实战练英文 | 抵抗强国,加拿大能成功?Mark Carne

实战练英文 | 抵抗强国,加拿大能成功?Mark Carney 达沃斯直指「规则秩序已死」!痛批大国为刀俎,中等强国必须联合起来,拒绝成为板上肉|2026 达沃
发布于 2026-03-10 · 时长 32:08字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:09 | Mark, should I read yours? | 马克,我要读你的吗? |
| 0:17 | Hi, everyone. | 大家好,你们好。 |
| 0:18 | It's a great honor for me to introduce Mark Cardy, Prime Minister of Canada, along with | 我很荣幸介绍加拿大总理马克·卡迪 |
| 0:23 | Guinea Rockman from the Financial Times. | "金融时报"的几内亚·罗克曼. |
| 0:28 | Much of the dialogue over the next few days will focus on where the puck is going. | 今后几天的大部分对话将侧重于竹竿的去向。 |
| 0:33 | You like that, Mark? | 你喜欢吗,马克? |
| 0:36 | Okay. | 摆 |
| 0:37 | Where the puck is going next in the global economy, which makes this a fitting moment | 在全球经济的下一个位置, 这使得这是一个合适的时刻 |
| 0:44 | to introduce a former hockey player, the Prime Minister of Canada, Mark Cardy. | 介绍前曲棍球运动员 加拿大总理马克·卡迪 |
| 0:52 | The ability to remain calm in fast-moving, high-pressure moments has defined Mark's | 在快速移动的高压瞬间保持平静的能力 已经定义了马克的 |
展开字幕全文(461 条)
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark, should I read yours? | 马克,我要读你的吗? |
| 2 | Hi, everyone. | 大家好,你们好。 |
| 3 | It's a great honor for me to introduce Mark Cardy, Prime Minister of Canada, along with | 我很荣幸介绍加拿大总理马克·卡迪 |
| 4 | Guinea Rockman from the Financial Times. | "金融时报"的几内亚·罗克曼. |
| 5 | Much of the dialogue over the next few days will focus on where the puck is going. | 今后几天的大部分对话将侧重于竹竿的去向。 |
| 6 | You like that, Mark? | 你喜欢吗,马克? |
| 7 | Okay. | 摆 |
| 8 | Where the puck is going next in the global economy, which makes this a fitting moment | 在全球经济的下一个位置, 这使得这是一个合适的时刻 |
| 9 | to introduce a former hockey player, the Prime Minister of Canada, Mark Cardy. | 介绍前曲棍球运动员 加拿大总理马克·卡迪 |
| 10 | The ability to remain calm in fast-moving, high-pressure moments has defined Mark's | 在快速移动的高压瞬间保持平静的能力 已经定义了马克的 |
| 11 | career. | 职业。 |
| 12 | In 2008, he led the Bank of Canada and helped steer his economy through the worst market | 2008年,他领导加拿大银行,帮助他的经济经历了最糟糕的市场. |
| 13 | turmoil in all our lives and our generation. | 我们的生活和我们这一代人的动荡。 |
| 14 | In the aftermath of Brexit, he became the first non-Brit to serve as a Governor of the | 在布雷克西特之后,他成为了第一个担任英国总督的非英国人. |
| 15 | Bank of England. | 英国银行. |
| 16 | And last year, he was elected very deservingly as Prime Minister for Canada at what may be | 去年,他被选为加拿大总理 值得一提 |
| 17 | one of the most pivotal moments in modern Canadian history. | 现代加拿大史上最关键的时刻之一 |
| 18 | Today, Prime Minister Cardy is focused on making Canada a place where it's easier to | 今天,卡迪总理 专注于使加拿大成为一个 |
| 19 | build, simpler to trade, smarter to invest in, and build more unity across its nation. | 建立,简化贸易, 更聪明的投资, 和建立更大的团结 整个国家。 |
| 20 | For 41 million Canadians, the world's 10th largest economy, he is a steady and thoughtful | 对于4100万加拿大人, 世界上第10大经济体, 他是一个稳定而深思熟虑的 |
| 21 | leader, and I am proud to call him a friend. | 我很荣幸能称他为朋友 |
| 22 | Please join me in welcoming Prime Minister of Canada, Mark Cardy. | 请与我一起欢迎加拿大总理马克·卡迪. |
| 23 | Thank you very much, Larry. | 非常感谢,拉里。 |
| 24 | I'm going to start in French and then I'll switch back to English. | 我先用法语开始 然后换回英语 |
| 25 | Merci, Larry. | 谢谢,拉里。 |
| 26 | Thank you, Larry. | 谢谢你,拉里。 |
| 27 | It is both a pleasure and a duty to be with you tonight in this pivotal moment that Canada | 今晚在加拿大这个关键时刻 与你在一起既是一种快乐也是一种义务 |
| 28 | and the world are going through. | 世界正在经历。 |
| 29 | Today I will talk about a rupture in the world order, the end of a pleasant fiction and the | 今天我将谈谈世界秩序的破裂,一个愉快的虚构的结局和 |
| 30 | of a harsh reality where geopolitics, where the large main power, geopolitics is submitted | 一个严酷的现实, 地缘政治, 在那里,最大的主要力量, 地缘政治 |
| 31 | to no limits, no constraints. | 没有限制,没有限制。 |
| 32 | On the other hand, I would like to tell you that the other countries, especially intermediate | 另一方面,我想告诉你们,其他国家,特别是中间国家, |
| 33 | powers like Canada, are not powerless. | 像加拿大这样的强国并不是无能为力的。 |
| 34 | They have the capacity to build a new order that encompasses our values, such as respect | 他们有能力建立一个包含我们价值观的新秩序,例如尊重 |
| 35 | for human rights, sustainable development, solidarity, sovereignty, and territorial | 人权、可持续发展、团结、主权和 |
| 36 | integrity of the various states. | 各州的廉洁。 |
| 37 | The power of the less power starts with honesty. | 弱者的权力始于诚实. |
| 38 | It seems that every day we're reminded that we live in an era of great power rivalry, | 似乎每天都有人提醒我们 我们生活在权力大竞争的时代 |
| 39 | that the rules-based order is fading, that the strong can do what they can and the weak | 基于规则的秩序正在消退 强者能做他们能做的 弱者 |
| 40 | must suffer what they must. | 必须承受他们必须承受的痛苦。 |
| 41 | And this aphorism of Thucydides is presented as inevitable, as the natural logic of international | 而Thucydides的这首谚语被描述为不可避免,就像国际的自然逻辑 |
| 42 | relations reasserting itself. | 关系重现。 |
| 43 | And faced with this logic, there is a strong tendency for countries to go along to get | 面对这种逻辑,各国有一种强烈的趋势,即: |
