黄仁勋：AI 取代的是任务，不是你的工作
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:00 | In the next couple of years, we are going to achieve essentially what people call AGI. | 在接下来的几年里,我们将实现人们所称的AGI。 |
| 0:06 | In fact, I would argue that we're practically there today. | 事实上,我想说,我们今天几乎已经到了。 |
| 0:09 | Well, I've been a tech CEO longer than any CEO in the world. | 我做技术首席执行官的时间比世界上任何一个首席执行官都长 |
| 0:17 | The longest running tech CEO in the world. | 世界上运行时间最长的技术首席执行官. |
| 0:20 | I've seen countless technology transitions in the last 40 years. | 近40年来,我目睹了无数的技术转型. |
| 0:27 | And of course, this is the biggest technology platform shift in human history. | 当然,这是人类历史上最大的技术平台转变。 |
| 0:33 | And we're transforming how computing works and what it means. | 我们正在改变计算方式和意义。 |
| 0:39 | This is the first time in history that all of us have been using computer technology, | 这是我们有史以来第一次使用计算机技术, |
| 0:44 | where you're not buying a device, but we're producing economic infrastructure. | 在那里你没有购买设备, 但我们正在生产经济基础设施。 |
| 0:50 | This is the big idea, economic infrastructure. | 这是伟大的想法, 经济基础设施。 |
展开字幕全文（158 条）
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | In the next couple of years, we are going to achieve essentially what people call AGI. | 在接下来的几年里,我们将实现人们所称的AGI。 |
| 2 | In fact, I would argue that we're practically there today. | 事实上,我想说,我们今天几乎已经到了。 |
| 3 | Well, I've been a tech CEO longer than any CEO in the world. | 我做技术首席执行官的时间比世界上任何一个首席执行官都长 |
| 4 | The longest running tech CEO in the world. | 世界上运行时间最长的技术首席执行官. |
| 5 | I've seen countless technology transitions in the last 40 years. | 近40年来,我目睹了无数的技术转型. |
| 6 | And of course, this is the biggest technology platform shift in human history. | 当然,这是人类历史上最大的技术平台转变。 |
| 7 | And we're transforming how computing works and what it means. | 我们正在改变计算方式和意义。 |
| 8 | This is the first time in history that all of us have been using computer technology, | 这是我们有史以来第一次使用计算机技术, |
| 9 | where you're not buying a device, but we're producing economic infrastructure. | 在那里你没有购买设备, 但我们正在生产经济基础设施。 |
| 10 | This is the big idea, economic infrastructure. | 这是伟大的想法, 经济基础设施。 |
| 11 | So is your view that compute will produce revenue, will produce economic value for their countries? | 那么,你的看法是,计算将产生收入,为本国带来经济价值? |
| 12 | And so they need, the world really needs to build data centers in order to harness that growth. | 因此,他们需要,世界真的需要 建立数据中心,以便利用这种增长。 |
| 13 | So can you talk a little bit about how compute produces economics? | 你能谈谈计算如何产生经济学吗? |
| 14 | Yeah, this is the big, strange idea. | 是啊,这是一个大,奇怪的想法。 |
| 15 | The idea is called a token, and this token is a mathematical outcome of a lot of computation. | 这个想法被称为符号,这个符号是很多计算得出的数学结果. |
| 16 | And this token represents intelligence. | 而这个标志代表了智慧. |
| 17 | You take all of these tokens, these numbers, you reformulate them in such a way that it creates an image, | 你拿走所有这些符号,这些数字, 你重塑它们的方式,它创造了一个图像, |
| 18 | writes a paragraph, answers questions, solves problems, creates new ideas. | 写一个段落,回答问题,解决问题,创建新的想法。 |
| 19 | These tokens are mathematically produced in these computers that we make. | 这些符号是用数学制作的 我们制作的电脑。 |
| 20 | And in a lot of the same ways, if you go back a hundred years, a couple hundred years, | 在很多相同的方式, 如果你去百年,几百年, |
| 21 | the world discovered this new idea called energy, and you monetize it dollars per kilowatt hours. | 全世界都发现了这个叫做能源的新想法 你每千瓦时将美元货币化 |
