuing from yesterday we had strong results from Japanese peer Hamamatsu regarding从昨天开始 我们从日本同行Hamamatsu的 强烈结果
360a strong demand continuing for photonics with regards to data centers so you're seeing coherent对数据中心的光子学需求很大,所以你可以看到一致性
361and momentum strong off the back of that one stock that's not happy today contrary to its name bright和强大的动力 从一个股票的背面 今天不高兴 与它的名字亮
362view their fourth quarter results were disappointing and their guidance also underwhelmed investors认为他们的第四季度结果令人失望,他们的指导也使投资者感到沮丧。
363stock is down 17 percent so perhaps underwhelm is a bit of an under exaggeration there they seem to股票跌了17% 所以也许下沉 有点夸张了
364be very very disappointed with the results yeah bit of an understatement not such a bright view对结果非常失望 有点小题大作 不太清楚
365Olivia thank you very much Olivia the view with the latest on the stocks we're watching this morningOlivia 非常感谢你 Olivia 今天早上看的股票最新风景
366now a tech rally is lifting stocks higher as Olivia was pointing out following strong quarterly现在科技集会正在提高股票水平 就像Olivia指出的
367results from both Core Weave and Open AI so that's the backstory feeling better about technologyCore Weave和Open AI的结果, 使得对技术的背面感觉更好
368this morning let's bring into the conversation then Olaolu Agango who is head of portfolio今天早上,我们把奥拉奥卢·阿甘戈带到对话中来 谁是组合的负责人
369and analytics at City very nice to have you with us Olaolu your thoughts then on AI post the midterms和在城市的分析 很高兴你和我们在一起 奥劳鲁,然后你的想法 在AI 张贴的中期。
370but in the context of all the volatility we've seen in markets a sell-off following but followed但从市场波动的角度来看 市场有售卖行为
371{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}你和你在人工智能投资上的期望是什么 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}你应该知道
372well thank you so much for having me I mean we say elections create volatility but really is非常感谢你邀请我 我们说选举会造成动荡 但真的
373the fundamentals that drives long-term results and the volatility last week you know we can't推动长期成果的基本因素 以及上周的波动
374underscore it in the data that we look at we're looking at the VIX going back to 1990 and it was在数据中强调,我们正在研究 VIX 追溯到1990年
375the third highest one day percentage change in the VIX so like that puts it in context there's a lotVIX中第三高的一天百分比变化 这样就使它在上下文中有很多
376of volatility but if we go back to earnings again long-term fundamentals is driven you know by by不稳定,但如果我们回去 收入再次 长期的基本原理驱动 通过
377earnings we're 80 percent of the way through more than 80 percent of the way through we are seeing收入占我们80%的路 通过超过80%的路 通过我们看到
37830 percent year-over-year earnings growth for what has been reported thus far recent earnings迄今报告的近年收入增长30%
379included it's been outstanding is the third consecutive quarter of over 25 percent year-over-year包括它一直未完成 是连续第三季度 超过25%的一年
380earnings growth it is the eighth consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings growth so where收入增长是两位数收入增长的连续第八季度。
381does that put us just with you know valuations overall for the S&P it's about 18 times it's not这是否意味着我们只是 与你知道 总体的估价 对S&P 它大约18倍
382expensive it's the lowest it's been in roughly three years so we like the market here we continue价格是三年来最低的 所以我们喜欢这里的市场
383like the market here last week it was market trying to predict policy and and it's a hard就像上周这里的市场一样 市场试图预测政策 很难
384game to predict okay so PEs make things look attractive valuations are attractive then游戏可以预测,所以PEs 使事物看起来有吸引力的估价是具有吸引力的
385you say I mean some any skeptics some skeptics point to the earnings side of that PE and say你说我是指某些怀疑者 某些怀疑者指的就是PE的收入
386we're just not quite so confident in that as we used to be and maybe analysts haven't caught up我们只是不太有信心 像我们过去一样 也许分析师没有赶上