| 44 | along, to accommodate, to avoid trouble, to hope that compliance will buy safety. | 同时,为了容纳和避免麻烦,希望遵守会购买安全。 |
| 45 | Well, it won't. | 不会的 |
| 46 | So what are our options? | 我们有什么选择? |
| 47 | In 1978, the Czech dissident Václav Havel, later president, wrote an essay called The | 1978年,后来的总统捷克持不同政见者瓦茨拉夫·哈维尔(Václav Havel)写了一篇名为The |
| 48 | Power of the Powerless. | 无能之力. |
| 49 | And in it, he asked a simple question, how did the communist system sustain itself? | 在其中,他问了一个简单的问题,共产主义制度如何维持下去? |
| 50 | And his answer began with the greengrocer. | 他的答案是从绿葡萄园开始的 |
| 51 | Every morning, the shopkeeper places a sign in his window, workers of the world unite. | 每天早上,店主在他的窗户上贴上一个标志,全世界的工人团结起来. |
| 52 | He doesn't believe it. | 他不相信这一点。 |
| 53 | No one does. | 没有人知道。 |
| 54 | But he places a sign anyway to avoid trouble, to signal compliance, to get along. | 不过他还是贴了个标语来避免麻烦,表示服从,和睦相处. |
| 55 | And because every shopkeeper on every street does the same, the system persists. | 而因为每条街的店主都做同样的事情,所以这个制度一直存在. |
| 56 | Not through violence alone, but through the participation of ordinary people in rituals | 不只是通过暴力 而是通过普通人参与仪式 |
| 57 | they privately know to be false. | 他们私下知道是假的 |
| 58 | Havel called this living within a lie. | Havel称生活在谎言中 |
| 59 | The system's power comes not from its truth, but from everyone's willingness to perform | 系统的力量不是来自它的真理 而是来自每个人的表演意愿 |
| 60 | as if it were true. | 犹如真如. |
| 61 | And its fragility comes from the same source. | 其脆弱性来自同一来源。 |
| 62 | When even one person stops performing, when the greengrocer removes his sign, the illusion | 当一个人停止表演, 当绿种人移除他的标志, 幻觉 |
| 63 | begins to crack. | 开始裂开。 |
| 64 | Friends, it is time for companies and countries to take their signs down. | 朋友们,现在是公司和国家取消其标志的时候了。 |
| 65 | For decades. | 数十年. |
| 66 | For decades, countries like Canada prospered under what we called the rules-based international | 几十年来,像加拿大这样的国家在我们所谓的基于规则的国际制度下繁荣起来。 |
| 67 | order. | 秩序。 秩序。 |
| 68 | We joined its institutions, we praised its principles, we benefited from its predictability. | 我们加入了它的各机构,我们赞扬它的原则,我们受益于它的可预测性。 |
| 69 | And because of that, we could pursue values-based foreign policies under its protection. | 因此,我们可以在其保护下推行基于价值观的外交政策。 |
| 70 | We knew the story of the international rules-based order was partially false. | 我们知道基于国际规则的秩序是部分虚假的。 |
| 71 | That the strongest would exempt themselves when convenient. | 强者在方便的时候会免责 |
| 72 | That trade rules were enforced asymmetrically. | 这种贸易规则是不对称执行的。 |
| 73 | And we knew that international law applied with varying rigor depending on the identity | 我们知道国际法的适用程度因身份而异 |
| 74 | of the accused or the victim. | (b) 被告人或被害人。 |
| 75 | This fiction was useful. | 这个小说很有用 |
| 76 | An American hegemony in particular helped provide public goods, open sea lanes, a stable | 美国的霸权 特别有助于提供公共物品 畅通的海道 |
| 77 | financial system, collective security, and support for frameworks for resolving disputes. | 金融系统、集体安全和支持解决争端的框架。 |
| 78 | So we placed the sign in the window. | 所以我们把标志放在窗户上。 |
| 79 | We participated in the rituals. | 我们参加了仪式。 |
| 80 | And we largely avoided calling out the gaps between rhetoric and reality. | 我们基本上避免提出言论与现实之间的差距。 |
| 81 | This bargain no longer works. | 这个交易已经行不通了。 |
| 82 | Let me be direct. | 让我直接说 |
| 83 | We are in the midst of a rupture, not a transition. | 我们正处于破裂中,而不是过渡。 |
| 84 | Over the past two decades, a series of crises in finance, health, energy, and geopolitics | 过去20年来,金融、卫生、能源和地缘政治方面的一系列危机 |
| 85 | have laid bare the risks of extreme global integration. | 暴露了极端全球一体化的风险。 |
| 86 | But more recently, great powers have begun using economic integration as weapons. | 但最近,大国开始将经济一体化作为武器。 |
| 87 | Tariffs as leverage, financial infrastructure as coercion, supply chains as vulnerabilities | 关税作为杠杆,金融基础设施作为胁迫,供应链作为脆弱性 |
| 88 | to be exploited. | 被剥削。 |
| 89 | You cannot live within the lie of mutual benefit through integration when integration becomes | 在融合成为共同利益时,你无法生活在互利的谎言之中 |
| 90 | the source of your subordination. | 你从属的来源。 |
| 91 | The multilateral institutions on which the middle powers have relied, the WTO, the UN, | 中间大国所依赖的多边机构、世贸组织、联合国、 |
| 92 | the COP, the architecture, the very architecture of collective problem solving are under threat. | 解决集体问题的架构正受到威胁。 |
| 93 | As a result, many countries are drawing the same conclusions that they must develop greater | 因此,许多国家正在得出同样的结论,即它们必须作出更大的发展。 |
| 94 | strategic autonomy in energy, food, critical minerals, in finance, and supply chains. | 能源、粮食、关键矿物、金融和供应链的战略自主权。 |
| 95 | And this impulse is understandable. | 这种冲动是可以理解的。 |
| 96 | A country that can't feed itself, fuel itself, or defend itself has few options. | 一个不能自食其力,不能自燃,也不能自卫的国家几乎没有选择. |
| 97 | When the rules no longer protect you, you must protect yourself. | 当规则不再保护你时 你必须保护自己 |
| 98 | But let's be clear-eyed about where this leads. | 但是,让我们清晰地看 如何引导。 |
| 99 | A world of fortresses will be poorer, more fragile, and less sustainable. | 一个有堡垒的世界将更穷、更脆弱、更不可持续。 |
