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【中英】纳瓦尔:关于人性的44个残酷真相(下)

字幕摘录

时间英文中文
0:00Like, oh, we have so much in common.我们有很多共同点
0:02We like to golf together.我们喜欢一起打高尔夫
0:03It's like, it's not a basis for a relationship.这就像,这不是一个关系的基础。
0:06Or, oh, she's a ballerina or he went to Harvard或者,哦,她是一个芭蕾舞演员 或者他去了哈佛
0:09or what have you.或者你还有什么
0:10This is a resume item.这是一个恢复项目。
0:11So that's not who the person actually is.所以那人其实不是那个人
0:12What's a better answer?什么是更好的答案吗?
0:14I just love being with this person.我只是喜欢和这个人在一起。
0:16I just trust them.我只是相信他们。
展开字幕全文(2760 条)
序号英文中文
1Like, oh, we have so much in common.我们有很多共同点
2We like to golf together.我们喜欢一起打高尔夫
3It's like, it's not a basis for a relationship.这就像,这不是一个关系的基础。
4Or, oh, she's a ballerina or he went to Harvard或者,哦,她是一个芭蕾舞演员 或者他去了哈佛
5or what have you.或者你还有什么
6This is a resume item.这是一个恢复项目。
7So that's not who the person actually is.所以那人其实不是那个人
8What's a better answer?什么是更好的答案吗?
9I just love being with this person.我只是喜欢和这个人在一起。
10I just trust them.我只是相信他们。
11I enjoy being around them.我喜欢在他们身边
12I love how capable he is.我喜欢他的能力
13I love how kind she is.我喜欢她多好
14I love her spirit.我爱她的精神。
15I love his energy.我喜欢他的能量
16The more materially and concretely definable从物质上和具体上来说,定义越明确
17the reasons are, you're together, the worse they are.原因是,你们在一起, 他们越糟糕。
18The ineffable is actually where the sort of true love lies.无能者其实是那种真爱所在.
19Because real love is a form of unity.因为真爱是团结的一种形式.
20It's a form of connection.一种联系形式.
21It's connecting spirits.它连接着灵魂
22Oh, you too, my consciousness meets your consciousness.哦,你也是,我的意识与你的意识相遇
23It's the underlying drive in love, in art, in science,这是爱,艺术,科学,
24in mysticism is the desire for unity.在神秘主义中,要求团结
25It's a desire for connection.谓欲相通.
26As Bor has famously wrote, in every human,正如博尔著名的写道, 在每个人身上,
27there's a sense that something infinite has been lost.有一种感觉是 已经失去了无限的东西。
28There's a God-shaped hole in you that you're trying to fill.有神形的洞 你试图填补。
29And so we're always trying to find that connection.所以我们总是试图找到这种联系。
30Love is trying to find it in one other person爱在另一个人身上寻找
31and saying, okay, you're male, I'm female or whatever,并说,好吧,你是男性, 我是女性或什么的,
32and whatever your predilections are.以及你们所妄想的。
33And now we connect, now we form a hole, a connected hole.现在我们连接,现在我们组成一个洞,一个连接的洞。
34Or in mysticism, it's all about, okay, sit down, meditate,或者在神秘主义中,它的一切, 好吧,坐下,冥想,
35and you'll feel the hole.你会感觉到那个洞
36In science, it's like, oh, atoms bouncing is mechanics,在科学中,它就像, 哦,原子弹跳是力学,
37but that generates heat.但它会产生热量。
38So thermodynamics and motion or kinetics所以热力学和运动或动力学
39are one combined theory.是一个综合理论。
40That's a hole.这是一个洞。
41Electricity and magnetism are one thing.电力和磁性是一回事。
42That's a hole.这是一个洞。
43Creates that sense of awe.产生这种敬畏感。
44In art, it's like, I feel an emotion.在艺术方面,就像,我有一种情感。
45I create a piece of art around it,我创作了一幅艺术围绕它,
46and then you see that painting,然后你看到那幅画,
47or you see the Sistine Chapel,或者你看到西斯丁礼拜堂,
48or you read the poem, and you feel that emotion.或者你读了这首诗, 你感觉到了那种情感。
49So again, it's creating unity.因此,它再次创造了团结。
50It's creating connection.它正在建立连接。
51And I think everybody craves that.我想每个人都渴望这个。
52And so when you really love somebody,所以当你真正爱的人,
53it's because you feel a sense of wholeness是因为你觉得自己很完整
54by being around them.在他们身边。
55And that sense of wholeness probably doesn't have anything和这种整体感 可能没有任何
56to do with what school they went to,他们去的学校,
57or what career they're in.或者他们是什么职业。
58Just sort of tying that into the life is short,只是有点束缚 生活是短暂的,
59stop fucking about.别闹了
60If you're faced with a difficult choice如果你面对一个困难的选择
61and you cannot decide, the answer is no.而你不能决定,答案是否定的。
62And the reason is modern society is full of options.而原因是现代社会充满了选择.
63Knowing this rationally sounds great.理智地知道这一点听起来很好。
64Having the courage to commit to it in reality,有勇气在现实中承诺,
65I think is a different task.我认为这是一项不同的任务。
66And cutting your losses quickly并迅速减少损失
67in the big three, relationships, jobs, and locations,在大三,关系,工作和地点,
68is hard.很难
69What would you say to someone who may cerebrally你会怎么对一个 可能会发疯的人说
70be able to agree with you and say,能够同意你的话
71I understand the answer is no.我知道答案是没有。
72My cousin said this about me.我表哥这么说的
73He said what I've really noticed about you他说了我注意到你的事
74is your ability to walk away from situations就是你摆脱困境的能力
75that are just not great enough for you,这对你来说还不够好
76or not good enough for you.或者对你不够好
77And I think that is a characteristic that I have.我认为这是我的一个特点。
78I will not accept second best outcomes in my life.我将不接受我生命中第二好的结果。
79Ultimately, you will end up wherever is acceptable to you.归根结底,你将在你可以接受的任何地方结束。
80You will get out of life whatever is acceptable to you.你会离开你接受的生活
81And there are certain things to me我有些事情要说
82that are very, very important这很重要
83where I will not settle for second best.在那里,我不会得到第二好。
84But then there are a lot of other things但还有很多事情
85I just don't care about.我只是不关心。
86Because if I spend all my time caring about those things,因为如果我花所有的时间 关心那些东西,
87I don't have the energy for the few things that matter.我没有精力做那些重要的事情
88And so in decision making, I have a few heuristics所以在决策方面,我有一些热病
89for myself, other people can use their own,对于我自己,其他人可以使用自己的,
90but mine are, if you can't decide, the answer is no.但我的,如果你不能决定,答案是否定的。
91If you're offered an opportunity,如果你有机会
92if you have a new thing that you're saying yes or no to如果你有新的东西说是或否
93that is a change from where you're starting,这跟你开始的时候不一样
94the answer is by default, always no.答案是默认的,永远没有。
95Secondly, if you have two decisions,第二 如果你有两个决定
96if you have A or B and both seem like very equal,如果你有A或B 而且两者看起来都非常平等,
97take the path that's more painful in the short term.走上在短期内更痛苦的道路.
98The one that's gonna be painful immediately那个会立刻痛苦的
99because your brain is always trying to avoid pain.因为你的大脑总是试图避免疼痛。
100So any pain that is imminent,所以任何即将发生的痛苦
101it is going to treat as much larger than it actually is.它会处理的比实际大得多。
102This is kind of like a decision making equivalent这有点像决策
103of talab surgeon.塔布外科医生
104Talab surgeon, whether you want the surgeon,塔拉布外科医生, 不管你想要外科医生,
105it doesn't look as good because he's more likely它看起来不是很好,因为他更有可能
106to be a good surgeon.做个好外科医生
107Yeah, it's similar in that appearances are deceiving是啊,它相似的 在外表是在欺骗
108because you're avoiding conflict, you're avoiding pain.因为你避免了冲突, 你避免了痛苦。
109So take the path that's more painful in the short term所以,走这条在短期内更痛苦的道路
110because your brain is creating this illusion因为你的大脑在制造幻觉
111that the short-term pain is greater than the long-term pain短期痛苦比长期痛苦大
112because long-term, yeah, you'll commit your future self因为长期,是的, 你会致力于你的未来自己
113to all kinds of long-term pain.到各种长期痛苦。
114Manana, manana.马纳纳 马纳纳
115Exactly, manana.没错,玛娜娜
116So take the more short-term painful one.所以,采取更短期的痛苦。
117And then finally, the last one,最后,最后一个
118which I would credit Kapil Gupta with,我以卡皮尔·古普塔为名
119is that you want to take the choice是你想选择
120that will leave you more equanimous in the long-term.从长远来看,这会让你更加平和。
121By equanimous, he means like more peace,以平和的语气,他的意思是像更多的和平,
122more mental peace in the long-term.从长远来看 精神上更平静
123So whatever clears your mind more所以,无论什么让你更清醒
124and will have you having less self-talk in the future,将来你将减少自言自语,
125if you can model that out,如果你能模拟出来,
126that is probably the better route to go.那也许是更好的路线
127And then I would focus decision making down然后我会集中精力做决定
128on the three things that really matter这三件事真的很重要
129because everything else is downstream因为其他东西都在下游
130of these three decisions,在这三个决定中,
131especially these are early life decisions.这些是早期的人生决定
132Later in life, you have different things to optimize for,后世,你有不同的东西 优化,
133but early in life, you're trying to figure out不过你很早就想明白
134who you're with, what you're doing, and where you live.你和谁在一起,你在做什么,你住在哪里。
135And I think on all three of those,我想在所有这些,
136you want to think pretty hard about it.你想仔细想想
137And people do some of these unconsciously.人们会无意识地做一些。
138Who you're with very often is like,你经常和谁在一起
139well, we were in a relationship, we stumbled along,好吧,我们是在一个关系, 我们偶然相遇,
140it felt okay, it had been enough time,感觉很好, 已经足够时间,
141so we got married, right?所以我们结婚了,对不对?
142Not great reasons.原因并不大 说吧
143Maybe not terrible reasons either.也许也不是什么可怕的原因
144I mean, it's people who overthink these things我的意思是,是人们 过度思考这些东西
145sometimes don't get the right answer,有时候没有正确的答案,
146but maybe here, if you're the kind of person但也许在这里 如果你是那种人
147that's not going to settle for second best, you iterate.这不会解决第二好,你这个意大利人。
148You don't do it on a closed timeframe你不能在封闭的时间范围内做
149so you don't run out the clock, and then you decide.所以你不跑出时间,然后你决定。
150On what you do, you try a whole bunch of different things在你做的事情上,你尝试了一大堆不同的事情
151until you find the one that feels like play to you,直到你找到一个 喜欢玩你,
152looks like work to others, you can't lose at it.看起来像是工作对别人, 你不能输在它。
153Get some leverage, try to find some practical application找点筹码,找点实用的
154of it and go into that.开始吧
155And then where you live, where you live is really important.然后你住的地方,你住的地方 是非常重要的。
156I don't think people spend enough time on that one.我觉得人们花的时间不够
157I think people pick cities randomly我觉得人们随意选择城市
158based on where I went to school根据我在哪里上学
159or where my family happened to be或者我的家人碰巧在什么地方
160or where my friend was or I visited one weekend,或者我的朋友在哪里 或者我去过一个周末
161I really liked it.我真的很喜欢
162You really want to think it through你真的想考虑清楚
163because where you live really constrains因为你住的地方真的有束缚
164and defines your opportunities.并定义你的机会。
165It's going to determine your friend circle.这会决定你的朋友圈。
166It's going to determine your dating pool.这会决定你的约会池。
167It's going to determine your job opportunities.它会决定你的就业机会。
168It's going to determine the food and air它会决定食物和空气
169and water quality that you receive.以及你们所获得的水质。
170It's going to determine your proximity to your family,这会决定你是否接近家人
171which might be important as you get older and have kids.当你长大和有孩子的时候 这可能很重要
172So very, very, very important decision,所以非常,非常,非常重要的决定,
173whether quality of life,无论是生活质量,
174how much do you stay inside or outside你在里面或外面住多少钱?
175and how long you'll live based on that.以及你在这个基础上活多久
176And I think people choose that one probably more poorly我认为人们选择一个可能更糟糕
177{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}比他们少得多的考虑
178than the other two.比其他两个。
179In some ways, yeah, but also the, you're so right,在某些方面,是的,但还有, 你是如此正确,
180how many people fall backward into a relationship有多少人倒向关系
181and before they know it, we're living together.在他们知道之前 我们一起生活
182We got a daughter, we got a kid, we were married.我们有一个女儿,我们有一个孩子,我们结婚了。
183And then when you have kids,然后当你有孩子,
184because then that's half of you因为那是你的一半
185and half of them running around,他们中有一半人奔走,
186you're never going to separate yourself from that.你永远也离不开它
187So once you have a child with somebody,所以,一旦你有一个孩子 与某人,
188then the most important thing in the world to you那世上对你最重要的事
189is half that other person, whether you like them or not.是另一半人, 不管你喜欢与否。
190Yeah, Jeffrey Miller had a tweet a long time ago是啊,杰弗里・米勒有一个推特 很久以前
191that I always think about.我总是在想
192And he said, every parenting buck in the world他说,世界上所有养育子女的人
193could be replaced with one buck on behavioral genetics.可以用行为遗传学的一块钱来代替
194That-那个...
195I'm a big believer in genetics, yes.我对遗传学很有信心
196I do think a lot of behavior is downstream of genetics.我觉得遗传学下游有很多行为
197And I think we underplay that.我认为我们低估了这一点。
198We like to overplay nurture and underplay nurture我们喜欢过度培育和低估
199for, I sort of say, underplay nature for societal reasons.因为,我可以说,出于社会原因, 低估了大自然。
200But nature is a big deal.但是大自然是个大事
201The temperament of the person you marry你结婚的人的脾气
202is probably going to be reflected in your child by default.可能默认会反映在你的孩子身上。
203People can change-人们可以改变...
204If you want a securely attached kid,如果你想要一个安全附身的孩子,
205pick a securely attached partner.选择一个安全附着的伴侣。
206Well, the secret to a happy relationship幸福关系的秘密
207is two happy people, right?是两个快乐的人,对不对?
208So I would say, if you want to be happy,所以我会说,如果你想快乐,
209then be with a happy person.然后和一个快乐的人在一起。
210Don't think you're going to be with someone who's unhappy别以为你会和不高兴的人在一起
211and then make them happy down the road.然后让他们在路上快乐
212Or if you're okay with them being unhappy,或者如果你不介意他们不开心
213but there are other things you like about them, that's fine.但你喜欢其他的东西,没关系。
214But this goes back to-但这又回到...
215Compensate to their unhappiness with other things.补偿他们不幸福的事物。
216And actually, we talked a little bit about事实上,我们聊了一下
217how people do connect successfully on spirit and those things.人们是如何成功地连接 精神和那些东西。
218But that's maybe a little too abstract.但这也许太抽象了
219If you want to get a little more practical,如果你想更实际一点
220it could be based on values.它可以基于价值观。
221And values are a set of things you won't compromise on.价值是一组你不会妥协的东西。
222Values are tough decisions of, oh, my parent got sick.价值观是我父母生病的艰难决定
223Do they move in with us or do we put them in a nursing home?他们搬来和我们住 还是送他们进养老院?
224Do we give the children money or do we not?我们是不是给孩子们钱?
225Do we move across the country to be closer to our family我们是否为了亲近家人而迁移到全国各地
226or do we stay put where we are?还是留在原地?
227Do we argue about politics?我们要争论政治吗?
228Do we care or do we not, right?我们是否在乎,对不对?
229The values are way more important than checklist items.数值远比清单项目更重要。
230And I think if people were to align much more on their values,我认为,如果人们能更加一致他们的价值观,
231they would have much more successful relationships.他们的关系会更成功
232The emotional pain of fearing change.恐惧变化的情感痛苦.
233I have this thing, the job, the location, the partner,我有这个东西,工作,地点,合伙人,
234I'm going to enter or not enter this thing.我要进不进这个东西。
235For the most part, it's leaving.大部分时间,它要离开。
236I think we have this sort of loss of version我觉得我们有这种 丢失版本
237that we really feel.我们真的觉得
238Evolved loss of version.演化失传版本.
239It's just painful separating yourself将自己分开很痛苦
240in front of your friends.在你的朋友面前,你应该知道。
241It's embarrassing.难堪.
242How would you advise people to get past themselves你怎么劝人自己过日子?
243with that loss of version, that fear of change?失去版本, 害怕改变?
244Oh, my God, oh, my God.须菩提.
245Yeah, it's the hardest thing in the world, starting over.是啊,这是世界上最难的事情, 从头开始。
246It's back to the zero to one thing.复以零为一.
247It's the mountain climbing thing.乃登山之事.
248You're not going to find your path你不会找到自己的路的
249to the top of the mountain in the first go around.到了山顶 在第一个绕行。
250Sometimes you go up there, you get stuck有时候你上去,你被卡住了
251and you come back down.然后你下来
252And the difference between all the successful people和所有成功者的区别
253and the ones who are not is the ones who are successful而不成功者,
254want it so badly, they're willing to go back这么想,他们愿意回去
255and start over again and again,一次又一次地重新开始
256whether in their career or in their relationships无论是职业还是关系
257or in anything else.或任何东西。
258The more seriously you take yourself,你越认真
259the unhappier you're going to be.你会更不高兴
260You learned how to take yourself less seriously.你学会了如何轻视自己
261Well, fame doesn't help on that one名声也帮不了你
262because that is one of the traps of fame.因为那是名利的陷阱之一
263People are always talking about you.人们总是在谈论你。
264They have a certain view of you and you start believing that他们有你的看法 你开始相信
265and then you take yourself seriously.然后你会认真对待自己
266And then that limits your own actions.这限制了你自己的行动。
267You can't look like a fool anymore.你不能再像个傻瓜了
268You can't do new things anymore.你不能再做一些新的事情了
269Tomorrow I announce I'm a breakdancer, right?明天我宣布我是一个破解者,对不对?
270That's going to be met with a lot of scorn and ridicule.这会遇到很多的鄙视和嘲笑.
271But what if I want to be a breakdancer?但如果我想当断路手呢?
272I'd back you if you want to make that pivot.如果你想做那个支点 我会支持你的
273Yeah, the truth is if I want to be a breakdancer,是的,事实是,如果我想成为一个破解者,
274I'd be breakdancing.我会跳舞的
275But like I'm starting a new company,但好像我要成立新公司一样
276zero to one again from scratch.零比1再次从零。
277Let's do it one more time.再来一次
278And not just going and raising a big VC fund不只是去筹一个大VC基金
279or retiring or what have you.或退休或你有什么。
280But that's because I want to build the product.但那是因为我想制造这个产品。
281I want to see it exist.我想看到它的存在。
282So I think that you constantly just have to force yourself.所以我觉得你必须不断强迫自己
283You have to remind yourself.你必须提醒自己。
284Look, deep down, you're still the same Chris你看,内心深处,你仍然是同样的克里斯
285you were when you were nine years old.你九岁时就已经是了
286Deep down, you're still a kid.在内心深处,你还是个孩子。
287You're still curious about the world.你仍然对这个世界好奇
288You still have a lot of the same predilections你仍然有很多相同的倾向
289and desires at once.和一时的欲望。
290You've got a nice veneer on it.你有一个不错的外表。
291But one of the nice things when you have kids但是有孩子的时候,有件好事
292is you realize how much closer they are to you你知道他们离你有多近吗?
293in personality and knowledge and know-how.性格、知识和专门技能
294Like I look at my son, he's eight.就像我看着我的儿子,他才八岁。
295And I just noticed like, wow,我刚刚注意到,哇,
296he's probably has 60 to 80% of my knowledge他大概有我60%到80%的知识
297and development wisdom and he has a lot more freedom和发展智慧 他有更多的自由
298and he has a lot more spontaneity.他更自发
299In some ways he's smarter.在某些方面,他更聪明。
300And there's not a big gap here left to close.这里没有大缺口要关闭。
301This kid's going to be done very soon caught up to me.这孩子很快就会被干掉的
302And so to the extent that I think I know better所以说,我认为我更清楚
303or that I'm somewhere or that I'm someone,或者说我在某处 或者说我是某个人
304it's just an illusion.这只是一个幻觉。
305It's just a belief.这只是一个信念。
306What's the lineage between that这两者之间的分界线是什么
307and taking yourself too seriously?还太认真了?
308I shouldn't take myself too seriously我不该太认真
309because there's nothing here to take that seriously.因为没有什么可以认真对待的
310And if I take myself too seriously,如果我太认真了
311then I'm going to get trapped.然后我会被困住。
312I'm going to circumscribe myself again我要再自我约束一次
313into a limited set of behaviors and outcomes进入有限的一系列行为和结果
314that keep me from being free,使我无法自由
315keep me from being spontaneous, keep me from being happy.阻止我自发 阻止我快乐
316So it just goes back to the,所以,它只是回到,
317don't think about yourself too much.别太担心自己
318There's a special type of pain in realizing有一种特殊的痛苦
319that the advice that you need to hear right now你现在需要听到的建议
320is something that almost always you learned a long time ago这几乎都是你很久以前学到的
321and that you're basically sort of the same person而且你基本上还是一样的人
322you were as you were nine.你当时9岁
323And a lot of the time people ask questions like,很多人问问题 比如,
324what advice do you wish你们有什么建议?
325that you would give yourself 10 years ago?你10年前会自首吗?
326People ask themselves that question,人们问自己这个问题,
327almost invariably,几乎总是,
328the advice that you would give yourself 10 years ago十年前你给自己的建议
329is still the advice that you need to hear today.仍然是你今天需要听到的建议。
330Absolutely, that's why I did that exercise当然,这就是为什么我做这个练习
331of thinking back 10 years, 20 years, 30 years ago,回想十年,二十年,三十年前
332what advice would I give myself?我会给自己什么建议?
333For me, it's just be less emotional.对我来说,它只是减少情绪。
334Don't take everything so seriously.别把一切都当回事
335Do the same things,做同样的事情,
336but do them without all the emotional turbulence.但做他们 没有所有的情绪动荡。
337And so that's the advice I'm giving myself going forward.这就是我给自己前进的建议。
338Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.释曰.
339It's funny how we need that distance这很有趣,我们需要的距离
340to be able to be a little bit more objective,更客观一点
341to have a little bit more perspective.来多点视角
342And it's almost a little bit of a trick, right?这几乎是一个小把戏,对不对?
343Because typically when you do that,因为通常当你这样做,
344you say, what would you tell a friend你会怎么跟朋友说?
345that was going through this?经历了这个吗?
