中国学生正在变少：人口下滑如何重写整个学校体系｜附文稿
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:00 | Welcome to today's Deep Dive, everyone. | 欢迎来到今天的深度潜水,各位 |
| 0:02 | I am really glad you are here with us today. | 我很高兴你今天和我们在一起。 |
| 0:04 | Yeah, thanks for having me. | 是的 谢谢你邀请我 |
| 0:05 | It's a really interesting topic today. | 今天这个话题很有趣 |
| 0:08 | It really is. | 没错 |
| 0:09 | So I want you to imagine walking into a high school today. | 所以我希望你能想象今天走进一所高中 |
| 0:12 | Okay. | 摆 |
| 0:12 | The hallways are packed. | 走廊已经打包好了 |
| 0:14 | You can barely move. | 你几乎不能移动。 |
| 0:15 | Every single classroom is completely full of students. | 每间教室里都有学生 |
展开字幕全文（380 条）
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Welcome to today's Deep Dive, everyone. | 欢迎来到今天的深度潜水,各位 |
| 2 | I am really glad you are here with us today. | 我很高兴你今天和我们在一起。 |
| 3 | Yeah, thanks for having me. | 是的 谢谢你邀请我 |
| 4 | It's a really interesting topic today. | 今天这个话题很有趣 |
| 5 | It really is. | 没错 |
| 6 | So I want you to imagine walking into a high school today. | 所以我希望你能想象今天走进一所高中 |
| 7 | Okay. | 摆 |
| 8 | The hallways are packed. | 走廊已经打包好了 |
| 9 | You can barely move. | 你几乎不能移动。 |
| 10 | Every single classroom is completely full of students. | 每间教室里都有学生 |
| 11 | Right, just totally crowded. | 是的,只是完全拥挤。 |
| 12 | Yeah, loud, busy, and just bursting with teenagers. | 是啊,大声,忙碌, 和只是爆发与青少年。 |
| 13 | But then you walk down the street to a kindergarten. | 但你走在街上 到幼儿园。 |
| 14 | A totally different picture. | 一个完全不同的照片。 |
| 15 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 16 | You open the door, and it is completely quiet. | 你打开门,它完全安静。 |
| 17 | Whole rooms are just empty. | 整个房间都是空的 |
| 18 | They're hardly | 他们几乎没有 |
| 19 | any young children anywhere. | 任何地方的幼儿。 |
| 20 | It is a strange double picture. | 这是一个奇怪的双面图片。 |
| 21 | It really is. | 没错 |
| 22 | And this exact situation is happening in China right now. | 而这种确切的情况正在中国发生. |
| 23 | The country is completely changing its school system. | 我国正在彻底改变学校制度。 |
| 24 | Yeah, a massive, massive change. | 是啊,一个巨大的,巨大的变化。 |
| 25 | And the crazy part is, it is not because of some new teaching style. | 疯狂的部分是, 这不是因为一些新的教学风格。 |
| 26 | It is because the actual number of students is just disappearing. | 这是因为实际学生人数正在消失。 |
| 27 | Okay, let's unpack this. | 好吧,让我们打开这个。 |
| 28 | So we are looking at a really fascinating article today. | 我们今天正在看一篇非常迷人的文章。 |
| 29 | It's from the South China Morning Post. | 南华早报网. |
| 30 | This is from November 2026. | 这是从2026年11月。 |
| 31 | And this article shows a school system that is forced to rebuild itself right now. | 这篇文章显示了一个学校系统 现在被迫重建自己。 |
| 32 | Yeah. | 对 |
| 33 | Even the physical reality of these schools is just wild. | 这些学校的物理现实也太疯狂了 |
| 34 | Right. | 对 |
| 35 | Let's start there. | 从那里开始 |
| 36 | The total population in China has been dropping since 2022. | 中国总人口自2022年起不断下降. |
| 37 | Yes. | 对 |
| 38 | But high schools and universities are totally full. | 但高中和大学是完全满的。 |
| 39 | It feels like a traffic jam on a highway. | 感觉就像高速公路上的交通堵塞 |
| 40 | That is a great way to think about it. | 这是一个很好的思考方法。 |