| 22 | Today, it's dollars per million tokens. | 今天,每百万个纪念币是美元。 |
| 23 | It's the same idea. | 亦复如是观. |
| 24 | It's kind of invisible, it's hard to understand, but it's incredibly valuable. | 这是一种无形的,它很难理解,但它是令人难以置信的价值。 |
| 25 | And it's no different than us recognizing that intelligence fundamentally has value. | 这和我们承认 智能本质上有价值没什么不同 |
| 26 | How do you put your arms around, how do you put your hands around intelligence, how do you measure it? | 如何把手臂绕着,如何把双手绕着智慧,如何测量? |
| 27 | You know it when you see it, and it solves real problems, but it's intangible, it's kind of vaporous. | 当你看到它,它能解决真正的问题, 但它是无形的,它是一种蒸发。 |
| 28 | Intelligence is hard to, it's not atomic, it's conceptual. | 情报是很难的,不是原子的,而是概念性的. |
| 29 | And which is the reason why artificial intelligence is rather difficult for many people to grasp. | 这就是为什么人工智能对许多人来说是相当困难的。 |
| 30 | But the moment you start using these AI applications, you recognize how incredibly valuable they are | 但当你开始使用这些AI应用程序的时候, 你意识到它们是多么的珍贵 |
| 31 | because they help you become more productive, they help workers become more capable, | 因为他们帮助你提高生产, 他们帮助工人提高能力, |
| 32 | they help engineers become more capable. | 他们帮助工程师变得更有能力。 |
| 33 | For countries that have a large young population, they're going to accelerate your education. | 对于年轻人口众多的国家,要加快你们的教育. |
| 34 | For countries that are developing your science and your technology capability, it's going to help elevate you very quickly. | 对于那些正在发展你的科技能力的国家来说, 这将帮助你迅速提升。 |
| 35 | This technology has democratized, just as energy production has democratized, of course, power for every country, | 这种技术已经民主化了, 就像能源生产已经民主化了, 当然,每个国家的权力, |
| 36 | artificial intelligence will democratize intelligence and capabilities for the G20 countries. | 人工智能将使20国集团国家的情报和能力民主化。 |
| 37 | For the countries that invest in it, it'll help elevate your society, elevate your industry, | 对于投资它的国家,它会帮助提升你的社会,提升你的产业, |
| 38 | much, much more quickly than you possibly could have imagined before. | 比你想象的要快得多 |
| 39 | And so in a lot of ways, this is the great equalizer. | 因此,在许多方面, 这是伟大的均衡器。 |
| 40 | You know, people, if you just take a step back and think about computer technology, | 各位,如果你们退一步 想想电脑技术, |
| 41 | in the last 50 years, computers has been a tool for about 10, 20 million people. | 在过去50年里,计算机一直是大约1 000万2000万人的工具。 |
| 42 | And if you don't know how to, the only way to take advantage of this capability is to know how to program the computer, design the computer. | 如果你不知道怎么做, 利用这种能力的唯一方法 就是知道如何编程计算机,设计计算机。 |
| 43 | And so that's my career, designing computers and programming computers. | 这就是我的职业生涯, 设计计算机和编程计算机。 |
| 44 | It's really narrowly focused on 10, 20, 30 million people around the world. | 其范围非常狭窄,主要关注全球10,2,3000万人. |
| 45 | For the first time, anybody in the world can program a computer. | 第一次,世界上任何人都可以编程一台计算机。 |
| 46 | You can program a computer using human language. | 你可以使用人类语言编程计算机. |
| 47 | And so we've now democratized this computing technology that is so valuable to society, and we've elevated everyone. | 因此,我们现在已经实现了这个计算技术的民主化, 这个技术对社会如此宝贵, 我们已经提升了每个人。 |
| 48 | And this is one of the reasons why I really encourage everybody to engage artificial intelligence. | 这也是为什么我真正鼓励每个人 使用人工智能的原因之一。 |
| 49 | It bootstraps you, it elevates you, it enables you. | 它会拖住你, 它会提升你, 它会帮助你。 |
| 50 | You know, it's a great equalizer. | 你知道,这是一个伟大的均衡器。 |
| 51 | People are always interested on where the world is going. | 人们总是对世界走向感兴趣。 |
