法国史上最大规模抗议：60万人游行，财政赤字却无钱可补｜附文
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:00 | Imagine checking your bank account right now. | 想象一下,现在检查你的银行账户。 |
| 0:03 | You look at the number on the screen, | 你看屏幕上的号码 |
| 0:05 | it is much lower than you hoped. | 这比你想的要低得多 |
| 0:07 | Yeah, that is a terrible feeling. | 是啊,这是一个可怕的感觉。 |
| 0:08 | It really is. | 没错 |
| 0:10 | You look at your bills for the month, | 你看你的账单一个月, |
| 0:11 | you see the cost of groceries, | 你看杂货费, |
| 0:13 | you see the electric bill. | 你看到电费了 |
| 0:15 | Right, everything just adds up so fast. | 对,一切都好快 |
| 0:17 | Exactly. | 没错 |
展开字幕全文（493 条）
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Imagine checking your bank account right now. | 想象一下,现在检查你的银行账户。 |
| 2 | You look at the number on the screen, | 你看屏幕上的号码 |
| 3 | it is much lower than you hoped. | 这比你想的要低得多 |
| 4 | Yeah, that is a terrible feeling. | 是啊,这是一个可怕的感觉。 |
| 5 | It really is. | 没错 |
| 6 | You look at your bills for the month, | 你看你的账单一个月, |
| 7 | you see the cost of groceries, | 你看杂货费, |
| 8 | you see the electric bill. | 你看到电费了 |
| 9 | Right, everything just adds up so fast. | 对,一切都好快 |
| 10 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 11 | And then you realize you have to make a terrible choice. | 然后你意识到你必须做出一个可怕的选择。 |
| 12 | You have to skip dinner today because, well, | 今天你必须跳过晚餐 因为 |
| 13 | you need that money to pay for electricity tomorrow. | 你明天要付电费 |
| 14 | It is a harsh reality. | 这是一个严酷的现实。 |
| 15 | You cannot have both. | 你不能有两者。 |
| 16 | No, you cannot. | 不,你不能这么做。 |
| 17 | For many people, this is not just a bad dream. | 对许多人来说,这不仅仅是一个恶梦。 |
| 18 | It is a daily struggle for basic survival. | 它每天为基本生存而奋斗。 |
| 19 | Welcome to today's Deep Dive. | 欢迎来到今天的深潜 |
| 20 | We are looking at a single really fascinating source today. | 我们今天正在寻找一个真正迷人的来源。 |
| 21 | Yes, an article from the South China Morning Post. | 是的,南华早报的一篇文章. |
| 22 | Right. | 对 |
| 23 | The article details massive protests in France. | 文章详细介绍了法国的大规模抗议活动. |
| 24 | It talks about severe money problems | 讲的是严重的钱问题 |
| 25 | and a major political crisis. | 和一场重大政治危机。 |
| 26 | We have a very clear mission today. | 我们今天的任务非常明确。 |
| 27 | We are going to explore why almost 600,000 people | 我们正在探索为什么 近60万人 |
| 28 | are marching in the streets. | 正在街头游行。 |
| 29 | That is a huge number of people. | 这是一个巨大的人。 |
| 30 | It is. | 没错 |
| 31 | We will also look closely | 我们也会仔细观察 |
| 32 | at the country's deep financial troubles. | 国家深陷财政困境 |
| 33 | And finally, we will understand | 最后,我们会明白 |
| 34 | why the French government is completely frozen. | 为什么法国政府被完全冻结了 |
| 35 | They are just unable to make decisions right now. | 他们只是现在无法作出决定。 |
| 36 | Let us jump right into it. | 让我们跳进去吧。 |
| 37 | Sounds good. | 听起来不错 |
| 38 | To understand the political chaos, | 为了了解政治混乱 |
| 39 | we must first look at the real pain, | 我们必须首先看看真正的痛苦, |
| 40 | the pain driving this anger on the streets. | 痛苦驱使这种愤怒在街头。 |
| 41 | The numbers in the article are frankly shocking. | 文章中的数字坦率地说令人震惊. |
| 42 | Yeah. | 对 |
| 43 | Almost 600,000 people protested across France. | 法国全国近60万人抗议. |
| 44 | And that was on just one Thursday. | 那是在一个星期四。 |
| 45 | Think about that scale for a moment. | 想想这个尺度 |
| 46 | That is like an entire major city | 这就像整个大城市 |
| 47 | walking into the streets all at once. | 立刻走上街头 |
| 48 | Right, just stopping everything. | 对,只是停止一切。 |
| 49 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 50 | And to handle this massive crowd, | 为了应付这群人 |
| 51 | the government used 70,000 police officers. | 政府动用了7万名警察 |
| 52 | Oh, wow. | 哦,哇呜。 |
| 53 | That is a huge police presence. | 这是一个巨大的警察存在。 |
| 54 | It really is. | 没错 |