| 41 | You know, a huge group of older kids is moving through the upper grades. | 你知道,一大群的年长的孩子 正在通过高年级。 |
| 42 | They are the cars packed together. | 他们都是一起收拾的车 |
| 43 | But the road behind them is completely empty. | 但他们身后的路是完全空的。 |
| 44 | Because fewer babies are being born. | 因为出生的婴儿较少. |
| 45 | The government actually calls this a dual challenge. | 政府实际上称之为双重挑战. |
| 46 | A dual challenge, meaning a double problem. | 双重挑战,意味着双重问题. |
| 47 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 48 | You have this huge crush of students at the top. | 你最上层有一大堆学生 |
| 49 | It stresses the high schools. | 它强调高中。 |
| 50 | But at the same time, you have all these empty desks at the bottom. | 但与此同时,你底部有所有这些空桌子。 |
| 51 | It is just so strange, the picture. | 这照片太奇怪了 |
| 52 | It is. | 没错 |
| 53 | But we can see exactly why this is happening if we look at the birth records. | 但是,如果我们看看出生记录,我们就能明白为什么会发生这种情况。 |
| 54 | Yeah. | 对 |
| 55 | The numbers in this article are just wild. | 这篇文章中的数字只是野性的。 |
| 56 | What was the normal number before this wave started? | 这波开始前的正常数字是多少? |
| 57 | So from the early 2000s to the mid 2010s, births were really steady. | 所以从2000年代初到2010年代中期, 分娩确实稳定。 |
| 58 | Okay. | 摆 |
| 59 | The country had about 15 to 16.5 million babies born every single year. | 该国每年有大约1 500万至1 650万婴儿出生。 |
| 60 | Wow. | 珃 |
| 61 | So 15 million babies a year. | 所以每年有1500万个婴儿 |
| 62 | That is a huge baseline. | 这是一个巨大的基线。 |
| 63 | Yeah, it is. | 是的,这是。 |
| 64 | It means millions of kids entering the school system year after year. | 这意味着数百万儿童年复一年地进入学校系统。 |
| 65 | Right. | 对 |
| 66 | And the whole system. | 还有整个系统 |
| 67 | I mean, the buildings, the teachers, the money. | 我的意思是,建筑,教师,钱。 |
| 68 | All of it was built for that specific size. | 都是为了这个特制的 |
| 69 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 70 | And the number actually went up for a very short time. | 这个数字实际上上升了很短的时间。 |
| 71 | Oh, right. | 对 |
| 72 | The policy change. | 政策改变。 |
| 73 | Yeah. | 对 |
| 74 | In 2016, there was a short jump in births. | 2016年,出生人口短暂跳跃. |
| 75 | The government started a national two-child policy. | 政府开始实施国家两孩政策. |
| 76 | So families could legally have a second child then. | 这样家庭就可以有第二个孩子了 |
| 77 | Right. | 对 |
| 78 | And a lot of families did. | 很多家庭都这样 |
| 79 | So that creates a huge bulge in the system. | 这在系统中造成了巨大的膨胀。 |
| 80 | Like a giant wave. | 犹如巨浪. |
| 81 | Yes. | 对 |
| 82 | But that growth, it did not last at all. | 但这种增长并没有持久。 |
| 83 | No. | 没有 |
| 84 | The data shows a very steep fall right after that short jump. | 数据显示,在那次短暂的跳跃之后,坠落非常陡峭。 |
| 85 | The numbers just crashed. | 号码刚刚坠毁。 |
| 86 | How low did they go? | 他们有多低? |
| 87 | By 2025, births dropped to 7.92 million. | 到2025年,出生人口下降到792万. |
| 88 | Wait. | 单单 |
| 89 | From over 15 million down to under 8 million? | 从一千五百万到不到八百万? |
| 90 | Yeah. | 对 |
| 91 | That is a total shock to the system. | 这是对系统的完全震惊。 |
| 92 | I mean, births fell by more than half in just 10 years. | 我的意思是,出生 在短短10年里下降了一半以上。 |
| 93 | It is crazy. | 这是疯了。 |
