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【稳定更新】20261027 BBC News 英语半小时磨

字幕摘录

时间英文中文
0:06Live from London, this is BBC News.伦敦现场,这是英国广播公司新闻
0:09Brazil's left-wing president Lula da Silva wins a fourth巴西左翼总统卢拉·达席尔瓦获得第四名
0:12term in a surprise victory over his right-wing challenger Flavio Bolsonaro.他的右翼挑战者弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗的胜利令人惊讶
0:18Serbia's student-led塞尔维亚的学生主导
0:19protest movement wins parliamentary elections ousting long-standing leader Aleksandar Vucic.抗议运动赢得议会选举,
0:26And our news is set in Jerusalem.我们的消息被设定在耶路撒冷。
0:28Israelis go to the polls tomorrow.以色列人明天去投票
0:30Well, its longest-serving它服役时间最长
0:32Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu hold on to power here.本雅明·内塔尼亚胡总理在这里掌握权力.
0:37And Manchester United's manager Michael Carrick's future is in doubt following the team's three-mil而曼彻斯特曼联的经理迈克尔·卡里克的前途也随着球队的三百万而陷入了怀疑.
展开字幕全文(407 条)
序号英文中文
1Live from London, this is BBC News.伦敦现场,这是英国广播公司新闻
2Brazil's left-wing president Lula da Silva wins a fourth巴西左翼总统卢拉·达席尔瓦获得第四名
3term in a surprise victory over his right-wing challenger Flavio Bolsonaro.他的右翼挑战者弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗的胜利令人惊讶
4Serbia's student-led塞尔维亚的学生主导
5protest movement wins parliamentary elections ousting long-standing leader Aleksandar Vucic.抗议运动赢得议会选举,
6And our news is set in Jerusalem.我们的消息被设定在耶路撒冷。
7Israelis go to the polls tomorrow.以色列人明天去投票
8Well, its longest-serving它服役时间最长
9Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu hold on to power here.本雅明·内塔尼亚胡总理在这里掌握权力.
10And Manchester United's manager Michael Carrick's future is in doubt following the team's three-mil而曼彻斯特曼联的经理迈克尔·卡里克的前途也随着球队的三百万而陷入了怀疑.
11loss to Bournemouth at Old Trafford.输给了伯恩茅斯在老特拉福德。
12Hello, I'm Anita McVeigh and welcome to News Now.你好 我是安妮塔·麦克维 欢迎收看新闻
13In a result that runs against a string以逆弦运行的结果
14of victories for right-wing politicians in South America, Brazil's president Lula has巴西总统卢拉(Lula),
15won a fourth term as leader of the region's biggest economy.赢得了第四个任期,成为该地区最大经济体的领导人。
16But his opponent Flavio Bolsonaro,但是他的对手弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
17who has the backing of Donald Trump, has refused to concede and says his lawyers will seek在唐纳德·特朗普的支持下 拒绝承认 并说他的律师会寻求
18to have the result annulled.宣布结果无效。
19This was the moment Lula supporters in São Paulo found out he won, many in disbelief这是卢拉在圣保罗的支持者 发现他赢了,许多人都不相信
20because it was Bolsonaro who had won the first round.因为这是博尔索纳罗赢得了第一轮比赛。
21Speaking to supporters overnight, Lula卢拉,今晚跟支持者说话
22thanked the generosity of Brazilian youth who, he said, took to the streets to defend感谢巴西青年的慷慨,他说,他们走上街头捍卫
23democracy.民主主义。
24A social media campaign appears to have played a big role in mobilising more社交媒体运动似乎在动员更多媒体方面发挥了重大作用。
25voters to take part in the second round.参加第二轮投票的选民。
26The result there followed victory for the student-led movement in Serbia, which defeated塞尔维亚学生领导的运动取得了胜利,
27the veteran right-wing politician Aleksandar Vucic in snap parliamentary elections.资深的右翼政治人物阿列克桑达尔·武契克 参加迅速的议会选举
28We'll我们会的
29have more on Serbia shortly and look in more depth at the impact Gen Z voters and protest并更深入地观察Gen Z选民及抗议活动的影响。
30movements are having.行动正在展开。
31But we'll begin with those elections in Brazil.但我们要从巴西的选举开始。
32Our correspondent Ioni Wells reports from the capital, Brasilia.我们的记者Ioni Wells从首都巴西利亚报到.
33The streets of Brazil lit up bright in red.巴西的街道以红色亮亮.