| 100 | And there's another truth. | 还有另一个真理 |
| 101 | If great powers abandon even the pretense of rules and values for the unhindered pursuit | 如果列强放弃了规则和价值观的假象 不受阻碍的追求 |
| 102 | of their power and interests, the gains from transactionalism will become harder to replicate. | 他们的权力和利益,交易主义的收益将更加难以复制。 |
| 103 | Hegemons cannot continually monetize their relationships. | Hegemons不能继续把关系货币化。 |
| 104 | Allies will diversify to hedge against uncertainty. | 盟军将多样化,以对抗不确定性。 |
| 105 | They'll buy insurance, increase options, in order to rebuild sovereignty. | 为了重建主权,他们会购买保险,增加选择权. |
| 106 | Sovereignty that was once grounded in rules but will increasingly be anchored in the ability | 主权曾经以规则为基础,但将越来越多地以能力为基础 |
| 107 | to withstand pressure. | 来承受压力 |
| 108 | This room knows this is classic risk management. | 这个房间知道这是典型的风险管理。 |
| 109 | Risk management comes at a price. | 风险管理是有代价的。 |
| 110 | But that cost of strategic autonomy, of sovereignty, can also be shared. | 但是,战略自主和主权的代价也可以分担。 |
| 111 | Collective investments in resilience are cheaper than everyone building their own fortresses. | 集体投资于复原力比建造自己的堡垒便宜。 |
| 112 | Shared standards reduce fragmentations. | 共同标准减少分散。 |
| 113 | Complementarities are a positive sum. | 互补性是一个积极的总和。 |
| 114 | And the question for middle powers like Canada is not whether to adapt to the new reality. | 而像加拿大这样的中权国家的问题并不是是否适应新的现实. |
| 115 | We must. | 我们必须 |
| 116 | The question is whether we adapt by simply building higher walls or whether we can do something more ambitious. | 问题是,我们是否只是通过建造高墙来适应,还是我们可以做一些更雄心勃勃的事。 |
| 117 | Now, Canada was amongst the first to hear the wake-up call, leading us to fundamentally shift our strategic posture. | 现在,加拿大是最早听到觉醒呼声的国家之一,这使我们从根本上改变了我们的战略姿态。 |
| 118 | Canadians know that our old comfortable assumptions that our geography and alliance memberships | 加拿大人知道,我们旧的舒适的假设 我们的地理和联盟成员 |
| 119 | automatically conferred prosperity and security, that assumption is no longer valid. | 自动赋予繁荣和安全,这种假设已不再有效。 |
| 120 | And our new approach rests on what Alexander Stubb, the president of Finland, has termed value-based realism. | 芬兰总统亚历山大·斯图布称之为基于价值的现实主义。 |
| 121 | Or to put another way, we aim to be both principled and pragmatic. | 或者换句话说,我们的目标是既有原则又务实。 |
| 122 | Principled in our commitment to fundamental values, sovereignty, territorial integrity, | 我们致力于基本价值观、主权、领土完整的原则, |
| 123 | the prohibition of the use of force except when consistent with the UN Charter, | 禁止使用武力,除非符合《联合国宪章》, |
| 124 | and respect for human rights. | 尊重人权。 |
| 125 | And pragmatic in recognizing that progress is often incremental, that interests diverge, | 务实地认识到进步往往是渐进的,利益是不同的, |
| 126 | that not every partner will share all of our values. | 并不是每个伙伴都会分享我们的所有价值观。 |
| 127 | So we're engaging broadly, strategically with open eyes. | 因此,我们广泛参与, 战略上以开放的眼睛。 |
| 128 | We actively take on the world as it is, not wait around for a world we wish to be. | 我们积极对待这个世界,而不是在周围等待我们希望成为的世界。 |
| 129 | We are calibrating our relationships so their depth reflects our values. | 我们正在调整我们的关系,以便其深度反映我们的价值观。 |
| 130 | And we're prioritizing broad engagement to maximize our influence, | 我们正在优先考虑广泛的参与 以最大限度地发挥我们的影响, |
| 131 | and given the fluidity of the world at the moment, the risks that this poses and the stakes for what comes next. | 并且鉴于目前世界的流动性, 风险,以及接下来的利害关系。 |
| 132 | And we are no longer just relying on the strength of our values, but also the value of our strength. | 我们不再仅仅依赖我们价值观的力量,而且也依赖我们力量的价值。 |
| 133 | We are building that strength at home. | 我们正在国内建立这种力量。 |
| 134 | Since my government took office, we have cut taxes on incomes, on capital gains, and business investment. | 自从我国政府上任以来,我们削减了收入税、资本收益税和商业投资税。 |
| 135 | We have removed all federal barriers to inter-provincial trade. | 我们已经消除了联邦对省际贸易的所有障碍。 |
| 136 | We are fast-tracking $8 trillion of investments in energy, AI, critical minerals, new trade corridors, and beyond. | 我们正在对能源、人工智能、关键矿物、新的贸易走廊等进行8万亿美元的投资。 |
| 137 | We're doubling our defense spending by the end of this decade, | 到这十年末 我们的国防开支要翻一番 |
| 138 | and we're doing so in ways that build our domestic industries. | 我们这样做的方式 建设我们的国内工业。 |
| 139 | And we are rapidly diversifying abroad. | 我们在国外迅速实现多样化。 |
| 140 | We've agreed a comprehensive strategic partnership with the EU, | 我们已经同意与欧盟建立全面战略伙伴关系, |
| 141 | including joining SAFE, the European Defense Procurement Arrangements. | 包括加入安全局、欧洲国防采购安排。 |
| 142 | We have signed 12 other trade and security deals on four continents in six months. | 我们在六个月内在四大洲签署了另外12项贸易和安全交易。 |
| 143 | In the past few days, we've concluded new strategic partnerships with China and Qatar. | 在过去几天里,我们与中国和卡塔尔缔结了新的战略伙伴关系. |
| 144 | We're negotiating free trade pacts with India, ASEAN, Thailand, Philippines, and Mercosur. | 我们正在与印度、东盟、泰国、菲律宾和南锥体共同市场谈判自由贸易协定。 |
| 145 | We're doing something else. | 我们在做别的事 |