387with the political developments that we now anticipate in 2027 post the midterms a slower随着我们目前预计的2027年中期政治发展放缓,
388rollout of data centers essentially if we do see that slowing down does that undermine the数据中心的推出,基本上如果我们看到减速会损害到
389earnings story or not materially so yes elections happened last week regardless of the party that不管有没有收入 所以上星期有选举
390are empowered there are a couple of things that you know you really can't change I'll talk about有几件事情是不能改变的 我会说
391deficits in a second but AI is one I was joking with with some of the other day you can't put有一秒钟的赤字,但AI是之一 我开玩笑与一些前天 你不能说
392the genie back in the bottle they are between 3 000 and 5 000 call of data centers in the US在瓶子里的精灵 在美国有3000到5000个数据中心
393you can't have AI without data centers those 3 000 and 5 000 are operating data centers and你不能有AI 没有数据中心 那3000和5000是运行数据中心
394they're an equal amount they're in different stages of planning now yes we have an election他们的金额是相等的 他们处于不同的计划阶段 现在有选举
395there are government officials there are some states that are reluctant or hesitant around有政府官员 有一些州 不愿意或犹豫不决
396the development of data centers but there are also some some some government officials in states数据中心的发展,但各州也有一些政府官员。
397that are very pro data centers at the end of the day it is a state by state legislation if there数据中心在一天结束时是州立法规定的
398is apprehension or pushback and once that you just go to another state and you build you know害怕或退缩 一旦你去了另一个州 你就会建起来
399there are also jokes they can build in space but regardless of which you still need cyber security还有一些笑话,他们可以在太空制造,但不管你还需要什么网络安全
400so that's a big component of AI you still need critical minerals you need copper you need steel所以这是人工智能的一大部分 你仍然需要关键的矿物 你需要铜 你需要钢铁
401you need aluminum you need a number of other things that are persistent regardless of the你需要铝,你需要一些其他的 持久的东西,无论
402election and the you know quote-unquote slowdown for us in our portfolios we're overweight cyber在选举和你知道的引文 - 引文 减速 在我们的组合 我们超重的网络
403security we're overweight some of those critical metals that you need in order to construct data安全,我们超重一些 关键金属,你需要 构建数据
404你期待AI capex的减速
405and if so is that going to be what we want allowed because i wasn't sure through the last earnings如果是这样,那就是我们想要允许的 因为我不确定通过最后的收入
406season whether as an investor community we were comforted by high capex or slightly disturbed by无论我们作为投资人 是否被高额的暴风雨 或稍有不安
407so there there are two components right so the capex is necessary in the early stages of any因此,有两部分是正确的,所以顶盖在早期是必需的。
408innovation we expect that to slow at some point it's not it's not concerning for us one company's创新,我们期望在某个时候减慢 与我们公司无关
409capex is another company's revenue and that's again just the initial part but if you think ofCapex是另一家公司的收入,这还是最初的部分,但如果你想到
410the life cycle of this innovative technology that we have we're just in the early innings of it so我们掌握的这种创新技术的生命周期 才刚刚开始
411we're talking about the hyperscalers we're talking about data centers yes but arguably we have not我们谈论的超规模的,我们谈论的数据中心 是的,但可以说我们没有
412seen the productivity gains yet for the vast majority of companies with regards to AI and that在大赦国际方面,绝大多数公司都取得了生产率的提高。
413in and of itself is an additional boost so whilst yes capex we do expect to slow it at some point这本身就是一种额外的刺激,所以,虽然是顶峰,我们确实期望在某个时候减缓它。
414with this earlier or later franklin is not really the key driver the key driver is once theFranklin不是关键司机 关键司机曾经是
415infrastructure is in place the productivity gains and benefits that we expect to see for the broader基础设施已经到位,我们期望在更大范围内看到生产率的提高和效益。
416corporate universe is still expected to be able to drive long-term earnings and grow okay and that公司宇宙仍然有望推动长期收入并增长,