| 94 | Just to give you some history, 7.92 million is the lowest number of births since 1949. | 只是给你一些历史,792万是1949年以来出生人数最少的. |
| 95 | Since 1949. | 1949年起废. |
| 96 | That completely changes a society. | 这完全改变了一个社会。 |
| 97 | It really does. | 确实 |
| 98 | But the system still has to deal with the older kids, right? | 但是这个系统还是要对付那些年长的孩子,对吧? |
| 99 | The ones born before the drop. | 降前所生者. |
| 100 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 101 | They are hitting high school right now. | 他们正在打高中 |
| 102 | And they need desks. | 他们需要办公桌 |
| 103 | They need books. | 他们需要书籍。 |
| 104 | They need teachers. | 他们需要老师 |
| 105 | How does a country just, you know, quickly make space for millions of extra teenagers? | 一个国家如何,你知道, 迅速为数百万额外的青少年创造空间? |
| 106 | Well, they actually have a specific plan for this crisis. | 实际上,他们有一个具体的危机计划。 |
| 107 | It is part of their national plan | 这是其国家计划的一部分 |
| 108 | for the years 2026 to 2030. | 2026年到2030年的情况。 |
| 109 | Right. | 对 |
| 110 | The 15th five-year plan. | 十五五计划. |
| 111 | Yes. | 对 |
| 112 | And in this plan, the leaders admit something important. | 在这个计划中,领导人承认了一些重要的事情. |
| 113 | They know the stress on high schools will get much worse before it gets better. | 他们知道高中的压力会在改善之前就更严重。 |
| 114 | Because the biggest part of that wave, it hasn't reached the end of the road yet. | 因为那波最大的部分,还没有到达路的尽头. |
| 115 | Right. | 对 |
| 116 | It is still moving through the schools. | 它仍在学校里活动。 |
| 117 | What's fascinating here is how exactly they map this out. | 这里最令人着迷的是 他们是如何规划出来的 |
| 118 | How do they map it? | 他们怎么绘制地图? |
| 119 | The government tracks the ages of all these kids. | 政府跟踪所有这些孩子的年龄。 |
| 120 | They know high school entry numbers won't reach their highest point until 2029. | 他们知道高中入学人数到2029年才达到最高点. |
| 121 | Wow. | 珃 |
| 122 | So high schools will just keep getting more and more crowded for the next few years. | 因此,高中只会在接下来的几年里越来越拥挤. |
| 123 | Yeah. | 对 |
| 124 | It is going to be very tight. | 它会很紧。 |
| 125 | What about colleges? | 大学呢? |
| 126 | Do they get hit next? | 他们下一个被击中? |
| 127 | They do. | 没错 |
| 128 | The pressure on universities is delayed. | 对大学的压力推迟了。 |
| 129 | That big wave will reach its peak for colleges three years later in 2032. | 这场大浪潮将在3年后的2032年达到大学的高峰. |
| 130 | Oh, man. | 哦,伙计。 |
| 131 | Parents must feel so much pressure right now. | 父母现在一定觉得压力很大 |
| 132 | They really do. | 他们真的有。 |
| 133 | The article talks about how much they worry. | 文章讲述了他们有多担心. |
| 134 | They expect their kids to get into good schools. | 他们期望他们的孩子能进入好的学校. |
| 135 | If the system is already packed, that competition just becomes brutal. | 如果这个系统已经装满了 竞争就会变得残酷 |
| 136 | Absolutely brutal. | 绝对残忍。 |
| 137 | So what is the government doing right now? | 政府现在在做什么? |
| 138 | What is the immediate action plan? | 立即的行动计划是什么? |
| 139 | Well, they are rushing to build more space. | 嗯,他们急于 建造更多的空间。 |
| 140 | First, they are building brand new high schools. | 首先,他们正在建设全新的高中。 |
| 141 | Okay. | 摆 |
| 142 | Second, they are fixing up old unused buildings to make more room. | 第二,他们正在修复旧的未使用的建筑物,以腾出更多的空间。 |
| 143 | Right. | 对 |