| 146 | To help solve global problems, we're pursuing variable geometry. | 为了帮助解决全球问题,我们追求可变几何. |
| 147 | In other words, different coalitions for different issues based on common values and interests. | 换句话说,基于共同价值观和利益的不同问题的不同联盟。 |
| 148 | So on Ukraine, we're a core member of the Coalition of the Willing, | 在乌克兰,我们是意志联盟的核心成员, |
| 149 | and one of the largest per capita contributors to its defense and security. | 也是其国防和安全人均贡献最大的国家之一。 |
| 150 | On Arctic sovereignty, we stand firmly with Greenland and Denmark | 关于北极主权,我们坚定地支持格陵兰和丹麦。 |
| 151 | and fully support their unique right to determine Greenland's future. | 并全力支持他们决定格陵兰未来的独特权利。 |
| 152 | Our commitment to NATO's Article 5 is unwavering. | 我们对北约第5条的承诺是坚定不移的。 |
| 153 | So we're working with our NATO allies, including the Nordic Baltic Eight, | 因此,我们正与我们的北约盟友, 包括北欧波罗的海八国, |
| 154 | to further secure the Alliance's northern and western flanks, | 进一步保障联盟的北部和西部侧翼的安全, |
| 155 | including through Canada's unprecedented investments | 包括加拿大前所未有的投资 |
| 156 | in over-the-horizon radar, in submarines, in aircraft, and boots on the ground. | 在超视距雷达,潜艇,飞机, 和靴子地面。 |
| 157 | Canada strongly opposes tariffs over Greenland and calls for focused talks | 加拿大强烈反对对格陵兰征收关税,呼吁进行有重点的谈判 |
| 158 | to achieve our shared objectives of security and prosperity in the Arctic. | 实现北极安全和繁荣的共同目标。 |
| 159 | On plurilateral trade, we're championing efforts to build a bridge | 在诸边贸易方面,我们拥护建设桥梁的努力 |
| 160 | between the Trans-Pacific Partnership and the European Union, | 跨太平洋伙伴关系与欧洲联盟之间, |
| 161 | which would create a new trading bloc of 1.5 billion people. | 将建立一个由15亿人口组成的新的贸易集团。 |
| 162 | On critical minerals, we're forming Buyers Clubs, | 在关键矿物质方面,我们正在组建买家俱乐部, |
| 163 | anchored in the G7 so that the world can diversify away from concentrated supply. | 扎根于7国集团,使世界能够摆脱集中供应。 |
| 164 | And on AI, we're cooperating with like-minded democracies | 在AI方面,我们正与志同道合的民主国家合作 |
| 165 | to ensure that we won't ultimately be forced to choose between hegemons and hyperscalers. | 确保我们最终不会被迫在霸王党和超规模军之间做出选择。 |
| 166 | This is not naive multilateralism, nor is it relying on their institutions. | 这不是天真多边主义,也不是依赖它们的机构。 |
| 167 | It's building coalitions that work, issues by issue, | 它正在建立联盟 工作,逐个问题, |
| 168 | with partners who share enough common ground to act together. | 与具有足够共同点的伙伴一起采取行动。 |
| 169 | In some cases, this will be the vast majority of nations. | 在某些情况下,这将是绝大多数国家。 |
| 170 | What it's doing is creating a dense web of connections across trade investment culture | 它所做的就是在贸易投资文化中 建立一个紧密的联系网 |
| 171 | on which we can draw for future challenges and opportunities. | 我们可以利用这些机会迎接未来的挑战和机遇。 |
| 172 | I argue that middle powers must act together, | 我主张中权必须共同行动 |
| 173 | because if we're not at the table, we're on the menu. | 因为如果我们不在桌子上, 我们就在菜单上。 |
| 174 | But I'd also say that great powers can afford, for now, to go it alone. | 但我还要说,大国现在可以独自去。 |
| 175 | They have the market size, the military capacity, and the leverage to dictate terms. | 它们拥有市场规模、军事能力和支配条件的杠杆。 |
| 176 | Middle powers do not. | 中权没有。 |
| 177 | But when we only negotiate bilaterally with a hegemon, we negotiate from weakness. | 但是,当我们只是与一个霸主进行双边谈判时,我们从弱处进行谈判。 |
| 178 | We accept what's offered. | 我们接受提供的东西。 |
| 179 | We compete with each other to be the most accommodating. | 我们互相竞争 成为最宽容的。 |
| 180 | This is not sovereignty. | 这不是主权。 |
| 181 | It's the performance of sovereignty while accepting subordination. | 是在接受从属地位的同时履行主权. |
| 182 | In a world of great power rivalry, the countries in between have a choice. | 在一个权力大竞争的世界中,介于两者之间的国家有选择权. |
| 183 | Compete with each other for favour, or to combine to create a third path with impact. | 互相竞争求利,或合而为一,以创造有影响的第三条道路. |
| 184 | We shouldn't allow the rise of hard power to blind us to the fact | 我们不应该让硬实力的崛起 蒙蔽我们的事实 |
| 185 | that the power of legitimacy, integrity, and rules will remain strong | 合法性、完整性和规则的力量将继续强大 |
| 186 | if we choose to wield them together. | 如果我们选择一起使用它们。 |
| 187 | Which brings me back to Havel. | 这让我回到哈维尔 |
| 188 | What does it mean for middle powers to live the truth? | 中间力量活在真理中是什么意思? |
| 189 | First, it means naming reality. | 首先,这意味着命名现实。 |
| 190 | Stop invoking rules-based international order as though it still functions as advertised. | 停止援引基于规则的国际秩序,仿佛它仍然按照广告运作。 |
| 191 | Call it what it is. | 唤作甚么. |
| 192 | A system of intensifying great power rivalry, | 强化强权竞争的制度 |
| 193 | where the most powerful pursue their interests using economic integration as coercion. | 最强者利用经济一体化作为胁迫来追求自己的利益。 |
| 194 | It means acting consistently, applying the same standards to allies and rivals. | 这意味着一致行动,对盟国和对手适用同样的标准。 |
| 195 | When middle powers criticise economic intimidation from one direction | 当中权批评经济恐吓 从一个方向 |
| 196 | but stay silent when it comes from another, we are keeping the sign in the window. | 但是,当它来自另一个地方时, 请保持缄默, 我们正在保持标志在窗口。 |
| 197 | It means building what we claim to believe in. | 这意味着建设我们声称相信的东西。 |