| 55 | It is more than the regular army of some small countries. | 它不仅仅是一些小国的正规军。 |
| 56 | It shows how seriously the government | 说明政府有多严肃 |
| 57 | takes this public anger. | 带着公众的愤怒 |
| 58 | Right. | 对 |
| 59 | Now, the protests were mostly peaceful, | 现在,抗议大多是和平的, |
| 60 | but the sheer size of the crowd | 但人数众多 |
| 61 | points to a very deep frustration. | 这表明人们非常沮丧。 |
| 62 | People are clearly fed up. | 众生显然厌离. |
| 63 | Yes, and this anger did not happen overnight. | 是的,这种愤怒不是一夜之间发生的。 |
| 64 | The article notes the timing is crucial. | 该条指出时机至关重要。 |
| 65 | This unrest comes after nearly 10 years | 这场动乱发生在近十年之后 |
| 66 | under President Emmanuel Macron. | 在埃马纽埃尔·麦克龙总统领导下 |
| 67 | 10 years is a very long time in politics. | 十年在政界是一段很长的时期. |
| 68 | People get tired. | 众生疲倦. |
| 69 | They do. | 没错 |
| 70 | And making things worse, | 使事情变得更糟, |
| 71 | presidential elections are coming up soon. | 总统选举即将举行。 |
| 72 | Ah, right. | 对 |
| 73 | So every political party is desperate. | 所以每个政党都绝望. |
| 74 | They want to win over these angry voters. | 他们想战胜这些愤怒的选民. |
| 75 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 76 | The political tension is very high. | 政治紧张局势非常严重。 |
| 77 | But the root cause is about basic human needs. | 但根源在于人类的基本需要。 |
| 78 | The article shares a recent survey. | 文章分享了最近的一项调查。 |
| 79 | Yes, I saw that. | 是的,我看见了。 |
| 80 | It reveals the everyday suffering of normal citizens. | 它揭示了普通公民的日常痛苦。 |
| 81 | The findings in that survey are just shocking. | 调查结果令人震惊。 |
| 82 | Over the last six months, | 过去六个月 |
| 83 | 50% of the French public bought lower quality food. | 50%的法国公众购买了质量较低的食品. |
| 84 | 50%? | 50%吗? |
| 85 | That is half the country. | 这是一半的国家。 |
| 86 | Right. | 对 |
| 87 | They had to change how they eat just to save money. | 为了省钱 他们不得不改变饮食方式 |
| 88 | Buying cheaper food is a clear first sign of financial stress. | 购买更便宜的食物是财政压力的第一明显迹象. |
| 89 | But the survey reveals something much darker. | 但调查显示 更黑暗的东西。 |
| 90 | What is that? | 这是什么? |
| 91 | 19% of people actually skipped meals entirely. | 19%的人实际上完全不吃饭。 |
| 92 | Really? | 真的吗? |
| 93 | Let us look at that number closely. | 让我们仔细看看这个数字。 |
| 94 | 19% means nearly one in five people. | 19%意味着近五分之一的人。 |
| 95 | Yeah, one in five. | 对 五分之一 |
| 96 | Imagine walking down a busy street in Paris. | 想象一下在巴黎一条繁忙的街道上 |
| 97 | You pass five people. | 你通过五个人。 |
| 98 | Statistically, one of them did not eat a meal today. | 从统计学上来看,今天有一个人没有吃过一顿饭。 |
| 99 | Simply because they could not afford it. | 只是因为他们付不起 |
| 100 | This is happening in a very wealthy nation. | 这发生在一个非常富裕的国家。 |
| 101 | It is hard to believe. | 很难相信 |
| 102 | The physical pain of skipping meals is very real. | 跳过饭的肉体痛苦是非常真实的. |
| 103 | But there is also a huge mental burden. | 但也有一个巨大的精神负担。 |
| 104 | The stress must be awful. | 压力一定很大 |
| 105 | It is. | 没错 |
| 106 | 59% of respondents worry about future energy prices. | 59%的受访者担心未来的能源价格. |
| 107 | They go to sleep wondering about the winter. | 他们去睡觉 想知道冬天。 |
| 108 | Right, how they will afford to heat their homes. | 对,他们付得起暖房费 |
| 109 | To understand why people are struggling so much, | 为了理解人们为什么如此挣扎 |
| 110 | we need to look at what they earn. | 我们要看看他们赚多少 |
| 111 | Yes, the money coming in. | 是的,钱来了 |
| 112 | The article provides the average wage in France. | 该条规定了法国的平均工资。 |
| 113 | In 2025, the average gross wage was about 46,000 euros. | 2025年,平均毛工资约为46,000欧元. |
| 114 | Let me stop you there. | 让我停一下 |
| 115 | We should note that gross wage is the money a person earns | 我们应注意到,毛工资是一个人挣的钱 |
| 116 | before taxes. | 税前。 |
| 117 | Right, before the government takes its share. | 对,在政府接管之前 |
| 118 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 119 | So the money they actually take home to spend is much lower. | 所以他们带回家花的钱要低得多。 |
