为什么全球买石油都得用美元
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:00 | In 2025, the world bought $3 trillion worth of oil. | 在2025年,世界购买了价值3万亿美元的石油. |
| 0:04 | Almost all of it was paid in one currency, | 几乎所有的钱都是用一种货币支付的 |
| 0:06 | not because it was the strongest or most stable, | 不是因为它是最强或最稳定的, |
| 0:09 | but because of a secret deal made in a Saudi desert in 1974. | 但因为1974年在沙俄沙漠秘密交易 |
| 0:14 | It's called the Petrodollar, the most powerful financial system | 这是最强大的金融系统 |
| 0:18 | you've never been taught. | 你从来没有受过教育。 |
| 0:21 | August 15, 1971. | 1971年8月15日 (英语). |
| 0:24 | President Richard Nixon walks onto television and said, | 理查德·尼克松总统走在电视上说 |
| 0:27 | I have directed Secretary Connolly to suspend temporarily | 我已指示康诺利国务卿暂时停职 |
| 0:30 | the convertibility of the dollar into gold. | 美元兑换成黄金。 |
展开字幕全文(218 条)
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | In 2025, the world bought $3 trillion worth of oil. | 在2025年,世界购买了价值3万亿美元的石油. |
| 2 | Almost all of it was paid in one currency, | 几乎所有的钱都是用一种货币支付的 |
| 3 | not because it was the strongest or most stable, | 不是因为它是最强或最稳定的, |
| 4 | but because of a secret deal made in a Saudi desert in 1974. | 但因为1974年在沙俄沙漠秘密交易 |
| 5 | It's called the Petrodollar, the most powerful financial system | 这是最强大的金融系统 |
| 6 | you've never been taught. | 你从来没有受过教育。 |
| 7 | August 15, 1971. | 1971年8月15日 (英语). |
| 8 | President Richard Nixon walks onto television and said, | 理查德·尼克松总统走在电视上说 |
| 9 | I have directed Secretary Connolly to suspend temporarily | 我已指示康诺利国务卿暂时停职 |
| 10 | the convertibility of the dollar into gold. | 美元兑换成黄金。 |
| 11 | Here's what happened. | 事情是这样的 |
| 12 | Since the end of World War II, the dollar | 二战结束后,美元 |
| 13 | had been backed by gold under a system called Bretton Woods. | 在一个叫做布雷顿森林的体系下 黄金支撑着它 |
| 14 | Any country holding dollars could knock on America's door | 任何持有美元的国家都会敲美国门 |
| 15 | and say, I'd like my gold, please. | 并说,我想要我的黄金,请。 |
| 16 | Of course, right this way. | 当然 这边走 |
| 17 | That arrangement made the dollar the most trusted currency | 这种安排使美元成为最信任的货币 |
| 18 | on Earth. | 在地球上。 。 。 |
| 19 | But America had been printing far more dollars | 但美国印刷了更多美元 |
| 20 | than it had gold to back them. | 比它有黄金支持它们。 |
| 21 | Funding wars, social programs, and Cold War spending. | 为战争、社会方案和冷战开支提供资金。 |
| 22 | Countries noticed. | 各国注意到。 |
| 23 | And one by one, they started showing up at America's door, | 一个接一个 他们开始出现在美国门口 |
| 24 | demanding their gold back. | 要求他们的黄金回来。 |
| 25 | So Nixon slammed the window shut. | 所以尼克松把窗户关了 |
| 26 | No more gold for dollars. | 不再用黄金换钱。 |
| 27 | The dollar was now backed by nothing, just trust. | 美元现在没有任何支持,只是信任。 |
| 28 | And trust was not exactly trusted. | 而信任并不完全可信。 |
| 29 | Then things got worse. | 然后事情变得更糟。 |
| 30 | October 1973, Egypt and Syria launched a surprise attack | 1973年10月,埃及和叙利亚发动突然袭击. |
| 31 | on Israel, the Yom Kippur War. | 在以色列,赎罪日战争。 |
| 32 | The United States backed Israel with a massive airlift | 美国以大规模空运支援以色列 |
| 33 | of weapons. | 武器问题。 |
