【中英字幕】彭博财经简报26.11.11
共 3 集
剧集目录
| 集 | 标题 | 时长 |
|---|---|---|
| P1 | 【中英字幕】彭博财经简报26.11.11 【双字&原声】 | 42:15 |
| P2 | 【中英字幕】彭博财经简报26.11.11 【英字&原声】 | 42:13 |
| P3 | 【中英字幕】彭博财经简报26.11.11 【无字&原声】 | 42:13 |
P1 · 【中英字幕】彭博财经简报26.11.11 p01 【双字&原声】 (P1)
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:14 | It's 5 a.m. in New York City, 10 a.m. here in London. | 现在是纽约早上5点 伦敦早上10点 |
| 0:17 | Good morning, everybody. | 早上好,大家好,谢谢 |
| 0:18 | I'm Anna | 我是安娜,我叫安纳 |
| 0:18 | Edwards with your Bloomberg Brief. | 爱德华兹与你的彭博简介。 |
| 0:20 | Let's get you set up for the day ahead. | 令诸众生安住前天. |
| 0:22 | Equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from CoreWeave, reviving | 在核心网络的季度结果比预期的要强之后,股票得到增殖,恢复活力 |
| 0:27 | investor confidence in the AI trade. | 投资者对AI贸易的信心. |
| 0:30 | Andropix Bankers说正在考虑提高估价 | |
| 0:33 | for the firm's blockbuster IPO at $1.5 trillion or more. | 以1.5万亿或更多美元的价格 买下公司的IPO |
| 0:38 | And a hot CPI print ramps up rate | 热的CPI打印率上升了 |
展开字幕全文(866 条)
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | It's 5 a.m. in New York City, 10 a.m. here in London. | 现在是纽约早上5点 伦敦早上10点 |
| 2 | Good morning, everybody. | 早上好,大家好,谢谢 |
| 3 | I'm Anna | 我是安娜,我叫安纳 |
| 4 | Edwards with your Bloomberg Brief. | 爱德华兹与你的彭博简介。 |
| 5 | Let's get you set up for the day ahead. | 令诸众生安住前天. |
| 6 | Equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from CoreWeave, reviving | 在核心网络的季度结果比预期的要强之后,股票得到增殖,恢复活力 |
| 7 | investor confidence in the AI trade. | 投资者对AI贸易的信心. |
| 8 | Andropix Bankers说正在考虑提高估价 | |
| 9 | for the firm's blockbuster IPO at $1.5 trillion or more. | 以1.5万亿或更多美元的价格 买下公司的IPO |
| 10 | And a hot CPI print ramps up rate | 热的CPI打印率上升了 |
| 11 | Mike Betts. | 麦克贝茨。 |
| 12 | Cash treasury markets are closed for Veterans Day after a surge in yields. | 现金库市场在收益激增后关闭,用于退伍军人日。 |
| 13 | Let's get a check on the markets then around the world. | 让我们检查一下市场 然后在世界各地。 |
| 14 | Here's Winnie Hsu in Hong Kong | 香港的荣氏 |
| 15 | for the latest on the Asia trade. | 最近关于亚洲贸易的情况。 |
| 16 | Winnie. | 荣曰. |
| 17 | Good morning, Anna. | 早上好,安娜,你好吗? |
| 18 | Well, as you mentioned, | 嗯,如你所说, |
| 19 | we are seeing pretty positive sentiment in Asia today and actually Asian stocks rising | 我们今天在亚洲看到相当积极的情绪 和实际上亚洲的股票上升 |
| 20 | for a third day, headed for its best three days gains since August. | 进入8月份以来最好的三天 |
| 21 | Now, as you mentioned, | 现在,正如你提到的, |
| 22 | we have the better than expected results from CoreWeave that really reassured investors | 我们的CoreWeave结果比预期的要好 能让投资者放心 |
| 23 | that the AI computing demand is still very strong. | AI计算需求仍然非常强烈. |
| 24 | 还有 FT报道说 Andropix | |
| 25 | Bankers are considering a raising IPO valuation for the company. | 银行家们正在考虑提高公司IPO的估值。 |
| 26 | So that together you are | 所以你们在一起 |
| 27 | seeing tech stocks in Asia leading gain index here up by about 3.6 percent, also being lifted | 亚洲的科技存量领先增长指数 上升了3.6% 也正在被取消 |
| 28 | by the gains that we saw in TSMC. | 由我们在TSMC中看到的成果。 |
| 29 | Of course, we did have that 60 percent jump in revenue | 当然,我们确实有 60%的收入跳跃 |
| 30 | for October. | 为十月. |
| 31 | And plus the company saying that it is investing 500 million dollars each in | 再加上公司说 投资5亿美金 |
| 32 | Andropix and OpenAI. | 安德罗皮克斯和OpenAI. |
| 33 | Now, Flipboard and take a look at the bond space because we are seeing | 现在,翻板,看看 债券空间,因为我们看到 |
| 34 | the impact from that harder than expected U.S. CPI numbers raising the expectation for | 美国消费物价指数比预期的要高,对美国消费物价指数的影响提高了人们的期望。 |
| 35 | the Fed to tighten more aggressively. | 美联储要更加严厉 |
| 36 | That is why you are seeing Japan's 10-year and | 这就是为什么你看到 日本的十年和 |
| 37 | five-year here higher by about nine basis points for the yields. | 五年的产量比这高9个基点 |
| 38 | And we are also seeing | 我们还看到 |
| 39 | a bit of a weakness in the Japanese yen, in fact, weakening to its weakest level in more | 日元的一点弱点 事实上 更弱到最弱 |
| 40 | than a month after we saw a bit of a strength when it comes to the U.S. dollar. | 一个多月后,我们看到了一点强力 当涉及到美元。 |
| 41 | Winnie, | 荣耀, |
| 42 | thanks very much. | 非常感谢 |
| 43 | Winnie Su with a look at Asia. | 荣耀 苏与看亚洲. |
| 44 | Now onto Europe. | 现在进入欧洲。 |
| 45 | This is a picture, | 这是一张照片, |
| 46 | a snapshot really of what we are seeing here in the European session. | 我们在欧洲会议上看到的一幕。 |
| 47 | The stock 600 up | 股票600块 |
| 48 | three-tenths of one percent, catching up with the U.S., a strong earnings story to sell. | 三十分之一,赶上美国, 一个强大的收入故事出售。 |
| 49 | And some people pointing to the European equity markets as being a bit of a haven away from | 一些人指向欧洲股权市场 是一个有点避风港 |
| 50 | turmoil in U.S. tech. | 美国科技的动荡 |
| 51 | European tech actually benefiting today up by 1.8 percent and keeping | 欧洲技术今天实际受益1.8%, |
| 52 | an eye on what's going on in fixed income of all sorts. | 观察各种固定收入的情况。 |
| 53 | No cash trading in the Treasury | 财务处没有现金交易 |
| 54 | market in the United States. | 美国市场。 |
| 55 | But yesterday we saw Treasuries and European bond markets | 但昨天我们看到了 国库和欧洲债券市场 |
| 56 | really roiled by that much higher, well, the higher print than expected on CPI and what | 这么高的印数比预期的要高 |
| 57 | that did to yields. | 这的确使产量下降。 |
| 58 | So we continue to watch where yields are moving. | 因此,我们继续观察产量在移动。 |
| 59 | With that in mind, | 考虑到这一点, |
| 60 | we've got U.S. two-year futures on the board for you as we continue to track the fallout | 当我们继续追踪后遗症时, 美国的两年期货就在董事会上 |
| 61 | from that CPI print and the hawkish commentary from the Fed and the reassessments of Fed | 对美联储的重新评估 |
| 62 | rate hike bets that we've seen as a result. | 速率上涨的赌注,我们已经看到的结果。 |
| 63 | NASDAQ futures up by 1.7 percent. | 纳斯达克期货涨1.7%. |
| 64 | S&P 期货 | |
| 65 | up by eight-tenths of one percent. | 增长了百分之八十分之一 |
| 66 | 从CoreWeave传来的一些新闻线 | |
| 67 | and Anthropic, as we mentioned in our headlines, acting as something of a comfort to the tech | 正如我们在头条新闻中所提到的 对科技来说是一种安慰 |
| 68 | trade. | 贸易。 |
| 69 | Let's get some of the stocks we're watching this morning. | 我们早上看的股票 |
| 70 | 这是Olivia Levieux。 | |
| 71 | Good morning, Anna. | 早上好,安娜,你好吗? |
| 72 | You'd be hard pressed to find a part of the tape both globally and | 你很难找到 磁带的一部分 全球和 |
| 73 | in U.S. pre-market that isn't dominated right now by the AI trade. | 在美国的市场前, 现在不受AI贸易的支配。 |
| 74 | Particularly, though, | 尤其是,虽然, |
| 75 | this morning, we're focusing on CoreWeave. | 今天上午,我们集中关注科雷韦 |
| 76 | They lifted their four-year guidance and beat | 他们解除了四年的指引,打了 |
| 77 | on third quarter revenue. | 第三季度的收入。 |
| 78 | Both of those metrics coming in ahead, handily ahead, actually, | 这两种衡量标准都提前, 手脚提前,实际上, |
| 79 | of Wall Street expectations, helping to calm investor nerves over CoreWeave's debt-laden | 在华尔街的预期中,帮助投资者平息了CoreWeave的负债 |
| 80 | businesses and, in general, the challenges facing the data center industry. | 商业,以及数据中心行业普遍面临的挑战。 |
| 81 | That's lifting | 这是抬 |
| 82 | AI stocks across the board. | AI股票横行. |
| 83 | Another area that we're focused on, though, is the AI photonics | 我们关注的另一个领域是AI光学 |
| 84 | complex. | 复杂。 |
| 85 | Coherence and momentum are both higher in pre-market trading. | 市场前贸易的一致性和势头都较高。 |
| 86 | After Japanese peer | 仅次于日本同行 |
| 87 | Hamamatsu Photonics was up almost 15 percent, showing that photonics demand is still incredibly | 哈马松光子公司上升了近15% 显示光子公司的需求仍然惊人 |
| 88 | strong. | 强壮。 |
| 89 | It's a key component in data centers. | 这是数据中心的关键组件。 |
| 90 | Finally, we have results from Alcon. | 最后,我们得到了阿尔康的结果。 |
| 91 | They're | 他们是 |
| 92 | down in Europe and they're down in pre-market U.S. trading after disappointing third quarter | 在欧洲,他们 在美国市场前的交易 令人失望的第三季度 |
| 93 | results that were led by a weakness in their implantables business. | 由植入物业务的弱点所带动的结果。 |
| 94 | Olivia 非常感谢你 | |
| 95 | Olivia Levieux和你的前市场搬运工 | |
| 96 | Coming up this | 来了 |
| 97 | hour, we will get into conversation about the tech trade with Olaolu Ogongu, who joins | 一小时后,我们将讨论 与奥拉奥卢·奥贡古的技术交易, 他加入了 |
| 98 | us from Citi, joining us to talk about the AI rally and how that rubs up against moves | 我们花旗人 一起讨论AI集会 以及那与动作有何冲突 |
| 99 | in bond markets. | 债券市场。 |
| 100 | Let's get back to the CoreWeave story, though, talking of AI. | 让我们回到CoreWeave的故事,虽然,谈论AI. |
| 101 | Shares are extending gains | 股份扩大收益 |
| 102 | after posting strong results and an upbeat forecast, with the CEO Michael Intrator calling | 在发布强效结果和乐观预测后 首席执行官迈克尔·Intrator呼叫 |
| 103 | it a breakout quarter for the firm. | 这是律所的逃生季度 |
| 104 | 让我们把Tom MacKenzie, 自己的主播带来 | |
| 105 | trade here in London, with me, of course, and here to tell us all the things we need | 当然,在伦敦,我在这里交易, 在这里告诉我们我们需要的一切 |
| 106 | to know about the tech trade. | 了解技术交易。 |
| 107 | 先从CoreWeave开始. | |
| 108 | What was comforting about | 为何如此安慰 |
| 109 | CoreWeave要说什么? | |
| 110 | 你几乎可以从Michael Intrator那里得到解脱, 当然,CEO, | |
| 111 | company, on the back of earnings and the upgrades to the forecast. | 公司,收入的背面 升级到预测。 |
| 112 | So they're now forecasting | 所以他们现在在预测 |
| 113 | $13.3 billion in revenue for the full year. | 全年收入133亿元. |
| 114 | So that was a significant beat. | 所以,这是一个显著的节拍。 |
| 115 | Losses for | 损失 |
| 116 | the company have narrowed, so that's significant. | 公司缩小了,这很重要。 |
| 117 | And they have this chunky backlog of about | 他们有一大堆积压 |
| 118 | $132 billion, above $132 billion in terms of orders that they now need to execute on. | 1 320亿美元,超过1 320亿美元 订单,他们现在需要执行。 |
| 119 | So in all those metrics, this is very positive for a company that's come under increased | 因此,在所有这些衡量标准中, 这对一个公司来说是非常积极的, 公司正在增加 |
| 120 | scrutiny, of course, around its business model and how viable it is because they have to | 当然,围绕其业务模式及其可行性来审查,因为它们必须 |
| 121 | borrow at high rates to build out the infrastructure, to build out the data sensors and buy the | 高利率借款建造基础设施,建造数据传感器并购买 |
| 122 | chips that they then lease on to the likes of Microsoft and open AI. | 然后租给微软的芯片 打开AI |
| 123 | So a beat on that | 这么一拍 |
| 124 | $62 billion. | 620亿元. |
| 125 | But certainly it's a tick in the box, and they need to continue performing | 但肯定在盒子里 需要继续表演 |
| 126 | in these quarters to really assuage the concerns. | 在这些方面 真正缓解关注。 |
| 127 | But the market, or at least the stock, has | 但市场,至少股票,有 |
| 128 | cooled higher this morning. | 今天早上凉了 |
| 129 | Even if we still have questions and concerns about the role of Nvidia right now, it seems | 即使我们现在对恩维迪亚的角色仍有疑问和担忧,似乎 |
| 130 | that the narrative about CoreWeave is at least a positive one in the short term. | 关于CoreWeave的叙述在短期内至少是积极的。 |
| 131 | What else | 还有什么 |
| 132 | have we got in the mix, then? | 那我们有混音吗? |
| 133 | Anthropic and the conversations there about, well, we know | Anthropic和那里的对话 我们知道 |
| 134 | a bit more about the timing, don't we, it seems, about this IPO, the planned timing | 更多关于时间,是不是,我们似乎, 关于这个IPO, 计划的时间 |
| 135 | and the planned valuations. | 和计划的估值。 |
| 136 | What are the reports like around just how high or low the valuation | 报告是什么样子的 只是估价有多高或低 |
| 137 | might go? | 也许去? |
| 138 | 报告显示对Anthropix IPO的需求巨大. | |
| 139 | The Financial Times front | 金融时报前线 |
| 140 | page today, they're looking at a valuation potentially of more than one and a half, more | 在今天的网页上, 他们正在寻找一个潜在的价值 超过一个半,更多 |
| 141 | than one and a half trillion dollars. | 超过1.5万亿美元。 |
| 142 | Now that would make it the biggest IPO ever on | 这将是有史以来最大的IPO |
| 143 | record. | 记录。 |
| 144 | They had set a pricing yesterday in the update to the S1, the SEC, the Securities | 他们昨天在S1的更新中 设定了定价 证监会 证券 |
| 145 | Exchange Commission, of between $70 to $78 per share. | 交易委员会,每股70至78美元。 |
| 146 | It seems they now may increase | 看来他们现在可能会增加 |
| 147 | that pricing, which is unusual given the demand they've seen. | 价格,这是不寻常的 鉴于他们已经看到的需求。 |
| 148 | And in terms of the forward | 在前进方面 |
| 149 | picture, look, this is still a company that is projecting into the 2030s commitments of | 20世纪30年代的承诺 |
| 150 | around 900 billion US dollars, but revenues are growing. | 大约900亿美元,但收入正在增长。 |
| 151 | The revenue growth is phenomenal. | 收入增长惊人。 |
| 152 | It's nearly 50%. | 近五成'. |
| 153 | It's slowed. | 减速了 |
| 154 | The revenue growth has slowed, but from a very, very high | 收入增长放缓,但从非常,非常高的水平上看 |
| 155 | level, it seems right now, and this is the most important takeaway, this IPO will get | 级别,它似乎现在, 这是最重要的外卖, 这个IPO会得到 |
| 156 | through. | 通过。 |
| 157 | Then in the secondaries, how do the public markets then react to that? | 然后,在二手货, 公共市场如何反应呢? |
| 158 | Is there | 有没有 |
| 159 | a pot? | 锅? |
| 160 | Does it sustain it? | 它能维持下去吗? |
| 161 | Or do people take cash off the table? | 还是人们会把现金从桌子上拿走? |
| 162 | Yeah, we certainly did have one guest on Asia programming, I think, didn't we, who was- | 是的,我们确实有一个嘉宾 在亚洲的节目,我想,是不是我们,谁是... |
| 163 | Jack Selby. | 杰克・塞尔比。 |
| 164 | Yeah, a little bit cautious on what happens when lockups come to an end and that sort | 是啊,有点谨慎 会发生什么 当锁 结束,那种 |
| 165 | of thing. | 东西。 |
| 166 | OpenAI, third quarter revenue numbers coming through from OpenAI up by 50%. | OpenAI,来自OpenAI的第三季度收入数字增加了50%. |
| 167 | I mean, | 我是说... |
| 168 | you're telling us a comforting story about monetization and the ability to monetize these | 你告诉我们一个令人欣慰的故事 关于货币化 和这些货币化的能力 |
| 169 | models. | 模特儿们 |
| 170 | 是啊,听着,我想如果你把这些 三个业务一起,CoreWeave,Anthropic, | |
| 171 | OpenAI, one clear takeaway for the bulls is the demand continues to be there, massive | OpenAI, 公牛的一个明显的外卖 是需求继续在那里, 巨大的 |
| 172 | demand, massive demand for compute. | 需求,大量的计算需求。 |
| 173 | 这是CoreWeave的故事 与积压的132 | |
| 174 | 10亿,对前沿模型的大量需求 仍然为OpenAI和Anthropic。 | |
| 175 | OpenAI, 作为 | |
| 176 | you said, 10 billion US dollars in the most recent quarter in terms of the revenues that | 你说,在最近一个季度 收入100亿美元 |
| 177 | came through. | 来了 |
| 178 | So on an annualized rate, you're looking at revenues now of about 50, 5-0, | 因此,按年化率计算,你目前的收入约为50,5-0. |
| 179 | about 50 billion dollars annualized revenues for OpenAI. | OpenAI的年收入约为500亿美元。 |
| 180 | So they are catching up with Anthropic | 所以他们追上安斯罗皮克了 |
| 181 | and they are proving that there is still demand. | 他们正在证明,仍有需求。 |
| 182 | Now, they're still making a loss and losses | 现在,他们仍然在损失和损失 |
| 183 | and the margin is still very much in negative territory for OpenAI, but those losses have | 并且对OpenAI来说 利润率仍然非常低 但是这些损失 |
| 184 | narrowed. | 缩小。 |
| 185 | Okay, Tom, thank you very much. | 好吧,汤姆,非常感谢。 |
| 186 | Tom McKenzie, of course, with the latest on those tech themes. | 汤姆·麦肯齐,当然, 最新的技术主题。 |
| 187 | Tech themes rubbing up against the latest inflation data out of the US. | 技术主题与最新的美国通货膨胀数据相冲突。 |
| 188 | The latest CPI | 最新的消费物价指数 |
| 189 | report came in then hot, sending two-year Treasury yields soaring by the most in some | 两年的国库收益飙升了 |
| 190 | 19 months. | 19个月。 |
| 191 | Chicago Fed President Austin Coolsby weighed in on the report on PBS NewsHour. | 芝加哥联邦总统奥斯汀·柯尔斯比在PBS新闻频道的报道中做了评论. |
| 192 | Take a listen. | 来听听 |
| 193 | It's another distressing report, borderline disturbing. | 这是另一个令人不安的报告, 边界扰动。 |
| 194 | So we've got a real inflation | 所以,我们有一个真正的通货膨胀 |
| 195 | issue on our hands that has been developing and we're going to have to deal with that. | 我们手上的问题, 一直在发展, 我们将不得不处理。 |
| 196 | Now the cash Treasury market is closed today in the US, but there's movement elsewhere, | 现今美国现金库市场已经关闭 但其他地方也有动向 |
| 197 | of course, and there was a plenty of movement in yesterday's session. | 当然了,昨天的会议也有很多动静 |
| 198 | Ven Ram joins us, | 文・拉姆加入我们 |
| 199 | Bloomberg's Ven Ram, with some analysis. | 彭博社的"文拉姆",附有一些分析. |
| 200 | So, Ven, we established over the last 24 hours | 所以,文,我们在过去24小时里建立了 |
| 201 | that stocks like tech and that bond markets, once again, do not like inflation and that's | 股票如科技 债券市场,再次, 不喜欢通货膨胀,这是 |
| 202 | certainly what we saw at the front end of the US curve. | 当然,我们看到的 美国曲线的前端。 |
| 203 | How surprised were you by the | 你有多惊讶 |
| 204 | extent of the move in Treasuries and other global bond markets on the back of that inflation | 通货膨胀背后的国库和其他全球债券市场的移动程度 |
| 205 | print? | 打印吗? |
| 206 | Hi, Anna. | 嗨,安娜,你好吗? |
| 207 | So I don't think I was surprised at all because, you know, this was an accident | 所以我不觉得惊讶 因为,你知道,这是一个意外 |
| 208 | that was waiting to happen. | 等待着发生 |
| 209 | We have discussed in recent sessions how well the US economy | 我们在最近几届会议上讨论过美国经济如何发展 |
| 210 | has been doing, real growth has been above 3%, which is above trend, and you've got inflation | 一直以来,实际增长 已经超过3%, 这是高于趋势, |
| 211 | that is running well above 3% and yesterday's inflation was to the upside. | 而昨天的通货膨胀是好的。 |
| 212 | So the markets | 所以市场 |
| 213 | have been glossing over the fact that, you know, how far does the Fed have to put up | 美联储要忍受多久 |
| 214 | And it looks like they have to go a long way because, you know, even the Fed's own estimate | 看上去他们必须走很长的路 因为,你知道,连美联储自己的估计 |
| 215 | of the real neutral rate is 120 basis points now, and clearly that's understating it, and | 现在实际中性率是120个基点 很明显这是低估了它 |
| 216 | as Gulsby said, this is disturbing, and I think that the Fed has got to go more than | 正如Gulsby所说,这是令人不安的,我认为美联储必须不止 |
| 217 | three times, which is what the markets are currently pricing in, and if the Fed has got | 如果美联储已经得到 |
| 218 | to keep raising rates, I think that the front end is more or less there around 475, 478, | 为了不断提高利率,我认为前端 大约是475,478, |
| 219 | which is the spread over the Fed mid-rate is considerable, but if you look at the long | 美联储的中位率是相当可观的 但是如果你看看 |
| 220 | end, that's where I'm really concerned, and I think that the 10-year is hovering around | 结束,这就是我真正关心的地方, 我认为十年正在徘徊 |
| 221 | 5% as we talk, but I think that the 10-year and the 30-year yields really have much more | 5%,我们说话, 但我认为,十年和30年的产量 真的很多 |
| 222 | work to do, and I think that the direction of yields is higher from here. | 我认为,从这里来看,产量的方向更高。 |
| 223 | Yes, it's interesting, isn't it? | 是的,这很有趣,不是吗? |
| 224 | We got back above 5%, didn't we, yesterday on the 10-year? | 我们回到了5%以上,是不是,昨天的十年? |
| 225 | We closed at 4.99, and obviously no cash trading today. | 我们4时99分关门了 显然今天没有现金交易 |
| 226 | So what dictates the direction of travel | 是什么决定了旅行的方向? |
| 227 | next then, Ven? | 接下来呢,文? |
| 228 | We saw, of course, the fallout from the AI nervousness in the United States | 当然,我们看到美国AI的紧张情绪 |
| 229 | post the midterms. | 张贴中期。 |
| 230 | That led to quite a lot of bond buying and therefore lower yields, | 这导致了大量的债券购买, 并因此降低了收益, |
| 231 | but that thought process or that investment thesis seems to have moved aside. | 但那个思考过程 或投资论文似乎已经转移了。 |
| 232 | Well, as there are going to be episodes of volatility in the equity markets, you will | 股权市场会有波动 你会的 |
| 233 | see tactical rallies in treasuries, but I don't think that's the sustainable or the | 在国库里看到战术集会, 但我不认为这是可持续或 |
| 234 | direction of treasuries from here, because if you're a nominal bond holder, you want | 因为如果你是名义债券持有者 |
| 235 | to be compensated for inflation. | 以补偿通货膨胀。 |
| 236 | That's the point of buying bonds, and if you're not getting | 这就是买债券的意义 如果你得不到 |
| 237 | an adequate inflation compensation, what is the point of that five nominal coupons, because | 适当的通货膨胀补偿,那五张名义优惠券有什么意义,因为 |
| 238 | they're going to be eroded by inflation? | 他们会被通货膨胀侵蚀? |
| 239 | So I think that the direction of yields, at least | 所以我认为,产量的方向,至少 |
| 240 | the long-dated bonds, is definitely higher from here, and I think that we are not yet | 长久以来的债券 肯定比这里更高 我认为我们还没有 |
| 241 | in the value zone. | 在值区。 |
| 242 | If you look at the median of the inflation-adjusted yields on the 10-year | 如果按通货膨胀调整后的10年产量的中位数 |
| 243 | treasuries going back in history, it's about 2.5%, and we are not at that level, so I think | 历史上的国库,大约是2.5%, 我们没有达到这个水平,所以我想 |
| 244 | that we have got further to go here. | 说我们还有更多的事要做 |
| 245 | Okay, Ven, thank you very much. | 好的,文,非常感谢 |
| 246 | Thanks for | 谢谢 |
| 247 | the analysis. | 分析。 |
| 248 | Bloomberg's Ven Ram from the Markets Live team. | 彭博的Ven Ram来自市场现场团队. |
| 249 | Now to other top stories | 现在到其他顶级故事 |
| 250 | that are trending on the Bloomberg terminal this morning. | 今早布隆伯格航站楼出现的趋势 |
| 251 | Morgan Stanley says global equity | 摩尔根 斯坦利说全球股权 |
| 252 | hedge funds cut risk at the fastest pace in more than a decade through the first week | 对冲基金减少风险的速度超过10年,一直持续到第一周 |
| 253 | The retreat came as AI stocks sold off following the midterm elections. | 后期选举结束后, |
| 254 | Hedge funds returns | 对冲基金收益 |
| 255 | in the first week of November were negative across all regions. | 在11月第一个星期,所有区域都呈负数。 |
| 256 | U.S. | 美国. |
| 257 | Ambassador to China | 驻华大使 |
| 258 | David Perdue说Nvidia CEOJensen Huang和一位中国人之间的争议 | |
| 259 | spy is posing a test to bilateral relations. | 间谍正在考验双边关系 |
| 260 | He says U.S.-China relations are quite bumpy | 他说中美关系很不稳定 |
| 261 | ahead of next week's summit between Presidents Trump and the Chinese President to take place | 在川普总统和中国总统下周峰会之前 |
| 262 | in Shenzhen in China. | 在中国深圳. |
| 263 | Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Scott Besson hailed an improvement | 与此同时,财政部长斯科特·贝松对改进表示欢迎。 |
| 264 | in U.S.-China engagements ahead of President Trump's visit next week. | 在川普总统下星期访问之前, |
| 265 | He spoke to the | 他跟那个 |
| 266 | National Committee on U.S.-China Relations. | 中美关系全国委员会. |
| 267 | We are establishing a direct channel to ensure | 我们正在建立一个直接渠道来确保 |
| 268 | that either nation can promptly alert the other to serious incidents involving its S.I. | 两国可以迅速提醒对方注意涉及其特别情报的严重事件。 |
| 269 | levels. | 水平。 |
| 270 | 作为S. I. | |
| 271 | advances, so will the need to engage in new areas of risk management | 需要参与风险管理的新领域 |
| 272 | and to demonstrate how our two great nations can reconcile the demands of competition with | 并展示我们两个伟大国家如何能够调和竞争的要求, |
| 273 | the responsibilities of leadership. | 领导责任。 |
| 274 | Coming up on the program, Russia and Ukraine try | 接下来,俄罗斯和乌克兰尝试 |
| 275 | to negotiate a peace deal. | 谈和约 |
| 276 | More on that next. | 接下来会有更多 |
| 277 | This is Bloomberg. | 这是彭博社 |
| 278 | This is Bloomberg Brief. | 这是彭博简介。 |
| 279 | I'm Anna Edwards live in London. | 我是安娜·爱德华兹 住在伦敦 |
| 280 | Ukraine and Russia continue a second day of U.S.-led | 乌克兰和俄罗斯继续以美国为首的第二天 |
| 281 | Let's get an update with Bloomberg's Greg Sullivan. | 让我们来了解一下彭博的格雷格·沙利文 |
| 282 | Greg, what's the latest then coming | 格雷格,什么是最新到来 |
| 283 | from these talks? | 从这些谈话? |
| 284 | A couple of days in and some of the language seems to be quite positive. | 几天内和一些语言似乎相当正面. |
| 285 | Any substance? | 有物质吗? |
| 286 | Right. | 对 |
| 287 | The second day of talks did kick off | 第二天的谈话开始 |
| 288 | today. | 今时. |
| 289 | Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said that issues like de-escalation, potential | 乌克兰总统沃洛迪米尔·泽连斯基说,缓和、潜力等问题 |
| 290 | ceasefires over the Black Sea and energy infrastructure could be on the table in today's talks. | 在今天的会谈中,对黑海的停火和能源基础设施可以放在桌面上。 |
| 291 | Coming | 来了 |
| 292 | out of yesterday's talks, the U.S. and Ukraine cast them as rather constructive and productive. | 在昨天的会谈中,美国和乌克兰把会谈说成是建设性的和富有成效的。 |
| 293 | Russia was slightly more reticent. | 俄罗斯的沉默略微强烈。 |
| 294 | An official that was part of the talks said that it's | 参加会谈的官员说 |
| 295 | still too early to say how the negotiations are going. | 现在说谈判进展还为时过早。 |
| 296 | These are the first negotiations | 这是第一次谈判 |
| 297 | since February when the U.S. shifted its focus to the its war on Iran. | 自2月美国将重点转移到对伊朗的战争之后. |
| 298 | So now that they're | 所以现在他们 |
| 299 | resuming, it is an interesting sign that there is some momentum and some sides are casting | 恢复,这是一个有趣的迹象,即出现了一些势头,一些方面正在发挥 |
| 300 | it as constructive. | 很有建设性 |
| 301 | But still, the fact remains that a lot of issues remain on the table and | 然而,事实仍然是,许多问题仍然摆在桌面上。 |
