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【稳定更新】20261102 BBC News 专题深入探讨

字幕摘录

时间英文中文
0:00Hello and welcome to Kansas.你好 欢迎来到堪萨斯州
0:02I'm Katrina Perry.我是卡特里娜・派瑞
0:03Now Kansas is not a swing state, far from it.现在堪萨斯州不是一个摇摆州,远离它.
0:07There hasn't been a Democrat elected senator here since 1932.自1932年以来,这里一直没有民主党当选参议员.
0:11There hasn't been a Democrat没有民主党人
0:12elected president since 1964.1964年起当选总统.
0:16And 88% of Kansas is farmland.88%的堪萨斯州是农田。
0:18Only Texas and Montana have more只有德克萨斯州和蒙大拿州有更多
0:21farms than Kansas.农场比堪萨斯州。
0:22And it's been a really tough year for American farmers.对美国农民来说,这年很艰难。
展开字幕全文(484 条)
序号英文中文
1Hello and welcome to Kansas.你好 欢迎来到堪萨斯州
2I'm Katrina Perry.我是卡特里娜・派瑞
3Now Kansas is not a swing state, far from it.现在堪萨斯州不是一个摇摆州,远离它.
4There hasn't been a Democrat elected senator here since 1932.自1932年以来,这里一直没有民主党当选参议员.
5There hasn't been a Democrat没有民主党人
6elected president since 1964.1964年起当选总统.
7And 88% of Kansas is farmland.88%的堪萨斯州是农田。
8Only Texas and Montana have more只有德克萨斯州和蒙大拿州有更多
9farms than Kansas.农场比堪萨斯州。
10And it's been a really tough year for American farmers.对美国农民来说,这年很艰难。
11Lots of concerns很多问题
12around the price of diesel, fertilizer, the price of grain, beef access to markets, the impact of柴油、化肥、谷物价格、牛肉进入市场、
13tariffs, the list goes on.关税,清单继续。
14And there are fears that those concerns could put some cracks on the人们担心这些担心会给人们带来一些麻烦
15Republican red wall here.共和党红墙在这里。
16So we've come to Kansas to find out just what voters are thinking.所以我们来到堪萨斯来了解 选民的想法。
17Pretty much everything he's done as far as agriculture goes, whether it's the trade war,在农业方面 他所做的一切 无论是贸易战争
18the war with Iran, the importing foreign beef, you know, these are misguided policies.与伊朗的战争, 进口外国牛肉, 你知道,这些都是错误的政策。
19The only impact we've really seen is the price of diesel that went up.我们真正看到的唯一影响是柴油价格上升。
20Kansans aren't tied to a political party anymore.坎桑斯不再与政党有联系了.
21Whether we're untied enough, I don't know.我们是否有足够的松绑,我不知道。
22Look, I'm an American first person.我是美国第一人
23Sitting Republican Senator Roger Marshall is hoping坐共和党参议员罗杰·马歇尔希望
24those ties stay strong.这些关系要坚强
25Why in the world would we agree to do that?为什么我们同意这样做?
26But his Democratic challenger,但他的民主挑战者,
27Adam Hamilton, is unpicking them.亚当・汉密尔顿,正在解开他们。
28Selling out our allies, the Ukrainians.出卖我们的盟友,乌克兰人。
29He's new to politics,他是新来的政界,
30a moderate and the founding pastor of the largest United Methodist Church in the US.美国最大的联合卫理公会的温和派和创始牧师。
31His support has grown so much that this race in solid Republican Kansas is now rated as a toss-up.他的支持有了很大的发展,以至于这场在坚固的共和党堪萨斯州的比赛现在被评为掷球.
32Either could win.两者都可以赢
33Farmers could well be the kingmakers.农民很可能是统治者。
34So I spent the day with three所以我花了一天与三个
35to see just what's at stake.来看看有什么关系
36How are things working out?事情进展如何?
37Well, between the weather and天气和天气之间
38the prices, kind of choppy, I guess you could say.价格, 有点粗糙, 我想你可以说。
39Nick Lewandowski是农民和牛肉
40producer in central Kansas and executive director of the Kansas Farmers Union.堪萨斯州中部的制作人和堪萨斯农民联盟执行董事.
41I think the big thing for us right now is just the cost of everything.我认为,对我们来说,现在的大事就是一切的代价。
42You know, I was talking to你知道,我在说话
43Dad the other day and even just a piece of a part for one of the combines, a fuel pump, was $950.那天爸爸甚至只是其中一部分 燃料泵,是950美元。
44And I think you can factor in tariffs with that and all that.我想你可以考虑 关税与这一切。
45How much would that normally be通常会多少钱?
