BBC：英国的核威慑力量为什么部署在苏格兰 | 2026.4
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:02 | Look at this map. | 看这张地图 |
| 0:03 | Hidden at the end of a secluded Scottish lock | 隐藏在苏格兰锁的尽头 |
| 0:05 | is a secretive military base, | 是一个秘密军事基地, |
| 0:07 | home to the UK's fleet of nuclear submarines. | 是英国核潜艇的基地 |
| 0:10 | That base is Faslane. | 那个基地是法斯兰 |
| 0:13 | But why are there nukes here? | 但为什么这里有核武器? |
| 0:15 | And does their presence make the UK safer? | 他们的存在是否使英国更安全? |
| 0:17 | Or Scotland a target? | 还是苏格兰的目标? |
| 0:24 | Have you ever heard of MAD? | 你听说过MAD吗? |
| 0:26 | It's a Cold War-aided doctrine | 这是冷战时期的理论 |
展开字幕全文（307 条）
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Look at this map. | 看这张地图 |
| 2 | Hidden at the end of a secluded Scottish lock | 隐藏在苏格兰锁的尽头 |
| 3 | is a secretive military base, | 是一个秘密军事基地, |
| 4 | home to the UK's fleet of nuclear submarines. | 是英国核潜艇的基地 |
| 5 | That base is Faslane. | 那个基地是法斯兰 |
| 6 | But why are there nukes here? | 但为什么这里有核武器? |
| 7 | And does their presence make the UK safer? | 他们的存在是否使英国更安全? |
| 8 | Or Scotland a target? | 还是苏格兰的目标? |
| 9 | Have you ever heard of MAD? | 你听说过MAD吗? |
| 10 | It's a Cold War-aided doctrine | 这是冷战时期的理论 |
| 11 | which means Mutually Assured Destruction. | 这意味着相互保证的毁灭。 |
| 12 | Essentially, if one nuclear power | 基本上,如果一个核能 |
| 13 | launched a full-scale nuclear attack, | 发动全面核攻击, |
| 14 | the subsequent counter-strike | 之后的反击 |
| 15 | would ensure the annihilation | 能确保毁灭 |
| 16 | of both the attacker and the defender. | 攻击者和捍卫者 |
| 17 | I'm recording this from Glasgow in March 2026. | 我在2026年3月从格拉斯哥录制这个 |
| 18 | And while no one is using nuclear weapons, | 没有人使用核武器, |
| 19 | right now we have war in Europe, | 现在,我们在欧洲开战, |
| 20 | the Middle East, | 中东, |
| 21 | multiple civil wars in Africa and Asia. | 非洲和亚洲的多次内战。 |
| 22 | They're all increasing global instability. | 它们都增加了全球不稳定性。 |
| 23 | And you might not expect it, | 你可能没想到, |
| 24 | but Scotland has a role to play in all of this. | 但苏格兰在这一切中可以发挥作用。 |
| 25 | To understand what that is, | 为了了解那是什么 |
| 26 | I'm going 25 miles that way. | 我往那边走25英里 |
| 27 | At the tip of Gair Lock | 在盖尔洛克的尖端 |
| 28 | is His Majesty's naval base Clyde. | 是陛下的海军基地克莱德 |
| 29 | Nobody calls it that though. | 但没人这么叫 |
| 30 | It's known simply as Faslen. | 简称法斯伦. |
| 31 | This base is home to the UK's fleet | 这个基地是英国舰队的基地 |
| 32 | of four Vanguard-class submarines, | 四艘先锋级潜艇, |
| 33 | each armed with Trident nuclear missiles. | 每枚携带三叉戟核导弹 |
| 34 | This quiet stretch of water on Scotland's west coast | 苏格兰西海岸的这片静水 |
| 35 | is one of the most strategically important | 是最重要的战略人物之一 |
| 36 | military locations in Europe. | 欧洲的军事地点。 |
| 37 | Quick explainer. | 快速解释者. |
| 38 | The UK has four Trident submarines. | 英国有四艘三叉戟潜艇. |
| 39 | At any one time, | 任何时候, |
| 40 | there is one submarine carrying nuclear weapons | 有一艘潜艇携带核武器 |
| 41 | patrolling the seas undetected, | 在不被发现的海上巡逻, |
| 42 | one undergoing maintenance | 1名正在维修 |
| 43 | and two in port or on training manoeuvres. | 和两个在港口或训练演习。 |
