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纳斯达克12月6日起延长交易,华尔街开进亚洲时段,香港交易所

字幕摘录

时间英文中文
0:00Welcome to the deep dive.欢迎来到深潜
0:01So I want you to think about the stock market like a giant global supermarket for a second.所以我希望你考虑一下股票市场 像一个巨大的全球超市一秒钟。
0:06Okay, a supermarket.好吧,超级市场。
0:08Right.对
0:08I mean sure that makes sense, right?我的意思是肯定 这有道理,对不对?
0:10So imagine the American supermarket suddenly decides to stay open almost 24 hours a day.所以想象一下美国超市突然决定每天几乎24小时开放.
0:16Oh, wow.哦,哇呜。
0:16Yeah, and it is sitting right across the street from the Asian supermarket.是的,它正坐在街对面 亚洲超市。
0:20What happens to the Asian store?亚洲商店怎么了?
0:22Well, hey people just walk across the street.嘿,人们只是走过街。
展开字幕全文(369 条)
序号英文中文
1Welcome to the deep dive.欢迎来到深潜
2So I want you to think about the stock market like a giant global supermarket for a second.所以我希望你考虑一下股票市场 像一个巨大的全球超市一秒钟。
3Okay, a supermarket.好吧,超级市场。
4Right.对
5I mean sure that makes sense, right?我的意思是肯定 这有道理,对不对?
6So imagine the American supermarket suddenly decides to stay open almost 24 hours a day.所以想象一下美国超市突然决定每天几乎24小时开放.
7Oh, wow.哦,哇呜。
8Yeah, and it is sitting right across the street from the Asian supermarket.是的,它正坐在街对面 亚洲超市。
9What happens to the Asian store?亚洲商店怎么了?
10Well, hey people just walk across the street.嘿,人们只是走过街。
11That is a huge problem for them.这对他们来说是一个巨大的问题。
12Exactly.没错
13And this is basically what is happening to global money right now.这基本上就是全球资金目前的情况。
14It really is.没错
15The American stock market is about to lose its sleep schedule completely.美国股市即将完全失眠.
16We are looking at a really interesting article today.我们今天正在看一篇很有趣的文章。
17It is from the South China Morning Post from November 2026."南华早报"2026年11月刊载.
18Yeah, our mission today is to help you understand this historic change.是的,我们今天的任务是 帮助你理解这个历史性的变化。
19We want to figure out what this means for your money and why the city of Hong Kong is right on the front lines here.我们想弄清楚这对你们来说意味着什么 香港市为什么就站在前线
20They are definitely on the front lines.他们肯定在前线
21So let us look at the exact details first.因此,让我们先看看确切的细节。
22Right.对
23So starting December 6th, 2026, the NASDAQ is making a huge move.因此,从2026年12月6日开始,纳斯达克号正在进行一个巨大的动作.
24The NASDAQ is a major U.S. stock exchange, just to be clear.纳斯达克是一个主要的美国证券交易所,只是要明确.
25Yes, exactly.没错
26They are extending their trading to almost 23 hours a day.他们每天将交易时间延长到近23小时。
2723 hours.23小时。
28That is just it is almost nonstop.这只是它几乎是不间断的。
29It is.没错
30They are opening a new overnight trading window.他们正在打开一个新的交易窗口
31It runs from 9 p.m. to 4 a.m. in New York.纽约从晚上9时至凌晨4时。
32And that timing is critical.时机很关键
33Think about the time zones.想想时区.
34Right.对
359 p.m. to 4 a.m. in New York matches up exactly with 10 a.m. to 5 p.m. in Beijing and Hong Kong.纽约9时至4时与北京和香港的上午10时至下午5时完全吻合。
36So the American night shift happens during the normal Asian day.因此,美国的夜班发生在正常的亚洲白天.
37Exactly.没错
38Got it.明白吗?
39The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission actually approved this back in April.美国证券交易委员会在4月份实际上批准了这个计划.
40They're the government agency that makes the rules for U.S. markets.他们是为美国市场制定规则的政府机构.
41Right.对
42And they approved it because, well, the NASDAQ said investors in Asia really want this.他们同意了 因为纳斯达克说亚洲的投资者真的希望这样
43They want to buy American stocks during their own daytime.他们想在白天买美国股票
44Yes.对
45If you live in Asia, you do not want to stay up until midnight just to buy shares of a U.S.如果你住在亚洲, 你不会想一直呆到午夜 只是为了买美国的股份。
46computer company.电脑公司。
47That makes total sense.这是完全合理的。
48You want to trade during your normal working hours.你想在正常工作时间进行交易。
49You do.没错
50But this creates a very specific headache for Hong Kong.不过这给香港造成了非常特别的头痛.