417might have an impact on inflation talking of inflation that data taking some in the market可能会对通货膨胀产生影响 说通货膨胀, 数据带一些在市场上
418by surprise moving the bond market substantially particularly at the short end let's just have a特别在短短的一端 我们来一个
419listen to how austin gulsby of the chicago fed of course how he captured captured the mood around听听芝加哥的奥斯汀·古斯比 如何捕捉周围的情绪
420that cpi print it's another distressing report borderline disturbing so we we've got a real那CPI的指纹是另一个令人困扰的报告 边界线干扰 所以我们有真实的
421inflation issue on our hands that has been developing and and we're going to have to deal我们手上的通货膨胀问题 一直在发展,我们不得不处理
422with that borderline disturbing for gulsby allow how did it impact your thinking around fixed income对Gulsby来说 边界线的干扰 允许它如何影响你对固定收入的思考
423i mean are you factoring in a higher inflation for longer environment not just on the back of我的意思是,你考虑 较高的通货膨胀 对于更长的环境 不只是背面
424yesterday's print but more broadly thinking about u.s inflation so so i will say our our昨天的印刷品,但更广义的 思考你的通货膨胀 所以我要说我们
425view and i think we have a fairly non-consensus view our view is that inflation will run hotter我们的观点是通货膨胀会更热
426than consensus is thinking and that really by not hiking at the last foc meeting that the fed而不是共识是思考, 而实际上,不徒步 在最后一次foc会议,
427is setting themselves up to be behind the curve cpi print yesterday came in higher now you know昨天的cpi打印值上升了 你知道
428month over month type of readings can be volatile but the share of cpi components that are rising at每月的读数类型可能不稳定,但cpi组件的比例在上升。
4295%或更快的跳跃到56% 在october 它从44 在September 所以october份额
430is the highest since 2022 so yes we do think inflation is a concern now with regards to是2022年以来最高的 所以是的 我们确实认为 通货膨胀是现在
431fixed income we've been saying this for some time the the fed and the fed chair have made固定收入 我们已经说了一段时间了 联邦和联邦的椅子已经做了
432it very very clear that price stability and bringing in inflation is a number one priority价格稳定和通货膨胀是头等大事
433for them and we're not there yet as a result of that you couple where we are with inflation the对他们来说,我们还没到那里,因为你们和通货膨胀在一起
434signaling or you know they don't do signaling but they've been very overt with regards to that信号,或你知道他们不做信号, 但他们一直非常公开
435we expect rates to go higher as a result of that earlier in the year and actually recently as well由于今年早些时候,以及最近,我们预计费率会提高。
436we've adjusted our duration position so we moved from our our mid and trend our mid and longer我们调整了工期位置 所以我们从我们的中点和趋势
437term duration and we're in shorter duration fixed income instruments why because we wanted to be我们的固定收入工具 是因为我们想成为
438able to to try and insulate ourselves somewhat from the the moves that we're expecting in the能够尝试和隔绝 我们期待的动作
439and add it to gold other areas that can increase the balance in并添加到金色的其他地区,增加平衡
440portfolios because with regards to fixed income we do believe is going to be challenging continues因为在固定收入方面,我们确实相信,将继续面临挑战。
441to be volatile alalu thank you very much alalu aganga thank you for your time from city good to感谢你们从城市到城市的时间
442get your perspective on the program now to other top stories that are trending on the blueberg将你对节目的看法 转到蓝贝格上流传的其他顶尖故事
443terminal this morning iran says it will not remove a single atom of enriched nuclear material from今早Iran说它不会从 浓缩核材料中移除一个原子
444the country in an interview with the pan arab tv network al mayadeed iran supreme national security在接受泛阿拉伯电视网的采访时,
445council secretary said iran has informed russia that its enriched material will remain in the政务院秘书说,伊兰已经通知俄罗斯,其浓缩材料将留在
446country for domestic use he said the material is required to design nuclear-powered ships他说,这些材料是设计核动力船舶所需的。