34With their fingers and thumbs, the crowds用他们的手指和拇指,人群
35form an L for Lula, the name of Brazil's left-wing president, a rallying cry sung by his supporters.巴西左翼总统之名,
36I want to thank Brazilian people for the generosity they have shown me for a long time.我要感谢巴西人民长期以来对我表现出的慷慨。
37And in并进
38the second round, to thank the generosity of the Brazilian youth who took the streets,为了感谢走上街头的巴西青年的慷慨,
39took the streets to defend democracy.走上街头捍卫民主。
40Few thought President Lula's re-election was possible a few weeks ago.很少有人认为卢拉总统的连任几周前是可能的.
41He came second in他进来第二
42the first round of voting.第一轮投票。
43But his supporters put on huge rallies to get his vote out.但他的支持者为了争取他的选票而举行了大规模的集会.
44I am so happy, so happy and relieved.我是如此快乐,如此快乐和宽慰。
45It takes a lot of work to live through a historic moment,要经历一个历史性的时刻 需要很多工作
46a lot of cardio.很多心电图。
47Your heart rate goes up.你的心率会上升
48But I'm so happy and so, so, so relieved.但我很高兴,所以,所以,所以,如此松懈。
49Lula beat the right-wing senator, Flavio Bolsonaro, son of the former president, Jair Bolsonaro,卢拉打败了右翼参议员弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗,前总统哈伊尔·博尔索纳罗的儿子,
50who was convicted of plotting a coup after losing the last election.他在上次选举失败后 被判策划政变
51Like his father像他父亲一样
52in 2022, Flavio did not recognize this result.2022年,弗拉维奥不承认这一结果.
53It's impossible to recognize the result of these elections under these conditions.在这种情况下,无法承认这些选举的结果.
54The stage was set here for a victory speech by Flavio Bolsonaro.舞台设于此,为弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗的胜利演说.
55This has been a huge upset这真是让人心烦意乱
56for his campaign after he won the first round.在他赢得第一轮比赛后 他的竞选
57And just now he has finished speaking.他刚刚讲完话了
58He
59says what happened was inexplicable, that it was impossible, and he is arguing that说发生的事情是无法解释的, 这是不可能的, 他辩称
60this election should be annulled.此次选举应作废。
61This could sow the seeds for a lot of unrest amongst这可能会播下种子 引发很多动乱
62his supporters.他的支持者们
63Some of his supporters in Brasilia were already questioning the process.他在巴西利亚的一些支持者已经在质疑这一进程。
64There is something fishy here, and we will have to be aware of that, unfortunately.这里有些可疑的东西,不幸的是,我们必须意识到这一点。
65Voting was extended for two hours after both campaigns said transport issues and bad weather两次竞选活动都提到运输问题和恶劣天气后,投票延长了两个小时
66were affecting turnout.影响投票率。
67The result was confirmed by the president of Brazil's top electoral corps, himself巴西最高选举团主席本人证实,
68由Jair Bolsonaro任命。
69The question now is how Bolsonaro and his supporters respond现在的问题是博尔索纳罗和他的支持者们如何回应
70in the coming weeks.在未来几周里
71For Lula's supporters, the celebrations are just beginning.对于卢拉的支持者来说,庆祝活动才刚刚开始.
72But when their honeymoon is但当他们的蜜月是
73over and the hangover sets in, this will not be an easy few years.和宿醉, 这将是不容易的几年。
74President Lula卢拉总统
75once again presiding over a deeply divided country.再次主持一个严重分裂的国家。
76Ioni Wells, BBC News in Brasilia.伊奥尼·威尔斯,巴西利亚的BBC新闻.
77And let's speak now to Professor Pedro Paulo Bastos, economist and political scientist让我们现在谈谈佩德罗·保罗·巴斯托斯教授 经济学家和政治学家
78at the Institute of Economics at the University of Campinas in São Paulo.就读于圣保罗坎皮纳斯大学经济研究所.
79Thank you very非常感谢
80much for joining us today on BBC News to talk about really consequential vote there in Brazil.今天在英国广播公司新闻台上,
81And tell us a little bit more about how President Lula managed to turn things around from the告诉我们更多关于卢拉总统是如何 扭转局面的
82first round, where he was trailing Flavio Bolsonaro.第一回合 他跟随弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
83I think it mostly related with fear of what the Bolsonaro government were due to.我认为这主要和害怕波尔索纳罗政府 的罪过有关
84And还有
85that beat the desire for change.打败了改变的欲望
86The margin was a warning, actually, because half of the差值是一个警告,实际上, 因为一半
87adults are behind on the bill and families spend almost 30% of their income on that service.成年人落后于法案,家庭几乎将收入的30%用于这项服务。
88Flavio Bolsonaro was not credible as a safe change, I think.弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗不可信 安全的变化,我认为。
89It was one that would threaten它会威胁
90democracy.民主主义。
91So I believe fear won by a nose.所以我相信恐惧是靠鼻子赢得的
92Change is still waiting for an answer, I think.我认为,变革仍在等待答案。
93And what more do we know right now about Bolsonaro's plans to challenge the results?我们现在对博尔索纳罗挑战结果的计划还了解多少?