| 52 | If you were going to give us sort of your big picture view, where are we going? | 如果你要给我们一些大视野 我们要去哪里? |
| 53 | What should we be thinking about that we don't always talk about? | 我们该怎么考虑我们不常谈的事? |
| 54 | You know, you see everything, really. | 你知道,你看到了所有的东西,真的。 |
| 55 | All the companies in the world sort of come and visit with you and sort of tell you where they're going. | 世界上所有的公司都来拜访你 告诉你他们要去哪里 |
| 56 | How would you sort of give us a big picture of a set of ideas that we don't usually hear? | 你怎么给我们一个 我们通常不听的一套想法的大画面? |
| 57 | Well, there's some things that we hear, and I'll juxtapose that against what I expect. | 好吧,有些事情,我们听到, 我会与我的预期相提并论。 |
| 58 | And so, for example, in the next couple of years, we are going to achieve essentially what people call AGI. | 因此,比如说,在接下来的几年里,我们将 实现人们所谓的AGI。 |
| 59 | And that's not an illogical thing to me. | 这对我来说不是不合逻辑的事 |
| 60 | In fact, I would argue that we're practically there today. | 事实上,我想说,我们今天几乎已经到了。 |
| 61 | And so the question is, what does that mean? | 所以问题是 这是什么意思? |
| 62 | It either means a lot or it doesn't mean anything. | 要么意味着很多,要么没有意义。 |
| 63 | And so let me give you an example. | 让我举个例子给你。 |
| 64 | If we said that in the next couple of years, we're going to achieve artificial general intelligence, | 如果我们说在接下来的几年里, 我们将实现人工一般智能, |
| 65 | and there's no question everybody's tasks, the things that we do, | 毫无疑问,每个人的任务, 我们做的事情, |
| 66 | whether it's just learning or working or every single industry will be impacted. | 不管是学习还是工作 或每个行业都会受到影响 |
| 67 | It will benefit everybody. | 它将惠及所有人。 |
| 68 | However, the part that is not thought through is, in fact, the thought experiment. | 然而,没有经过思考的部分实际上是思想实验. |
| 69 | Let me just give you a thought experiment. | 让我给你做个思考实验 |
| 70 | Suppose, and you know that several hundred years ago, humans, in order to have a more civil society, | 假设,你知道,几百年前,人类 为了有一个更文明的社会, |
| 71 | manufactured one of the most important things in the world, which is called education, intelligence. | 制造了世界上最重要的东西之一 叫做教育、智力 |
| 72 | Through universities and schools, we manufacture intelligence and we manufacture civility at scale. | 通过大学和学校,我们制造情报,并大规模制造文明。 |
| 73 | Without it, how would we have civilization? | 没有它,我们怎么会有文明呢? |
| 74 | And so now we're creating the digital version of that. | 现在我们正在创造这个数字版本。 |
| 75 | We're manufacturing now intelligence digitally at scale, | 我们现在在数字化制造情报 |
| 76 | so that even countries and people who don't have access to the highest levels of education | 甚至连没有机会接受最高水平教育的国家和人民 |
| 77 | now have the benefits of the highest levels of education. | 现在享受最高水平的教育。 |
| 78 | And so that's the simplest way of thinking about what is happening right now. | 所以,这是最简单的思考 正在发生的事情。 |
| 79 | So the question is, what's the benefit to society as a result of that? | 所以问题在于,这样对社会有什么好处? |
| 80 | Well, let's pretend, let's do a thought experiment. | 好吧,让我们假装, 让我们做一个思考实验。 |
| 81 | Suppose every single young person that we hire out of school is incredibly well-educated. | 假设我们雇用的每一个年轻人 都受过非常良好的教育 |
| 82 | Well, that's pretty much consistent with everybody I hire. | 这跟我雇的每个人差不多 |
| 83 | They come out of Stanford or Harvard or MIT or ETH, and these are incredibly smart kids. | 他们来自斯坦福大学、哈佛大学、麻省理工学院或ETH, 他们都是非常聪明的孩子。 |
| 84 | However, when these kids come to our company and every company and every industry, | 然而,当这些孩子来到我们公司 和每一个公司和每一个行业, |