| 44 | The submarines are 150 metres long. | 潜艇长150米. |
| 45 | That's larger than two Airbus A380s | 这比两辆空中客车A380型大 |
| 46 | and they have a missile range of 4,000 nautical miles. | 他们的导弹射程是4000海里 |
| 47 | The whole idea is that, | 整个想法是, |
| 48 | in the event of a nuclear attack on the UK, | 如果联合王国受到核攻击, |
| 49 | the submarine at sea has the ability to retaliate. | 海上的潜艇有报复的能力 |
| 50 | To understand why our subs are in Scotland, | 为了了解为什么我们的潜艇在苏格兰 |
| 51 | we need to go back in time | 我们需要回到过去 |
| 52 | and we need an expert. | 我们需要一个专家。 |
| 53 | Faslane is around 40 kilometres north-west of Glasgow | Faslane在格拉斯哥西北40公里处 |
| 54 | and the submarines are based there | 潜艇就在那里 |
| 55 | for a combination of reasons, | 由于各种原因, |
| 56 | including the deep water access to the North Atlantic, | 包括进入北大西洋的深水, |
| 57 | the fact that it is a geographically isolated space | 它是一个地理上孤立的空间 |
| 58 | away from major population centres | 远离主要人口中心 |
| 59 | that can be more easily protected. | 这更容易保护。 |
| 60 | Timothy Peacock博士是一位讲师和历史学家 | |
| 61 | at the University of Glasgow, | 在格拉斯哥大学, |
| 62 | specialising in war studies. | 专门从事战争研究。 |
| 63 | That includes nuclear history. | 包括核历史。 |
| 64 | Faslane最初是建造的, | |
| 65 | as a World War II emergency port | 作为二战紧急港口 |
| 66 | and subsequently is converted into becoming the home | 之后变成家 |
| 67 | of the United Kingdom's nuclear submarine fleet in the 1960s. | 1960年代英国的核潜艇舰队 |
| 68 | That is, both the nuclear-powered submarines | 也就是说,两艘核动力潜艇 |
| 69 | that are designed with conventional weapons | 用常规武器设计的 |
| 70 | such as torpedoes, | 如鱼雷, |
| 71 | designed to go on patrol and to hunt Soviet submarines | 为了巡逻和猎杀苏联潜艇 |
| 72 | or conduct other tasks in terms of naval operations, | 或执行海上行动方面的其他任务, |
| 73 | as well as the ballistic missile submarines | 以及弹道导弹潜艇 |
| 74 | that carry nuclear-armed missiles | 携带核武器导弹的导弹 |
| 75 | to act as the seaborne leg of any deterrent. | 作为任何威慑力量的海路支线。 |
| 76 | Historically, not everyone in Scotland | 从历史上看,不是苏格兰的每一个人 |
| 77 | has been happy with the presence of submarines, | 对潜艇的存在感到高兴 |
| 78 | nor the idea of a nuclear deterrent being housed here. | 也没有核威慑的想法 |
| 79 | The demonstrators had expected the heavily guarded convoy | 示威者期待这支护卫严密的车队 |
| 80 | to take the steep incline at Peaton Hill, | 在皮顿山的陡峭处 |
| 81 | a shortcut between Coolport and the Clyde submarine base. | 柯波特和克莱德潜艇基地之间的捷径 |
| 82 | But at the last minute, the route was switched. | 但在最后一刻,路线被切换. |
| 83 | The tactic took most of the demonstrators by surprise | 战术让大部分示威者大吃一惊 |
| 84 | and left many of them screaming, shouting and crying in anger. | 他们中许多人愤怒地大喊大叫,大喊大叫。 |
| 85 | These views are shared by the protesters | 抗议者也认同这些观点, |
| 86 | of the Faslane Peace Camp, | 法斯兰和平营成员, |
| 87 | the longest-running occupied peace camp in the world, | 世界上最久的 被占领的和平营地, |
| 88 | who, in 2022, celebrated 40 years of encampment | 在2022年,他们庆祝了40年的扎营 |
| 89 | beside the submarine base. | 在潜艇基地旁边 |
| 90 | There have been arguments as to those on one side | 曾经有人对一方有争论 |
| 91 | suggesting that the presence of a nuclear deterrent | 表明存在核威慑力量 |
