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为什么全球买石油都得用美元

为什么全球买石油都得用美元

为什么全球买石油都得用美元

发布于 2026-05-23 · 时长 9:47

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时间英文中文
0:00In 2025, the world bought $3 trillion worth of oil.在2025年,世界购买了价值3万亿美元的石油.
0:04Almost all of it was paid in one currency,几乎所有的钱都是用一种货币支付的
0:06not because it was the strongest or most stable,不是因为它是最强或最稳定的,
0:09but because of a secret deal made in a Saudi desert in 1974.但因为1974年在沙俄沙漠秘密交易
0:14It's called the Petrodollar, the most powerful financial system这是最强大的金融系统
0:18you've never been taught.你从来没有受过教育。
0:21August 15, 1971.1971年8月15日 (英语).
0:24President Richard Nixon walks onto television and said,理查德·尼克松总统走在电视上说
0:27I have directed Secretary Connolly to suspend temporarily我已指示康诺利国务卿暂时停职
0:30the convertibility of the dollar into gold.美元兑换成黄金。
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序号英文中文
1In 2025, the world bought $3 trillion worth of oil.在2025年,世界购买了价值3万亿美元的石油.
2Almost all of it was paid in one currency,几乎所有的钱都是用一种货币支付的
3not because it was the strongest or most stable,不是因为它是最强或最稳定的,
4but because of a secret deal made in a Saudi desert in 1974.但因为1974年在沙俄沙漠秘密交易
5It's called the Petrodollar, the most powerful financial system这是最强大的金融系统
6you've never been taught.你从来没有受过教育。
7August 15, 1971.1971年8月15日 (英语).
8President Richard Nixon walks onto television and said,理查德·尼克松总统走在电视上说
9I have directed Secretary Connolly to suspend temporarily我已指示康诺利国务卿暂时停职
10the convertibility of the dollar into gold.美元兑换成黄金。
11Here's what happened.事情是这样的
12Since the end of World War II, the dollar二战结束后,美元
13had been backed by gold under a system called Bretton Woods.在一个叫做布雷顿森林的体系下 黄金支撑着它
14Any country holding dollars could knock on America's door任何持有美元的国家都会敲美国门
15and say, I'd like my gold, please.并说,我想要我的黄金,请。
16Of course, right this way.当然 这边走
17That arrangement made the dollar the most trusted currency这种安排使美元成为最信任的货币
18on Earth.在地球上。 。 。
19But America had been printing far more dollars但美国印刷了更多美元
20than it had gold to back them.比它有黄金支持它们。
21Funding wars, social programs, and Cold War spending.为战争、社会方案和冷战开支提供资金。
22Countries noticed.各国注意到。
23And one by one, they started showing up at America's door,一个接一个 他们开始出现在美国门口
24demanding their gold back.要求他们的黄金回来。
25So Nixon slammed the window shut.所以尼克松把窗户关了
26No more gold for dollars.不再用黄金换钱。
27The dollar was now backed by nothing, just trust.美元现在没有任何支持,只是信任。
28And trust was not exactly trusted.而信任并不完全可信。
29Then things got worse.然后事情变得更糟。
30October 1973, Egypt and Syria launched a surprise attack1973年10月,埃及和叙利亚发动突然袭击.
31on Israel, the Yom Kippur War.在以色列,赎罪日战争。
32The United States backed Israel with a massive airlift美国以大规模空运支援以色列
33of weapons.武器问题。
34In response, Arab oil producers, OPEC,对此,阿拉伯石油生产国欧佩克、
35hit America with the most powerful weapon they had, oil.用他们拥有的最强大的武器打击美国 石油
36They slashed production.他们砍了生产。
37They embargoed the United States.他们封锁了美国。
38And the price of oil exploded from about $3 a barrel油价从每桶约3美元爆炸
39to nearly $12.近12块
40Gas stations ran dry, lines stretched for blocks.加油站干燥,线路被堵塞
41Sorry, no gas today was the standard operating procedure.抱歉,今天没有煤气是标准操作程序
42So now America had a currency with no gold behind it,所以现在美国有一张没有黄金的货币
43inflation getting ugly, and the world's most important通货膨胀变得丑陋 世界最重要的
44commodity being used like a weapon.商品被用作武器。
45Not ideal.一点也不理想
46America needed a new plan, a new anchor for the dollar,美国需要一个新的计划 美元的新锚
47something every country needs, something so essential每一个国家都需要的东西 如此重要的东西
48the whole world would have no choice全世界都别无选择
49but to keep using US dollars.但继续使用美元。
50Enter Henry Kissinger, the Secretary of State.进入亨利·基辛格,国务卿.