| 120 | How does that 46,000 euros compare | 这46000欧元比起来如何? |
| 121 | to other places in Europe? | 去欧洲其他地方? |
| 122 | It sits somewhere in the middle. | 于中间某处坐. |
| 123 | This average wage is lower than in Germany or Belgium. | 这一平均工资低于德国或比利时。 |
| 124 | OK. | 摆 |
| 125 | But it is higher than the average wage in Spain or Italy. | 但它高于西班牙或意大利的平均工资. |
| 126 | Well, an income of 46,000 euros might | 收入46,000欧元 |
| 127 | sound like a decent amount of money to some people. | 听起来像一个体面的金额 一些人。 |
| 128 | It might seem fine on paper. | 纸上看起来还不错 |
| 129 | But an average number could be very misleading. | 但是,平均数字可能非常误导人。 |
| 130 | How so? | 为什么? |
| 131 | An average includes the salaries of very rich people. | 平均包括非常富有的人的工资。 |
| 132 | It hides the reality of the lower earners. | 它隐藏了低收入者的现实。 |
| 133 | The high cost of food and energy is eating away | 高价的食品和能源正在耗尽 |
| 134 | at everyone's money. | 在每个人的钱。 |
| 135 | Right. | 对 |
| 136 | Even if your wage stays the same, your money buys less. | 即使你的工资不变 你的钱也少买点 |
| 137 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 138 | A bag of groceries might cost 50 euros last year. | 一袋杂货去年可能要50欧元 |
| 139 | Now that same bag costs 60 euros. | 同样的包要60欧元 |
| 140 | Your wage did not change at all. | 你的薪水一点都没变 |
| 141 | But you are suddenly poorer. | 但你突然变穷了 |
| 142 | This extreme financial pressure is splitting the country | 这种极端的财政压力正在分裂国家 |
| 143 | in half. | 一半时间。 |
| 144 | This brings us to the core political debate. | 这使我们进入核心政治辩论。 |
| 145 | People are suffering. | 众生受苦. |
| 146 | Because of this, one side of the country wants big changes. | 因为这样,一国一方想要大变革. |
| 147 | Right. | 对 |
| 148 | They strongly believe the state and wealthy businesses | 他们坚信国家和富商 |
| 149 | must step in to help. | 必须介入帮助。 |
| 150 | We are talking about the arguments presented | 我们谈论的是所提出的论点 |
| 151 | by the political left here. | 由政治左翼在这里。 |
| 152 | And let us be very clear with you, the listener. | 让我们说清楚,听者。 |
| 153 | We are not taking sides here. | 我们不会站在一边的 |
| 154 | No, not at all. | 不,一点也不。 |
| 155 | We are just explaining the source. | 我们只是在解释消息来源 |
| 156 | We are just reporting what the political left | 我们只是报告政治左翼 |
| 157 | is arguing in the article. | 在文章中争论。 |
| 158 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 159 | So the left sees a clear solution. | 故左见明解. |
| 160 | They want businesses to pay for this crisis. | 他们希望企业为这场危机付出代价。 |
| 161 | Let me ask a logical question. | 让我问一个合乎逻辑的问题。 |
| 162 | During the COVID pandemic, businesses had to close. | 在COVID大流行期间,企业不得不关闭. |
| 163 | And to save them, the government stepped in. | 为了拯救他们,政府介入。 |
| 164 | The state gave billions of euros to these companies | 国家给了这些公司数十亿欧元 |
| 165 | to keep them alive. | 让他们活着 |
| 166 | That is correct. | 没错 |
| 167 | They give them a lot of rescue money. | 他们给了他们很多救赎资金. |
| 168 | So if the government gave money to businesses | 所以如果政府给企业钱 |
| 169 | to help them during COVID, why is it wrong to ask businesses | 在COVID期间帮助他们, 为什么问企业是错误的 |
| 170 | to help workers now? | 现在帮助工人? |
| 171 | That is exactly the point the left is making. | 这正是左翼要说的 |
| 172 | That emergency funding is central to the debate today. | 这种紧急供资是今天辩论的核心。 |
| 173 | It makes sense as an argument. | 以辩为理. |
| 174 | 绿党议员Leah Balaj-El-Mariki | |
| 175 | makes this exact point in the article. | 在文章中提出这一点。 |
| 176 | She argues that the government helped companies during COVID. | 她辩称,政府在COVID期间帮助了一些公司. |
| 177 | Right. | 对 |
| 178 | So she believes it is now up to those same businesses | 所以她相信现在要靠同样的企业了 |
| 179 | to help citizens. | 帮助公民。 |
| 180 | She's basically asking for a return | 她基本上要求回报 |
| 181 | on the public's investment. | 公众投资 |