| 92 | has prevented wider war | 阻止了更广泛的战争 |
| 93 | and has allowed for de-escalation and diplomacy, | 并允许降级和外交, |
| 94 | as opposed to other scholars who've argued | 相对于其他学者 |
| 95 | that the very presence of nuclear weapons | 核武器的存在本身 |
| 96 | has potentially exacerbated the possibilities of conflict, | 有可能加剧冲突的可能性, |
| 97 | including through arms races and the encouraging | 军备竞赛和鼓励性 |
| 98 | of the building up of nuclear armaments | 建立核军备 |
| 99 | or larger conventional forces by multiple sides. | 或由多个方面组成的更大的常规力量。 |
| 100 | I think I would say that I am observantly concerned | 我想我会说 我很关心 |
| 101 | about the present global situation. | 关于目前全球局势。 |
| 102 | I think that understandably, right now, | 我认为可以理解的是,现在, |
| 103 | people will be, in a number of cases, | 人们会,在很多情况下, |
| 104 | worrying about the future | 担心未来 |
| 105 | for completely understandable reasons. | 因为完全可以理解的原因 |
| 106 | At the same time, I believe that, | 与此同时,我相信, |
| 107 | especially when I look at the capacity | 特别是当我看能力 |
| 108 | of what people are able to achieve in terms of resolution | 人民在解决问题方面能够实现的 |
| 109 | or in terms of resilience | 或就复原力而言 |
| 110 | in the most difficult of circumstances, | 在最困难的情况下, |
| 111 | it is something that continues to give me hope. | 它继续给我带来希望。 |
| 112 | Because ultimately, the single biggest challenge | 因为最终最大的挑战 |
| 113 | is not one of technologies or of tools, but of people. | 不是技术或工具,而是人。 |
| 114 | Tim said he was observantly concerned. | 提姆说他很关心 |
| 115 | He's not catastrophizing, but he is saying | 他没有被电击,但是他说 |
| 116 | that in a historical context, things aren't great. | 在历史背景下 事情并不妙 |
| 117 | His concern is certainly shared | 他的担忧当然是共同的 |
| 118 | by leaders and experts across Europe. | 欧洲各国领导人和专家。 |
| 119 | Last year, the head of NATO warned. | 去年,北约领导人发出警告。 |
| 120 | Russia could be ready to use military force against NATO | 俄罗斯可能准备对北约使用武力 |
| 121 | within five years. | 在五年之内 |
| 122 | Five years. | 五年.. |
| 123 | Let's not kid ourselves. | 别自欺欺人了 |
| 124 | We are all on the eastern flank now. | 我们现在都在东侧 |
| 125 | This matters because of something called Article 5. | 这很重要,因为第5条。 |
| 126 | It's NATO's core principle, | 这是北约的核心原则, |
| 127 | and it means that an armed attack against one member | 这意味着对一名成员的武装攻击 |
| 128 | is considered an attack against them all. | 被认为是对他们全部的攻击。 |
| 129 | In other words, if a member country is attacked, | 换言之,如果一个成员国受到攻击, |
| 130 | the UK would be expected to respond. | 英国将作出回应。 |
| 131 | We must be able to deter aggression. | 我们必须能够阻止侵略。 |
| 132 | And yes, if necessary, we must be ready to fight, | 是的,如有必要,我们必须准备好战斗, |
| 133 | to do whatever it takes to protect our people, | 竭尽所能保护我们的人民, |
| 134 | our values, and our way of life. | 我们的价值观和生活方式 |
| 135 | I mean, I don't know about you, | 我的意思是,我不知道关于你, |
| 136 | but to me, all of this sounds a little ominous. | 但对我来说,这一切听起来有点不祥 |
| 137 | If you could just introduce yourself | 如果你能自我介绍一下 |
| 138 | and your title, please. | 和你的头衔,请。 |
| 139 | Yeah, I'm Ed Arnold. | 对 我是艾德·阿诺德 |
| 140 | I'm a senior research fellow for European security | 我是欧洲安全高级研究员 |