| 198 | Rather than waiting for the old order to be restored, | 而不是等待旧秩序的恢复 |
| 199 | it means creating institutions and agreements that function as described. | 它意味着建立能够发挥上述作用的机构和协定。 |
| 200 | And it means reducing the leverage that enables coercion. | 这意味着减少导致胁迫的杠杆。 |
| 201 | That's building a strong domestic economy. | 这是在建设强大的国内经济. |
| 202 | It should be every government's immediate priority. | 这应该是每个政府的当务之急。 |
| 203 | And diversification internationally is not just economic prudence, | 国际多样化不仅仅是经济谨慎, |
| 204 | it's a material foundation for honest foreign policy. | 这是诚实外交政策的物质基础。 |
| 205 | Because countries earn the right to principled stands | 因为国家获得原则立场的权利 |
| 206 | by reducing their vulnerability to retaliation. | 减少他们遭受报复的可能性。 |
| 207 | So Canada. | 所以说加拿大。 |
| 208 | Canada has what the world wants. | 加拿大拥有世界想要的东西。 |
| 209 | We are an energy superpower. | 我们是一个能源超级大国。 |
| 210 | We hold vast reserves of critical minerals. | 我们拥有大量重要矿物储备。 |
| 211 | We have the most educated population in the world. | 我们拥有世界上受教育程度最高的人口。 |
| 212 | Our pension funds are amongst the world's largest and most sophisticated investors. | 我们的养恤基金是世界上最大和最复杂的投资者之一。 |
| 213 | In other words, we have capital talent. | 换句话说,我们有资本人才。 |
| 214 | We also have a government with immense fiscal capacity to act decisively. | 我们也有一个政府,拥有巨大的财政能力采取果断行动。 |
| 215 | And we have the values to which many others aspire. | 我们有许多其他人渴望的价值观。 |
| 216 | Canada is a pluralistic society that works. | 加拿大是一个行之有效的多元化社会。 |
| 217 | Our public square is loud, diverse and free. | 我们的公共广场响亮、多样和自由。 |
| 218 | Canadians remain committed to sustainability. | 加拿大人仍然致力于可持续性。 |
| 219 | We are a stable and reliable partner in a world that is anything but. | 我们是一个稳定、可靠的伙伴,在这个世界中,除了任何东西之外,都是如此。 |
| 220 | A partner that builds and values relationships for the long term. | 一个建立和重视长期关系的伙伴。 |
| 221 | And we have something else. | 我们还有别的东西 |
| 222 | We have a recognition of what's happening and a determination to act accordingly. | 我们承认正在发生的事情,并决心采取相应行动。 |
| 223 | We understand that this rupture calls for more than adaptation. | 我们知道,这种破裂需要的不仅仅是适应。 |
| 224 | It calls for honesty about the world as it is. | 它要求诚实地对待这个世界。 |
| 225 | We are taking the sign out of the window. | 我们要从窗外取出标志 |
| 226 | We know the old order is not coming back. | 我们知道旧命令不会回来了 |
| 227 | We shouldn't mourn it. | 我们不应该哀悼它。 |
| 228 | Nostalgia is not a strategy. | 怀旧不是战略。 |
| 229 | But we believe that from the fracture, | 但我们相信 从骨折, |
| 230 | we can build something bigger, better, stronger, more just. | 我们可以建造更大的,更好的,更强大的,更公正的。 |
| 231 | This is the task of the middle powers. | 这是中间势力的任务. |
| 232 | The countries that have the most to lose from a world of fortresses | 从一个堡垒世界中损失最多的国家 |
| 233 | and the most to gain from genuine cooperation. | 并且从真正的合作中得益最大。 |
| 234 | The powerful have their power. | 强者有其力. |
| 235 | We have something too. | 我们也有东西 |
| 236 | The capacity to stop pretending. | 停止假装的能力。 |
| 237 | To name reality. | 以名实相. |
| 238 | To build our strength at home. | 建立我们在家里的力量。 |
| 239 | And to act together. | 然后一起行动 |
| 240 | That is Canada's path. | 这是加拿大的道路。 |
| 241 | We choose it openly and confidently. | 我们公开和自信地选择它。 |
| 242 | And it is a path wide open to any country willing to take it with us. | 它是一个向愿意与我们一起走的任何国家敞开的道路。 |
| 243 | Thank you very much. | 谢谢 |
| 244 | Well, thank you, Prime Minister. | 谢谢你,首相 |
| 245 | I don't think I've seen many standing ovations at Davos. | 我想我在达沃斯没看过很多的卵巢 |
| 246 | So that was interesting. | 所以这很有趣。 |
| 247 | You said there was a phrase in your speech where you said | 你说你的演讲中有一句 |
| 248 | sovereignty now is the ability to withstand pressure. | 现在主权是承受压力的能力。 |
| 249 | Isn't Canada almost uniquely vulnerable to pressure | 加拿大几乎是独一无二的易受压力 |
| 250 | because of the extent of your trade dependence on the United States? | 就因为你对美国的依赖程度? |
| 251 | Well, the proof is that we have been able to withstand the pressure | 证明我们承受了压力 |
| 252 | and there has been considerable pressure. | 压力很大 |
| 253 | I'll give you a couple of facts. | 令诸众生具足数事实. |
| 254 | We've actually created more jobs since the tariffs were put on | 自从加征关税以来 我们创造了更多的工作 |
| 255 | than the United States in absolute number. | 比美国绝对数。 |
| 256 | Economies growing at the second fastest rate within the G7. | 7国集团内经济体以第二快的速度增长。 |
| 257 | There are pockets of extreme pressure without question in Canada. | 在加拿大,毫无疑问存在着一些极端的压力。 |
| 258 | But headline, we're reacting. | 但是头条,我们的反应。 |
| 259 | The second thing, and it's a fundamental point, | 第二,这是个基本问题 |
| 260 | is the recognition that we can give ourselves | 是承认我们可以给自己 |
| 261 | far more than any foreign country can take away. | 比任何外国都强得多 |
| 262 | There's lots of efficiencies in having one Canadian market, | 一个加拿大市场效率很高 |
| 263 | the trillion dollars of domestic investment | 数万亿美元的国内投资 |
| 264 | and building these partnerships abroad, | 并在国外建立这些伙伴关系, |