| 182 | The state helped businesses when times were hard? | 国家帮助企业 当困难的时候? |
| 183 | Yes. | 对 |
| 184 | Now times are hard for normal citizens. | 现在对普通公民来说是艰难的。 |
| 185 | So companies must return the favor. | 所以公司必须报答你 |
| 186 | She also points a finger directly at President Macron. | 她还直接指向马克伦总统 |
| 187 | She accuses his government of making | 她指责他的政府 |
| 188 | the national debt much worse. | 国债更严重 |
| 189 | How did he do that according to her? | 她怎么说的? |
| 190 | She argues he did this by cutting taxes | 她辩称他这样做是减税 |
| 191 | for big companies and rich individuals. | 给大公司和富人 |
| 192 | Her logic is that cutting taxes means | 她的逻辑是 减税意味着 |
| 193 | less money for the government. | 少给政府钱。 |
| 194 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 195 | Less government money means more national debt. | 减少政府资金意味着更多的国债. |
| 196 | So the political left believes the wealth is there. | 因此,政治左派相信财富就在那里. |
| 197 | It is just sitting in the hands of corporations. | 它只是坐在公司手中。 |
| 198 | Based on this belief, workers are | 基于这种信念,工人 |
| 199 | making very specific demands. | 提出非常具体的要求。 |
| 200 | The article highlights the CGT. | 文章突出CGT. |
| 201 | CGT吗? | |
| 202 | Yeah, they are a massive workers union, one of the largest | 是啊,他们是一个庞大的工会, 一个最大的 |
| 203 | organized groups in France. | 在法国组织团体。 |
| 204 | OK, got it. | 好吧,来吧。 |
| 205 | What do they want? | 他们想要什么? |
| 206 | The CGT is urging the government to increase the minimum wage | GGT敦促政府提高最低工资。 |
| 207 | by 10%. | 以10%计。 |
| 208 | A 10% jump? | 跳10%吗? |
| 209 | That is a massive demand. | 这是一个巨大的需求。 |
| 210 | It really is. | 没错 |
| 211 | This rise in prices is called inflation, right? | 这种物价上涨被称为通货膨胀,对吗? |
| 212 | Yes. | 对 |
| 213 | So if food and rent get more expensive, | 所以,如果食物和租金变得更贵, |
| 214 | French law already bumps up the minimum wage slightly, | 法国法律已经稍微提高了最低工资, |
| 215 | just to protect workers. | 为了保护工人 |
| 216 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 217 | The law provides a basic shield against normal inflation. | 法律提供了防止正常通货膨胀的基本屏障。 |
| 218 | But the CGT union argues that normal increases are | 但CGT工会认为,正常的增加是: |
| 219 | no longer enough. | 已经不够了 |
| 220 | Because the cost of living has risen too fast. | 因为生活费用上涨过快。 |
| 221 | Right. | 对 |
| 222 | They want a massive 10% increase on top | 他们想在顶部增加10% |
| 223 | of the automatic adjustments. | 自动调整。 |
| 224 | Honestly, this sounds like a simple fix. | 老实说 这听起来很简单 |
| 225 | If raising the minimum wage helps people buy food and eat, | 如果提高最低工资帮助人们购买食物和吃饭, |
| 226 | why do critics say it is a terrible idea? | 为什么批评者说这是一个可怕的想法? |
| 227 | Well, while the unions see corporate wealth | 当工会看到公司财富时 |
| 228 | as the obvious solution, the political right | 作为明显的解决办法,政治权利 |
| 229 | looks at the nation's bank account. | 看看国家的银行账户 |
| 230 | And they see a completely different reality. | 他们看到的是一个完全不同的现实。 |
| 231 | They do. | 没错 |
| 232 | Again, we are simply reporting the arguments | 再说一遍,我们只是报告这些论点 |
| 233 | from the political right now. | 从现在的政治。 |
| 234 | We are remaining totally impartial. | 我们保持完全公正。 |
| 235 | Absolutely. | 当然 |
| 236 | We are just looking at the other side of the article. | 我们只是看文章的另一面。 |
| 237 | So what does the political right say? | 政治权利怎么说? |
| 238 | They see a country with no money left. | 他们看到一个没有钱的国家。 |
| 239 | They argue that raising the minimum wage | 他们认为,提高最低工资 |
| 240 | is actually dangerous. | 实际上是危险的。 |
| 241 | Dangerous? | 危险? |
| 242 | How so? | 为什么? |
| 243 | They believe forcing companies to pay more | 他们认为强迫公司付出更多 |
| 244 | will destroy the economy. | 将破坏经济。 |
| 245 | 这篇文章引用了Marine Le Pen. | |
| 246 | She is a far-right leader. | 她是一个非常正确的领导者。 |
| 247 | What is her warning? | 她有什么警告吗? |