46or have been in the past?还是过去的事?
47Probably a couple hundred dollars less.大概少了几百块
48And it's small enough,它已经足够小了
49like he said, you can hold it in the palm of your hand and that's nearly $1,000.就像他说的,你可以握在你的手掌上 近1000美元。
50But the big thing但最重要的事情是,我们...
51right now is fuel and fertilizer.现在就是燃料和肥料
52So I think everybody's just really anxious.所以我觉得大家都很焦虑
53It's a very high这是一个非常高的
54stress time anyway, you know, when you're trying to get all this done and then you've got cattle压力时间总之,你知道, 当你试图完成这一切,然后你有牛
55need to be moved in off of pastures and that as well.需要搬出牧场 以及这一点。
56Then you factor in all of the challenges那你就考虑所有的挑战
57that you don't have any control over, obviously, whether it's the markets or the weather or很明显,你对市场或天气没有任何控制
58trade war or a war with Iran.贸易战争或与伊朗的战争。
59It just adds more uncertainty and frankly chaos to the situation.这只会给局势增加更多的不确定性和坦率的混乱。
60And can you see a direct line from decisions or policies that have come from the administration你能从政府的决定或政策中看到一条直线
61in the last year or two through to the impact it's having on your livelihood?在过去的一年或两年里 影响你的生计?
62Oh, absolutely.当然
63Yeah, I think you can look at just about anything, whether it's the fuel and fertilizer costs,是啊,我想你可以看看 任何事情,无论是燃料和肥料的成本,
64the steel and aluminum tariffs from the trade war, any of that to what we have to pay at the钢铁和铝的关税 从贸易战争, 任何我们不得不支付
65grocery store.杂货店
66And in terms of the markets then for your corn, for your soybeans, how have they至于你的玉米市场,大豆市场,他们怎么样?
67been impacted?是否受到影响?
68Well, they have been, you know, because soybeans have been primarily sold,嗯,他们一直,你知道, 因为大豆主要卖,
69you know, over to China, obviously, but the trade war with China has affected that.你知道,到中国去,很明显, 但与中国的贸易战争 已经影响了这一点。
70And that really这真的
71goes back to 2018-2019 when Trump did this the first time around.可追溯到2018-2019年特朗普首次这样做时.
72And China just said, fine,而中国刚刚说,好吧,
73we're going to go somewhere else.我们要去别的地方
74Well, it is a global market now.现在,这是一个全球市场。
75They don't have to just deal他们不必只是交易
76with us.与我们。
77They can go somewhere else.他们可以去别的地方
78And they've invested their money in, you know, South America,他们把钱投给了南美
79Brazil and Argentina.巴西和阿根廷。
80What are you thinking of as you head to the polls and thinking who you're你在看民调时在想什么 想想你是谁
81going to vote for?要投给谁?
82Yeah.对
83Well, I voted already on day two of early voting.我已经在投票的第二天投票了
84I got it over with我受够了
85because I knew already who I was going to support.因为我已经知道我要支持谁了
86And I think for a lot of farmers, there's probably我想对于很多农民来说 可能还有
87still that question of, you know, do we stick with who we've been supporting?还是那个问题,你知道,我们坚持 我们一直支持谁?
88Do we give them another我们给他们再一个
89two years or whatever?两年还是什么?
90I have a feeling that people are going to be voting more with their pocketbooks我有一种感觉,人们会 投票更多用他们的袖珍书
91in this election because for everybody, the price of everything's gone up.在这场选举中 因为对每个人来说 所有东西的价格都上涨了
92Nicole Frying is a fifth妮可·弗林是第五个
93generation beef farmer.一代牛肉农
94This morning, she's looking for calves that may have been born overnight.今天早上,她在找可能出生在一夜的幼崽.
95We're going from sunup to sundown, even to midnight, just grabbing calves that are not even我们从日出到日落,甚至到午夜, 只抓小牛,甚至没有
96five minutes old.5分钟大
97The only impact we've really seen is the price of diesel that went up.我们真正看到的唯一影响是柴油价格上升。
98The tariffs is meant to help.关税意在帮助。
99They've been here for years, but you only kind of see the product,他们在这里已经好几年了 但你只看到了产品
100but we have not.但我们没有。
101Due to the manipulation, the monopoly of the four packers, they can control由于操控,垄断四打包机,他们可以控制
102the price still.价格仍然不变。
103So the consumers are not able to feel the relief that the tariffs are meant to be因此消费者无法感受到关税的本意
104for them, really.对他们来说,真的。
105What about diesel?柴油怎么样?