| 144 | And third, they are adding more spots at top universities. | 第三,他们在顶尖大学增加了更多的点子。 |
| 145 | Now, I have to question this a bit. | 现在,我不得不质疑这一点。 |
| 146 | Okay. | 摆 |
| 147 | Go ahead. | 来吧。 |
| 148 | Building a new high school or a new university lab, that costs millions of dollars. | 新建高中或新建大学实验室,耗资数百万元. |
| 149 | Yes. | 对 |
| 150 | This is very expensive. | 这是非常昂贵的。 |
| 151 | And it takes years to build. | 并须数年造. |
| 152 | But we just talked about the empty road behind this wave. | 但我们刚刚谈了这波背后的空路. |
| 153 | Right. | 对 |
| 154 | The birth rate drop. | 出生率下降。 |
| 155 | Yeah. | 对 |
| 156 | In 10 years, these big groups of students will graduate. | 十年后,这些大群学生将毕业. |
| 157 | And then those expensive new high schools will be empty. | 然后那些昂贵的新高中就空了 |
| 158 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 159 | So who pays for all this extra space at the top level? | 那么,谁支付所有这些额外的空间 在顶层? |
| 160 | Why pour permanent concrete for a temporary wave? | 为什么要为临时的波浪倒永久性混凝土? |
| 161 | Because they simply have no other choice. | 因为他们根本别无选择。 |
| 162 | The government calls this an inevitable practical choice. | 政府称这是不可避免的实际选择. |
| 163 | Meaning they just have to do it. | 就是说他们必须这么做 |
| 164 | Right. | 对 |
| 165 | You cannot just tell millions of teenagers that there is no room for them to learn. | 你不能仅仅告诉数百万青少年,他们没有学习的余地。 |
| 166 | That makes sense. | 这有道理。 |
| 167 | You have to educate the kids sitting right in front of you. | 你必须教育坐在你面前的孩子 |
| 168 | Yes. | 对 |
| 169 | But you are completely right about the cost. | 但你完全正确 关于成本。 |
| 170 | The government is paying for a lot of this, but public money is not enough. | 政府为此付出了很多代价,但公共资金是不够的. |
| 171 | So where's the risk of the money coming from? | 钱从哪里冒出来的风险? |
| 172 | This is where we see a huge, huge shift. | 我们在这里看到了一个巨大的转变。 |
| 173 | Private money is stepping in. | 私人的钱正在介入。 |
| 174 | Private money? | 私人钱? |
| 175 | Yes. | 对 |
| 176 | Specifically, very rich private citizens are giving huge amounts of money to build new schools. | 具体来说,非常富有的私人公民为建造新学校提供了巨额资金. |
| 177 | Wait. | 单单 |
| 178 | We are talking about billionaires here. | 我们说的是亿万富翁 |
| 179 | Private billionaires are suddenly funding universities. | 私人亿万富翁突然资助大学. |
| 180 | Yes, they are. | 是的,他们是。 |
| 181 | That feels like a massive change. | 这感觉就像一个巨大的变化。 |
| 182 | Usually big public universities handle these huge student numbers. | 通常大型公立大学处理这些巨大的学生人数. |
| 183 | It is a massive trend right now. | 这是一个巨大的趋势 现在。 |
| 184 | These private billionaires are donating incredible amounts of cash. | 这些私人亿万富翁正在捐出不可思议的现金. |
| 185 | Okay. | 摆 |
| 186 | But they are not just building regular everyday schools. | 但他们不仅仅是在建造普通的日常学校。 |
| 187 | Look at Kiantong University in the city of Hangzhou. | 望杭州市金东大学. |
| 188 | Kiantong University? | 基安东大学? |
| 189 | Yeah. | 对 |
| 190 | The article mentions this place. | 文章提到了这个地方。 |
| 191 | Yeah. | 对 |
| 192 | A billionaire named Zhang Shanshan is paying for it. | 亿万富翁名张山山付 for. |
| 193 | He is the founder of Nongfu Spring, right? | 他是农福泉的创始人,对吧? |
| 194 | Yes, exactly. | 没错 |
| 195 | A massive bottle water company. | 一个巨大的瓶子水公司。 |