94What can he他能怎样?
95do?是吗?
96What avenues does he have?他有什么途径?
97Actually the Bolsonaro campaign also asked for a postponing of the ending of the election实际上,博尔索纳罗竞选也要求推迟结束选举。
98because he didn't concede, of course, but he called for a two-hour extension because因为他没有承认,当然, 但他呼吁延长两个小时,因为
99of rains that were affecting places where he was voted in the first round, right?影响他第一轮投票地点的雨,对吧?
100But不过
101also, the Bolsonaro appointment to the Supreme Court called the election a success.另外,博尔索纳罗在最高法院的任命也称选举是成功的.
102The Brazilian巴西人
103attorney count has been outed repeatedly and the attempt to overturn the 2022 result ended律师数屡次出手 推翻2022年结果的企图结束
104在定罪,包括Jair Bolsonaro's。
105So the institutions held them under foreign因此,这些机构在外国
106sanctions and I believe they will hold up again.制裁,我相信它们会再坚持下去。
107Now our correspondent alluded to the issues that President Lula might have with Congress,我们的记者提到了卢拉总统可能向国会提出的问题,
108which will have still a significant right-wing representation.右派代表人数仍然很多。
109How might that impact any那会有什么影响?
110change for voters in Brazil, for the people of Brazil who supported President Lula?巴西选民,支持卢拉总统的巴西人民,
111Yes, I think these next eight weeks will matter because there are two options on the table.是的,我认为接下来的8个星期很重要,因为桌上有两个选择。
112One is to revise the fiscal rule to protect public investment, health and education, and一是修订财政规则,以保护公共投资、卫生和教育,二是修订财政规则。
113to raise taxes on the highest income in order even to Lula to be able to give the promise提高最高收入的税收,甚至让卢拉能够做出承诺
114that he made during these last three weeks of campaign.在最后三个星期的竞选中他做的
115The other option, which his economic另一种选择,他的经济
116team seen it in August, is to tighten the rule and restrain spending further.团队8月份看到的, 是收紧规则和进一步限制开支。
117The campaign运动
118pledges have made that almost impossible, I think.我认为,认捐使这一点几乎不可能实现。
119Either way, any change has to pass无论如何,任何改变都必须通过
120before the new Congress takes office in February and the new Congress is much more inclined在新国会2月上任之前 新国会更倾向于
121than Lula to cut spending rather than tax the reach.而不是Lula削减开支 而不是对范围征税
122So there will be a very, very complicated所以会有一个非常非常复杂的
123balance act that Lula has to manage until the next Congress takes office in February.卢拉必须在下届国会2月上任之前 进行平衡
124And just finally and briefly, if you would, Professor, the recent direction of travel最后简单说一句 教授 最近的旅行方向
125in South America has been seeing right-wing politicians elected.南美洲的右翼政治人物当选。
126This bucks the trend.这钱是趋势。
127What is that going to mean for President Trump's desire to exert even more influence over this这对川普总统 施加更大的影响力意味着什么?
128part of the world?世界的一部分吗?
129Of course, it was a defeat for Trump, who said that it was a great picture to have Bolsonaro当然,这是特朗普的失败,他说,有博尔索纳罗是一个伟大的画面。
130win the first round.赢得第一轮比赛。
131And it's clear that when the left is capable of promising a possible很明显,当左翼有能力 保证一个可能
132thanks to the population, it will win.感谢民众,它将赢得胜利。
133Lula's government raised the Bolsa Familia, the family卢拉的政府养大了家庭,家庭
134cash transfer by 15% during the campaign.在竞选期间,现金转移额增加了15%。
135He also secured debt relief for small business他还为小企业争取债务减免
136owners and for people with small personal debts.拥有者和个人债务小的人。
137And with government support, Congress在政府的支持下,国会
138ended the six-day working week.结束了6天的工作周。
139This measure reached households directly, but paid for这项措施直接惠及家庭,但支付费用
140the new spending will require change in the current fiscal rule or cutting elsewhere.新的开支将需要改变目前的财政规则或削减其他地方。
141Flavio Bolsonaro opposed it, shortening the working week until the final weeks of the弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗反对,将工作周缩短到最后一周
142campaign.竞选。
143He campaigned on tax cuts and large cuts on public spending.他发起了减税和大量削减公共开支的运动.