106Is that putting pressure on?这是给压力吗?
107It is.没错
108It's putting pressure on our它给我们带来压力
109way of life because we're needing it.生活方式,因为我们需要它。
110We're needing diesel.我们需要柴油。
111This is a diesel pickup.这是柴油车
112That's the only这是唯一的
113way for us to get around to feed our livestock.来养家糊口
114It's the chemical.这是化学。
115It's the fertilizer.这是肥料。
116We're我们是
117not gamblers, but yes, our livelihood.不是赌徒,而是我们的生活
118We're gambling.我们在赌博
119We're gambling that all these should我们在赌这些东西
120be bred.被培养。
121Will they be bred?他们会长大吗?
122Hopefully, yes, but we'll find out when we preg check, and then will希望,是的,但我们会发现 当我们准备检查,然后会
123they keep that calf?他们留着那只小牛?
124When we might have one, she'll probably be...当我们可能有一个, 她可能会是...
125Yes, I know.对,我知道。
126140 days along,140天过去了,
127she could easily still slip that calf open and spring.她可以轻而易举地把幼崽 打开和春天。
128It's all gambling, and so we're all putting这都是赌博,所以我们都说
129money that we technically don't have, and we're hoping to get kind of我们从技术上讲没有的钱, 我们希望得到一种
130the patent back with our calf crop.我们的幼崽作物的专利
131These guys are supposed to pay our debt from last year.这些家伙应该偿还我们去年的债务
132The unborn calves will hopefully help cushion the debt from this year.希望未出生的小牛能帮助减轻今年的债务。
133We only get我们只得到
13420 cents of the consumer adult.消费成人20美分.
135I stopped the social media and everything because all I hear我停止了社交媒体和一切 因为我听到的
136is consumers griping.消费者在紧紧抓住。
137Look at those beef producers.看看那些牛肉生产商。
138They're getting X amount of dollars.他们得到X的金额。
139They're fine.他们没事
140We're still not getting... We only get 20 cents of your dollar.我们还是... 我们只得到20美分你的美元。
141The packers and the retailers are包装和零售商
142getting the rest of the money.拿到剩下的钱
143But having said all that, do you love what you do?但是说完这些之后 你爱做什么吗?
144I love what I do.我爱我的工作。
145I love it.我喜欢它。
146It's hard.难曰.
147Like I said, we calved from February, so we have the elements of negative正如我所说,我们从2月开始幼崽, 所以我们有消极的因素
148weather.天气 风
149When we get to May, it will turn out and you see it.当我们到达五月, 它会变成你看到的。
150You see the one that survived.你看那个活下来的
151And it's like I helped keep them alive.就像我帮助他们活着一样
152What have we got here?我们这里有什么?
153So here's a bean pod.所以这里是一个豆舱。
154天黑了 黑了点 It's dark
155colored, which shouldn't be dark colored because the dark colored part of it is the result of颜色,不应该是深色的,因为其中的深色部分是由于
156the dry weather and stressing the plant.干燥的天气 和强调植物。
157Merrill Nielsen farms the same land his great-grandfather梅里尔・尼尔森农场 和他曾祖父一样的土地
158did, but says matters on the farm have never been worse.但是说农场的事情从未更糟过
15926 is probably the worst year we've ever had26岁是我们最糟糕的一年
160financially.财政方面。
161Expenses are up.开销上升了。
162Fertilizer is up.合肥开机.
163Fuel is double what it's been before.燃料是之前的两倍
164And then the sort of got hit by a whammy with the weather, not cooperating, not having normal weather.然后那种被天气所吸引, 不合作, 没有正常天气。
165And we've lost most of our wheat crop and for our beans and our milo crop, we're probably我们失去了大部分的麦类作物 为了我们的豆类和米罗作物,我们可能
166half to two-thirds of normal crop.一半到三分之二的正常作物。
167So the weather you can't do anything about in the short term所以,短期内,天气你无能为力
168anyway, but all of the other factors, do you see that there's a reason for that?不过,但所有其他因素, 你看到有原因吗?
169Do you link that directly to policies that politicians enact?你是否直接将它与政客制定的政策联系起来?
170Yeah, certainly.当然
171I mean,我是说...