| 302 | there is quite a chasm between the two sides leading into these talks on those issues. | 双方之间存在着很大的分歧,导致就这些问题举行会谈。 |
| 303 | Meanwhile, the attacks by both sides do seem to continue then, Greg. | 同时,双方的攻击似乎仍在继续,格雷格。 |
| 304 | That's right. | 没错 |
| 305 | We saw attacks overnight from both Ukraine and Russia. | 我们一夜之间看到来自乌克兰和俄罗斯的袭击。 |
| 306 | Ukraine said that | 乌克兰说, |
| 307 | energy infrastructure was struck while Russia said that oil infrastructure in Luga was hit. | 俄罗斯说卢加的石油基础设施受到冲击, |
| 308 | So they haven't been quite to the same scale that we saw leading up to the attacks. | 因此,他们还没有达到我们所看到的 攻击前的规模。 |
| 309 | Both | 两者 |
| 310 | sides have been escalating their attacks prior to these talks, yet clearly it's still ongoing, | 双方在会谈前不断升级攻击,但显然仍在继续, |
| 311 | even as President Zelensky said that today potential ceasefires over energy could be | 正如泽连斯基总统所说,今天潜在的能源停火可能是 |
| 312 | {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}就放在桌子上 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}我还没说 | |
| 313 | But again, Russia has cautioned that it is still too early to say, and up | 但俄罗斯再次告诫说,现在说起来还为时过早。 |
| 314 | until now Russia hasn't backed away from its maximalist demands and has been cautious | 直到现在,俄罗斯一直没有放弃其最大的要求,并且一直谨慎行事. |
| 315 | about any kind of acceptance of a ceasefire, actually broadly rejecting the need for a | 基本上拒绝接受停火的必要性。 |
| 316 | ceasefire as potentially only buying Ukraine time to regroup. | 停火可能只是为乌克兰重新集结争取时间。 |
| 317 | Right. | 对 |
| 318 | It's interesting. | 这很有趣。 |
| 319 | At this meeting, we have the US, of course, bringing these | 在这个会议上,我们让美国,当然,带来这些 |
| 320 | two sides together. | 两边在一起。 |
| 321 | Ukraine is there. | 乌克兰在那里。 |
| 322 | Russia is there. | 俄罗斯在那里。 |
| 323 | Not much European presence, but | 没有多少欧洲的存在,但 |
| 324 | there has been some suggestion that maybe Europe has a part to play here then, Greg. | 有人建议,也许欧洲可以在这里发挥作用,格雷格。 |
| 325 | That's right. | 没错 |
| 326 | It's actually interesting. | 这其实很有趣。 |
| 327 | Yesterday, on Tuesday, ahead of the talks, | 昨天,星期二,在会谈前, |
| 328 | Ukraine said that they met with their European counterparts who are in Abu Dhabi, alongside | 乌克兰说,他们与在阿布扎比的欧洲同行会晤。 |
| 329 | US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. | 美国特使史蒂夫·维特科夫和贾里德·库什纳. |
| 330 | Today, the head of the Ukrainian delegation, | 今天,乌克兰代表团团长, |
| 331 | Rustam Umarov, said that after the trilateral talks with Russia and the US, Ukraine plans | Rustam Umarov说,在与俄罗斯和美国进行三边会谈之后,乌克兰计划 |
| 332 | to meet again with their European partners. | 与他们的欧洲伙伴再次会面。 |
| 333 | And then on top of that, US Secretary of State | 还有,美国国务卿 |
| 334 | Marco Rubio said that Europe needs a place at the table and he hopes that the talks will | 马可·鲁比奥说,欧洲需要坐到桌面上,他希望会谈能够进行 |
| 335 | expand to include them going forward. | 扩大范围,以包括未来。 |
| 336 | And that makes sense for Europe, who sees this | 这对欧洲来说是有道理的,谁看到这个 |
| 337 | conflict as part of their security infrastructure, that see it as a direct threat since it is | 冲突是其安全基础设施的一部分,因为它被视为一种直接威胁,因为它是 |
| 338 | in Europe, and they have long wanted to be at the table, but have largely been excluded | 在欧洲,他们早就想坐在桌子上,但基本上被排除在外 |
| 339 | from talks during President Trump's second administration. | 特朗普总统第二任执政期间的谈话 |
| 340 | Just briefly then, Greg, what are the sticking points? | 简而言之 格雷格 问题是什么? |
| 341 | Are we still talking about territory | 我们还在谈论领土 |
| 342 | and the future security guarantees for Ukraine? | 以及乌克兰未来的安全保障? |
| 343 | Those are the big ones. | 这些都是大的。 |
| 344 | There have been a lot of issues on the table, but there's no | 桌上有很多问题,但是没有 |
| 345 | doubt that the two most intractable issues are the security guarantees. | 怀疑两个最棘手的问题是安全保证。 |
| 346 | It's hard to | 这很难 |
| 347 | see what Moscow would accept that would also please Kiev and be secure enough that they | 看莫斯科会接受什么 基辅也会喜欢的 安全到他们 |
| 348 | would feel that there is less of a threat of Russian aggression going down the future. | 俄国侵略的威胁会减少 |
| 349 | And then, like you said, territory. | 然后,就像你说的, 领土。 |
| 350 | Moscow hasn't backed away from demands that Ukraine | 莫斯科没有放弃乌克兰的要求 |
| 351 | has been able to take militarily. | 已经能够采取军事手段。 |
| 352 | Ukraine says that it's their sovereign territory. | 乌克兰说这是他们的主权领土. |
| 353 | They don't want to take it. | 他们不想拿它。 |
| 354 | A lot of it is heavily fortified, and losing it would potentially | 有很多东西是坚固的 失去它可能 |
| 355 | leave other areas of Ukraine open to future attack. | 使乌克兰其他地区今后可以受到攻击。 |
| 356 | So those do remain two huge sticking | 因此,这些仍然是两个巨大的粘贴 |
| 357 | points. | 点。 |
| 358 | Greg, thank you so much. | 格雷格,非常感谢。 |
| 359 | Thanks for the update. | 谢谢你的更新。 |
| 360 | This is Greg Sullivan with the latest on those talks taking place in Abu Dhabi. | 这是最近阿布扎比会谈的格雷格·沙利文 |
| 361 | Coming up on the program, U.S. Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, he's dodged an impeachment | 美国战争部长皮特·赫格塞斯 上节目时 他躲过了弹劾 |
| 362 | effort. | 努力起来。 |
| 363 | More on that and what else is making headlines in our front page news next. | 更多关于这一点,还有什么 是我们头条新闻的头条新闻。 |
| 364 | This | 这个 |
| 365 | is Bloomberg. | 这是彭博。 |
| 366 | Welcome back. | 欢迎回来 |
| 367 | This is The Brief. | 这是简报。 |
| 368 | Now, Chevron has reported its second straight | 现在,雪佛龙报告了它的第二直线 |
| 369 | quarter blockbuster results in its latest earnings. | 季度封锁导致其最新收入。 |
| 370 | 不过,CFO Ima Bonner并不是 | |
| 371 | taking these boom times for granted. | 将这些繁荣时期视为理所当然。 |
| 372 | On the latest episode of Bloomberg, Chief Future | 关于彭博社最新一集,未来社长 |
| 373 | Officer, Bonner takes Bloomberg's Amarie Horden to the Permian Basin, where Chevron | 警官,邦纳把彭博的阿玛莉·霍登带到彼尔米亚盆地,在那里雪佛龙 |
| 374 | produces about a million barrels a day. | 每天生产约100万桶。 |
| 375 | A million barrels a day is our sweet spot because we have the factory optimized at a | 一天一百万桶是我们的甜点 因为我们把工厂优化在一个 |
| 376 | million barrels a day. | 一天一百万桶。 |
| 377 | We have reliability efforts that allow us to produce at a million | 我们有可靠的努力 使我们生产百万 |
| 378 | barrels a day with less cost. | 每天桶,成本较低。 |
| 379 | What does reliability mean? | 可靠性是什么意思? |
| 380 | I mean, it means keeping our plant here up for the maximum amount of time. | 我的意思是,它意味着保持我们的植物 在这里最多的时间。 |
| 381 | So avoiding | 如此回避 |
| 382 | unplanned events, shutdowns, issues with equipment, issues with the whales coming into the facility. | 计划外的事件 关机 设备问题 鲸鱼进入设施的问题 |
| 383 | There's 27 whales coming into this facility. | 有27只鲸鱼进入这个设施 |
| 384 | We try and make them as productive as possible. | 我们努力让他们尽可能有成果。 |
| 385 | One of the ways we're doing that is putting advanced chemicals into the reservoir. | 我们这样做的方法之一是把先进的化学物质放进水库。 |
| 386 | And | 还有 |
| 387 | think of that as kind of it washes the oil from the rock. | 把它当成是洗了岩石上的油 |
| 388 | And so this is an area where | 因此,这是一个领域, |
| 389 | we have seen over the last year, 20 percent increase in production from whales that have | 我们看到去年 鲸鱼产量增长了20% |
| 390 | been treated with this chemical. | 用这种化学品处理过 |
| 391 | It also involves keeping the facilities running at high | 它还涉及使设施保持高水平运作。 |
| 392 | reliability, equipment monitoring, doing turnarounds, proactive maintenance. | 可靠性、设备监测、周转、主动维护。 |
| 393 | All of | 全体 |
| 394 | those things allow the equipment behind us to operate at the right technical limits that | 这些东西可以让我们身后的设备 在正确的技术限度下运作 |
| 395 | also contributes to reliability. | 还有助于可靠性。 |
| 396 | How important is that in a time of geopolitics where potentially other places are a little | 在地缘政治时代,其他地方可能有点 |
| 397 | bit on uncertain footing? | 有点不确定吗? |
| 398 | It's critical always, but at a time where we've got disruptions around the world, at | 总是很关键,但是,当我们 受到干扰 世界各地,在 |
| 399 | a time where the U.S. is a net exporter, it's even more important. | 此时美国是净出口国,这更为重要. |
| 400 | 你可以看布隆伯格首席未来官 由Chevron CFO Ima Bonner主演 | |
| 401 | That's | 这是 |
| 402 | tonight at nine thirty Eastern Time on Bloomberg Television. | 今晚东部时间9点30分 彭博电视台 |
| 403 | Time now for your front page news. | 现在是你的头版新闻。 |
| 404 | First up on The Washington Post, the House narrowly blocked an effort to impeach Defense | 首先在《华盛顿邮报》上 众议院狭隘地阻止了弹劾国防的努力 |
| 405 | Secretary Pete Hegseth. | 皮特·赫格塞斯部长 |
| 406 | Democrats who take over Congress in January have said they will | 1月份接管国会的民主党人已经说过了 |
| 407 | seek to use their power to remove Hegseth from office. | 试图利用他们的力量 解除赫格塞斯的职务 |
| 408 | Next up, The New York Times reported | 接下来,纽约时报报道 |
| 409 | Treasury Secretary Scott Becker overnight. | 财政部长斯科特·贝克过夜。 |
| 410 | We will get the perspective from Citi of what | 我们会从花旗那里了解 |
| 411 | this means for tech investing, how this rubs up against higher inflation and the bond | 这意味着技术投资 如何抵消高通胀和债券 |
| 412 | market moves of this week. | 本周市场动向. |
| 413 | More on that shortly. | 更多关于这个不久。 |
| 414 | This is Bloomberg. | 这是彭博社 |
| 415 | It's five thirty a.m. in New York City, ten thirty a.m. here in London. | 现在是纽约早上5点30分 伦敦早上10点30分 |
| 416 | Good晨报 | |
| 417 | everybody. | 每个人。 |
| 418 | 我是Anna Edwards 和你的彭博简介。 | |
| 419 | Let's get you set up for the day ahead. | 令诸众生安住前天. |
| 420 | Equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from Core Weave, reviving | 在核心编织取得比预期的更强劲的季度成果之后,股票得到增殖,恢复活力 |
| 421 | investor confidence in the AI trade. | 投资者对AI贸易的信心. |
| 422 | Anthropics bankers said to be considering a higher valuation | 人类学的银行家们据说正在考虑提高估价 |
| 423 | for the firm's blockbuster IPO at one and a half trillion dollars or more. | 公司以1.5万亿美元或更多 |
| 424 | And a hot | 和热 |
| 425 | CPI print ramps up rate hike bets. | CPI打印坡道提高速率 提高赌注。 |
| 426 | Cash treasury markets are closed for Veterans Day after | 退役军人现金库市场关闭 |
| 427 | a surge in yields. | 产量激增。 |
| 428 | Quick check on the markets then, pre-market as we are. | 快速检查市场,然后,我们是市场前。 |
| 429 | S&P futures, NASDAQ | S&P 期货,纳斯达克 |
| 430 | futures both point higher. | 期货都更高 |
| 431 | European futures getting a boost from the tech trade and actually | 欧洲的未来从技术贸易中得到了促进,实际上 |
| 432 | threatening to close at a record here in Europe. | 威胁要结束欧洲的纪录 |
| 433 | Meanwhile, U.S. futures do point higher. | 与此同时,美国的未来的确指向更高的方向. |
| 434 | Those | 这些 |
| 435 | markets are getting some comfort overnight to the markets. | 市场在一夜之间得到了一些舒适的市场。 |
| 436 | And broadly speaking, in the futures | 大致来说,未来 |
| 437 | market around bonds, we do see a continuation of the higher yield story that was so dominant | 在债券的市场中,我们确实看到 高收益故事的延续 如此主导 |
| 438 | yesterday after that that higher than expected inflation report. | 之后昨天,通货膨胀报告高于预期。 |
| 439 | Let's get some stocks to | 我们拿些股票来 |
| 440 | watch today. | 今日观. |
| 441 | 这是Olivia Lafue。 | |
| 442 | Hi, Anna. | 嗨,安娜,你好吗? |
| 443 | Yes, every single part of the AI trade is | 是的,AI贸易的每一个部分都是 |
| 444 | getting a boost today from neoclouds to server and memory providers to data center industrial | 从新云到服务器和内存提供商 到数据中心工业 |
| 445 | players. | 玩家们 |
| 446 | Every facet is gaining. | 每一个方面都在增加。 |
| 447 | And that's in large part, as you mentioned, due to the | 这在很大程度上,正如你提到的,因为 |
| 448 | solid set of results that we got from CoreWeave. | 我们从CoreWeave那里得到的 坚实的成果 |
| 449 | They upped their guidance for the year and | 他们在这一年中加强了他们的引导, |
| 450 | reported a solid set of third quarter sales. | 3季度的销售量 |
| 451 | Both of those prints coming in ahead of Wall | 墙前的两张指纹 |
| 452 | Street estimates and really helping to calm investor nerves about the debt laden business | 街道估计和真正帮助 平息投资者的神经 关于负债累累的企业 |
| 453 | CoreWeave目前正在运行 | |
| 454 | Speaking to investors today, they're pointing out the | 他们今天跟投资者谈话时指出 |
| 455 | fact that short interest in CoreWeave was quite high and also the fact that it's just | 对CoreWeave的短短兴趣相当高,而且只是 |
| 456 | this is just relief. | 这仅仅是解脱。 |
| 457 | We're seeing relief across the board from investors today. | 我们今天看到投资者的全方位解脱. |
| 458 | Another | 又一个 |
| 459 | sector of the or sect of the AI trade that's strong today is photonic stocks. | AI贸易中今天很活跃的 光子股票 |
| 460 | Momentum | 时刻 |
| 461 | there continuing from yesterday. | 从昨天就开始了 |
| 462 | We had strong results from Japanese peer Hamamatsu regarding | 我们从日本同行Hamamatsu那里 得到了有力的结果 |
| 463 | a strong demand continuing for photonics with regards to data centers. | 在数据中心方面,对光学的强烈需求仍在继续。 |
| 464 | So you're seeing | 所以你看见了 |
| 465 | coherent and momentum strong off the back of that. | 紧紧地紧紧地压下去 |
| 466 | One stock that's not happy today, | 今天不开心的股票 |
| 467 | contrary to its name bright view, their fourth quarter results were disappointing and their | 与其名称的明亮观点相反,他们第四季度的结果令人失望,他们 |
| 468 | guidance also underwhelmed investors. | 指导也使投资者陷入困境。 |
| 469 | Stock is down 17 percent. | 股票下降了17%。 |
| 470 | So perhaps underwhelmed | 所以也许下沉 |
| 471 | is a bit of an under exaggeration there. | 有点夸张 |
| 472 | They seem to be very, very disappointed with the | 他们似乎非常非常失望 |
| 473 | results. | 结果。 |
| 474 | Yeah, bit of an understatement, not such a bright view. | 是啊,有点少说, 不是这么明亮的景色。 |
| 475 | Olivia, thank you very | 奥利维亚,谢谢你 |
| 476 | much. | 非常喜欢 |
| 477 | Olivia, the view with the latest on the stocks we're watching this morning. | Olivia 今天早上我们看的股票最新风景 |
| 478 | Now | 现在 |
| 479 | a tech rally is lifting stocks higher, as Olivia was pointing out, following strong | 正如Olivia指出的, 科技集会正在提高股票, |
| 480 | CoreWeave和OpenAI的季度结果。 | |
| 481 | So that's the back story. | 这就是背后的故事。 |
| 482 | Feeling | 感觉 |
| 483 | better about technology this morning. | 今天早上科技比较好 |
| 484 | Let's bring into the conversation then Olaolu Agango, | 让我们把奥拉奥卢·阿甘戈带到谈话中 |
| 485 | who is head of portfolio construction and analytics at Citi. | 他是花旗投资组合建设和分析的负责人。 |
| 486 | Very nice to have you with | 很高兴你陪我 |
| 487 | us, Olaolu. | 我们,奥拉奥卢。 |
| 488 | Your thoughts then on AI post the midterms, but in the context of all the | 你对AI的想法 贴出了中期, 但在所有背景 |
| 489 | volatility we've seen in markets, a sell off followed by something of a rebound. | 市场波动, 出售,然后是反弹。 |
| 490 | Where | 何处 |
| 491 | does that leave you and your expectations around AI investment? | 这是否让你和你对AI投资的期望落空了? |
| 492 | Well, thank you so much | 谢谢 |
| 493 | for having me. | 感谢有我。 |
| 494 | I mean, we say elections create volatility, but really it's the fundamentals | 我的意思是,我们说选举 造成波动, 但实际上这是基本 |
| 495 | that drives long term results and the volatility last week. | 这推动着长期的结果和上星期的波动。 |
| 496 | You know, we can't underscore it | 你知道,我们不能强调它 |
| 497 | in the data that we look at. | 我们所研究的数据。 |
| 498 | We're looking at the VIX going back to 1990 and it was the | 我们正在寻找VIX 回溯到1990年,这是 |
| 499 | third highest one day percentage change in the VIX. | VIX的1天百分比变化第三高。 |
| 500 | So like that puts it in context. | 所以,这样就把它放在背景上。 |
| 501 | A lot of volatility, but if we go back to earnings again, long term fundamentals is driven, | 很多波动,但如果我们再次回到收入, 长期的基本要素驱动, |
| 502 | you know, by earnings were 80% of the way through more than 80% of the way through. | 你知道,通过收入是80% 通过超过80%的方式。 |
| 503 | We are seeing | 我们看见了 |
| 504 | 30% year-over-year earnings growth for what has been reported thus far recent earnings included. | 迄今所报告的最近收入的年比收入增长30%。 |
| 505 | It's been outstanding is the third consecutive quarter of over 25% year-over-year earnings | 连续第三季度超过25%的年收入 |
| 506 | growth. | 增长。 |
| 507 | It is the eighth consecutive quarter of double digit earnings growth. | 这是两位数收入增长的连续第八季度。 |
| 508 | So where does that | 那么,这是哪里 |
| 509 | put us just with, you know, valuations overall for the S&P? | 我们只是用,你知道的, 总体评估S&P? |
| 510 | It's about 18 times. | 约十八遍. |
| 511 | It's not expensive. | 不贵. |
| 512 | It's the lowest it's been in roughly three years. | 这是大约三年来最低的 |
| 513 | So we like the market here. | 所以我们喜欢这里的市场。 |
| 514 | We continue to like | 我们继续喜欢 |
| 515 | the market here. | 这里的市场。 |
| 516 | Last week it was market trying to predict policy and it's a hard game to predict. | 上周市场试图预测政策 很难预测 |
| 517 | Okay, so PEs make things look attractive. | 好吧,所以PEs 使事情看起来有吸引力。 |
| 518 | Valuations are attractive. | 估价很有吸引力。 |
| 519 | Then you say, | 然后你说, |
| 520 | I mean, some skeptics point to the earnings side of that PE and say, we're just not quite so | 我的意思是,一些怀疑论者指出 收入方面PE,说,我们只是不是那么 |
| 521 | confident in that as we used to be. | 对我们以前一样有信心 |
| 522 | And maybe analysts haven't caught up with the political | 可能分析师没有赶上政治 |
| 523 | developments that we now anticipate in 2027 post the midterms, a slower rollout of data centers, | 目前我们预计在2027年中期之后出现的事态发展,数据中心的推出速度放慢, |
| 524 | essentially. | 基本上说 |
| 525 | If we do see that slowing down, does that undermine the earnings story or not materially? | 如果我们确实看到这种减速,那是否会损害收入的故事? |
| 526 | So yes, elections happened last week. | 因此,是的,选举在上周举行。 |
| 527 | Regardless of the party that are in power, | 无论哪个政党执政, |
| 528 | a couple of things that, you know, you really can't change. | 几件事,你知道, 你真的不能改变。 |
| 529 | I'll talk about deficits in a second, | 我一会儿再谈赤字问题 |
| 530 | but AI is one, I was joking with some of the other day, you can't put the genie back in the bottle. | 但AI是其中之一, 我开玩笑 某天,你不能把精灵 回到瓶。 |
| 531 | They are between 3,000 and 5,000 data centers in the US. | 美国有3 000至5 000个数据中心。 |
| 532 | You can't have AI without data centers. | 没有数据中心,你就不能有AI。 |
| 533 | Those 3,000 and 5,000 are operating data centers and they're an equal amount. | 这三千和五千个在运行数据中心 它们的数量是相等的 |
| 534 | They're in different | 他们不一样 |
| 535 | stages of planning. | 规划阶段。 |
| 536 | Now, yes, we have an election. | 现在,是的,我们有一个选举。 |
| 537 | There are government officials. | 有政府官员. |
| 538 | There are some | 有几个 |
| 539 | states that are reluctant or hesitant around the development of data centers. | (c) 在开发数据中心方面不情愿或犹豫不决的国家。 |
| 540 | But there are also | 但是还有 |
| 541 | some government officials in states that are very pro data centers. | 一些政府官员在州 那些非常支持数据中心。 |
| 542 | At the end of the day, | 临终时. |
| 543 | it is a state by state legislation. | 根据州立法,它是一个州。 |
| 544 | If there is apprehension or pushback, and once that you just | 如果有恐惧或退缩,一旦你 |
| 545 | go to another state and you build, you know, there are also jokes that can build in space. | 去另一个州,你建造,你知道, 还有一些笑话可以建立 在空间。 |
| 546 | But regardless of which, you still need cybersecurity. | 但不管是什么 你仍然需要网络安全 |
| 547 | So that's a big component of AI. | 这是AI的一大部分。 |
| 548 | You still need critical minerals. | 你还需要关键的矿物 |
| 549 | You need copper. | 你需要铜。 |
| 550 | You need steel. | 你需要钢铁 |
| 551 | You need aluminum. | 你需要铝。 |
| 552 | You need a number of other things that are persistent regardless of the election and the, | 你需要一些其他的 坚持不懈的东西 无论选举和, |
| 553 | you know, quote unquote slowdown. | 要知道,引出未引用的减速。 |
| 554 | For us in our portfolios, we're overweight cybersecurity. | 对于我们的投资组合来说, 我们超重的网络安全。 |
| 555 | We're overweight some of those critical metals that you need in order to construct data center | 我们超重一些 关键金属,你需要 建造数据中心 |
| 556 | art of the infrastructure build out. | 基础设施的艺术建设。 |
| 557 | And so are you expecting to see a slowdown in AI capex? | 所以你想看AI卡佩斯减速吗? |
| 558 | And if so, | 如果是的话 |
| 559 | is that going to be what we want? | 这就是我们想要的吗? |
| 560 | Because I wasn't sure through the last earnings season, | 因为我在上个收入季节都不确定 |
| 561 | whether as an investor community, we were comforted by high capex or slightly disturbed by it. | 无论是作为一个投资社区, 我们感到安慰 高顶帽或稍为不安。 |
| 562 | So there are two components, right? | 所以有两个组件,对不对? |
| 563 | So the capex is necessary in the early stages of any innovation. | 因此,在任何创新的早期阶段,盖帽是必要的. |
| 564 | We expect that to slow at some point. | 我们希望这在某个时候会减缓。 |
| 565 | It's not concerning for us. | 这跟我们无关 |
| 566 | One company's capex is another | 一家公司的顶盖是另一家 |
| 567 | company's revenue. | 公司收入。 |
| 568 | And that's, again, just the initial part. | 这是,再次,只是初始部分。 |
| 569 | But if you think of the life cycle | 但是如果你想到生命周期 |
| 570 | this innovative technology that we have, we're just in the early innings of it. | 我们掌握的这种创新技术, 我们刚刚进入早期。 |
| 571 | So we're talking | 这么说吧 |
| 572 | about the hyperscalers. | 关于超标的。 |
| 573 | We're talking about data centers. | 我们说的是数据中心 |
| 574 | Yes. | 对 |
| 575 | But arguably we have not seen the | 但可以说我们没有看到 |
| 576 | productivity gains yet for the vast majority of companies with regards to AI. | 在大赦国际方面,绝大多数公司的生产率都有所提高。 |
| 577 | And that in and of | 和这个在和 |
| 578 | itself is an additional boost. | 它本身就是一个额外的推动力。 |
| 579 | So whilst yes, capex we do expect to slow at some point with | 所以,虽然是的,盖顶 我们期望在某个时候 减缓与 |
| 580 | earlier or later, frankly, is not really the key driver. | 坦率地说,早或晚并非真正的关键驱动力。 |
| 581 | The key driver is once the infrastructure | 关键驱动力曾经是基础设施 |
| 582 | is in place, the productivity gains and benefits that we expect to see for the broader corporate | 生产率的提高和效益,我们期望看到更广泛的公司 |
| 583 | universe is still expected to be able to drive long term earnings and growth. | 宇宙仍然可望能够推动长期收入和增长。 |
| 584 | OK. And that might | 摆 也许 |
| 585 | have an impact on inflation. | 影响通货膨胀。 |
| 586 | Talking of inflation, that data taking some of the market by surprise, | 谈到通货膨胀, 数据占据了一些市场 惊喜, |
| 587 | moving the bond market substantially, particularly at the short end. | 大力推动债券市场的发展,特别是在短期。 |
| 588 | Let's just have a listen to how | 让我们听听如何 |
| 589 | the Chicago Fed, of course, how he captured the mood around that CPI print. | 当然,芝加哥美联储, 他如何抓住 周围的情绪 在CPI打印。 |
| 590 | It's another distressing report, borderline disturbing. | 这是另一个令人不安的报告, 边界扰动。 |
| 591 | So we've got a real inflation | 所以,我们有一个真正的通货膨胀 |
| 592 | issue on our hands that has been developing and we're going to have to deal with that. | 我们手上的问题, 一直在发展, 我们将不得不处理。 |
| 593 | Borderline disturbing for Gullsby. | 格尔斯比的边界线干扰。 |
| 594 | How did it impact your thinking around fixed income? | 如何影响你对固定收入的思考? |
| 595 | I mean, are you factoring in a higher inflation for longer environment, not just on the back | 我的意思是,你是否考虑一个更高的通货膨胀 对于更长的环境, 不只是背面 |
| 596 | of yesterday's print, but more broadly thinking about U.S. inflation? | 更广义地思考美国通货膨胀? |
| 597 | So I will say our view, | 所以我要说我们的观点, |
| 598 | and I think we have a fairly non consensus view, our view is that inflation will run hotter than | 我认为我们有一个 相当非共识的观点, 我们的观点是,通货膨胀会比 |
| 599 | consensus is thinking and that really by not hiking at the last FOMC meeting, the Fed is | 美联储在考虑 美联储没有在FOMC上次会议上徒步旅行 |
| 600 | setting themselves up to be behind the curve. | 设置自己在曲线后面。 |
| 601 | CPI print yesterday came in higher now, you know, | CPI昨天的印刷品更高 现在,你知道, |
| 602 | month over month type of readings can be volatile. | 一个月多的读数可能不稳定。 |
| 603 | But the share of CPI components that are rising at | 但是,消费物价指数组件的份额正在上升。 |
| 604 | 5% or faster jumped to 56% in October. | 在10月份,5%或更快地跃升到56%。 |
| 605 | It was up from 44% in September. | 这比9月份的44%有所增加。 |
| 606 | So October share is the | 所以十月份额是 |
| 607 | highest since 2022. | 自2022年以来最高. |
| 608 | So yes, we do think inflation is a concern. | 因此,我们确实认为通货膨胀是一个问题。 |
| 609 | Now, with regards to fixed income, | 关于固定收入 |
| 610 | we've been saying this for some time, the Fed and the Fed share have made it very, very clear that | 美联储和美联储已经说得很清楚了 |
| 611 | price stability and bringing in inflation is a number one priority for them. | 价格稳定和带来通货膨胀是它们的首要优先事项。 |
| 612 | And we're not there | 我们不在那里 |
| 613 | yet. | 还没有。 |
| 614 | As a result of that, you couple where we are with inflation, the signaling or, you know, | 因此,你和通货膨胀 信号或,你知道, |
| 615 | they don't do signaling, but they've been very overt with regards to that, we expect rates to | 他们不做信号, 但他们一直非常公开 关于这一点, 我们期望费率 |
| 616 | go higher. | 再高一点 |
| 617 | As a result of that, earlier in the year, and actually recently as well, we've adjusted | 因此,今年早些时候,以及最近,我们做了一些调整 |