447and submarines prices of baby food and formula in the united states surged by the most on record美国婴儿食品和配方的低价涨幅创纪录最高
448in october rising by about five percent a combination of factors are likely contributing综合各种因素可能促成
449to the increase in formula prices including higher costs for ingredients and transportation包括增加成份和运输费用
450inflation byd has apologized after some of its great tang electric suvs were assembled通货膨胀 byd 已经道歉 在它的一些伟大的 尖端电动软体组装
451with their front and rear wheel rims reversed the automaker traced the mistake to a supplier汽车制造商把错误追踪到供应商身上
452and says the affected vehicles are safe to drive byd is offering replacement并说受影响的车辆是安全的驾驶 字节是提供替换
453rims and restarting the warranty period coming up on the program a bumpy relation轮回和重开 保修期 即将到来 程序
454the u.s ambassador to china calls for diligence when dealing to the invidia affair more on that驻中国大使呼吁在应对印度事件时注意
455next this is going back we are establishing a direct channel to ensure that either nation我们正建立一个直接的渠道 确保任何国家
456can promptly alert the other to serious incidents involving its si models as si advances so will能够迅速提醒对方注意 涉及Si模型的严重事件 随着Si的推进
457the need to engage in new areas of risk management and to demonstrate how our two great nations can需要参与风险管理的新领域,并展示我们两个伟大国家如何能够
458reconcile the demands of competition with the responsibilities of leadership that was treasury调和竞争要求与财政部门的领导责任
459secretary scott besson hailing an improvement in u.s china engagement at an event in new yorkScott Besson秘书 欢呼纽约的一场赛事 中中国人参与的改善
460meanwhile u.s ambassador to china david purdue stayed more cautious he spoke exclusively to与此同时,驻中国大使达维德·普尔杜德(英语:David Purdue)则保持了更加谨慎的态度,他只和他交谈过
461bloomberg steven engel i think the situation with invidia is another reminder that we have to stay布兰博格史蒂芬·恩格尔 我觉得Invidia的情况 又一次提醒我们必须留下
462diligent national security is part of this economic conversation because economic security is national勤奋的国家安全是经济对话的一部分 因为经济安全是国家的
463and so what we're doing with china is bumpy right now we have some areas of disagreement but we have因此,我们正在做的瓷器是颠簸 现在,我们有一些 分歧的领域,但我们有
464现在从Washton Mika Solener 从开花伯格政府的 rika 好加入我们
465get your perspective thanks for taking us through this story and and a number of others let's start来听听你的观点 谢谢你带我们看这个故事 还有其他几个 让我们开始吧
466with this then u.s china relations and it's interesting the language coming from the u.s与这时的u.s瓷关系 和有趣的语言来自u.
467envoy to china relations are bumpy after the invidia affair at another time you might imagine that来中国关系的特使 在另一个时候的Invidia事件之后 变得很颠簸
468what we've seen from invidia and the scandal around that alleged spy that might have resulted我们从Invidia那里看到的一切 以及那个间谍的丑闻
469in a lot more outspoken language from capitol hill do you get the sense that the republicans你是否觉得共和党
470or the leadership are just trying to play this down because we're approaching this important或领导只是试图 发挥这一点 因为我们正在接近这个重要
471meeting yeah i mean i i would say that the response at least from both the white house我想说至少两个白宫都有反应
472and the overall administration has been pretty tame so far in light of these allegations根据这些指控,迄今为止,整个行政当局相当温和。
473with jensen huang i know that the president has said has addressed the issue on the heels of我知道总统说过 这个问题在紧接着
474his meeting next week in china but i do think that this is going to create a lot of tension as他下周在中国的会面 但我确实认为 这会造成很多紧张
475we just heard uh you know the david purdue say um and i i do think that this could potentially我们刚刚听到 呃... 你知道达维德·普杜德说...
476bleed into that meeting when it comes to those national security issues we have to i have to在那个会议上流血了 当涉及到国家安全问题时... ...我们必须...