172the United States produces a lot, but there's a lot that comes out of the Middle East.美国生产了很多,但中东也有很多。
173And if如果
174there's a disruption in the traffic flow out of the Middle East, prices go up dramatically.中东的交通流量中断,物价急剧上涨。
175I mean, the other thing that's happened at the same time is that we seem to be, the administration我的意思是,其他的事情 发生在同一时间 我们似乎,行政部门
176seems to be involved with making new trade policies.似乎参与制定新的贸易政策。
177And some of the countries that we have sold我们卖掉的一些国家
178products to before aren't buying them or reduce the amount that they're buying.之前的产品不是购买,也不是减少购买的数量。
179And so the markets所以市场
180that we've had before just aren't there at the moment.我们以前有过的 只是现在不在那里。
181So do you feel that you're kind of the所以你觉得你是那种
182front line paying the price for administration policies, even if they say that they're doing it一线为行政政策付出代价,即使他们说他们这样做
183for a long term gain reason?从长远角度讲,是有理由的?
184Yeah, I mean, there may be a long term, but there's a short term是啊,我的意思是,也许有一个长期, 但有一个短期
185impact of it also.影响也是。
186I mean, hopefully the long term works out well for us, but the short term,但短期内
187I mean, these are sort of these products, these, whether it's wheat or whether it's milo or beans我的意思是,这些是这类产品, 这些,无论是小麦,还是米罗或豆子。
188or corn or beef, the producers over the years have taxed themselves as they have sold the product或玉米或牛肉,这些年来,生产者为自己征税,因为他们出售产品。
189to put that money into sales development.把钱投入销售发展
190And another factor that people might not be aware of was the shuttering or the reduction of USAID人们可能不知道的另一个因素是美援署的关闭或缩减
191had a direct impact on farmers as well.对农民也有直接影响。
192Yeah, I mean, for a long time, USAID was是啊,我的意思是,很长一段时间,美援署
193also helping to develop those markets that we could later, would later on become a cash market也帮助开发那些我们以后可能发展起来的市场,以后将成为现金市场.
194and allow us to sell into those markets.并允许我们向这些市场出售。
195And maybe there was a reason, hopefully there was也许有原因 希望有
196a good reason to make some changes, but just to axe the whole program seemed like a pretty做一些改变的好理由, 但只是轴 整个程序似乎是一个漂亮的
197blunt approach to maybe whatever problem there was.直截了当地处理问题
198And are you thinking all of that你在想这些吗?
199as you decide who you're going to vote for in the midterm elections this year?你决定今年中期选举投给谁?
200Um, yeah, I don't know.嗯,对,我不知道。
201I mean, we're obviously not voting on the administration,我的意思是,我们显然没有投票 政府,
202but our senator that's up for re-election has been a very strong supporter of the administration.但我们的参议员 重新当选 一直是政府的坚定支持者
203And yeah, it certainly weighs on my mind as to whether that would be a good choice to continue是的,这当然会影响我的心思 是否是继续的好选择
204six more years or not.再过6年就不行了
205And in the past, if you don't mind me asking, have you voted Republican right through the ticket?过去,如果你不介意我问, 你是否通过选票投票给共和党?
206Well, I've never been a solid Republican.我从来没有当过真正的共和党人
207But in this part of the United States,但在美国这个地区,
208in this part of the state of Kansas, Republicans are a majority.在堪萨斯州这部分地区,共和党占多数.
209And my parents were Republicans.我的父母是共和党人。
210But I'm of the age, I probably could decide on myself.但我年纪大了,也许可以决定自己
211Just maybe.也许吧
212Kansans aren't tied to a political party anymore.坎桑斯不再与政党有联系了.
213Maybe the parties are wise to that.也许各方对此很明智。
214Just two weeks before polling day,就在投票前两周
215President Donald Trump made a campaign stop in Wichita, Kansas.总统唐纳德·特朗普在堪萨斯州威奇塔停止竞选.
216I'm thrilled to be back in this incredible state, which, by the way, I don't want to brag,我很高兴回到这个不可思议的状态 顺便说一句,我不想吹嘘,
217I won all three times.我赢得了所有三次。
218And this time, he came bearing gifts.这次他带着礼物来
219Tonight, I'm also pleased to announce that the Department of Agriculture今晚我也很高兴宣布 农业部
220will be launching a new harvest fuel relief program, providing our farmers将为我们的农民提供新的收获燃料救济计划
221with $8 billion in support to offset diesel costs during this harvest season.80亿美元用来抵消本收获季节的柴油成本。
222But will it be enough?但是这够吗?