51Why just Hong Kong?为什么只有香港?
52I mean, the article says mainland China does not have the same problem.我的意思是,文章说中国大陆没有同样的问题.
53They do not.他们没有。
54And it comes down to a term called capital controls.它下面是一个叫资本控制的术语。
55OK, we need to explain that one in plain English.好吧,我们需要解释 一个简单的英语。
56What are capital controls?什么是资本控制?
57Capital controls are basically strict government rules.资本管制基本上是严格的政府规则。
58They stop people from moving their money to other countries.他们阻止人们把钱转移到其他国家.
59So it is like a tall fence around the money.所以这就像一个高大的栅栏 围绕钱。
60Exactly like a fence.就像栅栏一样
61Mainland China has very strict capital controls.中国大陆资本管制非常严格.
62So a normal person in Beijing cannot just send all their savings to New York.因此,北京一个正常人不能仅仅把他们所有的储蓄都寄到纽约.
63Right.对
64They cannot easily buy American stocks.他们不能轻易购买美国股票。
65The government keeps the money locked inside their own economy.政府把钱锁在自己的经济里
66OK, but Hong Kong is different.好吧,但香港不一样
67Very different.非常不一样。
68Hong Kong is an open financial city.香港是一个开放的金融城市.
69They have absolutely no capital controls.他们绝对没有资本控制。
70None at all.没有
71None.无。
72The money moves freely.钱可以自由移动。
73It flows in and out every single second.每一秒都流着
74So because Hong Kong has no gates keeping the money inside, people are worried.因为香港没有城门把钱藏在里面,所以人们很担心.
75Right.对
76They worry the money will just walk out the door to buy U.S.他们担心钱会走出去买美国
77stocks instead.而不是库存。
78That is the exact fear.这就是真正的恐惧。
79If an investor in Hong Kong sees a good American stock during lunch, they can just buy it.如果在香港的投资者在午餐时看到好的美国股票,他们可以直接购买.
80They do not have to wait for the U.S. morning anymore.他们不用再等美国早上了
81No, they can move their money instantly.不,他们可以马上转移他们的钱。
82So the local Hong Kong market could lose that money.这样当地的香港市场就会失去这笔钱.
83Wow.珃
84OK, so if money can easily move to the U.S.好吧,所以如果钱可以很容易地转移到美国。
85market during Hong Kong's day, that changes things.香港时代的市场 改变了一切
86It changes everything.它改变了一切。
87How does that actually affect the prices of这实际上如何影响
88stocks in real time?实时股票?
89Well, the matching hours will connect那么,匹配的时间会连接
90the prices between the two markets very tightly.两个市场之间的价格非常紧凑。
91So a shock in the U.S. hits Hong Kong instantly.所以,美国的一个冲击 立刻击中香港。
92Instantly.即时.
93You do not wait for the next day anymore.你不会再等第二天了
94I have another analogy for this.我还有一个比喻
95Oh, let us hear it.哦,让我们听到它。
96It's like two pools of water.如两池水.
97And now they are connected by a large pipe.现在它们通过大管连接起来。
98OK, I can see that.我看得出来
99If you drop a heavy rock in the U.S.若投重石于美国.
100pool, the waves travel right through the pipe.游泳池,波浪穿过水管
101Yes.对
102And they hit the Hong Kong pool instantly.他们立刻撞到了香港游泳池
103The water moves together.水动相合.
104That is a perfect way to picture it.这是一个完美的方法来描绘它。
105And this mostly affects shared industries.这主要影响到共享产业。
106Like which ones?喜欢哪个?
107Things like Internet technology,比如互联网技术
108electric vehicles and biotechnology.电动车辆和生物技术。
109Biotechnology.生物技术。
110So like companies making new medicines.就像公司制造新药
111Right.对
112And also semiconductors.还有半导体
113Those are the computer chips inside all our phones and cars.这是我们所有手机和汽车里的电脑芯片
114Those industries are completely global.这些产业是完全全球性的。
115They are.他们是。
116The article gives a really good recent example of this文章给出了一个很好的例子
117instant wave effect.即时波效应.
118Oh, right.对
119With the Heng Seng Index.与恒生指数.
120Yes.对
121The Heng Seng Index is just a scorecard.恒生指数只是记分卡.
122It tracks the biggest companies in the Hong Kong market.追踪香港市场上最大的公司.
123So what happened last week?上周发生了什么?