| 34 | In response, Arab oil producers, OPEC, | 对此,阿拉伯石油生产国欧佩克、 |
| 35 | hit America with the most powerful weapon they had, oil. | 用他们拥有的最强大的武器打击美国 石油 |
| 36 | They slashed production. | 他们砍了生产。 |
| 37 | They embargoed the United States. | 他们封锁了美国。 |
| 38 | And the price of oil exploded from about $3 a barrel | 油价从每桶约3美元爆炸 |
| 39 | to nearly $12. | 近12块 |
| 40 | Gas stations ran dry, lines stretched for blocks. | 加油站干燥,线路被堵塞 |
| 41 | Sorry, no gas today was the standard operating procedure. | 抱歉,今天没有煤气是标准操作程序 |
| 42 | So now America had a currency with no gold behind it, | 所以现在美国有一张没有黄金的货币 |
| 43 | inflation getting ugly, and the world's most important | 通货膨胀变得丑陋 世界最重要的 |
| 44 | commodity being used like a weapon. | 商品被用作武器。 |
| 45 | Not ideal. | 一点也不理想 |
| 46 | America needed a new plan, a new anchor for the dollar, | 美国需要一个新的计划 美元的新锚 |
| 47 | something every country needs, something so essential | 每一个国家都需要的东西 如此重要的东西 |
| 48 | the whole world would have no choice | 全世界都别无选择 |
| 49 | but to keep using US dollars. | 但继续使用美元。 |
| 50 | Enter Henry Kissinger, the Secretary of State. | 进入亨利·基辛格,国务卿. |
| 51 | He went to Saudi Arabia with a deal. | 他去了沙特阿拉伯 与一项交易。 |
| 52 | Your Majesty, you are sitting on the largest pool | 皇上,你坐在最大的游泳池上 |
| 53 | of oil on earth, which is wonderful. | 地球上的石油,这是美妙的。 |
| 54 | Unfortunately, it also means you are sitting | 不幸的是,这也意味着你坐 |
| 55 | in the middle of the desert wearing a giant sign | 在沙漠的中间 带着巨大的标志 |
| 56 | that says, please invade me. | 说,请入侵我。 |
| 57 | So let us make a deal. | 所以,让我们做一个交易。 |
| 58 | You sell your oil in US dollars. | 你用美元卖油 |
| 59 | You invest the extra money back into US treasury bonds. | 你把额外的钱 投资回美国国库债券。 |
| 60 | And in return, we keep you safe. | 作为回报 我们保证你的安全 |
| 61 | We sell you the weapons, we protect the oil fields, | 我们把武器卖给你 保护油田 |
| 62 | and anyone thinking of touching Saudi Arabia | 以及任何想接触沙特阿拉伯的人 |
| 63 | will have to deal with us first. | 一定要先对付我们 |
| 64 | In 1974, Saudi Arabia agreed, and within a year, | 1974年,沙特阿拉伯同意,在一年内, |
| 65 | the rest of the smaller OPEC members followed. | 其他较小的欧佩克成员国紧随其后。 |
| 66 | So now, if any country wanted oil, it first needed dollars. | 所以,现在,如果任何国家想要石油,它首先需要美元。 |
| 67 | Voila,"石油元"创立. | |
| 68 | But the real genius of the system wasn't just | 但这个系统的真正天才不仅仅是 |
| 69 | that oil was sold in dollars, | 石油以美元出售, |
| 70 | it was what happened to those dollars after. | 之后那些钱就发生了 |
| 71 | 这是Petrodemond公司的实际运作方式。 | |
| 72 | Three things, first, oil is priced in dollars, | 三件事 首先 石油是美元价的 |
| 73 | as we previously mentioned. | 正如我们先前提到的。 |
| 74 | That means if any country wants oil, | 这意味着,如果任何国家想要石油, |
| 75 | which unfortunately for them they do, | 可惜他们这样做, |
| 76 | it first needs US dollars. | 它首先需要美元。 |
| 77 | Japan wants oil, dollars. | 日本想要石油,美元。 |
| 78 | Germany wants oil, dollars. | 德国想要石油,美元。 |
| 79 | So with one rule, America created constant global demand | 因此,用一个规则,美国 创造不断的全球需求 |
| 80 | for its currency. | 换成货币 |