144So for many voters,对许多选民来说,
145fear what he would do, outweigh the succession with the government.害怕自己会做什么 胜过政府继承
146And I think that's a我认为这是一个
147way to go for left-wing governments that try to resist this right-wing wave in Latin America.左翼政府在拉丁美洲试图抵制这种右翼浪潮
148OK, we must leave it there.好吧,我们必须把它留在那里。
149But Professor Pedro Paulo Bastos, thank you very much.但是佩德罗·保罗·巴斯托斯教授,非常感谢.
150Thanks for having me.谢谢你邀请我
151Now to Serbia, where veteran right-wing leader in the country has been defeated in a snap现在到塞尔维亚, 这个国家的老右翼领袖 已经被打败了
152election.选举。
153The winners were from the student-led protest movement that has been growing in获胜者来自学生领导的抗议运动,
154popularity on an anti-corruption ticket.在反腐败的票上很受欢迎
155These are pictures from Belgrade, where supporters这些照片来自贝尔格莱德, 支持者在那里
156celebrated long into the night.长夜庆祝。
157The leadership of the movement remains unclear.该运动的领导仍然不明确。
158The student那个学生
159list will have a clear majority in parliament, but has yet to announce which of its deputies名单将在议会中获得明确多数,但尚未宣布其中哪些议员
160will become prime minister.将会成为总理。
161Most come from professional backgrounds and have little or多数来自专业背景,很少或
162no political experience.没有政治经验。
163In the run-up to the poll, candidates had focused on the need在投票前,候选人着重注意需要
164to tackle corruption and improve schooling.打击腐败和改善学校教育。
165Well, let's go live to Belgrade and speak to our correspondent, Nick Thorpe.好吧,让我们去贝尔格莱德现场直播 和我们的通讯员,尼克索普。
166And Nick,还有尼克
167you were out on the streets talking to people in what must have been an extraordinary mood你在街上和那些 心情特别的人说话
168to witness after those results.见证这些结果。
169As we mentioned there, Serbia now has a diverse group of people正如我们在那里提到的那样,塞尔维亚现在有不同的人群。
170with little political experience or government experience about to form the next government.几乎没有政治经验或政府经验 即将组成下届政府。
171So how are they going to translate the energy of that student protest movement into a coherent如何将学生抗议运动的能量转化为一致
172policy?政策?
173Sure.当然
174Well, going forward, and you can still see people celebrating here behind me, just好了,继续前进,你仍然可以看到 人们在这里庆祝 在我身后,只是
175to explain where I am.解释我在哪里。
176This is actually the pioneer park in front of the presidency, where这其实是总统府前的先驱公园
177people are clearing up and they're still dancing and celebrating that victory on into today,人们正在清空 他们仍在跳舞 庆祝今天的胜利
178The way this is going to go forward, to understand that, I think one has to understand that there接下来的路要走, 要理解, 我想人们必须明白,那里
179are, we're talking about two different student groupings, or rather a student movement which我们说的是两个不同的学生团体 或者一个学生运动
180formed a student list.组成学生名单.
181The people on the student list, 140 of them have now got into the Serbian学生名单上的140人 已经进入塞尔维亚人
182parliament near where I'm standing in this park.我站在公园附近的议会
183They are not students themselves.他们不是学生本身。
184These这些
185are respected professional people, albeit with no practical experience of government.他们都是受人尊敬的专业人士,尽管没有实际的政府经验。
186So what they now need to do is to get together under the careful watching eye of the student所以他们现在需要做的就是 在学生的仔细观察下聚在一起
187movement and work out which of them would be most suitable to be prime minister, foreign他们中的哪一个最适合当总理, 外国
188minister, finance minister, justice minister, and so on.历任部长,财政部长,司法部长等职务.
189And the students say that there's学生们说
190no problem with this.⊿拜肈
191This is effectively a unique experiment in democracy.这实际上是民主的独特试验。
192They say他们说
193the people on their list are untainted either by working with the former government or the他们的名单上的人 要么与前政府合作 要么与前政府合作
194former opposition and that they will be able to do this.之前的反对者,而且他们会做到这一点。
195But of course it is a unique experiment当然,这是一个独特的实验
196and what another thing we don't know is how the student movement which created this student而我们不知道的另一件事是 学生运动是如何创造这个学生的
197list of prominent personalities, how they will interact with the movement in the future,未来他们如何与运动互动,
198especially a student movement which is not only has no leaders but seems to be sort of尤其是一个学生运动,它不仅没有领导者,而且似乎有点
199lurching to the whole idea of leadership.沉浸在领导思想中
200Yeah, many, many interesting questions to be answered there, Nick.有很多有趣的问题要回答,尼克
201It's interesting这很有趣
202to hear reaction to this.听到这个反应。
203The Kremlin saying it hopes Serbia understands that cooperation克里姆林宫说,希望塞尔维亚理解这种合作
204with Russia is in its interest.与俄罗斯是符合其利益的。
205We've heard from the EU as well, Chancellor Mertz saying我们也有欧盟的消息 默兹总理说
206Berlin will actively support Serbia's European path.柏林将积极支持塞尔维亚的欧洲道路.