124Last week, the index had a great run.上周,指数运行顺利。
125It went up five point one percent.涨了5个百分点
126That is a big job.这工作很艰巨
127It was huge.这是巨大的。
128It hit over twenty four thousand four hundred eighty one points.它撞到了240004081分。
129People were celebrating.人们在庆祝。
130But then Friday happened.但后来星期五发生了。
131Right.对
132On Friday, it suddenly dropped one point three percent.星期五,它突然下降了百分之一的3%。
133Just out of nowhere.忽然无缘.
134Was there bad news in Hong Kong?香港有坏消息吗?
135No bad news in Hong Kong at all.香港没有坏消息
136It dropped purely because U.S.完全是因为美国
137tech stocks fell the night before.技术储备在前一天晚上下跌。
138Wow.珃
139So the American drop pulled the Asian market down with it.美国的降价使亚洲市场陷入低谷。
140Exactly.没错
141Experts call this intraday price correlations.专家称这一日内价格关联.
142OK. Let us break that fancy term down.摆 让我们打破这个名词。
143It is actually simple.这其实很简单。
144It just means prices in two different换成两个不同的价格
145places move up or down at the exact same time.地点在同一时间上下移动。
146They move together during the same day.他们在同一天一起行动。
147Right.对
148In lockstep.在锁步。
149And this influence goes both ways, by the way.顺便说一句,这种影响是双向的。
150Oh, really?是吗?
151Yeah.对
152So Hong Kong can move the U.S.这样香港就可以移动美国.
153market, too.市场也是。
154Yes.对
155Hong Kong tech stocks can change the prices of U.S.香港科技股票可以改变美国的价格.
156stocks during those Asian daytime hours.亚洲白天的库存。
157So a big announcement in China can push up an American stock所以,一个大公告在中国 可以推美国股票
158while New York is asleep.在纽约睡觉的时候
159Exactly.没错
160The connected pools push water back and forth.相连的水池前后推水.
161With these instant waves in these shared hours, it sounds随着这些瞬间波浪 在这些共享的时间,听起来
162really bad for Hong Kong.对香港来说很不好
163It's not scary, for sure.当然不可怕
164It sounds like Hong Kong could just lose all its trading听起来香港会失去一切交易
165business.业务。
166Why buy there when you can buy the U.S.?你买得起美国的时候 为什么要在那里买东西?
167Right.对
168But some experts say we should stay calm.但有些专家说我们应该保持冷静
169They do not think this change will hurt Hong Kong very much.他们认为这个改变不会对香港造成很大伤害.
170Really?真的吗?
171Why not?为什么不呢?
172Well, the article talks to Jason Chan.那篇文章跟陈杰森谈过了
173He is from the Bank of East Asia.他是东亚银行的
174What does this take on it?这有什么关系?
175He says we need to look at what他说我们需要看看什么
176actually moves stock prices.股价实际变动.
177OK. Big news moves prices, right?摆 大新闻会影响价格,对吧?
178Yes.对
179Things like company earnings reports.公司收入报告之类的
180Those tell you how much profit a company made.告诉你公司赚了多少钱
181And national economic data, too.还有国民经济数据
182Exactly.没错
183Like job numbers.譬如工数.
184Exactly.没错
185And Jason Chan points out that almost all of those而杰森・陈指出,几乎所有这些
186big reports come out during U.S.在美国,大报告出来了。
187daytime hours.白天时间。
188When New York is wide awake.当纽约被唤醒时
189Right.对
190So he thinks the new Asian hours for U.S.因此他认为美国的新亚洲时间.
191stocks might actually be pretty quiet.股票也许很安静
192Because the big news is not happening during the Asian day.因为大新闻不会在亚洲日发生。
193Yes.对
194The heavy trading based on planned news will still以计划新闻为基础的大量交易仍将继续
195happen during the normal American day.发生在正常的美国日子里
196OK.摆
197I see his point.我了解他的观点。
198But I know you have a couple more reasons why Hong Kong is但我知道你们还有几个理由 香港是
199safe.平安无事.
200I do.当然
201Two big reasons.二大因缘.
202First, people in Hong Kong can already buy U.S.首先,香港的人已经可以购买美国.
203stocks during their day.日间库存。
204Wait, really?等等,真的吗?
205How?怎么会?
206They buy them through stock funds.他们通过股票基金来购买它们.
207They are often called ETFs.它们常被称为ETFs.
208So an ETF is just a large basket of different stocks, right?因此,ETF只是一大篮 不同的股票,对不对?