| 141 | at the Royal United Services Institute. | 在皇家联合服务学院。 |
| 142 | I think we'll just jump right into the first question, | 我想我们只是跳进第一个问题 |
| 143 | which is, what is the current state of international security? | 也就是说,国际安全的现状如何? |
| 144 | It's deteriorating, and it's deteriorating quite rapidly. | 它正在恶化,并且正在迅速恶化. |
| 145 | At the macro level, what we're seeing is a transition | 在宏观层面,我们看到的是一个转变 |
| 146 | from a US-dominated international system | 来自美国主导的国际体系 |
| 147 | that was established at the end of the Second World War, | 第二次世界大战结束时成立的, |
| 148 | but that is now deteriorating in a number of ways. | 但是,这种情况在若干方面正在恶化。 |
| 149 | And we're in a transition period to something that comes next. | 我们正处于向接下来的转变阶段。 |
| 150 | And there are other powers, such as China, Russia, Iran, | 还有其他大国,如中国、俄罗斯、伊朗 |
| 151 | North Korea, who are sort of joining together to try | 朝鲜,他们正在联合起来尝试 |
| 152 | and bring us into a world system | 带我们进入一个世界体系 |
| 153 | that is heavily structured towards them. | 以他们为重。 |
| 154 | And I think what we're seeing within this deterioration | 我认为我们所看到的 在这种恶化之中 |
| 155 | is also a very powerful US president | 也是一位非常强大的美国总统 |
| 156 | who is starting to use his military might, | 他开始使用他的军事力量, |
| 157 | first against Venezuela, now against Iran. | 首先反对委内瑞拉 现在反对伊朗 |
| 158 | And it's just sucking up capacity, | 它只是吸 容量, |
| 159 | both in terms of military capacity, diplomatic capacity. | 就军事能力、外交能力而言。 |
| 160 | So all of these areas now are linked | 所以现在所有这些领域都是联系在一起的 |
| 161 | between the European theatre, the Middle East, | 欧洲剧院、中东、 |
| 162 | and also potential war with the US in the Indo-Pacific. | 以及可能与美国在印度-太平洋发生的战争。 |
| 163 | Okay, that's quite sobering. | 好吧,这是相当清醒的。 |
| 164 | It sounds like there's a lot of multiple actors | 好像有很多演员 |
| 165 | that play different regions around the world. | 在世界不同区域。 |
| 166 | I guess, how important is Scotland | 我想苏格兰有多重要 |
| 167 | in all of this wider picture? | 在所有这些更广的画面中? |
| 168 | Well, Scotland's actually very important. | 苏格兰其实很重要 |
| 169 | So if we look into sort of the European theatre | 所以,如果我们看看某种 欧洲剧院 |
| 170 | of operations, the primary threat is Russia. | 行动的主要威胁是俄罗斯 |
| 171 | And the seat of Russian military power | 和俄罗斯军事力量的所在地 |
| 172 | is up in the Kola Peninsula, directly in the Arctic Circle. | 位于科拉半岛, 直接在北极圈。 |
| 173 | And that's where their strategic nuclear forces are. | 这就是他们的战略核力量所在. |
| 174 | And it's also where their northern fleet, | 也是他们的北方舰队, |
| 175 | so their navy fleet, which is their premier. | 因此,他们的海军舰队, 这是他们的第一。 |
| 176 | And that is effectively where their power lies. | 而这正是他们的力量所在。 |
| 177 | And in order to target Europe, in order to target the US, | 为了瞄准欧洲 为了瞄准美国 |
| 178 | those capabilities have to come down through the Norwegian Sea | 这些能力必须经过挪威海 |
| 179 | into the North Atlantic and the North Sea | 进入北大西洋和北海 |
| 180 | to threaten Europe and also threaten the US. | 威胁欧洲 也威胁美国 |
| 181 | So Scotland is absolutely integral to that, | 因此,苏格兰是绝对不可分割的, |
| 182 | 主要通过北方的RAS Frossymouth, | |
| 183 | which has UK maritime patrol capability. | 拥有英国海上巡逻能力。 |