477remind our audience that the president has become extremely close with jensen huang提醒我们的观众, 总统已经变得非常接近 詹森・洪
478um in the as he kind of continues this ai race with the between the u.s and china and on another嗯,在那种他 继续这个AI比赛 与U.s和瓷器之间 和另一个
479subject but obviously in washington house republicans have been trying to impeach但显然在沃顿房子里 共和党人一直试图弹劾
480pete hexes or at least a number have but others have stood in the way of that effort when thingsPeter Hexes或至少几个人有 但其他人却阻止了这项努力
481change in january that might lead to a different outcome what what have we learned from this process我们从这一进程中学到了什么?
482yeah definitely i mean i think it still shows that a lot of republicans are really hesitant to break肯定的,我的意思是,我认为它仍然显示 很多共和党人 真的犹豫打破
483with president trump and the administration in any way i spoke with more than a dozen house我和十几间房子谈过
484republicans yesterday both about the impeachment vote and just the overall outcome of the midterms昨天的共和党 既关于弹劾投票 也只是中期结果
485how they're feeling about president trump if they blame him at all for the stinging losses他们怎么看总统胜诉 如果他们把刺痛的损失归咎于他
486that republicans faced both in the house and senate and in those surprise races and a lot共和党在众议院和参议院 以及那些突袭赛和很多
487of them are really reluctant to place any blame on the president which i think still shows that他们真的不愿意把任何责任 归咎于总统 我认为仍然显示
488this administration has a stronghold especially in this lame duck period heading into december这个政府有一个据点, 特别是在这个烂鸭子时期, 朝十月。
489uh where republicans are really going to try and pass the last of the president's agenda it's they共和党人真正想要通过 总统的最后议程 是他们
490see it as their last opportunity to get everything they can before this total democratic takeover认为这是他们最后的机会 得到一切他们能 在此之前,彻底民主接管
491but you're absolutely right that we may see this come again as well as potential other impeachments但你绝对是对的,我们可能会看到这个又来了 以及潜在的其他弹劾
492a next congress which have a greater chance of passing right yes that'll be an interesting下届国会 更有机会通过右侧 是的,这将是一个有趣的
493pivot to watch now russia and ukraine they're talking in abu dhabi how are those conversations看着现在的鲁西亚和乌克赖恩 他们用阿布哈比语说话 谈话怎么样
494obviously the u.s is there and leading those talks how are those talks being viewed from washington很明显,你在那里 领导这些会谈 如何看待这些会谈
495yeah i think that there's optimism in washington overall at least in capitol hill and and the是的,我认为在劳顿 总体上是乐观的,至少 在卡皮托山和
496house was very eager and has remained eager to try and progress these peace talks um but i do房子非常渴望 并且一直渴望 尝试并推进这些和谈
497think that there's also a lot of skepticism and this is this war has been ongoing for years now认为也有很多怀疑 这场战争已经持续多年了
498the trump administration and the president have said you know that they would swiftly end this总统说你知道他们会迅速结束这一切
499conflict but it's been a lot more complicated and we're seeing this in a lot of the other global冲突已经复杂得多了 我们在很多其他全球
500conflicts that the president has weighed into extensively and even created including the war包括战争在内的冲突
501iran that these are a lot more complicated and this will be the the resumption of talks after更复杂的是,这将会是会谈的恢复
502a very long period of that was kind of stalled and heading into kind of this rockier period一段很长的时期 有点停滞 并进入了一段比较美好的时期
503between ukraine and the u.s in particular in light of some comments that were made by u.s officials特别是根据美国官员的一些评论
504regarding russian president Vladimir Putin.关于俄罗斯总统普京
505Mika thanks very much Mika Solna of Bloomberg美嘉非常感谢彭博社的美嘉·索尔娜
506government thank you very much for your time now one stock we're keeping a firm eye on of course政府非常感谢你的时间 现在一个股票,我们正在牢牢监视 当然,
507it's earnings giving a boost to the market with a strong quarter and a rosy forecast let's get the以强劲的四分之一 和优美的预测来刺激市场
508perspective of matt bloxham from Bloomberg intelligence well there you go pre-market up by从布隆伯格的情报界看Matt Bloxham的视角... ...你到市场前...