| 81 | Second, oil exporters now receive giant piles of dollars. | 第二,石油出口国现在收到大量美元。 |
| 82 | And countries like Saudi Arabia suddenly had a problem | 像沙特阿拉伯这样的国家突然有问题 |
| 83 | that I wish I had. | 我也希望我有过 |
| 84 | We have more dollars than things to spend them on. | 我们的钱比东西还多 |
| 85 | We could sell huge amounts of oil, | 我们可以卖大量的石油, |
| 86 | but we couldn't possibly spend all that money at home. | 但我们不可能把钱都花在家里 |
| 87 | So the extra dollars had to go somewhere. | 所以,额外的美元必须去的地方。 |
| 88 | And where did they go? | 他们去哪儿了? |
| 89 | Right back to America, into US treasury bonds, | 回到美国,进入美国国库债券 |
| 90 | into American banks, into US financial markets. | 进入美国银行 进入美国金融市场 |
| 91 | This became known as Petrodollar recycling. | 这被称为石油元回收。 |
| 92 | Not exactly the kind of recycling that saves the planet. | 并不是那种能拯救地球的循环利用 |
| 93 | Third, America then used that recycled money | 第三,美国再用回收钱 |
| 94 | to fund itself. | 自我资助 |
| 95 | It helped finance government spending. | 它帮助资助政府开支。 |
| 96 | It kept demand for US debt high. | 它使对美国债务的需求居高不下。 |
| 97 | It helped keep interest rates lower. | 这有助于降低利率。 |
| 98 | Thus funds the military that protects the oil fields | 因此资助保护油田的军队 |
| 99 | that keep the oil flowing and the cycle going. | 保持油流和循环 |
| 100 | See what happened? | 看到没? |
| 101 | It's a loop. | 圆通. |
| 102 | America doesn't even need to sell the oil, | 美国甚至不需要出售石油, |
| 103 | just needs the world to keep using dollars to buy them. | 只是需要世界继续用美元来购买它们。 |
| 104 | By the 1980s, this machine was in full swing. | 到了20世纪80年代,这台机器已经全面运转. |
| 105 | The dollar's share of global reserves climbed to over 70%. | 美元在全球储备中所占份额攀升到70%以上。 |
| 106 | US treasury bonds became the world's favorite safe asset | 美国国库债券成为世界最爱的安全资产 |
| 107 | and American financial markets became the center | 美国金融市场成为中心 |
| 108 | of global capital. | 全球资本。 |
| 109 | America could borrow cheaply, run huge deficits | 美国可以低价借钱 赤字巨大 |
| 110 | and print money while pushing much of the inflation | 并印钞票,同时推动通货膨胀 |
| 111 | onto everyone else. | 给其他人 |
| 112 | Economists called it an exorbitant privilege, | 经济学家们称它为"高贵的特权", |
| 113 | which is just a polite way of saying legalized robbery. | 这只是一种礼貌的说法 合法抢劫。 |
| 114 | But the most dangerous superpower, sanctions. | 但最危险的超级大国,制裁. |
| 115 | The dollar isn't just money, it's infrastructure, | 美元不仅仅是钱,而是基础设施 |
| 116 | global trade, banking, reserves, debt, payments. | 全球贸易、银行业、储备、债务、付款。 |
| 117 | So much of it runs through the dollar system | 这么多都通过美元系统 |
| 118 | that getting cut off from it is like being kicked off | 就像被踢走一样 |
| 119 | the financial internet. | 金融互联网 |
| 120 | You're not just losing access to a currency, | 你不只是失去了获得货币的机会, |
| 121 | but losing access to the grid. | 但失去进入电网的机会 |
| 122 | That makes sanctions terrifying. | 这使制裁变得可怕。 |
| 123 | If America doesn't like what you're doing, | 如果美国不喜欢你做的事 |
| 124 | they can just make your economy stop working. | 他们可以让你的经济停止运作 |
| 125 | And what about countries that try to move away | 而那些试图离开的国家呢? |
| 126 | from the dollar? | 从美元? |