209Yes.对
210You buy one share of the basket and there are already你买了一分篮子,就已经
211baskets in Hong Kong that hold U.S.香港的篮子 持有美国。
212companies.企业。
213So the access is already there.因此,进入已经在那里。
214It's not totally new.这不是全新的。
215Right.对
216It's just more direct now.现在更直接了
217But the second reason is the biggest one.但第二个原因是最大的。
218OK, let's hear it.好吧,让我们听听。
219It's called the Southbound Stock Connect.名为"南下股票联通".
220Southbound Stock Connect.南行股票联通.
221What is that?这是什么?
222It is a special system.这是一个特殊的系统。
223Remember how we said mainland China has a fence around its记得我们说过中国大陆有栅栏
224money?钱?
225Yes, the strict capital controls.是的,严格的资本控制。
226Well, this system is a special bridge through that fence.这个系统是穿过围栏的特别桥梁
227A bridge just for Hong Kong.香港的桥梁
228Exactly.没错
229It allows mainland Chinese investors to buy shares允许中国大陆投资者购买股票
230in Hong Kong.在香港,我们去香港
231OK, and it brings a lot of money into the city.好吧,这给城市带来了很多钱。
232Massive amounts of money.大笔钱
233But here is the trick.但这是骗局
234This specific money is not allowed to buy U.S.这种特定的金钱不允许购买美国.
235stocks.库存。
236Oh, wow.哦,哇呜。
237So there is a rule, a very strict rule.所以有一个规则 一个非常严格的规则
238The mainland money that comes over the bridge must stay in Hong上桥的大陆钱一定要留在香港
239Kong shares.金刚股.
240So it cannot just walk across the street to the所以它不能走过马路
241American supermarket.美国超市。
242Nope.没有
243It is legally trapped in the Hong Kong store.它被合法困在香港的商店里.
244There's a massive protection for them.对他们的保护很大.
245It really is.没错
246It guarantees a huge baseline of trading will它保证了巨大的贸易意志基线
247always stay in Hong Kong.总是留在香港。
248OK, that changes things.好吧,这改变了事情。
249But I have to push back on Jason Chan's calm view a little但我得把Jason Chan的镇静景望往后推
250bit.位数。
251Oh, what is your concern?哦,你关心什么?
252Well, he focuses on planned reports, earnings, job numbers.他专注于计划的报告,收入,工作号码
253Sure, those happen during the U.S.当然,那些发生在美国。
254Day.日报.
255Right.对
256They are on a schedule.他们的日程安排。
257But what about a sudden crisis like an emergency?但突然的危机怎么办?
258Yeah, emergencies do not have a schedule.是的,紧急情况没有时间表。
259What if a huge unexpected scandal breaks at a tech company如果科技公司发生意外丑闻怎么办?
260at 3 a.m. New York time?纽约时间凌晨3点?
261That is a fair point.这一点很公平。
262Panic does not check a clock.恐慌不检查时钟。
263Exactly.没错
264If big news breaks, traders will want the option to如果大新闻中断,交易商会想选择
265act instantly.立即行动
266They want to sell their shares fast.他们想快速出售他们的股份。
267They want to stop losing money.他们想停止输钱。
268Right.对
269And if the Nasdaq is open, they will rush there.如果纳斯达克号被打开,他们就会赶到那里.
270Hong Kong cannot just ignore this risk.香港不能忽视这种风险。
271You are absolutely right.你说得对
272And to be fair, Hong Kong is not ignoring it.公平地说,香港并没有忽视这一点。
273They are not.他们不是。
274No, they are actually planning their own不,他们实际上是在计划自己的
275counterattack.反击
276Oh, really?是吗?
277What are they doing?他们在干什么?
278They are extending their own trading hours他们延长了自己的交易时间
279to fight back.来反击
280So they are joining the race.所以他们要参加比赛了
281Yes, they want to stay competitive in this new global是的,他们想保持竞争力 在这个新的全球
282setup.设置。
283Who is making this change?谁在做这个改变?
284The Hong Kong exchanges and clearing.香港交流与清场.
285They run the local market.他们经营当地市场。
286OK, they plan to stretch their late night trading session.好吧,他们计划 延长他们的深夜交易会。
287What are the hours right now?现在几点了?
288Right now, their night session ends at 3 a.m.现在,他们的夜会于凌晨3时结束。
289And what is the new time from March 20, 27?27年3月20日的新时间是什么?
290They will stay open until 4 15 a.m.他们将在上午4时15分之前保持开放。
291Wow.珃
2924 15 in the morning.凌晨4点15分
293That is late.已经很晚了
294It is very late.已经很晚了
295Now, we should be clear.现在,我们应该清楚。
296This extension is just for derivatives, derivatives.这个扩展只针对衍生物,衍生物.