346And then you try and turn the advice然后你试着把建议转过来
347{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}给那个朋友看好你自己 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}那又怎么样
348You always think, well, I'm not the friend.你总是想,嗯,我不是那个朋友。
349You go, okay, you 10 years ago,你去,好吧,你10年前,
350there's enough distance in that.里面有足够的距离
351You go, oh, I actually am still that person.你去吧,哦,我其实还是那个人。
352There's just a single line between that and me.这和我之间只有一条线
353And related to this story is I think understanding和这个故事相关联的是 我想理解
354is way more important than discipline.比纪律更重要
355Now, Jaco would have a fit,现在,Jaco会发疯,
356but on physical things, discipline is important.但是在身体上 纪律很重要
357If I want to build a good body,如果我想造个好身体
358I gotta work out on a regular basis.我得定期工作
359But on mental things,但对于心理问题,
360I think understanding is way more important.我认为理解更重要
361Once you see the truth of something, you cannot unsee it.一旦你看到某件事的真相,你就不能不看到它。
362All of us have had experiences我们都有过经历
363where we've seen a behavior in a person,我们见过一个人的行为
364and then it just changes what we think about that person.然后它就改变了我们对那个人的看法
365We no longer want to be friends with them.我们再也不想跟他们做朋友了
366Or we deeply respect them if it was really good behavior或者我们深深地尊重他们 如果这是真正的好行为
367that maybe was observed unintentionally.或许是无意中观察到的
368So when we really do see something clearly,所以,当我们真的看到 清楚的东西,
369it changes our behavior immediately.它立即改变了我们的行为。
370And that is far more efficient这要高效得多
371than trying to change your behavior through repetition.而不是试图改变你的行为 通过重复。
372Could you give me an example?能举个例子吗?
373If you were, let's say that you have a friend如果你有,就说你有个朋友
374and then that person turns out to be a thief,然后那个人变成了小偷
375you see that person stealing something,你看到那人偷东西,
376you're done with them.你与他们结束了。
377If you are, the smoking and lung cancer example如果你是,吸烟和肺癌的例子
378is a good one, someone close to you.是一个很好的, 一个接近你的人。
379Or anytime someone close to you dies,或者随时有你身边的人死去
380or you even hear about someone dying,或者你甚至听说有人死了,
381you hear about someone dying, what's the first thing you do?你听说有人死了, 你做什么的第一件事?
382The first thing, assuming that you weren't that close to them,首先,假设你没有那么接近他们,
383obviously you're close to them, it's different.显然你和他们很亲近 不一样
384But if you weren't that close to them,但如果你没有那么亲近他们
385but you hear about someone in your extended social life但你听说有人 在你漫长的社会生活中
386or someone close to them dying,或亲近他们的人,
387you immediately start trying to distinguish yourself from them.你马上开始试着区分自己和他们
388You're like, oh, well, how old was this person?你就像,哦,好吧, 这个人多大了?
389Were they a smoker?他们抽烟吗?
390Did they have an issue?他们有问题吗?
391Do I have that issue?我有问题吗?
392You immediately start comparing.你马上开始比较。
393And what you're doing there is you're sort of just而你正在做的是 你有点
394trying to see if there's an overlap here.看看这里是否有重叠
395But if you see the truth in something,但如果你看到真相的话
396if you're like, oh my God, this person was the same age as me如果你喜欢,哦,我的上帝, 这个人和我一样大
397and they died, and that's starting to happen at my age他们死了,这开始发生 在我这个年龄
398where I'm starting to hear about extended circle people,在那里,我开始听到 关于延伸圈人,
399which just reminds you, time is really short.提醒你 时间很短
400There's a truth there.那里有个真理
401There's a truth there that you cannot-有一个真理,你不能...
402{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}你自相残杀的反应
403The truth there that you cannot unsee.你所不能见的真相
404Or for example, I think, were you into bodybuilding比如说,我想,你是在修身
405or something back when?还是什么时候的事?
406I don't know.师曰.
407Just like bro-lifting stuff.就像举兄弟一样
408Bro-lifting stuff.亲手偷东西
409To be less of a skinny bitch, yeah.少一个瘦婊子,是的。
410Right, but there probably was a point对,但也许有一点
411where you were being really aggro in the gym在体育馆里,你非常的阿格鲁
412and you injured yourself.你伤了自己
413Many times.无数遍.
414Right, and each one of those was a deep understanding对,每个都是个深刻的理解
415of don't go beyond this point, right?不要超越这一点,对不对?
416There was a truth there.有一个真理在那里。
417So again, when you see these things所以,当你看到这些东西
418in such a way that you can't unsee them,以你无法看见的方式
419that changes your behavior instantly.那会立刻改变你的行为
420And I would argue that that introspection我想说,回顾一下
421to find those truths is actually very useful.找到这些真相实际上非常有用。
422Is that a justification for more experimentation,这是进行更多实验的理由吗?
423exploration, experience in life,探索 生活经验
424sort of trying to find serendipity那种尝试寻找 沉迷
425because all of these experiences因为所有这些经历
426are going to teach you a inescapable lesson?要教你一个不可回避的教训吗?
427You're gonna do what you're gonna do.尔时世尊作是念已.
428I mean, your level of exploration,我的意思是,你的探索水平,
429I think is sort of up to you,我觉得应该由你决定
430but life is always throwing truth back at you.但生活总是在向你吐露真相
431It's about whether you choose to see it,这是关于你是否选择看它,
432whether you choose to acknowledge it,如果你们愿意承认,
433even if it's painful.纵使痛苦.
434Truth is often painful, right?真相往往很痛苦,对吧?
435If it wasn't, we'd all be seeing truth all the time.如果不是,我们都会看到真相
436Reality is always reflecting truth.现实总是反映真理。
437That's all it is.就是这样
438Why would you not have accessed it already?你为什么不已经访问过它?
439Exactly.没错
440All the philosophy that's out there, for example,比如说,所有的哲学理论,
441it's almost trite.已经很老套了
442Most people, they look at philosophy like pfft,大多数人,他们看哲学 像pfft,
443until they discover it for themselves.直到他们自己发现它。
444Because wisdom is the set of things因为智慧是一组事情
445that cannot be transmitted.无法传输。
446If they could be transmitted,如果可以传出去的话
447we'd read the same five philosophy books.我们读了同样的五本哲学书
448We'd all be done.我们都完了。
449We'd all be wise.我们都会是明智的。
450You have to learn it for yourself.须自修习.
451It has to be rediscovered for yourself必须自己重新发现
452in your own context.在你自己的背景。
453You have to have specific experiences你必须有具体的经验
454that then allow you to generalize这样你就可以概括
455and see the truth in those things并在那些事物中看到真理
456in such a way that you're not gonna unsee them.这样你就不会看不到他们了
457But each person is going to see them in a different way.但每个人都会以不同的方式看待他们。
458I can tell you that Socrates story,我可以告诉你苏格拉底的故事,
459and it's not gonna resonate until there's something并且它不会产生共鸣 直到有东西
460that other people desire that you realize其他人希望你意识到
461you yourself don't want.你自己不会想要的
462And the moment that happens,而那一刻,
463then you'll see the truth in the general statement.然后,你会看到真相 在一般陈述。
464I wanna just read you a two-minute essay我想给你读两分钟的论文
465that I wrote a couple of weeks ago.我几星期前写的
466It's called Unteachable Lessons.名为无学.
467I've been thinking about the special category of lesson,我一直在想特殊类别的课程,
468one which you cannot discover无法发现的
469without experiencing it firsthand.没有亲身体验
470There is a certain subset of advice有个建议
471that for some reason,因为某种原因
472we all refuse to learn through instruction.我们都拒绝通过指导学习。
473These are unteachable lessons.这些是无法教授的教训。
474No matter how arduous or costly or effortful无论多么艰难,多么昂贵,多么努力
475it is going to be for us to find out ourselves,它将是我们发现自己,
476we prefer to disregard the mountains of warnings我们宁可无视警告的山岳,
477from our elders, songs, literature,从我们的长辈,歌曲,文学,
478historical catastrophes, public scandals,历史灾难 公共丑闻
479and instead think some version of,转而想一些版本,
480yeah, that might be true for them, but not for me.是啊,这可能对他们是真实的, 但对我并非如此。
481We decide to learn the hard lessons the hard way我们决定从艰难中吸取教训
482over and over again.一次又一次
483Unfortunately, they all seem to be the big things too.不幸的是,它们似乎都是大事。
484It's never new insights about how to put up level shelves对于如何架设高架,从没有新的见解
485or charmingly introduce yourself at a cocktail party.或者在鸡尾酒派对上很迷人地自我介绍
486Instead, we spend most of our lives相反,我们度过了大部分的一生
487learning firsthand the most important lessons直接学习最重要的教训
488that the previous generations already warned us about.前人曾警告过我们,
489Things like, money won't make you happy.比如,钱不会让你高兴的
490Fame won't fix your self-worth.名声不会修复你的自我价值。
491You don't love that pretty girl.你不爱那个漂亮的女孩。
492She's just hot and difficult to get.她只是热和难得到。
493Nothing is as important as you think it is没有比你想的那么重要
494when you're thinking about it.思惟时.
495You will regret working too much.你会后悔工作太多的
496Worrying is not improving your performance.担心并不能改善你的表现
497All your fears are a waste of time.你所有的恐惧都是浪费时间
498You should see your parents more.你应该多看看你的父母。
499You'll be fine after the breakup分手后就没事了
500and will be grateful that you did it.将感激你这样做。
501It's perfectly okay to cut toxic people out of your life.把有毒的人从你生命中切掉完全没问题
502And even reading this list back,即使读回这份名单,
503I'm rolling my eyes at how fucking trite it is.我转眼看它有多老套
504These are all basic bitch obvious insights这些都是贱货的直觉
505that everybody has heard before.人人都听说过
506But if they're so basic,但是,如果他们是如此的基本,
507why does everyone so reliably fall prey为什么每个人都如此可靠 落猎物
508to them throughout our lives?对他们来说,我们一生?
509And if they're so obvious,如果他们是如此明显,
510why do people who have recently become famous or wealthy为什么最近成名或富有的人
511or lost a parent or gone through a breakup或失去父母或经历分手
512start to proclaim these facts开始宣称这些事实
513with the renewed grandiose ceremony重新举行盛大仪式
514of someone who's just gone through religious revelation?刚刚经历宗教启示的人?
515It's also a very contentious list of points这也是非常有争议的要点列表
516to say on the internet.在互联网上说。
517If you interview a billionaire如果你采访一个亿万富翁
518who says that all of his money didn't make him happy谁说他的钱都不让他高兴
519or a movie star who said that her fame felt like a prison,或电影明星 谁说她的名声 感觉像监狱,
520the internet will tear them apart互联网会把他们撕成碎片
521for being ungrateful and out of touch.忘恩负义 失去联系
522So not only do we refuse to learn these lessons,因此,我们不仅拒绝吸取这些教训,
523we even refuse to hear the message我们甚至拒绝听消息
524from those warning us about them.他们警告我们,
525And even more than that,不仅如此
526I think for every one of these,我想对于每一个这些,
527if I consider a bit deeper,如果我认为更深一点,
528I can recall a time,我记得有一次
529including right now,包括现在,
530where I convinced myself that I am the exception to the rule,在那里我说服自己,我是规则的例外,
531that my particular mental makeup or life situation我特别的精神化妆或生活状况
532or historical wounds or dreams for the future或历史创伤或对未来的梦想
533render me immune to these lessons being applicable.让我免受这些教训的影响。
534No, no, no, my inner landscape would be solved不,不,不,我的内在景观会解决的
535by skirting around the most well-known wisdom of the ages.绕着这些年代最知名的智慧
536No, no, no, I can thread this needle properly.不,不,不,不,我可以 正确线针。
537Watch me dance through the minefield看着我跳过雷区
538and avoid all of the trip wires that everyone else kicks.并避免所有绊脚铁丝 其他人踢。
539And then you kick one,然后你踢一个,
540and you share a knowing look,而你们有共同的眼光,
541the kind that can only occur只能发生的类型
542between two people who've been hurt in the exact same way,两个人一样受伤
543and a voice in the back of your mind will say,你脑后的声音会说
544I told you so.我告诉过你
545That's an unteachable lesson.师曰如何是学人不得.
546It's a good essay.散文精进.
547I think one of the reasons why these lessons are unteachable我认为这些课不能教的原因之一
548is because they're too broad.因为他们太宽了
549They have to be applied in context.它们必须结合具体情况加以适用。
550A number of the ones that you let out contradict each other,你们互相矛盾的,
551like spend more time with your parents喜欢花更多的时间 与你的父母
552and don't work so hard,别这么努力
553but at the same time,但与此同时,
554you do want to be successful, right?你想成功 对吧?
555I think a lot of these lessons come from down on high,我认为很多这些教训都是从高处来的,
556from, as you said, like the famous movie star就像你说的,像著名的电影明星
557or the billionaire saying,或亿万富翁说,
558oh, you don't need my to be happy.哦,你不需要我快乐。
559It's like, well, okay, then give it up, bitch, right?这就像,好吧,然后放弃它,婊子,对不对?
560So in reality, I think many of these contradict each other.所以在现实中,我认为许多这些相互矛盾。
561And it's like, if you went to school这就像,如果你上学
562and you just studied philosophy for four years,你刚刚学习哲学四年,
563you would not know how to live life你不会知道如何生活
564because you wouldn't know which philosophical doctrine因为你不知道哪个哲学理论
565to apply in which circumstance.适用于何种情况。
566You have to actually live life,你必须活着,
567go through all of the issues to figure out研究所有的问题
568what it is that you want,你想怎样?
569what's the context in which some of these things apply这些东西的应用背景是什么?
570and some of them don't.并且有些人没有。
571Yes, you want to visit your parents more often,是的,你想更频繁地拜访你的父母,
572but you don't want to live with your parents但你不想和父母住在一起,因为...
573and you don't want to necessarily see them every day你不必每天都想见到他们
574or every weekend, depending on the parent.或每个周末,取决于父母。
575You might not get along with one of them.你可能与其中之一相处不好。
576So I think it is highly contextual.所以我认为它非常贴切。
577That said, I would argue that这么说,我会说
578once you figure it out for yourself,一旦你自己想出来
579you can kind of carve these variations你可以刻出这些变化
580on these maxims that apply to you.这是适用于你的格言
581And then you'll have a specific experience然后,你会有一个具体的经验
582that helps you remember it and actually execute on it.帮助你记住它 并实际上执行它。
583And you can also phrase it in a way你也可以用某种方式说
584where it's not trite anymore.在那里它不再老化了。
585So like my-就像我的一样...
586It's personal.是个人恩怨
587Yeah, so a lot of my maxims and notes to self是啊,所以很多我的格言 和笔记自我
588are carved in a way that they're modernized.雕刻的方式 他们的现代化。
589They're saying something true,他们说的是实话
590which might be trite if I didn't say it in a new way如果我没有用新的方式说 可能很老套
591or in an interesting way that is more relevant to me today.或以有趣的方式 对我更相关
592There was a Nobel Prize winner有个诺贝尔奖得主
593who said something to the effect of谁说的东西 效果是
594everything worth saying may have been said before,一切值得说 可能以前说过,
595but given that nobody was listening,但鉴于没人听
596it must be said again.必须再说一遍
597Yeah, it has to be said again.是啊,必须再说一遍。
598It has to be recontextualized for the modern age.须为近代重构.
599Things do change.事情确实改变了。
600Technology changes, culture changes, people change.技术变革,文化变革,人变.
601On that, I've heard you say,关于这一点,我听到你说,
602{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}你说的是 看上去明智的区别
603and being wise that you tried to appear smart as a kid和聪明,你试图 显示聪明作为一个孩子
604by sort of-有点...
605I still do.我还在想
606Wrote memorization, masquerading is insight and wisdom.写作回忆,伪装是洞察力和智慧.
607And I'd certainly feel that.我当然会感觉到
608A lot of the show for me, I think, has been,对我来说,很多节目,我想,一直是,
609was and still is a redemption arc from this decade曾经是,现在仍然是这十年的救赎之弧
610of my life where I completely suppressed在我的一生中 我完全压制
611any intellectual curiosity.任何智力上的好奇心。
612It's like, okay, I'll be a professional party boy就像,好吧,我会是一个专业的派对男孩
613for 10 years, stand on the front door of a nightclub十年,站在夜总会门口
614and give out VIP wristbands and have access并发出VIP腕带,可以进入
615to all of the pretty girls or the cool parties给所有漂亮女孩或酷派对
616or whatever it might be.或随其可能.
617Seems like it worked out okay.看起来还不错
618It did in some ways.在某些方面确实如此。
619And you had fun.你玩得很开心
620Look, it was a good way to spend my 20s,你看,这是一个很好的方式 花我的20多岁,
621but to sort of come back above,但为了回到上面,
622put your head above water, two degrees,把你的头放在水上,两度,
623one of which was a masters.其中之一是一个主人。
624And then this like, just shut down any of that learning.然后这就像,只是关闭 任何学习。
625I mean, I did that while I was at uni.我的意思是,我这样做 当我在uni。
626While I was at uni, I was running the events.当我在Uni时,我在主持活动。
627So it was actually a decade and a half.所以其实是十年半。
628I think there was a big redemption arc within this show.我想这节目里有个大救赎弧
629And I constantly have to kind of wipe the slime off me我总得把黏液擦掉
630of this sense that I need to prove myself.我需要证明自己
631And so much of it, it's why it really resonates with me.如此之多,这就是为什么它真的 与我共鸣。
632When you're memorizing things,当你在回忆事物时,
633it indicates that you don't understand them它表明你不明白他们
634or that sort of, yeah, rote memorization and regurgitation或那种,是的, 旋转的纪念和重塑
635masquerading as wisdom.假为智慧.
636Because people use fluency as a proxy因为人们用流利作为代理
637for truthfulness and insight.是诚实和明察的。
638They use the complexity of your language他们使用你语言的复杂性
639and your communication.还有你的通讯
640Yeah, there's a lot of jargon out there.是啊,有很多的术语在那里。
641I think it's the mark of a charlatan我觉得是骗子的印记
642to explain a simple thing in a complex way.以复杂的方式解释一件简单的事情。
643And so when you see people using very complicated language所以当你看到人们使用非常复杂的语言
644to explain simple things,为了解释简单的事情
645they're either trying to impress you and obfuscate他们不是想给你留下深刻的印象 就是迷惑你
646or they don't understand it themselves.或者他们自己不明白
647But there's an allure in that though.但是这里面有种诱惑
648This was one of the things I had to do这是我必须做的一件事
649when I went to therapy.当我去治疗。
650It's kind of an interesting,这是一个有趣的,
651I think I've talked about this before.我想我已经谈过了
652I needed to turn off podcast Chris我要关掉播客克里斯
653when I stepped into therapy当我介入治疗
654because most of the time that I spend one-on-one因为大部分时间我花在一对一
655in a deep conversation that's undistracted在一段深层次的对话中
656throughout the week, I trained myself over,这周我训练自己
657when I started doing it, 700 episodes now, 900 and whatever.当我开始做,700集 现在,900集等等。
658And I knew what I could do to say to this therapist,我知道我能对这个治疗师说什么
659some, to just sort of veer off a little一些,只是 排序的退一点
660and create some nice story, put a bow on it,并创造出一个好的故事,
661push it across the table推过桌子
662and watch your eyes light up a little bit,看着你的眼睛点亮一点,
663like a little grin or a self-deprecating joke or whatever.像一个小笑 或一个自我堕落的笑话或什么的。
664I'm like, you're not here, you're performing.我很喜欢,你不在这里, 你在表演。
665You're doing this, you're doing the Chris Williamson thing你这样做,你做克里斯・威廉森的事情
666with the sort of jazz hands.那种爵士乐手。
667So I have my own version.所以我有我自己的版本。
668Okay, tell me.好吧,告诉我。
669Okay, so you have podcast, Chris.好吧,所以你有播客,克里斯。
670I have podcast guest of all.我有播客的宾客
671Precisely.没错
672So very often I'll think of something.我常常会想出点办法
673I'll have some, what I think is an insight我要一些,我认为是洞察力
674and I wanna tweet it or write it down.我想发微博或写下来
675But in my mind, I'm talking about it on a podcast.但是在我的脑海里,我在播客上谈论它。
676That's kind of how my mind registers it.这就是我的思维方式
677And for a while, I thought this was a bad thing有一阵子,我认为这是件坏事
678and I tried to eradicate podcasting of all.我试图根除播客。
679And then I just realized that's just how it comes out.然后我才意识到 事情就是这样发生的
680So I might as well just be okay with it.所以我还是顺其自然吧
681Now, do you know the reason I'm on this podcast?你知道为什么我在播客里吗?
682I haven't done a proper formal interview,我还没正式面试
683straight up top, whatever, 10, 20 podcasts in a long time.10到20个播客
684Since Rogan, maybe?从罗根开始,也许?
685Probably since Rogan.可能从罗根开始
686Yeah, I went out at the top, right?是啊,我出去 在顶部,对不对?
687That was a theory.这是一个理论。
688Well, it's still at the top.嗯,它仍然在顶部。
689Yeah, yeah, I know.对,对,我知道
690And then I've done some stuff with Tim, Tim Ferriss,然后我做了一些事情 蒂姆,蒂姆・费里斯,
691good friend, but that's been more co-hosting.好朋友,但这已经 更多的联合主办。
692I haven't been a guest.未尝为客.
693And then I did one or two random things然后我做了一两个随机的事情
694where I just stumbled into a thing, right?在那里,我只是偶然 在一个东西,对不对?
695There was a reason, but it wasn't like this.是有原因的 但事情不是这样的
696And I reached out to you for this one, right?我联系了你,对不对?