223Andrea Vue是政治学副教授
224at the Johnson County Community College.在约翰逊县社区学院。
225I certainly think there is a reason why prognosticators aren't considering us a我当然认为有原因 预测者不认为我们是一个
226because the polls are very close.因为民调非常接近
227What I would say is we have to look at those with a little我想说的是,我们必须看看那些 有一点点
228bit of a skeptical eye because it's harder to do random digit dialing when people are answering有点怀疑,因为人们回答时 很难随机拨号
229their phones.他们的手机。
230So a lot of these polls are using online surveys of a captive audience and they're这些民意调查中很多都使用 在线调查一个被俘的观众,他们是
231contracting with survey firms to get those results.与调查公司签订合同以取得这些结果。
232That doesn't mean that they can't这并不意味着他们不能
233tell us anything.告诉我们什么。
234It just means that there's probably a bit more error involved in the polls这只是说, 可能有更多的错误 涉及到投票
235than we might normally see.和我们通常看到的一样
236But even the most loyal但即使是最忠诚的
237Republicans in Kansas sometimes do vote Democrat, right?堪萨斯州的共和党人有时会投票给民主党,对吧?
238I mean, the governor is a Democrat.州长是民主党人
239We have seen Republicans vote for Laura Kelly for governor.我们看到共和党人投票支持劳拉·凯利为州长.
240She has won two different statewide她赢得了两个不同的全州
241elections.选举。
242And we had before Kathleen Sebelius was also a Democratic governor in Kansas.在凯瑟琳·塞贝利乌斯担任堪萨斯州民主党州长之前
243So这么说
244Republicans or probably more realistically unaffiliated voters in Kansas will vote for肯萨斯州的共和党人或 可能更现实的无党派选民会投票支持
245Democrats in statewide elections for state offices.民主党人参加全州选举州办公室.
246If people are concerned about the Senate or the如果人们关心参议院或者
247House not really being a check on the president or the executive branch, that might push them to豪斯不是真正的检查 总统或行政部门, 这可能会迫使他们
248vote for a Democrat in this election.投票选举民主党人。
249The people are very frustrated not only by the cost of living人民不仅对生活费用感到沮丧
250and the gas prices, the diesel prices, the food prices, tariffs basically blocking our farmers'天然气价格,柴油价格,粮食价格,关税 基本上阻碍了我们的农民。
251ability to export foods, but they're also really frustrated with the uber partisanship, you know,出口食品的能力, 但他们也非常沮丧 uber党,你知道,
252the hyper partisanship that's going on and the refusal to work together and kind of cut across和拒绝合作 和那种切入
253party lines to solve some real problems.党的台词解决一些真正的问题。
254Indeed they are, as I found out when I met a mixed没错,我遇见一个混血儿时发现的
255gathering of voters at the Granded Soul Coffee House on the edge of Kansas City.在堪萨斯城边缘的Granded Soul咖啡馆聚集选民.
256I think one of the biggest things is just that I'm not very happy with the political我觉得最大的一件事就是 我对政治不满意
257rhetoric that's going on and just the back and forth that's happening.不断的言语,只是前后的言语.
258It's just so vile.这太卑鄙了
259There's还有
260so many aspersions cast with no real substance to them and it's all about the character of a candidate如此多的涂鸦 对他们没有真正的实质 和它的所有关于 一个候选人的性格
261a lot of times, but the issues that really are most important to me are health care, education,很多时候, 但真正对我最重要的问题 是保健,教育,
262and responsible use of the finances we do.并负责任地使用我们做的财务。
263And are you conscious of, you know, we hear a lot你知道,我们听到很多
264about the cost of living crisis, whether life's affordable or not at the moment?关于生活危机的代价, 生活现在是否负担得起?
265We've been feeling我们一直感觉
266it a little bit more individually in small businesses like myself.在像我这样的小生意里 更个别一点
267We've certainly seen我们当然看到了
268people, what I would call, trading down.人,我会叫,交易下来。
269Our average spend is going down at the Iowna我们平均花费在艾奥纳
270Liquor Store.酒库.
271So you can downgrade in vodka eight or nine times and people are doing that.你可以在伏特加中降级八到九次 人们在这样做。
272And so we've noticed that.所以我们注意到了这一点。
273I didn't expect corruption to ever be a concern in our country,我没想到腐败会成为我们国家的问题
274but it feels like it is.但感觉就像它。
275But other than that, I would say the affordability, the price of gas,但除此之外,我要说 价格,天然气,
276$80 to fill up a 2006 Toyota truck, that's ridiculous.80块装满2006年丰田货车,真可笑.