| 265 | all of which are bigger returns than what's been lost. | 这些都是更大的回报 比已经失去。 |
| 266 | That's not to say we would rather not lose it, | 这不是说我们宁愿不失去它, |
| 267 | but we can withstand the pressure and we are. | 但我们可以承受压力 而且我们是。 |
| 268 | I was interested that you said basically the old world's not coming back. | 我很感兴趣,你说基本上 旧世界不会回来了。 |
| 269 | You're not seeing this as a period where you just have to get through | 你不认为这是一个时期 你只需要度过 |
| 270 | and normalcy will return. | 就会恢复正常 |
| 271 | I think that is our view. | 我认为这就是我们的看法。 |
| 272 | And we regret it, but we're not going to sit around and mourn it. | 我们对此感到遗憾,但我们不会坐视不理,哀悼它。 |
| 273 | We're acting. | 我们在演戏 |
| 274 | And we're acting in a way, both it's in our interests, | 我们的行为方式 都符合我们的利益 |
| 275 | but we believe in a way with others | 但我们相信别人 |
| 276 | that's building imperfectly in steps a new system. | 一步步地建立一个不完美的新体系 |
| 277 | I'll give you one example in handback, | 我举个例子给你 |
| 278 | which is we are members of trade agreements | 我们是贸易协定的成员 |
| 279 | that comprise already 1.4 billion people around the world. | 全世界已有14亿人口。 |
| 280 | So we have the most extensive network. | 因此,我们拥有最广泛的网络。 |
| 281 | We are trying with others to bring some of those networks together. | 我们正在同其他国家一起努力使其中一些网络团结起来。 |
| 282 | The most prominent example is the Trans-Pacific Partnership in the EU, | 最突出的例子是欧盟跨太平洋伙伴关系, |
| 283 | Acting of a Bridge. | 桥的演员 |
| 284 | It's not a direct benefit for Canada, | 这不是对加拿大的直接好处 |
| 285 | but it is a benefit for Canada that these groups come together, | 但这些团体聚集在一起对加拿大有好处, |
| 286 | Ngozi is here, consistent with the WTO rules, both of which are. | 恩戈齐在这里,符合世贸组织的规则,两者都是如此。 |
| 287 | And in that way, we're building back out amongst willing partners. | 这样,我们就能在有意愿的合作伙伴中重新振作起来。 |
| 288 | And you talked about the need not to put the sign in the window anymore, | 你说过不要把标志放在窗户上 |
| 289 | to pretend that things are still the same. | 假装事情还是一样 |
| 290 | Do you think, to put it directly, | 你认为,直接说, |
| 291 | that the NATO alliance is still doing that, | 北约联盟仍在这样做, |
| 292 | still pretending it's the old Trans-Atlantic Partnership | 还假装是旧的跨大西洋伙伴关系 |
| 293 | when it's really kind of going? | 当它真的 那种去? |
| 294 | I think clearly NATO is experiencing a test right now. | 我认为,显然北约正在经历一个考验。 |
| 295 | And the first response to that test has to be to respond | 测试的第一个反应是 |
| 296 | in a way that ensures the security of the Arctic, | 确保北极的安全, |
| 297 | in a robust way for all possibilities. | 以有力的方式为所有的可能性。 |
| 298 | This is actually a point that we have been making in recent years. | 这实际上是我们近年来提出的一个问题。 |
| 299 | It's a point that I made at the NATO summit back in June, | 这是我在6月北约首脑会议上提出的一个观点, |
| 300 | which seemed like a pledging summit, | 它看起来像一个认捐峰会, |
| 301 | but also was to get NATO policies in the right direction. | 但也是为了让北约的政策朝着正确的方向发展。 |
| 302 | So I think in the immediate term, | 因此,我认为在近期, |
| 303 | one of the imperatives is to reinforce things that Canada is doing, | 当务之急之一是加强加拿大正在做的事情, |
| 304 | Nordic Baltic Eight are doing, the UK are doing, | 北欧波罗的海八号正在做,英国正在做, |
| 305 | other NATO partners, France included, | 法国的其他北约伙伴包括: |
| 306 | in a comprehensive way that provides much greater security in the Arctic. | 以全面的方式为北极提供更大的安全。 |
| 307 | This is the test, and so I wouldn't say the sign, | 这是测试, 所以我不会说标志, |
| 308 | the NATO sign stays in the window, | 北约的标志留在窗口, |
| 309 | but we've got to meet the moment of that. | 但我们得面对这个时刻 |
| 310 | You also, a big theme of your speech | 你也是,你演讲的主题 |
| 311 | was the need for middle powers to work together. | 中间力量需要合作。 |
| 312 | But you've just been to the other great power, to China. | 但你刚刚去过另一个大国,中国 |
| 313 | And I think people are very intrigued by seeing that meeting. | 我认为人们很感兴趣 看到那次会议。 |
| 314 | And some people say, kind of, that's a mistake, really, | 一些人说,有点, 这是一个错误,真的, |
| 315 | because you're going to make yourself more dependent on China, | 因为你会让自己更依赖中国 |
| 316 | they're not that benign either, the US will be very annoyed. | 他们也不是那么善良, 美国会非常生气。 |
| 317 | What's the defense of what you're doing | 你做什么的辩护 |
| 318 | and what do you have to get out of it? | 你该从中得到什么? |
| 319 | Well, the first thing is to say it's not a defense, it's an item. | 好吧,第一件事是说 这不是一个辩护, 这是一个项目。 |
| 320 | It's building out, it's something positive as opposed to against, | 它正在逐渐形成,它是 一些积极相对于反对, |
| 321 | we're for something as opposed to being against. | 我们不是反对而是反对 |
| 322 | The second is there are very clear guardrails in that relationship. | 第二,这种关系有非常明确的护栏。 |
| 323 | I spoke of calibration of relationships in my remarks, | 我在讲话中谈到调整关系, |
| 324 | that's what I mean by it. | 这就是我的意思。 |
| 325 | But within those clear guardrails are huge opportunities | 但是在这些清晰的护栏里 有很多机会 |
| 326 | in energy, both clean and conventional, | 清洁和传统能源, |
| 327 | obviously in motor vehicles, in agriculture, in financial services, | 很明显,机动车辆,农业,金融服务, |