697I have lots of people reaching out to me for podcasts.我有很多人来找我 寻找播客。
698I do not answer them.我不回答他们。
699I reached out to you.我联系到你了
700And the reason is a really funny one.原因确实很有趣。
701It's because when I am playing podcasts in the vault因为当我在金库里玩播客
702in my head, for some reason you're on the other side.在我的脑子里, 不知为什么你站在另一边。
703And I don't know why, I literally don't know why.我不知道为什么,我真的不知道为什么。
704It's not like I've even seen many of your podcasts.我甚至没有见过很多你的播客
705I think I've seen some snippets here and there.我想我见过一些片段在这里和那里。
706But for some reason, you were the guy in the podcast,但不知何故 你是播客里的那个人
707in podcasts in the vault.在金库里的播客。
708And so I was like, I might as well just do it.所以我想,我还是去做吧。
709So I reached out to you.所以我联系你
710I wonder if this will close that loop我不知道这会不会关闭这个循环
711or further entrench it.或者进一步巩固它。
712I wonder if you've made it way worse now不知道你现在是不是把事情搞得更糟了
713and you're just gonna have, well, first off,而你只是要去, 好了,首先,
714it was a dream and now it's reality plus a dream那是个梦 现在又变成现实了
715and fuck, I can't get away from him.他妈的,我不能离开他。
716Yeah, there are enough people that I turned down是啊,有足够的人 我拒绝了
717where I said, I'm just not doing podcasts.我说的地方,我只是不做播客。
718I feel bad about that.我觉得很糟
719I gotta go back and do those podcasts,我得回去做播客播客
720but I probably wear out my luck.但我可能 磨损了我的运气。
721I have nothing new to talk about.我没什么好谈的
722So I don't know what I'm gonna say.所以我不知道我要说什么。
723Well, I appreciate you said on Rogan.好吧,我很感激你说罗根。
724And this was something to kind of pay it back to you.这是应该还给你的
725I had a five headed Mount Rushmore of guests我有一个5个方向的拉什莫尔山的客人
726before I started this show.在我开始这个节目之前
727And it was Jordan Peterson, Sam Harris,是乔丹・彼得森 山姆・哈里斯
728Alain de Botton from the School of Life, you and Rogan.生命学院的阿兰·德·博顿 你和罗根
729And that was my hydra of a Mount Rushmore.那是拉什莫尔山的海德拉
730And I knew, I think someone had asked you at some point,我知道,我想有人问过你
731maybe it was a tweet or something after Rogan也许是罗根之后的推特什么的
732or maybe even said it on Rogan where you said,或者甚至说在罗根,你说,
733I don't like to say the same thing twice,我不想说同样的话两次,
734at least not in the same way.至少不是这样
735I don't like sequels.我不喜欢续集
736Yeah.对
737Yeah, and I really, really respected that.是啊,我真的,真的很尊重这一点。
738That was 2019.这是2019年。
739You said it was eight or nine years ago.你说是八九年前的事
740It wasn't as long ago as you think.还没你想的那么早
741I have a terrible memory.我有一个可怕的记忆。
742Yeah, yeah.对 对
743You're right, 2019 right before COVID.你说得对,2019年 就在COVID之前
744Yes, and I really appreciated that是的,我真的很感谢
745because there is something, the content game,因为有东西,内容游戏,
746you can continue to sort of,你可以继续排序,
747I'm sure I'll have said many things today我肯定今天会说很多话的
748that the audience will have already heard,观众已经听到了,
749but caring enough about having novel insights但足够关心有 新的洞察力
750or at least having a new perspective on similar insights.或者至少对相似的见解有新的看法。
751So well, in the space of six years since you were on Joe,那么好,在六年的空间 从你对乔,
752a lot of these things, well, I'm coming at them.很多这些东西,嗯,我来了。
753Actually, the first thing I said to you today,其实,我今天对你说的第一句话,
754like, I'm not convinced that I actually fully agree喜欢,我不相信 我真的完全同意
755with that thing that I used to say,我曾经说过的话
756which is cool, right?这很酷,对不对?
757That's you showing that the position这就是你显示的位置
758that you put in the ground previously is not a tether.以前你放进地里不是绳子
759It's not you being held to it anymore.你不再被牵着了
760Well, I think the reason why I wanted to be on this我想为什么我想加入这个
761is because for some reason,因为某些原因,
762I have the impression that you engage in conversations.我有一种印象,你参与谈话。
763And I like conversations.我喜欢谈话
764I don't like interviews.我不喜欢采访
765This is why I was doing my last startup AirChat,这就是为什么我做 我最后一个启动的AirChat,
766which was all about conversations.这都是关于对话的
767And conversations to me are more genuine.和我的对话更真实
768They're more authentic.他们更真实。
769There's a give and take.有报有报.
770There's a back and forth.前后有为.
771There's a genuine curiosity.有一种真正的好奇心。
772It's not to say the other podcasters don't do it.不是说其他播客不这样做
773They absolutely do do it.他们绝对这样做。
774But for some reason in my mind, I had you as a guy但出于某种原因 我把你当男人
775that I would actually have a conversation with.我其实会有一个谈话。
776And sure enough, you just read me your essay,当然,你只是读我的论文,
777which I don't think anybody else would really do, right?我不认为其他人会真的这样做,对不对?
778That implies there's a give and take.意思是说有得有失
779There's a genuine curiosity.有一种真正的好奇心。
780And I think that's useful because then我觉得这很有用 因为那时
781certain inexplicit knowledge that I had某些我无法解释的知识
782will be surfaced for myself.将浮出水面为自己。
783And I think that's helpful.我认为这很有帮助。
784Well, you're seeing, you know,嗯,你看到的,你知道,
785to kind of break the fourth wall a bit,有点打破第四面墙,
786you're seeing very much of some of the gateway drug insights你可以看到很多 网关毒品的洞察力
787that you had that you just don't get to choose.你没有选择的余地
788I'm aware that you kind of have an anti-guru sentiment我知道你有点反古鲁情绪
789in you, like a very strong, like, don't listen to me.像你一样强壮 别听我的
790I don't know what I'm doing.不知所为.
791That's a trap.这是一个陷阱。
792No, guru's a trap.不 大师是个陷阱
793Do not follow me, do not bow to me,不要跟着我,不要向我鞠躬,
794do not do any of the other things to me.别对我做其他的事
795But if you see resonance in another person,但如果你看到别人的共鸣
796and I think this is what we're all trying to find.我想这就是我们想找到的
797You know, people can complain about the mountains你知道,人们可以抱怨 山
798of content creation that happens, and maybe rightly so.内容的创造, 发生,也许是正确的。
799But if you're able to find someone但是如果你能找到一个人
800and you see in them a little bit of you,你从他们身上看到一点点,
801maybe not even much of you, but like, oh, that bit of them,也许你们不怎么喜欢,但是,哦,那一点,
802their self-esteem or the way they look at relationships他们的自尊或他们看待关系的方式
803or what they want to do, the kind of life they want或他们想做什么, 他们想要什么样的生活
804or the level of peace of mind that they want to have或他们想要的平静程度
805or whatever it might be.或随其可能.
806If you find in somebody else a little bit of that,如果你在别人身上找到一点点
807it's kind of like what you're saying before.有点像你之前说的
808You can no longer be unconvinced of that.你不能再不相信这一点了。
809And it steps in and becomes a part of you.它进入并成为你的一部分。
810And yeah, you're maybe seeing reflected back to you是啊,你可能看到反射给你
811some, you know, this sort of percolated,有些,你知道, 这种穿透,
812very meandering insight from however long ago很久以前的深刻见解
813that something's happened.发生了什么事。
814And maybe in, you know, five years time,也许在五年时间里
815you'll be like, you know that thing that you said你会想,你知道你说的
816about the lessons of the blah, blah, blah, blah, blah?关于教训之类的,等等,等等,等等?
817And then, I don't know, it's cool.然后,我不知道,这是很酷的。
818That's like synthesis, right?这就像合成,对不对?
819It's this sort of blending of.这是这种混合。
820The reason I spend a lot of time in San Francisco我在旧金山花了很多时间
821is because it's a gravitational attractor因为它是一个引力吸引器
822for the smartest people in the world.为世界上最聪明的人。
823And despite all of the many problems the city had尽管有许多问题 城市有
824because it's mismanaged beyond belief,因为它管理不当 超越了信仰,
825it does just seem to pull in它似乎只是拉进来了
826the young, smart, creative people.年轻,聪明,有创意的人。
827Not just the ones who are building technology,不只是那些在制造技术的人
828but they're exploring every facet of life但他们正在探索生命的每一个方面
829and they're weird and sometimes it's repulsive他们很奇怪,有时会让人厌恶
830and it's bizarre, but you talk to these people很奇怪,但你跟这些人说话
831and you just see a very intelligent person你看到一个非常聪明的人
832coming at life in a completely different way,以完全不同的方式降临生命,
833putting it through the combinatorics of human DNA,把它通过 人类DNA的组合,
834which are uncountable,不可计数的,
835and giving you a weird perspective并给你一个奇怪的视角
836that can twist your mind around.那样可以让你心神不宁
837And to do that, you always have to be learning.要做到这一点,你总是必须学习。
838You can't be in a guru mentality.你不能在大师的心态。
839If I'm with somebody and they're listening如果我和别人在一起,他们在听
840to every word I say and hanging on it,对每一个字,我说和挂在它,
841that's not interesting for me.这对我来说不好玩。
842I'm not gonna learn anything.我不会学任何东西。
843I want people who are intelligent,我要那些聪明的人
844who will say something back that is a little different说些不同的话
845and I may not agree with it,我也许不同意
846but it's gonna leave a mark.但它会留下一个标记。
847It's gonna leave an impression.这会留下一个印象。
848And it's gonna leave an impression to the extent这会给人留下深刻的印象
849that both that they are correct两者都是正确的
850and that I choose to listen.我选择倾听。
851And I'll choose to listen if I don't view myself我将选择听 如果我不看自己
852as higher status or smarter than them.地位更高或比他们聪明
853The flip side of that is I'm not really impressed翻转的一面是,我不怎么印象深刻
854by high status people.由地位高的人。
855Like I don't...就像我没有...
856Just because-只是因为...
857Has that always been the case?一直都是这样吗?
858Pretty much.相当多。
859In fact, most of my friends who have gone on事实上,我大多数朋友都走了
860to become very famous or successful,变得非常出名或成功,
861the more famous successful they've been,他们越出名的成功,
862the less I spend time with them.我花在他们身上的时间越少
863Partially because they get surrounded部分是因为被包围了
864by an army of sycophants,以一支结节的军队盟誓,
865so it gets hard to break through.所以很难突破
866And cause I don't want anything from them.因为我不想从他们那里得到任何东西。
867And I don't like these situations我不喜欢这样的情况
868in which transactional relationships are implied.暗含交易关系。
869That can be a gift though to people who are of that这可以是一种礼物 给那些家伙
870because the higher that they climb up that hierarchy,因为他们越高 爬上等级,
871the fewer and fewer people don't want anything from them.越来越少的人 不想从他们身上得到任何东西。
872So in that way, you can be an even better friend.这样的话,你可以成为一个更好的朋友。
873Right, but they get surrounded by people对,但他们被人包围
874who do want things from them他们的确想从他们那里获得什么,
875and are so good at pretending they don't,并且很擅长假装他们没有,
876that it's just not worth my time to try这不值得我尝试
877and break out from that group.然后从那个团体里逃出来
878So it does get lonely at the top, so to speak,所以,它确实变得孤独 在顶部,所以说,
879but it's also by choice because it's...但也因为...
880Champagne problem.香槟问题。
881Yeah, you can be your own best friend too.是啊,你也可以成为你最好的朋友。
882I am my own best friend actually.其实我是我最好的朋友
883So I really do enjoy spending time with myself.所以我真的很喜欢和自己在一起
884Yeah, the smartest people aren't interested是啊,最聪明的人不感兴趣
885in appearing smart and don't care what you think is...表现得聪明一点 也不管你怎么想
886Yeah, I mean, a lot of life is not giving a shit.是啊,我的意思是,很多生活 是不在乎狗屎。
887A lot of the best things in life come out of that.生活中很多最好的事物都从中产生.
888Hmm, does this mean sort of talking about意思是说
889that rote memorization masquerading as wisdom以智慧代替记忆
890and insight thing, which I think perhaps和洞察力的事情, 我认为也许
891almost certainly podcasts like this几乎肯定播客是这样的
892will have contributed to.将为此做出贡献。
893You know, you hear an Olander-Botton你知道,你听到一个奥兰德 -博顿
894who's like a painter with words,他像画家 有文字,
895very simple, very sort of unpretentious,非常简单,非常不可取
896but if you're intellectually curious,但是如果你在智力上好奇的话
897you only see the production of his thoughts你只见他的思想产生,
898you don't necessarily see the work你不一定看到这作品
899that's gone into the thoughts behind.这已经进入了后面的思想。
900So you confuse the presentation of them for the insight.所以,你混淆了 展示他们的洞察力。
901Does that make sense?这有道理吗?
902Of course, yeah.当然,是的。
903A lot of my stuff is more polished.我很多东西都磨光了
904Like one of the funny things,就像一个有趣的事情,
905yeah, one of the funny things that right before this podcast是啊,一个有趣的事情 在播客之前
906was I thought, maybe I should go back and read my old tweets我想,也许我应该回去看看我的旧微博
907to sort of remember what I said记得我说过的话
908and I can articulate it well.我可以很好地表达出来。
909Then I realized that's just performance.然后我意识到这只是表现。
910I would just be memorizing my whole stuff to perform.我只是在回忆 我的全部东西来表演。
911Oh, well, that's an extra special level of hell哦,好吧,这是一个额外的特殊水平的地狱
912{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}你已经陷入了困境
913I wrote memorizing me to be more me.我写信提醒我 要成为更多的我。
914Bingo.宾果。
915And to live up to some expectations并满足一些期望
916or some famous personality that I now have to become,或者我现在必须成为的名人
917some straight jacket that I have to put on.一件我必须穿上的直衣
918I'm having to live up to in private我不得不私下过日子
919the things that I put on.我穿上的东西。
920That's right.没错
921So of course, pretty quickly I saw through that.所以,当然,我很快地看到了这一点。
922You know, it's nonsense and it also constrains my time你知道,这是胡说八道 也制约了我的时间
923and it's just work.而这只是工作。
924I think that's, you know, your meditation practice at work我觉得那是你在工作中的冥想练习
925that mindfulness gap to be like, huh.记忆的空白就像,呵呵。
926Yeah.对
927There's that thing again.还有那个东西
928Exactly.没错
929Hello.哈罗
930So it's not about changing your thoughts.所以这不是改变你的想法。
931It's not about fixing your thoughts.这不是关于修复你的想法。
932It's not about changing yourself.这不是改变自己。
933It's just about being observant of yourself只是为了观察自己
934so that you can then, it'll automatically change.这样你就能自动改变
935Whatever change needs to happen will happen.无论需要发生什么变化,都会发生。
936You trying to change yourself is very circular.你试图改变自己是非常循环的。
937The mind trying to change the mind,心想改变主意
938the mind doesn't want wrestling with itself.头脑不想自己摔跤
939I don't think it gets you anywhere.我想这对你没有好处
940You've spent a lot of time either creating wealth你花了很多时间创造财富
941or thinking about how to create wealth.或者想着如何创造财富
942What have you learned are the best places to spend wealth?你学到了什么是 财富的最好地方?
943To spend wealth.以施富贵.
944Yeah.对
945You spend this time creating this wealth, accumulating.你花时间创造财富,积累财富
946How does, what are the best ways for you to put it back out?怎么样,什么是最好的方法 你把它放回去?
947I actually think Elon had this one figured out,我觉得伊隆已经想通了
948which is he plowed his own money back into his own businesses也就是他把自己的钱 汇回自己的企业
949to go and do bigger and better things for humanity.去为人类做更多更好的事
950So what I would like to, you know,所以,我想,你知道,
951you could give it to nonprofits,你可以把它给非营利者,
952but a lot of nonprofits are grifty但很多非营利组织都是骗子
953or it's people who didn't earn it trying to spend it不然就是那些没有挣钱的人
954or they don't have tight feedback loops或者他们没有严格的反馈循环
955on having a good effect.效果不错
956So one of the things I want to do as an aside所以有件事我想做为一旁
957is I want to create a little school for young physicists,我想为年轻的物理学家创建一所小学校
958but that's my nonprofit.但那是我的非营利
959For young physicists?对于年轻的物理学家?
960Yeah, that's my non-profit thing.是啊,这是我非营利的事情。
961But, and I've actually underwritten media但是,我其实已经 给媒体写了
962and some physics stuff.和一些物理的东西。
963I don't like to talk about it.亦不乐说.
964So I don't talk about my whatever so-called philanthropy所以我不谈我所谓的慈善事业
965because I think that makes it less real.因为我觉得这样就不那么真实了
966That makes it more status oriented.这使得它更面向地位。
967It makes it less philanthropic.这使慈善活动减少。
968Yeah, exactly.没错
969And then people-然后人们...
970Look at how charitable my charity is.看看我的慈善事业有多慈善
971And then people also come hunting for money.然后人们也来找钱
972So there's all of that disease.故有诸病.
973I don't believe in giving to schools.我不相信给学校。
974They have enough money.他们有足够的钱。
975Ivy Leagues have enough money常春藤联盟的钱够多了
976and they don't know how to spend it.他们不知道怎么花
977So I think the best use of money is I think a good business所以,我认为最好的用钱 是我认为一个好生意
978creates a product for people that they voluntarily buy为人们创造他们自愿购买的产品
979and they get value out of.他们得到的价值出来。
980So in that sense, I think Steve Jobs and Elon因此,从这个意义上说,我认为史蒂夫・乔布斯和伊隆
981and entrepreneurs like that have created a lot of value这样的企业家创造了很多价值
982for the world.为了世界
983So one of the things I can do is I can take my own money所以我能做的就是自己拿钱
984and I can invest it in myself to go and build我可以自己投资去建设
985the next great thing that I think needs to exist.下一个伟大的事情 我认为需要存在。
986And that's basically what I'm doing right now.这就是我现在要做的。
987I'm doing a new business.我在做一个新生意
988I'm self-funding it.我自资.
989I'm plowing a lot of money into it.我为它花了很多钱。
990I'm gonna build something that I think is beautiful我要造出一件我认为很美的东西
991that I wanna see exist.我想看见存在。
992I really wanna see it exist.我真的很想看到它的存在。
993Have you spoken about this yet or is it still dark mode?你说过这个吗? 还是还黑模式?
994It's so early.这么早才到
995It's, yeah.没错
996Maybe I'll show it to you in a few months.也许我几个月后会给你看
997Cool.凉爽。
998Hopefully six months.希望是六个月
999And I'm excited about it and that's a good use of money.我对此感到兴奋,这是对资金的很好的利用。
1000What about the worst places to spend wealth?那最糟糕的财富消费地点呢?
1001What is the old line?旧线是什么?
1002If it flies, floats or fornicates.若其飞翔,浮或奸.
1003Well, very nice way to change the final F.嗯,非常好的方式 改变最终F。
1004Very impressive.非常令人印象深刻。
1005That's the way I heard it.闻此语已.
1006I can't take credit for it.岂能取功德.
1007I'm pretty sure it's fucks, but yeah.我敢肯定,这是性交,但是啊。
1008I think that was, maybe it was Felix Dennis我想可能是费利克斯·丹尼斯
1009who had that quote.谁有这句话。
1010Yeah, he said, if it flies, floats or fornicates, rent it.是的,他说,如果它飞,浮或私通,租它。
1011I think the last one was a little too.我想上一个也是
1012It's wrong that he didn't have a family,他没有家人是错的
1013didn't have kids.没有孩子。
1014So he missed the big one.所以他错过了那个大人物
1015But yeah, there are lots of bad ways to spend money.但是,是的,有很多坏的方法 花钱。
1016I believe in investment.我相信投资
1017I don't believe in consumption.我不相信消费。
1018Yes, you're born with a short housing position.是的,你出生 有一个短的住房位置。
1019You close that out, you get yourself a nice house,你关闭它, 你得到自己一个好的房子,
1020get yourself some help to free up your time.找人帮你腾出时间
1021So you're not doing things所以,你没有做任何事情
1022that other people can do better.别人能做得更好
1023Treat people well, always overpay and expect the best.善待人,总是高薪,期望最好.
1024Pay them like they're the best and then expect the best.付他们像他们是最好的,然后期望最好的。
1025But overall, I think a good use of money is to take risks但总的来讲,我觉得善用钱就是冒险
1026and build things and do things that other people can't do做别人不能做的事情
1027and align it with your own unique talents并配合你独特的才能
1028so you can keep delivering to the world.这样你就能继续把东西送到世界
1029I'm not gonna sit idle.我不会袖手旁观的
1030I'm not gonna retire.我不会退休的
1031That's a waste of whatever time I have left on this earth.这是浪费我在这个地球上的时间。
1032And if I'm doing something I enjoy,如果我在做我喜欢的事
1033then I'm already in perpetual retirement.那我已经永远退休了
1034Because work is just a set of things you wanna do因为工作只是你想要做的事
1035that you have to do that you don't want to do.你必须做你不想做的事
1036So if you wanna do it, it's not work.所以,如果你想做到这一点, 它不是工作。
1037And so there are things that I wanna do所以,有些事情我想做
1038don't feel like work.不喜欢工作
1039I can put money behind them and I can use that我可以把钱放在他们后面,我可以用它
1040to instantiate them into reality.让他们成为现实
1041And I don't wanna say make the world a better place我不想说让世界变得更美好
1042because that's too trite,因为太老套了
1043but it's more just create a product that I am proud of但它更只是创造了一种产品 我感到自豪
1044that wouldn't exist otherwise否则就不会存在
1045that other people will get tremendous value.其他人会得到巨大的价值。
1046And it's been enabled through wealth它通过财富实现
1047because you're able to take a level of risk因为你可以冒险
1048that you wouldn't have been able to otherwise.否则你不可能做到
1049Exactly, yeah, wealth gives you freedom.没错 财富给了你自由
1050It gives you freedom to explore more options.它让你有探索更多选择的自由.
1051And in my case, it gives me freedom to start businesses就我而言,这让我有创业的自由
1052without having to ask other people for permission无需征求他人同意
1053or to warp my vision based on their desires或根据他们的欲望扭曲我的视觉
1054to make a return or how they think money should be made.或他们认为应该如何赚钱。
1055Is there anything that you'd add还有什么你会添加的
1056to the how to get rich thread?如何获得丰富的线索?
1057Is there anything where you thought,有什么你认为,
1058fuck, like just one, if I could go in and edit他妈的,就像一个, 如果我可以进去编辑
1059and add one more in or-并增加一个在或 --
1060Oh, there's like 10,000 things有一万件东西
1061I could talk about that topic forever to be honest.老实说,我可以永远谈论这个话题。
1062Like that thread was so short and it was so limited好像线很短,很有限
1063and it was so like crafted in a sense,和它是如此像 设计在某种意义上,
1064although I wrote it very spontaneously.虽然我写得非常自发
1065It left so much on the cutting room floor它留下这么多 在剪切室地板上
1066that I could just talk about that topic for days.我可以谈论这个话题 几天。
1067But it's all contextual, right?但这一切都是背景,对不对?
1068Business is very, very, very contextual.商业是非常,非常,非常的背景。
1069Like you have to look at the particular business就像你必须看 特定的生意
1070and understand what's being done and why it's being done并理解正在做和为什么这样做
1071and how it's being done.和如何进行。
1072And then you can tear it apart然后你可以撕开它
1073and then reassemble it properly.然后重新组装
1074And I like to think that that is actually我觉得这其实是
1075where I have specific knowledge and expertise.在那里,我拥有具体的知识和专长。
1076My specific knowledge and expertise is not in happiness我的具体知识和专长不是幸福
1077and not in philosophy.而不是哲学
1078Yes, my life is very hacked to be very unique,是的,我的生活被黑了 非常独特,
1079but I don't think that's where my specific knowledge is.但我不认为这是我的具体知识所在。
1080My specific knowledge is in being able to analyze a business,我的具体知识是能够分析企业
1081especially a technology business,特别是科技行业,
1082and take it apart at the seams and predict in advance在缝合处把它拆开,并预先预测。
1083what is likely to work and what is not likely to work.哪些是可行的,哪些是行不通的。
1084Clubhouse notwithstanding.俱乐部尽管。
1085Because you're still gonna be wrong most of the time.因为你大部分时间还是会错的
1086It's like playing the lottery,这就像打彩票,
1087but you know one or two of the tickets numbers in advance.但你事先知道一两个票号
1088You only have to be right a few times你只需要对几次
1089or even just once to get the big score.甚至只有一次才能拿到大分
1090彼得・提尔开始PayPal,
1091but he made all his money on Facebook, right?但他在Facebook上赚了所有的钱,对吧?