207So we've only got about a minute left,所以我们只剩一分钟了
208Nick.尼克,你好吗?
209Who does Serbia look to at this point?塞尔维亚目前看谁?
210I think Serbia looks to itself above all.我认为,塞尔维亚最看重自己。
211It needs to form a new government.它需要组建一个新的政府。
212It needs这需要
213to have a dialogue with itself.与自己进行对话。
214It needs to clear up after these 14 years of Mr. Vucic's这14年的Vucic先生之后 需要清理
215rule and that's what people are doing here, clearing away the litter and that's very much规则和这就是人们在这里所做的, 清除垃圾,这是非常
216a metaphor for what they do.以比喻他们的行为。
217In terms of international relations, I think we won't see much foreign在国际关系方面,我想我们不会看到很多外国
218policy for a while as the country focuses on finding those responsible for the corruption由于国家注重查明腐败责任人,因此暂时实行政策。
219in the past, re-establishing the rule of law, freeing the media from government influence,过去,重建法治,使媒体免受政府的影响,
220all these big issues before they can get on to foreign policy.在他们进入外交政策之前,所有这些大问题。
221OK, Nick, thank you very much.好吧,尼克,非常感谢。
222Nick Thorpe there in Belgrade for us.尼克・索普在贝尔格莱德为我们服务
223We're going to be我们会是
224telling you more about those very consequential elections throughout the programme and do告诉你更多关于那些非常 导致选举 整个方案
225stay with us because we're going to be talking about the election that is happening in Israel和我们呆在一起,因为我们将要谈论 以色列正在发生的选举
226tomorrow, Tuesday, with our chief international correspondent, Lise Doucet, around the world明天,星期二, 与我们的首席国际通讯员 丽丝·杜塞特,在世界各地
227and across the UK.横跨英国
228This is BBC News.这是BBC新闻。
229Breaking news to bring you because one of the most突发新闻给你带来 因为其中之一
230successful stars in US R&B, singer Chris Brown, has just been given an eight-month suspended美国R&B的成功明星,歌手克里斯·布朗,刚刚获得8个月的停赛资格.
231sentence for a fray over what prosecutors called a vicious and unprovoked attack in对检察官所谓的恶毒无端袭击的
232London.伦敦
233These are live pictures from outside the court.这些是法庭外的现场照片
234This happened in a London night这发生在伦敦的一个晚上
235club in 2023.2023年参加俱乐部.
236Brown, who's aged 37, pleaded guilty to the charge in July.37岁的布朗在7月对指控认罪.
237And we will我们会的
238bring you more detail of what was said in court as we get it.告诉你更多细节 我们在法庭上说的话
239He arrived at Southwark他到了南华克
240Crown Court earlier today, along with members of his team.英国 今天早些时候,法院和他的团队成员。
241The victim of the assault was袭击的受害者是
242music producer Abe Diao, who needed hospital treatment for head and knee injuries.音乐制作人Abe Diao因头部和膝盖受伤需要住院治疗.
243So just所以就这样
244repeating that news, that breaking news from the last few minutes, one of the most successful重复过去几分钟的突发新闻 最成功的新闻之一
245stars in US R&B, Chris Brown, here he is arriving earlier at Southwark Crown Court in London,克里斯·布朗,他早些到达伦敦的南华克刑事法院
246has been given an eight-month suspended sentence for a fray.被判8个月缓期执行
247And prosecutors had described检察官已经描述了
248this attack, which happened in a London night club in 2023, as a vicious, unprovoked attack.这次袭击发生在2023年的伦敦夜总会,是一次恶毒,无端的袭击.