| 618 | our duration position. | 我们的期限位置。 |
| 619 | So we moved from our mid and trend our mid and longer term duration, | 因此,我们从我们的中期和趋势 中长期, |
| 620 | and we're a shorter duration fixed income instruments. | 而且我们是更短的固定收入工具 |
| 621 | Why? | 为什么? |
| 622 | Because we wanted to be | 因为我们想成为 |
| 623 | able to try and insulate ourselves somewhat from the moves that we're expecting in the back end. | 能够尝试和隔离我们自己 与我们期待的动作 在后端。 |
| 624 | We also, and this has been quite some time, we've allocated and added to gold other areas that can | 我们还,这已经相当长的时间, 我们分配和增加了黄金 其他领域可以 |
| 625 | increase the balance in portfolios, because with regards to fixed income, we do believe it's going | 增加投资组合的平衡, 因为对于固定收入,我们确实相信这是去 |
| 626 | to be challenging, continues to be volatile. | 挑战性强,仍然不稳定。 |
| 627 | Alalu, thank you very much. | 阿拉鲁,非常感谢 |
| 628 | Alalu Agunga, | 阿拉卢·阿贡加 |
| 629 | thank you for your time from Citi. | 谢谢你从花旗来的时间。 |
| 630 | Good to get your perspective on the program. | 很高兴你对节目的看法 |
| 631 | Now to other top stories that are trending on the Bloomberg terminal this morning. | 现在,到其他顶级故事 正在流行 在彭博终端今天上午。 |
| 632 | Iran says it will | 伊朗说会的 |
| 633 | not remove a single atom of enriched nuclear material from the country. | 不从该国清除一个浓缩核材料原子。 |
| 634 | In an interview with | 在接受采访时 |
| 635 | the pan-Arab TV network, Al Mayadeed, Iran's Supreme National Security Council secretary said | 泛阿拉伯电视网 伊朗最高国家安全委员会秘书Al Mayadeed说 |
| 636 | Iran has informed Russia that its enriched material will remain in the country for domestic use. | 伊朗已通知俄罗斯,其浓缩材料将留在该国供国内使用。 |
| 637 | He said the material is required to design nuclear-powered ships and submarines. | 他说这些材料是设计核动力舰艇和潜艇所需的. |
| 638 | Prices | 价格 |
| 639 | of baby food and formula in the United States surged by the most on record in October, rising | 美国的婴儿食品和配方奶粉在10月份激增,创纪录,上升 |
| 640 | by about five percent. | 大约5%。 |
| 641 | A combination of factors are likely contributing to the increase in formula | 各种因素可能促使公式增加 |
| 642 | prices, including higher costs for ingredients and transportation inflation. | (a) 价格,包括原料成本较高和运输通货膨胀。 |
| 643 | BYD has apologized | BYD已经道歉了 |
| 644 | after some of its great Tang electric SUVs were assembled with their front and rear wheel rims | 之后,它的一些伟大的唐式电力SUV 组装了它们的前轮和后轮轮圈 |
| 645 | reversed. | 倒转。 |
| 646 | The automaker traced the mistake to a supplier and says the affected vehicles are safe | 汽车制造商追踪到一个供应商 说受影响车辆是安全的 |
| 647 | to drive. | 开车 |
| 648 | BYD is offering replacement rims and restarting the warranty period. | BYD提供替换轮廓并重启保修期. |
| 649 | Coming up on the | 马上就来 |
| 650 | program, a bumpy relation. | 程序,一个模糊的关系。 |
| 651 | The U.S. ambassador to China calls for diligence when dealing with | 美国驻华大使呼吁在与 |
| 652 | the Nvidia affair. | 恩维迪亚事件 |
| 653 | More on that next. | 接下来会有更多 |
| 654 | This is Bloomberg. | 这是彭博社 |
| 655 | We are establishing a direct channel | 我们正在建立一个直接渠道 |
| 656 | to ensure that either nation can promptly alert the other to serious incidents involving its | 确保任何国家能够迅速向对方发出警告,提醒对方注意涉及其经济、社会和文化权利的严重事件。 |
| 657 | models. | 模特儿们 |
| 658 | As SI advances, so will the need to engage in new areas of risk management and to demonstrate | 随着职业分类的推进,参与风险管理新领域和展示的必要性也将取得进展。 |
| 659 | how our two great nations can reconcile the demands of competition with the responsibilities | 我们两个伟大国家如何能够调和竞争要求与责任 |
| 660 | of leadership. | 领导权。 |
| 661 | That was Treasury Secretary Scott Besson hailing an improvement in U.S.-China | 这是财政部长斯科特·贝松 欢呼美国和中国的改善 |
| 662 | engagement at an event in New York. | 在纽约参加一个活动。 |
| 663 | Meanwhile, U.S. ambassador to China, David Perdue, stayed | 与此同时,美国驻华大使大卫·佩杜埃留了下来 |
| 664 | more cautious. | 更谨慎 |
| 665 | He spoke exclusively to Bloomberg. | 他只和布隆伯格谈话. |
| 666 | Stephen Engle. | 斯蒂芬·恩格尔. |
| 667 | I think the situation with Nvidia | 我想恩维迪亚的情况 |
| 668 | is another reminder that we have to stay diligent. | 再一次提醒我们必须坚持不懈。 |
| 669 | National security is part of this economic | 国家安全是经济的一部分 |
| 670 | conversation because economic security is national security. | 因为经济安全是国家安全 |
| 671 | And so what we're doing with China is | 所以,我们做的中国 |
| 672 | bumpy right now. | 现在很尴尬 |
| 673 | We have some areas of disagreement, but we have engagement. | 我们有一些分歧,但我们有接触。 |
| 674 | Joining us now from | 从现在开始加入我们 |
| 675 | Washington, Mika Solna of Bloomberg government. | 华盛顿,彭博政府的米卡·索尔纳. |
| 676 | Mika, good to get your perspective. | 美嘉,你的观点真好 |
| 677 | Thanks for | 谢谢 |
| 678 | taking us through this story and a number of others. | 带我们通过这个故事 和其他一些。 |
| 679 | Let's start with this then, U.S.-China | 先这样吧,美国中国 |
| 680 | relations. | 关系 |
| 681 | And it's interesting, the language coming from the U.S. envoy to China, relations | 有趣的是,来自美国驻华使节的语言,关系 |
| 682 | are bumpy after the Nvidia affair. | 在恩维迪亚事件后 变得很颠簸 |
| 683 | At another time, you might imagine that what we've seen from | 在另一个时间,你可能会想象 我们所看到的 |
| 684 | Nvidia and the scandal around that alleged spy, that might have resulted in a lot more outspoken | Nvidia和关于那个间谍的丑闻 可能更直言不讳 |
| 685 | language from Capitol Hill. | 国会山的语言 |
| 686 | Do you get the sense that the Republicans or the leadership are just | 你是否感觉到共和党或领导层只是 |
| 687 | trying to play this down because we're approaching this important meeting? | 因为我们正接近这个重要会议? |
| 688 | Yeah, I mean, I would say | 是啊,我的意思是,我会说 |
| 689 | the response, at least from both the White House and the overall administration, has been pretty | 至少白宫和整个政府的反应都不错 |
| 690 | tame so far in light of these allegations with Jensen Huang. | 根据黄詹森的这些指控 驯服至今 |
| 691 | I know that the president has said, | 我知道总统说过, |
| 692 | has addressed the issue on the heels of his meeting next week in China. | 下星期他在中国举行会议之后,已经谈到这个问题。 |
| 693 | But I do think that | 但我确实认为 |
| 694 | this is going to create a lot of tension, as we just heard David Perdue say. | 正如我们刚才听到大卫·佩杜伊所说,这将造成许多紧张。 |
| 695 | And I do think that | 我觉得 |
| 696 | could potentially bleed into that meeting when it comes to those national security issues. | 在涉及国家安全问题时,可能流血而死。 |
| 697 | We have to remind our audience that the president has become extremely close with Jensen Huang | 我们必须提醒观众 总统已经和黄詹森很亲密了 |
| 698 | as he kind of continues this AI race between the U.S. and China. | 他继续美国和中国之间的AI比赛 |
| 699 | And on another subject, but obviously in Washington, House Republicans have been trying | 而在另一个主题上, 但显然在华盛顿, 众议院共和党人一直在尝试 |
| 700 | to impeach Pete Hegseth, or at least a number have, but others have stood in the way of that | 弹劾Pete Hegseth, 或至少几个人有, 但其他人却阻止了这一点 |
| 701 | effort. | 努力起来。 |
| 702 | When things change in January, that might lead to a different outcome. | 当1月情况发生变化时,可能导致不同的结果。 |
| 703 | What have we learned | 我们学到了什么 |
| 704 | from this process? | 从这个过程? |
| 705 | Yeah, definitely. | 当然 |
| 706 | I mean, I think it still shows that a lot of Republicans | 我的意思是,我认为它仍然显示 很多共和党人 |
| 707 | are really hesitant to break with President Trump and the administration in any way. | 与川普总统及政府决裂, |
| 708 | I spoke with | 我和他谈过了 |
| 709 | more than a dozen House Republicans yesterday, both about the impeachment vote and just the | 昨天十多名众议院的共和党人 既谈弹劾投票 也谈 |
| 710 | overall outcome of the midterms and how they're feeling about President Trump, if they blame him | 以及他们对特朗普总统的感受, |
| 711 | at all for the stinging losses that Republicans faced both in the House and Senate and in those | 共和党在众议院和参议院 以及参议院 都面临巨大的损失 |
| 712 | prize races. | 比赛奖金。 |
| 713 | And a lot of them are really reluctant to place any blame on the president, | 很多人都不愿意把任何责任归咎于总统 |
| 714 | which I think still shows that this administration has a stronghold, especially in this lame duck | 我认为它仍然显示 这个政府有一个据点, 特别是在这个跛脚的鸭子上 |
| 715 | period heading into December, where Republicans are really going to try and pass the last of the | 在12月,共和党人 将尝试 和通过最后一个 |
| 716 | president's agenda. | 总统的议程。 |
| 717 | They see it as their last opportunity to get everything they can before | 他们认为这是他们最后的机会 得到所有他们以前能做的 |
| 718 | this total democratic takeover. | 这个完全民主的接管。 |
| 719 | But you're absolutely right that we may see this come again, | 但你绝对是对的,我们可能会看到这又来了, |
| 720 | as well as potential other impeachments next Congress, which have a greater chance of passing. | 以及可能发生的其他弹劾 下届国会, 他们有更大的可能通过。 |
| 721 | Right. | 对 |
| 722 | Yes, that'll be an interesting pivot to watch. | 是的,这将是一个有趣的 中枢观看。 |
| 723 | Now, Russia and Ukraine, | 现在,俄罗斯和乌克兰, |
| 724 | they're talking in Abu Dhabi. | 他们在阿布扎比说话 |
| 725 | How are those conversations? | 这些谈话怎么样? |
| 726 | Obviously, the U.S. is there | 显然,美国在那里 |
| 727 | and leading those talks. | 并领导这些会谈。 |
| 728 | How are those talks being viewed from Washington? | 华盛顿对这些会谈的看法如何? |
| 729 | Yeah, I think that there's optimism in Washington overall, at least in Capitol Hill. | 是的,我想华盛顿是乐观的, 至少在国会山。 |
| 730 | And the White | 还有白色 |
| 731 | House was very eager and has remained eager to try and progress these peace talks. | 豪斯非常渴望,并且一直渴望努力推动这些和平谈判。 |
| 732 | But I do think | 但我确实认为 |
| 733 | there's also a lot of skepticism. | 也有很多怀疑论. |
| 734 | And this war has been ongoing for years now. | 这场战争已经持续多年了 |
| 735 | The Trump | 特朗普号 |
| 736 | administration and the president have said that they would swiftly end this conflict, | 当局和总统说,他们将迅速结束这场冲突, |
| 737 | but it's been a lot more complicated. | 但事情已经复杂得多了 |
| 738 | And we're seeing this in a lot of the other global conflicts | 我们在其他许多全球冲突中都看到了这一点。 |
| 739 | that the president has weighed into extensively and even created, including the war in Iran, | 总统已经深入,甚至制造, 包括伊朗战争, |
| 740 | that these are a lot more complicated. | 更复杂一些 |
| 741 | And this will be the resumption of talks after a very long | 这将是在很长一段时间后恢复会谈 |
| 742 | period that was kind of stalled and heading into kind of this rockier period between Ukraine and | 进入乌克兰与乌克兰之间的一段时期 |
| 743 | U.S. in particular, in light of some comments that were made by U.S. officials regarding | 特别是美国,鉴于美国官员就 |
| 744 | Russian President Vladimir Putin. | 俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京. |
| 745 | Mika, thanks very much. | 美嘉,非常感谢 |
| 746 | Mika Solna of Bloomberg Government, | 彭博政府的米卡·索尔纳 |
| 747 | thank you very much for your time. | 非常感谢你的时间。 |
| 748 | Now, one stock we're keeping a firm eye on, of course, | 现在,一个股票,我们正在牢牢监视, 当然, |
| 749 | is CoreWeave, its earnings giving a boost to the market with a strong quarter and a rosy forecast. | CoreWeave的收入以强劲的季度和优美的预测为市场提供了动力。 |
| 750 | Let's get the perspective of Matt Bloxham from Bloomberg Intelligence. | 让我们从彭博情报部了解马特·布洛瑟姆的观点. |
| 751 | Well, there you go, | 好了,给你, |
| 752 | pre-market up by nearly 14 percent there, Matt. | 马特,在上市前涨了近14% |
| 753 | This was an epicenter of market concern some | 这是市场关注的中心 |
| 754 | weeks ago. | 几个星期前 |
| 755 | Now it seems to be acting as a comfort. | 现在它似乎是一种安慰。 |
| 756 | NASDAQ futures up really quite healthily, | 纳斯达克的未来非常健康, |
| 757 | partly on the back of the guidance we're getting here. | 部分的背面 我们得到的指导在这里。 |
| 758 | Yeah, I mean, definitely the guidance was | 是啊,我的意思是, 绝对的指导是 |
| 759 | helpful, you know, modest upgrade to the full year revenue and profit. | 帮助,你知道, 适度升级到全年的收入和利润。 |
| 760 | For me, the more interesting | 对我来说,更有趣 |
| 761 | point was the commentary around the sources of funding in the near term. | 关于近期筹资来源的评论是这一点。 |
| 762 | We'll see one of the | 我们会看到一个 |
| 763 | problems with CoreWeave recently has been that big spike in yields because of the question marks | 最近CoreWeave的问题 是因为有问题 |
| 764 | about how they can fund this massive rollout. | 他们如何资助这次大规模推出。 |
| 765 | It's going to be a cash flow negative company, | 这将是一个现金流负公司, |
| 766 | at least the next three or four years, according to consensus. | 根据共识,至少今后三四年。 |
| 767 | And the CEO said that they're going | 总裁说他们要去 |
| 768 | to get about nine billion dollars of prepayment funding from their customers and that they've got | 从客户那里得到90亿美元的预付资金 并且他们得到了 |
| 769 | a delayed drawdown investment grade facility in the pipes, too. | 管道投资级设施也推迟缩编。 |
| 770 | So we don't need to go and tap | 所以,我们不需要去敲打 |
| 771 | expensive debt to keep funding the business in the term. | 高额债务 继续资助企业在期限。 |
| 772 | And for me, that's like a very important | 对我来说,这就像一个非常重要的 |
| 773 | signal for the company to give. | 给公司的信号 |
| 774 | Because this company isn't typical. | 因为这个公司并不典型. |
| 775 | So we get comfort from | 我们从这里得到安慰 |
| 776 | the top line demand forecasts, maybe. | 顶线需求预测,也许。 |
| 777 | But they're not typical in terms of the debt story, are they? | 但他们在债务故事上并不典型,是吗? |
| 778 | No, they're not. | 不,他们不是。 |
| 779 | It's quite a complicated debt structure. | 这是一个相当复杂的债务结构。 |
| 780 | And some of the unsecured debt | 和一些无担保债务 |
| 781 | spiked as much as 15% yields recently because there are these question marks about the kind | 最近产量猛增15%,因为有关于此类的疑问 |
| 782 | of mismatch between revenue and profit growth, but the amount of capital investment they're making | 收入和利润增长之间的不匹配, 但他们的资本投资额 |
| 783 | near term, you know, tens of billions of dollars of cash outflow. | 不久,你知道, 数百亿美元的现金流出。 |
| 784 | And how do you continue to fund | 你如何继续资助 |
| 785 | that? | 那个? |
| 786 | And what's the trajectory towards cash flow break even? | 现金流断流的轨迹是什么? |
| 787 | What about Anthropic then? | 那安东尼呢? |
| 788 | Also | 还有 |
| 789 | getting some comfort there, are we, from this talk, certainly in other media, about just how | 在那里得到一些安慰, 我们,从这个演讲, 当然在其他媒体, |
| 790 | high the valuation could go here? | 高的估价可以在这里吗? |
| 791 | Not as high as some of the really elevated levels we've previously | 不如以前一些真正高的水平 |
| 792 | seen, but talk us through these latest numbers. | 说说最新数字 |
| 793 | Yeah, I mean, it's been a bit of a journey for them | 是啊,我意思是, 对他们来说,这是一个有点旅行 |
| 794 | in the last few weeks, hasn't it? | 过去几周,不是吗? |
| 795 | You know, I'll say that the news today that maybe the bankers | 你知道,我会说,今天的消息, 也许银行家 |
| 796 | are looking to push the valuation up towards 1.5 trillion, you know, still a long way short, | 想要将估值推向1.5万亿美元, 你知道,仍然很短, |
| 797 | the two trillion that people were talking about not so long ago, but much better than the 1.2 to | 不久前人们谈论的两万亿, 但比1.2到0. |
| 798 | 1.3, that they're kind of essentially the baseline, if you like, of the IPO. | 1.3,它们基本上是IPO的基准,如果你喜欢的话。 |
| 799 | It's really down to the | 这真的下到 |
| 800 | manhood team to kind of go and see investors give a very convincing pitch about the fundamentals, | 男子气概的团队 去看看投资者 给出一个非常有说服力的投注 关于基础, |
| 801 | the size of the addressable market, their sustainable profitability path, you know, | 可以解决的市场规模, 他们的可持续盈利路径,你知道, |
| 802 | the moat they've got around the business. | 护城河 他们有围绕生意。 |
| 803 | That's really what's going to, you know, | 这才是真正的,你知道, |
| 804 | test investors' appetite. | 测试投资者的胃口。 |
| 805 | And I guess they're probably keeping their fingers crossed that we | 我猜他们可能 保持他们的手指交叉,我们 |
| 806 | have a week without too many more or any more unexpected, negative bits of news around the | 一个星期没有太多或更多意外的负面新闻 |
| 807 | broader industry. | 扩大工业范围。 |
| 808 | Yes, and perhaps they'll be pleased with some of the positive news we've had | 是的,也许他们会很高兴 我们有一些积极的消息 |
| 809 | 甚至从OpenAI。 | |
| 810 | So some comfort perhaps on the ability to monetise the business? | 所以,也许有些安慰 能力货币化的业务? |
| 811 | Is that | 这是 |
| 812 | what we should read into the revenue numbers there? | 我们该读到那里的收入数字吗? |
| 813 | Yeah, I think so. | 是的,我想是这样。 |
| 814 | OpenAI出来了, | |
| 815 | reportedly told investors that Q3 revenue was about 10 billion, about 50% up sequentially, | 据报道,告诉投资者,Q3的收入约为100亿,相继上升了50%左右, |
| 816 | 和我们从Anthropic听到的一样 | |
| 817 | Anthropic的Q3号码很多 | |
| 818 | bigger, 17 billion dollars. | 更大的,170亿美元。 |
| 819 | What it showed you is OpenAI has pivoted into the same enterprise AI | 显示OpenAI是同一企业的支柱AI |
| 820 | opportunity that Anthropic's really focused on. | 安特罗皮克真正关注的机会 |
| 821 | It suggests there's plenty of demand there. | 这表明那里有很多需求。 |
| 822 | They're also kind of improving their kind of profitability trajectory too. | 他们的利润轨迹也有所改进。 |
| 823 | So yeah, | 所以,没错, |
| 824 | it's a positive data point. | 这是一个正数据点。 |
| 825 | I think it should in theory at least be a big enough market, | 我认为从理论上讲,它至少应该是一个足够大的市场, |
| 826 | big enough market for both of these companies to grow substantially from where they are today. | 这两家公司的市场都足够大,可以从今天开始大幅度增长。 |
| 827 | Matt, thank you very much. | 马特,非常感谢 |
| 828 | Matt Bloxham from Bloomberg Intelligence with all those tech | 彭博情报部的马特·布洛瑟姆 |
| 829 | themes. | 主题。 |
| 830 | Coming up, your day ahead. | 马上就来,你的未来。 |
| 831 | That's next. | 这是下一个。 |
| 832 | This is Bloomberg. | 这是彭博社 |
| 833 | Welcome back to The Brief. | 欢迎回到《简报》 |
| 834 | Now a look at what is ahead for today. | 现在看看今天的前景。 |
| 835 | A host of Fed speak including Hammock, Barr, | 包括哈莫克,巴尔, |
| 836 | Daly and Schmid. | 达利和施密德. |
| 837 | Throughout the day we get that commentary coming from those Fed speakers. | 整天我们从那些美联储演讲者那里得到评论 |
| 838 | OPEC will be out with its monthly oil report. | 欧佩克将发表月度石油报告。 |
| 839 | That's later this morning. | 今晨过后. |
| 840 | And the cash treasury | 还有现金库 |
| 841 | market is closed, of course, in observance of Veterans Day. | 当然,为了纪念退伍军人日,市场是关闭的。 |
| 842 | Certainly wasn't closed yesterday. | 昨天当然没有关门 |
| 843 | More on that in just a moment. | 过一会儿再谈 |
| 844 | Let's have a look at some of these macro movers for you. | 让我们来看看这些大型移动器。 |
| 845 | And in fact, thinking about yesterday and the big moves that we saw higher in yields, | 事实上,想想昨天 和我们看到的产量较高的大动作, |
| 846 | certainly at the two-year horizon, also at the five-year went over 5% on 10-year yields at one | 当然,在两年的时间内,五年的产量在十年的产量中超过了5%。 |
| 847 | point. | 点。 |
| 848 | Well, we see a continuation of that trajectory and Wednesday's futures picture | 我们看到轨迹的延续 和周三的未来 |
| 849 | waiting for cash trade tomorrow. | 等待明天的现金交易。 |
| 850 | The broader futures picture for equities looks pretty positive. | 更广阔的股票期货前景看起来相当乐观。 |
| 851 | We're up by 1.9% on NASDAQ futures. | 纳斯达克期货涨1.9%. |
| 852 | Thinking about where we go on the core. | 想着我们往哪里去 |
| 853 | We've story and | 我们的故事和 |
| 854 | profit. | 利润。 |
| 855 | All of that offering a little bit of comfort around that AI tech narrative. | 所有这一切为人工智能技术说明提供了一点安慰。 |
| 856 | Quick look at where we are on commodities. | 快看看我们在商品方面的情况。 |
| 857 | Brent prices moving a little bit higher. | 布伦特的价钱涨了一点 |
| 858 | Gold prices move a little bit higher. | 黄金价格上升了一点 |
| 859 | Brent and WTI, of course, focused on developments in the | 当然,布伦特和世界投资倡议的重点是: |
| 860 | Middle East. | 中东。 |
| 861 | The Iranians taking a tough line on enrichment of uranium. | 伊朗人在铀浓缩问题上采取强硬立场. |
| 862 | The gold price is perhaps | 金价或许是 |
| 863 | more focused on CPI and the trajectory for Fed interest rates. | 更注重消费物价指数和美联储利率的轨迹。 |
| 864 | That is it for Bloomberg Brief. | 这是为彭博简介。 |
| 865 | Surveillance is a hedge. | 监视是一种篱笆。 |
| 866 | This is Bloomberg. | 这是彭博社 |
该视频共有字幕 866 条。解锁更多字幕为会员功能,请移动到 价格
P2 · 【中英字幕】彭博财经简报26.11.11 p02 【英字&原声】 (P2)
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:14 | It's 5 a.m. in New York City, 10 a.m. here in London. | 现在是纽约早上5点 伦敦早上10点 |
| 0:17 | Good morning, everybody. | 早上好,大家好,谢谢 |
| 0:18 | I'm Anna | 我是安娜,我叫安纳 |
| 0:18 | Edwards with your Bloomberg Brief. | 爱德华兹与你的彭博简介。 |
| 0:20 | Let's get you set up for the day ahead. | 令诸众生安住前天. |
| 0:22 | Equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from CoreWeave, reviving | 在核心网络的季度结果比预期的要强之后,股票得到增殖,恢复活力 |
| 0:27 | investor confidence in the AI trade. | 投资者对AI贸易的信心. |
| 0:30 | Andropix Bankers说正在考虑提高估价 | |
| 0:33 | for the firm's blockbuster IPO at $1.5 trillion or more. | 以1.5万亿或更多美元的价格 买下公司的IPO |
| 0:38 | And a hot CPI print ramps up rate | 热的CPI打印率上升了 |
展开字幕全文(565 条)
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | It's 5 a.m. in New York City, 10 a.m. here in London. | 现在是纽约早上5点 伦敦早上10点 |
| 2 | Good morning, everybody. | 早上好,大家好,谢谢 |
| 3 | I'm Anna | 我是安娜,我叫安纳 |
| 4 | Edwards with your Bloomberg Brief. | 爱德华兹与你的彭博简介。 |
| 5 | Let's get you set up for the day ahead. | 令诸众生安住前天. |
| 6 | Equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from CoreWeave, reviving | 在核心网络的季度结果比预期的要强之后,股票得到增殖,恢复活力 |
| 7 | investor confidence in the AI trade. | 投资者对AI贸易的信心. |
| 8 | Andropix Bankers说正在考虑提高估价 | |
| 9 | for the firm's blockbuster IPO at $1.5 trillion or more. | 以1.5万亿或更多美元的价格 买下公司的IPO |
| 10 | And a hot CPI print ramps up rate | 热的CPI打印率上升了 |
| 11 | Mike Betts. | 麦克贝茨。 |
| 12 | Cash treasury markets are closed for Veterans Day after a surge in yields. | 现金库市场在收益激增后关闭,用于退伍军人日。 |
| 13 | Let's get a check on the markets then around the world. | 让我们检查一下市场 然后在世界各地。 |
| 14 | Here's Winnie Hsu in Hong Kong | 香港的荣氏 |
| 15 | for the latest on the Asia trade. | 最近关于亚洲贸易的情况。 |
| 16 | Winnie. | 荣曰. |
| 17 | Yeah, good morning, Anna. | 是的,早上好,安娜,你好吗? |
| 18 | Well, as you mentioned, | 嗯,如你所说, |
| 19 | we are seeing pretty positive sentiment in Asia today and actually Asian stocks rising | 我们今天在亚洲看到相当积极的情绪 和实际上亚洲的股票上升 |
| 20 | for a third day, headed for its best three days gains since August. | 进入8月份以来最好的三天 |
| 21 | Now, as you mentioned, | 现在,正如你提到的, |
| 22 | we have the better than expected results from CoreWeave that really reassured investors | 我们的CoreWeave结果比预期的要好 能让投资者放心 |
| 23 | that the AI computing demand is still very strong. | AI计算需求仍然非常强烈. |
| 24 | 还有 FT报道说 Andropix | |
| 25 | Bankers are considering a raising IPO valuation for the company. | 银行家们正在考虑提高公司IPO的估值。 |
| 26 | So that together you are | 所以你们在一起 |
| 27 | seeing tech stocks in Asia leading gain index here up by about 3.6 percent, also being lifted | 亚洲的科技存量领先增长指数 上升了3.6% 也正在被取消 |
| 28 | by the gains that we saw in TSMC. | 由我们在TSMC中看到的成果。 |
| 29 | Of course, we did have that 60 percent jump in revenue | 当然,我们确实有 60%的收入跳跃 |
| 30 | for October. | 为十月. |
| 31 | And plus the company saying that it is investing 500 million dollars each in | 再加上公司说 投资5亿美金 |
| 32 | Andropix and OpenAI. | 安德罗皮克斯和OpenAI. |
| 33 | Now, Flipboard and take a look at the bond space because we are seeing | 现在,翻板,看看 债券空间,因为我们看到 |
| 34 | the impact from that, hotter than expected US CPI numbers raising the expectation for | 因此,美国消费物价指数的热度比预期的要高。 |
| 35 | the Fed to tighten more aggressively. | 美联储要更加严厉 |
| 36 | That is why you are seeing Japan's 10 year and | 这就是为什么你看到 日本的十年和 |
| 37 | five year here higher by about nine basis points for the yields. | 五年的产量比这高9个基点 |
| 38 | And we are also seeing | 我们还看到 |
| 39 | a bit of a weakness in the Japanese yen, in fact, weakening to its weakest level in more | 日元的一点弱点 事实上 更弱到最弱 |
| 40 | than a month after we saw a bit of a strength when it comes to the US dollar. | 一个多月后,我们看到美元有一点强劲。 |
| 41 | Winnie, thanks very much. | 荣,非常感谢。 |
| 42 | Winnie Sue with a look at Asia. | 荣瑞苏一览亚洲. |
| 43 | Now on to Europe. | 现在进入欧洲。 |
| 44 | This is | 这是 |
| 45 | a picture, a snapshot really of what we are seeing here in the European session. | 一个图片,一个真实的快照 我们在这里看到的欧洲会议。 |
| 46 | The stock | 库存 |
| 47 | 600 up three tenths of one percent catching up with the US, a strong earnings story to | 600倍的十分之三 赶上美国, 一个强大的收入故事 |
| 48 | sell. | 卖掉。 |
| 49 | And some people pointing to the European equity markets as being a bit of a haven away | 有些人指向欧洲的股权市场 像是个避风港 |
| 50 | from turmoil in US tech. | 美国科技的动荡 |
| 51 | European tech actually benefiting today up by 1.8 percent and keeping | 欧洲技术今天实际受益1.8%, |
| 52 | an eye on what's going on in fixed income of all sorts. | 观察各种固定收入的情况。 |
| 53 | No cash trading in the Treasury | 财务处没有现金交易 |