509nearly 14 percent then matt and this was an epicenter of market concern some weeks ago近14%,然后Matt, 这是几星期前市场关注的中心
510now it seems to be acting as a comfort nasdaq futures up really quite healthily partly on the现在它似乎 是一个舒适的纳斯达克未来 真的很健康 部分在
511back of the guidance we're getting here yeah i mean definitely that the guidance was helpful回到我们这里的指引...
512you know modest upgrade to the full year revenue and profit for me the more interesting uh point你知道,适度升级到全年收入 和利润对我来说更有趣的呃点
513was the commentary around the sources of funding in the near term we'll see one of the problems近期内我们将会看到一个问题。
514with core we recently has been that big spike in in yields because of the question marks about how我们最近产量猛增 因为有问题
515{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}他们可以资助这次大规模推广 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}至少下一个是现金流负数公司 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}他们可以资助这次大规模推广
516three or four years according to consensus and that the ceo said that they're going to get about根据共识,3年或4年 和Ceo说,他们要去
517nine billion dollars of prepayment funding from their customers and that they've got a delayed他们的客户预付了90亿美元 并且他们延迟了
518down investment grade facility in the pipes too so i we don't need to go and tap expensive debt也降低水管的投资等级设施,所以我们不需要去抢走昂贵的债务
519to keep funding the business in their term and i for me that's like being a very important signal继续资助他们的生意 对我来说 这就像一个非常重要的信号
520for the company to give because this company isn't typical so we get comfort from the top line demand公司给予,因为这个公司不是典型的 所以我们得到了舒适 从顶级的需求
521forecasts maybe but they're not typical in terms of the debt story are they no they're not it's预测也许,但从债务故事来看,它们不是典型的,不是
522quite a complicated um debt structure and you know some of the unsecured debt you know spiked相当复杂的债务结构 你知道一些无担保债务 你知道猛增
523as much as 15 percent yields recently uh because there are these question marks about you know the最近有15%的产量 因为有关于你的问题
524kind of mismatch between revenue and profit growth but the amount of capital investment they're收入和利润增长不匹配 但资本投资的金额
525making near terms you know tens of billions dollars of cash outflow and how do you continue使你几乎知道数百亿美元的现金流出 以及你如何继续
526to fund that and you know what's the trajectory towards cash flow break even what about anthropic来资助它,你知道什么是轨迹 现金流断,甚至人类。
527then onto anthropic also getting some comfort there are we from this talk certainly in other然后进入人类生活 也得到一些安慰... ...
528media about just how high the valuation could go here not as high as some of the really elevated媒体说这里的估值可能比一些真正的高
529levels we've previously seen but talk us through these latest yeah i mean it's been a bit of a我们以前见过的水平,但谈谈我们 通过这些最新 是的,我的意思是,它已经有点
530journey for them in the last few weeks hasn't that um i you know also that the news today that maybe他们过去几周的旅程不是... ...嗯...