1092Now he's done more since then obviously,从那时起他做得更多
1093but that was the big winner.但这是大赢家。
1094And that's true in any power law distribution.任何权力法律的分配都是如此。
1095Number one is gonna return more一号会再回来
1096than two through input together.超过两个通过一起输入。
1097Two will return more than three through input together.两个通过共同输入返回三个以上。
1098You're operating in a highly leveraged intellectual domain.你是一个高杠杆的知识领域。
1099So the outcomes are gonna be nonlinear.结果是非线性。
1100So I know a lot about the topic,所以我知道很多关于这个话题,
1101but it's highly contextual.但它的高度背景。
1102It makes a lot more sense这更有意义
1103if there's a specific business in front of me,如果在我面前有具体的事
1104a specific entrepreneur, and I can take that apart.一个特定的企业家, 我可以拆开它。
1105And I can say, so there are certain companies我可以说,所以有一些公司
1106where I'll say, oh, this is not gonna work我会说,哦,这行不通
1107because you, the entrepreneur,因为你,企业家,
1108are doing this for the wrong reasons.这样做是出于错误的理由。
1109You're doing A so you can get to B, just go to B.你做A是为了让你得到B,只是去B。
1110Or you're doing this to make money你这样做是为了赚钱
1111when really the person who's doing this当真正的人 谁这样做
1112because they love the product is gonna beat you.因为他们喜欢这个产品会打败你
1113Or you're raising money from the wrong people或者你从错人那里筹钱
1114who are in it for the wrong reasons.谁在其中 以错误的原因。
1115Or your co-founder is not in it for the right reasons.或者你的联合创始人 并不是出于正确的原因
1116Or you don't have the right kind of co-founder.或者你没有合适的联合创始人
1117Or your vesting schedule is wrong.或者你的背包安排错了
1118Or you're starting the business in the wrong place或者你在错误的地方创业
1119or you're approaching it from this angle或者你从这个角度接近它
1120instead of that angle.而不是那个角度。
1121And of course I'll be wrong too,当然我也会错的
1122but I've just seen a lot of data.但我刚刚看到很多数据
1123I have my theories around it.我有我的理论围绕它。
1124And that's where I feel very comfortable operating.在那里,我感觉很舒服的操作。
1125The problem is when I have to talk about问题是当我不得不谈论
1126how to create wealth and how to get rich如何创造财富和如何致富
1127is a clickbait title, deliberately.故意是一个点击标题。
1128But when I talk about how to create wealth,但当我谈论如何创造财富时,
1129talking about it in the abstract is very difficult抽象地谈论它是很困难的
1130because then you just wanna speak truth.因为你只想说真话
1131You have to just say the timeless stuff.你只能说那些无时无刻的东西
1132You have to be right in almost every context.在几乎每个背景中你都必须正确。
1133And so it really limits what you can say.因此,它真的限制了 你可以说。
1134The lack of specificity makes it, yeah.缺乏特异性使得它,是的。
1135Correct, it's back to philosophy.正确,这是回到哲学。
1136But when I can get specific about it,但是,当我可以得到 具体关于它,
1137that's when the real knowledge is coming.这时候,真正的知识来了。
1138You can be like a wealth counselor for people.你可以像一个财富顾问 为人们。
1139Yeah, part of the reason why I started doing podcasts是啊,部分原因 我开始做播客
1140and this is ego at play, so I'll admit it freely.这是玩耍的自负 所以我会自由承认
1141When I was tweeting, I kind of pioneered philosophy Twitter,当我在推特上, 我有点开创性哲学推特,
1142if you will, or a certain kind of如果你愿意,或者某种类型的
1143practical philosophy Twitter.实用哲学推特.
1144Where in 140 characters, I would try to say something true在140个字符中,我会试着说一些真实的话
1145in an interesting way that was insightful to me at the time.以有趣的方式 对我来说是当时的洞察力。
1146But then that got copied.但后来被复制了
1147There's thousands of us now, right?我们现在有成千上万的人了 对吧?
1148Thousands of people spitting it out,成千上万的人吐出来,
1149trying to create these things all day long.试图创造这些东西一整天。
1150Although I like to think that my stuff is incompressible.虽然我喜欢认为我的东西是不可压抑的。
1151I'm saying it in the tightest way possible,我用最紧的方式说,
1152which is kind of a little failed poetry background.这是一种有点失败的诗歌背景。
1153But what I realized was if you truly have但我发现 如果你真的有
1154a deep understanding of something,深知某事,
1155then you can talk about it all day long.然后你可以整天谈论它。
1156Then you can re-derive everything you need然后你可以重新思考你需要的一切
1157from that understanding, no memorization required.根据这种理解,不需要记忆。
1158You can get to it from first principles.你可以从第一原理得到它。
1159And every piece of what you know is like a Lego block你所知道的每件东西都像乐高块
1160that just fits in and forms a steel frame.那只是适合并形成一个钢框。
1161It's solid, it's locked in there.坚固,锁在其中.
1162And so on a podcast, I can unload much more deeply所以在播客上 我可以更深入地卸载
1163about some of these topics.是关于这些话题的。
1164So for example, we can talk about any business you like,比如,我们可以谈你喜欢的生意
1165but it has to be in context.但它必须是背景。
1166It has to be real.须是实相.
1167It has to be an actual problem.这一定是个实际的问题。
1168Then we can solve it.那我们就解决了
1169I just really love that heuristic of我只是真的很喜欢那 充满活力的
1170if you're having to memorize something,如果你必须记住一件事
1171it's because you don't understand.因为你不明白
1172You don't understand it, that's right.你不明白,这是正确的。
1173If you have to memorize something,如果你必须记住一件事
1174it's because you don't understand it.因为你不明白
1175And if you understand something,如果你明白一些事情的话
1176you don't have to memorize it.你不必记住它。
1177Yeah, again, just to sort of call out a lot是啊,再次,只是排序 调出很多
1178of what I tried to do, this redemption arc thing我试图做的, 这个救赎弧的事情
1179of if I sound smart, that's like being smart, right?如果我听起来很聪明, 那就像很聪明,对不对?
1180Well, ChatGPT has memorized the entire internet.好吧,ChatGPT已经记住了整个互联网。
1181Good luck competing with that.祝你们好运
1182You're not gonna beat at a memorization.你不会在回忆中击败。
1183You're not even gonna beat a library of memorization.你甚至不会打败一个记忆图书馆。
1184You're not gonna beat any 10 books of memorization.你不会打败任何十本回忆录的
1185So memorization is not the thing.因此,记忆不是事情。
1186The value of memorization is going down by the day.忆念之值逐日下降.
1187It's already so low.已经这么低了
1188Understanding is the thing.了解是关键
1189Being able to, judgment is the thing.判断才是关键
1190Taste is a thing.尝是事.
1191And understanding, judgment, taste,还有理解 判断 品味
1192these come out of having real problems这些都是因为有真正的问题
1193and then solving them and then finding the commonalities.然后解决它们 然后找到共同点
1194What is philosophy?什么是哲学?
1195Everyone, you live long enough, you'll be a philosopher.每个人,你活得够久了,你会成为一个哲学家.
1196Philosophy is just when you find哲学只是当你发现
1197the hidden generalizable truths隐藏的真理
1198among the specific experiences that you've had in life.在你生活中的具体经历中
1199And then you know how to navigate然后,你知道如何导航
1200future specific experiences based on some heuristics.未来基于一些热力学的具体经验。
1201And you create a philosophy around that.你创造了一个哲学。
1202Any subject pursued deeply enough足够深入的话题
1203will eventually lead to philosophy.最终会导致哲学。
1204Mastery in anything, literally anything,精通任何东西, 字面上的任何,
1205will lead you to being a philosopher.会让你成为哲学家
1206You just have to stick with it long enough你只要坚持足够久
1207and generalize the truths back out.把真相概括出来
1208And these are universal truths.这些是普遍真理。
1209It's back to the unity in variety.复以形形形色色之统一.
1210You can find unity in anything if you go deep enough.只要足够深入,就能在任何事物中找到团结.
1211And that's why the trite stuff,这就是为什么 古老的东西,
1212unfortunately sort of keeps coming back around.很不幸地,一直回来
1213You're like, well, look,你就像,嗯,听着,
1214this is cliche for kind of a reason.这是陈词滥调的原因
1215It's cliche for reasons.以故为俗.
1216But sometimes you learn new things.但有时你会学到新的东西。
1217Sometimes you do figure out new things too.有时候你也会想出新的办法
1218Even in philosophy, for example, science has advanced.例如,即使在哲学方面,科学也取得了进步。
1219As science has advanced,随着科学的进步
1220it's actually expanded our boundaries of philosophy.它实际上扩大了我们的哲学界限。
1221When we used to think that the earth当我们曾经认为地球
1222was the center of the universe,是宇宙的中心,
1223you would actually have a different philosophical outlook你会有一个不同的哲学观点
1224than when you think the universe is vast而不是当你认为宇宙是广阔的
1225and we're infinitesimally small.而我们是无限小。
1226It will give you a different philosophical outlook.它会给你一个不同的哲学观点。
1227The same way if you think that如果你这么认为
1228the nature is driven by angels and demons and gods大自然由天使、恶魔和神驱使
1229versus if there are laws of physics对比物理定律
1230that are computable and understandable,那是可计算和可理解的,
1231that will lead you to a different philosophical outlook.这将引导你 不同的哲学观点。
1232If you think that knowledge is something如果你认为知识是什么东西
1233that is passed down from above and through generations,那是从上至下,
1234which is something that is created on the fly这是在苍蝇上创造的东西
1235and then tested against reality,然后用现实来检验
1236that will lead to a different philosophical outlook.这将导致不同的哲学观点。
1237If you think humans are created by God如果你认为人类是上帝创造的
1238as opposed to humans evolved from some unicellular organism,而不是人类从一些单冰体进化而来,
1239yeah, it still doesn't solve the original problem.是啊,它仍然不能解决 最初的问题。
1240Who created that?谁创造的?
1241But at least it takes you further back.但至少它让你更进一步。
1242Take the time down the road.乘时下路.
1243Even same theory is an attempt at reformulating philosophy甚至同样的理论 试图重塑哲学
1244based on what we know about computers,根据我们对计算机的了解
1245even though it kind of leads虽然它有点引领
1246to a lot of the same conclusions as creator.与创造者相同的结论
1247But it is at least philosophy但至少是哲学
1248that is informed by technology and by science.由科技和科学提供资讯。
1249So philosophy can also evolve.所以哲学也可以进化.
1250Moral philosophy evolves, right?道德哲学进化,对不对?
1251There was a time when every culture practically,曾经有一段时间 每一个文化,实际上,
1252that was a conquering culture, practiced slavery.那是一种征服的文化, 实行奴隶制。
1253Now, almost all cultures abhor slavery.现在,几乎所有的文化都厌恶奴隶制。
1254That's moral philosophy having evolved.这就是道德哲学已经进化。
1255There was even like, this sounds too ludicrous to be true.这听起来太可笑了 根本不是真的
1256And I don't know if it fully is true,我不知道这是不是真的
1257but there were a fairly large group of doctors但是有一大群医生
1258based on studies who believed until the 1980s根据1980年代以前所相信的研究
1259that babies couldn't feel pain.婴儿不会感到痛苦
1260And so even to this day,因此,即使直到今天,
1261I think circumcision is done without anesthesia.我想割包皮是没有麻醉的
1262And because under the theory that very young children,因为根据这个理论,非常年幼的孩子,
1263babies don't feel pain, and that's ludicrous.婴儿不感到痛苦,这是可笑的。
1264And there was a study that came out in the 80s that said,80年代有个研究说
1265no, no, they do feel pain.不,不,他们确实感到痛苦。
1266It's like, oh yeah, of course, right?就像,哦,是的,当然,对不对?
1267So people can be stuck in bad philosophical traps这样人们就能陷入不良的哲学陷阱
1268for a long period of time.在很长一段时间。
1269So even philosophy can make progress.因此,即使是哲学也能取得进步.
1270And as an example, one of the realizations that I had,举个例子,我的一个认识,
1271and this is thanks to David Deutsch这要归功于大卫·德许
1272and my friend James Pearson,我的朋友詹姆斯·皮尔逊
1273also thinking it through a little bit,也经过一点点思考
1274is that there are these timeless old questions是这些永恒的老问题
1275that we run into where the answers seem like paradoxes.发现答案似乎有些矛盾
1276So we stop thinking about them.所以,我们停止思考他们。
1277So an example is free will.所以一个例子就是自由意志。
1278Do you have free will?你有自由意志吗?
1279Or does anything matter?或有什么关系?
1280Is there a meaning to life?有生命的意义吗?
1281And we get stuck in them because for example,我们被困在其中,因为例如,
1282is there a meaning to life?有生命的意义吗?
1283Like, yes, life has a meaning because you're right here.就像,是的,生活有其意义 因为你在这里。
1284You create your own meaning.你创造了你自己的意义。
1285This moment has all the meaning you could imagine.这个时刻有你能想象的一切意义。
1286It's all the meaning there is.谓一切有情.
1287On the other hand, you're gonna die.另一方面,你会死的。
1288It all goes to zero.都变成零
1289Heat, death, the universe has no meaning, right?热,死亡,宇宙没有意义,对不对?
1290So which one is it?那么是哪个?
1291Well, the reason why it seems paradoxical那么,为什么它看起来矛盾
1292is because you're asking the question of a human here now因为你现在在问人类的问题
1293at a certain scale at a certain time.在某一时间的某个尺度。
1294And then you're answering it from the viewpoint然后你从角度回答
1295of the universe over infinite time.无限时间的宇宙
1296So you pull the trick.所以,你拉诡计。
1297You switch the level at which you're answering the question你把回答的关卡换掉
1298and questions should be answered应该回答问题
1299at the level at which they're asked.在要求他们的级别。
1300So if you ask the question, is there a meaning?所以,如果你问问题,有什么意义吗?
1301You, Chris, are asking that question.你,克里斯,正在问这个问题。
1302Yes, to Chris, there is meaning.是的,对克里斯来说,有意义。
1303There's meaning right here.这里有意义
1304This is the meaning.这就是意义。
1305You can interpret any meaning you want onto it.你可以解释你想要的任何意义
1306Don't ask the question as Chris不要像克里斯那样问问题
1307and then answer it as God or as the universe.然后作为上帝或宇宙来回答
1308That's the trick that you're playing.这就是你玩的把戏
1309That's why it seems paradoxical.这就是为什么它似乎矛盾。
1310The same way you can say, do I have free will?就像你说的,我有自由意志吗?
1311People debate free will all day long.人们整天自由辩论
1312The question is answered at the wrong frame.这个问题是在错误的框架下解答的.
1313So they ask the question,所以他们问问题,
1314is do I as an individual have free will?作为个人,我是否有自由意志?
1315Hell yeah, I have free will.地狱是的,我有自由意志。
1316My mind, body, system can't predict我的头脑,身体,系统无法预测
1317what I'm gonna do next.接下来我要做什么?
1318The universe is infinitely complex.宇宙无限复杂.
1319I'm making a choice in my mind and I'm doing something.我在做一个选择 在脑海里,我做了一些事情。
1320There's my free will.有我自由意志.
1321So answer at the level at which you were asked.回答你被问到的程度
1322Of course I have free will我当然有自由意志
1323because I feel like I have free will因为我觉得自己有自由意志
1324and I treat you like you have free will我把你当做自由意志
1325and you treat me like I have free will.你把我当成自由意志
1326We have free will.我们有自由意志。
1327The problem then is you start trying to answer the question问题是你开始回答问题
1328as if you're the universe.就像你是宇宙一样
1329You're like, well, on the universal scale,你就像,嗯, 在世界范围,
1330big bang, particle collisions, no one makes any choices.大爆炸,粒子碰撞, 没有人做出任何选择。
1331How could you be any different你怎么会不一样?
1332than what the universe wants you to be?比宇宙想要你变成什么?
1333And it's all one block universe.这都是一个街区的宇宙。
1334So you don't have free will.所以你没有自由意志
1335Don't answer the question at the level别回答这个问题
1336at which it wasn't asked.在那里,它没有被问。
1337So if God asked the question, is there free will?如果上帝问了这个问题,那有没有自由意志?
1338No, there is no free will.不,没有自由意志。
1339If the universe asks the question, there is no free will.如果宇宙问这个问题,就没有自由意志.
1340But if an individual asks the question right now,但是,如果一个人现在问这个问题,
1341then yes, there is free will.是的,有自由意志。
1342So a lot of these paradoxes resolve themselves.因此,很多这些悖论会解决自己.
1343Philosophical paradoxes that people have been struggling人们一直在挣扎的哲学悖论
1344with since the beginning of time,从时间开始,
1345when you just realize you're answering them当你意识到你在回答他们
1346at a scale and time different than they were asked.与被问及的大小和时间不同。
1347Speaking of updating beliefs,说到更新信仰
1348is there anything that you've changed your mind around你改变主意了吗?
1349recently?最近吗?
1350Very recently?最近吗?
1351I mean, all the time.我的意思是,所有的时间。
1352But are you talking about philosophical existential things但你说的是哲学存在的东西
1353or technological things?还是科技?
1354Yeah, philosophical existential things.是啊,哲学存在的东西。
1355Anything that comes to mind.任何想到的东西
1356If there's anything that's front of mind where you go,如果有什么东西是你走的
1357ah, yeah, that's a pretty big fucking OS update.啊,是的, 这是一个相当大的他妈的OS更新。
1358Yeah, I'm less laissez-faire是啊,我不那么放纵
1359than I used to be on a societal level.比我以前在社会层面。
1360I think that culture and religion我认为文化和宗教
1361are good cooperating systems for humans.是人类良好的合作系统
1362And so if you want to operate in a high trust society,如果你想在一个高度信任的社会运作
1363you need to have sets of rules你需要有一套规则
1364that people need to follow and obey so they get along,人们需要跟随和服从,以便他们和睦相处,
1365even if they're one size fits all,即使它们都合身
1366doesn't work for everybody.不为大家工作。
1367You've moved up a little bit from libertarian?你从自由主义者那里升职了吗?
1368Yeah, pure libertarians get out-competed and die.是啊,纯自由主义者 得到出的能力和死亡。
1369They get overrun because they're every man for himself.因为他们都是为自己着想的
1370They can't coordinate.他们不能协调。
1371They can coordinate, exactly right.他们可以协调,完全正确。
1372So the coordination problems,因此,协调问题,
1373culture exists to solve fundamental coordination problems.文化的存在是为了解决根本的协调问题。
1374Religion solves coordination problems.宗教解决了协调问题.
1375Ethnicity solves coordination problems historically.种族关系在历史上解决了协调问题.
1376And when you break down those coordination systems too fast当你破坏这些协调系统太快
1377and don't replace them with anything else,不要用其他东西来代替他们,
1378you get societal breakdowns.你得到社会崩溃。
1379So you can have very malfunctioning societies.所以,你可以有 非常故障的社会。
1380Go to Japan versus go to any Western city去日本对西城
1381and you can see the difference你可以看到区别
1382being a culture that's working and a culture that's not.是一种行之有效的文化 一种不起作用的文化
1383So I think that that's like a broader set of things所以我觉得这就像一个更广泛的事情
1384that I've changed my mind on a fair bit.我改变主意了
1385I used to be much more laissez-faire on that stuff.我以前在那些东西上更放任自流
1386Let's put it that way.这么说吧
1387What else?还有什么?
1388I mean, on child raising, I've gotten a lot looser.我的意思是,关于抚养孩子, 我得到了很多松散。
1389I'm still not like completely laissez-faire,我仍然不喜欢完全自由放纵,
1390but I'm much more realized like kids are gonna be kids但我更意识到 就像孩子会是孩子
1391and you kind of let them do their thing.你有点让他们做他们的事情。
1392You've gotten the-你已经得到了 -
1393Debate with them.与他们辩论。
1394Is it a talent that has the ascending levels是天资高涨
1395of like anarchism versus conservatism?就像无政府主义和保守主义?
1396Is that his insight?那是他的见解吗?
1397Like at the local level, I'm this.就像在地方一级,我是这样的。
1398It seems like you've gone the other way.看来你走另一条路了
1399It's like at the child level, I'm an anarchist.这就像在孩子层面, 我是个无政府主义者。
1400The societal level, I'm a conservative.社会层面,我是一个保守派。
1401No, he was quoting somebody else, some brothers,不,他引用别人,一些兄弟,
1402I forget which ones,我忘了哪个
1403but he was making the point eloquently as he often does但是他却像他常说的 雄辩地提出这一点
1404that at the family local level, he's a communist.在地方家庭层面 他是个共产主义者
1405At the family level, you're a communist.在家庭层面,你是共产党员.
1406At maybe the extended family level, you're a socialist.在大家庭里,你是个社会主义者
1407At the local level, you're kind of a Democrat and so on在地方上,你是个民主党人
1408until at the federal level, you're a libertarian.在联邦一级,你是自由主义者
1409You've done it the other way,你用另一种方式做了这个
1410being a libertarian with the kids和孩子们一起当自由主义者
1411and you're being religious, conservative and societal.而你是宗教的,保守的和社会的。
1412No, that's a funny way of looking at it.不,这是一个有趣的方法看它。
1413I don't know if the scale is that simple.我不知道尺度是不是那么简单
1414What else have I changed my mind on?还有什么我改变主意了?
1415I mean, I think the modern AI is really cool.我觉得现代的人工智能很酷
1416But I think these are natural language computers.但我认为这些是自然语言的计算机。
1417They're starting to show evidence他们开始展示证据
1418of kind of reasoning at some levels,某种推理 在某些层次,
1419but I don't think they do creativity.但我觉得他们没有创造力
1420I think modern AI.我认为现代AI。
1421So just on that, one of my favorite takes我最喜欢的一件事就是
1422is from Dwarkash Patel and he says,是来自德瓦卡什帕特尔 他说
1423if you gave any human on the planet 0.000001%如果你给地球上任何人类 0.000001%
1424LLM的消费量 任何LLM
1425they would have come up with thousands of new ideas.他们会想出几千个新想法
1426Give me one new idea.给我个新主意
1427One fundamental new idea.一个基本的新想法。
1428That's being generated.这正在生成。
1429Yeah, like I'm big into poetry.是啊,像我大 喜欢诗歌。
1430Every poem ever written by an LLM is garbage.每首LLM写的诗都是垃圾
1431I think even their fiction writing is terrible.我觉得连他们的虚构写作都很糟糕
1432Even the new GPT-405, with all due respect to Sam and crew,即使是新的GPT-405, 以应有的尊重萨姆和船员,
1433I think they're terrible writers.我认为他们是可怕的作家。
1434I find them really bad at summarizing.我发现他们很难总结。
1435They're really good extrapolating paperwork.他们真的很好推断文件。
1436They're very bad at actually distilling the essence他们很不擅长蒸馏精髓
1437of something and what's important.重要的东西。
1438They don't have an opinions or a point of view,他们没有观点或观点
1439but they're still unbelievably powerful breakthroughs.但它们仍然是不可思议的强大突破
1440They solve search.他们解决了搜索。
1441They solve natural language computing.他们解决自然语言计算.