| 54 | market in the United States. | 美国市场。 |
| 55 | But yesterday we saw Treasuries and European bond markets | 但昨天我们看到了 国库和欧洲债券市场 |
| 56 | really roiled by that much higher. | 被这么高的地盘搅了 |
| 57 | Well, the higher print than expected on CPI and what | 那么,高于预期的 消费物价指数和什么 |
| 58 | that did to yield. | 这确实使自己屈服了。 |
| 59 | So we continue to watch where yields are moving. | 因此,我们继续观察产量在移动。 |
| 60 | With that in mind, | 考虑到这一点, |
| 61 | we've got US two year futures on the board for you as we continue to track the fallout | 继续追踪后遗症 我们为你准备了两年的未来 |
| 62 | from that CPI print and the hawkish commentary from the Fed and the reassessments of Fed | 对美联储的重新评估 |
| 63 | rate hike bets that we've seen as a result. | 速率上涨的赌注,我们已经看到的结果。 |
| 64 | NASDAQ futures up by 1.7 percent, S&P futures | 纳斯达克期货上涨1.7% S&P期货 |
| 65 | up by eight tenths of one percent. | 上升了百分之八的1%。 |
| 66 | 从CoreWeave传来的一些新闻线 | |
| 67 | and Anthropic, as we mentioned in our headlines, acting as something of a comfort to the tech | 正如我们在头条新闻中所提到的 对科技来说是一种安慰 |
| 68 | trade. | 贸易。 |
| 69 | Let's get some of the stocks we're watching this morning. | 我们早上看的股票 |
| 70 | 这是Olivia LaVue。 | |
| 71 | Good morning, Anna. | 早上好,安娜,你好吗? |
| 72 | You'd be hard pressed to find a part of the tape both globally and | 你很难找到 磁带的一部分 全球和 |
| 73 | in US pre-market that isn't dominated right now by the AI trade, particularly though this | 在美国前市场, 现在不是由AI贸易主导, 尤其是这个 |
| 74 | morning we're focusing on CoreWeave. | 早上我们集中关注核心网络 |
| 75 | They lifted their four-year guidance and beat on | 他们解除了四年的指引 继续前进 |
| 76 | third quarter revenue. | 第三季度收入。 |
| 77 | Both of those metrics coming in handily ahead actually of Wall Street | 这两条标准都巧妙地领先于华尔街 |
| 78 | expectations helping to calm investor nerves over CoreWeave's debt-laden businesses and | 帮助投资者平息CoreWeave债务累累的企业和 |
| 79 | in general the challenges facing the data center industry. | 一般而言,数据中心行业面临的挑战。 |
| 80 | That's lifting AI stocks | 这就是解除AI股票 |
| 81 | across the board. | 包罗万象。 |
| 82 | Another area that we're focused on though is the AI photonics complex. | 我们关注的另一个领域是AI光子复合体. |
| 83 | Coherence and Lumentum are both higher in pre-market trading after Japanese peer Hamamatsu | 在日本同行哈马松之后, 市场前交易的一致性和意义都更高 |
| 84 | Photonics was up almost 15 percent, showing that photonics demand is still incredibly | 光子素上升了近15% 显示光子素的需求仍然惊人 |
| 85 | strong. | 强壮。 |
| 86 | It's a key component in data centers. | 这是数据中心的关键组件。 |
| 87 | Finally, we have results from Alcon. | 最后,我们得到了阿尔康的结果。 |
| 88 | They're | 他们是 |
| 89 | down in Europe and they're down in pre-market US trading after disappointing third quarter | 在欧洲,他们倒下 在市场前的美国贸易 令人失望的第三季度 |
| 90 | results that were led by a weakness in their implantables business. | 由植入物业务的弱点所带动的结果。 |
| 91 | Olivia 非常感谢你 | |
| 92 | Olivia Levue和你的前市场推销员 | |
| 93 | Coming up this | 来了 |
| 94 | hour we will get into conversation about the tech trade with Olaolu Ogongu who joins us | 一小时后,我们开始讨论 与奥拉奥卢·奥贡古的技术交易 |
| 95 | from Citi joining us to talk about the AI rally and how that rubs up against moves in | 从花旗加入我们 谈论AI集会 和如何抹黑 移动英寸 |
| 96 | bond markets. | 债券市场。 |
| 97 | Let's get back to the CoreWeave story though talking of AI. | 让我们回到CoreWeave的故事,尽管谈论AI. |
| 98 | Shares are extending | 股份正在扩展 |
| 99 | gains after posting strong results and an upbeat forecast with the CEO Michael Intrator | 与首席执行官迈克尔·Intrator一起公布强有力的成果并作出乐观的预测 |
| 100 | calling it a breakout quarter for the firm. | 给律所打个突破区 |
| 101 | 我们把Tom McKenzie带进来,主播 | |
| 102 | opening trade here in London, with me of course and here to tell us all the things we need | 在伦敦开设贸易, 当然,我在这里 告诉我们我们需要的一切 |
| 103 | to know about the tech trade. | 了解技术交易。 |
| 104 | 先从CoreWeave开始. | |
| 105 | What was comforting about what Core | 何谓安慰什么核心 |
| 106 | Weave had to say? | 编织必须说? |
| 107 | 你可以从CEOMichael Intrator那里 得到解脱 | |
| 108 | of course of this company, on the back of earnings and the upgrade to the forecast. | 当然,这家公司, 在收入的背面 和升级到预测。 |
| 109 | So they're now forecasting $13.3 billion in revenue for the full year. | 所以他们现在预测全年收入133亿美元. |
| 110 | So that was a significant | 所以这很重要 |
| 111 | beat. | 节拍。 |
| 112 | Losses for the company have narrowed so that's significant and they have this chunky | 公司的损失已经缩小了 所以这是重大的, 他们有这个巨大的 |
| 113 | backlog of about $132 billion, above $132 billion in terms of orders that they now need to execute | 积压约1 320亿美元,超过1 320亿美元,目前需要执行 |
| 114 | on. | 继续 |
| 115 | So on all those metrics this is very positive for a company that's come under increased | 因此,在所有这些衡量标准上 这非常正面 对于一个公司,它已经得到了增加 |
| 116 | scrutiny of course around its business model and how viable it is because they have to borrow | 当然要围绕其商业模式加以审查,并检查其可行性,因为它们必须借款; |
| 117 | at high rates to build out the infrastructure, to build out the data sensors and buy the chips that | 高收费建造基础设施 建造数据传感器 购买芯片 |
| 118 | they then lease on to the likes of Microsoft and OpenAI. | 然后租借给微软公司和OpenAI公司 |
| 119 | So a beat on that terms. | 这么说吧 |
| 120 | This isn't | 这不是 |
| 121 | completely out of the woods for CoreWeave. | 完全走出森林为科雷织。 |
| 122 | They still have net debt of about $62 billion | 他们还有620亿美元的债务 |
| 123 | but certainly it's a tick in the box and they need to continue performing in these quarters | 但他们肯定在盒子里 需要继续表演 |
| 124 | to really assuage the concerns but the market or at least the stock has cooled higher this morning. | 真正缓解关注 但市场或至少 股票已经降温 今天上午。 |
| 125 | Yeah even if we still have questions and concerns about the role of Nvidia right now it seems that | 是啊,即使我们还有问题和担心 关于Nvidia的角色现在,似乎 |
| 126 | the narrative out of CoreWeave is at least a positive one in the short term. | CoreWeave的叙述在短期内至少是正面的。 |
| 127 | What else have | 还有什么? |
| 128 | we got in the mix then? | 我们混进去了? |
| 129 | Anthropic and the conversations there about the, well we know | 安东尼和那里的对话 我们知道 |
| 130 | a bit more about the timing don't we it seems, about this IPO, the planned timing at least and | 更多关于时机,我们不 它看起来,关于这个IPO, 计划的时间至少和 |
| 131 | planned valuations. | 计划估值。 |
| 132 | What are the reports like around just how high or low the valuation might | 报告是什么样子的 只是估价有多高或低 |
| 133 | go here? | 来这里? |
| 134 | The reports suggest there is huge demand for Anthropics IPOs. | 报告表明对人类学IPO的需求巨大. |
| 135 | The Financial Times front | 金融时报前线 |
| 136 | page today they're looking at a valuation potentially of more than one and a half, | 今天他们正在研究一个超过1.5的估价 |
| 137 | more than one and a half trillion dollars. | 超过1.5万亿美元。 |
| 138 | Now that would make it the biggest IPO ever on record. | 这将是有史以来最大的IPO记录。 |
| 139 | They had set a pricing yesterday in the update to the S1, the SEC, the Securities Exchange Commission | 他们昨天在S1的更新中 设定了定价 证监会 证券交易委员会 |
| 140 | of between 70 to 78 dollars per share. | 每股70至78美元之间。 |
| 141 | It seems they now may increase that pricing which is | 看来他们现在可能会增加价格,也就是 |
| 142 | unusual given the demand they've seen. | 他们看到的要求不同寻常 |
| 143 | And in terms of the forward picture, look this is still | 从前景来看,看这还是 |
| 144 | a company that is projecting into the 2030s commitments of around 900 billion US dollars | 2030年代约9 000亿美元的承诺 |
| 145 | but revenues are growing. | 但收入正在增长。 |
| 146 | The revenue growth is phenomenal, it's nearly 50 percent, it's slowed, | 收入的增长是惊人的, 将近50%, 它放缓, |
| 147 | the revenue growth is slowed but from a very very high level. | 收入增长放缓,但增长幅度非常高。 |
| 148 | It seems right now, and this is the | 现在看来,这是 |
| 149 | most important takeaway, this IPO will get through. | 最重要的外卖, 这个IPO会通过。 |
| 150 | Then in the secondaries, how do the public markets | 然后在二手店里 公共市场怎么样 |
| 151 | then react to that? | 然后对此作出反应? |
| 152 | Is there a pot, does it sustain it or do people take cash off the table? | 有没有大麻,它维持它 或者人们从桌子上拿走现金? |
| 153 | Yeah we certainly did have one guest on Asia program I think, didn't we, who was... Jack Selby. | 是啊,我们确实有一个客人 在亚洲的节目 我想,是不是我们,谁是... 杰克・塞尔比。 |
| 154 | Yeah a little bit cautious on what happens when lockups come to an end and that sort of thing. | 是啊,有点谨慎 当锁 结束和那种事情。 |
| 155 | Open AI,第三季度收入数字通过Open AI增加50%. | |
| 156 | I mean | 我是说 |
| 157 | telling us a comforting story about monetization and the ability to monetize these models. | 告诉我们一个令人欣慰的故事 关于货币化 和将这些模型货币化的能力。 |
| 158 | 如果你把这些三家企业放在一起 CoreWeave Anthropic 开放AI | |
| 159 | the one clear takeaway for the bulls is the demand continues to be there. | 对公牛来说唯一明确的外卖是需求还在继续 |
| 160 | Massive demand, | 巨大的需求, |
| 161 | massive demand for compute, that's the CoreWeave story with that backlog of 132 billion, | 大量的需求计算, 这是核心 Weave的故事 与积压的132亿, |
| 162 | massive demand for the frontier models still for Open AI and Anthropic. | 对开放AI和Anthropic的前沿模型的大量需求。 |
| 163 | Open AI, as you said, | 打开AI,正如你说的, |
| 164 | 10 billion US dollars in the most recent quarter in terms of the revenues that came through, | 从最近一个季度的收入来看,100亿美元, |
| 165 | on an annualized rate. | 年薪标准。 |
| 166 | You're looking at revenues now of about 50 billion dollars, | 你现在看到的是500亿美元的收入, |
| 167 | annualized revenues for Open AI. | 公开AI的年收入。 |
| 168 | So they are catching up with Anthropic and they are proving | 所以他们追上Anthropic 他们证明 |
| 169 | that there is still demand. | 仍然有需求。 |
| 170 | Now they're still making a loss and the margin is still very much | 现在他们还在亏本,赔率仍然很高 |
| 171 | in negative territory for Open AI, but those losses have narrowed. | 但是损失已经缩小了 |
| 172 | Okay Tom, thank you very | 好吧,汤姆,谢谢你 |
| 173 | much. | 非常喜欢 |
| 174 | Tom McKenzie of course with the latest on those tech themes. | Tom McKenzie当然有这些技术主题的最新消息 |
| 175 | Tech themes rubbing up against | 技术主题与 |
| 176 | the latest inflation data out of the US. | 美国最新的通货膨胀数据。 |
| 177 | The latest CPI report came in then hot, | 最新的消费物价指数报告当时很热 |
| 178 | sending two-year treasury yields soaring by the most in some 19 months. | 两年的国库收益在大约19个月里猛增最多。 |
| 179 | Chicago Fed President | 芝加哥联邦主席 |
| 180 | Austin Coolsby weighed in on the report on PBS NewsHour. | 奥斯汀·柯尔斯比在PBS新闻频道的报道中有所评价. |
| 181 | Take a listen. | 来听听 |
| 182 | It's another distressing | 又是又一个烦恼 |
| 183 | report, borderline disturbing. | 报告,边界线扰动。 |
| 184 | So we've got a real inflation issue on our hands that has been | 所以我们手上有真正的通货膨胀问题 |
| 185 | developing and we're going to have to deal with that. | 正在发展,我们不得不处理。 |
| 186 | Now the cash treasury market is closed today | 现今金库市场今日关闭 |
| 187 | in the US, but there's movement elsewhere of course and there was plenty of movement in | 在美国,但有移动 当然其他地方, 有很多移动 |
| 188 | yesterday's session. | 昨天的会议。 |
| 189 | Ven Ram joins us, Bloomberg's Ven Ram, with some analysis. | 文・拉姆加入我们,彭博的文・拉姆, 有一些分析。 |
| 190 | So we established | 所以我们建立了 |
| 191 | over the last 24 hours that stocks like tech and that bond markets once again do not like inflation | 过去24小时内 科技等股票和债券市场 再次不喜欢通货膨胀 |
| 192 | and that's certainly what we saw at the front end of the US curve. | 这当然是我们在美国曲线前端看到的。 |
| 193 | How surprised were you by the | 你有多惊讶 |
| 194 | extent of the move in treasuries and other global bond markets on the back of that inflation print? | 国库和其他全球债券市场的变动幅度? |
| 195 | Hi Anna, so I don't think I was surprised at all because you know this was an accident | 嗨,安娜,所以我不觉得惊讶,因为你知道这是一个意外 |
| 196 | that was waiting to happen. | 等待着发生 |
| 197 | We have discussed in recent sessions how well the US economy has | 我们最近几届会议讨论过美国经济如何发展 |
| 198 | been doing, real growth has been above 3% which is above trend and you've got inflation that is | 一直以来,实际增长 3%以上,高于趋势 通货膨胀是 |
| 199 | running well above 3% and yesterday's inflation was to the upside. | 而昨天的通货膨胀是好的。 |
| 200 | So the markets have been | 所以市场已经 |
| 201 | glossing over the fact that you know how far does the Fed have to put up rates here and it looks | 掩盖了一个事实,你知道 美联储必须多远 将利率在这里,它看起来 |
| 202 | like they have to go a long way because you know even the Fed's own estimate of the real neutral | 就像他们必须走很长的路 因为你甚至知道美联储自己 对真正的中立者的估计 |
| 203 | rate is 120 basis points now and clearly that's understating it and as Goolsbee said this is | 速率是120个基点 现在,很明显,这是 低估它,正如Goolsbee说这是 |
| 204 | disturbing and I think that the Fed has got to go more than three times which is what the markets are | 美联储必须走三次多 那就是市场 |
| 205 | currently pricing in and if the Fed has got to keep raising rates I think that the front end is | 如果美联储继续提高利率 我认为前端是 |
| 206 | more or less there around 475, 478 which is the spread over the Fed mid-rate is considerable but | 大约475 478美元 也就是美联储中产率的分布很大 |
| 207 | if you look at the long end that's where I'm really concerned and I think that the 10 year is | 如果你看长的一端 那才是我真正关心的地方 我认为10年是 |
| 208 | hovering around 5% as we talk but I think that the 10 year and the 30 year yields have really | 在我们谈话时徘徊在5%左右 但我认为10年和30年的产量 |
| 209 | have much more work to do and I think that the direction of yields is higher from here. | 还有更多的工作要做,我认为产量的方向从这里更高。 |
| 210 | Yes it's interesting isn't it we got back above 5% didn't we yesterday on the 10 year we closed | 有意思的是,我们回来的不是5%以上吗 昨天我们关闭了10年 |
| 211 | at 4.99 and obviously no cash trading today. | 今天没有现金交易 |
| 212 | So what dictates the direction of travel next then | 接下来旅行的方向是什么? |
| 213 | Ven? | 温? |
| 214 | We saw of course the the fallout from the AI nervousness in the United States post the | 当然,我们看到了美国AI的紧张情绪 带来的后遗症 |
| 215 | buying and therefore lower yields but that thought process or that trip that investment | 购买并因此降低收益,但思考过程或投资之旅 |
| 216 | thesis seems to have moved aside. | 论文似乎已经挪到一边去了。 |
| 217 | Well as there are going to be episodes of volatility in the | 会有波动 |
| 218 | equity markets you will see tactical rallies in treasuries but I don't think that's the | 股票市场,你会看到战术集会 在国库,但我不认为这是 |
| 219 | sustainable or the strategic direction of treasuries from here because you know if you're | 或从这里得到的国库战略方向 因为你知道自己是否 |
| 220 | a nominal bond holder you want to be compensated for inflation that's the point of buying bonds | 名义债券持有者,您想获得通货膨胀补偿,这是购买债券的要点 |
| 221 | and if you if you're not getting an adequate inflation compensation | 如果你没有得到足够的通货膨胀补偿 |
| 222 | what is the point of that five nominal coupons because they are going to be eroded by inflation | 那五张名义优惠券有什么意义,因为它们将被通货膨胀侵蚀 |
| 223 | so I think that the direction of yields at least the long date of the bonds is definitely higher | 所以我认为,收益方向 至少在债券的漫长日期 绝对更高 |
| 224 | from here and I think that we are not yet in the value zone if you look at the median of the | 从这里,我认为,我们还没有 在价值区 如果你看看中间值 |
| 225 | inflation adjusted yields on the 10 year treasury is going back in history it's about two and a half | 10年的通货膨胀调整收益率 在历史上是 大约是2.5年 |
| 226 | percent and I we are not at that level so I think that we have got further to go here. | 我和我们没有达到这个水平 所以我想我们还有更多的工作要做 |
| 227 | Okay Ben thank you very much thanks for the analysis Bloomberg's | 还好 本非常感谢你对彭博公司的分析 |
| 228 | Venram from the markets live team now to other top stories that are trending on the Bloomberg | 来自市场现场的Venram 团队到其他顶级故事 正在流行于彭博会 |
| 229 | terminal this morning Morgan Stanley says global equity hedge funds cut risk at the fastest pace | Morgan Stanley说,全球股权对冲基金以最快的速度降低风险 |
| 230 | in more than a decade through the first week of November the retreat came as AI stocks sold off | 在11月第一个星期的十几年里, 退场是随着AI股票的出售而来的 |
| 231 | following the midterm elections hedge funds returns in the first week of November were | 在中期选举之后,11月第一个星期的对冲基金收益 |
| 232 | negative across all regions. | 所有区域的负数。 |
| 233 | 美国驻华大使David Perdue指出, | |
| 234 | Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang and an alleged Chinese spy is posing a test to bilateral relations he | Nvidia首席执行官Jensen Huang和一位中国间谍 正在考验他的双边关系 |
| 235 | says US-China relations are quote bumpy ahead of next week's summit between presidents Trump | 说中美关系在川普总统下周的峰会前 出现颠簸 |
| 236 | and the Chinese to take place in Shenzhen in China meanwhile treasury secretary Scott Besson | 和中国人将在深圳举行 同时,财政部秘书斯科特·贝松 |
| 237 | hailed an improvement in US-China engagements ahead of president Trump's visit next week | 在川普总统下周访问之前, |
| 238 | he spoke to the national committee on US-China relations. | 他和中美关系全国委员会谈过了 |
| 239 | We are establishing a direct channel to ensure that either nation can promptly alert the other | 我们正在建立一个直接渠道,以确保任何国家能够迅速向对方发出警报。 |
| 240 | to serious incidents involving its SI models. | 涉及其职业分类模型的严重事件。 |
| 241 | As SI advances so will the need to engage in | 随着职业介绍所的推进,需要参与 |
| 242 | new areas of risk management and to demonstrate how our two great nations can reconcile the | 新的风险管理领域,并展示我们两个伟大国家如何协调 |
| 243 | demands of competition with the responsibilities of leadership. | 要求与领导责任竞争。 |
| 244 | Coming up on the program Russia | 即将上演俄罗斯的节目 |
| 245 | and Ukraine try to negotiate a peace deal more on that next this is Bloomberg. | 接下来是彭博社, |
| 246 | This is Bloomberg Brief I'm Anna Edwards live in London. | 这是彭博简介 我是安娜·爱德华兹住在伦敦 |
| 247 | Ukraine and Russia continue a second day | 乌克兰和俄罗斯继续第二天 |
| 248 | of US-led peace talks in Abu Dhabi let's get an update with Bloomberg's Greg Sullivan. | 美国主导的阿布扎比和谈 让我们了解彭博的格雷格·沙利文 |
| 249 | Greg what's | 格雷格,这是什么? |
| 250 | the latest then coming from these talks a couple of days in and some of the language seems to be | 最近从这些谈话中传来的一些语言 |
| 251 | quite positive any substance? | 相当积极的任何物质? |
| 252 | Right the second day of talks did kick off today Ukrainian president | 今天,乌克兰总统的第二天会谈确实开始了 |
| 253 | Volodymyr Zelensky said that issues like de-escalation potential ceasefires over | 沃洛迪米尔·泽连斯基说,诸如缓和可能停火的问题 |
| 254 | the Black Sea and energy infrastructure could be on the table in today's talks. | 在今天的会谈中,黑海和能源基础设施可以放在桌面上。 |
| 255 | Coming out of | 出来了 |
| 256 | yesterday's talks the US and Ukraine cast them as rather constructive and productive. | 昨天的会谈使美国和乌克兰认为它们具有相当的建设性和建设性。 |
| 257 | Russia was | 俄罗斯当时 |
| 258 | slightly more reticent an official that was part of the talks said that it's still too early to say | 稍稍迟钝一点 身为谈判一部分的官员说 现在说还为时过早 |
| 259 | how the negotiations are going. | 谈判进展如何? |
| 260 | These are the first negotiations since February when the US | 这是美国2月份以来的第一次谈判 |
| 261 | shifted its focus to the its war on Iran so now that they're resuming it is an interesting sign | 现在他们又重新发动了这场战争, |
| 262 | that there is some momentum and some sides are casting it as constructive but still the fact | 有一些势头,有些方面认为它具有建设性,但事实仍然是: |
| 263 | remains that a lot of issues remain on the table and there is quite a chasm between the two sides | 双方仍然存在着很大的分歧 |
| 264 | leading into these talks on those issues. | 就这些问题展开会谈。 |
| 265 | Meanwhile the attacks by both sides do seem to continue | 同时双方的攻击似乎仍在继续 |
| 266 | That's right we saw attacks overnight from both Ukraine and Russia. | 没错,我们一晚上就看到来自乌克兰和俄罗斯的攻击。 |
| 267 | Ukraine said that | 乌克兰说, |
| 268 | energy infrastructure was struck while Russia said that oil infrastructure in Ust-Luga was hit | 俄罗斯说乌斯图-卢加的石油基础设施受到冲击, |
| 269 | so they haven't been quite to the same scale that we saw leading up to the attacks. | 所以他们还没有达到我们所看到的 攻击前的规模 |
| 270 | Both sides | 双方 |
| 271 | have been escalating their attacks prior to these talks yet clearly it's still ongoing even as | 在会谈之前,他们的攻击不断升级,但显然仍在进行之中,即使 |
| 272 | Zelensky said that today potential ceasefires over energy could be on the table but again Russia has | Zelensky说,今天潜在的能源停火可能摆在桌面上,但俄罗斯再次 |
| 273 | cautioned that it is still too early to say and up until now Russia hasn't backed away from its | 警告说,现在说起来还为时过早,直到现在,俄罗斯还没有放弃它。 |
| 274 | maximalist demands and has been cautious about any kind of acceptance of a ceasefire actually | 最大程度的要求,并对实际接受停火的任何形式持谨慎态度 |
| 275 | broadly rejecting the need for a ceasefire as potentially only buying Ukraine time to regroup. | 普遍反对停火,因为可能只是为乌克兰重新集结争取时间。 |
| 276 | Right and it's interesting so at this meeting we have the U.S. of course bringing these two sides | 癸 Τ届 硂穦 и讽礛穦Τ瓣 р硂ㄢ娩盿ㄓ |
| 277 | together Ukraine is there Russia is there not much European presence but there has been some | 俄国没有多少欧洲存在, |
| 278 | suggestion that maybe Europe has a part to play here then Greg. | 说明欧洲也许可以在这里发挥作用 然后是格雷格 |
| 279 | That's right it's actually | 没错,其实 |
| 280 | interesting yesterday on Tuesday ahead of the talks Ukraine said that they met with | 昨天在会谈前的星期二,乌克兰说,他们会晤 |
| 281 | their European counterparts who are in Abu Dhabi alongside U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and | 在阿布扎比的欧洲同行与美国特使Steve Witkoff和 |
| 282 | Jared Kushner. | 贾里德·库什纳. |
| 283 | Today the head of the Ukrainian delegation Rustam Umarov said that after the | 今天,乌克兰代表团团长鲁斯塔姆·乌马罗夫说, |
| 284 | trilateral talks with Russia and the U.S. Ukraine plans to meet again with their European partners | 与俄罗斯和美国的三边会谈计划再次与欧洲伙伴会晤 |
| 285 | and then on top of that U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that Europe needs a place at the | 然后在美国国务卿马可·鲁比奥的上面说,欧洲需要有一个位置 |
| 286 | table and he hopes that the talks will expand to include them going forward and that makes sense | 他希望会谈能够扩大范围,包括继续会谈,这样才有意义。 |
| 287 | for Europe who sees this conflict as part of their security infrastructure that see it as a direct | 欧洲认为这场冲突是其安全基础设施的一部分,认为它是直接的 |
| 288 | threat since it is in Europe and they have long wanted to be at the table but have largely been | 由于威胁是在欧洲,他们早就想坐到桌子上,但基本上一直 |
| 289 | excluded from talks during President Trump's second administration. | 特朗普总统第二任执政期间被排除在会谈之外. |
| 290 | Just briefly then Greg | 只是短暂的,然后格雷格 |
| 291 | I mean what are the what are the sticking points are we still talking about territory and the | 我的意思是,什么是什么是坚守点 我们仍然谈论领土和 |
| 292 | future security guarantees for Ukraine? | 乌克兰未来的安全保障? |
| 293 | Those are the big ones there have been a lot of issues on | 这些是大问题,有很多问题 |
| 294 | the table but there's no doubt that the two most intractable issues are the security guarantees. | 但毫无疑问,两个最棘手的问题是 安全保障。 |
| 295 | It's hard to see what Moscow would accept that would also please Kiev and be secure enough that | 很难想象莫斯科会接受什么 也能让基辅高兴 并且足够安全 |
| 296 | they would feel that there is a less of a threat of Russian aggression going down the future and | 他们觉得俄国侵略的威胁会减少 |
| 297 | then like you said territory. | 就像你说的地盘 |
| 298 | Moscow hasn't backed away from demands that Ukraine cede territory it | 莫斯科没有放弃乌克兰割让领土的要求 |
| 299 | still controls and that Moscow hasn't been able to take militarily. | 莫斯科一直无法军事控制 |
| 300 | Ukraine says that it's their | 乌克兰说这是他们的 |
| 301 | sovereign territory they don't want to take it a lot of it is heavily fortified and losing it would | 主权领土,他们不想占据它 很多是它 大量防御工事,失去它会 |
| 302 | potentially leave other areas of Ukraine open to future attack so those do remain two huge sticking | 未来乌克兰的其他地区可能会遭到攻击 所以这些地方仍然有两根巨大的刺痕 |
| 303 | points. | 点。 |
| 304 | Greg thank you so much thanks for the update Bloomberg's Greg Sullivan with the latest | 格雷格非常感谢你 更新了布隆伯格的格雷格·沙利文 |
| 305 | on those talks taking place in Abu Dhabi. | 在阿布扎比举行的会谈 |
| 306 | 美国战争部长Pete Hegseth | |
| 307 | he's dodged an impeachment effort more on that and what else is making headlines in our front | 他躲过了弹劾 更多的关于这一点 还有什么是我们前面的头条新闻 |
| 308 | page news next this is Bloomberg. | 接下来是彭博社 |
| 309 | Welcome back this is the brief now Chevron has reported its | 欢迎回来 这是雪佛龙现在报告的情况 |
| 310 | second straight quarter a blockbuster results in its latest earnings. | 第二直四分之一的块块 导致它的最新收入。 |
| 311 | 不过,CFO Ima Bonner不是 | |
| 312 | taking these boom times for granted on the latest episode of Bloomberg chief future officer Bonner | 在布隆伯格未来首席军官伯纳的最近一集中, |
| 313 | takes Bloomberg's Anne Marie Horden to the Permian Basin where Chevron produces about a million | 把彭博的安妮·玛丽·霍登带到佩尔米安盆地 雪佛龙在那里生产了大约一百万 |