51He went to Saudi Arabia with a deal.他去了沙特阿拉伯 与一项交易。
52Your Majesty, you are sitting on the largest pool皇上,你坐在最大的游泳池上
53of oil on earth, which is wonderful.地球上的石油,这是美妙的。
54Unfortunately, it also means you are sitting不幸的是,这也意味着你坐
55in the middle of the desert wearing a giant sign在沙漠的中间 带着巨大的标志
56that says, please invade me.说,请入侵我。
57So let us make a deal.所以,让我们做一个交易。
58You sell your oil in US dollars.你用美元卖油
59You invest the extra money back into US treasury bonds.你把额外的钱 投资回美国国库债券。
60And in return, we keep you safe.作为回报 我们保证你的安全
61We sell you the weapons, we protect the oil fields,我们把武器卖给你 保护油田
62and anyone thinking of touching Saudi Arabia以及任何想接触沙特阿拉伯的人
63will have to deal with us first.一定要先对付我们
64In 1974, Saudi Arabia agreed, and within a year,1974年,沙特阿拉伯同意,在一年内,
65the rest of the smaller OPEC members followed.其他较小的欧佩克成员国紧随其后。
66So now, if any country wanted oil, it first needed dollars.所以,现在,如果任何国家想要石油,它首先需要美元。
67Voila,"石油元"创立.
68But the real genius of the system wasn't just但这个系统的真正天才不仅仅是
69that oil was sold in dollars,石油以美元出售,
70it was what happened to those dollars after.之后那些钱就发生了
71这是Petrodemond公司的实际运作方式。
72Three things, first, oil is priced in dollars,三件事 首先 石油是美元价的
73as we previously mentioned.正如我们先前提到的。
74That means if any country wants oil,这意味着,如果任何国家想要石油,
75which unfortunately for them they do,可惜他们这样做,
76it first needs US dollars.它首先需要美元。
77Japan wants oil, dollars.日本想要石油,美元。
78Germany wants oil, dollars.德国想要石油,美元。
79So with one rule, America created constant global demand因此,用一个规则,美国 创造不断的全球需求
80for its currency.换成货币
81Second, oil exporters now receive giant piles of dollars.第二,石油出口国现在收到大量美元。
82And countries like Saudi Arabia suddenly had a problem像沙特阿拉伯这样的国家突然有问题
83that I wish I had.我也希望我有过
84We have more dollars than things to spend them on.我们的钱比东西还多
85We could sell huge amounts of oil,我们可以卖大量的石油,
86but we couldn't possibly spend all that money at home.但我们不可能把钱都花在家里
87So the extra dollars had to go somewhere.所以,额外的美元必须去的地方。
88And where did they go?他们去哪儿了?
89Right back to America, into US treasury bonds,回到美国,进入美国国库债券
90into American banks, into US financial markets.进入美国银行 进入美国金融市场
91This became known as Petrodollar recycling.这被称为石油元回收。
92Not exactly the kind of recycling that saves the planet.并不是那种能拯救地球的循环利用
93Third, America then used that recycled money第三,美国再用回收钱
94to fund itself.自我资助
95It helped finance government spending.它帮助资助政府开支。
96It kept demand for US debt high.它使对美国债务的需求居高不下。
97It helped keep interest rates lower.这有助于降低利率。
98Thus funds the military that protects the oil fields因此资助保护油田的军队
99that keep the oil flowing and the cycle going.保持油流和循环
100See what happened?看到没?
101It's a loop.圆通.
102America doesn't even need to sell the oil,美国甚至不需要出售石油,
103just needs the world to keep using dollars to buy them.只是需要世界继续用美元来购买它们。
104By the 1980s, this machine was in full swing.到了20世纪80年代,这台机器已经全面运转.