277And then health care.然后是医疗
278I happen to我碰巧会
279be an individual who has experienced lung cancer as someone who never smoked, but have a mutation成为一个曾经经历过肺癌的人 一个人从来没有吸烟, 但有一个突变
280and Medicare has been good to me.医疗保障对我很好
281I mean, Medicare has been very good to me in my life.我的意思是,医疗计划 一直对我很好在我的生命。
282And yet we have politicians walking around saying we don't need to expand Medicaid.但我们有政客到处说 我们不需要扩大医疗补助。
283We don't need to provide health insurance to our low-income Kansans.我们不需要为我们的低收入坎桑人提供医疗保险.
284That's unfair.这不公平
285That's这是
286un-American.非美国人。
287That's unfair.这不公平
288What about you, Adam?你呢,亚当?
289What are your big issues?你有什么大问题?
290The growth for增长
291the next generation is stalling.下一代在拖延时间
292Housing crisis all over the states, all over this country is整个州都有住房危机 整个国家都是
293really hard to come by.很难通过。
294And there's a group of people that are stuck at home, can't get jobs.还有一群人被困在家里,找不到工作.
295You get out of college with thousands and thousands, over $60,000, $80,000 in debt,你和上千人 超过6万,8万元的债务 一起离开大学
296suing loans, no way to get that paid off.起诉贷款,没有办法得到偿还。
297You want to start a family, all of those things,你想建立一个家庭 所有这些事情,
298the American dream, all of the things that are taught, that's going out the window.美国梦,所有被教导的东西,都从窗外流出.
299It's hard to find full-time work.寻得全天工.
300And then when you look at your older generation of folks然后当你看着你年长的一代人
301and you hear the health care kind of stuff like that, it doesn't give you a lot of你听到医疗 之类的东西, 它没有给你很多
302maybe we're doing the right stuff.也许我们做的是对的
303For me, it is also corruption.对我来说,这也是腐败。
304But不过
305for me, it's lack of equity.对我来说,这是缺乏公平。
306I mean, we never had it.我的意思是,我们从来没有它。
307We had been striving toward it,我们一直在努力争取它,
308but we are now not.但我们现在不是了。
309And it's pretty sad because there's only a few that are getting,并且这相当可悲 因为只有几个正在得到,
310I mean, we really are living in an era where just racism is rampant.我们生活在一个种族主义猖獗的时代。
311I mean, it is out there,我的意思是,这是在那里,
312and it comes from the top.它来自顶部。
313It comes from our president, which he should have been elected这是来自我们的总统 他应该当选
314for all the people, but that is not what he espouses.对众人而言,这不是他所拥护的。
315And as far as morals, I don't think至于道德,我不认为
316that there is that in that office at all.在那个办公室里有这个
317People who have, I'm also retired military,那些人,我也是退役军人,
318and I know for sure, I know for sure this is a fact.我知道,我肯定这是事实。
319It's not just what I think.不只是我想的那样
320It's that就是这样
321people who have worked, because if you are a black person that has been able to工作过的人, 因为如果你是一个黑人 能够
322accumulate some kind of success, you've had to work harder to even be considered equal.积累某种成功, 你不得不更努力地工作 甚至被视为平等。
323And that is the truth.这就是事实。
324And when you're speaking about a sort of sense that's coming from the top,当你在谈论某种感觉的时候, 从顶部,
325does that mean when you're approaching these elections that your views of President Trump这是否意味着当你接近这些选举时 你对川普总统的看法
326are kind of your views of the whole Republican Party?你对整个共和党的看法吗?
327Yeah, because they're not doing anything是啊,因为他们什么也没做
328{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}重新来过
329And I don't know why.我不知道为什么。
330This is not how it's supposed to work.这不是它应该如何工作。
331I mean, just going in我的意思是,只是进去
332and doing what you want, you are accountable.并做你想做的, 你负责。
333This is our nation.这是我们的国家。
334It is our White House.这是我们的白宫。
335It is not没有
336yours just because you're in it.你的只是因为你在里面。
337So yeah.对啊
338Kevin, what about you?凯文,你呢?
339What are your你怎么样?
340thoughts and views as you head to the polls?思考和观点 当你领导投票?
341Well, I have all these same我也有这些
342uh feelings.感觉
343I may have a little different take on it.我也许有一点不同的想法
344I have many friends of mine我有许多朋友
345that have moved out of the country, either Caribbean or whatever work,无论是加勒比还是任何工作,
346England, and they have free health care.英国,他们有免费的医疗保健。
347And yet they come back here to see doctors却回来看医生
348because our health care is better.因为我们的医疗保健更好。
349So it made me realize that we do have the best medical care.因此,它让我意识到,我们确实有最好的医疗。
350We don't have free medical care.我们没有免费的医疗服务。
351Nothing's free.无有是处.