| 314 | barrels a day. | 一天一桶。 (笑声) |
| 315 | A million barrels a day is our sweet spot because we have the factory optimized | 一天一百万桶是我们的甜点 因为工厂已经优化了 |
| 316 | at a million barrels a day we have reliability efforts that allow us to produce at a million | 每天一百万桶,我们有可靠的努力 使我们生产百万桶 |
| 317 | barrels a day with less cost. | 每天桶,成本较低。 |
| 318 | What does reliability mean? | 可靠性是什么意思? |
| 319 | I mean it means keeping our plant here | 我的意思是,它意味着保持我们的植物在这里 |
| 320 | up for the maximum amount of time so avoiding unplanned events shutdowns issues with equipment | * 尽量缩短时间,避免意外事件 |
| 321 | issues with the wells coming into the the facility there's 27 wells coming into this facility we try | 27口井进入了我们尝试的 |
| 322 | make them as productive as possible one of the ways we're doing that is putting advanced chemicals | 让他们尽可能多地生产 我们这样做的方法之一 是放置先进的化学品 |
| 323 | into the reservoir and think of that as kind of it washes the oil from the rock and so this is an | 进入水库 想到它会把岩石上的油洗掉 |
| 324 | area where we have seen over the last year 20 percent increase in production from whales that | 去年我们看到鲸鱼产量增加了20% |
| 325 | have been treated with this chemical. | 已经用这种化学品处理过。 |
| 326 | It also involves keeping the facilities running at high | 它还涉及使设施保持高水平运作。 |
| 327 | reliability equipment monitoring doing turnarounds proactive maintenance all of those things allow | 进行可靠设备监测 进行主动维护 |
| 328 | the equipment behind us to operate at the right technical limits that also contributes to reliability | 我们后面的设备在适当的技术限度下运行,这也有助于提高可靠性 |
| 329 | how important is that in a time of geopolitics where potentially other places are a little bit | 在地缘政治时代,其他地方可能有点 |
| 330 | on uncertain footing it's critical always but at a time where we've got disruptions around the world | 在不确定的基础上,它总是关键 但此时,我们有 扰乱世界各地 |
| 331 | at a time where the US is a net exporter and it's even more important and you can watch Bloomberg | 此时美国是净出口国 更重要的是 你可以看布隆伯格 |
| 332 | Chief Future Officer featuring Chevron CFO Ima Bonner that's tonight at 9 30 eastern time on | 今晚9点30分东部时间 |
| 333 | Bloomberg television time now for your front page news first up on the Washington Post the | 彭博电视台的首页新闻 首播于华盛顿邮报 |
| 334 | house narrowly blocked an effort to impeach defense secretary Pete Hegseth Democrats who take over | 屋里狭窄地堵住了弹劾国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯 接管的民主党人的努力 |
| 335 | Congress in January have said they will seek to use their power to remove Hegseth from office | 一月份的国会说,他们将试图 利用他们的权力 解除黑格赛的职务 |
| 336 | next up the New York Times reported Treasury Secretary Scott Begley of what this means for | 接下来纽约时报报道了财政部长斯科特·贝格利(Scott Begley) 这代表着什么 |
| 337 | tech investing how this rubs up against higher inflation and the bond market moves of this week | 科技投资如何消磨通货膨胀和本周债券市场波动 |
| 338 | more on that shortly this is Bloomberg it's 5 30 a.m in New York City 10 30 a.m here in London | 很快这里就是彭博社 纽约早上5点30分 伦敦早上10点30分 |
| 339 | good morning everybody I'm Anna Edwards with your Bloomberg Brief let's get you set up for the day | 早上好,大家好 我是安娜·爱德华兹 与你的彭博简介 让我们为你安排一天 |
| 340 | ahead equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from Core Weave | 在核心编织的季度结果比预期的要强之后,股票会得到提升 |
| 341 | reviving investor confidence in the AI trade Anthropix bankers said to be considering a higher | 恢复投资者对AI贸易的信心,据说Anthropix银行家正在考虑提高 |
| 342 | valuation for the firm's blockbuster IPO at one and a half trillion dollars or more and a hot CPI | 价值1.5万亿美元或更多 和热的消费物价指数 |
| 343 | print ramps up rate hike bets cash treasury markets are closed for Veterans Day after a surge | 现金市场被关闭 退役军人日 |
| 344 | in yields quick check on the markets then pre-market as we are S&P futures nasdaq futures | 快速查查市场,然后上市前,因为我们是S&P期货 Nasdaq期货 |
| 345 | both point higher European futures getting a boost from the tech trade and actually threatening to | 高欧洲期货从技术贸易中 得到提振 并威胁 |
| 346 | close at a record here in Europe meanwhile US futures do point higher those joint tech themes | 而美国的未来 却将联合技术主题提升到更高的水平 |
| 347 | {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}在Core Weave和Anthropix的周围 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}他们一晚上给大家一些安慰 | |
| 348 | we do see a continuation of the higher yield story that was so dominant yesterday after that | 我们确实看到一个 更高的收益故事的延续 昨天如此主导之后 |
| 349 | higher than expected inflation report let's get some stocks to watch today here's Olivia Lafue | 比预期的通胀报告还要高, 让我们看看今天的股票,这里是Olivia Lafue |
| 350 | hi Anna yes every single part of the AI trade is getting a boost today from neoclouds to server | Hi Anna 是的 AI交易的每个部分 今天都从新云到服务器都有了增长 |
| 351 | and memory providers to data center industrial players every facet is gaining and that's in | 和数据中心的内存提供者 工业玩家的每一个方面都在增加 |
| 352 | large part as you mentioned due to the solid set of results that we got from Core Weave they | 大部分是你们提到的 因为我们从核心编织中获得的坚实结果 |
| 353 | guidance for the year and reported a solid set of third quarter sales both of those prints coming | 该年的指南,并报告了一套坚固的第三季度销售量,这两种印刷品都来了 |
| 354 | in ahead of wall street estimates and really helping to calm investor nerves about the debt | 帮助投资者平息债务 |
| 355 | laden business that Core Weave is currently running speaking to investors today they're | 今天Core Weave正在跟投资者谈话 |
| 356 | pointing out the fact that short interest in Core Weave was quite high and also the fact that | 指出对核心编织的短暂兴趣相当高,并且指出 |
| 357 | it's just this is just relief we're seeing relief across the board from investors today | 只是今天投资者的解脱 |
| 358 | another sector of the or sect of the AI trade that's strong today is photonic stocks momentum | 人工智能贸易的另一部分或部分 今天很活跃 是光子股票的势头 |
| 359 | they're continuing from yesterday we had strong results from Japanese peer Hamamatsu regarding | 从昨天开始 我们从日本同行Hamamatsu的 强烈结果 |
| 360 | a strong demand continuing for photonics with regards to data centers so you're seeing coherent | 对数据中心的光子学需求很大,所以你可以看到一致性 |
| 361 | and momentum strong off the back of that one stock that's not happy today contrary to its name bright | 和强大的动力 从一个股票的背面 今天不高兴 与它的名字亮 |
| 362 | view their fourth quarter results were disappointing and their guidance also underwhelmed investors | 认为他们的第四季度结果令人失望,他们的指导也使投资者感到沮丧。 |
| 363 | stock is down 17 percent so perhaps underwhelm is a bit of an under exaggeration there they seem to | 股票跌了17% 所以也许下沉 有点夸张了 |
| 364 | be very very disappointed with the results yeah bit of an understatement not such a bright view | 对结果非常失望 有点小题大作 不太清楚 |
| 365 | Olivia thank you very much Olivia the view with the latest on the stocks we're watching this morning | Olivia 非常感谢你 Olivia 今天早上看的股票最新风景 |
| 366 | now a tech rally is lifting stocks higher as Olivia was pointing out following strong quarterly | 现在科技集会正在提高股票水平 就像Olivia指出的 |
| 367 | results from both Core Weave and Open AI so that's the backstory feeling better about technology | Core Weave和Open AI的结果, 使得对技术的背面感觉更好 |
| 368 | this morning let's bring into the conversation then Olaolu Agango who is head of portfolio | 今天早上,我们把奥拉奥卢·阿甘戈带到对话中来 谁是组合的负责人 |
| 369 | and analytics at City very nice to have you with us Olaolu your thoughts then on AI post the midterms | 和在城市的分析 很高兴你和我们在一起 奥劳鲁,然后你的想法 在AI 张贴的中期。 |
| 370 | but in the context of all the volatility we've seen in markets a sell-off following but followed | 但从市场波动的角度来看 市场有售卖行为 |
| 371 | {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}你和你在人工智能投资上的期望是什么 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}你应该知道 | |
| 372 | well thank you so much for having me I mean we say elections create volatility but really is | 非常感谢你邀请我 我们说选举会造成动荡 但真的 |
| 373 | the fundamentals that drives long-term results and the volatility last week you know we can't | 推动长期成果的基本因素 以及上周的波动 |
| 374 | underscore it in the data that we look at we're looking at the VIX going back to 1990 and it was | 在数据中强调,我们正在研究 VIX 追溯到1990年 |
| 375 | the third highest one day percentage change in the VIX so like that puts it in context there's a lot | VIX中第三高的一天百分比变化 这样就使它在上下文中有很多 |
| 376 | of volatility but if we go back to earnings again long-term fundamentals is driven you know by by | 不稳定,但如果我们回去 收入再次 长期的基本原理驱动 通过 |
| 377 | earnings we're 80 percent of the way through more than 80 percent of the way through we are seeing | 收入占我们80%的路 通过超过80%的路 通过我们看到 |
| 378 | 30 percent year-over-year earnings growth for what has been reported thus far recent earnings | 迄今报告的近年收入增长30% |
| 379 | included it's been outstanding is the third consecutive quarter of over 25 percent year-over-year | 包括它一直未完成 是连续第三季度 超过25%的一年 |
| 380 | earnings growth it is the eighth consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings growth so where | 收入增长是两位数收入增长的连续第八季度。 |
| 381 | does that put us just with you know valuations overall for the S&P it's about 18 times it's not | 这是否意味着我们只是 与你知道 总体的估价 对S&P 它大约18倍 |
| 382 | expensive it's the lowest it's been in roughly three years so we like the market here we continue | 价格是三年来最低的 所以我们喜欢这里的市场 |
| 383 | like the market here last week it was market trying to predict policy and and it's a hard | 就像上周这里的市场一样 市场试图预测政策 很难 |
| 384 | game to predict okay so PEs make things look attractive valuations are attractive then | 游戏可以预测,所以PEs 使事物看起来有吸引力的估价是具有吸引力的 |
| 385 | you say I mean some any skeptics some skeptics point to the earnings side of that PE and say | 你说我是指某些怀疑者 某些怀疑者指的就是PE的收入 |
| 386 | we're just not quite so confident in that as we used to be and maybe analysts haven't caught up | 我们只是不太有信心 像我们过去一样 也许分析师没有赶上 |
| 387 | with the political developments that we now anticipate in 2027 post the midterms a slower | 随着我们目前预计的2027年中期政治发展放缓, |
| 388 | rollout of data centers essentially if we do see that slowing down does that undermine the | 数据中心的推出,基本上如果我们看到减速会损害到 |
| 389 | earnings story or not materially so yes elections happened last week regardless of the party that | 不管有没有收入 所以上星期有选举 |
| 390 | are empowered there are a couple of things that you know you really can't change I'll talk about | 有几件事情是不能改变的 我会说 |
| 391 | deficits in a second but AI is one I was joking with with some of the other day you can't put | 有一秒钟的赤字,但AI是之一 我开玩笑与一些前天 你不能说 |
| 392 | the genie back in the bottle they are between 3 000 and 5 000 call of data centers in the US | 在瓶子里的精灵 在美国有3000到5000个数据中心 |
| 393 | you can't have AI without data centers those 3 000 and 5 000 are operating data centers and | 你不能有AI 没有数据中心 那3000和5000是运行数据中心 |
| 394 | they're an equal amount they're in different stages of planning now yes we have an election | 他们的金额是相等的 他们处于不同的计划阶段 现在有选举 |
| 395 | there are government officials there are some states that are reluctant or hesitant around | 有政府官员 有一些州 不愿意或犹豫不决 |
| 396 | the development of data centers but there are also some some some government officials in states | 数据中心的发展,但各州也有一些政府官员。 |
| 397 | that are very pro data centers at the end of the day it is a state by state legislation if there | 数据中心在一天结束时是州立法规定的 |
| 398 | is apprehension or pushback and once that you just go to another state and you build you know | 害怕或退缩 一旦你去了另一个州 你就会建起来 |
| 399 | there are also jokes they can build in space but regardless of which you still need cyber security | 还有一些笑话,他们可以在太空制造,但不管你还需要什么网络安全 |
| 400 | so that's a big component of AI you still need critical minerals you need copper you need steel | 所以这是人工智能的一大部分 你仍然需要关键的矿物 你需要铜 你需要钢铁 |
| 401 | you need aluminum you need a number of other things that are persistent regardless of the | 你需要铝,你需要一些其他的 持久的东西,无论 |
| 402 | election and the you know quote-unquote slowdown for us in our portfolios we're overweight cyber | 在选举和你知道的引文 - 引文 减速 在我们的组合 我们超重的网络 |
| 403 | security we're overweight some of those critical metals that you need in order to construct data | 安全,我们超重一些 关键金属,你需要 构建数据 |
| 404 | 你期待AI capex的减速 | |
| 405 | and if so is that going to be what we want allowed because i wasn't sure through the last earnings | 如果是这样,那就是我们想要允许的 因为我不确定通过最后的收入 |
| 406 | season whether as an investor community we were comforted by high capex or slightly disturbed by | 无论我们作为投资人 是否被高额的暴风雨 或稍有不安 |
| 407 | so there there are two components right so the capex is necessary in the early stages of any | 因此,有两部分是正确的,所以顶盖在早期是必需的。 |
| 408 | innovation we expect that to slow at some point it's not it's not concerning for us one company's | 创新,我们期望在某个时候减慢 与我们公司无关 |
| 409 | capex is another company's revenue and that's again just the initial part but if you think of | Capex是另一家公司的收入,这还是最初的部分,但如果你想到 |
| 410 | the life cycle of this innovative technology that we have we're just in the early innings of it so | 我们掌握的这种创新技术的生命周期 才刚刚开始 |
| 411 | we're talking about the hyperscalers we're talking about data centers yes but arguably we have not | 我们谈论的超规模的,我们谈论的数据中心 是的,但可以说我们没有 |
| 412 | seen the productivity gains yet for the vast majority of companies with regards to AI and that | 在大赦国际方面,绝大多数公司都取得了生产率的提高。 |
| 413 | in and of itself is an additional boost so whilst yes capex we do expect to slow it at some point | 这本身就是一种额外的刺激,所以,虽然是顶峰,我们确实期望在某个时候减缓它。 |
| 414 | with this earlier or later franklin is not really the key driver the key driver is once the | Franklin不是关键司机 关键司机曾经是 |
| 415 | infrastructure is in place the productivity gains and benefits that we expect to see for the broader | 基础设施已经到位,我们期望在更大范围内看到生产率的提高和效益。 |
| 416 | corporate universe is still expected to be able to drive long-term earnings and grow okay and that | 公司宇宙仍然有望推动长期收入并增长, |
| 417 | might have an impact on inflation talking of inflation that data taking some in the market | 可能会对通货膨胀产生影响 说通货膨胀, 数据带一些在市场上 |
| 418 | by surprise moving the bond market substantially particularly at the short end let's just have a | 特别在短短的一端 我们来一个 |
| 419 | listen to how austin gulsby of the chicago fed of course how he captured captured the mood around | 听听芝加哥的奥斯汀·古斯比 如何捕捉周围的情绪 |
| 420 | that cpi print it's another distressing report borderline disturbing so we we've got a real | 那CPI的指纹是另一个令人困扰的报告 边界线干扰 所以我们有真实的 |
| 421 | inflation issue on our hands that has been developing and and we're going to have to deal | 我们手上的通货膨胀问题 一直在发展,我们不得不处理 |
| 422 | with that borderline disturbing for gulsby allow how did it impact your thinking around fixed income | 对Gulsby来说 边界线的干扰 允许它如何影响你对固定收入的思考 |
| 423 | i mean are you factoring in a higher inflation for longer environment not just on the back of | 我的意思是,你考虑 较高的通货膨胀 对于更长的环境 不只是背面 |
| 424 | yesterday's print but more broadly thinking about u.s inflation so so i will say our our | 昨天的印刷品,但更广义的 思考你的通货膨胀 所以我要说我们 |
| 425 | view and i think we have a fairly non-consensus view our view is that inflation will run hotter | 我们的观点是通货膨胀会更热 |
| 426 | than consensus is thinking and that really by not hiking at the last foc meeting that the fed | 而不是共识是思考, 而实际上,不徒步 在最后一次foc会议, |
| 427 | is setting themselves up to be behind the curve cpi print yesterday came in higher now you know | 昨天的cpi打印值上升了 你知道 |
| 428 | month over month type of readings can be volatile but the share of cpi components that are rising at | 每月的读数类型可能不稳定,但cpi组件的比例在上升。 |
| 429 | 5%或更快的跳跃到56% 在october 它从44 在September 所以october份额 | |
| 430 | is the highest since 2022 so yes we do think inflation is a concern now with regards to | 是2022年以来最高的 所以是的 我们确实认为 通货膨胀是现在 |
| 431 | fixed income we've been saying this for some time the the fed and the fed chair have made | 固定收入 我们已经说了一段时间了 联邦和联邦的椅子已经做了 |
| 432 | it very very clear that price stability and bringing in inflation is a number one priority | 价格稳定和通货膨胀是头等大事 |
| 433 | for them and we're not there yet as a result of that you couple where we are with inflation the | 对他们来说,我们还没到那里,因为你们和通货膨胀在一起 |
| 434 | signaling or you know they don't do signaling but they've been very overt with regards to that | 信号,或你知道他们不做信号, 但他们一直非常公开 |
| 435 | we expect rates to go higher as a result of that earlier in the year and actually recently as well | 由于今年早些时候,以及最近,我们预计费率会提高。 |
| 436 | we've adjusted our duration position so we moved from our our mid and trend our mid and longer | 我们调整了工期位置 所以我们从我们的中点和趋势 |
| 437 | term duration and we're in shorter duration fixed income instruments why because we wanted to be | 我们的固定收入工具 是因为我们想成为 |
| 438 | able to to try and insulate ourselves somewhat from the the moves that we're expecting in the | 能够尝试和隔绝 我们期待的动作 |
| 439 | and add it to gold other areas that can increase the balance in | 并添加到金色的其他地区,增加平衡 |
| 440 | portfolios because with regards to fixed income we do believe is going to be challenging continues | 因为在固定收入方面,我们确实相信,将继续面临挑战。 |
| 441 | to be volatile alalu thank you very much alalu aganga thank you for your time from city good to | 感谢你们从城市到城市的时间 |
| 442 | get your perspective on the program now to other top stories that are trending on the blueberg | 将你对节目的看法 转到蓝贝格上流传的其他顶尖故事 |
| 443 | terminal this morning iran says it will not remove a single atom of enriched nuclear material from | 今早Iran说它不会从 浓缩核材料中移除一个原子 |
| 444 | the country in an interview with the pan arab tv network al mayadeed iran supreme national security | 在接受泛阿拉伯电视网的采访时, |
| 445 | council secretary said iran has informed russia that its enriched material will remain in the | 政务院秘书说,伊兰已经通知俄罗斯,其浓缩材料将留在 |
| 446 | country for domestic use he said the material is required to design nuclear-powered ships | 他说,这些材料是设计核动力船舶所需的。 |
| 447 | and submarines prices of baby food and formula in the united states surged by the most on record | 美国婴儿食品和配方的低价涨幅创纪录最高 |
| 448 | in october rising by about five percent a combination of factors are likely contributing | 综合各种因素可能促成 |
| 449 | to the increase in formula prices including higher costs for ingredients and transportation | 包括增加成份和运输费用 |
| 450 | inflation byd has apologized after some of its great tang electric suvs were assembled | 通货膨胀 byd 已经道歉 在它的一些伟大的 尖端电动软体组装 |
| 451 | with their front and rear wheel rims reversed the automaker traced the mistake to a supplier | 汽车制造商把错误追踪到供应商身上 |
| 452 | and says the affected vehicles are safe to drive byd is offering replacement | 并说受影响的车辆是安全的驾驶 字节是提供替换 |
| 453 | rims and restarting the warranty period coming up on the program a bumpy relation | 轮回和重开 保修期 即将到来 程序 |
| 454 | the u.s ambassador to china calls for diligence when dealing to the invidia affair more on that | 驻中国大使呼吁在应对印度事件时注意 |
| 455 | next this is going back we are establishing a direct channel to ensure that either nation | 我们正建立一个直接的渠道 确保任何国家 |
| 456 | can promptly alert the other to serious incidents involving its si models as si advances so will | 能够迅速提醒对方注意 涉及Si模型的严重事件 随着Si的推进 |
| 457 | the need to engage in new areas of risk management and to demonstrate how our two great nations can | 需要参与风险管理的新领域,并展示我们两个伟大国家如何能够 |
| 458 | reconcile the demands of competition with the responsibilities of leadership that was treasury | 调和竞争要求与财政部门的领导责任 |
| 459 | secretary scott besson hailing an improvement in u.s china engagement at an event in new york | Scott Besson秘书 欢呼纽约的一场赛事 中中国人参与的改善 |
| 460 | meanwhile u.s ambassador to china david purdue stayed more cautious he spoke exclusively to | 与此同时,驻中国大使达维德·普尔杜德(英语:David Purdue)则保持了更加谨慎的态度,他只和他交谈过 |
| 461 | bloomberg steven engel i think the situation with invidia is another reminder that we have to stay | 布兰博格史蒂芬·恩格尔 我觉得Invidia的情况 又一次提醒我们必须留下 |
| 462 | diligent national security is part of this economic conversation because economic security is national | 勤奋的国家安全是经济对话的一部分 因为经济安全是国家的 |
| 463 | and so what we're doing with china is bumpy right now we have some areas of disagreement but we have | 因此,我们正在做的瓷器是颠簸 现在,我们有一些 分歧的领域,但我们有 |
| 464 | 现在从Washton Mika Solener 从开花伯格政府的 rika 好加入我们 | |
| 465 | get your perspective thanks for taking us through this story and and a number of others let's start | 来听听你的观点 谢谢你带我们看这个故事 还有其他几个 让我们开始吧 |
| 466 | with this then u.s china relations and it's interesting the language coming from the u.s | 与这时的u.s瓷关系 和有趣的语言来自u. |
| 467 | envoy to china relations are bumpy after the invidia affair at another time you might imagine that | 来中国关系的特使 在另一个时候的Invidia事件之后 变得很颠簸 |
| 468 | what we've seen from invidia and the scandal around that alleged spy that might have resulted | 我们从Invidia那里看到的一切 以及那个间谍的丑闻 |
| 469 | in a lot more outspoken language from capitol hill do you get the sense that the republicans | 你是否觉得共和党 |
| 470 | or the leadership are just trying to play this down because we're approaching this important | 或领导只是试图 发挥这一点 因为我们正在接近这个重要 |
| 471 | meeting yeah i mean i i would say that the response at least from both the white house | 我想说至少两个白宫都有反应 |
| 472 | and the overall administration has been pretty tame so far in light of these allegations | 根据这些指控,迄今为止,整个行政当局相当温和。 |
| 473 | with jensen huang i know that the president has said has addressed the issue on the heels of | 我知道总统说过 这个问题在紧接着 |
| 474 | his meeting next week in china but i do think that this is going to create a lot of tension as | 他下周在中国的会面 但我确实认为 这会造成很多紧张 |
| 475 | we just heard uh you know the david purdue say um and i i do think that this could potentially | 我们刚刚听到 呃... 你知道达维德·普杜德说... |
| 476 | bleed into that meeting when it comes to those national security issues we have to i have to | 在那个会议上流血了 当涉及到国家安全问题时... ...我们必须... |
| 477 | remind our audience that the president has become extremely close with jensen huang | 提醒我们的观众, 总统已经变得非常接近 詹森・洪 |
| 478 | um in the as he kind of continues this ai race with the between the u.s and china and on another | 嗯,在那种他 继续这个AI比赛 与U.s和瓷器之间 和另一个 |
| 479 | subject but obviously in washington house republicans have been trying to impeach | 但显然在沃顿房子里 共和党人一直试图弹劾 |
| 480 | pete hexes or at least a number have but others have stood in the way of that effort when things | Peter Hexes或至少几个人有 但其他人却阻止了这项努力 |
| 481 | change in january that might lead to a different outcome what what have we learned from this process | 我们从这一进程中学到了什么? |
| 482 | yeah definitely i mean i think it still shows that a lot of republicans are really hesitant to break | 肯定的,我的意思是,我认为它仍然显示 很多共和党人 真的犹豫打破 |
| 483 | with president trump and the administration in any way i spoke with more than a dozen house | 我和十几间房子谈过 |
| 484 | republicans yesterday both about the impeachment vote and just the overall outcome of the midterms | 昨天的共和党 既关于弹劾投票 也只是中期结果 |
| 485 | how they're feeling about president trump if they blame him at all for the stinging losses | 他们怎么看总统胜诉 如果他们把刺痛的损失归咎于他 |
| 486 | that republicans faced both in the house and senate and in those surprise races and a lot | 共和党在众议院和参议院 以及那些突袭赛和很多 |
| 487 | of them are really reluctant to place any blame on the president which i think still shows that | 他们真的不愿意把任何责任 归咎于总统 我认为仍然显示 |
| 488 | this administration has a stronghold especially in this lame duck period heading into december | 这个政府有一个据点, 特别是在这个烂鸭子时期, 朝十月。 |
| 489 | uh where republicans are really going to try and pass the last of the president's agenda it's they | 共和党人真正想要通过 总统的最后议程 是他们 |
| 490 | see it as their last opportunity to get everything they can before this total democratic takeover | 认为这是他们最后的机会 得到一切他们能 在此之前,彻底民主接管 |
| 491 | but you're absolutely right that we may see this come again as well as potential other impeachments | 但你绝对是对的,我们可能会看到这个又来了 以及潜在的其他弹劾 |
| 492 | a next congress which have a greater chance of passing right yes that'll be an interesting | 下届国会 更有机会通过右侧 是的,这将是一个有趣的 |
| 493 | pivot to watch now russia and ukraine they're talking in abu dhabi how are those conversations | 看着现在的鲁西亚和乌克赖恩 他们用阿布哈比语说话 谈话怎么样 |
| 494 | obviously the u.s is there and leading those talks how are those talks being viewed from washington | 很明显,你在那里 领导这些会谈 如何看待这些会谈 |