1442They make English a programming language.他们使英语成为编程语言.
1443They solve driving.他们解决了驾驶。
1444They solve simple coding and backup coding.他们解决了简单的编码和备份编码.
1445They solve translation.他们解决翻译。
1446They solve transcription.他们解决了抄本。
1447They are a fundamental breakthrough in computing.它们是计算方面的一个基本突破。
1448It is a different way to program a computer电脑编程方式不同
1449rather than you explicitly speak its language而不是你明白地说出它的语言
1450and write the code and then run the data through it.然后写代码,然后通过它运行数据。
1451You just run enough data through it until it figures out你只是通过它运行足够的数据 直到它发现
1452how to write the program.如何写程序。
1453That's huge.这是巨大的。
1454But are they AGI?但他们是AGI吗?
1455Not yet.还没
1456I don't see a direct path from here to there.我看不到从这里到那儿的直路
1457Maybe we'll have to solve a few more problems也许我们再解决几个问题
1458before that happens.在此之前。
1459And I think ASI is a fantasy.我觉得ASI是个幻想
1460I don't think there's any such thing as我觉得没有
1461artificial super intelligence,人工超级智能
1462where it has some kind of intelligence它有某种情报
1463that humans can't fathom.人类无法理解
1464Okay.摆
1465Yeah, it seems like, I don't know,是啊,这似乎是, 我不知道,
1466if you're from the Bostrom camp or whatever.如果你来自博斯特罗姆营地什么的。
1467No, I'm not an AI doomer.不,我不是人工智能喷雾器
1468I think that's such a flawed line of reasoning.我认为这是一条有缺陷的推理线。
1469But let's say that you came out of the lesswrong.com,但是,让我们假设 你走出了小错误的.com,
1470like Slate style codec world,就像石板风格的解码器世界,
1471and there was this sort of lineage from computers电脑上有这种血统
1472and AI gets more powerful, more powerful, more powerful,和AI越来越强大, 更强大,更强大,
1473and then you end up AGI ASI.然后你最后成为AGI ASI.
1474And it seems like LLMs have been this sort of似乎LLMS是这种
1475orthogonal move from that,向上移动,
1476which are you saying you don't believe你说你不相信
1477they are a step on that?他们就是一步?
1478It's kind of a little bit of an additional branch.有点像一个额外的分支。
1479我觉得Stephen Wolfram会更好
1480It's a different form of intelligence.谓智性不同.
1481It's like, if you see a jaguar in the jungle,这就像,如果你看到一只美洲虎 在丛林,
1482it has a different form of intelligence.它有不同形式的智能。
1483And you're like, a plant has a form of intelligence,而你喜欢,一种植物 有一种智能形式,
1484how it can like photosynthesize and grow.如何可以喜欢光合作用和生长。
1485It's a different form of intelligence.谓智性不同.
1486It's not, and intelligence again,不是的 又是情报
1487like love or like happiness is overloaded word喜欢爱或喜欢幸福 是超载的词
1488that means many things to many people.这对很多人来说意味着很多
1489But by my definition, where, you know,但根据我的定义,在哪里,你知道,
1490the true test is you get what you want out of life.真正的考验是 你得到了你想要的生活。
1491It doesn't even have a life.乃至无生.
1492It doesn't even want anything.它甚至不想要任何东西。
1493It's just a different thing.虽有不同.
1494I do think it's unbelievably useful.我觉得这实在是太有用了
1495I'm glad that it exists.我很高兴它存在。
1496You don't see it much yet in large scale production systems在大型生产系统中你还看不出来很多
1497replacing humans because of this tendency to hallucinate.由于这种幻觉倾向而取代人类.
1498So you can't put it into anything mission critical.所以,你不能把它 任何任务的关键。
1499Confidently wrong one time out of 10.确信错误 一次10。
1500Correct.没错
1501And it doesn't even know when it's wrong.而且它甚至不知道什么时候错了。
1502And maybe they'll get that one out of 10也许他们会得到10分之一
1503down to one out of a hundred,降为百分之一,
1504but you'll kind of always want human oversight但你总是想要人监督
1505for critical, critical things.对于关键,关键的东西。
1506I always feel so bitter.我总觉得很苦
1507I'm petty sometimes.我有时候很小气
1508My less equanimous version of me is petty.我不那么平淡的版本是微不足道的。
1509And I always want to like teach it a lesson我一直想教训他
1510if it gets something wrong.如果有问题的话
1511Like how the fuck?怎么样?
1512Like, no, you were so comfortable.喜欢,不,你是如此舒适。
1513I'm treating it, but I'm anthroposizing, anthroposizing.我在治疗它, 但我在人类化,人类化。
1514It doesn't have a point of view.亦无所观.
1515And they are gonna get a lot better.而且他们会得到很多更好的。
1516And they might get to the point他们可能会说重点
1517where the error rates are so low错误率太低的地方
1518that you can put them into certain bounded problems.你可以把它们 进入某些有限度的问题。
1519Like self-driving I think will be solved completely像自驾车一样,我想会彻底解决的
1520because it's a bounded problem.因为它是一个有界限的问题。
1521Cars don't, you know, go like off road汽车不会,你知道的,去像路外
1522and drive through houses and stuff like that, right?开车穿过房子之类的东西,对吧?
1523Because, and same way, like certain kinds of coding,因为,同样的方式, 像某些类型的编码,
1524the creative side of coding I think doesn't go away.编译的创造力是不会消失的
1525I think if anything,我想如果有的话,
1526programmers get even more leveraged and more powerful.程序员获得更多的杠杆和力量。
1527And rather than computing or replacing programmers,而不是计算或替换程序员,
1528programmers use AI to replace everybody else.程序员使用AI来代替其他人.
1529On Tesla versus Waymo,关于特斯拉对韦莫,
1530would you bet on software or hardware for self-driving?你会在软件或硬件上下注 自行驾驶?
1531Yeah, so I think Tesla's是啊,所以我认为特斯拉
1532in the stronger longer-term position,处于较强的长期地位,
1533but it's hard to argue what's working right now.但现在很难辩驳什么是可行的
1534Waymo现在在工作
1535So I would not underestimate them所以我不会低估他们
1536because there's a learning curve that you go through因为有一个学习曲线 你走
1537when you actually deploy something.当你真正部署的东西。
1538And Waymo is way ahead in that regard,而Waymo是领先的 在这方面,
1539but Tesla's camera-only approach, if it works,但特斯拉的只摄像头方法,如果它有用,
1540is superior, it's much more scalable.超强的,更可伸缩
1541And Tesla knows how to print cars, right?特斯拉知道怎么打印车,对吧?
1542They can just mass manufacture cars.他们只能制造大量汽车。
1543But I think they'll both be around, they'll both be fine.但我认为他们都会在身边 他们都会好起来的
1544It's everybody else是别人
1545who doesn't have a self-driving vehicle that's screwed.他们没有自驾车 被搞砸了。
1546You mentioned kids there,你提到孩子们在那里,
1547and you had a tweet that said,你有一个微博说,
1548I'm not convinced that declining fertility我不认为生育率下降
1549needs to be proactively fought.需要积极主动地进行斗争。
1550I forgot that one.我忘了那个
1551I dug deep.我深挖过
1552Why?为什么?
1553Well, I mean, think back.嗯,我的意思是,回想起来。
1554Like, what was it, 30 years ago, 20 years ago,比如说,是什么,30年前,20年前,
1555everybody was saying overpopulation of the earth大家都说地球人口过多
1556is gonna be a problem, Malthusian ending,会是一个问题,马尔萨斯结局,
1557we're gonna have too many people,我们会有太多的人,
1558and now all of a sudden we're gonna have too few people.现在突然间我们的人太少了
1559So part of it is just,所以其中一部分只是,
1560the doomer is a meme is always alive and well, right?家喻户晓的是一个迷宫 总是活着的,对不对?
1561It just gets repackaged.它只是被重新包装。
1562Yeah, we're running out of oil, we have too much oil, right?是的,我们用完了石油,我们有太多的石油,对不对?
1563It's like, the world is cooling, the world is warming.这就像,世界在冷却,世界在变暖。
1564Like, there's always something to scream about,喜欢,总是有 东西尖叫,
1565the world is ending.世界即将结束。
1566There's no progress in technology,科技没有进步,
1567AI is gonna blow up the world, right?AI会炸掉世界,对吧?
1568So people tend to overdo in both directions.故人往往双向过度.
1569Now, what is the actual fertility problem, right?真正的生育问题是什么?
1570Well, people are having less kids.人们的孩子越来越少
1571Are they having less kids because there's a disease?他们的孩子少是因为有疾病吗?
1572Was there a virus?有病毒吗?
1573Did they lose their fertility?他们失去生育力了吗?
1574Is it microplastics in the testicles, right?睾丸里是微塑料吗?
1575No, it's people are having less kids不,是人们没有孩子
1576because they're choosing to have less kids, right?因为他们选择少生孩子,对吧?
1577Women have gotten emancipation independence妇女获得了独立
1578in the workforce and they're making more money.在劳动力中 他们赚的更多钱。
1579People don't need kids as an insurance policy,人们不需要孩子作为保险金
1580so they have less kids.所以他们的孩子更少。
1581Maybe they're living hedonistic lives, God bless them, right?也许他们是活的享乐生活 上帝保佑他们 对吧?
1582They wanna have more fun, they wanna have less kids.他们想要更多的乐趣, 他们想少生孩子。
1583I don't see the act of choosing我没有看到选择的行为
1584to have less kids as a problem, okay?少生孩子是个问题,好吗?
1585So let's move one level up.因此,让我们把一个级别提高。
1586It's because the retirees,因为退休人员
1587it's because a large percentage of the population这是因为大部分人口
1588is essentially retiring at the guaranteed age of 65 or 70,基本退休年龄为65岁或70岁;
1589thanks to Social Security.感谢社会保障。
1590And so they need other people to pay for it.所以他们需要其他人来支付
1591They need more workers in the workforce.他们需要更多的劳动力。
1592And if the workforce is shrinking,如果劳动力正在减少,
1593then you have a small number of people, exactly,然后,你还有一小部分人,
1594who are supporting a large number of retirees.他们支持大量退休人员。
1595And in democracies, you can't take pensions away,在民主国家,养老金不能被拿走,
1596the voters vote you out.选民投票你。
1597So they slowly strangle the economy.所以他们慢慢扼杀经济。
1598So what do you do?那你怎么办?
1599Then you have a bunch of immigration那你有一堆移民
1600and then the whole culture changes.然后整个文化就变了
1601You end up in a low trust society你最终陷入了不信任的社会
1602and people start fighting over limited resources人们为了有限的资源而开始争斗
1603and how do you control which immigrants come in?你怎么控制哪个移民进来的?
1604How do you make sure that they're good taxpayers你怎么确定他们是好纳税人?
1605after they're in and so on?在他们进来之后?
1606So you end up in kind of this trap所以,你最后会变成这样的陷阱
1607where the low fertility rate is upstream低生育率的上游地区
1608of the downstream problems that are cultural and societal.文化和社会问题。
1609But I'm not sure that you're gonna solve that但我不确定你会解决的
1610by making people have more kids.通过让人们有更多的孩子。
1611How are you gonna meme them into having more kids?你要怎么让他们多生孩子?
1612And I'm not even sure it's necessarily a problem我甚至不确定这一定是个问题
1613because keep in mind, you have more resources now.因为记住 你现在有更多的资源了
1614You have less of a burden.你负担比较轻
1615Now there's a flip side where every kid现在有一个反面 每个孩子
1616has a lottery ticket and an invention.有彩票和发明
1617So there's some benefit to having more kids,因此,有一些好处 拥有更多的孩子,
1618but you can't force it.但你不能强迫它。
1619I think it'll work itself out, right?我想这会解决的,对不对?
1620The Scott Adams is this great law斯科特·亚当斯是伟大的法律
1621which calls the Adams law of slow moving disasters.它称亚当斯定律 缓慢移动的灾难。
1622When disasters are very slow moving,当灾难移动非常缓慢时,
1623like peak oil or global warming or population collapse,如石油峰值或全球变暖或人口崩溃,
1624and everyone can kind of see them coming.所有人都能看到他们来
1625Economics and society is a force to solve them经济和社会是解决问题的力量
1626because enough individual people因为足够个人
1627has incentives to go solve them.有激励他们去解决。
1628So I don't know exactly how it gets solved,我不知道怎么解决的
1629but I think it could get solved in various ways.但我认为它可以 以各种方式解决。
1630One example could be maybe people retire later.一个例子可能是人们后来退休。
1631Maybe AI and automation and robots也许是人工智能 自动化和机器人
1632take care of the older people.照顾老人。
1633Maybe we figure out how to have immigrants也许我们想出办法让移民来
1634while still keeping a high trust society.同时也保持高度信任的社会
1635We kind of put more rules around immigration我们把更多的规则 移民
1636that protects some of the high trust benefits.保护一些高度信任的利益
1637Maybe we outsource more things.也许我们把更多的事情外包出去
1638Maybe we just have more land and housing to go around.也许我们只有更多的土地和住房可以绕过去。
1639Believe me, if we were having too many kids,相信我,如果我们有太多的孩子,
1640everybody would be complaining about每个人都会抱怨
1641how there's no housing and there's no land, right?怎么样没有住房 没有土地,对不对?
1642So they'll always find something to care about.所以他们总能找到值得关心的东西
1643So I just don't view this as like a thing所以我不认为这是一件事情
1644that any individual or government action is going to solve.任何个人或政府的行动都将得到解决。
1645I think economics and incentives over time will solve it.我认为,随着时间推移,经济学和激励措施将解决这个问题。
1646And I'm not even convinced it's like that big of a problem.我甚至不相信这有那么大问题
1647Is there anything that you do think is a sufficient?你觉得有什么足够吗?
1648It may be self-correcting too,也可能是自我矫正
1649which is that if there are too few kids in society如果社会上的孩子太少
1650and the returns to having kids literally might just go up.生孩子的回报 可能只是上升。
1651It might just be easier to have kids.生孩子可能比较容易
1652The incentive to now have a child现在有孩子的动机
1653because there's so few around.因为周围的人很少
1654They're going to get the best job.他们会得到最好的工作。
1655They're going to have more self-opportunities.他们将会有更多的自我机会。
1656They got the best jobs and the best resources.他们得到了最好的工作和最好的资源。
1657Like everyone wants to, everyone's happy to see kids.就像大家想的,每个人都很高兴看到孩子。
1658I suppose if you could come at it from a pain side,如果你能从痛苦的一面来看
1659which is you look at all of the other people around你看着周围的其他人
1660who don't have kids.没有孩子
1661Let's say that pensions completely drop off这么说吧 退休金完全没了
1662and the only way that old people are able to survive也是老人能够生存的唯一方法
1663is if their children pay them some sort of stipend,如果他们的孩子给他们一些津贴,
1664reverse, send money back up to generations.反之,寄钱回代.
1665You go, well, that's a pretty fucking good incentive.你去吧,好吧, 这是一个相当他妈的好奖励。
1666That's a good incentive.这是很好的激励。
1667I also think that people have been memed into thinking我也认为人们被说服思考
1668that kids make your life worse.孩子们让你的生活更糟
1669And that's a pretty bad-这是相当糟糕的 --
1670What's your experience been?你的经历如何?
1671Kids make your life better in every possible way.孩子们会以各种方式改善你的生活
1672If you want an automatic built-in meeting to life,如果你想要一个 自动内置的见面生活,
1673have kids.有孩子吗?
1674And I think there are these bad psych studies,我认为这些糟糕的心理研究,
1675like most psych studies, unfortunately,就像大多数的心理研究, 不幸的是,
1676that say that people are unhappy when they have kids.说人们有孩子的时候很不高兴
1677Yeah, it's because you're catching in the middle是啊,因为你在中间抓住
1678of changing a diaper and you're saying,换尿布 你说
1679are you glad you had kids or not?你高兴你有没有孩子?
1680They don't even say that.他们甚至不说。
1681They say, are you happy or not?他们说,你是否快乐?
1682And they say, no, I'm not happy right now.他们说,不,我现在不高兴。
1683But what they don't realize is that person但是他们不知道的是那个人
1684has found something more important找到了更重要的东西
1685than being happy in the moment.而不是现在快乐
1686They found meaning and the meaning comes from kids.他们找到了意义,意义来自孩子。
1687And if you ask parents, do you regret having kids?如果你问父母 你后悔生孩子吗?
1688I think it would be 99 to one against,我认为是99比1对
1689it would be, no, I don't regret having kids.不,我对生孩子不后悔
1690I love having kids.我喜欢有孩子
1691I'm so glad I had kids.我很高兴我有孩子。
1692It's incredibly rare to meet a parent见到父母太少见了
1693that regretted having children.很遗憾有孩子。
1694It's pretty good on.这是相当不错的。
1695odds.概率。
1696It's, it's extremely good odds.这是,这是极好的机会。
1697And I think, so I think, I think a lot of people我想,所以我想,我觉得很多人
1698get late into life and, uh, you know, then they can't admit that they didn't want kids,晚到的生活,呃,你知道, 然后,他们不能承认 他们不希望孩子,
1699that they should have had kids.他们应该有孩子。
1700It's kind of late in the game.游戏中有点晚了
1701Um, but you know, a lot嗯,但你知道,很多东西
1702of times you see everybody who has a pet, right?你见过每个有宠物的人 对吧?
1703Uh, and they're pushing them around呃,他们推他们周围
1704in a stroller, right?在婴儿车,对不对?
1705What is that?这是什么?
1706That's a sublimated desire for children.这是对孩子的潜意识
1707Yeah.对
1708Uh,额...
1709Malcolm Collins says that, uh, having a pet is to children is using porn is to sex.Malcolm Collins说 给孩子养宠物 是用色情片来做爱
1710He
1711basically thinks that it's sort of a surrogate.基本上认为这是一种代孕.
1712It's definitely in that direction.这绝对是朝那个方向。
1713And you还有你
1714know, I don't have, I like pets.我没有 我喜欢宠物
1715I like animals.我喜欢动物
1716I don't, but I don't like the idea of like我不知道 但我不喜欢这样
1717neutering or spaying something and then keeping it as a prisoner in the house and having to或支付一些东西, 然后把它作为一个囚犯 在家里,不得不
1718train it.训练它。
1719You know, it's just, I don't want to be responsible for that.你知道,这只是,我不想 负责这一点。
1720Given that you've鉴于你已经
1721been thinking more about child rearing kids, what do you hope that your kids learn from你希望你的孩子学到什么
1722their childhood?他们的童年?
1723This is be happy and do what they want.这是幸福的,做他们想要的。
1724I don't, I don't, I don't have我没有,我没有,我没有
1725particular goals in mind for them.特别目标。
1726I think that's it.我想就这样
1727That's another route to unhappiness那是另一个不幸福的路
1728having different than learn, learn versus goals.学习与目标不同
1729It's not necessarily what do they want?他们不一定想要什么?
1730What什麽?
1731do you want them to want out of life?你想让他们离开生活吗?
1732Like what is it that you had that idea around your就像你在你身边有这个想法一样
1733number one job as a parent is to provide unconditional love to your kids.做父母的第一工作 就是无条件爱孩子
1734Yeah, that's it.是的,就是这样。
1735Right.对
1736So I can be loved or I am loved unconditionally.这样我就可以被爱 或者无条件被爱
1737Is that one of the things I want my kids to那是我想要我的孩子做的事吗?
1738feel unconditionally loved and I want them to have high self-esteem as a consequence感觉被无条件的爱着 我希望他们因此有很高的自尊
1739of that.就是这样
1740But I don't get to choose any, all I get to choose is my output.但我没有选择任何 我只能选择我的输出
1741I can output我可以输出
1742love.爱
1743I can't choose what they feel.我不能选择他们的感受。
1744I can't choose how they behave.我无法选择他们的行为
1745I can't choose what我无法选择什么
1746they want.他们想要。
1747I can't choose what they turn out to be.我不能选择他们变成什么
1748And downstream from that, there should下游应该有
1749be freedom.成为自由。
1750There should be a degree of freedom that comes from the self-esteem that comes应该有一定程度的自由 来自于自尊
1751from the unconditionality.从无条件。
1752They should make their own mistakes and learn their own lessons他们应该犯自己的错误,吸取自己的教训
1753and have their own desires and fulfill them as is appropriate.他们有自己的私欲,并满足他们的私欲。
1754I, like any parent, I wouldn't像父母一样,我不会
1755want them to be hurt.希望他们受伤。
1756I wouldn't want them to be unhappy, but I cannot control these我不想让他们不开心 但我不能控制这些
1757things.东西。
1758You replied to my friend, Rob Henderson.你回复了我的朋友罗布・亨德森
1759He was talking about how kids fall asleep他在说孩子们怎么睡着的
1760more quickly when they're being carried.越快,当他们被携带。
1761And you said cry it out and co-sleeping is dangerous.你说哭出来 睡在一起很危险
1762What's IYI science?什么是IYI科学?
1763IYI is an Asim Taleb.IYI是阿西姆·塔莱布的
1764It's about intellectual yet idiot.是关于知识分子还是白痴的
1765These are这些是
1766people who are overeducated and they deny like basic common sense.那些受过过多教育的人 却拒绝基本的常识
1767Okay.摆
1768So there's这么说
1769a lot of that that goes on in child rearing, thanks to really bad studies and bad public在养育孩子方面,很多事情都发生了, 多亏学习成绩不好,公众也不好
1770medical directives.医疗指令。
1771So for example, a few parents, maybe they're drunk or they're high所以,比如说,几个父母, 也许他们喝醉了或者他们高
1772or they're just other issues and they roll over their kid when they're sleeping, the或者他们只是其他问题 当他们睡觉时 他们的孩子,
1773kid suffocates or they neglect their kid and then they-孩子窒息 或者他们忽略了孩子 然后他们...
1774So co-sleeping is having them in the bed.因此,共同睡眠是让他们在床上。
1775Yeah, exactly.没错
1776Or the modern proclamation.或现代宣说.
1777And so because of that, they say, well, don't因此,他们说, 好了,不要
1778co-sleep with your kids.和你的孩子睡觉
1779Well, the kids in every society through all of human history嗯,每个社会的孩子 通过所有人类历史
1780co-slept with their parents.与父母同寝.
1781Where else do you think they were sleeping?你觉得他们还在睡哪?