| 85 | we now still have to invest quite a bit in surrounding them with context. | 现在,我们仍需要投入相当一部分时间,以背景为中心。 |
| 86 | So as it turns out, even when we get to AGI, it's not as if every company's problems are solved. | 因此,事实上,即使我们到了AGI,也不是每个公司的问题都解决了. |
| 87 | It's not as if all of a sudden, in two years' time, I say, | 不是突然间 两年后 我说 |
| 88 | okay, let me connect it to this AI service, and I just sit back, | 好吧,让我把它连接到 AI服务,我只是坐下, |
| 89 | and all of a sudden, my company becomes more and more productive overnight. | 突然间,我的公司一夜之间 越来越富有生产力 |
| 90 | That's just not going to happen at all. | 这根本不可能发生 |
| 91 | You're going to spend all of your energy, just like you currently do, | 你会像现在一样 全力以赴 |
| 92 | onboarding a new college grad with a PhD from MIT, | 考上了一个新的大学毕业 拥有麻省理工的博士学位 |
| 93 | which is surrounding them with context, purpose, relevance, access to all of these other things, | 环绕着它们的背景,目的,相关性, 获取所有这些其他东西, |
| 94 | which is essentially, if you will, the harness around these AIs, | 基本上,如果你愿意的话,这些AI周围的绳子, |
| 95 | the environment around these AIs, so that they could do productive work. | 环绕这些人工智能的环境,以便他们能够从事生产性工作。 |
| 96 | All of that harnessing, all of that environment creation is what companies do, is what leaders do. | 所有那些利用,所有的环境创造 都是公司的工作,领导者的工作。 |
| 97 | And as it turns out, our jobs won't change. | 结果我们的工作不会改变 |
| 98 | Our jobs is defined by purpose, context, meaning. | 我们的工作由宗旨,上下文,意义来定义. |
| 99 | That's what a job is. | 这就是工作 |
| 100 | In that job, there's a lot of typing and talking and things like that. | 在那个工作里,有很多打字和说话之类的东西. |
| 101 | Those skills are going to be automated by AI. | 这些技能将由AI自动化. |
| 102 | The tasks are going to be automated, but our jobs' purpose remains. | 任务要自动化了 但我们的工作目的依旧 |
| 103 | And so I think what's going to happen is that we're all just going to be supercharged, | 所以,我想会发生什么 是,我们都只是 被超级充电, |
| 104 | just like we're currently supercharged. | 就像我们目前被充电一样 |
| 105 | At NVIDIA, we use AI across the whole company today. | 在NVIDIA,我们今天在全公司使用AI. |
| 106 | 我们使用现成的人工智能,如Anthropix和OpenAI和Cursor, | |
| 107 | and we build a lot of our own custom AI, and I encourage everybody to apply the same idea. | 我鼓励大家采用同样的想法。 |
| 108 | You should use AI off-the-shelf wherever you can, | 你应该随时使用人工智能 |
| 109 | but don't forget, you have to invest in building your own intelligence, every country, every company. | 但不要忘记,你必须投资 建设你自己的智能, 每一个国家,每一个公司。 |
| 110 | You can't outsource all of your intelligence to somebody else. | 你不能把你所有的情报都外包给别人 |
| 111 | And so you have to use as much of it as you can, build as much as you need to. | 所以,你必须尽可能多地使用它, 建造你需要多少。 |
| 112 | And so we do that at the company, and so that's the first idea, | 所以我们在公司做, 所以这是第一个想法, |
| 113 | is just that we're going to be supercharged. | 只是我们要被超额充电 |
| 114 | The idea that somehow all the jobs are going to be eliminated or removed, that's just nonsense. | 这个想法,不知何故所有的工作都要被取消或取消,那只是胡说八道. |
| 115 | And the reason for that is because of all the things that I've just said. | 之所以如此,是因为我刚才所说的一切。 |
| 116 | Now, the other thing that is the case is that all of our ambitions are going to be supercharged, | 另一种情况是 我们所有的野心都会超额增长 |
| 117 | just as we are more ambitious today than any time in human civilization. | 正如我们今天比人类文明中任何时候都更雄心勃勃一样。 |
| 118 | We think about doing things that people 100 years ago were just, | 我们想做一些100年前人们所做的事 |