| 127 | Well, this is where the story gets a little uncomfortable. | 故事就在这里有点不舒服 |
| 128 | In 2000, Saddam Hussein said Iraq would start selling oil | 2000年,萨达姆·侯赛因说伊拉克将开始出售石油 |
| 129 | in euros instead of dollars. | 欧元而不是美元。 |
| 130 | Three years later, Iraq was invaded. | 三年后,伊拉克遭到入侵。 |
| 131 | And after Saddam fell, Iraqi oil sales returned to dollars. | 而萨达姆倒台后,伊拉克的石油销售又恢复到美元. |
| 132 | The leader of Libya, Muammar Gaddafi, | 利比亚领导人穆阿迈尔·卡扎菲, |
| 133 | proposed a gold-backed African currency, | 提出黄金支持的非洲货币, |
| 134 | the gold Dajnar, to replace the dollar in African oil trade. | 以取代非洲石油贸易中的美元。 |
| 135 | They held roughly 143 tons of gold to back the plan. | 他们持有约143吨黄金来支撑计划. |
| 136 | Yet in 2011, NATO intervened. | 然而,2011年,北约进行了干预。 |
| 137 | Gaddafi was killed and the gold Dajnar plan died with him. | 卡扎菲被杀,金色的Dajnar计划与他一同死去. |
| 138 | Venezuela tried a different route, | 委内瑞拉尝试了另一条路线, |
| 139 | the country sitting on the largest proven oil reserves | 拥有最大石油储备的国家 |
| 140 | on the planet, 303 billion barrels. | 在地球上,330亿桶。 |
| 141 | In 2018, Maduro launched the Petro, | 2018年,马杜罗推出了Petro, |
| 142 | a crypto project meant to dodge sanctions | 一个隐蔽项目 意在逃避制裁 |
| 143 | and sell outside the dollar system. | 并在美元系统之外出售。 |
| 144 | Despite the hype, it went nowhere, | 尽管胡说八道,但没结果 |
| 145 | hardly anyone could actually use it. | 几乎没有人能真正使用它。 |
| 146 | But the defiance didn't go unnoticed. | 但这种蔑视并没有被忽视。 |
| 147 | The U.S. ramped up sanctions, | 美国加紧制裁, |
| 148 | blockaded Venezuelan oil tankers, | 封锁委内瑞拉油轮, |
| 149 | and in January, 2026, launched a military operation | 2026年1月 发动了一次军事行动 |
| 150 | that captured Maduro himself. | 那俘虏了马杜罗本人 |
| 151 | At his press conference, Trump said the U.S. planned | 特朗普在新闻发布会上说美国计划 |
| 152 | to run Venezuela and rebuild its oil infrastructure | 管理委内瑞拉并重建其石油基础设施 |
| 153 | with American companies. | 与美国公司。 |
| 154 | The largest oil reserves on earth were back on the table. | 地球上最大的石油储备重新回到了桌面上。 |
| 155 | Now, to be fair, were these conflicts caused | 公平地说,这些冲突是否引起 |
| 156 | only by challenging the dollar? | 只有挑战美元? |
| 157 | Probably not. | 也许不是。 |
| 158 | Each one had its own mess of motives, | 每个人都有自己的动机混乱, |
| 159 | weapons concerns, drug trafficking, | 武器问题、贩毒、 |
| 160 | regional politics, humanitarian arguments. | 区域政治、人道主义论点。 |
| 161 | But the pattern is hard to ignore. | 但模式很难忽视. |
| 162 | Challenge the empire and the empire strikes back. | 挑战帝国 帝国反击 |
| 163 | For decades, nobody could really break the dollar's grip, | 几十年来,没有人能真正打破美元控制, |
| 164 | but empires don't stay unchallenged forever. | 但帝国不会永远置身事外 |
| 165 | It started with a single move. | 开始是单动. |
| 166 | In 2022, after Russia invaded Ukraine, | 2022年,俄国入侵乌克兰后, |
| 167 | the United States froze nearly $300 billion | 美国冻结了近3 000亿美元 |
| 168 | of Russia's foreign reserves | 俄罗斯的外汇储备 |
| 169 | and cut major Russian banks from the swift payment system. | 并切断俄罗斯各大银行的快速支付系统。 |
| 170 | Overnight, decades of Russian savings, | 一夜之间,俄罗斯数十年的储蓄, |
| 171 | parked in the system they were told was safe, | 车停在系统里 他们被告知安全 |