249Brown, to remind you, did plead guilty to the charge in July.布朗 提醒你 7月对指控认罪了
250And we'll have more on that breaking news from the courts for you.我们将有更多关于 从法院的突发消息给你。
251Let me just reiterate我再说一遍
252that for you, actually.其实是给你的
253In fact, as we saw those live pictures a few moments ago, a real事实上,当我们看到 那些现场图片 几分钟前,一个真正的
254crush of media, cameras, photographers trying to get shots of Chris Brown, obviously a huge粉碎媒体,摄像头,摄影师 试图拍摄克里斯布朗,显然是一个巨大的
255singer in the US and elsewhere around the world, R&B singer, being given an eight-month在美国和世界其他地方的歌手,R&B歌手,被给予8个月的时间
256suspended sentence for a fray over that attack on a man in a London nightclub in 2023.因2023年在伦敦夜总会袭击一名男子而引发的骚动而缓刑.
257OK, well, we've been talking about Brazil and Serbia and the elections there.我们一直在谈论巴西和塞尔维亚 以及那里的选举。
258And tomorrow还有明天
259it's Israel's turn.轮到以色列了
260It promises to be a highly consequential moment, not just for Israel,不仅对以色列来说,
261but for the wider region, too.但也是为了更广大的地区
262Our senior international correspondent Lise Doucet is我们的高级国际通讯员Lise Doucet是
263in Jerusalem for us, Lise.在耶路撒冷为我们,莉丝。
264Much to discuss.还有很多要讨论的
265Yes, what a week of elections.是的,多么一周的选举。
266And here in在这里
267Israel will be no different.以色列将毫无不同。
268Israelis are describing tomorrow's election as the most以色列将明天的选举描述为
269consequential in Israel's history and what a history it has been.以色列的历史和历史由此而来。
270It's also being seen也有人看见了
271as a referendum on Israel's longest-serving prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu.作为以色列任期最长的总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡的公投.
272And even甚至连
273though this election is really dominated by issues, most of all security, it's the first虽然这次选举真的以问题为主, 最重要的是安全,这是第一次
274time Israelis have gone to the polls since the horrific events of October the 7th when自十月七日发生恐怖事件以来,
275Hamas gunmen went across the border into southern Israel and went on a rampage.哈马斯枪手越过边界进入以色列南部,并进行暴动。
276And that triggered并引发了
277the devastating war in Gaza, which still goes on despite a ceasefire and wars across this加沙的毁灭性战争,尽管停火和战争横行,但战争仍在继续。
278region.区域。
279But it is also about individuals, about Prime Minister Netanyahu and his chief但也涉及个人、内塔尼亚胡总理及其首领
280challenger, the former army chief, Gadi Aizenkot, who's a newcomer to Israeli politics.挑战者,前陆军总长加迪·艾赞科特,他是以色列政治的新手.
281And还有
282as always in Israel, no one party ever wins that magic 61 seats in the 120-member Israeli与以色列一样,没有人会赢得 魔法61个席位 在120人的以色列
283parliament or Knesset.议会或议会。
284So it's all about coalition building.所以这都是关于联盟建设的.
285And the last polls showed最后的民调显示
286Gazi Aizenkot的街区就在前面
287Those are the last legally permitted polls这些是法律允许的最后一次民调
288on Friday.周五的时候
289But let's bring in prominent pollster and political analyst Dalia Scheinlein, who但让我们把著名民意测验员和政治分析师 Dalia Scheinlein 带来
290can join us now.现在可以加入我们了。
291Dalia, we often say elections are too close to call.Dalia,我们经常说选举太近了,不能要求选举。
292This one is no different这个也没什么不同
293tomorrow.明天见
294Well, in a way, yes, but that's really due to the internal dynamics of the嗯,在某种程度上,是的,但 这真的因为内部动态
295opposition block.反对派街区。
296We should be very clear that according to nearly all polls, Mr. Netanyahu's我们应当非常明确地指出,根据几乎所有的民意测验,内塔尼亚胡先生的民意测验,
297current coalition is polling far from the majority he would need.现在的联盟正在投票 远离他所需要的多数。
298And I think he there's我觉得他在那里
299really very little dispute about that.没有什么争议。
300In fact, if you look at the percentages of people事实上,如果你看看人的比例
301voting for the parties of the current coalition versus all the people who are voting for parties投票给当前联盟的政党和所有投票给政党的人民
302anywhere in the opposition, we're talking about a 14 point gap on average, about 40 to在反对派的任何地方, 我们谈论平均14点的差距, 大约40到
30343 percent or what we normally talk about, which is parliamentary seats, about 50 to43%,或者我们通常谈论的, 议会席位,大约50到
30452 parliamentary seats out of 120 for the current coalition, which started out with目前联盟的120个议会席位中,有52个席位。