| 328 | all of which is mutually beneficial. | 这些都是互利的。 |
| 329 | So it's additive and look, it's the second largest economy | 所以它是添加剂,看, 它是第二大经济 |
| 330 | and it's our second largest trading partner. | 这是我们第二大贸易伙伴 |
| 331 | We should have a strategic partnership with them | 我们应该与他们建立战略伙伴关系 |
| 332 | within those guardrails and that's what we've achieved. | 在护栏里 这就是我们的成就 |
| 333 | And it is an interesting reversal, though, | 虽然这是一个有趣的逆转, |
| 334 | because I think certainly during the Biden administration, | 因为我认为在拜登政府期间 |
| 335 | there was this sense that the Western world was trying to decouple from China, | 有一种感觉 西方世界试图与中国脱钩 |
| 336 | de-risk at least and is now in this new world, | 至少去冒险 现在在这个新世界, |
| 337 | that really going to go into reverse and de-risking from China | 这真的会进入反向 和去冒险 从中国 |
| 338 | because there are other risks is less of a thing. | 因为还有别的风险是更小的 |
| 339 | Again, many in this room, this is their livelihood, | 同样,在这个房间里的许多人, 这是他们的生计, |
| 340 | you need a web of connections and to miss out in that web | 您需要一个连接网络, 并错过在网络中 |
| 341 | some of the largest ones, United States, we already have that, | 一些最大的国家,美国, 我们已经有, |
| 342 | China, India, Mercosur, European Union, that's a mistake. | 中国,印度,南锥体共同市场,欧盟,这是个错误. |
| 343 | That's not managing your relationships properly. | 你们的关系不是这样的 |
| 344 | That makes you stronger, makes you more resilient. | 这让你更强壮,让你更有弹性。 |
| 345 | And then on top of that, I'll give you again, | 再说一次,我再给你一次 |
| 346 | I'll appeal since it's in the headlines to the Nordics. | 我会向北欧人上诉的 |
| 347 | Nordics plus Canada, it's 20% of global GDP. | 北欧人加加拿大,占全球GDP的20%. |
| 348 | It's not the first thing people would realize. | 这不是人们首先意识到的 |
| 349 | But that relationship, which is deepening for security reasons, | 但出于安全原因,这种关系正在加深, |
| 350 | because we're like-minded, | 因为我们想法一致 |
| 351 | those are the types of partnerships that I think we'll see more of. | 这些是类型的伙伴关系 我认为我们会看到更多的。 |
| 352 | And you got a round of applause when you said something strong | 当你说出有力的话,你得到了热烈的掌声 |
| 353 | about standing on principle on Greenland. | 在格陵兰问题上坚持原则。 |
| 354 | Do you think we can find an off-ramp on that? | 你觉得我们能在那找到一个防线吗? |
| 355 | I mean, I'm sure you'll speak of it, but put it this way, | 我的意思是,我敢肯定,你会说, 但这样说, |
| 356 | if there isn't an off-ramp, where does this go? | 如果没有防线,它会去哪? |
| 357 | I strongly believe that there is a better outcome | 我坚信有更好的结果 |
| 358 | that come from the discussions that have been catalyzed | 讨论产生的问题 |
| 359 | in an unusual way, admittedly, | 以不寻常的方式, 承认, |
| 360 | and we absolutely stand by the principles that are referenced. | 我们绝对坚持被提及的原则。 |
| 361 | Yes, that solution starts with security | 是的,这个解决方案始于安全 |
| 362 | and a security, yes, of Greenland, but more broadly of the Arctic. | 以及格陵兰的安全,是的, 但更广泛的北极。 |
| 363 | Canada is Foursquare contributing to that. | 加拿大正为此作出贡献。 |
| 364 | We're at the start of a major ramp up above and beyond, | 我们正处在一个大型升降台的开始阶段 |
| 365 | so we'll be a major contributor to that. | 因此,我们将是一个主要的贡献。 |
| 366 | NATO has to deliver on that. | 北约必须兑现这一点。 |
| 367 | We're working intensively in order to do it. | 我们正全力以赴 |
| 368 | As well, prosperity for the people of Greenland. | 同样,格陵兰人民的繁荣。 |
| 369 | In the end, it comes back to the people there, | 最后,它回到那里的人们, |
| 370 | and there are opportunities to do that in ways | 并有机会这样做的方式 |
| 371 | that would strengthen all of the alliance. | 这将加强所有联盟。 |
| 372 | And when President Trump says, oh, Greenland's under threat | 而当川普总统说,哦,格陵兰受到威胁 |
| 373 | from Russia, even from China, is that for real? | 从俄罗斯,甚至从中国,这是真的吗? |
| 374 | I would say that there are threats. | 我要说,存在着威胁。 |
| 375 | Russia is, without question, a threat in the Arctic. | 俄罗斯无疑是北极的威胁。 |
| 376 | Without question. | 没有问题。 |
| 377 | Russia does lots of horrible things | 俄罗斯做了很多可怕的事情 |
| 378 | and will take the opportunity to condemn their unjustified | 将借此机会谴责他们毫无理由的 |
| 379 | and horrific assault on Ukraine almost at its fourth year. | 和对乌克兰的可怕攻击几乎在第四年。 |
| 380 | They are a real threat in the Arctic, | 他们是一个真正的威胁 在北极, |
| 381 | one against we need to protect, | 一个反对我们需要保护, |
| 382 | which is why we have 364 five-day air, sea, and land presence. | 这就是为什么我们有364天的空中、海上和陆地存在。 |
| 383 | It's why we're adding to our submarine fleet, | 这就是为什么我们增加我们的潜艇舰队, |
| 384 | adding to our air fighter fleet, | 加入我们的空战机队, |
| 385 | why we're building out over the horizon radar | 为什么我们要在地平线雷达上建造 |
| 386 | to protect from Russian missile threats and others, | 防止俄罗斯导弹威胁和其他威胁, |
| 387 | and why we will work with our NATO partners. | 以及为什么我们将与我们的北约伙伴合作。 |
| 388 | The threat is more prospective than actual at this stage | 这一阶段的威胁比实际威胁更可能发生 |
| 389 | in terms of actual activity in the Arctic, | 就北极的实际活动而言, |
| 390 | and we intend to keep it that way. | 我们打算保持这样。 |
| 391 | Another big issue that's going to come up this week | 这周还会有另一个大问题 |