| 172 | became unreachable. | 变得无法接触。 |
| 173 | And yes, it hurt Russia, but it also scared everyone else. | 是的,它伤害了俄罗斯,但它也吓坏了其他人。 |
| 174 | Every government holding dollars | 每个政府持有美元 |
| 175 | thinks this money is only theirs | 以为这些钱只是他们的 |
| 176 | as long as the U.S. says it is. | 只要美国说它是。 |
| 177 | And that's when the world started moving together. | 然此时世间起动. |
| 178 | China started dumping U.S. treasuries, | 中国开始倾销美国国库, |
| 179 | reducing its holdings from a peak of over $1.3 trillion | 从1.3万亿美元以上的峰值减少其持有量 |
| 180 | to roughly $600 billion. | 大约6000亿美元。 |
| 181 | It went on a years-long gold buying spree instead. | 它持续了好几年的黄金收购 而不是奢侈。 |
| 182 | Russia and China pushed more of their trade | 俄国和中国推动更多的贸易 |
| 183 | into yuan and rubles. | 变成人民币和卢布。 |
| 184 | Brazil and China struck deals to settle trade | 巴西和中国达成贸易协议 |
| 185 | in their own currencies. | 用他们自己的货币。 |
| 186 | India started paying for some Russian oil in rupees. | 印度开始以卢比支付一些俄罗斯石油. |
| 187 | And Saudi Arabia, | 沙特阿拉伯, |
| 188 | the country that helped build the petrodollar system | 帮助建立石油元系统的国家 |
| 189 | in the first place, | 首先, |
| 190 | publicly said it was open to trade in currencies | 公开地说,它向货币贸易开放 |
| 191 | other than the dollar. | 美元除外。 |
| 192 | The numbers tell the story. | 数字讲述了故事。 |
| 193 | The dollar's share of global reserves | 美元在全球储备中所占份额 |
| 194 | has fallen from 72% in 2001 to under 58% today. | 从2001年的72%下降到今天的58%以下。 |
| 195 | Central banks worldwide are hoarding gold at record levels, | 全世界各中央银行都以创纪录的水平囤积黄金, |
| 196 | over 1,000 tons added in 2024 alone. | 仅2024年就增加了1000多吨。 |
| 197 | The Chinese yuan now accounts | 现在的中国人民币 |
| 198 | for roughly 2% of global reserves. | 大约占全球储备的2%。 |
| 199 | Small, yes, but it was essentially zero a decade ago. | 很小,是的,但它基本上是十年前的零。 |
| 200 | And then there's the bigger problem, | 还有更大的问题 |
| 201 | the end of oil itself. | 石油的结束本身。 |
| 202 | One in four cars sold globally in 2025 is electric. | 2025年全球销售的四分之一的汽车为电动车. |
| 203 | If the world becomes less dependent on oil, | 如果世界不再依赖石油的话 |
| 204 | it becomes less dependent on the system | 对系统依赖程度降低 |
| 205 | that requires dollars to buy oil. | 这需要美元购买石油。 |
| 206 | Now, let's be clear. | 现在,让我们说清楚。 |
| 207 | The petrodollar machine still runs. | 石元机还运行. |
| 208 | The dollar still dominates 88% | 美元仍然占88% |
| 209 | of foreign exchange transactions | 外汇交易 |
| 210 | and roughly half of all global trade invoicing. | 以及大约一半的全球贸易发票。 |
| 211 | No single rival, yuan, euro, gold, crypto, | 没有单一的对手,人民币,欧元,黄金,密码 |
| 212 | comes close to replacing it. | 即将取代它。 |
| 213 | But for the first time in 50 years, | 但50年来第一次 |
| 214 | the machine has competition. | 机器有竞争 |
| 215 | Not one giant challenger, 1,000 small ones. | 不是一个巨大的挑战者,一千个小挑战者。 |
| 216 | As a wise saying goes, ape alone, weak, apes together, | 就像一句明智的谚语说 猿人独自一人 软弱 猿人在一起 |
| 217 | strong, what a wonderful day. | 强,多么美好的一天。 |
| 218 | ["Wonderful Day"] | ["妙吉祥日". |
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