105The dollar's share of global reserves climbed to over 70%.美元在全球储备中所占份额攀升到70%以上。
106US treasury bonds became the world's favorite safe asset美国国库债券成为世界最爱的安全资产
107and American financial markets became the center美国金融市场成为中心
108of global capital.全球资本。
109America could borrow cheaply, run huge deficits美国可以低价借钱 赤字巨大
110and print money while pushing much of the inflation并印钞票,同时推动通货膨胀
111onto everyone else.给其他人
112Economists called it an exorbitant privilege,经济学家们称它为"高贵的特权",
113which is just a polite way of saying legalized robbery.这只是一种礼貌的说法 合法抢劫。
114But the most dangerous superpower, sanctions.但最危险的超级大国,制裁.
115The dollar isn't just money, it's infrastructure,美元不仅仅是钱,而是基础设施
116global trade, banking, reserves, debt, payments.全球贸易、银行业、储备、债务、付款。
117So much of it runs through the dollar system这么多都通过美元系统
118that getting cut off from it is like being kicked off就像被踢走一样
119the financial internet.金融互联网
120You're not just losing access to a currency,你不只是失去了获得货币的机会,
121but losing access to the grid.但失去进入电网的机会
122That makes sanctions terrifying.这使制裁变得可怕。
123If America doesn't like what you're doing,如果美国不喜欢你做的事
124they can just make your economy stop working.他们可以让你的经济停止运作
125And what about countries that try to move away而那些试图离开的国家呢?
126from the dollar?从美元?
127Well, this is where the story gets a little uncomfortable.故事就在这里有点不舒服
128In 2000, Saddam Hussein said Iraq would start selling oil2000年,萨达姆·侯赛因说伊拉克将开始出售石油
129in euros instead of dollars.欧元而不是美元。
130Three years later, Iraq was invaded.三年后,伊拉克遭到入侵。
131And after Saddam fell, Iraqi oil sales returned to dollars.而萨达姆倒台后,伊拉克的石油销售又恢复到美元.
132The leader of Libya, Muammar Gaddafi,利比亚领导人穆阿迈尔·卡扎菲,
133proposed a gold-backed African currency,提出黄金支持的非洲货币,
134the gold Dajnar, to replace the dollar in African oil trade.以取代非洲石油贸易中的美元。
135They held roughly 143 tons of gold to back the plan.他们持有约143吨黄金来支撑计划.
136Yet in 2011, NATO intervened.然而,2011年,北约进行了干预。
137Gaddafi was killed and the gold Dajnar plan died with him.卡扎菲被杀,金色的Dajnar计划与他一同死去.
138Venezuela tried a different route,委内瑞拉尝试了另一条路线,
139the country sitting on the largest proven oil reserves拥有最大石油储备的国家
140on the planet, 303 billion barrels.在地球上,330亿桶。
141In 2018, Maduro launched the Petro,2018年,马杜罗推出了Petro,
142a crypto project meant to dodge sanctions一个隐蔽项目 意在逃避制裁
143and sell outside the dollar system.并在美元系统之外出售。
144Despite the hype, it went nowhere,尽管胡说八道,但没结果
145hardly anyone could actually use it.几乎没有人能真正使用它。
146But the defiance didn't go unnoticed.但这种蔑视并没有被忽视。
147The U.S. ramped up sanctions,美国加紧制裁,
148blockaded Venezuelan oil tankers,封锁委内瑞拉油轮,
149and in January, 2026, launched a military operation2026年1月 发动了一次军事行动
150that captured Maduro himself.那俘虏了马杜罗本人
151At his press conference, Trump said the U.S. planned特朗普在新闻发布会上说美国计划
152to run Venezuela and rebuild its oil infrastructure管理委内瑞拉并重建其石油基础设施
153with American companies.与美国公司。
154The largest oil reserves on earth were back on the table.地球上最大的石油储备重新回到了桌面上。
155Now, to be fair, were these conflicts caused公平地说,这些冲突是否引起
156only by challenging the dollar?只有挑战美元?