297Let us explain that one.让我们解释一下。
298What is a derivative?什么是衍生物?
299It is a special financial contract.这是一种特殊的金融合同。
300OK, you are not buying normal stock shares.好吧,你不会买普通的股票。
301What are you buying then?那你买什么?
302You are placing a bet on future prices.你打赌未来的价格。
303So you bet on what the stock will be worth next week.你下星期要赌多少
304Exactly.没错
305Traders use these contracts to protect themselves商人利用这些合同保护自己
306from big set in price drops.价格大幅下跌。
307So by staying open until 4 15 a.m., Hong Kong gives traders所以香港在凌晨4点15分前 一直开着门给商人
308a way to react to late breaking American news.这是对美国晚间新闻的反应
309Right.对
310But it might not stop with derivatives.但它可能不会停止与衍生物。
311They might extend normal stock hours, too.他们可能会延长正常的库存时间。
312They might.也许吧
313Julia Lung is the head of the local market police, the SFC.朱莉娅·龙是当地市场警察SFC的负责人.
314OK. What did she say?摆 她说什么?
315She says they are looking at extending normal stock trading hours very soon.她说他们很快就会延长正常的股票交易时间了
316So the whole market might stay open longer.所以整个市场可能会保持开放的时间更长。
317Yes.对
318They feel they have to stay competitive across all time zones.他们觉得他们必须保持所有时区的竞争力。
319You know, hearing all this, the human element just jumps out at me.你知道,听到这一切, 人类元素只是跳出在我身上。
320How do you mean?你说什么?
321Well, it sounds exhausting.听起来很累
322Oh, absolutely.当然
323I mean, the markets are basically declaring a war on sleep.我的意思是,市场基本上 宣战睡眠。
324They really are.他们真的是。
325New York stays open.纽约保持开放。
326Hong Kong stays open.香港保持开放.
327Everyone is stretching their hours just to make sure they do not miss a single trade.每个人都在延长工作时间,以确保不错过任何一次贸易。
328It is a relentless cycle.这是一个无情的循环。
329You cannot blink or you might lose millions.你不能眨眼,否则会损失上百万
330Right.对
331It forces a total rethink of how humans work in finance.这迫使人们重新思考 人类如何在金融领域工作。
332So let us quickly wrap this up for you.所以,让我们迅速结束 为你。
333Good idea.不错
334We started with the Nasdaq.我们从纳斯达克开始
335They are opening a 23 hour window next year.他们明年将打开一个23小时的窗口。
336Right.对
337And this links the U.S.这与美国有关
338and Asian markets closer than they have ever been.和亚洲市场比以往更接近。
339We learned that Hong Kong is uniquely exposed to this.我们得知香港有独特的接触。
340Money can flow out instantly.钱可以立刻流出
341But they also have unique protections.但他们也有独特的保护.
342Like that locked mainland money from the stock connect.就像从股票上锁的大陆钱一样
343Exactly.没错
344And now Hong Kong is fighting back with longer hours of their own.而现在香港则以更长的自身时间进行反击.
345The competition is heating up everywhere.比赛到处都在热闹
346It is a wild time for global money.这是全球货币的疯狂时代。
347But before we go, we always like to leave you with something extra to think about.但在我们走之前 我们总想给你留点别的东西
348Right.对
349Final thought.最终的想法。
350So as we move toward this world where financial markets literally never close,当我们走向这个金融市场从未关闭的世界时,
351what happens to the human traders?人贩子怎么办?
352That is the big question.这是一个大问题。
353We need sleep.我们需要睡觉。
354Markets do not.市场没有。
355Right.对
356If the market is awake and jumping around for 23 hours a day,如果市场醒了 每天跳23小时
357can humans even keep up?人类能跟上吗?
358Probably not.也许不是。
359So the data moves too fast.所以数据移动太快。
360Does this mean the future of trading will be handed over entirely to computers这是否意味着交易的未来将完全交给计算机?
361and artificial intelligence?还有人工智能?
362It might.也许吧
363While the humans finally go to sleep,人类终于睡着了
364the machines take over the buying and selling.机器接管了买卖
365It is like our global supermarket is getting entirely run by robots at night.这就像我们的全球超市 得到了完全由机器人运行的夜晚。
366It is definitely something for you to think about.这绝对是让你思考的东西。
367It really is.没错
368Well, thank you for joining us on this deep dive.谢谢你加入我们的深潜行动
369See you next time.下次见
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