30564.64. 国家
306And all of the opposition parties together have between 67 and 70.所有反对党共有67至70人。
307So you would think所以你会想
308they have a clear majority.他们显然占多数。
309But due to a sort of self-imposed constraint of many of the但是,由于某种自我约束,许多
310Zionist parties who prefer not to build a coalition with Arab parties, that's why we're犹太复国主义政党不愿与阿拉伯政党建立联盟,这就是为什么我们
311looking at an inner club of about four parties in which Mr. Eisenkotz is the biggest one.看着一个大约四个聚会的内在俱乐部 Eisenkotz先生是其中最大的。
312And they are expected to get somewhere between 52 and 54 seats pretty close to Netanyahu's和内塔尼亚胡很接近的52到54个席位
313block, which is why Israelis think about it as an even race.因此以色列人认为这是一场公平的比赛。
314But I think if you look at但我想如果你看着
315it, particularly as so many Israelis also do as a referendum on Netanyahu, it looks特别是因为如此多的以色列人 也参与了内塔尼亚胡的公投,
316like he is gearing for a loss unless there's something wrong with the large majority of他好像在寻找损失 除非大部分人有问题
317all surveys.所有调查。
318In these last 24 hours, there's been this post by President Trump on Truth Social saying过去24小时内,特朗普总统曾发表过一篇关于真实社会的文章,
319to the Israeli voters, if you didn't see it before, to remind you, I am endorsing Prime提醒你,我支持总理
320Minister Netanyahu and the Israeli leader himself warning Israelis about nothing less内塔尼亚胡部长和以色列领导人本人警告以色列,
321than an apocalyptic future if they don't vote for him.如果他们不投他一票, 未来就更远了。
322And he doesn't, in his words, continue用他的话来说,他不会继续
323his mission to try to change the ruling order in Iran.他的任务是改变伊朗的统治秩序。
324Will those tactics work at all, change这些战术会起作用吗,改变
325the minds of anyone?任何人的思想吗?
326I mean, we've been trying to figure out whether Trump's initial endorsement made any difference.我的意思是,我们一直在试图找出特朗普最初的认可是否起到了任何作用.
327Actually, since Trump issued the first endorsement, there was absolutely no change in the polls.实际上,自特朗普发布首份认可书以来,民调绝对没有变化.
328Now, if there is a sudden surprising surge of support for Netanyahu and his coalition,现在 如果内塔尼亚胡和他的联盟 突然得到惊人的支持
329we will all look back and say maybe that had something to do with it.我们都会回头看 说也许和这件事有关
330But so far we have但是到目前为止,我们已经
331And therefore, it's hard for me to imagine that a second endorsement by Trump is really因此,我很难想象特朗普的第二次认可 真的
332going to be the major thing that shifts everything.将是改变一切的大事
333Now, I think Israelis have been hearing Mr. Netanyahu's appeal, not only for the last现在,我认为以色列人已经听取了内塔尼亚胡先生的上诉,不仅是最后一次。
334few months, but of course, he's been in power since 2009, almost unbroken other than a year但当然,他从2009年起就掌权了 几乎除了一年没断了
335and a half.半个
336So they know exactly what he stands for.所以他们知道他代表什么
337I think anybody who's currently opposing我想现在有人反对
338him, and as I mentioned, it is a majority, are fully aware that he believes he is the正如我所提到的,这是多数人,他完全知道,他相信自己是
339only one who can protect Israel from any enemy.只能保护以色列免受敌人的伤害
340The problem is they're not buying it, partly问题是他们不买 部分
341because of October 7th, partly because they see that the wars with Iran did not achieve因为10月7日,部分因为他们看到与伊朗的战争没有实现
342the goals of destroying the nuclear program, of destroying the ballistic missile program摧毁核计划、摧毁弹道导弹计划的目标
343and toppling the regime.并推翻政权。
344And so it's not that there was certainly widespread support for the two wars with Iran, but it's并不是说与伊朗的两次战争得到了广泛的支持,而是
345not like Israelis truly believe that under a former chief of staff, Gadi Eisencourt,不像以色列人真正相信 在前参谋长加迪·艾森库尔的领导下
346the main challenger, that somehow he's going to hand over Israel to the bad Iranian regime,主要挑战者,不知何故,他要将以色列交给坏的伊朗政权,
347which he will just happily embrace and tolerate.他将欣喜地拥抱和容忍它。
348Most Israelis who are opposed to the government大多数反对政府的以色列人
349don't buy that, but those who support the government certainly would prefer for Netanyahu但支持政府的人肯定更喜欢内塔尼亚胡
350to do what he promises and continue the wars with Iran and on the other fronts as well.做他承诺的事,继续同伊朗和其他战线的战争。