| 248 | She warns that forcing companies to pay 10% more | 她警告说,强迫公司多付10% |
| 249 | will cause them to fire workers. | 会让他们解雇工人 |
| 250 | Let us think about how that works in the real world. | 让我们想一想这在现实世界是如何运作的。 |
| 251 | Imagine a small bakery in Paris. | 想象巴黎一家小面包店 |
| 252 | This is a great way to look at it. | 观此妙法. |
| 253 | So the bakery owner sells bread and pays three workers. | 于是面包店老板卖面包,给三个工人钱. |
| 254 | If the law suddenly forces the owner | 如果法律突然强迫主人 |
| 255 | to pay those workers 10% more, the owner | 给那些工人多付10% 房主 |
| 256 | faces a huge problem. | 面对一个巨大的问题。 |
| 257 | The owner cannot magically find extra money. | 主人无法神奇地找到额外的钱。 |
| 258 | They have to make a tough choice. | 他们必须做出一个艰难的选择。 |
| 259 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 260 | They can raise the price of their bread, | 他们可以提高面包的价格, |
| 261 | but then hungry people cannot afford to buy it. | 但饥饿的人买不起 |
| 262 | Or the owner can fire one of the workers to save money. | 或者业主可以解雇一个工人来节省钱财. |
| 263 | This is the exact fear the political right talks about. | 这就是政治权利谈论的恐惧。 |
| 264 | They believe forced wage increases | 他们相信强制加薪 |
| 265 | lead directly to job losses. | 直接导致失业。 |
| 266 | Marine Le Pen used very strong words to describe this. | Marine Le Pen用非常强烈的词来形容这一点. |
| 267 | She said, state forced wages are like going back | 她说,国家强制工资 就像回去 |
| 268 | to the Soviet Union. | 致苏联. |
| 269 | The Soviet Union. | 苏联. |
| 270 | That is a heavy comparison. | 这是一个沉重的比较。 |
| 271 | She is comparing this policy to a system | 她把这个政策比作制度 |
| 272 | where the government controlled all businesses and all prices. | 政府控制了所有企业和价格 |
| 273 | Her argument is that heavy government control | 她的论点是政府控制很重 |
| 274 | ruins the economy. | 毁了经济。 |
| 275 | She is not alone in this thinking, right? | 她并不孤单,对吧? |
| 276 | No. | 没有 |
| 277 | Center-right leader, Edward Philippe, agrees with her. | 中右翼领袖爱德华·菲利普同意她的观点. |
| 278 | He's a former prime minister. | 曾任总理. |
| 279 | What does he say? | 他说什么? |
| 280 | He argues that a government cannot just magically create | 他辩称,政府不能只是神奇的创造 |
| 281 | wealth. | 财富。 |
| 282 | He says the state cannot force the economy | 他说国家不能强迫经济 |
| 283 | to pay for things it cannot afford. | 付不起钱 |
| 284 | You cannot force a struggling bakery | 你不能强迫一个挣扎的面包店 |
| 285 | to spend money it does not have. | 来花它没有的钱。 |
| 286 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 287 | But wait, going back to the left-wing argument, | 但等一下,回到左翼的争论 |
| 288 | these businesses received government help during COVID. | 这些企业在COVID期间得到了政府的帮助. |
| 289 | If they took government money then, | 如果他们拿了政府的钱 |
| 290 | why can they not protect jobs and raise wages now? | 为什么他们现在不能保护工作和增加工资? |
| 291 | The right-wing response to that is | 右翼对此的反应是: |
| 292 | about the nature of the crisis. | 关于危机的性质。 |
| 293 | OK, explain that. | 好吧,解释一下。 |
| 294 | A COVID rescue was a temporary emergency measure. | COVID救援是一项临时紧急措施。 |
| 295 | It was just to stop businesses from closing forever. | 这只是为了阻止企业永远关闭。 |
| 296 | Right. | 对 |
| 297 | But a 10% minimum wage hike is a permanent new cost. | 但提高最低工资10%是永久性的新代价。 |
| 298 | They argue many businesses simply | 他们只是争论很多生意 |
| 299 | do not have the profit to survive a permanent cost | 无法承受永久成本 |
| 300 | increase. | 增加额。 |
| 301 | This brings up a much larger issue. | 这提出了一个更大的问题。 |
| 302 | The right-wing argument is not just about small businesses, | 右翼的论点不仅仅是关于小企业, |
| 303 | is it? | 是吗? |
| 304 | No, it is not. | 不,不是这样的。 |
| 305 | It is about the entire country running out of money. | 这是关于整个国家的钱用光了。 |
| 306 | Yes. | 对 |
| 307 | The financial facts presented in the article are very harsh. | 文章提出的财务事实非常严酷. |
| 308 | Really need to look at France's national debt. | 真的需要看看法国的国债. |