| 196 | It is just wild that a water tycoon is building a university. | 水大亨正在建设一所大学,这太疯狂了。 |
| 197 | I know. | 我知道,我记得 |
| 198 | How much is he actually spending on this project? | 他在这个项目上到底花了多少钱? |
| 199 | He pledged 40 billion yuan. | 他承诺了400亿人民币。 |
| 200 | That is over 10 years. | 这已经超过10年了。 |
| 201 | 40 billion yuan? | 400亿人民币? |
| 202 | What is that in dollars? | 那是什么钱? |
| 203 | It is about six billion US dollars. | 大约60亿美元。 |
| 204 | Six billion dollars for one single school? | 单校60亿? |
| 205 | Just one school. | 只有一个学校 |
| 206 | Wow. | 珃 |
| 207 | That buys a whole lot of campus. | 这买了很多校园。 |
| 208 | It buys world-class labs, the best technology, | 它购买世界级的实验室 最好的技术 |
| 209 | and top professors from all over the world. | 以及来自世界各地的顶级教授 |
| 210 | It definitely does. | 绝对是这样 |
| 211 | But here's the catch. | 但这里的捕捉。 |
| 212 | They are not building a huge campus to hold 50,000 students. | 他们不会建造一个庞大的校园来容纳5万名学生。 |
| 213 | No? | 是吗? |
| 214 | No. | 没有 |
| 215 | The local government has a very specific goal. | 地方政府有一个非常具体的目标。 |
| 216 | They want this new university to be small yet excellent. | 他们希望这所新大学规模小而优秀. |
| 217 | Small yet excellent. | 虽小却极佳. |
| 218 | That sounds like the total opposite of dealing with a giant wave of students. | 这听起来完全相反 面对一波巨大的学生。 |
| 219 | I mean, if you have a crowding problem, | 我的意思是,如果你有一个拥挤的问题, |
| 220 | why in the world would you build a small school? | 为什么要建个小学校? |
| 221 | Because this specific school has a totally different job. | 因为这个学校的工作完全不同 |
| 222 | It focuses very deeply on scientific research. | 它非常深入地关注科学研究. |
| 223 | Ah, I see. | 原来如此 |
| 224 | It's not about teaching thousands of regular college students. | 与教授数千名普通大学生无关. |
| 225 | It is about high-level innovation. | 它涉及高级别创新。 |
| 226 | They want it to be internationally competitive. | 他们希望它具有国际竞争力。 |
| 227 | Okay, that makes sense. | 好吧,这有道理。 |
| 228 | I mean, the whole world is in a really fierce race for technical talent right now. | 全世界都在激烈竞争技术人才 |
| 229 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 230 | And China wants to lead in science and technology. | 而中国则希望科技领先. |
| 231 | So they need elite places to invent new things. | 所以他们需要精英的地方来发明新的东西。 |
| 232 | Right. | 对 |
| 233 | A giant, crowded university might not be the best place for deep, quiet research. | 一个巨大的,拥挤的大学 可能不是进行深入,安静研究的最佳场所。 |
| 234 | But a small, super-rich school can attract the absolute best minds. | 但是一个小的,超富的学校可以吸引绝对最好的人才. |
| 235 | Yes. | 对 |
| 236 | And this connects to a larger national strategy. | 这与更大的国家战略有关。 |
| 237 | The government says they want more research universities exactly like this one. | 政府说他们想要更多的研究型大学 和这所一样 |
| 238 | So private wealth is stepping in to build that top elite layer. | 因此,私人财富 正在介入建设 高层精英层。 |
| 239 | Yes, exactly. | 没错 |
| 240 | So billionaires and the government are pouring billions of dollars into the top of the system. | 所以亿万富翁和政府 正在把数十亿美元注入系统顶端。 |
| 241 | Right. | 对 |
| 242 | They are trying to train advanced scientists. | 他们试图培训先进的科学家。 |
| 243 | But this brings us right back to the bottom of the system. | 但是这让我们回到系统底部。 |