1782They weren't他们不是
1783housed in multiple rooms.住多个房间。
1784We'll put them in the other tent.我们把他们放在另一个帐篷里
1785Yeah, exactly.没错
1786We'll put them in the other tent.我们把他们放在另一个帐篷里
1787It's just nonsense.胡说八道
1788Co-sleeping has一起睡觉
1789been around since the dawn of time.自古以来就一直如此
1790So has feeding kids cow milk or goat milk when breast给孩子喂奶和羊奶也一样
1791milk runs out or is not available.牛奶用完或没有。
1792Yet we're told formula made with soy and corn syrup,然而我们被告知配制的配方 用酱油和玉米糖浆,
1793which was invented recently is somehow better than cow milk and cow milk can be dangerous最近发明的比奶牛和奶牛更危险
1794for your kids and co-sleeping is dangerous for your kids and cry it out is the right对于你的孩子和共同睡眠 对你的孩子是危险的 哭出来是正确的
1795answer.答问.
1796All of that is nonsense.这一切都是胡说八道。
1797I mean, it's very clear that we raise children throughout我的意思是,这是非常明确的,我们抚养孩子 整个
1798human history without these interventions.没有这些干预的人类历史。
1799And to me, the idea that you're going to let对我来说,你打算让
1800your kid cry it out, I get why that's done for practical reasons so that you can get你的孩子哭出来,我知道为什么这样做 出于实际的原因,你可以得到
1801some sleep and you can go to work in the morning.睡一觉,你早上可以去上班
1802But the reality is when you let the kid cry但现实是你让孩子哭了
1803it out, you're letting the kid ball until it finally gives up.你让孩子打球 直到它最终放弃
1804I mean, a kid left by我的意思是,一个孩子离开
1805itself to cry it out.自己哭出来。
1806It's going to get eaten, right?它会被吃掉,对不对?
1807It's going to get eaten by a tiger.必被虎所食.
1808So this kid is starting off on the wrong foundation.所以这孩子开始 错误的基础。
1809The one I mentioned earlier about the idea我之前提到的那个想法
1810that babies don't feel pain, like that's ludicrous, right?婴儿不感到痛苦, 喜欢这是可笑的,对不对?
1811I've never heard that before.我从来没有听说过。
1812That's such a wild idea.这主意真疯狂
1813Yeah, I'm not saying that's a hundred percent true.是啊,我不是说这是100%的真理。
1814I read it on Twitter and I did one level我在推特上看到,我做了一个关卡
1815confirmation on it, but it's so ludicrous that I should probably do two or three level上面写着,但太可笑了,我应该做两三个层次
1816confirmations on it before I talk about it.在我说之前就确认过了
1817But there are definitely some people who believe但肯定有些人相信
1818that they're enough that it was a thing in certain circles for a while.他们已经足够了 这在某个圈子里是件事情
1819But I think we但我认为我们
1820just go through these, you know, these IYI beliefs, these intellectual beliefs come from只要通过这些,你知道, 这些IYI信仰, 这些知识信仰来自
1821people who take a little bit of knowledge and extrapolate it too far.那些拿一点点知识 推论过深的人
1822They think we他们认为我们
1823know more than we know due to recent scientific studies.由于最近的科学研究,我们知道的比我们知道的多。
1824And these are junk science.这些是垃圾科学。
1825These这些
1826are low power studies on, you know, on very certain contexts that then get over applied.低功率的研究,你知道, 关于非常 某些环境,然后得到过应用。
1827Behavioral psych is very guilty of this, but it's true across a lot of science.行为心理学对此非常内疚,但在许多科学上都是真实的.
1828So even所以连
1829with science, you have to be skeptical.科学,你必须怀疑。
1830You have to look very carefully at, you know,你得仔细看看,你知道,
1831does it apply in the right context or not?它是否适用于正确的上下文?
1832Has it come from good sources?是来自好来源吗?
1833Did they run他们跑了吗?
1834enough high power studies?足够高功率研究了吗?
1835Is it widely accepted?它被广泛接受吗?
1836And there are a whole bunch of things you're有一大堆东西你
1837just not supposed to talk about.只是不应该谈论。
1838You're not supposed to say, like you don't say, like你不应该说,像你没有说,喜欢
1839you can't say anything negative about a vaccine because God forbid, what if they don't get你不能说任何负面的疫苗 因为上帝禁止, 如果他们没有得到
1840And that's part of the reason why the recent vaccine debate, because we've taken our worship这也是最近疫苗争论的原因 因为我们崇拜了
1841for vaccines too far, because we don't want people to not take non-essential vaccines.因为疫苗太远了,因为我们不希望人们不服用非必需的疫苗.
1842So it gets overdone.所以它变得过度。
1843So the same way there's this whole SIDS thing, sudden infant death所以,同样的方式有 整个小岛屿发展中国家的事情, 婴儿突然死亡
1844syndrome, right?综合症,对不对?
1845I was like, no, there's kids don't suddenly mysteriously die.我当时想,不, 有孩子不会突然神秘地死去。
1846Like more喜欢更多
1847likely there was neglect or there was a problem.可能存在疏忽或问题。
1848And then whoever was the caretaker doesn't而谁是看守者 不
1849want to admit to the problem or didn't recognize the problem, but kids don't just spontaneously想要承认问题 或不承认问题, 但孩子不只是自发的
1850die in the crib, right?死在婴儿床,对不对?
1851So they talk about swaddling babies.所以他们谈的是摇摇欲坠的婴儿
1852You swaddle babies, you你摇晃的婴儿,你
1853know, basically tie them up, mummify them.基本上把它们绑起来 做木乃伊
1854So you constrict them.所以,你收缩他们。
1855So then die of SIDS所以,然后死于小岛屿发展中国家
1856when they roll over and they can't get back.当他们翻过来, 他们不能回来。
1857I mean, it's just all this craziness around我的意思是,这只是 这一切疯狂围绕
1858child raising.养育子女。
1859It's a real minefield.这是一个真正的雷区。
1860It's a minefield.这是一个雷区。
1861And, you know, you have these而且,你知道,你有这些
1862scared parents, they're having a kid for the first time and they open a book and they start害怕的父母,他们有孩子 第一次,他们打开一本书,开始
1863reading how to raise children.阅读如何抚养孩子。
1864I would argue that your natural instincts and what to do我会说,你的自然本能和做什么
1865with your child are actually pretty good.你的孩子其实还不错
1866It's funny when my wife and I had our first这很有趣,当我和我妻子有我们的第一个
1867baby, I remember, you know, at the hospital, sorry, the first one, the natural birth at宝贝,我记得,你知道, 在医院,对不起, 第一个,自然出生在
1868the birthing center, we went home and it was like, there you go.分娩中心,我们回家,就像,你去那里。
1869That's it.就这样
1870And we're like,我们就像,
1871what do we do?我们该怎么办?
1872Where's the instruction manual?指导手册呢?
1873You take them home and then you relax and你带他们回家 然后放松
1874you realize actually instincts are pretty good.你知道本能是相当不错的。
1875You know, if the kid cries, check to你知道,如果孩子哭,检查
1876see the clean, feed them, all that.看到干净的,喂他们,这一切。
1877It's like your basic instincts are actually very, very就像你的基本本能 实际上是非常,非常
1878good.不错
1879And kids' instincts are actually very, very good.孩子们的直觉是非常好的。
1880They know what they want and they他们知道他们想要什么,他们
1881want things for a reason.想要的东西是有原因的。
1882And they can encourage you to give it to them.他们可以鼓励你给他们
1883Yes.对
1884It's usually children通常都是孩子们
1885are not deficient adults who can't reason.不是没有道理的成年人
1886And to some extent that's true, but mostly在某种程度上,这是真的, 但大多数
1887it's not true.这不是真的。
1888Mostly they have very good reasons for what they want.他们大多有他们想要的很好的理由。
1889And you as a parent而你作为父母
1890mostly have communication problems with them.他们大多有沟通问题。
1891They can't yet communicate to you.他们还不能跟你沟通
1892You can't你不能这样
1893communicate to them.与他们沟通。
1894They can't communicate to you.他们不能跟你沟通
1895So early on with my kids, I tried这么早和孩子们在一起 我试过
1896to focus on teaching them, you know, basic explanatory theories and having to memorize专注于教导他们,你知道, 基本的解释理论和必须记住
1897things.东西。
1898That's just the most, the most novel solution.这是最新颖的解决办法
1899I'll give you, I'll give you a very simple example.我给你们一个非常简单的例子
1900Right.对
1901Okay.摆
1902So this is Twitter and this is, this is the how to get rich without getting所以这是Twitter,这是,这是怎么发财而不发财
1903lucky thread.幸运线。
1904So the first one.故第一义.
1905Well, a simple one is, you know, how does knowledge get created?很简单,知识是如何创造的?
1906If you follow the critical如果你跟随关键
1907David Deutsch philosophy, then it's by guessing and then by testing your guesses.David Deutsch哲学,然后是猜测,然后测试你的猜测。
1908So whenever所以无论何时
1909they ask me something like, well, why do you think that is?他们问我,嗯,你为什么认为是?
1910Well, how would we figure out那么,我们如何想出
1911if that's true?如果这是真的呢?
1912Right.对
1913So that's a basic game you can play.所以这是你可以玩的基本游戏。
1914Involving them, involving them.涉及他们,涉及他们。
1915But another one is that a lot of the rules that you teach kids have to do with hygiene,但另一个问题是,很多规则 你教孩子们与卫生,
1916right?对吧?
1917You must brush your teeth, you know, cover your mouth when you cough, you know,你必须刷牙,你知道, 遮住嘴 当你咳嗽,你知道,
1918clean up after yourself.自己收拾干净
1919Don't touch that.别碰那个
1920Wash your hands after you do this.这样做后洗手.
1921Don't eat别吃东西
1922off the floor.离开地板。
1923Right.对
1924But all of these are subsumed under the germ theory of disease.但是所有这些都包含在病菌理论中。
1925Right.对
1926So if you instead go on YouTube and show them videos of germs, or if you have所以如果你在YouTube上给他们看细菌的视频 或者你有
1927them look under a microscope at anything, they're like, ah, there's creepy crawlies everywhere.他们看着显微镜下的一切, 他们就像,啊,到处都有可怕的爬行动物。
1928And I got to watch out for them.我得小心他们
1929And then, you know, you can talk about how, if you look然后,你知道,你可以 谈论如何,如果你看起来
1930at humans, like our real enemy are pathogens.我们真正的敌人就是病原体
1931I think a lot of aging and disease are actually我觉得很多衰老和疾病其实
1932downstream of our competition with pathogens over time to a point that people still don't fully在我们与病原体的竞争的下游 一段时间, 以至于人们仍然不完全
1933appreciate.谢谢
1934There's a Red Queen hypothesis, which is that we undergo sexual selection to mix up our有个红皇后假说,就是我们接受性选择 来混合我们
1935genes.遗传学
1936And so every 20 years, every generation mix up your genes.因此,每隔20年, 每一代人的基因都混合在一起。
1937But if you look at how bacteria但是,如果你看看如何细菌
1938and viruses mutate through just random mutations, their mix up rate on their genes and evolution病毒通过随机突变 基因和进化的混合率
1939rate is roughly the same as ours, even though they go through thousands of generations those 20 years,率和我们差不多 虽然这20年他们经历了数千代人
1940because they're not doing sexual selection.因为他们不做性选择。
1941They're doing asexual replication mutation.他们在做性复制突变
1942Their evolutionary rate is roughly equivalent to ours.他们的进化率大致相当于我们的。
1943So we're in a Red Queen race where所以我们在红皇后赛场上
1944we're both running at roughly the same speed, using very different strategies.我们运行的速度大致相同, 使用非常不同的策略。
1945But不过
1946a lot of how we're involved is around pathogens.我们参与的很多事情 都围绕着病原体
1947Like our immune system is one of the most expensive就像我们的免疫系统是最昂贵的
1948things to run the body.东西运行身体。
1949So much is about immune system optimization.因此,重要的是免疫系统优化。
1950That's about pathogens,这是关于病原体,
1951junk DNA and bacteria.垃圾DNA和细菌。
1952And CRISPR was discovered because in bacteria, their DNA is evolved to fight而CRISPR被发现是因为在细菌中,它们的DNA被进化为战斗
1953病毒(英语:Virus).
1954And the way it does that is by taking viral DNA and snipping it up every time there's这样做的方式就是把病毒DNA提取出来 然后每一次把它吸出来
1955a viral attack and storing it in their own DNA so they have a copy so they can recognize it next病毒攻击 并储存在自己的DNA里 这样他们就有一份副本 这样他们就可以认出来
1956time it attacks and so on.时间,它攻击等等。
1957A lot of the population structure of species determines how long their许多物种的种群结构决定了它们的寿命
1958lifespans are.寿命是。
1959So if in a given species, there's a very high rate of infection, then you'll have因此,如果在特定物种中, 有非常高的感染率, 那么,你会有
1960older members of the population are carrying diseases that will then infect the young.老年人口携带疾病,然后感染年轻人。
1961So it's important for that species to get rid of the old faster.因此,该物种必须更快地摆脱旧的.
1962So the higher the disease rate病率越高
1963in a given population, the less long lived the entire population.在某一人口中,整个人口居住的时间越短。
1964So the older ones don't infect所以老人不会感染
1965the younger ones.年轻的
1966That's a hypothesis.这是假设
1967It's an interesting hypothesis.这是一个有趣的假设。
1968Homeostasis within the目标
1969human body, how we're always returning to a given level of things.人的身体,我们如何总是回到 特定的水平的东西。
1970That's a fundamental part of our那是我们根本的一部分
1971If you engage in any kind of signaling, like you take a peptide, for example, that's a signaling如果你参与任何种类的信号, 就像你拿一个peptide, 例如,这是一个信号
1972molecule, you take a hormone externally, the body will counteract it.分子,你取一个激素 外部,身体会抵消它。
1973You take testosterone,你服用睾丸酮,
1974the body will down-regulate its own production very fast.身体会非常快地 降低自身产量的调节
1975And the body releases its own hormones身体释放出自己的荷尔蒙
1976and pulses rather than steady state.和脉搏,而不是稳定状态。
1977Why is that?为什么?
1978Well, that's because bacteria and viruses can因为细菌和病毒可以
1979infect your body and trick your body.感染你的身体并欺骗你的身体。
1980They can take it over.他们可以接手
1981Toxoplasmosis does this.肿瘤会这样
1982Rabies does狂犬病确实如此
1983take over macroscopic structure, structural bodies and small bacteria and viruses would接管宏观结构、结构体以及小细菌和病毒
1984hack our bodies and literally take them over if we didn't have defense mechanisms.黑进我们的身体 如果我们没有防御机制 就直接接管他们
1985And one of还有一个
1986those defense mechanisms is homeostasis.这些防御机制是自制的。
1987Anytime you see something getting out of whack, you每当你看到什么 摆脱了,你
1988immediately push back really hard on it.立即用力推倒它。
1989Because like, did I just get infected as something trying因为像,我只是 被感染的东西尝试
1990to take me over?要接管我吗?
1991It's also why hormones get released in pulses at night rather than in steady state这也是为什么激素在晚上的脉搏中释放而不是稳定状态
1992low levels because enemy bacteria can release toxins or the same signaling molecules in small低浓度,因为敌人细菌会释放毒素 或相同的信号分子在小。
1993quantities, but they can't pulse.数量,但他们不能脉冲。
1994They can't coordinate to pulse.他们不能协调到脉搏。
1995So your body can coordinate让你的身体能够协调
1996to pulse as a macroscopic object, but microscopic objects can coordinate to create the same pulses.作为宏观对象的脉冲,但微观对象可以协调生成相同的脉冲。
1997Oh, that's cool.哦,这很酷。
1998So you know that it's coming from you.故知其从.
1999Is that why?这就是为什么?
2000Correct.没错
2001You know it's endogenous rather than exogenous.你知道这是内生而不是外生的
2002I never knew that.我从不知道
2003That's why we这就是为什么我们
2004resist a lot of exogenous treatments and a lot of our medical treatments don't work.抵制许多外来治疗,我们的许多医疗不起作用.
2005Anyway, so there's a bunch more I could go on, but I think that a lot of you see this in cancers无论如何,所以还有一堆我可以继续, 但我认为,很多人看到这一点 在癌症
2006where a lot of bacteria show up.很多细菌出现的地方
2007The Epstein-Barr virus shows up in a lot of cancers and now it爱泼斯坦-巴尔病毒出现在很多癌症中,现在它
2008seems like the gut microbiome influences so many things.似乎肠道微生物 影响这么多的事情。
2009Basically, bacteria and viruses are at the基本上,细菌和病毒在
2010top of the food chain compared to us.食物链的顶端 与我们相比
2011Like we are top of the well-known food chain, but bacteria就像我们是著名食物链的顶端 但是细菌
2012and viruses eat us.病毒会吞噬我们
2013Fungus eats us.方古斯吃我们.
2014So these microscopic predators are our natural predators.因此,这些微型掠食者是我们的自然掠食者。
2015And so a lot of aging, societal structure, hygiene, religious strictures against pork,因此,很多老化,社会结构,卫生, 宗教的严格对猪肉,
2016circumcision, all of these things, these are all designed to resist bacteria and viruses.割礼,所有这些东西, 都是为了抵抗细菌和病毒。
2017So if you can teach children this philosophy at an early age, you shortcut all the debates.所以,如果你可以教孩子们这个哲学 幼年,你快捷所有的辩论。
2018How effective have you been at teaching that philosophy to children?你教孩子这个哲学有多有效?
2019That one I think I've been pretty effective.我觉得我一直很有效
2020I've drilled that one at home.我在家里钻过那个
2021The one I haven't那个我没有
2022quite gotten around to yet is evolution.进化已经相当成熟了
2023I'm starting to do little bits of that,我开始做一点点,
2024like we came from monkeys.就像我们来自猴子。
2025What does that mean?这是什么意思?
2026I already got them thinking about some of the我已经让他们想到一些
2027deeper questions.更深层的问题。
2028I did ask my young son, can nothing exist?我问过我小儿子 什么都没有吗?
2029I thought it was a fun question.我认为这是一个有趣的问题。
2030So I had to throw a fun question.所以我不得不提出一个有趣的问题。
2031How old is he now?他现在多大了?
2032Like four?像四个?
2033Three?三个?
2034No, no, he's eight.不,不,他八岁。
2035八岁六old.
2036So I asked them both,所以我问他们两个,
2037can nothing exist?什么也没有吗?
2038And they had pretty good answers.他们有很好的答案。
2039Another one we played with the other另一个我们一起玩的
2040day was like, what is the matrix?一天就像, 什么是矩阵?
2041What is this?这是什么?
2042What is all this?这是什么?
2043And it's entertaining.则有娱乐.
2044It's这是
2045just fun to talk about, right?聊起来很有趣,对吧?
2046To talk about these questions with your kids.跟你的孩子谈谈这些问题
2047I'm not saying我不是说
2048that one is a good way of child raising.这是抚养孩子的好方法
2049It's not leading to any deeper learning other than maybe它不会导致任何更深入的学习 除了也许
2050just have them start or continue to question the basic structure of reality and not move past it让他们开始或继续质疑现实的基本结构 而不是越过它
2051so quickly.这么快。
2052Also to take joy.亦取欢喜.
2053What's the meta lesson that's being taught there?在那里学到的元课是什么?
2054Dad spends time爸爸花时间
2055asking questions to which there are not necessarily an answer because there is something问问题,因为有问题
2056enjoyable in the process of learning and trying to decipher what's happening.在学习过程中享受 并试图破解 发生了什么。
2057Possibly.也许吧
2058Also, dad tries not too hard to teach people things.还有,爸爸不会太难教别人的东西。
2059I don't want to be didactic.我不想被训练。
2060He helps them to arrive at it.他帮助他们到达那里。
2061Yeah, correct.没错
2062Dad is here to help you solve problems when you have problems and you爸爸在这里帮助你解决问题 当你有问题和你
2063constantly have problems.总是有问题
2064So if you come to dad, dad can help explain to you how he would solve所以,如果你来爸爸,爸爸可以帮助 解释给你如何解决
2065the problem.问题。
2066But most of the time they don't want that.但大多数时候他们不希望这样.
2067Most of the time they just want me to solve大多数时候他们只是想让我解决
2068the problem.问题。
2069So sometimes I have to play dumb.所以有时候我得装傻
2070It's like, why is my Wi-Fi not working on my就像,为什么我的Wi -Fi不工作
2071computer?电脑?
2072I'm like, I don't know.我很喜欢,我不知道。
2073Did you click on that thing?你点击了那个东西吗?
2074You've got like a rebellious sovereign child, sovereign as they may be, but sometimes they你有像一个叛逆的君主的孩子, 他们可能是君主,但有时他们
2075still need the dad to step in.还是需要爸爸介入。
2076So in addition to feeling loved and having high self-esteem,所以除了感受到爱和高度的自尊之外
2077I think the most important trait that would be nice to not rob them of is agency.我认为最重要的特征是 代理,这将是很好的 不抢他们。
2078I want them我要他们
2079to preserve their agency.保存他们的代理。
2080They're born naturally agentic and willful, but a lot of child raising他们天生就是有本事的 有本事的,但很多孩子要抚养
2081can beat that out of them by essentially domesticating them.基本上通过驯化它们就能击败它们。
2082And I would rather have我宁愿拥有
2083wild animals and wolves than have well-trained dogs because I'm not going to be around to take野生动物和狼比有训练有素的狗, 因为我不会在身边带
2084care of them.照顾他们。
2085Yeah.对
2086So they're going to have to be able to look after themselves.故须自护.
2087Exactly.没错
2088Yeah.对
2089A friend of mine, Parsa on AirChat, he had a great saying.我的一个朋友,Parsa在AirChat, 他有一个伟大的说法。
2090He said he wants his children to be quick他说要他的孩子快点
2091to learn and hard to kill.学而难杀.
2092That was pretty good.这是相当好的。
2093Yeah, that was cool.是啊,这很酷。
2094I remember you saying,我记得你说过
2095just thinking about sort of future and culture and stuff like that, I remember you saying that想想未来和文化之类的事 我记得你说过
2096the left had won the culture war and now they're just driving around shooting the survivors.左翼赢得了文化大战 现在他们正开车到处射杀幸存者
2097Right.对
2098After the last six months of change that we've seen and sort of where we're at at the经过了六个月的变革,我们已经看到 和排序我们的位置
2099moment, what do you think the future of the culture war looks like?你觉得文化战争的未来是什么样子?
2100It's not over yet.还没完呢
2101They definitely won earlier rounds.他们肯定赢得了早期的比赛。
2102They took over institutions.他们接管了机构。
2103I think now it's much more我觉得现在要多得多了
2104a fair fight where you have people like Elon kind of supporting.公平斗争,你得到的人 像伊隆那种支持。
2105So there's these different所以,这些不同
2106forces through history.力量贯穿历史
2107Historians will argue about this, but there's a theory of the great历史学家会为此争论 但有一个关于伟大的理论
2108man of history thing where it's like, oh, you have the Einsteins, you have the Teslas, you have the你拥有爱因斯坦家族 你拥有特斯拉斯
2109Genghis Khans and the Caesars.成吉思汗与凯撒.
2110They determine the flow of history.它们决定了历史的流转.
2111And then there's the other还有另一个
2112point of view that, no, there are these massive forces at play, demographics and geography认为,不,有 这些巨大的力量 在游戏,人口和地理
2113and so on.诸如来.