531the bankers are looking to push the valuation up towards 1.5 trillion you're still a long way银行家们想把估值推到1.5万亿 你还有很长的路要走
532{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}简言之 人们谈论的两万亿 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}但比他们想的要好得多
5331.2 to 1.3 that the kind of essentially the baseline if you like it of the of the ipo1.2到1.3 那种基本上属于基线的,如果你喜欢的话
534it's really down to the manor team to kind of go and see investors give a very convincing pitch它真的下到庄园团队 那种去 看到投资者给出一个非常令人信服的投注
535about the fundamentals the size of the addressable market their sustainable profitability path you关于基本 大小的可解决市场 他们的可持续盈利路径 您
536know the moat they've got around the business that's really what's going to you know test知道他们有护城河 周围的生意, 这真的是什么,你知道测试
537investors appetite and i guess they're probably keeping their fingers crossed that we get through投资人的胃口,我想他们可能 保持他们的手指交叉
538a week without too many more or any more unexpected negative bits of news around the border industry一周没有太多或更多意外的负面新闻
539yes and perhaps they'll be pleased with some of the positive news we've had out from是的,也许他们会很高兴 我们从一些积极的消息
540even open ai so some comfort perhaps on the ability to monetize the business is that what甚至开放AI 所以一些安慰 也许对货币化 业务的能力是,
541we should read into the revenue numbers there yeah i think this is so open ai came out where我们应该读一下那里的收入数字 我觉得这里很开放
542we reportedly told investors that q3 revenue was about 10 billion about 50 up sequentially据报道,我们告诉投资者 q3的收入大约100亿左右 连续50个
543very similar growth trajectory to what we heard from anthropic now with the anthropics q3 number和我们从人类学中听到的 人类学的q3 数字相似
544was a lot bigger 17 billion dollars what it showed you was open ai it has pivoted into the170亿美元 显示你开着的Ai,它潜入
545enterprise ai opportunity that anthropics really focused on that you know it suggests there's人类学真正关注的机会 你知道这说明
546plenty of demand there they're also kind of improving their kind of profitability trajectory那里的需求量很大 他们也正在改善他们的利润轨迹
547too so yeah it's a positive data point i think it should in theory at least be a big enough market是的,这是一个积极的数据点 我认为在理论上至少应该是一个足够大的市场
548plenty big enough market for both of these companies to grow substantially from where they这些公司的市场足够大,可以从那里大幅度增长
549are today matt thank you very much matt block some from bloomberg intelligence with all those tech今天是Matt 非常感谢你 Matt 和所有那些技术一起 阻止一些来自盛大的智力
550themes coming up your day ahead that's next this is bloomberg welcome back to the brief now we'll接下来是盛盛的盛会 欢迎回到简报中
551look at what is ahead for today a host of fed speak including hammock bar daily and schmidt看看今天要做什么 包括吊床酒吧和鸡尾酒
552throughout the day we get that commentary coming from those fed speakers opec will be out with一天之内,我们得到的评论 从那些提供消息的演讲者 opec将会与
553its monthly oil report that's later this morning and the cash treasury market is closed of course今早的月度石油报告 当然 国库现金市场已经关闭了
554in observance of veterans day certainly wasn't closed yesterday more on that in just a moment在纪念老兵的日子里,昨天当然没有关闭了,就在一瞬间
555let's have a look at some of these macro movers for you and in fact thinking about yesterday让我们来看看一些这些 宏观的推动者 给你,事实上思考一下昨天
556and the big moves that we saw higher in yield certainly at the two-year horizon also at the以及我们所看到产量较高的大步 肯定在两年内
557year went over five percent on five on 10-year yields at one point well we see a continuation一年每10年的产量超过5%, 一次不错,我们看到继续
558of that trajectory and wednesday's futures picture waiting for cash trade tomorrow the broader那轨迹和周二的期货图 等着明天进行现金交易
559futures picture for equities looks pretty positive we're up by 1.9 on nasdaq futures thinking about股票的期货图看起来很正面 我们比纳斯达克期货的1.9
560where we go on the core we've story and profit all of that offering a little bit of comfort在那里,我们去核心 我们的故事和利润 所有提供一点点的舒适
561{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}看一看我们商品的价位 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}现在
562little bit higher gold prices move a little bit higher and brent and wti of course focused on一点点高的黄金价格移动 一点点高, Brent和wti当然专注于
563in the middle east the iranians taking a tough line on enrichment of uranium the gold price is在中东部,伊朗人对铀浓缩采取强硬路线 黄金价格是
564perhaps more focused on cpi and the trajectory for fed interest rates that is it for bloomberg也许更注重cpi 和喂养利率的轨迹 也就是开花伯格的利率
565brief surveillance is ahead this is bloomberg短暂的监视即将到来 这片开阔的山庄
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