| 119 | that's insane, that's got to be science fiction. | 这太疯狂了 这一定是科幻小说 |
| 120 | And yet we perfectly expect it. | 然而,我们完全期望它。 |
| 121 | And so just imagine how ambitious we're going to be in 5, 10 years. | 所以想象一下我们在5年里会有多有野心。 |
| 122 | That's the exciting time. | 这是令人兴奋的时刻。 |
| 123 | I've been working a long time, and surely I don't have to work, | 我工作了很久,当然我不用工作, |
| 124 | but I'm definitely not going to miss the next 10, 15 years. | 但我绝对不会错过 接下来的10,15年。 |
| 125 | The ambition of the industry, the ambition of my colleagues, my own ambition, | 行业的野心,我的同事们的野心,我自己的野心, |
| 126 | has really been supercharged. | 已经真的超额收费。 |
| 127 | And this is another way of saying that all of you, all of the countries, | 这是另一种说法,你们所有人,所有国家, |
| 128 | your ambitions have to be supercharged. | 你的野心必须超额增长 |
| 129 | This is the time when you have to feel enlightened, inspired, supercharged, lifted, | 这时候,你必须 感觉开明,启发,超充电,升起, |
| 130 | because you now have this incredible technology behind you. | 因为你现在有 令人难以置信的技术在你身后。 |
| 131 | And so what do I expect in the next 5, 10 years? | 接下来的5年,10年我还能期待什么? |
| 132 | Things that take 10 years are going to take one, things that take one will take a month. | 需要十年的时间 需要一个月的时间 |
| 133 | And so if you think that this is going to cost a million dollars to do, | 如果你认为这需要花费一百万美元 |
| 134 | well, back a long time ago, just years ago, a million dollars seems like a big investment. | 很久以前,就在几年前, 一百万美元似乎是一个大投资。 |
| 135 | But these days, just think about the level of investments we're talking about, | 但是现在,想想我们所说的投资水平, |
| 136 | trillions of dollars of investment. | 万亿投资. |
| 137 | And the reason for that is this. | 原因就是这个。 |
| 138 | It is now possible for average humans like ourselves | 现在像我们这样的普通人可以了 |
| 139 | to think that we can make an impact on a hundred trillion dollar industry. | 认为我们可以对100万亿美元工业产生影响。 |
| 140 | For the first time you're hearing people, isn't that right? | 你第一次听到别人的声音,不是吗? |
| 141 | For the first time you're hearing innovators, people, companies, countries, | 这是你第一次听到创新者,人,公司,国家, |
| 142 | talking about elevating a hundred trillion dollar industry. | 谈论提升100万亿美元产业。 |
| 143 | That's ambition. | 这就是野心。 |
| 144 | To think that you're going to add 20, 50 trillion dollars of economic benefit around the world. | 想着你会在全世界增加20,50万亿美元的经济效益. |
| 145 | That's ambition. | 这就是野心。 |
| 146 | No time in history have we been able to say things like that. | 在历史上,我们没有时间说这种话。 |
| 147 | Because what you've said is that education has been democratized. | 因为你说过教育已经民主化了。 |
| 148 | It's made available for everybody. | 供一切众生. |
| 149 | You now can have a PhD in everything at your fingertips. | 你现在可以用手指指点 获得所有东西的博士学位 |
| 150 | And you don't have to find that person because you've helped find them | 你不必找到那个人 因为你帮助找到了他们 |
| 151 | and sort of capture that education in a box. | 并在盒子里抓住教育 |
| 152 | You are that person now. | 你现在是那个人了 |
| 153 | Everybody is that person now. | 每个人都是那个人了。 |
| 154 | So I think our goal is to have that idea of growth, that ambition for growth. | 因此,我认为我们的目标是 拥有增长的理念, 增长的野心。 |
| 155 | And what you've done is you've laid us out that our dreams need to be higher. | 你所做的就是让我们认识到 我们的梦想需要更高 |
| 156 | Because they can be higher. | 因为他们可以更高。 |
| 157 | Because if you have all of this intelligence at your fingertips, | 因为如果你的手指有这些智慧 |
| 158 | how can you not dream higher? | 你怎么能不梦想更高? |
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