| 309 | The article mentions a recent credit rating downgrade, | 文章提到最近信用评级降低, |
| 310 | right, from an agency named Fitch? | 好吧,从一个叫Fitch的机构? |
| 311 | Yes. | 对 |
| 312 | Let us break that down into plain English. | 让我们把这个问题讲成简单的英语。 |
| 313 | Please do. | 请吧 |
| 314 | What is a credit rating downgrade? | 信用评级降级是什么? |
| 315 | Think of a credit rating like a personal trust score. | 想想信用评级 像个人信任分。 |
| 316 | If you always pay your debts on time, banks trust you. | 如果你总是按时还债 银行信任你 |
| 317 | They give you a good score. | 他们给你一个好分数。 |
| 318 | Right. | 对 |
| 319 | They lend you money easily. | 他们很容易借钱给你 |
| 320 | Well, a whole country has a trust score, too. | 整个国家也有信任的分数 |
| 321 | And Fitch lowered France's score to a negative outlook. | 而菲奇则将法国的得分降到了负前景. |
| 322 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 323 | This is a severe warning to the global financial system. | 这是对全球金融系统的严重警告。 |
| 324 | It means lenders think lending money to France | 意思是放款人以为借钱给法国 |
| 325 | is becoming too risky. | 越来越危险了 |
| 326 | Right. | 对 |
| 327 | And when a country gets a downgrade, | 当一个国家被降级, |
| 328 | borrowing money becomes more expensive. | 借钱更贵了 |
| 329 | The government has to pay higher interest rates. | 政府必须支付更高的利率. |
| 330 | So if they pay more interest, they | 所以,如果他们支付更多的利息,他们 |
| 331 | have less money for other things, less money for hospitals, | 买其他东西的钱少 买医院的钱少 |
| 332 | schools, and social programs. | 学校和社会方案。 |
| 333 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 334 | And the debt is growing at an alarming rate. | 债务以惊人的速度增长。 |
| 335 | Fitch predicts that France's public debt | 费奇预测法国公债 |
| 336 | will reach 124% of its GDP by 2028. | 到2028年将达到国内生产总值的124%。 |
| 337 | Let us explain GDP simply. | 让我们简单解释一下国内生产总值。 |
| 338 | Gross domestic product. | 国内生产总值。 |
| 339 | It is the total money the whole country makes in a year. | 这是全国一年来赚的钱总额。 |
| 340 | Right, the total value of everything produced. | 对,所有产品的总价值。 |
| 341 | So a debt of 124% means France will owe much more money | 124%的债务意味着法国会欠更多钱 |
| 342 | than it actually makes in a year. | 比一年里赚的钱还多 |
| 343 | Yes. | 对 |
| 344 | Let us put that in simple terms for a normal person. | 让我们简单地说,这是一个正常的人。 |
| 345 | OK. | 摆 |
| 346 | Imagine a person earning $50,000 a year. | 想象一个人每年挣5万美元。 |
| 347 | But this person owes $62,000 on their credit cards. | 但这个人欠他们的信用卡62,000美元。 |
| 348 | Wow. | 珃 |
| 349 | They owe much more than they make. | 他们欠的比他们赚的多得多 |
| 350 | And the debt is still growing. | 而债务仍在增加。 |
| 351 | Right. | 对 |
| 352 | If that person has a sudden emergency, | 如果这个人突然有紧急情况 |
| 353 | like their car breaks down, they have no money to fix it. | 像他们的车坏了, 他们没有钱修复它。 |
| 354 | They are trapped. | 他们被困住了。 |
| 355 | The political right argues that France | 政治权利认为,法国 |
| 356 | is becoming that trapped person. | 成为那个被困的人 |
| 357 | They believe the country is on the edge of bankruptcy. | 他们相信这个国家正处于破产边缘. |
| 358 | Now we see the full picture. | 现在我们看到全貌。 |
| 359 | You have two very angry sides. | 你有两个非常愤怒的方面。 |
| 360 | Yes. | 对 |
| 361 | The left says people are starving today. | 左边说人们今天饿了 |
| 362 | The right says the country will go broke tomorrow. | 右边说明天国家就会崩溃 |
| 363 | And both sides firmly believe they are right. | 双方坚信他们是对的。 |
| 364 | Now imagine trying to write a single national budget | 现在想象一下,试图写一个单一的国家预算 |
| 365 | with these two groups. | 与这两组人。 |
| 366 | A budget is the master plan for the country. | 预算是国家的总计划。 |
| 367 | It details how the government will collect money, mostly | 它详细介绍了政府如何收钱,主要是 |
| 368 | through taxes. | 通过税收。 |
| 369 | And it details exactly how the government | 并详细介绍了政府如何运作 |
| 370 | will spend that money. | 钱会花掉的 |
| 371 | Right. | 对 |
| 372 | So putting these two groups together to write this, | 所以把这两组人集中起来写这个 |