2114And then the particular great man doesn't matter.然后,特定的伟人不重要。
2115They just come and go,他们只是来去去,
2116Napoleon doesn't matter.拿破仑不重要
2117They would have been somebody else.他们会是别人。
2118The specific names are not具体姓名没有
2119important.这很重要
2120And because of kind of the leftist turn that our institutions took in the last few也因为我们的机构 采取左倾的转弯方式
2121decades, they now only subscribe to the great forces theory of history, not the great man数十年,他们现在只赞同历史的伟大力量理论,而不是伟大的人
2122theory of history.历史理论.
2123But I think now we're seeing the two play out where you're seeing Trump and但我想我们现在看到的是 你和特朗普的两场比赛
2124Elon and other individuals rising up and saying, no, we resist.伊隆和其他人站起来说,不,我们反抗。
2125Yeah, that's interesting.是啊,这很有趣。
2126And还有
2127I think that unfortunately, and so the battle between these collectivists and great forces我觉得很不幸,所以这些集体主义者和伟大力量的战斗
2128versus individuals, it's as old as humanity itself.相对于个人,它和人类本身一样古老.
2129And it is fundamental to the species.它对于这个物种来说至关重要。
2130We are not a completely individualistic species.我们不是一个完全个性化的物种。
2131No man is an island.没有人是岛屿。
2132A single person can't do一个人不能做
2133anything by themselves.任何东西,自己。
2134But we're also not a Borg.但我们也不是博格人
2135We're not a beehive.我们不是蜂窝
2136We're not an ant colony.我们不是蚁群
2137We're not all just drones marching along.我们不只是无人机在前进
2138So which is it?哪个?
2139We're somewhere in the middle and我们在中间的某个地方
2140human race is always kind of bouncing between the two.人类总是在二者之间发光
2141We like strong leaders.我们喜欢坚强的领导人。
2142We like to be led.我们喜欢被领导。
2143We like to coordinate our forces and mass and do things.我们喜欢协调我们的力量和物质,做事情。
2144But at the same time, we're also all但与此同时,我们也
2145individuals and willing to break away and willing to do our own thing.个人和愿意离开 并愿意做我们自己的事情。
2146And everyone's always fighting每个人都在吵架
2147to be a leader and there's always status games going on.总是有状态游戏在进行
2148So there's a pendulum that's always所以总有一个笔鼓
2149swinging back and forth.前后摇摆.
2150And in modern economics, the way that manifests is between sort of Marxism在现代经济学中,表现方式是 马克思主义
2151and capitalism, right?和资本主义,对不对?
2152Marxism is like from each according to his ability to each according to his马克思主义就像从每个人 根据他的能力
2153needs.需要帮助。
2154We're all equal.众生平等.
2155There's a millennial project.有千年项目.
2156We're all going to be equal in the end.皆得圆满平等.
2157And don't try and stand out, but do what's good for everybody.不要试图突出, 但做对每个人都好。
2158And there's a religious aspect to还有宗教方面
2159it.这个
2160And then the capitalist individualist is like a libertarian.然后资本主义个人主义者就像一个自由主义者.
2161Every man for himself, you just each每个人为自己,你只是每个人
2162do what you want and it'll work out for the greater good.随心所欲,为大局而努力
2163That's Adam Smith.这是亚当·斯密。
2164The invisible hand of the看不见的手
2165market will feed you.市场会喂你。
2166The baker should bake and the butcher should butcher and the candlestick面包师应该烤 屠夫应该屠宰 和烛台
2167maker should make candlesticks and it'll all work out.制造者应该做蜡烛棒 然后一切都会好的
2168Each person does their best and they trade.每个人都尽力而为 并进行交易。
2169And so which is it?那么是哪个?
2170Which theory is correct?哪个理论是正确的?
2171And I think there's always going to be a battle我觉得总有一场战斗
2172between the two.二者之间.
2173And I think the interesting thing is what's going on.我认为有趣的是 发生了什么。
2174There's a modern flavor to it,有一种现代的味道
2175which changes it.它改变了它。
2176The modern flavor is that the individual is getting more powerful because现代的口味是个人越来越强大 因为
2177they're becoming more leverage.他们越来越有影响力了
2178So someone like an Elon Musk can have the leverage of tens of所以像伊隆·穆斯克这样的人 可以拥有数十人的影响力
2179brilliant engineers and producers working for him.优秀的工程师和制作人为他工作。
2180He can have factories of robots manufacturing他可以拥有制造机器人的工厂
2181things.东西。
2182He can have hundreds of billions of dollars of capital behind him and he can project他身后有上千亿的资本 可以投影
2183himself through media to hundreds of millions of people.自己通过媒体 向亿万人民。
2184That is more power than any individual这比任何个人都强
2185could have had historically.本来可以有历史。
2186So the great men of history are becoming greater.因此,历史上的伟人正在变得更加强大.
2187That said,这么说
2188that same leverage is increasing the gap between the haves and have nots.同样的杠杆正在扩大贫富差距。
2189So in the wealth game,所以在财富游戏中,
2190more people are winning overall and the average is going up.越来越多的人获得了总的胜利,平均率正在上升。
2191But in the status game, they're但在状态游戏中,他们
2192essentially more losers.基本上更多的失败者。
2193There are more invisible men and women who are getting nothing out of life更多的隐形男女 从生活中一无所获
2194and have no leverage, relatively speaking.而且没有影响力,相对而言。
2195Objectively speaking, they might be better off.客观地说,他们可能更好。
2196They still have phones and they still have TVs.他们还有电话,还有电视
2197They're not absolute creatures.他们不是绝对的生物。
2198They're relative它们是相对的
2199creatures.众生.
2200Correct.没错
2201And so to the extent that we're relatives creatures, there are more losers至于我们是亲戚的生物 更多的是失败者
2202than winners.胜过胜者
2203And in a democracy, those people will outnumber the winners and they will vote the在一个民主国家中,这些人将胜过胜者,他们将投票给
2204winners down.赢家倒下。
2205And so that's the battle that kind of goes on.因此,这就是这种战斗的继续。
2206And the democracy has gotten very民主已经变得非常
2207broad.广义的。
2208And so one of my other quips is that it's not the right to vote that gives you power.因此,我的另一个疑问是, 这不是投票权 给了你权力。
2209It's power that gives you the right to vote.权力给你投票权.
2210So we've confused the two.所以我们把两者混淆了
2211So what happened was,事情是这样的
2212voting started as a way for people who had power to divide up the power and not fight amongst投票一开始是为了让有权力的人 分权,而不是打架
2213themselves.他们自己。
2214The winners of the revolution, the winners of the war, the people in the House of革命的胜利者 战争的胜利者
2215Lords and the House of Commons, they divide up power amongst themselves.领主和下议院,他们彼此之间分权.
2216They say, Hey, we have他们说,嘿,我们有
2217the money.钱
2218We have the power.我们有力量
2219We are the knights.我们是骑士
2220We have the swords.我们有剑。
2221We have the warriors.我们有勇士
2222We could我们可以
2223kill everybody, but we don't want to just fight each other all day long.杀光所有人 但我们不想整天吵架
2224We don't want to be Game我们不想成为游戏
2225of Thrones forever.将永居宝座中。
2226So we're going to divide up power by voting amongst ourselves.所以我们要通过投票来划分权力。
2227But then as但作为
2228society goes on and becomes more and more peaceful, that franchise for voting gets spread.社会继续发展,越来越和平,选举权得到普及。
2229It gets它会得到
2230spread to people who don't have land, who don't have power, who may not be able to inflict physical传播到那些没有土地,没有权力,可能无法施加身体伤害的人身上
2231violence.暴力行为。
2232And then eventually you get to the point where everybody's voting.然后,你最终得到 达到每个人的投票点。
2233Everybody's voting and每个人都投票
2234then eventually people start voting to oppress each other.最终人们开始投票压迫对方。
2235The 51% in any domain vote to51%在任何域的选票中
2236suppress the 49%.压制49%。
2237It's a tyranny of the majority.这是多数人的暴政.
2238But not all of them are willing to back that up但并不是所有人都愿意支持这个
2239with physical power.以体力为体.
2240And so you can end up in a situation where people who don't have physical这样你就能陷入一个没有身体的人
2241power are using the institutions of the state to control the people who do have physical power.权力正在利用国家机构来控制那些拥有实际权力的人。
2242As a simple example, take the United States, the people who don't have guns voting to disarm the举个简单的例子,以美国为例,没有枪的人投票解除
2243people that do have guns.有枪的人
2244Well, if the people who do have guns get coordinated and care enough,好吧,如果那些有枪的人 得到足够的协调和关心,
2245you can't do that.你不能这样做。
2246So I think eventually these societal structures are unstable.所以我认为这些社会结构最终是不稳定的。
2247They break down他们分道扬镳
2248and they break down because eventually the people who have the power and say, no, wait a minute,他们分崩离析,因为有权力的人说:不,等等,
2249you don't get to vote.你没有投票权。
2250You only got to vote because you had power and now you don't have power and你只有投票 因为你有权力 现在没有权力
2251you're somehow trying to vote.你想投票吗?
2252All of nature, all of society, all of capitalism, all of human大自然、社会、资本主义、人类
2253endeavors are underpinned by physical violence.身体暴力是努力的基础。
2254And that is very hard truth to swallow and hard这是很难 吞下和硬
2255to get away from.远离。
2256Nature is red in tooth and claw.自然在牙齿和爪子上是红色的.
2257If you don't fight, you don't survive,如果你不战斗,你就无法生存
2258you don't live, you die.你没有生命,你死了。
2259And that's true of everything alive today.而今一切众生亦如是.
2260And humans are no different.而人无异.
2261So giving up physical power and then thinking you can exercise political power fails, which is why所以放弃身体权力,然后认为你可以行使政治权力失败,这就是为什么
2262every communist revolution, which is all about equality and kumbaya and brother and sisters end每一次共产主义革命, 都是为了平等,
2263up being run by a bunch of thugs.被一群暴徒管理着
2264Because if you don't have a way to divide up the wealth based on因为如果你没有办法 分享财富的基础
2265merit, then it's always going to be based on power and influence.功绩,那么它总是会基于权力和影响力.
2266The thugs with the guns always win拿着枪的暴徒总能赢
2267the end.结束。
2268So the question is just, can you keep the thugs with the guns paid and happy and successful所以问题只是,你能不能让那些拿枪的暴徒 得到报酬,快乐和成功?
2269society where you're allocating based on merit?你根据功绩分配资金的社会?
2270Because if you can't, then you're going to do it因为如果你做不到,那你就要这么做
2271based on power.基于力量。
2272So I do think that this battle is not over, but that's because it never stopped.所以我确实认为这场战役还没有结束, 这是因为它从未停止。
2273It's always been there from day one.从第一天开始就一直存在
2274It will continue.它将继续下去。
2275Is it a battle to not care about the这是一场不关心
2276news in an age of news saturation?新闻饱和时代的新闻?
2277All of this stuff headlines 24 hours a day streamed directly所有这一切 头条一天24小时 直接流淌
2278into your consciousness through a device in your pocket.通过口袋里的装置进入你的意识
2279You know, a lot of what we've spoken你知道,很多我们说过的话
2280about today is freedom, freedom from having to think about things or care about things that you自由,自由 不必思考 或关心的东西你
2281do not have control over or that you shouldn't or that you don't want to.控制不了 不该控制 也不想控制
2282And yet people are just但人们只是
2283like submerged up to the bottom of their nostrils, basically drowning in worry.就像被淹没到鼻孔底部 基本上沉溺在忧患之中
2284So how, yeah, is it,所以,是的,这是
2285is it a battle to sort of stay out of the news when you're saturated in it?在你饱满的时候,这是一场 远离新闻的战斗吗?
2286Yeah.对
2287I mean, as you're saying, the human brain is not evolved to handle all the world's我的意思是,正如你说的, 人类大脑不是进化 来处理所有的世界
2288emergencies breaking in real time and you can't care about everything and you'll go insane if you紧急事件实时发生,你不能关心一切 如果你疯了
2289cry.哭个不停
2290Does it mean you shouldn't care at all?这是否意味着你根本不该在乎?
2291There's no should.不应有.
2292I mean, if you want to care,我的意思是,如果你想关心,
2293go ahead and care.继续注意
2294I would just say that you're probably better off only caring about things that我只是说,你也许更好 仅仅关心的事情
2295are local or things that you can affect.是本地的或者可以影响的东西。
2296So if you really care about something that's in the news,如果你真的在乎新闻里的东西
2297then by all means care about it, but make a difference, go do something about it and make然后用所有手段去关心它, 但做一个改变, 去做一些事情
2298sure that it's your overwhelming desire and you don't have five other desires at the same time.确定这是你压倒性的欲望 而你没有另外五个欲望 同时。
2299Also just realize the consequences of it.也意识到它的后果。
2300You're going to be unhappy until that thing gets fixed你会不高兴的 直到那东西修好
2301and that thing will often be out of your control.那东西往往会失控
2302Desire is a contract to be unhappy until you get what you want.欲望是一种不开心的契约 直到你得到你想要的
2303But for the most part,但大多数时候,
2304that's something that is in your life.那是你生命中的东西
2305It's like till I lose the weight until I get the job.这就像直到我减肥 直到我得到工作。
2306It can be outside too.也可以在外边
2307If it's until the carbon dioxide parts per million are below this particular number,如果直到百万分之一的二氧化碳 低于这个具体数字,
2308it's like, that's a-这就像,这是一个...
2309That's a tough one for all the people that trumped arrangement syndrome, right?这对克服安排综合症的所有人来说都是很难的 对吧?
2310He's living rent free in their heads and driving them insane.他住在他们头上免费的租金 让他们发疯
2311And I get it.и笵
2312I mean,我是说...
2313there are politicians who have definitely driven me insane as well,有些政客也把我逼疯了
2314but it comes at a very high cost and it's something that is out of your control that但代价很高 而且这是你无法控制的
2315you cannot really influence.你无法真正影响。
2316So it's probably good to at least be conscious of it.所以至少应该意识到这一点。
2317You mentioned historians before.你以前提到过历史学家
2318One of my friends has a question, his equivalent of我的一位朋友有一个问题 他相当于
2319Peter Thiel's question of what is it that you believe that most people would disagree with.彼得,别这样 Thiel的疑问是什么,你相信大多数人会不同意。
2320His is what do you think is currently ignored by the media, but will be studied by historians?他就是目前媒体所忽略的,但历史学家会研究什么?
2321Hmm.是吗?
2322You're asking me that question right now.你现在在问我这个问题
2323What do I think is ignored by the media, but will be studied by historians?我认为媒体忽视了什么,但历史学家会研究什么?
2324Well, I mean, the media is only focused on very timely things, right?嗯,我的意思是,媒体只专注于 非常及时的事情,对不对?
2325So it depends if所以这要看
2326you want to talk about timely or timeless, right?你想谈论及时或无时无刻,对不对?
2327But as a simple example, if I just look at things但作为一个简单的例子, 如果我只是看事情
2328that maybe the next five or 10 years that are going to make a massive difference that people也许未来五、十年 将会给人们带来巨大的变化
2329are not focused enough on.重点不够突出。
2330And I think within two years, this will be obvious.我认为在两年内,这是显而易见的。
2331So like I'm就像我一样
2332making a prediction and predictions are tough.做预测和预测很困难
2333You're going to have to eat it in a few years.数年后得食.
2334Yeah, I'm going to have to eat this in a few years.是啊,我要吃这个 在几年内。
2335So I'm probably wrong, but two things that I pay所以我可能错了 但我付了两件事
2336attention to that I don't think a lot of people do pay attention to.注意,我不认为 很多人会注意。
2337Well, there's a couple.嗯,有一对夫妇。
2338One is一个是
2339I think just how bad modern medicine is.我认为现代医学有多糟糕
2340I think people just put a lot more faith in modern medicine我觉得人们只是更相信现代医学
2341than is warranted.无法证明
2342Like our best ideas for a lot of things are surgery, just cutting things out,就像我们对很多事情的最佳想法是手术, 只是切除事情,
2343right?对吧?
2344Treating things that are extraneous, like, oh, you don't really need a gallbladder.治疗一些不相干的东西, 比如,哦,你不需要一个胆囊。
2345You don't really need an appendix or you don't really need tonsils.你不需要附录 也不需要扁桃体
2346Oh, that's false.哦,这是虚假的。
2347Suplex requirement.复杂要求。
2348Human body is very, very efficient.人体非常非常高效.
2349All those things are needed.所有这些都是需要的。
2350So I think the state of所以,我认为状态
2351modern medicine is still pretty bad.现代医学仍然相当糟糕。
2352We don't have many good explanatory theories in biology.在生物学中我们并没有很多很好的解释理论.
2353We have germ theory disease.我们有细菌理论疾病。
2354We have evolution.我们有进化。
2355We have cell theory.我们有细胞理论
2356We have DNA genetics,我们有DNA遗传学
2357morphogenesis, embryogenesis, and not much else.发作、胚胎发作,其他的也不多
2358You know, there's not much else.你知道,没有什么其他的。
2359Everything else其他的都一样
2360is rules of thumb, memorization.是拇指规则,记忆。
2361A affects B because it affects C affects D, but we don'tA影响B,因为它影响C 影响D,但我们不
2362understand the underlying explanation.理解背后的解释。
2363It's all just words, point to words, point to words.皆以字为正,指字为正.
2364So biology is still in a very sorry state.所以生物学仍然处于非常糟糕的状态.
2365And because we are not allowed to take risk因为我们不能冒险
2366that might kill people, we just don't experiment enough in biology.这可能会害死人, 我们只是不够实验 在生物学。
2367So a lot of treatments are所以很多治疗是
2368just outright banned by large regulatory bodies.只是被大管理机构彻底禁止
2369So we just don't have the innovation.所以我们只是没有创新。
2370So I think we're still in the stone age when it comes to biology, and we've got a long ways to go.因此,我认为在生物学方面,我们仍然处在石器时代,还有很长的路要走.
2371And I think people will look back aghast at this.我想人们会回想起这个可怕的事。
2372And I think this is Brian Johnson's point.我认为这是布莱恩·约翰逊的观点。
2373He's琌
2374like, you know, let's be more extreme.像,你知道,让我们更极端。
2375Let's try to live forever.试求永生.
2376It must be more experimental.它必须更实验。
2377And I'll start at the end of one and start experimenting on myself.我会从一个结尾开始 开始自我试验。
2378But even there,但即使在那里,
2379I disagree with Brian on many things, like, you know, taking huge amounts of supplements.我不同意布莱恩在很多方面的意见 比如说,服用大量补充剂
2380I think we just don't know it's supplements outside of the international context, like just eat我觉得我们只是不知道 这是补充 国际背景之外, 像只是吃
2381right.对
2382But it's fine.但无碍.
2383And I wouldn't be vegan either.我也不会吃素的
2384But you know, it's, I really appreciate但你知道,这是,我真的很感激
2385that he's experimenting, he's good natured about me, shares everything.他对我很好 分享一切
2386So we need more people所以我们需要更多的人
2387like that.像这样
2388So I think the state of biology, people will look back and say, wow, that was所以,我认为生物状态 人们会回头看,说,哇,那是
2389in the dark ages.在黑暗时代。
2390I think another, another thing that we'll look back on is I think we,我觉得还有一件事,我们会回顾的,是我想我们,
2391we still continue to underestimate how important drones are going to be in warfare.我们仍然低估无人机在战争中的重要性
2392The future of all warfare is drones.所有战争的未来都是无人机
2393There will be nothing else in the battlefield.战场上没有别的了
2394Because I think of the end state of drones as autonomous bullets, not even guided autonomous,因为我认为无人机的末端状态 是自主子弹,甚至没有引导自主,
2395like they're self-directed.就像他们自导自演一样
2396And so if that's the future we're headed towards, and that's a所以如果这就是我们走向的未来 那就是
2397Why would you have an armed force?你为什么有武装部队?
2398There's gonna be no, there's gonna be no aircraft carriers, there's gonna be no tanks,没有,没有航空母舰,没有坦克
2399there's gonna be no infantrymen.没有步兵
2400There's just going to be autonomous bullets by autonomous只有自主的子弹
2401bullets against your autonomous bullets, whichever ones win the other side just surrenders because子弹对你的自主子弹, 无论谁赢了对方只是投降。
2402over.结束了。
2403I think that's the second piece of it.我想这是它的第二块。
2404I think a third piece that is going to be kind我觉得第三件会是善良的
2405of unexpected is the GLP ones, which I know you and I have privately discussed before.出乎意料的是GLP的, 我知道你和我之前私下讨论过。
2406I think我觉得
2407these are the most breakthrough drugs since antibiotics.这是抗生素之后最突破的药物
2408They're probably more important他们可能更重要
2409{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}比Statins还棒 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}我还爱他
2410They're sort of miracle drugs.这是一种奇迹药物。
2411They seem to, there are downsides, but the downside and他们似乎有缺点, 但缺点和
2412side effects are so minor compared to the upsides beyond just weight loss.副作用和颠倒相比是如此微小 不只是减重
2413They also seem to be他们似乎也是
2414breakers.断路器。
2415They seem to lower many kinds of cancer.他们似乎降低了许多类型的癌症。
2416They almost metabolically reverse它们几乎是代谢反向的
2417aging up to a certain point.衰老到某个时候
2418And I think they're going to bend the curve on healthcare costs.我认为他们会在医疗费用上 弯曲弯曲。
2419And the big question people are going to be asking over the next five years is why are Americans未来五年人们会问的大问题是 为什么美国人是美国人
2420paying thousands of dollars a month for this when people overseas are getting them for free?当海外人免费买这些东西时,每月要付几千美元?
2421Or I can order them from China for free or whatever.或者我可以免费从中国订购
2422And maybe it, like if I were Bernie也许,如果我是伯尼
2423Sanders, the platform I would be running on is I would say, okay, we're going to pay, you know,桑德斯,我会运行的平台是 我会说,好吧,我们会支付,你知道,
2424hundreds of billions of dollars to De Novo and Eli Lilly, and we're just going to make these free.几千亿美元给De Novo和Eli Lilly, 我们只是要让这些免费。
2425Or there's hundreds of analogs of these things that work.或有百千譬喻此等诸物皆能成就.