| 495 | yeah i think that there's optimism in washington overall at least in capitol hill and and the | 是的,我认为在劳顿 总体上是乐观的,至少 在卡皮托山和 |
| 496 | house was very eager and has remained eager to try and progress these peace talks um but i do | 房子非常渴望 并且一直渴望 尝试并推进这些和谈 |
| 497 | think that there's also a lot of skepticism and this is this war has been ongoing for years now | 认为也有很多怀疑 这场战争已经持续多年了 |
| 498 | the trump administration and the president have said you know that they would swiftly end this | 总统说你知道他们会迅速结束这一切 |
| 499 | conflict but it's been a lot more complicated and we're seeing this in a lot of the other global | 冲突已经复杂得多了 我们在很多其他全球 |
| 500 | conflicts that the president has weighed into extensively and even created including the war | 包括战争在内的冲突 |
| 501 | iran that these are a lot more complicated and this will be the the resumption of talks after | 更复杂的是,这将会是会谈的恢复 |
| 502 | a very long period of that was kind of stalled and heading into kind of this rockier period | 一段很长的时期 有点停滞 并进入了一段比较美好的时期 |
| 503 | between ukraine and the u.s in particular in light of some comments that were made by u.s officials | 特别是根据美国官员的一些评论 |
| 504 | regarding russian president Vladimir Putin. | 关于俄罗斯总统普京 |
| 505 | Mika thanks very much Mika Solna of Bloomberg | 美嘉非常感谢彭博社的美嘉·索尔娜 |
| 506 | government thank you very much for your time now one stock we're keeping a firm eye on of course | 政府非常感谢你的时间 现在一个股票,我们正在牢牢监视 当然, |
| 507 | it's earnings giving a boost to the market with a strong quarter and a rosy forecast let's get the | 以强劲的四分之一 和优美的预测来刺激市场 |
| 508 | perspective of matt bloxham from Bloomberg intelligence well there you go pre-market up by | 从布隆伯格的情报界看Matt Bloxham的视角... ...你到市场前... |
| 509 | nearly 14 percent then matt and this was an epicenter of market concern some weeks ago | 近14%,然后Matt, 这是几星期前市场关注的中心 |
| 510 | now it seems to be acting as a comfort nasdaq futures up really quite healthily partly on the | 现在它似乎 是一个舒适的纳斯达克未来 真的很健康 部分在 |
| 511 | back of the guidance we're getting here yeah i mean definitely that the guidance was helpful | 回到我们这里的指引... |
| 512 | you know modest upgrade to the full year revenue and profit for me the more interesting uh point | 你知道,适度升级到全年收入 和利润对我来说更有趣的呃点 |
| 513 | was the commentary around the sources of funding in the near term we'll see one of the problems | 近期内我们将会看到一个问题。 |
| 514 | with core we recently has been that big spike in in yields because of the question marks about how | 我们最近产量猛增 因为有问题 |
| 515 | {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}他们可以资助这次大规模推广 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}至少下一个是现金流负数公司 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}他们可以资助这次大规模推广 | |
| 516 | three or four years according to consensus and that the ceo said that they're going to get about | 根据共识,3年或4年 和Ceo说,他们要去 |
| 517 | nine billion dollars of prepayment funding from their customers and that they've got a delayed | 他们的客户预付了90亿美元 并且他们延迟了 |
| 518 | down investment grade facility in the pipes too so i we don't need to go and tap expensive debt | 也降低水管的投资等级设施,所以我们不需要去抢走昂贵的债务 |
| 519 | to keep funding the business in their term and i for me that's like being a very important signal | 继续资助他们的生意 对我来说 这就像一个非常重要的信号 |
| 520 | for the company to give because this company isn't typical so we get comfort from the top line demand | 公司给予,因为这个公司不是典型的 所以我们得到了舒适 从顶级的需求 |
| 521 | forecasts maybe but they're not typical in terms of the debt story are they no they're not it's | 预测也许,但从债务故事来看,它们不是典型的,不是 |
| 522 | quite a complicated um debt structure and you know some of the unsecured debt you know spiked | 相当复杂的债务结构 你知道一些无担保债务 你知道猛增 |
| 523 | as much as 15 percent yields recently uh because there are these question marks about you know the | 最近有15%的产量 因为有关于你的问题 |
| 524 | kind of mismatch between revenue and profit growth but the amount of capital investment they're | 收入和利润增长不匹配 但资本投资的金额 |
| 525 | making near terms you know tens of billions dollars of cash outflow and how do you continue | 使你几乎知道数百亿美元的现金流出 以及你如何继续 |
| 526 | to fund that and you know what's the trajectory towards cash flow break even what about anthropic | 来资助它,你知道什么是轨迹 现金流断,甚至人类。 |
| 527 | then onto anthropic also getting some comfort there are we from this talk certainly in other | 然后进入人类生活 也得到一些安慰... ... |
| 528 | media about just how high the valuation could go here not as high as some of the really elevated | 媒体说这里的估值可能比一些真正的高 |
| 529 | levels we've previously seen but talk us through these latest yeah i mean it's been a bit of a | 我们以前见过的水平,但谈谈我们 通过这些最新 是的,我的意思是,它已经有点 |
| 530 | journey for them in the last few weeks hasn't that um i you know also that the news today that maybe | 他们过去几周的旅程不是... ...嗯... |
| 531 | the bankers are looking to push the valuation up towards 1.5 trillion you're still a long way | 银行家们想把估值推到1.5万亿 你还有很长的路要走 |
| 532 | {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}简言之 人们谈论的两万亿 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}但比他们想的要好得多 | |
| 533 | 1.2 to 1.3 that the kind of essentially the baseline if you like it of the of the ipo | 1.2到1.3 那种基本上属于基线的,如果你喜欢的话 |
| 534 | it's really down to the manor team to kind of go and see investors give a very convincing pitch | 它真的下到庄园团队 那种去 看到投资者给出一个非常令人信服的投注 |
| 535 | about the fundamentals the size of the addressable market their sustainable profitability path you | 关于基本 大小的可解决市场 他们的可持续盈利路径 您 |
| 536 | know the moat they've got around the business that's really what's going to you know test | 知道他们有护城河 周围的生意, 这真的是什么,你知道测试 |
| 537 | investors appetite and i guess they're probably keeping their fingers crossed that we get through | 投资人的胃口,我想他们可能 保持他们的手指交叉 |
| 538 | a week without too many more or any more unexpected negative bits of news around the border industry | 一周没有太多或更多意外的负面新闻 |
| 539 | yes and perhaps they'll be pleased with some of the positive news we've had out from | 是的,也许他们会很高兴 我们从一些积极的消息 |
| 540 | even open ai so some comfort perhaps on the ability to monetize the business is that what | 甚至开放AI 所以一些安慰 也许对货币化 业务的能力是, |
| 541 | we should read into the revenue numbers there yeah i think this is so open ai came out where | 我们应该读一下那里的收入数字 我觉得这里很开放 |
| 542 | we reportedly told investors that q3 revenue was about 10 billion about 50 up sequentially | 据报道,我们告诉投资者 q3的收入大约100亿左右 连续50个 |
| 543 | very similar growth trajectory to what we heard from anthropic now with the anthropics q3 number | 和我们从人类学中听到的 人类学的q3 数字相似 |
| 544 | was a lot bigger 17 billion dollars what it showed you was open ai it has pivoted into the | 170亿美元 显示你开着的Ai,它潜入 |
| 545 | enterprise ai opportunity that anthropics really focused on that you know it suggests there's | 人类学真正关注的机会 你知道这说明 |
| 546 | plenty of demand there they're also kind of improving their kind of profitability trajectory | 那里的需求量很大 他们也正在改善他们的利润轨迹 |
| 547 | too so yeah it's a positive data point i think it should in theory at least be a big enough market | 是的,这是一个积极的数据点 我认为在理论上至少应该是一个足够大的市场 |
| 548 | plenty big enough market for both of these companies to grow substantially from where they | 这些公司的市场足够大,可以从那里大幅度增长 |
| 549 | are today matt thank you very much matt block some from bloomberg intelligence with all those tech | 今天是Matt 非常感谢你 Matt 和所有那些技术一起 阻止一些来自盛大的智力 |
| 550 | themes coming up your day ahead that's next this is bloomberg welcome back to the brief now we'll | 接下来是盛盛的盛会 欢迎回到简报中 |
| 551 | look at what is ahead for today a host of fed speak including hammock bar daily and schmidt | 看看今天要做什么 包括吊床酒吧和鸡尾酒 |
| 552 | throughout the day we get that commentary coming from those fed speakers opec will be out with | 一天之内,我们得到的评论 从那些提供消息的演讲者 opec将会与 |
| 553 | its monthly oil report that's later this morning and the cash treasury market is closed of course | 今早的月度石油报告 当然 国库现金市场已经关闭了 |
| 554 | in observance of veterans day certainly wasn't closed yesterday more on that in just a moment | 在纪念老兵的日子里,昨天当然没有关闭了,就在一瞬间 |
| 555 | let's have a look at some of these macro movers for you and in fact thinking about yesterday | 让我们来看看一些这些 宏观的推动者 给你,事实上思考一下昨天 |
| 556 | and the big moves that we saw higher in yield certainly at the two-year horizon also at the | 以及我们所看到产量较高的大步 肯定在两年内 |
| 557 | year went over five percent on five on 10-year yields at one point well we see a continuation | 一年每10年的产量超过5%, 一次不错,我们看到继续 |
| 558 | of that trajectory and wednesday's futures picture waiting for cash trade tomorrow the broader | 那轨迹和周二的期货图 等着明天进行现金交易 |
| 559 | futures picture for equities looks pretty positive we're up by 1.9 on nasdaq futures thinking about | 股票的期货图看起来很正面 我们比纳斯达克期货的1.9 |
| 560 | where we go on the core we've story and profit all of that offering a little bit of comfort | 在那里,我们去核心 我们的故事和利润 所有提供一点点的舒适 |
| 561 | {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}看一看我们商品的价位 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}现在 | |
| 562 | little bit higher gold prices move a little bit higher and brent and wti of course focused on | 一点点高的黄金价格移动 一点点高, Brent和wti当然专注于 |
| 563 | in the middle east the iranians taking a tough line on enrichment of uranium the gold price is | 在中东部,伊朗人对铀浓缩采取强硬路线 黄金价格是 |
| 564 | perhaps more focused on cpi and the trajectory for fed interest rates that is it for bloomberg | 也许更注重cpi 和喂养利率的轨迹 也就是开花伯格的利率 |
| 565 | brief surveillance is ahead this is bloomberg | 短暂的监视即将到来 这片开阔的山庄 |
该视频共有字幕 565 条。解锁更多字幕为会员功能,请移动到 价格
P3 · 【中英字幕】彭博财经简报26.11.11 p03 【无字&原声】 (P3)
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:14 | It's 5 a.m. in New York City, 10 a.m. here in London. | 现在是纽约早上5点 伦敦早上10点 |
| 0:17 | Good morning, everybody. | 早上好,大家好,谢谢 |
| 0:18 | I'm Anna | 我是安娜,我叫安纳 |
| 0:18 | Edwards with your Bloomberg Brief. | 爱德华兹与你的彭博简介。 |
| 0:20 | Let's get you set up for the day ahead. | 令诸众生安住前天. |
| 0:22 | Equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from CoreWeave, reviving | 在核心网络的季度结果比预期的要强之后,股票得到增殖,恢复活力 |
| 0:27 | investor confidence in the AI trade. | 投资者对AI贸易的信心. |
| 0:30 | Andropix Bankers说正在考虑提高估价 | |
| 0:33 | for the firm's blockbuster IPO at $1.5 trillion or more. | 以1.5万亿或更多美元的价格 买下公司的IPO |
| 0:38 | And a hot CPI print ramps up rate | 热的CPI打印率上升了 |
展开字幕全文(565 条)
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | It's 5 a.m. in New York City, 10 a.m. here in London. | 现在是纽约早上5点 伦敦早上10点 |
| 2 | Good morning, everybody. | 早上好,大家好,谢谢 |
| 3 | I'm Anna | 我是安娜,我叫安纳 |
| 4 | Edwards with your Bloomberg Brief. | 爱德华兹与你的彭博简介。 |
| 5 | Let's get you set up for the day ahead. | 令诸众生安住前天. |
| 6 | Equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from CoreWeave, reviving | 在核心网络的季度结果比预期的要强之后,股票得到增殖,恢复活力 |
| 7 | investor confidence in the AI trade. | 投资者对AI贸易的信心. |
| 8 | Andropix Bankers说正在考虑提高估价 | |
| 9 | for the firm's blockbuster IPO at $1.5 trillion or more. | 以1.5万亿或更多美元的价格 买下公司的IPO |
| 10 | And a hot CPI print ramps up rate | 热的CPI打印率上升了 |
| 11 | Mike Betts. | 麦克贝茨。 |
| 12 | Cash treasury markets are closed for Veterans Day after a surge in yields. | 现金库市场在收益激增后关闭,用于退伍军人日。 |
| 13 | Let's get a check on the markets then around the world. | 让我们检查一下市场 然后在世界各地。 |
| 14 | Here's Winnie Hsu in Hong Kong | 香港的荣氏 |
| 15 | for the latest on the Asia trade. | 最近关于亚洲贸易的情况。 |
| 16 | Winnie. | 荣曰. |
| 17 | Yeah, good morning, Anna. | 是的,早上好,安娜,你好吗? |
| 18 | Well, as you mentioned, | 嗯,如你所说, |
| 19 | we are seeing pretty positive sentiment in Asia today and actually Asian stocks rising | 我们今天在亚洲看到相当积极的情绪 和实际上亚洲的股票上升 |
| 20 | for a third day, headed for its best three days gains since August. | 进入8月份以来最好的三天 |
| 21 | Now, as you mentioned, | 现在,正如你提到的, |
| 22 | we have the better than expected results from CoreWeave that really reassured investors | 我们的CoreWeave结果比预期的要好 能让投资者放心 |
| 23 | that the AI computing demand is still very strong. | AI计算需求仍然非常强烈. |
| 24 | 还有 FT报道说 Andropix | |
| 25 | Bankers are considering a raising IPO valuation for the company. | 银行家们正在考虑提高公司IPO的估值。 |
| 26 | So that together you are | 所以你们在一起 |
| 27 | seeing tech stocks in Asia leading gain index here up by about 3.6 percent, also being lifted | 亚洲的科技存量领先增长指数 上升了3.6% 也正在被取消 |
| 28 | by the gains that we saw in TSMC. | 由我们在TSMC中看到的成果。 |
| 29 | Of course, we did have that 60 percent jump in revenue | 当然,我们确实有 60%的收入跳跃 |
| 30 | for October. | 为十月. |
| 31 | And plus the company saying that it is investing 500 million dollars each in | 再加上公司说 投资5亿美金 |
| 32 | Andropix and OpenAI. | 安德罗皮克斯和OpenAI. |
| 33 | Now, Flipboard and take a look at the bond space because we are seeing | 现在,翻板,看看 债券空间,因为我们看到 |
| 34 | the impact from that, hotter than expected US CPI numbers raising the expectation for | 因此,美国消费物价指数的热度比预期的要高。 |
| 35 | the Fed to tighten more aggressively. | 美联储要更加严厉 |
| 36 | That is why you are seeing Japan's 10 year and | 这就是为什么你看到 日本的十年和 |
| 37 | five year here higher by about nine basis points for the yields. | 五年的产量比这高9个基点 |
| 38 | And we are also seeing | 我们还看到 |
| 39 | a bit of a weakness in the Japanese yen, in fact, weakening to its weakest level in more | 日元的一点弱点 事实上 更弱到最弱 |
| 40 | than a month after we saw a bit of a strength when it comes to the US dollar. | 一个多月后,我们看到美元有一点强劲。 |
| 41 | Winnie, thanks very much. | 荣,非常感谢。 |
| 42 | Winnie Sue with a look at Asia. | 荣瑞苏一览亚洲. |
| 43 | Now on to Europe. | 现在进入欧洲。 |
| 44 | This is | 这是 |
| 45 | a picture, a snapshot really of what we are seeing here in the European session. | 一个图片,一个真实的快照 我们在这里看到的欧洲会议。 |
| 46 | The stock | 库存 |
| 47 | 600 up three tenths of one percent catching up with the US, a strong earnings story to | 600倍的十分之三 赶上美国, 一个强大的收入故事 |
| 48 | sell. | 卖掉。 |
| 49 | And some people pointing to the European equity markets as being a bit of a haven away | 有些人指向欧洲的股权市场 像是个避风港 |
| 50 | from turmoil in US tech. | 美国科技的动荡 |
| 51 | European tech actually benefiting today up by 1.8 percent and keeping | 欧洲技术今天实际受益1.8%, |
| 52 | an eye on what's going on in fixed income of all sorts. | 观察各种固定收入的情况。 |
| 53 | No cash trading in the Treasury | 财务处没有现金交易 |
| 54 | market in the United States. | 美国市场。 |
| 55 | But yesterday we saw Treasuries and European bond markets | 但昨天我们看到了 国库和欧洲债券市场 |
| 56 | really roiled by that much higher. | 被这么高的地盘搅了 |
| 57 | Well, the higher print than expected on CPI and what | 那么,高于预期的 消费物价指数和什么 |
| 58 | that did to yield. | 这确实使自己屈服了。 |
| 59 | So we continue to watch where yields are moving. | 因此,我们继续观察产量在移动。 |
| 60 | With that in mind, | 考虑到这一点, |
| 61 | we've got US two year futures on the board for you as we continue to track the fallout | 继续追踪后遗症 我们为你准备了两年的未来 |
| 62 | from that CPI print and the hawkish commentary from the Fed and the reassessments of Fed | 对美联储的重新评估 |
| 63 | rate hike bets that we've seen as a result. | 速率上涨的赌注,我们已经看到的结果。 |
| 64 | NASDAQ futures up by 1.7 percent, S&P futures | 纳斯达克期货上涨1.7% S&P期货 |
| 65 | up by eight tenths of one percent. | 上升了百分之八的1%。 |
| 66 | 从CoreWeave传来的一些新闻线 | |
| 67 | and Anthropic, as we mentioned in our headlines, acting as something of a comfort to the tech | 正如我们在头条新闻中所提到的 对科技来说是一种安慰 |
| 68 | trade. | 贸易。 |
| 69 | Let's get some of the stocks we're watching this morning. | 我们早上看的股票 |
| 70 | 这是Olivia LaVue。 | |
| 71 | Good morning, Anna. | 早上好,安娜,你好吗? |
| 72 | You'd be hard pressed to find a part of the tape both globally and | 你很难找到 磁带的一部分 全球和 |
| 73 | in US pre-market that isn't dominated right now by the AI trade, particularly though this | 在美国前市场, 现在不是由AI贸易主导, 尤其是这个 |
| 74 | morning we're focusing on CoreWeave. | 早上我们集中关注核心网络 |
| 75 | They lifted their four-year guidance and beat on | 他们解除了四年的指引 继续前进 |
| 76 | third quarter revenue. | 第三季度收入。 |
| 77 | Both of those metrics coming in handily ahead actually of Wall Street | 这两条标准都巧妙地领先于华尔街 |
| 78 | expectations helping to calm investor nerves over CoreWeave's debt-laden businesses and | 帮助投资者平息CoreWeave债务累累的企业和 |
| 79 | in general the challenges facing the data center industry. | 一般而言,数据中心行业面临的挑战。 |
| 80 | That's lifting AI stocks | 这就是解除AI股票 |
| 81 | across the board. | 包罗万象。 |
| 82 | Another area that we're focused on though is the AI photonics complex. | 我们关注的另一个领域是AI光子复合体. |
| 83 | Coherence and Lumentum are both higher in pre-market trading after Japanese peer Hamamatsu | 在日本同行哈马松之后, 市场前交易的一致性和意义都更高 |
| 84 | Photonics was up almost 15 percent, showing that photonics demand is still incredibly | 光子素上升了近15% 显示光子素的需求仍然惊人 |
| 85 | strong. | 强壮。 |
| 86 | It's a key component in data centers. | 这是数据中心的关键组件。 |
| 87 | Finally, we have results from Alcon. | 最后,我们得到了阿尔康的结果。 |
| 88 | They're | 他们是 |
| 89 | down in Europe and they're down in pre-market US trading after disappointing third quarter | 在欧洲,他们倒下 在市场前的美国贸易 令人失望的第三季度 |
| 90 | results that were led by a weakness in their implantables business. | 由植入物业务的弱点所带动的结果。 |
| 91 | Olivia 非常感谢你 | |
| 92 | Olivia Levue和你的前市场推销员 | |
| 93 | Coming up this | 来了 |
| 94 | hour we will get into conversation about the tech trade with Olaolu Ogongu who joins us | 一小时后,我们开始讨论 与奥拉奥卢·奥贡古的技术交易 |
| 95 | from Citi joining us to talk about the AI rally and how that rubs up against moves in | 从花旗加入我们 谈论AI集会 和如何抹黑 移动英寸 |
| 96 | bond markets. | 债券市场。 |
| 97 | Let's get back to the CoreWeave story though talking of AI. | 让我们回到CoreWeave的故事,尽管谈论AI. |
| 98 | Shares are extending | 股份正在扩展 |
| 99 | gains after posting strong results and an upbeat forecast with the CEO Michael Intrator | 与首席执行官迈克尔·Intrator一起公布强有力的成果并作出乐观的预测 |
| 100 | calling it a breakout quarter for the firm. | 给律所打个突破区 |
| 101 | 我们把Tom McKenzie带进来,主播 | |
| 102 | opening trade here in London, with me of course and here to tell us all the things we need | 在伦敦开设贸易, 当然,我在这里 告诉我们我们需要的一切 |
| 103 | to know about the tech trade. | 了解技术交易。 |
| 104 | 先从CoreWeave开始. | |
| 105 | What was comforting about what Core | 何谓安慰什么核心 |
| 106 | Weave had to say? | 编织必须说? |
| 107 | 你可以从CEOMichael Intrator那里 得到解脱 | |
| 108 | of course of this company, on the back of earnings and the upgrade to the forecast. | 当然,这家公司, 在收入的背面 和升级到预测。 |
| 109 | So they're now forecasting $13.3 billion in revenue for the full year. | 所以他们现在预测全年收入133亿美元. |
| 110 | So that was a significant | 所以这很重要 |
| 111 | beat. | 节拍。 |
| 112 | Losses for the company have narrowed so that's significant and they have this chunky | 公司的损失已经缩小了 所以这是重大的, 他们有这个巨大的 |
| 113 | backlog of about $132 billion, above $132 billion in terms of orders that they now need to execute | 积压约1 320亿美元,超过1 320亿美元,目前需要执行 |
| 114 | on. | 继续 |
| 115 | So on all those metrics this is very positive for a company that's come under increased | 因此,在所有这些衡量标准上 这非常正面 对于一个公司,它已经得到了增加 |
| 116 | scrutiny of course around its business model and how viable it is because they have to borrow | 当然要围绕其商业模式加以审查,并检查其可行性,因为它们必须借款; |
| 117 | at high rates to build out the infrastructure, to build out the data sensors and buy the chips that | 高收费建造基础设施 建造数据传感器 购买芯片 |
| 118 | they then lease on to the likes of Microsoft and OpenAI. | 然后租借给微软公司和OpenAI公司 |
| 119 | So a beat on that terms. | 这么说吧 |
| 120 | This isn't | 这不是 |
| 121 | completely out of the woods for CoreWeave. | 完全走出森林为科雷织。 |
| 122 | They still have net debt of about $62 billion | 他们还有620亿美元的债务 |
| 123 | but certainly it's a tick in the box and they need to continue performing in these quarters | 但他们肯定在盒子里 需要继续表演 |
| 124 | to really assuage the concerns but the market or at least the stock has cooled higher this morning. | 真正缓解关注 但市场或至少 股票已经降温 今天上午。 |
| 125 | Yeah even if we still have questions and concerns about the role of Nvidia right now it seems that | 是啊,即使我们还有问题和担心 关于Nvidia的角色现在,似乎 |
| 126 | the narrative out of CoreWeave is at least a positive one in the short term. | CoreWeave的叙述在短期内至少是正面的。 |
| 127 | What else have | 还有什么? |
| 128 | we got in the mix then? | 我们混进去了? |
| 129 | Anthropic and the conversations there about the, well we know | 安东尼和那里的对话 我们知道 |
| 130 | a bit more about the timing don't we it seems, about this IPO, the planned timing at least and | 更多关于时机,我们不 它看起来,关于这个IPO, 计划的时间至少和 |
| 131 | planned valuations. | 计划估值。 |
| 132 | What are the reports like around just how high or low the valuation might | 报告是什么样子的 只是估价有多高或低 |
| 133 | go here? | 来这里? |
| 134 | The reports suggest there is huge demand for Anthropics IPOs. | 报告表明对人类学IPO的需求巨大. |
| 135 | The Financial Times front | 金融时报前线 |
| 136 | page today they're looking at a valuation potentially of more than one and a half, | 今天他们正在研究一个超过1.5的估价 |
| 137 | more than one and a half trillion dollars. | 超过1.5万亿美元。 |
| 138 | Now that would make it the biggest IPO ever on record. | 这将是有史以来最大的IPO记录。 |
| 139 | They had set a pricing yesterday in the update to the S1, the SEC, the Securities Exchange Commission | 他们昨天在S1的更新中 设定了定价 证监会 证券交易委员会 |
| 140 | of between 70 to 78 dollars per share. | 每股70至78美元之间。 |
| 141 | It seems they now may increase that pricing which is | 看来他们现在可能会增加价格,也就是 |
| 142 | unusual given the demand they've seen. | 他们看到的要求不同寻常 |
| 143 | And in terms of the forward picture, look this is still | 从前景来看,看这还是 |
| 144 | a company that is projecting into the 2030s commitments of around 900 billion US dollars | 2030年代约9 000亿美元的承诺 |
| 145 | but revenues are growing. | 但收入正在增长。 |
| 146 | The revenue growth is phenomenal, it's nearly 50 percent, it's slowed, | 收入的增长是惊人的, 将近50%, 它放缓, |
| 147 | the revenue growth is slowed but from a very very high level. | 收入增长放缓,但增长幅度非常高。 |
| 148 | It seems right now, and this is the | 现在看来,这是 |
| 149 | most important takeaway, this IPO will get through. | 最重要的外卖, 这个IPO会通过。 |
| 150 | Then in the secondaries, how do the public markets | 然后在二手店里 公共市场怎么样 |
| 151 | then react to that? | 然后对此作出反应? |
| 152 | Is there a pot, does it sustain it or do people take cash off the table? | 有没有大麻,它维持它 或者人们从桌子上拿走现金? |
| 153 | Yeah we certainly did have one guest on Asia program I think, didn't we, who was... Jack Selby. | 是啊,我们确实有一个客人 在亚洲的节目 我想,是不是我们,谁是... 杰克・塞尔比。 |
| 154 | Yeah a little bit cautious on what happens when lockups come to an end and that sort of thing. | 是啊,有点谨慎 当锁 结束和那种事情。 |
| 155 | Open AI,第三季度收入数字通过Open AI增加50%. | |
| 156 | I mean | 我是说 |
| 157 | telling us a comforting story about monetization and the ability to monetize these models. | 告诉我们一个令人欣慰的故事 关于货币化 和将这些模型货币化的能力。 |
| 158 | 如果你把这些三家企业放在一起 CoreWeave Anthropic 开放AI | |
| 159 | the one clear takeaway for the bulls is the demand continues to be there. | 对公牛来说唯一明确的外卖是需求还在继续 |
| 160 | Massive demand, | 巨大的需求, |
| 161 | massive demand for compute, that's the CoreWeave story with that backlog of 132 billion, | 大量的需求计算, 这是核心 Weave的故事 与积压的132亿, |
| 162 | massive demand for the frontier models still for Open AI and Anthropic. | 对开放AI和Anthropic的前沿模型的大量需求。 |
| 163 | Open AI, as you said, | 打开AI,正如你说的, |
| 164 | 10 billion US dollars in the most recent quarter in terms of the revenues that came through, | 从最近一个季度的收入来看,100亿美元, |
| 165 | on an annualized rate. | 年薪标准。 |
| 166 | You're looking at revenues now of about 50 billion dollars, | 你现在看到的是500亿美元的收入, |
| 167 | annualized revenues for Open AI. | 公开AI的年收入。 |
| 168 | So they are catching up with Anthropic and they are proving | 所以他们追上Anthropic 他们证明 |
| 169 | that there is still demand. | 仍然有需求。 |
| 170 | Now they're still making a loss and the margin is still very much | 现在他们还在亏本,赔率仍然很高 |
| 171 | in negative territory for Open AI, but those losses have narrowed. | 但是损失已经缩小了 |
| 172 | Okay Tom, thank you very | 好吧,汤姆,谢谢你 |
| 173 | much. | 非常喜欢 |
| 174 | Tom McKenzie of course with the latest on those tech themes. | Tom McKenzie当然有这些技术主题的最新消息 |