| 373 | it sounds like a terrible group project at school. | 听起来像一个可怕的集体项目 在学校。 |
| 374 | It really does. | 确实 |
| 375 | It is causing total chaos. | 它正在造成完全混乱。 |
| 376 | Everyone writes a different paragraph. | 每个人都写不同的段落。 |
| 377 | They do not talk to each other. | 他们不互相交谈。 |
| 378 | And the final paper makes zero sense. | 而最后的论文则毫无道理. |
| 379 | That is the perfect analogy. | 这是完美的类比。 |
| 380 | The article describes a recent budget vote on Wednesday. | 文章描述了最近星期三进行的一次预算投票。 |
| 381 | Lawmakers tried to pass the money collection part | 立法者试图通过 集资部分 |
| 382 | of the 2027 budget bill. | 2027年预算法案。 |
| 383 | That is a crucial part. | 这是一个关键部分。 |
| 384 | How did it go? | 怎么样? |
| 385 | They completely rejected it, though it was a complete failure. | 他们完全拒绝,虽然这是彻底的失败. |
| 386 | Wait, they voted against their own bill. | 等等 他们投票反对自己的法案 |
| 387 | Yes. | 对 |
| 388 | They could not agree on who should pay taxes | 他们不能同意谁应该交税 |
| 389 | or how much they should pay. | 或者他们应该付多少钱 |
| 390 | The different political parties did not work together at all. | 不同的政党根本不合作。 |
| 391 | So they just pulled the law in different directions. | 所以他们只是把法律 在不同的方向。 |
| 392 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 393 | One party added a new tax on the wealthy. | 一党对富人加征新税. |
| 394 | Another party removed a different tax on businesses. | 另一方取消了对企业的不同征税。 |
| 395 | They changed the document so many times | 他们改变文件很多次了 |
| 396 | that it stopped making any sense. | 它停止了任何意义。 |
| 397 | The original plan was completely lost. | 原计划完全失败. |
| 398 | One official in the article gave the ruined bill a perfect name. | 一名官员在文章中给被破坏的法案一个完美的名字. |
| 399 | What did he call it? | 他叫什么来着? |
| 400 | He called it a Frankenstein text that no one wants to vote for. | 他称之为"弗兰肯斯坦"(Frankenstein)的文本,没有人想投. |
| 401 | A Frankenstein text. | 弗兰肯斯坦的短信 |
| 402 | Yep. | 对 |
| 403 | Because it is a monster made of mismatched parts. | 因为它是一个怪物 由不匹配的部分。 |
| 404 | Yes. | 对 |
| 405 | Just like your bad school project analogy, | 就像你糟糕的学校项目类比, |
| 406 | nobody wants to put their name on it. | 没人想写名字 |
| 407 | So they rejected their own work entirely. | 于是他们完全拒绝自己的作品. |
| 408 | This failure creates total political paralysis. | 这种失败造成了完全的政治瘫痪。 |
| 409 | The government is completely frozen. | 政府完全冻结了 |
| 410 | They cannot collect money. | 他们不能收钱。 |
| 411 | They cannot agree on spending. | 他们不能就开支达成一致。 |
| 412 | They simply cannot move forward. | 它们根本无法前进。 |
| 413 | Yeah. | 对 |
| 414 | Is there any hope? | 有希望吗? |
| 415 | Let us look at the immediate future. | 让我们看看最近的将来。 |
| 416 | Well, Prime Minister Sebastian Laquan is trying to step in. | 塞巴斯蒂安·拉昆总理正试图介入 |
| 417 | He wants to find a compromise. | 他想找到一个妥协。 |
| 418 | What is his plan? | 他有什么计划? |
| 419 | He organized a major meeting for next Monday. | 他为下周一组织了一次重要会议。 |
| 420 | He's sitting down with union leaders and business owners. | 他和工会领袖和企业主坐在一起. |
| 421 | OK. | 摆 |
| 422 | Getting everyone in the same room. | 令众同室. |
| 423 | The goal of the meeting is to discuss wages, inflation, | 会议的目的是讨论工资,通货膨胀, |
| 424 | and the cost of living. | 和生活费用。 |
| 425 | Right. | 对 |
| 426 | It is a final attempt to get the two sides talking. | 这是促使双方对话的最后尝试。 |
| 427 | But based on the article, nobody expects this Monday meeting | 但根据这篇文章,没有人期待这个星期一的会议 |
| 428 | to succeed. | 将成功。 |
| 429 | No. | 没有 |
| 430 | The Wednesday budget vote proved the compromise | 星期三的预算投票证明了妥协 |
| 431 | is nearly impossible right now. | 现在几乎不可能 |
| 432 | The two sides are simply too far apart. | 双方的距离太远了。 |
| 433 | The workers demand more money to survive. | 工人需要更多的钱来生存. |
| 434 | And the businesses and the political right | 生意和政治权利 |
| 435 | say the money does not exist. | 说钱不存在。 |