| 392 | is this Board of Peace that President Trump is keen on. | 川普总统热衷于这个和平委员会 |
| 393 | I'm not sure whether it's for Gaza or for the entire world, | 我不知道是加沙还是整个世界 |
| 394 | but apparently Canada's been invited. | 但显然加拿大被邀请了 |
| 395 | Are you going to join? | 你要加入吗? |
| 396 | We have been invited, and let me start by, | 我们被邀请了,让我开始, |
| 397 | I think we should recognise the progress that has been made | 我认为我们应该承认已经取得的进展。 |
| 398 | in at least getting towards the end of the first phase of this process. | 至少在这一进程的第一阶段即将结束。 |
| 399 | And the activation, if I can put it that way, | 和激活, 如果我可以这么说, |
| 400 | the process to set up the Board of Peace is the start of phase two. | 设立和平委员会的进程是第二阶段的开始。 |
| 401 | Our view is, and that's to be welcomed, | 我们的观点是, 这是值得欢迎的, |
| 402 | and this is a positive vehicle, | 这是正向的飞行器, |
| 403 | our view is we need to work on the actual structure of the vehicle. | 我们认为,我们需要研究车辆的实际结构。 |
| 404 | You just referenced, is it for Gaza? | 你刚刚提到,是给加沙的吗? |
| 405 | Well, the UN Security Council Resolution 2803 | 联合国安全理事会第2803号决议 |
| 406 | references a Board of Peace for Gaza. | 加沙和平委员会。 |
| 407 | That's where we see it becoming immediately operative, | 我们从那里看到它立即投入运行 |
| 408 | and it needs to be, in our view, | 而我们认为,这需要, |
| 409 | it's better to be designed in that way for the immediate needs there. | 最好这样设计 以满足那里的迫切需要 |
| 410 | There are many other needs around the world, | 世界各地还有许多其他需求 |
| 411 | first point. | 第一点。 |
| 412 | Second point, it needs to coincide with the immediate | 第二点,它需要与立即 |
| 413 | full flow of humanitarian aid into Gaza. | 人道主义援助充分流入加沙。 |
| 414 | We are still not where we need to be. | 我们仍处在需要的地方。 |
| 415 | Conditions still are horrific, so that needs to come alongside. | 情况仍然可怕,因此需要同时出现。 |
| 416 | We think there's aspects of the governance | 我们认为治理的有些方面 |
| 417 | and the decision-making process that could be improved, | 以及可加以改进的决策进程, |
| 418 | but we will work with others, obviously work with the United States, | 但我们会和别人合作, 显然与美国合作, |
| 419 | because we can, to improve the situation, | 因为我们可以 改善情况, |
| 420 | the horrific situation there, | 可怕的情况, |
| 421 | and to move onto a path to a true two-state solution. | 并走上通往真正两国解决方案的道路。 |
| 422 | There's a suggestion you can get permanent membership | 有个建议是,你可以获得常任理事国席位 |
| 423 | of the Board of Peace by ponying up a billion dollars. | 给和平委员会注入10亿美元 |
| 424 | Are you going to write a check for that? | 你要为此开张支票吗? |
| 425 | We would write checks and deliver in kind | 我们会写支票和实物 |
| 426 | to improve the welfare of the people of Palestine, | 改善巴勒斯坦人民的福利, |
| 427 | but we want to see it delivered direct to those outcomes, | 但我们希望看到它直接针对这些结果, |
| 428 | those outcomes promoting peace, | 促进和平的成果, |
| 429 | and so the mechanics and how it works that way. | 因此,机械 和它是如何工作的。 |
| 430 | Okay, final question. | 好吧,最后一个问题。 |
| 431 | President Trump and a lot of people who agree with him | 川普总统和很多人都同意他的观点 |
| 432 | condemn globalism a lot, | 经常谴责全球主义, |
| 433 | and I suspect you would be the kind of epitome of a globalist. | 我怀疑你会是全球主义者的缩写 |
| 434 | You worked for Goldman Sachs, I believe. | 你为高盛工作,我相信。 |
| 435 | You were a central banker. | 你是一个中央银行家。 |
| 436 | You're comfortable and lived in several countries. | 你很舒服,住在几个国家里 |
| 437 | Is globalism, first of all, is it a thing, and is it over? | 首先,全球主义是一回事吗? |
| 438 | Is it? | 是吗? |
| 439 | I think, well, look, understanding how the world works, | 我想,嗯,你看,理解 世界是如何工作的, |
| 440 | having appreciation for other cultures, | 赞赏其他文化, |
| 441 | understanding the connections, and being able to, | 了解关系,并有能力, |
| 442 | or at least appreciating ways that how we connect, | 或者至少欣赏我们联系的方式, |
| 443 | whether it's through technology, trade, investment, culture, | 无论是通过技术,贸易,投资,文化, |
| 444 | can enrich our lives, and that's a good thing, | 可以丰富我们的生活, 这是好事, |
| 445 | and it also helps solve problems. | 也帮助解决问题。 |
| 446 | Being detached from where you live | 远离你住的地方 |
| 447 | and the broader needs of society, | 和社会更广泛的需要, |
| 448 | there is an epithet for that. | 有个词要写 |
| 449 | I don't know that the G word is the one. | 我不知道G字是那个 |
| 450 | There's certainly what we're finding, | 肯定有我们要找的 |
| 451 | to go back to the points I was making, | 回到我所说的重点 |
| 452 | is that there are a number of like-minded countries | 是有一些想法一致的国家 |
| 453 | that want to work through partnership | 希望通过伙伴关系开展工作 |
| 454 | to achieve those goals for their citizens | 为本国公民实现这些目标 |
| 455 | and for the world more broadly. | 更广义地说, |
| 456 | The call is for more to recognize | 需要更多的认识 |
| 457 | what's really going on right now | 现在到底发生了什么 |
| 458 | and to pool their resources to the benefit of citizens. | 并集中资源造福公民。 |
| 459 | So it won't be global. | 所以它不会是全球性的。 |
| 460 | It won't cover the globe, but it will be more powerful. | 它不会覆盖全球,但它会更强大。 |
| 461 | Okay, Prime Minister, thank you very much indeed. | 好的,首相,非常感谢你 |
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