157Probably not.也许不是。
158Each one had its own mess of motives,每个人都有自己的动机混乱,
159weapons concerns, drug trafficking,武器问题、贩毒、
160regional politics, humanitarian arguments.区域政治、人道主义论点。
161But the pattern is hard to ignore.但模式很难忽视.
162Challenge the empire and the empire strikes back.挑战帝国 帝国反击
163For decades, nobody could really break the dollar's grip,几十年来,没有人能真正打破美元控制,
164but empires don't stay unchallenged forever.但帝国不会永远置身事外
165It started with a single move.开始是单动.
166In 2022, after Russia invaded Ukraine,2022年,俄国入侵乌克兰后,
167the United States froze nearly $300 billion美国冻结了近3 000亿美元
168of Russia's foreign reserves俄罗斯的外汇储备
169and cut major Russian banks from the swift payment system.并切断俄罗斯各大银行的快速支付系统。
170Overnight, decades of Russian savings,一夜之间,俄罗斯数十年的储蓄,
171parked in the system they were told was safe,车停在系统里 他们被告知安全
172became unreachable.变得无法接触。
173And yes, it hurt Russia, but it also scared everyone else.是的,它伤害了俄罗斯,但它也吓坏了其他人。
174Every government holding dollars每个政府持有美元
175thinks this money is only theirs以为这些钱只是他们的
176as long as the U.S. says it is.只要美国说它是。
177And that's when the world started moving together.然此时世间起动.
178China started dumping U.S. treasuries,中国开始倾销美国国库,
179reducing its holdings from a peak of over $1.3 trillion从1.3万亿美元以上的峰值减少其持有量
180to roughly $600 billion.大约6000亿美元。
181It went on a years-long gold buying spree instead.它持续了好几年的黄金收购 而不是奢侈。
182Russia and China pushed more of their trade俄国和中国推动更多的贸易
183into yuan and rubles.变成人民币和卢布。
184Brazil and China struck deals to settle trade巴西和中国达成贸易协议
185in their own currencies.用他们自己的货币。
186India started paying for some Russian oil in rupees.印度开始以卢比支付一些俄罗斯石油.
187And Saudi Arabia,沙特阿拉伯,
188the country that helped build the petrodollar system帮助建立石油元系统的国家
189in the first place,首先,
190publicly said it was open to trade in currencies公开地说,它向货币贸易开放
191other than the dollar.美元除外。
192The numbers tell the story.数字讲述了故事。
193The dollar's share of global reserves美元在全球储备中所占份额
194has fallen from 72% in 2001 to under 58% today.从2001年的72%下降到今天的58%以下。
195Central banks worldwide are hoarding gold at record levels,全世界各中央银行都以创纪录的水平囤积黄金,
196over 1,000 tons added in 2024 alone.仅2024年就增加了1000多吨。
197The Chinese yuan now accounts现在的中国人民币
198for roughly 2% of global reserves.大约占全球储备的2%。
199Small, yes, but it was essentially zero a decade ago.很小,是的,但它基本上是十年前的零。
200And then there's the bigger problem,还有更大的问题
201the end of oil itself.石油的结束本身。
202One in four cars sold globally in 2025 is electric.2025年全球销售的四分之一的汽车为电动车.
203If the world becomes less dependent on oil,如果世界不再依赖石油的话
204it becomes less dependent on the system对系统依赖程度降低
205that requires dollars to buy oil.这需要美元购买石油。
206Now, let's be clear.现在,让我们说清楚。
207The petrodollar machine still runs.石元机还运行.
208The dollar still dominates 88%美元仍然占88%
209of foreign exchange transactions外汇交易
210and roughly half of all global trade invoicing.以及大约一半的全球贸易发票。
211No single rival, yuan, euro, gold, crypto,没有单一的对手,人民币,欧元,黄金,密码
212comes close to replacing it.即将取代它。
213But for the first time in 50 years,但50年来第一次
214the machine has competition.机器有竞争
215Not one giant challenger, 1,000 small ones.不是一个巨大的挑战者,一千个小挑战者。
216As a wise saying goes, ape alone, weak, apes together,就像一句明智的谚语说 猿人独自一人 软弱 猿人在一起
217strong, what a wonderful day.强,多么美好的一天。
218["Wonderful Day"]["妙吉祥日".
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