352Somebody's paying for it.有人付了钱
353But if you look at what但是,如果你看着什么
354if the government's doing it, I don't know.如果政府这样做,我不知道。
355And these guys could probably come up with a bunch of这些人可能会想出一堆
356them.他们。
357I don't know a lot of businesses that our government is running that's doing a great job.我不知道很多企业 我们的政府正在经营 这正在做一个伟大的工作。
358The post office loses money every year and they raise their fees every year.邮局每年亏损钱财,每年收费.
359I don't know of one我不知道一个
360business and you guys can tell me what business they do.生意,你们可以告诉我 他们做什么生意。
361Minnesota, we're talking about fraud.明尼苏达州 我们在谈论欺诈
362We talked about inflation and inflation right now is 3.7 percent, which is higher than we want.我们谈论通货膨胀和通货膨胀 现在是3.7%, 这比我们想要的要高。
363If you look at the last 10 years, why Trump was in office the first term,如果你看过去10年,为什么特朗普在第一任任期,
364his inflation went over 3 percent four months out of the four years.他的通胀率在四年里超过3% 4个月
365While he's been in office here,他在这里任职期间
366it's gone above 3 percent.它已经超过3%。
367I think it has been about eight to 10 months.我想已经八到十个月了
368But if you look at Biden's, he had four months out of his four years.但是如果你看看拜登的, 他有四个月的他的四年。
369It was under 3 percent.这是不到3%。
370I'm very, very concerned about immigration and what's going on.我非常,非常关心移民 和发生了什么事。
371I mean,我是说...
372I don't think that people realize that this is a slippery slope and that我不认为人们意识到 这是一个滑坡和
373and it should be realized because look what happened to those people in Minnesota.这应该实现 因为看看明尼苏达州那些人的遭遇
374Those这些
375were not immigrants.他们不是移民。
376Those were white Americans that were killed.那些是美国白人被杀的
377And that distresses me.这让我心烦意乱
378And还有
379for us to take people and deport them to a place that doesn't even, they don't even know anything带人去一个连都不知道的地方
380about, and we're paying for that?我们为此付出代价?
381Where does that come from?从何而来.
382Do you think though that there should be你觉得应该有
383enforcement of the rules?执行规则?
384I guess that I, here's my thoughts on immigration.我想,我,这是我关于移民的想法。
385I do think that we我认为我们
386need to clean it up.需要清理干净
387We need to figure out how we can do a better job.我们需要想出怎样才能做得更好。
388And I do think that people who我确实认为人们谁
389are drug dealers and stuff like that, that needs to not come.是毒贩之类的东西, 不需要来。
390But people that are coming here,但来这的人
391I mean, they don't come here at no risk to themselves.他们不会冒任何风险来这
392I mean, do we not understand我的意思是,我们不明白
393what they go through to get here?他们经过什么 来到这里?
394And I think we need to, I mean, and some of these people have我认为我们需要,我的意思是, 和其中一些人有
395been here for years and have caused no trouble, are working, have contributed.已经在这里多年了,没有造成任何麻烦,正在工作,已经作出了贡献。
396And look what看这个
397we're doing to them.我们正在对他们做。
398What are we doing to them?我们对他们做了什么?
399We are taking them.我們要帶走他們。
400We're putting, we're detaining them.我们要把他们关起来
401But they've, they broke the law.但他们触犯了法律
402Separating them from their family.把他们和家人分开
403They broke the law.他们触犯了法律
404Separating?分离?
405No, no, no, no.释曰.
406Their family can go with them.他们的家人可以跟他们一起去
407No.没有
408They're not separated from their family.不离眷属.
409No, they have been deported.不 他们已经被驱逐出境了
410Their family has said if you want to go with them, you don't have to be他们的家人说, 如果你想和他们一起去, 你不必是
411separated.分离。
412You can go with them.你可以跟他们一起去
413We'll pay for it.师便付.
414I do think I agree with you.我觉得我同意你的意见
415He has done a good job他干得不错
416of stopping people from coming in.阻止人们进来
417I think it's for a variety of reasons, including they're scared我想是因为各种原因 包括他们害怕
418to death to come to America as illegals.以非法身份来美国
419And maybe that's his point and maybe that's your point.也许这就是他的观点 也许这就是你的观点
420But the point of killing people in Minnesota, that's wrong.但是在明尼苏达州杀人的症结是错的
421We're almost out of time because我们快没时间了 因为...