| 175 | Tech themes rubbing up against | 技术主题与 |
| 176 | the latest inflation data out of the US. | 美国最新的通货膨胀数据。 |
| 177 | The latest CPI report came in then hot, | 最新的消费物价指数报告当时很热 |
| 178 | sending two-year treasury yields soaring by the most in some 19 months. | 两年的国库收益在大约19个月里猛增最多。 |
| 179 | Chicago Fed President | 芝加哥联邦主席 |
| 180 | Austin Coolsby weighed in on the report on PBS NewsHour. | 奥斯汀·柯尔斯比在PBS新闻频道的报道中有所评价. |
| 181 | Take a listen. | 来听听 |
| 182 | It's another distressing | 又是又一个烦恼 |
| 183 | report, borderline disturbing. | 报告,边界线扰动。 |
| 184 | So we've got a real inflation issue on our hands that has been | 所以我们手上有真正的通货膨胀问题 |
| 185 | developing and we're going to have to deal with that. | 正在发展,我们不得不处理。 |
| 186 | Now the cash treasury market is closed today | 现今金库市场今日关闭 |
| 187 | in the US, but there's movement elsewhere of course and there was plenty of movement in | 在美国,但有移动 当然其他地方, 有很多移动 |
| 188 | yesterday's session. | 昨天的会议。 |
| 189 | Ven Ram joins us, Bloomberg's Ven Ram, with some analysis. | 文・拉姆加入我们,彭博的文・拉姆, 有一些分析。 |
| 190 | So we established | 所以我们建立了 |
| 191 | over the last 24 hours that stocks like tech and that bond markets once again do not like inflation | 过去24小时内 科技等股票和债券市场 再次不喜欢通货膨胀 |
| 192 | and that's certainly what we saw at the front end of the US curve. | 这当然是我们在美国曲线前端看到的。 |
| 193 | How surprised were you by the | 你有多惊讶 |
| 194 | extent of the move in treasuries and other global bond markets on the back of that inflation print? | 国库和其他全球债券市场的变动幅度? |
| 195 | Hi Anna, so I don't think I was surprised at all because you know this was an accident | 嗨,安娜,所以我不觉得惊讶,因为你知道这是一个意外 |
| 196 | that was waiting to happen. | 等待着发生 |
| 197 | We have discussed in recent sessions how well the US economy has | 我们最近几届会议讨论过美国经济如何发展 |
| 198 | been doing, real growth has been above 3% which is above trend and you've got inflation that is | 一直以来,实际增长 3%以上,高于趋势 通货膨胀是 |
| 199 | running well above 3% and yesterday's inflation was to the upside. | 而昨天的通货膨胀是好的。 |
| 200 | So the markets have been | 所以市场已经 |
| 201 | glossing over the fact that you know how far does the Fed have to put up rates here and it looks | 掩盖了一个事实,你知道 美联储必须多远 将利率在这里,它看起来 |
| 202 | like they have to go a long way because you know even the Fed's own estimate of the real neutral | 就像他们必须走很长的路 因为你甚至知道美联储自己 对真正的中立者的估计 |
| 203 | rate is 120 basis points now and clearly that's understating it and as Goolsbee said this is | 速率是120个基点 现在,很明显,这是 低估它,正如Goolsbee说这是 |
| 204 | disturbing and I think that the Fed has got to go more than three times which is what the markets are | 美联储必须走三次多 那就是市场 |
| 205 | currently pricing in and if the Fed has got to keep raising rates I think that the front end is | 如果美联储继续提高利率 我认为前端是 |
| 206 | more or less there around 475, 478 which is the spread over the Fed mid-rate is considerable but | 大约475 478美元 也就是美联储中产率的分布很大 |
| 207 | if you look at the long end that's where I'm really concerned and I think that the 10 year is | 如果你看长的一端 那才是我真正关心的地方 我认为10年是 |
| 208 | hovering around 5% as we talk but I think that the 10 year and the 30 year yields have really | 在我们谈话时徘徊在5%左右 但我认为10年和30年的产量 |
| 209 | have much more work to do and I think that the direction of yields is higher from here. | 还有更多的工作要做,我认为产量的方向从这里更高。 |
| 210 | Yes it's interesting isn't it we got back above 5% didn't we yesterday on the 10 year we closed | 有意思的是,我们回来的不是5%以上吗 昨天我们关闭了10年 |
| 211 | at 4.99 and obviously no cash trading today. | 今天没有现金交易 |
| 212 | So what dictates the direction of travel next then | 接下来旅行的方向是什么? |
| 213 | Ven? | 温? |
| 214 | We saw of course the the fallout from the AI nervousness in the United States post the | 当然,我们看到了美国AI的紧张情绪 带来的后遗症 |
| 215 | buying and therefore lower yields but that thought process or that trip that investment | 购买并因此降低收益,但思考过程或投资之旅 |
| 216 | thesis seems to have moved aside. | 论文似乎已经挪到一边去了。 |
| 217 | Well as there are going to be episodes of volatility in the | 会有波动 |
| 218 | equity markets you will see tactical rallies in treasuries but I don't think that's the | 股票市场,你会看到战术集会 在国库,但我不认为这是 |
| 219 | sustainable or the strategic direction of treasuries from here because you know if you're | 或从这里得到的国库战略方向 因为你知道自己是否 |
| 220 | a nominal bond holder you want to be compensated for inflation that's the point of buying bonds | 名义债券持有者,您想获得通货膨胀补偿,这是购买债券的要点 |
| 221 | and if you if you're not getting an adequate inflation compensation | 如果你没有得到足够的通货膨胀补偿 |
| 222 | what is the point of that five nominal coupons because they are going to be eroded by inflation | 那五张名义优惠券有什么意义,因为它们将被通货膨胀侵蚀 |
| 223 | so I think that the direction of yields at least the long date of the bonds is definitely higher | 所以我认为,收益方向 至少在债券的漫长日期 绝对更高 |
| 224 | from here and I think that we are not yet in the value zone if you look at the median of the | 从这里,我认为,我们还没有 在价值区 如果你看看中间值 |
| 225 | inflation adjusted yields on the 10 year treasury is going back in history it's about two and a half | 10年的通货膨胀调整收益率 在历史上是 大约是2.5年 |
| 226 | percent and I we are not at that level so I think that we have got further to go here. | 我和我们没有达到这个水平 所以我想我们还有更多的工作要做 |
| 227 | Okay Ben thank you very much thanks for the analysis Bloomberg's | 还好 本非常感谢你对彭博公司的分析 |
| 228 | Venram from the markets live team now to other top stories that are trending on the Bloomberg | 来自市场现场的Venram 团队到其他顶级故事 正在流行于彭博会 |
| 229 | terminal this morning Morgan Stanley says global equity hedge funds cut risk at the fastest pace | Morgan Stanley说,全球股权对冲基金以最快的速度降低风险 |
| 230 | in more than a decade through the first week of November the retreat came as AI stocks sold off | 在11月第一个星期的十几年里, 退场是随着AI股票的出售而来的 |
| 231 | following the midterm elections hedge funds returns in the first week of November were | 在中期选举之后,11月第一个星期的对冲基金收益 |
| 232 | negative across all regions. | 所有区域的负数。 |
| 233 | 美国驻华大使David Perdue指出, | |
| 234 | Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang and an alleged Chinese spy is posing a test to bilateral relations he | Nvidia首席执行官Jensen Huang和一位中国间谍 正在考验他的双边关系 |
| 235 | says US-China relations are quote bumpy ahead of next week's summit between presidents Trump | 说中美关系在川普总统下周的峰会前 出现颠簸 |
| 236 | and the Chinese to take place in Shenzhen in China meanwhile treasury secretary Scott Besson | 和中国人将在深圳举行 同时,财政部秘书斯科特·贝松 |
| 237 | hailed an improvement in US-China engagements ahead of president Trump's visit next week | 在川普总统下周访问之前, |
| 238 | he spoke to the national committee on US-China relations. | 他和中美关系全国委员会谈过了 |
| 239 | We are establishing a direct channel to ensure that either nation can promptly alert the other | 我们正在建立一个直接渠道,以确保任何国家能够迅速向对方发出警报。 |
| 240 | to serious incidents involving its SI models. | 涉及其职业分类模型的严重事件。 |
| 241 | As SI advances so will the need to engage in | 随着职业介绍所的推进,需要参与 |
| 242 | new areas of risk management and to demonstrate how our two great nations can reconcile the | 新的风险管理领域,并展示我们两个伟大国家如何协调 |
| 243 | demands of competition with the responsibilities of leadership. | 要求与领导责任竞争。 |
| 244 | Coming up on the program Russia | 即将上演俄罗斯的节目 |
| 245 | and Ukraine try to negotiate a peace deal more on that next this is Bloomberg. | 接下来是彭博社, |
| 246 | This is Bloomberg Brief I'm Anna Edwards live in London. | 这是彭博简介 我是安娜·爱德华兹住在伦敦 |
| 247 | Ukraine and Russia continue a second day | 乌克兰和俄罗斯继续第二天 |
| 248 | of US-led peace talks in Abu Dhabi let's get an update with Bloomberg's Greg Sullivan. | 美国主导的阿布扎比和谈 让我们了解彭博的格雷格·沙利文 |
| 249 | Greg what's | 格雷格,这是什么? |
| 250 | the latest then coming from these talks a couple of days in and some of the language seems to be | 最近从这些谈话中传来的一些语言 |
| 251 | quite positive any substance? | 相当积极的任何物质? |
| 252 | Right the second day of talks did kick off today Ukrainian president | 今天,乌克兰总统的第二天会谈确实开始了 |
| 253 | Volodymyr Zelensky said that issues like de-escalation potential ceasefires over | 沃洛迪米尔·泽连斯基说,诸如缓和可能停火的问题 |
| 254 | the Black Sea and energy infrastructure could be on the table in today's talks. | 在今天的会谈中,黑海和能源基础设施可以放在桌面上。 |
| 255 | Coming out of | 出来了 |
| 256 | yesterday's talks the US and Ukraine cast them as rather constructive and productive. | 昨天的会谈使美国和乌克兰认为它们具有相当的建设性和建设性。 |
| 257 | Russia was | 俄罗斯当时 |
| 258 | slightly more reticent an official that was part of the talks said that it's still too early to say | 稍稍迟钝一点 身为谈判一部分的官员说 现在说还为时过早 |
| 259 | how the negotiations are going. | 谈判进展如何? |
| 260 | These are the first negotiations since February when the US | 这是美国2月份以来的第一次谈判 |
| 261 | shifted its focus to the its war on Iran so now that they're resuming it is an interesting sign | 现在他们又重新发动了这场战争, |
| 262 | that there is some momentum and some sides are casting it as constructive but still the fact | 有一些势头,有些方面认为它具有建设性,但事实仍然是: |
| 263 | remains that a lot of issues remain on the table and there is quite a chasm between the two sides | 双方仍然存在着很大的分歧 |
| 264 | leading into these talks on those issues. | 就这些问题展开会谈。 |
| 265 | Meanwhile the attacks by both sides do seem to continue | 同时双方的攻击似乎仍在继续 |
| 266 | That's right we saw attacks overnight from both Ukraine and Russia. | 没错,我们一晚上就看到来自乌克兰和俄罗斯的攻击。 |
| 267 | Ukraine said that | 乌克兰说, |
| 268 | energy infrastructure was struck while Russia said that oil infrastructure in Ust-Luga was hit | 俄罗斯说乌斯图-卢加的石油基础设施受到冲击, |
| 269 | so they haven't been quite to the same scale that we saw leading up to the attacks. | 所以他们还没有达到我们所看到的 攻击前的规模 |
| 270 | Both sides | 双方 |
| 271 | have been escalating their attacks prior to these talks yet clearly it's still ongoing even as | 在会谈之前,他们的攻击不断升级,但显然仍在进行之中,即使 |
| 272 | Zelensky said that today potential ceasefires over energy could be on the table but again Russia has | Zelensky说,今天潜在的能源停火可能摆在桌面上,但俄罗斯再次 |
| 273 | cautioned that it is still too early to say and up until now Russia hasn't backed away from its | 警告说,现在说起来还为时过早,直到现在,俄罗斯还没有放弃它。 |
| 274 | maximalist demands and has been cautious about any kind of acceptance of a ceasefire actually | 最大程度的要求,并对实际接受停火的任何形式持谨慎态度 |
| 275 | broadly rejecting the need for a ceasefire as potentially only buying Ukraine time to regroup. | 普遍反对停火,因为可能只是为乌克兰重新集结争取时间。 |
| 276 | Right and it's interesting so at this meeting we have the U.S. of course bringing these two sides | 癸 Τ届 硂穦 и讽礛穦Τ瓣 р硂ㄢ娩盿ㄓ |
| 277 | together Ukraine is there Russia is there not much European presence but there has been some | 俄国没有多少欧洲存在, |
| 278 | suggestion that maybe Europe has a part to play here then Greg. | 说明欧洲也许可以在这里发挥作用 然后是格雷格 |
| 279 | That's right it's actually | 没错,其实 |
| 280 | interesting yesterday on Tuesday ahead of the talks Ukraine said that they met with | 昨天在会谈前的星期二,乌克兰说,他们会晤 |
| 281 | their European counterparts who are in Abu Dhabi alongside U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and | 在阿布扎比的欧洲同行与美国特使Steve Witkoff和 |
| 282 | Jared Kushner. | 贾里德·库什纳. |
| 283 | Today the head of the Ukrainian delegation Rustam Umarov said that after the | 今天,乌克兰代表团团长鲁斯塔姆·乌马罗夫说, |
| 284 | trilateral talks with Russia and the U.S. Ukraine plans to meet again with their European partners | 与俄罗斯和美国的三边会谈计划再次与欧洲伙伴会晤 |
| 285 | and then on top of that U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that Europe needs a place at the | 然后在美国国务卿马可·鲁比奥的上面说,欧洲需要有一个位置 |
| 286 | table and he hopes that the talks will expand to include them going forward and that makes sense | 他希望会谈能够扩大范围,包括继续会谈,这样才有意义。 |
| 287 | for Europe who sees this conflict as part of their security infrastructure that see it as a direct | 欧洲认为这场冲突是其安全基础设施的一部分,认为它是直接的 |
| 288 | threat since it is in Europe and they have long wanted to be at the table but have largely been | 由于威胁是在欧洲,他们早就想坐到桌子上,但基本上一直 |
| 289 | excluded from talks during President Trump's second administration. | 特朗普总统第二任执政期间被排除在会谈之外. |
| 290 | Just briefly then Greg | 只是短暂的,然后格雷格 |
| 291 | I mean what are the what are the sticking points are we still talking about territory and the | 我的意思是,什么是什么是坚守点 我们仍然谈论领土和 |
| 292 | future security guarantees for Ukraine? | 乌克兰未来的安全保障? |
| 293 | Those are the big ones there have been a lot of issues on | 这些是大问题,有很多问题 |
| 294 | the table but there's no doubt that the two most intractable issues are the security guarantees. | 但毫无疑问,两个最棘手的问题是 安全保障。 |
| 295 | It's hard to see what Moscow would accept that would also please Kiev and be secure enough that | 很难想象莫斯科会接受什么 也能让基辅高兴 并且足够安全 |
| 296 | they would feel that there is a less of a threat of Russian aggression going down the future and | 他们觉得俄国侵略的威胁会减少 |
| 297 | then like you said territory. | 就像你说的地盘 |
| 298 | Moscow hasn't backed away from demands that Ukraine cede territory it | 莫斯科没有放弃乌克兰割让领土的要求 |
| 299 | still controls and that Moscow hasn't been able to take militarily. | 莫斯科一直无法军事控制 |
| 300 | Ukraine says that it's their | 乌克兰说这是他们的 |
| 301 | sovereign territory they don't want to take it a lot of it is heavily fortified and losing it would | 主权领土,他们不想占据它 很多是它 大量防御工事,失去它会 |
| 302 | potentially leave other areas of Ukraine open to future attack so those do remain two huge sticking | 未来乌克兰的其他地区可能会遭到攻击 所以这些地方仍然有两根巨大的刺痕 |
| 303 | points. | 点。 |
| 304 | Greg thank you so much thanks for the update Bloomberg's Greg Sullivan with the latest | 格雷格非常感谢你 更新了布隆伯格的格雷格·沙利文 |
| 305 | on those talks taking place in Abu Dhabi. | 在阿布扎比举行的会谈 |
| 306 | 美国战争部长Pete Hegseth | |
| 307 | he's dodged an impeachment effort more on that and what else is making headlines in our front | 他躲过了弹劾 更多的关于这一点 还有什么是我们前面的头条新闻 |
| 308 | page news next this is Bloomberg. | 接下来是彭博社 |
| 309 | Welcome back this is the brief now Chevron has reported its | 欢迎回来 这是雪佛龙现在报告的情况 |
| 310 | second straight quarter a blockbuster results in its latest earnings. | 第二直四分之一的块块 导致它的最新收入。 |
| 311 | 不过,CFO Ima Bonner不是 | |
| 312 | taking these boom times for granted on the latest episode of Bloomberg chief future officer Bonner | 在布隆伯格未来首席军官伯纳的最近一集中, |
| 313 | takes Bloomberg's Anne Marie Horden to the Permian Basin where Chevron produces about a million | 把彭博的安妮·玛丽·霍登带到佩尔米安盆地 雪佛龙在那里生产了大约一百万 |
| 314 | barrels a day. | 一天一桶。 (笑声) |
| 315 | A million barrels a day is our sweet spot because we have the factory optimized | 一天一百万桶是我们的甜点 因为工厂已经优化了 |
| 316 | at a million barrels a day we have reliability efforts that allow us to produce at a million | 每天一百万桶,我们有可靠的努力 使我们生产百万桶 |
| 317 | barrels a day with less cost. | 每天桶,成本较低。 |
| 318 | What does reliability mean? | 可靠性是什么意思? |
| 319 | I mean it means keeping our plant here | 我的意思是,它意味着保持我们的植物在这里 |
| 320 | up for the maximum amount of time so avoiding unplanned events shutdowns issues with equipment | * 尽量缩短时间,避免意外事件 |
| 321 | issues with the wells coming into the the facility there's 27 wells coming into this facility we try | 27口井进入了我们尝试的 |
| 322 | make them as productive as possible one of the ways we're doing that is putting advanced chemicals | 让他们尽可能多地生产 我们这样做的方法之一 是放置先进的化学品 |
| 323 | into the reservoir and think of that as kind of it washes the oil from the rock and so this is an | 进入水库 想到它会把岩石上的油洗掉 |
| 324 | area where we have seen over the last year 20 percent increase in production from whales that | 去年我们看到鲸鱼产量增加了20% |
| 325 | have been treated with this chemical. | 已经用这种化学品处理过。 |
| 326 | It also involves keeping the facilities running at high | 它还涉及使设施保持高水平运作。 |
| 327 | reliability equipment monitoring doing turnarounds proactive maintenance all of those things allow | 进行可靠设备监测 进行主动维护 |
| 328 | the equipment behind us to operate at the right technical limits that also contributes to reliability | 我们后面的设备在适当的技术限度下运行,这也有助于提高可靠性 |
| 329 | how important is that in a time of geopolitics where potentially other places are a little bit | 在地缘政治时代,其他地方可能有点 |
| 330 | on uncertain footing it's critical always but at a time where we've got disruptions around the world | 在不确定的基础上,它总是关键 但此时,我们有 扰乱世界各地 |
| 331 | at a time where the US is a net exporter and it's even more important and you can watch Bloomberg | 此时美国是净出口国 更重要的是 你可以看布隆伯格 |
| 332 | Chief Future Officer featuring Chevron CFO Ima Bonner that's tonight at 9 30 eastern time on | 今晚9点30分东部时间 |
| 333 | Bloomberg television time now for your front page news first up on the Washington Post the | 彭博电视台的首页新闻 首播于华盛顿邮报 |
| 334 | house narrowly blocked an effort to impeach defense secretary Pete Hegseth Democrats who take over | 屋里狭窄地堵住了弹劾国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯 接管的民主党人的努力 |
| 335 | Congress in January have said they will seek to use their power to remove Hegseth from office | 一月份的国会说,他们将试图 利用他们的权力 解除黑格赛的职务 |
| 336 | next up the New York Times reported Treasury Secretary Scott Begley of what this means for | 接下来纽约时报报道了财政部长斯科特·贝格利(Scott Begley) 这代表着什么 |
| 337 | tech investing how this rubs up against higher inflation and the bond market moves of this week | 科技投资如何消磨通货膨胀和本周债券市场波动 |
| 338 | more on that shortly this is Bloomberg it's 5 30 a.m in New York City 10 30 a.m here in London | 很快这里就是彭博社 纽约早上5点30分 伦敦早上10点30分 |
| 339 | good morning everybody I'm Anna Edwards with your Bloomberg Brief let's get you set up for the day | 早上好,大家好 我是安娜·爱德华兹 与你的彭博简介 让我们为你安排一天 |
| 340 | ahead equities get a boost after stronger than expected quarterly results from Core Weave | 在核心编织的季度结果比预期的要强之后,股票会得到提升 |
| 341 | reviving investor confidence in the AI trade Anthropix bankers said to be considering a higher | 恢复投资者对AI贸易的信心,据说Anthropix银行家正在考虑提高 |
| 342 | valuation for the firm's blockbuster IPO at one and a half trillion dollars or more and a hot CPI | 价值1.5万亿美元或更多 和热的消费物价指数 |
| 343 | print ramps up rate hike bets cash treasury markets are closed for Veterans Day after a surge | 现金市场被关闭 退役军人日 |
| 344 | in yields quick check on the markets then pre-market as we are S&P futures nasdaq futures | 快速查查市场,然后上市前,因为我们是S&P期货 Nasdaq期货 |
| 345 | both point higher European futures getting a boost from the tech trade and actually threatening to | 高欧洲期货从技术贸易中 得到提振 并威胁 |
| 346 | close at a record here in Europe meanwhile US futures do point higher those joint tech themes | 而美国的未来 却将联合技术主题提升到更高的水平 |
| 347 | {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}在Core Weave和Anthropix的周围 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}他们一晚上给大家一些安慰 | |
| 348 | we do see a continuation of the higher yield story that was so dominant yesterday after that | 我们确实看到一个 更高的收益故事的延续 昨天如此主导之后 |
| 349 | higher than expected inflation report let's get some stocks to watch today here's Olivia Lafue | 比预期的通胀报告还要高, 让我们看看今天的股票,这里是Olivia Lafue |
| 350 | hi Anna yes every single part of the AI trade is getting a boost today from neoclouds to server | Hi Anna 是的 AI交易的每个部分 今天都从新云到服务器都有了增长 |
| 351 | and memory providers to data center industrial players every facet is gaining and that's in | 和数据中心的内存提供者 工业玩家的每一个方面都在增加 |
| 352 | large part as you mentioned due to the solid set of results that we got from Core Weave they | 大部分是你们提到的 因为我们从核心编织中获得的坚实结果 |
| 353 | guidance for the year and reported a solid set of third quarter sales both of those prints coming | 该年的指南,并报告了一套坚固的第三季度销售量,这两种印刷品都来了 |
| 354 | in ahead of wall street estimates and really helping to calm investor nerves about the debt | 帮助投资者平息债务 |
| 355 | laden business that Core Weave is currently running speaking to investors today they're | 今天Core Weave正在跟投资者谈话 |
| 356 | pointing out the fact that short interest in Core Weave was quite high and also the fact that | 指出对核心编织的短暂兴趣相当高,并且指出 |
| 357 | it's just this is just relief we're seeing relief across the board from investors today | 只是今天投资者的解脱 |
| 358 | another sector of the or sect of the AI trade that's strong today is photonic stocks momentum | 人工智能贸易的另一部分或部分 今天很活跃 是光子股票的势头 |
| 359 | they're continuing from yesterday we had strong results from Japanese peer Hamamatsu regarding | 从昨天开始 我们从日本同行Hamamatsu的 强烈结果 |
| 360 | a strong demand continuing for photonics with regards to data centers so you're seeing coherent | 对数据中心的光子学需求很大,所以你可以看到一致性 |
| 361 | and momentum strong off the back of that one stock that's not happy today contrary to its name bright | 和强大的动力 从一个股票的背面 今天不高兴 与它的名字亮 |
| 362 | view their fourth quarter results were disappointing and their guidance also underwhelmed investors | 认为他们的第四季度结果令人失望,他们的指导也使投资者感到沮丧。 |
| 363 | stock is down 17 percent so perhaps underwhelm is a bit of an under exaggeration there they seem to | 股票跌了17% 所以也许下沉 有点夸张了 |
| 364 | be very very disappointed with the results yeah bit of an understatement not such a bright view | 对结果非常失望 有点小题大作 不太清楚 |
| 365 | Olivia thank you very much Olivia the view with the latest on the stocks we're watching this morning | Olivia 非常感谢你 Olivia 今天早上看的股票最新风景 |
| 366 | now a tech rally is lifting stocks higher as Olivia was pointing out following strong quarterly | 现在科技集会正在提高股票水平 就像Olivia指出的 |
| 367 | results from both Core Weave and Open AI so that's the backstory feeling better about technology | Core Weave和Open AI的结果, 使得对技术的背面感觉更好 |
| 368 | this morning let's bring into the conversation then Olaolu Agango who is head of portfolio | 今天早上,我们把奥拉奥卢·阿甘戈带到对话中来 谁是组合的负责人 |
| 369 | and analytics at City very nice to have you with us Olaolu your thoughts then on AI post the midterms | 和在城市的分析 很高兴你和我们在一起 奥劳鲁,然后你的想法 在AI 张贴的中期。 |
| 370 | but in the context of all the volatility we've seen in markets a sell-off following but followed | 但从市场波动的角度来看 市场有售卖行为 |
| 371 | {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}你和你在人工智能投资上的期望是什么 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}你应该知道 | |
| 372 | well thank you so much for having me I mean we say elections create volatility but really is | 非常感谢你邀请我 我们说选举会造成动荡 但真的 |
| 373 | the fundamentals that drives long-term results and the volatility last week you know we can't | 推动长期成果的基本因素 以及上周的波动 |
| 374 | underscore it in the data that we look at we're looking at the VIX going back to 1990 and it was | 在数据中强调,我们正在研究 VIX 追溯到1990年 |
| 375 | the third highest one day percentage change in the VIX so like that puts it in context there's a lot | VIX中第三高的一天百分比变化 这样就使它在上下文中有很多 |
| 376 | of volatility but if we go back to earnings again long-term fundamentals is driven you know by by | 不稳定,但如果我们回去 收入再次 长期的基本原理驱动 通过 |
| 377 | earnings we're 80 percent of the way through more than 80 percent of the way through we are seeing | 收入占我们80%的路 通过超过80%的路 通过我们看到 |
| 378 | 30 percent year-over-year earnings growth for what has been reported thus far recent earnings | 迄今报告的近年收入增长30% |
| 379 | included it's been outstanding is the third consecutive quarter of over 25 percent year-over-year | 包括它一直未完成 是连续第三季度 超过25%的一年 |
| 380 | earnings growth it is the eighth consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings growth so where | 收入增长是两位数收入增长的连续第八季度。 |
| 381 | does that put us just with you know valuations overall for the S&P it's about 18 times it's not | 这是否意味着我们只是 与你知道 总体的估价 对S&P 它大约18倍 |
| 382 | expensive it's the lowest it's been in roughly three years so we like the market here we continue | 价格是三年来最低的 所以我们喜欢这里的市场 |
| 383 | like the market here last week it was market trying to predict policy and and it's a hard | 就像上周这里的市场一样 市场试图预测政策 很难 |
| 384 | game to predict okay so PEs make things look attractive valuations are attractive then | 游戏可以预测,所以PEs 使事物看起来有吸引力的估价是具有吸引力的 |
| 385 | you say I mean some any skeptics some skeptics point to the earnings side of that PE and say | 你说我是指某些怀疑者 某些怀疑者指的就是PE的收入 |
| 386 | we're just not quite so confident in that as we used to be and maybe analysts haven't caught up | 我们只是不太有信心 像我们过去一样 也许分析师没有赶上 |