| 244 | The little kids. | 孩子们 |
| 245 | Yeah. | 对 |
| 246 | What is happening at the bottom? | 到底发生了什么? |
| 247 | What happens to the schools for the little kids if there are basically no babies? | 如果基本上没有婴儿 孩子们的学校会怎么样? |
| 248 | The numbers at the bottom are just staggering. | 底部的数字非常惊人 |
| 249 | Between 2021 and 2025, kindergarten and lower schools lost nearly 17 million students. | 2021年至2025年间,幼儿园和初中损失近1700万学生. |
| 250 | Wait. | 单单 |
| 251 | 17 million fewer kids. | 少了1700万个孩子。 |
| 252 | In just four years. | 短短四年内. |
| 253 | In just four years? | 短短四年内? |
| 254 | Yes. | 对 |
| 255 | That is an entire country's worth of children just, you know, gone from the system. | 这是整个国家的孩子的价值, 你知道,刚刚离开系统。 |
| 256 | It is a huge demographic shift. | 这是一个巨大的人口变化。 |
| 257 | Now, they usually, if a school loses that many kids, the town just looks at the budget. | 现在,他们通常,如果一个学校 失去了那么多的孩子, 小镇只是看预算。 |
| 258 | Right. | 对 |
| 259 | The money. | 钱 |
| 260 | They see the cost of heating an empty building. | 他们看到一个空楼的暖气成本。 |
| 261 | They see empty desks. | 他们看到空桌子。 |
| 262 | So they just close the building to save money. | 所以他们只是关闭了大楼 以节省资金。 |
| 263 | Are they just locking the doors over there? | 他们在锁门吗? |
| 264 | Actually, no. | 事实上,没有。 |
| 265 | The official policy is the opposite. | 官方政策则相反. |
| 266 | They are not just locking the doors. | 他们不只是锁门。 |
| 267 | Really? | 真的吗? |
| 268 | Yeah. | 对 |
| 269 | The government official in the article made this very clear. | 文章中的政府官员非常明确地说明了这一点. |
| 270 | Instead of just cutting resources, they are taking this chance to make the schools better. | 他们不但没有削减资源,反而抓住这个机会使学校变得更好。 |
| 271 | Making them better. | 让他们更好。 |
| 272 | How does an empty classroom improve quality? | 空教室如何提高质量?. |
| 273 | Well, it starts with class size. | 嗯,它从班级大小开始。 |
| 274 | Right. | 对 |
| 275 | For decades, classrooms there have been famously crowded. | 几十年来,那里的教室一直以拥挤著称. |
| 276 | Right. | 对 |
| 277 | Very full. | 非常满. |
| 278 | Having 40 or 50 kids in one room was completely normal. | 一个房间里有40到50个孩子是完全正常的。 |
| 279 | But now they are making class sizes smaller. | 但是现在他们正在使班级规模变小。 |
| 280 | A teacher might only have 20 students. | 老师可能只有20名学生 |
| 281 | Wow. | 珃 |
| 282 | That completely changes how a teacher works. | 这完全改变了老师的工作方式。 |
| 283 | It really does. | 确实 |
| 284 | When you have 50 kids, you are just doing crowd control. | 当你有50个孩子, 你只是做人群控制。 |
| 285 | You're just trying to keep them quiet. | 你只是想让他们安静 |
| 286 | Right. | 对 |
| 287 | But when you have 20, you can actually check everyone's homework. | 但当你有20, 你可以检查每个人的功课。 |
| 288 | You can notice if one kid is struggling with, like, a math problem. | 你可以注意到,如果一个孩子 在挣扎,喜欢,数学问题。 |
| 289 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 290 | You go from managing a big crowd to actual, real teaching. | 你从管理一大群人到真正的教书 |
| 291 | The learning gets much better. | 学得更好 |
| 292 | That is a great point. | 这是一个伟大的观点。 |
| 293 | But they are also changing the physical rooms themselves. | 但他们也在改变物理房间本身。 |
| 294 | They have all these empty classrooms now, right? | 他们现在有所有这些空教室,对不对? |