422I don't want to keep you guys here all afternoon.我不想让你们 整个下午在这里。
423I love this.我喜欢这个
424This is how we get better as a country.这就是我们如何作为一个国家变得更好。
425This is how we get better.这就是我们如何变得更好。
426These conversations.这些对话。
427I agree with Adam.我同意亚当的观点。
428I agree with Adam in that我同意亚当的说法
429there is probably a very large portion of things that we agree upon.很可能有很多事情是我们同意的。
430The fringes of things are事物的边缘是
431different or the tactics we use to do those things, we would differ on those.和我们用来做这些事情的策略不同,我们对此有不同的看法。
432But I think但我觉得
433we agree on a lot of things.我们同意很多事情
434I think we agree a lot, but I think we have extremes.我认为我们同意很多, 但我认为我们有极端。
435I think we我觉得我们
436have extremes.有极端。
437And why do you think it's so difficult for people to have conversations like为何你觉得人们很难 谈话喜欢
438this?这个?
439I think because if we have this conversation with a lot of people, let's say in this group,我认为,如果我们有这个对话 与很多人, 让我们说在这个小组,
440they get upset with you and they end your friendship.他们生你的气,结束你的友谊。
441You want to talk with you.你想和你谈谈
442Do you think this year's midterm elections will bring any change?你认为今年的中期选举会带来任何变化吗?
443We're going to get new leadership.我们要获得新的领导.
444We're going to have new voices, new faces.我们将有新的声音,新的面孔。
445It will just off of它会刚刚关闭
446that alone.独自一人
447And people want change.人们想要改变。
448And so yeah, this midterm election cycle is going to be huge.所以,这个中期选举周期将会是巨大的。
449I think there's going to be a lot of big change.我认为会有很大的改变。
450No, because even if they do take the House and不,因为即使他们确实占领了议会
451Senate, you still had the president that can veto anything and you won't get a major majority元老院,你还有总统可以否决任何东西 却得不到多数
452over that.在那个上面。
453So until we can all just sit down and talk about what we agree on and what we can both所以,直到我们都能坐下来谈谈 我们同意什么,我们都可以
454Is that intractability part of the problem though?这是否是问题的一部分?
455That intractability?这么难受?
456Because no,因为没有
457not you, not you, but the House, the Senate, not being able to overcome to get seven people,不是你们,不是你们,而是众议院,参议院, 无法克服七个人,
458let's say, to overcome a veto.让我们说,克服否决权。
459Like that intractability, and it's on both sides,就像那样的不可磨灭, 它在两边,
460is on both sides.在两边。
461Look, I'm not sure in the last any six or seven presidents that we've had你看,我不确定 在过去的六七总统 我们有过
462somebody that can do that.一个人可以做到这一点。
463Bill Clinton did a good job with Newt Gingrich.比尔·克林顿与纽特·金里奇合作表现不错.
464They did that a lot.他们做了很多。
465Since then, I don't know any.从此不识.
466And so, and that's both sides.所以,这是两边。
467You guys say they're the bad guys.你们说他们是坏人
468We say you're the bad guys.我们说你们是坏人
469And let's all just get together and get along.且道众生合而共融.
470You walk into my liquor forward and the first thing you're going to see is the American flag.你走进我的酒前 你将看到的第一件事是美国国旗。
471We are the greatest country in the world.我们是世界上最伟大的国家。
472Everyone is welcome in my store at all times.我店里随时欢迎每个人
473And I don't我没有
474feel like we're maintaining that as a country.感觉我们作为一个国家在保持这种状态
475Everyone is welcome.大家欢迎
476Everyone is part of this.每个人都是其中的一部分。
477This could well come down to turnout.这很可能是投票率。
478Are the Democrats, are the unaffiliated voters,民主党人,是没有归属关系的选民,
479are the really frustrated Republicans more fired up and more prepared to turn out and vote for the真正沮丧的共和党人 更紧张 更准备 出来投票支持
480Democratic Senate candidate than Republicans are?比共和党更民主的参议院候选人?
481So President Trump, as he likes to say,所以特朗普总统喜欢说
482he's not on the ballot himself, but really urging Republican voters to come out and vote.他没有亲自参加投票,但真的敦促共和党选民出来投票.
483If they don't, dissatisfaction and disenchantment with the president's policies如果他们不这样做,对总统的政策 不满和失望
484could cause a blue wave to crash through this deep red heartland.可能让蓝色的波浪 穿过这个深红色的心脏地带
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