| 387 | with the political developments that we now anticipate in 2027 post the midterms a slower | 随着我们目前预计的2027年中期政治发展放缓, |
| 388 | rollout of data centers essentially if we do see that slowing down does that undermine the | 数据中心的推出,基本上如果我们看到减速会损害到 |
| 389 | earnings story or not materially so yes elections happened last week regardless of the party that | 不管有没有收入 所以上星期有选举 |
| 390 | are empowered there are a couple of things that you know you really can't change I'll talk about | 有几件事情是不能改变的 我会说 |
| 391 | deficits in a second but AI is one I was joking with with some of the other day you can't put | 有一秒钟的赤字,但AI是之一 我开玩笑与一些前天 你不能说 |
| 392 | the genie back in the bottle they are between 3 000 and 5 000 call of data centers in the US | 在瓶子里的精灵 在美国有3000到5000个数据中心 |
| 393 | you can't have AI without data centers those 3 000 and 5 000 are operating data centers and | 你不能有AI 没有数据中心 那3000和5000是运行数据中心 |
| 394 | they're an equal amount they're in different stages of planning now yes we have an election | 他们的金额是相等的 他们处于不同的计划阶段 现在有选举 |
| 395 | there are government officials there are some states that are reluctant or hesitant around | 有政府官员 有一些州 不愿意或犹豫不决 |
| 396 | the development of data centers but there are also some some some government officials in states | 数据中心的发展,但各州也有一些政府官员。 |
| 397 | that are very pro data centers at the end of the day it is a state by state legislation if there | 数据中心在一天结束时是州立法规定的 |
| 398 | is apprehension or pushback and once that you just go to another state and you build you know | 害怕或退缩 一旦你去了另一个州 你就会建起来 |
| 399 | there are also jokes they can build in space but regardless of which you still need cyber security | 还有一些笑话,他们可以在太空制造,但不管你还需要什么网络安全 |
| 400 | so that's a big component of AI you still need critical minerals you need copper you need steel | 所以这是人工智能的一大部分 你仍然需要关键的矿物 你需要铜 你需要钢铁 |
| 401 | you need aluminum you need a number of other things that are persistent regardless of the | 你需要铝,你需要一些其他的 持久的东西,无论 |
| 402 | election and the you know quote-unquote slowdown for us in our portfolios we're overweight cyber | 在选举和你知道的引文 - 引文 减速 在我们的组合 我们超重的网络 |
| 403 | security we're overweight some of those critical metals that you need in order to construct data | 安全,我们超重一些 关键金属,你需要 构建数据 |
| 404 | 你期待AI capex的减速 | |
| 405 | and if so is that going to be what we want allowed because i wasn't sure through the last earnings | 如果是这样,那就是我们想要允许的 因为我不确定通过最后的收入 |
| 406 | season whether as an investor community we were comforted by high capex or slightly disturbed by | 无论我们作为投资人 是否被高额的暴风雨 或稍有不安 |
| 407 | so there there are two components right so the capex is necessary in the early stages of any | 因此,有两部分是正确的,所以顶盖在早期是必需的。 |
| 408 | innovation we expect that to slow at some point it's not it's not concerning for us one company's | 创新,我们期望在某个时候减慢 与我们公司无关 |
| 409 | capex is another company's revenue and that's again just the initial part but if you think of | Capex是另一家公司的收入,这还是最初的部分,但如果你想到 |
| 410 | the life cycle of this innovative technology that we have we're just in the early innings of it so | 我们掌握的这种创新技术的生命周期 才刚刚开始 |
| 411 | we're talking about the hyperscalers we're talking about data centers yes but arguably we have not | 我们谈论的超规模的,我们谈论的数据中心 是的,但可以说我们没有 |
| 412 | seen the productivity gains yet for the vast majority of companies with regards to AI and that | 在大赦国际方面,绝大多数公司都取得了生产率的提高。 |
| 413 | in and of itself is an additional boost so whilst yes capex we do expect to slow it at some point | 这本身就是一种额外的刺激,所以,虽然是顶峰,我们确实期望在某个时候减缓它。 |
| 414 | with this earlier or later franklin is not really the key driver the key driver is once the | Franklin不是关键司机 关键司机曾经是 |
| 415 | infrastructure is in place the productivity gains and benefits that we expect to see for the broader | 基础设施已经到位,我们期望在更大范围内看到生产率的提高和效益。 |
| 416 | corporate universe is still expected to be able to drive long-term earnings and grow okay and that | 公司宇宙仍然有望推动长期收入并增长, |
| 417 | might have an impact on inflation talking of inflation that data taking some in the market | 可能会对通货膨胀产生影响 说通货膨胀, 数据带一些在市场上 |
| 418 | by surprise moving the bond market substantially particularly at the short end let's just have a | 特别在短短的一端 我们来一个 |
| 419 | listen to how austin gulsby of the chicago fed of course how he captured captured the mood around | 听听芝加哥的奥斯汀·古斯比 如何捕捉周围的情绪 |
| 420 | that cpi print it's another distressing report borderline disturbing so we we've got a real | 那CPI的指纹是另一个令人困扰的报告 边界线干扰 所以我们有真实的 |
| 421 | inflation issue on our hands that has been developing and and we're going to have to deal | 我们手上的通货膨胀问题 一直在发展,我们不得不处理 |
| 422 | with that borderline disturbing for gulsby allow how did it impact your thinking around fixed income | 对Gulsby来说 边界线的干扰 允许它如何影响你对固定收入的思考 |
| 423 | i mean are you factoring in a higher inflation for longer environment not just on the back of | 我的意思是,你考虑 较高的通货膨胀 对于更长的环境 不只是背面 |
| 424 | yesterday's print but more broadly thinking about u.s inflation so so i will say our our | 昨天的印刷品,但更广义的 思考你的通货膨胀 所以我要说我们 |
| 425 | view and i think we have a fairly non-consensus view our view is that inflation will run hotter | 我们的观点是通货膨胀会更热 |
| 426 | than consensus is thinking and that really by not hiking at the last foc meeting that the fed | 而不是共识是思考, 而实际上,不徒步 在最后一次foc会议, |
| 427 | is setting themselves up to be behind the curve cpi print yesterday came in higher now you know | 昨天的cpi打印值上升了 你知道 |
| 428 | month over month type of readings can be volatile but the share of cpi components that are rising at | 每月的读数类型可能不稳定,但cpi组件的比例在上升。 |
| 429 | 5%或更快的跳跃到56% 在october 它从44 在September 所以october份额 | |
| 430 | is the highest since 2022 so yes we do think inflation is a concern now with regards to | 是2022年以来最高的 所以是的 我们确实认为 通货膨胀是现在 |
| 431 | fixed income we've been saying this for some time the the fed and the fed chair have made | 固定收入 我们已经说了一段时间了 联邦和联邦的椅子已经做了 |
| 432 | it very very clear that price stability and bringing in inflation is a number one priority | 价格稳定和通货膨胀是头等大事 |
| 433 | for them and we're not there yet as a result of that you couple where we are with inflation the | 对他们来说,我们还没到那里,因为你们和通货膨胀在一起 |
| 434 | signaling or you know they don't do signaling but they've been very overt with regards to that | 信号,或你知道他们不做信号, 但他们一直非常公开 |
| 435 | we expect rates to go higher as a result of that earlier in the year and actually recently as well | 由于今年早些时候,以及最近,我们预计费率会提高。 |
| 436 | we've adjusted our duration position so we moved from our our mid and trend our mid and longer | 我们调整了工期位置 所以我们从我们的中点和趋势 |
| 437 | term duration and we're in shorter duration fixed income instruments why because we wanted to be | 我们的固定收入工具 是因为我们想成为 |
| 438 | able to to try and insulate ourselves somewhat from the the moves that we're expecting in the | 能够尝试和隔绝 我们期待的动作 |
| 439 | and add it to gold other areas that can increase the balance in | 并添加到金色的其他地区,增加平衡 |
| 440 | portfolios because with regards to fixed income we do believe is going to be challenging continues | 因为在固定收入方面,我们确实相信,将继续面临挑战。 |
| 441 | to be volatile alalu thank you very much alalu aganga thank you for your time from city good to | 感谢你们从城市到城市的时间 |
| 442 | get your perspective on the program now to other top stories that are trending on the blueberg | 将你对节目的看法 转到蓝贝格上流传的其他顶尖故事 |
| 443 | terminal this morning iran says it will not remove a single atom of enriched nuclear material from | 今早Iran说它不会从 浓缩核材料中移除一个原子 |
| 444 | the country in an interview with the pan arab tv network al mayadeed iran supreme national security | 在接受泛阿拉伯电视网的采访时, |
| 445 | council secretary said iran has informed russia that its enriched material will remain in the | 政务院秘书说,伊兰已经通知俄罗斯,其浓缩材料将留在 |
| 446 | country for domestic use he said the material is required to design nuclear-powered ships | 他说,这些材料是设计核动力船舶所需的。 |
| 447 | and submarines prices of baby food and formula in the united states surged by the most on record | 美国婴儿食品和配方的低价涨幅创纪录最高 |
| 448 | in october rising by about five percent a combination of factors are likely contributing | 综合各种因素可能促成 |
| 449 | to the increase in formula prices including higher costs for ingredients and transportation | 包括增加成份和运输费用 |
| 450 | inflation byd has apologized after some of its great tang electric suvs were assembled | 通货膨胀 byd 已经道歉 在它的一些伟大的 尖端电动软体组装 |
| 451 | with their front and rear wheel rims reversed the automaker traced the mistake to a supplier | 汽车制造商把错误追踪到供应商身上 |
| 452 | and says the affected vehicles are safe to drive byd is offering replacement | 并说受影响的车辆是安全的驾驶 字节是提供替换 |
| 453 | rims and restarting the warranty period coming up on the program a bumpy relation | 轮回和重开 保修期 即将到来 程序 |
| 454 | the u.s ambassador to china calls for diligence when dealing to the invidia affair more on that | 驻中国大使呼吁在应对印度事件时注意 |
| 455 | next this is going back we are establishing a direct channel to ensure that either nation | 我们正建立一个直接的渠道 确保任何国家 |
| 456 | can promptly alert the other to serious incidents involving its si models as si advances so will | 能够迅速提醒对方注意 涉及Si模型的严重事件 随着Si的推进 |
| 457 | the need to engage in new areas of risk management and to demonstrate how our two great nations can | 需要参与风险管理的新领域,并展示我们两个伟大国家如何能够 |
| 458 | reconcile the demands of competition with the responsibilities of leadership that was treasury | 调和竞争要求与财政部门的领导责任 |
| 459 | secretary scott besson hailing an improvement in u.s china engagement at an event in new york | Scott Besson秘书 欢呼纽约的一场赛事 中中国人参与的改善 |
| 460 | meanwhile u.s ambassador to china david purdue stayed more cautious he spoke exclusively to | 与此同时,驻中国大使达维德·普尔杜德(英语:David Purdue)则保持了更加谨慎的态度,他只和他交谈过 |
| 461 | bloomberg steven engel i think the situation with invidia is another reminder that we have to stay | 布兰博格史蒂芬·恩格尔 我觉得Invidia的情况 又一次提醒我们必须留下 |
| 462 | diligent national security is part of this economic conversation because economic security is national | 勤奋的国家安全是经济对话的一部分 因为经济安全是国家的 |
| 463 | and so what we're doing with china is bumpy right now we have some areas of disagreement but we have | 因此,我们正在做的瓷器是颠簸 现在,我们有一些 分歧的领域,但我们有 |
| 464 | 现在从Washton Mika Solener 从开花伯格政府的 rika 好加入我们 | |
| 465 | get your perspective thanks for taking us through this story and and a number of others let's start | 来听听你的观点 谢谢你带我们看这个故事 还有其他几个 让我们开始吧 |
| 466 | with this then u.s china relations and it's interesting the language coming from the u.s | 与这时的u.s瓷关系 和有趣的语言来自u. |
| 467 | envoy to china relations are bumpy after the invidia affair at another time you might imagine that | 来中国关系的特使 在另一个时候的Invidia事件之后 变得很颠簸 |
| 468 | what we've seen from invidia and the scandal around that alleged spy that might have resulted | 我们从Invidia那里看到的一切 以及那个间谍的丑闻 |
| 469 | in a lot more outspoken language from capitol hill do you get the sense that the republicans | 你是否觉得共和党 |
| 470 | or the leadership are just trying to play this down because we're approaching this important | 或领导只是试图 发挥这一点 因为我们正在接近这个重要 |
| 471 | meeting yeah i mean i i would say that the response at least from both the white house | 我想说至少两个白宫都有反应 |
| 472 | and the overall administration has been pretty tame so far in light of these allegations | 根据这些指控,迄今为止,整个行政当局相当温和。 |
| 473 | with jensen huang i know that the president has said has addressed the issue on the heels of | 我知道总统说过 这个问题在紧接着 |
| 474 | his meeting next week in china but i do think that this is going to create a lot of tension as | 他下周在中国的会面 但我确实认为 这会造成很多紧张 |
| 475 | we just heard uh you know the david purdue say um and i i do think that this could potentially | 我们刚刚听到 呃... 你知道达维德·普杜德说... |
| 476 | bleed into that meeting when it comes to those national security issues we have to i have to | 在那个会议上流血了 当涉及到国家安全问题时... ...我们必须... |
| 477 | remind our audience that the president has become extremely close with jensen huang | 提醒我们的观众, 总统已经变得非常接近 詹森・洪 |
| 478 | um in the as he kind of continues this ai race with the between the u.s and china and on another | 嗯,在那种他 继续这个AI比赛 与U.s和瓷器之间 和另一个 |
| 479 | subject but obviously in washington house republicans have been trying to impeach | 但显然在沃顿房子里 共和党人一直试图弹劾 |
| 480 | pete hexes or at least a number have but others have stood in the way of that effort when things | Peter Hexes或至少几个人有 但其他人却阻止了这项努力 |
| 481 | change in january that might lead to a different outcome what what have we learned from this process | 我们从这一进程中学到了什么? |
| 482 | yeah definitely i mean i think it still shows that a lot of republicans are really hesitant to break | 肯定的,我的意思是,我认为它仍然显示 很多共和党人 真的犹豫打破 |
| 483 | with president trump and the administration in any way i spoke with more than a dozen house | 我和十几间房子谈过 |
| 484 | republicans yesterday both about the impeachment vote and just the overall outcome of the midterms | 昨天的共和党 既关于弹劾投票 也只是中期结果 |
| 485 | how they're feeling about president trump if they blame him at all for the stinging losses | 他们怎么看总统胜诉 如果他们把刺痛的损失归咎于他 |
| 486 | that republicans faced both in the house and senate and in those surprise races and a lot | 共和党在众议院和参议院 以及那些突袭赛和很多 |
| 487 | of them are really reluctant to place any blame on the president which i think still shows that | 他们真的不愿意把任何责任 归咎于总统 我认为仍然显示 |
| 488 | this administration has a stronghold especially in this lame duck period heading into december | 这个政府有一个据点, 特别是在这个烂鸭子时期, 朝十月。 |
| 489 | uh where republicans are really going to try and pass the last of the president's agenda it's they | 共和党人真正想要通过 总统的最后议程 是他们 |
| 490 | see it as their last opportunity to get everything they can before this total democratic takeover | 认为这是他们最后的机会 得到一切他们能 在此之前,彻底民主接管 |
| 491 | but you're absolutely right that we may see this come again as well as potential other impeachments | 但你绝对是对的,我们可能会看到这个又来了 以及潜在的其他弹劾 |
| 492 | a next congress which have a greater chance of passing right yes that'll be an interesting | 下届国会 更有机会通过右侧 是的,这将是一个有趣的 |
| 493 | pivot to watch now russia and ukraine they're talking in abu dhabi how are those conversations | 看着现在的鲁西亚和乌克赖恩 他们用阿布哈比语说话 谈话怎么样 |
| 494 | obviously the u.s is there and leading those talks how are those talks being viewed from washington | 很明显,你在那里 领导这些会谈 如何看待这些会谈 |
| 495 | yeah i think that there's optimism in washington overall at least in capitol hill and and the | 是的,我认为在劳顿 总体上是乐观的,至少 在卡皮托山和 |
| 496 | house was very eager and has remained eager to try and progress these peace talks um but i do | 房子非常渴望 并且一直渴望 尝试并推进这些和谈 |
| 497 | think that there's also a lot of skepticism and this is this war has been ongoing for years now | 认为也有很多怀疑 这场战争已经持续多年了 |
| 498 | the trump administration and the president have said you know that they would swiftly end this | 总统说你知道他们会迅速结束这一切 |
| 499 | conflict but it's been a lot more complicated and we're seeing this in a lot of the other global | 冲突已经复杂得多了 我们在很多其他全球 |
| 500 | conflicts that the president has weighed into extensively and even created including the war | 包括战争在内的冲突 |
| 501 | iran that these are a lot more complicated and this will be the the resumption of talks after | 更复杂的是,这将会是会谈的恢复 |
| 502 | a very long period of that was kind of stalled and heading into kind of this rockier period | 一段很长的时期 有点停滞 并进入了一段比较美好的时期 |
| 503 | between ukraine and the u.s in particular in light of some comments that were made by u.s officials | 特别是根据美国官员的一些评论 |
| 504 | regarding russian president Vladimir Putin. | 关于俄罗斯总统普京 |
| 505 | Mika thanks very much Mika Solna of Bloomberg | 美嘉非常感谢彭博社的美嘉·索尔娜 |
| 506 | government thank you very much for your time now one stock we're keeping a firm eye on of course | 政府非常感谢你的时间 现在一个股票,我们正在牢牢监视 当然, |
| 507 | it's earnings giving a boost to the market with a strong quarter and a rosy forecast let's get the | 以强劲的四分之一 和优美的预测来刺激市场 |
| 508 | perspective of matt bloxham from Bloomberg intelligence well there you go pre-market up by | 从布隆伯格的情报界看Matt Bloxham的视角... ...你到市场前... |
| 509 | nearly 14 percent then matt and this was an epicenter of market concern some weeks ago | 近14%,然后Matt, 这是几星期前市场关注的中心 |
| 510 | now it seems to be acting as a comfort nasdaq futures up really quite healthily partly on the | 现在它似乎 是一个舒适的纳斯达克未来 真的很健康 部分在 |
| 511 | back of the guidance we're getting here yeah i mean definitely that the guidance was helpful | 回到我们这里的指引... |
| 512 | you know modest upgrade to the full year revenue and profit for me the more interesting uh point | 你知道,适度升级到全年收入 和利润对我来说更有趣的呃点 |
| 513 | was the commentary around the sources of funding in the near term we'll see one of the problems | 近期内我们将会看到一个问题。 |
| 514 | with core we recently has been that big spike in in yields because of the question marks about how | 我们最近产量猛增 因为有问题 |
| 515 | {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}他们可以资助这次大规模推广 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}至少下一个是现金流负数公司 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}他们可以资助这次大规模推广 | |
| 516 | three or four years according to consensus and that the ceo said that they're going to get about | 根据共识,3年或4年 和Ceo说,他们要去 |
| 517 | nine billion dollars of prepayment funding from their customers and that they've got a delayed | 他们的客户预付了90亿美元 并且他们延迟了 |
| 518 | down investment grade facility in the pipes too so i we don't need to go and tap expensive debt | 也降低水管的投资等级设施,所以我们不需要去抢走昂贵的债务 |
| 519 | to keep funding the business in their term and i for me that's like being a very important signal | 继续资助他们的生意 对我来说 这就像一个非常重要的信号 |
| 520 | for the company to give because this company isn't typical so we get comfort from the top line demand | 公司给予,因为这个公司不是典型的 所以我们得到了舒适 从顶级的需求 |
| 521 | forecasts maybe but they're not typical in terms of the debt story are they no they're not it's | 预测也许,但从债务故事来看,它们不是典型的,不是 |
| 522 | quite a complicated um debt structure and you know some of the unsecured debt you know spiked | 相当复杂的债务结构 你知道一些无担保债务 你知道猛增 |
| 523 | as much as 15 percent yields recently uh because there are these question marks about you know the | 最近有15%的产量 因为有关于你的问题 |
| 524 | kind of mismatch between revenue and profit growth but the amount of capital investment they're | 收入和利润增长不匹配 但资本投资的金额 |
| 525 | making near terms you know tens of billions dollars of cash outflow and how do you continue | 使你几乎知道数百亿美元的现金流出 以及你如何继续 |
| 526 | to fund that and you know what's the trajectory towards cash flow break even what about anthropic | 来资助它,你知道什么是轨迹 现金流断,甚至人类。 |
| 527 | then onto anthropic also getting some comfort there are we from this talk certainly in other | 然后进入人类生活 也得到一些安慰... ... |
| 528 | media about just how high the valuation could go here not as high as some of the really elevated | 媒体说这里的估值可能比一些真正的高 |
| 529 | levels we've previously seen but talk us through these latest yeah i mean it's been a bit of a | 我们以前见过的水平,但谈谈我们 通过这些最新 是的,我的意思是,它已经有点 |
| 530 | journey for them in the last few weeks hasn't that um i you know also that the news today that maybe | 他们过去几周的旅程不是... ...嗯... |
| 531 | the bankers are looking to push the valuation up towards 1.5 trillion you're still a long way | 银行家们想把估值推到1.5万亿 你还有很长的路要走 |
| 532 | {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}简言之 人们谈论的两万亿 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}但比他们想的要好得多 | |
| 533 | 1.2 to 1.3 that the kind of essentially the baseline if you like it of the of the ipo | 1.2到1.3 那种基本上属于基线的,如果你喜欢的话 |
| 534 | it's really down to the manor team to kind of go and see investors give a very convincing pitch | 它真的下到庄园团队 那种去 看到投资者给出一个非常令人信服的投注 |
| 535 | about the fundamentals the size of the addressable market their sustainable profitability path you | 关于基本 大小的可解决市场 他们的可持续盈利路径 您 |
| 536 | know the moat they've got around the business that's really what's going to you know test | 知道他们有护城河 周围的生意, 这真的是什么,你知道测试 |
| 537 | investors appetite and i guess they're probably keeping their fingers crossed that we get through | 投资人的胃口,我想他们可能 保持他们的手指交叉 |
| 538 | a week without too many more or any more unexpected negative bits of news around the border industry | 一周没有太多或更多意外的负面新闻 |
| 539 | yes and perhaps they'll be pleased with some of the positive news we've had out from | 是的,也许他们会很高兴 我们从一些积极的消息 |
| 540 | even open ai so some comfort perhaps on the ability to monetize the business is that what | 甚至开放AI 所以一些安慰 也许对货币化 业务的能力是, |
| 541 | we should read into the revenue numbers there yeah i think this is so open ai came out where | 我们应该读一下那里的收入数字 我觉得这里很开放 |
| 542 | we reportedly told investors that q3 revenue was about 10 billion about 50 up sequentially | 据报道,我们告诉投资者 q3的收入大约100亿左右 连续50个 |
| 543 | very similar growth trajectory to what we heard from anthropic now with the anthropics q3 number | 和我们从人类学中听到的 人类学的q3 数字相似 |
| 544 | was a lot bigger 17 billion dollars what it showed you was open ai it has pivoted into the | 170亿美元 显示你开着的Ai,它潜入 |
| 545 | enterprise ai opportunity that anthropics really focused on that you know it suggests there's | 人类学真正关注的机会 你知道这说明 |
| 546 | plenty of demand there they're also kind of improving their kind of profitability trajectory | 那里的需求量很大 他们也正在改善他们的利润轨迹 |
| 547 | too so yeah it's a positive data point i think it should in theory at least be a big enough market | 是的,这是一个积极的数据点 我认为在理论上至少应该是一个足够大的市场 |
| 548 | plenty big enough market for both of these companies to grow substantially from where they | 这些公司的市场足够大,可以从那里大幅度增长 |
| 549 | are today matt thank you very much matt block some from bloomberg intelligence with all those tech | 今天是Matt 非常感谢你 Matt 和所有那些技术一起 阻止一些来自盛大的智力 |
| 550 | themes coming up your day ahead that's next this is bloomberg welcome back to the brief now we'll | 接下来是盛盛的盛会 欢迎回到简报中 |
| 551 | look at what is ahead for today a host of fed speak including hammock bar daily and schmidt | 看看今天要做什么 包括吊床酒吧和鸡尾酒 |
| 552 | throughout the day we get that commentary coming from those fed speakers opec will be out with | 一天之内,我们得到的评论 从那些提供消息的演讲者 opec将会与 |
| 553 | its monthly oil report that's later this morning and the cash treasury market is closed of course | 今早的月度石油报告 当然 国库现金市场已经关闭了 |
| 554 | in observance of veterans day certainly wasn't closed yesterday more on that in just a moment | 在纪念老兵的日子里,昨天当然没有关闭了,就在一瞬间 |
| 555 | let's have a look at some of these macro movers for you and in fact thinking about yesterday | 让我们来看看一些这些 宏观的推动者 给你,事实上思考一下昨天 |
| 556 | and the big moves that we saw higher in yield certainly at the two-year horizon also at the | 以及我们所看到产量较高的大步 肯定在两年内 |
| 557 | year went over five percent on five on 10-year yields at one point well we see a continuation | 一年每10年的产量超过5%, 一次不错,我们看到继续 |
| 558 | of that trajectory and wednesday's futures picture waiting for cash trade tomorrow the broader | 那轨迹和周二的期货图 等着明天进行现金交易 |
| 559 | futures picture for equities looks pretty positive we're up by 1.9 on nasdaq futures thinking about | 股票的期货图看起来很正面 我们比纳斯达克期货的1.9 |
| 560 | where we go on the core we've story and profit all of that offering a little bit of comfort | 在那里,我们去核心 我们的故事和利润 所有提供一点点的舒适 |
| 561 | {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}看一看我们商品的价位 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}现在 | |
| 562 | little bit higher gold prices move a little bit higher and brent and wti of course focused on | 一点点高的黄金价格移动 一点点高, Brent和wti当然专注于 |
| 563 | in the middle east the iranians taking a tough line on enrichment of uranium the gold price is | 在中东部,伊朗人对铀浓缩采取强硬路线 黄金价格是 |
| 564 | perhaps more focused on cpi and the trajectory for fed interest rates that is it for bloomberg | 也许更注重cpi 和喂养利率的轨迹 也就是开花伯格的利率 |
| 565 | brief surveillance is ahead this is bloomberg | 短暂的监视即将到来 这片开阔的山庄 |
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