| 295 | Yeah, because of the missing 17 million kids. | 是啊,因为失踪的1700万孩子。 |
| 296 | Right. | 对 |
| 297 | So instead of leaving them dark and empty, they are changing them. | 因此,他们并没有让他们变得黑暗和空虚,而是在改变他们。 |
| 298 | Some rooms become art studios. | 有些房间成为艺术工作室. |
| 299 | Oh, nice. | 不错 |
| 300 | Others become spaces for labor education. | 另一些则成为劳动教育的空间。 |
| 301 | Labor education. | 劳动教育. |
| 302 | That sounds like official government jargon. | 这听起来像官方的政府术语。 |
| 303 | What does that actually look like in real life? | 这在现实生活中是什么样子? |
| 304 | Does it mean sending little kids to do factory work? | 意思是送小孩去工厂工作? |
| 305 | No, no. | 没有,没有。 |
| 306 | It just means learning practical work skills. | 它只是意味着学习实用的工作技能. |
| 307 | Okay. | 摆 |
| 308 | It means learning to build things with your hands. | 谓以手修习造物. |
| 309 | It might be fixing a machine or cooking a meal or growing a garden. | 可能是修理机器 烹饪或种植花园 |
| 310 | Oh, okay. | 哦,还好。 |
| 311 | Hands-on real-world learning. | 亲身体验现实世界 |
| 312 | Yes, exactly. | 没错 |
| 313 | So a room that used to hold 50 kids doing heavy test prep is now a workshop. | 所以以前有50个孩子做重测试准备的房间 现在是一个工作室。 |
| 314 | Right. | 对 |
| 315 | Or an art studio. | 或者艺术工作室 |
| 316 | That is a massive shift in how they view school. | 他们对学校的看法发生了巨大的转变。 |
| 317 | If we connect this to the bigger picture, it is really smart. | 如果我们把这件事和大局联系起来,那真的很聪明。 |
| 318 | They are taking a huge problem and using it to build a more creative school day. | 他们正在面对一个巨大的问题,并利用它来建立一个更具创造性的学校日。 |
| 319 | They are taking a crisis and making an opportunity out of it. | 他们正在面对危机,并从中寻找机会。 |
| 320 | Exactly. | 没错 |
| 321 | They do not just want to save money on heating bills. | 他们并不只是想节省取暖费 |
| 322 | They want to produce a totally different kind of student. | 他们想培养一个完全不同的学生 |
| 323 | Let's step back and look at this whole pattern. | 让我们退一步,看看这整个模式。 |
| 324 | At the very top, billionaires are building elite science universities. | 最顶尖的是亿万富翁正在建设精英科学大学. |
| 325 | Yes. | 对 |
| 326 | And at the very bottom, local towns are adding art rooms and teaching practical skills. | 而在最底层,当地的城镇正在增加艺术室和教授实用技能. |
| 327 | Right. | 对 |
| 328 | The whole system, from bottom to top, is trying to produce smarter, better-skilled students. | 整个系统,从下到上,都在努力培养更聪明,更熟练的学生. |
| 329 | Yes. | 对 |
| 330 | You are seeing the core goal of all these changes. | 你们看到所有这些变化的核心目标。 |
| 331 | The leaders have a name for this. | 诸头领有名. |
| 332 | They call it high-quality population development. | 他们称之为高质量人口发展。 |
| 333 | High-quality population development. | 高质量人口发展. |
| 334 | Let's dig into that term. | 让我们来研究一下这个术语。 |
| 335 | Why is this specific idea so important to their economy right now? | 为什么这个具体的想法对他们现在的经济如此重要? |
| 336 | Well, Premier Li Qiong talked about this recently. | 总理李强最近谈到此事 |
| 337 | He is a top leader there. | 他是这里的最高领导人。 |
| 338 | He said this kind of development is totally required for sustainable growth. | 他说,可持续发展完全需要这种发展。 |
| 339 | Okay. | 摆 |
| 340 | But why? | 为什么? |
| 341 | Think about the math. | 想想数学 |