| 436 | And the current government lacks the political power | 现任政府缺乏政治权力 |
| 437 | to force a decision. | 迫使一个决定。 |
| 438 | They are caught in the middle. | 他们被夹在中间。 |
| 439 | The political system is totally frozen. | 政治制度完全冻结。 |
| 440 | It is a terrifying situation for a major world power. | 这对于一个世界大国来说是一种可怕的情况。 |
| 441 | A paralyzed government cannot fix the problems | 瘫痪的政府无法解决问题 |
| 442 | causing the protests. | 导致抗议。 |
| 443 | No, they cannot. | 不,他们不能。 |
| 444 | Let us briefly recap the core conflict we explored today. | 让我们简要回顾我们今天探讨的核心冲突。 |
| 445 | France is caught in a terrible trap. | 法国陷入了一个可怕的陷阱。 |
| 446 | It really is. | 没错 |
| 447 | On one side, you have the very real painful hunger | 一方面,你有 真正的痛苦的饥饿 |
| 448 | of everyday citizens. | 日常公民的荣誉 |
| 449 | Nearly one in five people are skipping meals. | 将近五分之一的人不吃饭。 |
| 450 | And they are terrified they cannot afford basic electricity | 他们害怕他们买不起基本电力 |
| 451 | this winter. | 这个冬天 |
| 452 | On the other side, you have a dangerous mountain | 在另一边,你有一个危险的山 |
| 453 | of national debt. | 国家债务。 |
| 454 | The country's credit rating is falling. | 全国信用评级下降. |
| 455 | France soon will owe much more money than it produces in a year. | 法国很快将欠下比一年多得多的钱。 |
| 456 | The political left demands that businesses and the wealthy | 政治左翼要求企业和富人 |
| 457 | pay for the crisis. | 为危机付出代价。 |
| 458 | And the political right argues that forcing businesses to pay | 而政治权认为,强迫企业支付 |
| 459 | will destroy jobs and ruin the economy. | 将摧毁工作,破坏经济。 |
| 460 | Because of this massive divide, the government | 由于这个巨大的分裂,政府 |
| 461 | has completely stopped working. | 已经完全停止工作。 |
| 462 | They cannot even agree on a basic budget | 他们甚至不能就基本预算达成一致 |
| 463 | to keep the country running. | 让国家运转下去 |
| 464 | This total paralysis leaves us with a very serious final | 这完全瘫痪,让我们有一个非常严重的决赛 |
| 465 | question to think about. | 问题要考虑。 |
| 466 | I am listening. | 我听着呢 |
| 467 | We see that this country is completely | 我们认为这个国家是完全的 |
| 468 | stuck on basic issues of daily survival and national debt. | 困在日常生存和国家债务的基本问题上。 |
| 469 | The government cannot agree on a simple budget plan. | 政府不能就简单的预算计划达成一致. |
| 470 | So what happens if a new sudden global emergency hits tomorrow? | 那么,如果明天出现新的突发全球紧急情况,怎么办? |
| 471 | How does a paralyzed country react | 瘫痪国家的反应如何 |
| 472 | when a fast response is the only way to survive? | 当快速反应是生存的唯一途径时? |
| 473 | If another pandemic hits next week. | 如果下周再发生一次大流行 |
| 474 | Or a natural disaster. | 或遇天灾. |
| 475 | A frozen government might not be able to act at all. | 被冻结的政府可能根本无法采取行动。 |
| 476 | That is a chilling thought to mull over on your own. | 这是一个令人寒冷的想法 搅拌你自己。 |
| 477 | It is. | 没错 |
| 478 | Finding the balance between taking care of human beings | 在照顾人类之间找到平衡 |
| 479 | today and protecting a nation's economy for tomorrow | 今天和明天保护国民经济 |
| 480 | is incredibly hard. | 很难过 |
| 481 | It is the hardest job in politics. | 这是政治中最难的工作。 |
| 482 | When you look at your own bank account | 当你看着自己的银行账户 |
| 483 | or read the international news, remember this. | 或者读国际新闻 记住这一点 |
| 484 | Remember how quickly a powerful country can freeze up | 记住一个强国能很快地冻结起来 |
| 485 | when the money runs out and the people are hurting. | 等钱用光了 人民就会受到伤害 |
| 486 | Absolutely. | 当然 |
| 487 | Thank you so much for joining us for this deep dive | 非常感谢你加入我们的深潜 |
| 488 | into the situation in France. | 进入法国局势 |
| 489 | We hope breaking down these arguments | 我们希望打破这些争论 |
| 490 | helped you understand a complex world just a little bit better. | 帮助你理解一个复杂的世界 只是一点点更好。 |
| 491 | Keep asking questions. | 继续问 |
| 492 | And keep learning. | 并不断学. |
| 493 | We will see you next time. | 下次见 |
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