351Dalia Sendane, always good to speak to you and hopefully we'll return to you again throughoutDalia Sendane, 总是很好的和你说话, 希望我们会再次回到你身边
352our days of special coverage here on BBC News.我们在BBC新闻上报道的日子
353Well, security is always the issue.安全总是问题所在
354It's the这是
355issue on the ballot, but it's also the issue on the ground.选票上有问题,但也是现场的问题。
356Tomorrow, during the voting,明天投票时
357the occupied West Bank will be totally shut off.占领的西岸将完全关闭。
358No Palestinians can enter Israel in the任何巴勒斯坦人都不能进入以色列
359midst of an intensified security crackdown after an incident Friday in the West Bank星期五在西岸发生事件后,安全受到严厉镇压
360city of Hebron where two Palestinian gunmen opened fire, killing two Israeli soldiers,在希伯伦市,两名巴勒斯坦枪手开枪打死两名以色列士兵,
361injuring three others.另有3人受伤。
362And after that, Israeli forces demolished the homes of hundreds of之后,以色列军队拆毁了数百所房屋。
363Palestinian families.巴勒斯坦家庭。
364One whole street flattened.整条街都平了
365It's long been known as collective punishment这早已被称为集体惩罚
366The mayor of Hebron, Yuseval Jabr, has said that this is just an attempt by Prime Minister希伯伦市长Yuseval Jabr说这只是总理的一次企图。
367Netanyahu to gain the votes of the right wing.内塔尼亚胡获得右翼的选票.
368But of course, the Israeli finance minister,当然,以色列财政部长,
369Bezalel Smotrich, a member of the far right himself, says it is about deterrence.Bezalel Smotrich是极右派成员,他自己说这是关于威慑的。
370Let's让我们
371cross to Hebron.到希伯伦
372We can join Issam Amaro, who is a long-time human rights activist in Hebron.我们可以加入Issam Amaro,他是希伯伦长期的人权活动家。
373Thank you for joining us on BBC News.谢谢你加入英国广播公司新闻
374Thank you very much.谢谢
375I understand that your sister is one我理解你妹妹是个
376of what's said to be, is it about 2,000 residents of Hebron who have been forcibly displaced.希伯伦的两千名居民 被强迫迁离
377What什麽?
378is the situation now?现在情况如何?
379Unfortunately, the numbers reached more than 3,200 Palestinians are evicted不幸的是,有3 200多名巴勒斯坦人被驱逐。
380from their homes, and around 150 businesses were affected by the siege on a Palestinian大约150家企业因一名巴勒斯坦人被围困而受到影响。
381neighborhood called Ayn Berbaha in the western part of the city.在市区西部,
382Until now, all the checkpoints,直到现在,所有的检查站,
383all the entrances and the exits to the city are closed, and Palestinians are trapped,城内所有出入口都被关闭,巴勒斯坦人被困,
384and the municipality is not able to do its operations, so they are not able to collect市政府无法运作,因此无法收集
385the rubbish and send it outside the city.垃圾放进城外
386The hospitals were affected.医院受到影响。
387The schools were学校是
388not open today.今天不开放。
389Today, it's studying from home.今从家修习.
390Many people are calling for getting essential很多人都要求变得重要
391needs for their children, for their elders, for the community where they are now living,需要他们的孩子,需要他们的长辈,需要他们现在生活的社区,
392because it's not only 3,200 Palestinian people were evicted, but the whole area is affected,不仅有3200名巴勒斯坦人被逐出家园 而且整个地区都受到影响
393and the people, they live with fear, and they live in a very critical situation.和人民, 他们生活在恐惧中, 他们生活在非常危急的境地。
394Very briefly,很简单,
395where are they living if their houses are destroyed?如果房屋被毁,他们住在哪里?
396They left to other areas.他们去了其他地区。
397Some families,有些家庭,
398they went to their neighbors.他们去找邻居了
399Other families, they went to their relatives, and we have a few其他家庭,他们去他们的亲属, 我们有少数
400public areas open as the family gathering, we call it a diwan, or in the main park in the city.作为家庭聚会开放的公共区域,我们称之为diwan,或者在城市的主要公园。
401Honestly, this is the first time to face something like that, and for all the Palestinians,老实说,这是第一次面对这样的事情,对于所有巴勒斯坦人来说,
402that's a security reaction.那是安全反应
403I'm so sorry to interrupt you, Esab.很抱歉打断你 Esab
404We'll have to leave it我们必须离开它
405there.这里
406Thank you for joining us from Hebron as part of our special coverage of the Israeli elections感谢你们从希布伦加入我们,作为我们以色列选举特别报道的一部分
407and what's happening all around it.和周围发生的一切。
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