| 342 | When your population shrinks, you simply have fewer workers. | 当你的人口萎缩时,你的工作人口就会减少。 |
| 343 | If you have fewer hands to do the daily work, | 如果你的手少做日常工作, |
| 344 | every single person's work must be much more valuable. | 每个人的作品必须更有价值。 |
| 345 | Ah, I see. | 原来如此 |
| 346 | If you cannot grow your economy with a billion cheap workers anymore, | 如果你再不能用十亿廉价工人 来发展你的经济 |
| 347 | you have to grow it with brilliant engineers and highly creative thinkers. | 你必须用杰出的工程师和高度创意的思想家来培养它. |
| 348 | That is exactly the reality. | 这就是现实。 |
| 349 | Every single citizen needs better scientific skills. | 每个公民都需要更好的科学技能。 |
| 350 | They need better cultural knowledge. | 他们需要更好的文化知识。 |
| 351 | They need stronger vocational skills like those hands-on working skills we talked about. | 他们需要更强的职业技能 就像我们谈论的那些实际工作技能。 |
| 352 | Right. | 对 |
| 353 | Because there are just fewer people around. | 因为周围的人很少 |
| 354 | Right. | 对 |
| 355 | The education of every single person has to get deeper. | 每个人的教育必须更加深入。 |
| 356 | The entire economy basically depends on it keeping strong. | 整个经济基本上依靠它保持强劲. |
| 357 | They are forced to make this shift. | 他们被迫进行这种转变。 |
| 358 | The falling birth rate literally gives them no other choice. | 出生率的下降让他们别无选择。 |
| 359 | None at all. | 没有 |
| 360 | But it is a fascinating way to handle a shrinking workforce. | 但它是一个令人着迷的方法 来处理劳动力萎缩。 |
| 361 | They are choosing quality over quantity. | 他们选择质量而不是数量。 |
| 362 | It is a choice that will probably define their economic future for a long, long time. | 这种选择很可能在很长一段时间内决定其经济未来。 |
| 363 | So what does this all mean for you, the listener? | 这对你意味着什么,听者? |
| 364 | This brings up a thought you can take with you today to explore on your own. | 今天你可以自己去探索了 |
| 365 | This is not just a local issue in Asia. | 这不仅仅是亚洲的一个地方问题。 |
| 366 | Many other countries around the world are also having fewer babies right now. | 世界上许多其他国家也正在减少婴儿数量。 |
| 367 | It is happening in a lot of places. | 发生在许多地方。 |
| 368 | Right. | 对 |
| 369 | Our own local school districts might face this same drop very soon. | 我们本地的校区可能很快就会面临同样的下降。 |
| 370 | Yeah, they might. | 是的,他们可能。 |
| 371 | So when local schools in other countries start to empty out, what will those towns do? | 所以当其他国家的当地学校开始空出时,这些城镇会做什么? |
| 372 | Will they just look at the budget, lock the doors, and board up the windows to save cash? | 他们会看看预算,锁上门,登上窗户,节省现金吗? |
| 373 | It is a big question. | 这是一个大问题。 |
| 374 | Or will they look at this example? | 还是他们要看看这个例子? |
| 375 | They could see those empty rooms as a rare chance to finally build smaller, | 他们可以把这些空房间看作是一个难得的机会 最终建造更小, |
| 376 | richer, and more creative classes for the kids who remain. | 更丰富 更有创意的班级 对于留学生。 |
| 377 | It is a choice every shrinking country will have to make. | 这是每一个缩小的国家都必须作出的选择。 |
| 378 | Well, thank you for joining us for this deep dive. | 谢谢你加入我们的深度潜水 |
| 379 | We hope this conversation sparked some new ideas and gave you a different way to look at the future. | 我们希望这次对话能激发一些新的想法,并给你一个不同的展望未来的方法. |
| 380 | Keep learning, and we'll catch you next time. | 继续学习,我们会抓住你下一次。 |
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