2426These are not going to be, you know,这些不会是,你知道,
2427limited to just the few that are being used today.仅限于今天使用的少数几个。
2428Just take one of them or two of them and make them就拿一个或两个来做
2429free.免费。
2430And I think it'll make a big difference.我觉得这会有很大的不同
2431And as you and I were discussing earlier, this刚才我们讨论的这个
2432does bend a lot of people out of shape who got there the old fashioned way and they want to see弯曲很多人的形状 谁得到了那里 老的方式,他们想看到
2433obesity as a moral failing on people's parts.肥胖症是人们的道德缺陷
2434And it lowers their status if they are suddenly如果他们突然出现 就会降低他们的地位
2435less of a signal.少一个信号。
2436Yeah, so they're incented to say, oh, well, you don't know the downsides.是啊,所以他们被鼓励说, 哦,嗯,你不知道的缺点。
2437You know, it's irresponsible to suggest it's going to cause cancer, have fun losing bone and你知道,这是不负责任的 暗示它会引起癌症, 玩乐失去骨头和
2438muscle mass.肌肉质量。
2439But none of that stuff is really true.但是这些都不是真的
2440The cancer stuff is actually beneficial on,癌症的东西实际上是有益的,
2441I know people who are now taking these things for anti-aging reasons.我知道有人现在服用这些东西 是为了抗衰老
2442They're already fit,他们已经合身了,
2443but they just want to age better and have a stronger insulin metabolism.但他们只是想提高年龄 并有更强的胰岛素代谢。
2444And there's evidence now these things are, you know, they put off dementia, Alzheimer's,现在有证据表明,这些东西,你知道, 他们推迟了痴呆症,阿尔茨海默症,
2445colon cancer.结肠癌.
2446It's insane cardiovascular disease.这是疯狂的心血管疾病。
2447Like the list of benefits is insane.就像福利清单是疯狂的。
2448There's no free lunch, but this is a class of drugs that prevents you from taking other drugs没有免费午餐,但这是一门 禁止你服用其他药物的药物
2449into your body.进入你的身体。
2450It prevents you from taking, you know, too much sugar, too many calories in an让你无法摄取太多的糖 太多的卡路里
2451era of abundance, prevents you from smoking, prevents you from even there's an organization防止你抽烟 阻止你甚至有组织
2452called Casper that is not doing a study on heroin addictions.他叫卡斯珀 他没有研究海洛因成瘾
2453And they're showing that this can lower他们显示这可以降低
2454opioid overdoses and heroin addiction.类阿片过量和海洛因成瘾。
2455So there's a lot of overwhelming medical evidence coming out.由此得出大量压倒性医学证据.
2456And I think, I don't know the exact number, but I think something like 10% of the population might我觉得,我不知道确切的数字, 但我认为,像 10%的人口可能
2457not have tried these things.没有尝试过这些事情。
2458Yeah, I think that's the number that I'd say as well.是的,我想这也是我想说的号码。
2459Yeah, it's massive.是啊,这是巨大的。
2460I think it's about 50% of the population say that they would like to try it.我想大概有50%的人口说 他们想试试
2461Exactly.没错
2462So I think the所以我认为
2463body positivity movement is dead.身体阳性运动是死。
2464And we always kind of knew it was a scam.我们一直知道这是骗局
2465I mean, it's dying我是说,它快死了
2466very, very quickly.非常,非常迅速。
2467Equipped like you can never be too rich, too thin or too clean.就像你永远不会太有钱,太瘦或者太干净
2468Right.对
2469And还有
2470immediately, like a whole bunch of people went nonlinear by mention, like, what do you mean,立即,像一堆人去 非线性通过提及, 像,你是什么意思,
2471too thin?太瘦了吗?
2472And what about the hygiene hypothesis?卫生假说呢?
2473And you know, obviously, there's always exceptions,你知道,很明显, 总是有例外,
2474but people want to be thin and fit.但人们希望自己瘦小体贴
2475And people want to be clean back to the pathogen discussion人们想重新回到病原体的讨论中
2476that we had.我们有过的
2477So I think overall that there's going to be huge demand for these things.因此,我认为总的来说,这些东西会有巨大的需求。
2478And our modern medical system is not built to supply these well.我们的现代医疗系统不是用来供应这些井的。
2479I'm not, I'm not, I don't hold我没有,我没有,我没有抱
2480it against the pharmas.它与药物。
2481I think the pharmas did their job by creating the thing.我认为药剂师通过创造它完成了他们的工作。
2482But I think next,但我想接下来
2483we need to step up and figure out how to make it broadly and cheaply available as opposed to just我们需要更上一层楼 找出如何使它 广泛和廉价的提供 而不是仅仅
2484milk it for only for people on obesity who can get Medicare to sign off for it or people paying只能给肥胖症患者牛奶,他们可以让医疗保险公司签收,或者买单
2485out of pocket at very, very high prices.以非常,非常高的价格从口袋里出来
2486The benefits of societal distribution of the safer社会分配的好处
2487GLP ones is so large that whichever politicians are tackles that is going to be richly rewarded.GLP大到无论哪位政治家都会得到丰厚的奖励。
2488Well, obesity is the number one source of malnutrition worldwide.肥胖是全世界营养不良的头一个原因
2489There's twice as many有两倍
2490people that are obese than a starving.肥胖的人 比饥饿的人。
2491So about half a billion people are starving.因此,大约5亿人正在挨饿。
2492And so many problems are downstream of that.下游有很多问题
2493Like, you know, look at how much of the federal比如,你知道,看看有多少联邦
2494budget goes into dialysis because of kidney failure and why is that?由于肾衰竭,预算进入透析,为什么?
2495It's because of diabetes.由是糖尿病缘故.
2496Right.对
2497So so many of the problems that we have in modern society are downstream of obesity.所以在现代社会中,我们所存在的很多问题 都集中在肥胖的下游。
2498And you还有你
2499know this, like fitness is so important.你知道这一点, 像健身是如此重要。
2500And yes, there's in some people, these things cause muscle是的,有些人,这些东西引起肌肉
2501and bone loss, but not in the people who are eating high protein and working out hard.和骨折, 但不是在那些 吃高蛋白和努力工作的人。
2502So they can be所以他们可以
2503taken away.带走了
2504That's safer.这样比较安全
2505And some versions of these like literal glutide, the original one,和一些版本的这些像 字面的过量, 原的,
2506they've been around for decades and the others have been around for about a decade.他们已经左右数十年, 其他人已经左右大约十年。
2507And we already我们已经
2508have, as you said, 10% of the population taking them.正如你所说,10%的人口服用了这些药物。
2509So they're already quite widely distributed.所以它们已经很广泛分布。
2510It's a good sample size.样本尺寸不错.
2511Yeah, it's a great sample size.是啊,这是一个伟大的样本大小。
2512What more do you need?你还需要什么?
2513Like if you, if you have a bacterial就像你,如果你有细菌
2514infection that's eating you, I don't say, oh, I have this antibiotic, but it's going to raise感染正在吞噬你,我不说, 哦,我有这种抗生素,但它会增加
2515your blood pressure.你的血压。
2516It's like, no, take the antibiotic.这就像,不,服用抗生素。
2517If you're going to kill yourself,如果你要自杀
2518I say, take this anti-psychotic and stay alive a little longer and solve it.我说,拿着这个抗精神病药 活得更久一点,解决它
2519I don't say,我不说,
2520it's going to cause your heart rate to go up by three beats a minute.这会让你的心率每分钟上升三下
2521I don't worry about that.我不担心这一点。
2522So similarly, if you're poisoning yourself with toxins and overuse of substances that同样,如果你用毒素毒死自己 和过度使用药物
2523you shouldn't be using either heroin, alcohol, cigarettes, sugar, or just sheer calories,你不应该使用海洛因, 酒精,香烟,糖, 或者纯粹的卡路里,
2524把这个GLP-1。
2525They also improve digestion.它们也会改善消化.
2526You just have less calories, just less food matter你只是热量少,食物少
2527going through your stomach.穿过你的胃。
2528They lower cancer risks across the board.它们全面降低癌症风险.
2529There's quite a few cancers有不少癌症
2530that lower.再低一点
2531Cardiovascular, I mean, I don't know what else to tell you.心血管,我的意思是,我不知道还有什么 告诉你。
2532I've been very surprised by the negative reception whenever you have a conversation每当你说话的时候 我都会对负面的接待感到惊讶
2533关于GLP-1.
2534And I think a lot of it may be people who...我觉得很多人可能...
2535Well, think about how many sacred cows are being gored, right?好吧,想想有多少神圣的牛 被挖,对不对?
2536All the people who are basically基本上都是这样的人
2537saying, you should work harder.说,你应该努力工作。
2538You should be fit like I did, right?莱赣钩и妓癸盾
2539It's lowering their status.这降低了他们的地位。
2540Think about all the nutritionists and doctors and trainers who are now being, you know,想想现在所有营养学家、医生和训练者
2541it's too easy.这太容易了。
2542They're being put out of business in a way, right?他们从某种意义上说就被赶出去,对吗?
2543It's kind of like, why does这有点像,为什么
2544the American military keep buying aircraft carriers in an age of drones?美军在无人驾驶飞机时代 继续购买航空母舰?
2545There's an incentive有个奖励
2546bias.偏执。
2547There's a very strong motivated reasoning, but it doesn't matter.有很强的动机推理,但这并不重要.
254810% of people are on it.10%的人在调查
2549Everybody wants to be fit.每个人都想适应
2550It's going to spread like wildfire.它会像野火一样蔓延
2551I was just thinking as you were talking that, you know, when we think about health and我只是在想,当你在说, 你知道,当我们思考 健康,
2552a lot of people kind of get captured by the way that they were brought up,很多人都因为长大而被抓获
2553the habits that they had from their childhood or what mom and dad did or genetic predisposition他们从小就有的习惯 或父母做了什么或遗传倾向
2554and stuff like that.和类似的东西。
2555I think you have as many reasons, as many people to sort of feel hard我想你有同样多的理由, 多少人觉得很难
2556done by challenges that you had earlier on in your life.由你之前在人生中遇到的挑战完成
2557Is getting past your past a skill,超越你的过去是一种技巧,
2558sort of not being owned today by your history, sort of not having that victimhood mentality?那种不为你的历史所拥有, 那种没有那种受害者心态?
2559Yeah, I did have a tough childhood, but I don't think about it.是啊,我有一个艰难的童年, 但我不考虑它。
2560You know, I think there are a你知道,我觉得有一个
2561couple of things going on there.发生了两件事
2562One is I did process it quite a bit.其一,我处理过很多。
2563I thought about it,我考虑过了
2564but I thought about it to get rid of it.但我想把它除掉
2565I didn't think about it to dwell on it or to indulge.我考虑的不是沉浸在其中 也不是沉浸在其中
2566Yeah.对
2567I wanted to be successful.我想成为成功的。
2568I wanted more than anything else to rise past that.我最想的就是摆脱这一切
2569And so I couldn't have that as a burden on me.所以我不能承担这个负担
2570So I had to get rid of it.故得除灭.
2571So to the extent that I因此,我的程度
2572dealt with it, it was for the express purpose of getting rid of it, not to create an identity处理它,它是为了明确 摆脱它,而不是创造身份
2573or story or to reflect upon it or to say, look at me, look at what I've accomplished and look或故事 或思考 或说, 看着我, 看看我的成就,看看
2574great I am and what I've done.伟大的我和我做的。
2575So I got rid of it.遂弃之.
2576And I think at some point you wrestle with that我想在某个时候,你和那个
2577thing and then you just realize you're never going to untangle the whole thing.事情,你只是意识到 你永远不会解开 整个事情。
2578It's a Gordian knot这是高地结
2579problem.问题。
2580Like Alexander found that tangled knot in India and it said, oh, the famous conqueror就像Alexander在印度发现那个缠绕的结 它说,哦,著名的征服者
2581will come and will untie this knot.来解开这个结
2582Nobody else can untie the knot.没有人能解开结
2583And he took one look at it,他看了一眼,
2584pulled out a sword and just cut it.拔出一把剑就砍了
2585So at some point you just have to cut your past.所以,在某些时候,你只需要切除你的过去。
2586If your狦
2587past is bothering you, you will eventually get tired of trying to untangle that knot and you过去让你烦恼 最后你会厌倦解开结
2588will just drop it because you will realize life is short.因为你会意识到生命是短暂的
2589And the more you want to accomplish in你越想在
2590this life, actually the less time you have to unravel that thing.其实你越少时间去解开它
2591So I just wanted to actually所以我就想说
2592get things done.把事情办好
2593So I had no time to deal with it.所以我没有时间处理它。
2594So I just cut it.所以我就把它剪下来了
2595It's like a really bad这就像一个真正的坏
2596relationship, but in this case, it's a bad relationship with your own history.关系,但在这种情况下,与你自己的历史关系是不好的.
2597So you just这么说你只是
2598drop it.放下枪
2599Yeah.对
2600I think so much of what we've spoken about today is on the shortness of life我认为今天我们谈论的 大多是关于生命的短暂
2601and the fact that every moment is precious.和每个时刻都是宝贵的。
2602You have to take about the most fundamental resource你必须拥有最基本的资源
2603in your life is not time, it's attention.在你的生活中不是时间,而是注意力。
2604That's right.没错
2605I used to think, you know,我以前觉得,你知道,
2606the currency of life, right?生命的货币,对不对?
2607People think it's money and yes, money is important.人们认为这是钱 是的,钱是重要的。
2608And it does它确实如此
2609let you trade certain things for time, but it doesn't really buy your time.让你用某些东西换取时间, 但这并不真正需要你的时间。
2610Ask Warren Buffett问沃伦·巴菲特
2611how much time money can buy you or Michael Bloomberg.多少时间的钱可以买你或迈克尔·布隆伯格。
2612They're, you know, rich as Scrooge他们,你知道,富如斯克鲁格
2613and crisis, but they can't buy more time, right?和危机,但他们不能 争取更多的时间,对不对?
2614Brian Johnson, notwithstanding.布莱恩・约翰逊,尽管。
2615So you can't trade money for time.所以你不能用钱换取时间
2616Money is not the real currency of life.钱不是真正的生命货币。
2617And time时间
2618itself doesn't even mean that much because as we talked about before, a lot of time can be wasted它本身甚至没有那么重要 因为正如我们之前谈到的, 很多时间可以浪费
2619because you're not really present for it.因为你不是真正的在场。
2620You're not paying attention.你没注意
2621So the real currency of所以真正的货币
2622life is attention.生命就是关注
2623It's what you choose to pay attention to and what you do about it.所选择的专注和行为.
2624Back to the point about the news media, you can put your attention on the news, but that's how关于新闻媒体,你可以把注意力放在新闻上,但这就是
2625you're spending the real currency of life.你要花真正的生命货币。
2626So just be aware of that.所以请记住这一点。
2627If you want to, that's fine.如果你想的话,没关系。
2628There's no right or wrong here.这里没有对错
2629Like maybe it is your destiny to pick something in the news,就像也许是你的命运 在新闻中挑选一些东西,
2630learn about that problem, adopt that problem and solve it.了解这个问题,采纳这个问题并加以解决。
2631But just be careful because但是小心点,因为
2632your attention is the only thing that you have.你的注意力是你唯一拥有的
2633And that can also be captured by your own past.这也可以被你自己的过去抓住
2634Yes.对
2635You can fiddle it away on anything you like.随便你怎么说都可以
2636Is there an advantage to starting out as a loser?以失败者的身份开始有什么好处吗?
2637Absolutely.当然
2638Yeah.对
2639Because if you're a loser, then you'll want to be a winner and then you'll因为如果你是一个失败者, 然后,你会想成为一个胜利者,然后你会
2640develop all the characteristics that will help you be a quote unquote winner in life.开发出所有能帮助你成为 人生中无法引用的赢家的特性。
2641That said, I wouldn't sentence my kids to it.这么说,我不会判我的孩子死刑
2642I don't think you can artificially do that.我不认为你可以人工做到这一点。
2643Imagine that 300 years ago, you were born a serf and then somehow you managed to escape想象三百年前 你生来就是农奴 然后不知怎的逃出来了
2644off the farm and you become a landowner and then eventually you become a minor离开农场,你成为土地所有者 最后你成为未成年人
2645nobility and aristocrat.贵族和贵族.
2646Are you going to put your kids back on the farm and say,你会把你的孩子 回到农场说,
2647you're going to be a serf again?你又要当农奴了?
2648I know they all like those stories.我知道他们都喜欢那些故事
2649The kids themselves孩子们自己
2650like those stories because it says, I came from the school of hard knocks.就像那些故事 因为它说, 我来自学校 硬敲。
2651My dad made我父亲做的
2652me go shovel hay for a summer.我去铲干干草一个夏天。
2653It's not real.非实相.
2654I mean, you're not going to trick them.我的意思是,你不会欺骗他们。
2655I think all you can do is kind of cultivate an appreciation and gratitude for what you have.我认为你所能做的就是 培养一种欣赏和感激 你拥有的东西。
2656And the only way to do that is just evidence it yourself.唯一的办法就是自己证明
2657Just show yourself how you spend让你自己看看怎么花
2658money, how you respect it, what you do with it, how you take care of people,钱,你如何尊重它, 你做什么,你如何照顾人,
2659who you're responsible for.你对谁负责?
2660And the more resources you have, the greater the tribe you can take care你拥有的资源越多 你就能照顾的部落越多
2661of, the more of the tribe you can take care of.越多的部落你可以照顾。
2662So when you have no resources, you're struggling所以,当你没有资源, 你挣扎
2663to take care of yourself.照顾好自己。
2664And at that point, it's good to be selfish because you can't save这时候,自私是件好事 因为你救不了
2665somebody else if you can't even save yourself.如果你连自己都救不了 别人
2666So you take care of yourself and you become the所以,你照顾自己,你成为
2667{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}你最厉害的版本
2668But there are too many men who are able, fit and have some money who are但是,有太多的人 有能力,适合和有 一些钱是
2669doing nothing with their lives.他们的生活一无所获
2670They're just sitting at home doing nothing, just indulging他们只是坐在家里无所事事,只是心烦意乱
2671in themselves.在他们自己。
2672Maybe they go on dates and they get doordashed.也许他们去约会 并得到了门罩。
2673I have no respect for that.我不尊重这一点。
2674I think我觉得
2675there's nothing worse in society than a lazy man because he's sort of leaving it all on the table.社会上没有什么比懒汉更糟糕的了 因为他把一切都放在桌上
2676He's leaving his potential on the table.他把潜力放在桌上了
2677It's bad for him.对他不好
2678So the next thing you do is you go and所以接下来你要做的就是去
2679you have a family and you take care of your family, take care of that tribe.你有一个家庭,你照顾你的家人, 照顾那个部落。
2680Then you take care of那你就照顾好
2681your extended family, take care of your cousins, brothers, uncles, grandmothers, aunts, sisters,照顾你的表弟、兄弟、叔叔、祖母、姨妈、姐妹
2682everybody that you can.每个人都可以。
2683And then if you have more resources beyond that, then you go take care of如果你有更多的资源,然后你去照顾
2684your local tribe.你的当地部落。
2685You take care of your people.你照顾好你的人
2686You start trying to do some good for the world.你开始努力为世界做点好事
2687And if you have more resources than that, you go take care of an even bigger tribe.如果你有 更多的资源,你去照顾一个更大的部落。
2688And that's how就是这样
2689you earn both respect and self-confidence and you live up to your potential.你既赢得了尊重,又赢得了自信 也实现了你的潜力
2690So the more you have,所以,你越拥有,
2691the more is rightfully expected of you.对你的期望越高
2692And I think it's a good compact with society when highly我认为它是一个很好的契约 社会,当高级
2693capable people express and flex that capability by giving more and more and by doing more and more.有能力的人通过付出更多和付出更多的努力来表达和灵活地发挥这种能力。
2694And society rewards them with the one thing they can't get otherwise, which is status, right?而社会奖励他们 唯一他们得不到的东西, 这是地位,对不对?
2695So society should give you status in exchange for it.所以社会应该给你地位来换取它.
2696They should say, okay, you did a good job.他们应该说,好吧,你做得很好。
2697You took care of more people than just yourself and just the people immediately around you.你照顾的人比你自己还多 也不只是你身边的人
2698And that's what an alpha male to me is.对我来说,这就是一个α雄性。
2699An alpha male is not the one who gets to eat first.α雄兽不是先吃后吃的人.
2700The那个
2701alpha male eats last.阿尔法雄性最后吃。
2702The alpha male feeds everybody else first and then gets to eat last.阿尔法雄性先喂其他人 然后最后吃
2703And they do他们做的
2704that out of their own self-respect and pride.那是出于他们的自尊和骄傲
2705And the society rewards them by calling them an alpha社会奖励他们,称他们为阿尔法
2706and giving them status.并给予他们地位。
2707I wonder whether some of the pushback that we've got against rich, wealthy,我想知道我们是否对富人有所反感
2708powerful people is disincentivizing.强大的人正在失去动力。
2709It is.没错
2710Who is it?是谁?
2711Zuck who donated money to Zuckerberg向扎克伯格捐款的扎克
2712General Hospital and then they wanted to pull his name off of it.然后他们想把他的名字摘下来
2713I didn't see that, but that's我没有看到,但这是
2714ridiculous.荒谬
2715That kind of stuff backfires, right?那种东西反射,对不对?
2716You should reward people for doing what you're你应该奖励别人做你的事
2717saying before.说之前。
2718You don't just need to, in fact, actively avoid castigating people if you want你并不只需要,事实上, 积极避免阉割人们 如果你想
2719their behavior to change when they get something wrong.他们的行为会改变 当他们得到什么错误。
2720Look at reinforcing it when they get等他们来了再加固
2721something right.东西是正确的。
2722It's happening at a societal level as well.也发生在社会层面。
2723Correct.没错
2724The guys who make a lot赚大钱的人
2725of money and go out and buy sports teams, I wouldn't do that.有钱去买运动队,我不会那么做的
2726But the one who goes out and但谁出去,
2727builds a hospital or builds a rocket to take people to the moon or rescue some astronauts,建造医院或建造火箭送人上月球或营救一些宇航员
2728you should be rewarding him for that.你应该奖励他
2729Naval, I really appreciate you.海军,我真的很感激你。
2730I hope that this has我希望这是
2731moved up to whatever weird daydreams you've been having.搬到了任何奇怪的白日梦中去
2732What have you got coming up?你有什么发现?
2733What can people expect from you over the next however long?人们能期待你多长的时间?
2734Expect nothing.期待什么也没有。
2735That's the most这是最
2736naval way that we could have finished this.海军的方式,我们可以完成这一点。
2737Dude, it's been a long time coming and I really do哥们儿 好久不见 真的
2738appreciate you for being here today.感谢你今天能来
2739But I do hope to deliver something.但我确实希望能够提供一些东西。
2740I think you have.我想你们有
2741So thank you.谢谢
2742Thanks for having me.谢谢你邀请我
2743Thank you too.谢谢
2744Thanks for getting in my mind and hopefully now感谢您进入我的思想 希望现在
2745you're out.你出来了。
2746We'll see.等着瞧吧
2747It might be even worse now.现在可能更糟了
2748You've got the real memories to stick with.你有真实的记忆 坚持。
2749I一、导 言
2750The reason to do the podcast is to be done with it.做播客的理由是用它完成的.
2751All right.好吧,我们走。
2752Wow.珃
2753You made it to the end.你走到了尽头
2754Congratulations.祝贺你
2755Well, if you enjoyed that,如果你喜欢的话
2756you're going to love my full length conversation with the one and only Alain de Botton from the你会喜欢我和阿兰·德·博顿的谈话的
2757School of Life right here.生命学院就在这里。
2758Go on.继续
2759Press it.按下来。
2760Press新闻
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