| 184 | And actually, that's quite a large proportion | 其实,这是相当大的比例 |
| 185 | of NATO's maritime patrol activity. | 北约的海上巡逻活动。 |
| 186 | And I just want to go back to that point. | 我只想回到那个点。 |
| 187 | So in Europe, Scotland is the only place | 所以在欧洲,苏格兰是唯一的地方 |
| 188 | that has nuclear weapons that would be used | 拥有将使用核武器的 |
| 189 | in defence of NATO, is that right? | 为了保卫北约,是吗? |
| 190 | Yes, so in the 2010s, the UK made that commitment to NATO | 是的,因此在2010年代,英国对北约做出了这一承诺。 |
| 191 | to say that, you know, our nuclear weapons, | 说,你知道,我们的核武器, |
| 192 | our nuclear forces are assigned to NATO. | 我们的核力量被分配到北约 |
| 193 | So we call that extended deterrence. | 因此,我们称之为扩大威慑。 |
| 194 | So within NATO, the only powers are the US, UK and France | 因此,在北约内部,唯一的强国是美国,英国和法国. |
| 195 | that have nuclear weapons. | 拥有核武器。 |
| 196 | The UKs are specifically assigned to NATO. | 联合王国被专门分配给北约。 |
| 197 | There is a discussion in France at the moment, | 目前法国正在讨论 |
| 198 | and President Macron made a fairly important speech | 马克龙总统发表了相当重要的演讲 |
| 199 | in the last couple of weeks around that. | 在过去的几周里 |
| 200 | And that's really important at the moment | 现在这很重要 |
| 201 | because of the fluctuating policy of the US. | 因为美国的政策波动 |
| 202 | People are worried about Trump, | 人们担心特朗普, |
| 203 | and they're also worried about sort of US disengagement | 他们也担心美国会脱离接触 |
| 204 | from Europe and deprioritisation of Europe | 来自欧洲和欧洲非优先化 |
| 205 | to look into other theatres. | 进入其他剧院 |
| 206 | Obviously now, Middle East is pretty critical. | 显然,中东现在相当关键。 |
| 207 | So Europeans, you know, particularly if you're closer | 所以欧洲人,你知道,特别是如果你更接近 |
| 208 | to the Russian border, they're really worried about this. | 到俄国边境 他们很担心 |
| 209 | And they, you know, you see nuclear weapons | 他们看到核武器 |
| 210 | as that ultimate deterrence factor. | 作为最终的威慑因素。 |
| 211 | So the fact that UK has extended deterrence over them | 因此,英国对他们施加了威慑 |
| 212 | is really important. | 这很重要 |
| 213 | And do you think that that makes Scotland a target then? | 你觉得那会使苏格兰成为目标吗? |
| 214 | So I think in a number of ways, | 所以我想,在很多方面, |
| 215 | and I think, you know, if you're looking at potential scenarios | 我认为,你知道, 如果你看潜在的情景 |
| 216 | where NATO could be involved with a war against Russia, | 北约可能参与对俄罗斯的战争, |
| 217 | I mean, it could happen by accident. | 我的意思是,它可能是偶然发生的。 |
| 218 | So there's a lot of activity, | 所以有很多活动, |
| 219 | a lot of military activity going on. | 许多军事活动正在进行。 |
| 220 | And sometimes there's miscalculation, | 有时会有误判 |
| 221 | there's, you know, unintended escalation. | 有,你知道,意外的升级。 |
| 222 | So this could happen by accident. | 所以这有可能是偶然发生的。 |
| 223 | But if it is deliberate policy, | 但如果这是蓄意的政策, |
| 224 | I mean, NATO is a defensive alliance, | 我的意思是,北约是一个防御联盟, |
| 225 | it's not gonna go to war with Russia. | 它不会和俄国开战的 |
| 226 | It's only if it's attacked. | 惟遇袭. |
| 227 | So it was deliberate Kremlin policy | 所以这是克里姆林宫的政策 |
| 228 | to go to war with Europe. | 与欧洲开战 |
| 229 | Well, you have to look at that maritime patrol capability | 你得看看海上巡逻的能力 |
| 230 | because effectively, if you're able to destroy or disable it, | 因为有效, 如果你能够摧毁或破坏它, |
| 231 | you can blind NATO. | 你可以盲目北约。 |
| 232 | And if NATO can't find Russian submarines, | 如果北约找不到俄国潜艇 |
| 233 | then they are effectively very vulnerable. | 他们实际上非常脆弱。 |
| 234 | Okay, so how prepared is the UK and Scotland | 好吧,那么如何准备 英国和苏格兰 |
| 235 | for these kind of attacks? | 这些攻击? |
| 236 | Well, I think, I mean, reasonably prepared, | 嗯,我想,我的意思是, 合理的准备, |
| 237 | but again, this is about complacency. | 但是,这是关于自满。 |
| 238 | Like, you know, you almost can't over-prepare | 就像,你知道, 你几乎不能过度准备 |
| 239 | for these eventualities. | 对于这些意外。 |
| 240 | And I think at a very high level | 我认为在非常高的水平 |
| 241 | that there is a slight misunderstanding here | 这里有点误会 |
| 242 | because there's an issue. | 因为有一个问题。 |
| 243 | So defence is not a devolved competency | 所以说 辩护不是下放的权限 |
| 244 | to the Scottish government. | 致苏格兰政府 |
| 245 | So that power resides in Westminster | 所以权力在威斯敏斯特 |
| 246 | and the Ministry of Defence. | 和国防部。 |
| 247 | But when you're talking about resilience, | 但是,当你在谈论弹性, |
| 248 | you know, that is sort of, | 你知道,这有点, |
| 249 | it's where the seams and handoffs | 缝合和交换 |
| 250 | between departments happens. | 部门之间发生。 |
| 251 | What's really important, | 有什么重要的事吗? |
| 252 | if you're talking about the types of crises we are, | 如果你在谈论 我们的危机类型 |
| 253 | that all of these things are ironed out | 这些东西都被熨熟了 |
| 254 | because you're effectively talking about legal, | 因为你在谈论法律 |
| 255 | you know, emergency powers. | 你知道,紧急的力量。 |
| 256 | They need to go through acts of parliament | 他们需要通过议会法案 |
| 257 | to be able to enact it so that when you need them, | 能够颁布它,以便在你需要的时候, |
| 258 | you can press the button and say, | 你可以按下按钮说, |
| 259 | okay, we're going to do this. | 好吧,我们要做到这一点。 |
| 260 | So think at a very high level, | 因此,思考在非常高的水平, |
| 261 | the governance needs to be understood. | 治理需要理解。 |
| 262 | My last question, and it's quite a big question, | 我最后一个问题, 这是一个相当大的问题, |
| 263 | is how likely is a nuclear attack in 2026? | 2026年核攻击的可能性有多大? |
| 264 | Very unlikely, I would say. | 不太可能,我会说。 |
| 265 | Just for the fact that if you separate out | 只是因为如果你分开 |
| 266 | what is meant by a nuclear attack, | 核攻击是什么意思? |
| 267 | I mean, you hear sort of tactical nuclear weapons. | 我的意思是,你听到 某种战术核武器。 |
| 268 | I don't use that terminology | 我不使用这个术语 |
| 269 | because I think nuclear use is never confined | 因为我认为核用途 从来没有限制 |
| 270 | to the tactical level of warfare, | 到战术层面的战争, |
| 271 | but certainly low yield nuclear weapons use. | 但使用核武器的产量确实很低。 |
| 272 | You know, there has been worries | 你知道,一直有 担心 |
| 273 | that the Russians may use that in Ukraine | 俄国人可以在乌克兰使用 |
| 274 | at some point in time to try and break the deadlock, | 为了打破僵局 |
| 275 | but I assess certainly that this year is highly unlikely, | 但我认为今年不太可能 |
| 276 | and certainly nuclear use by Russia's allies and partners, | 无疑是俄罗斯盟友和伙伴使用核武器, |
| 277 | notably China and India, | 特别是中国和印度, |
| 278 | said that's absolutely a red line for us. | 说那绝对是我们红线 |
| 279 | I think it's really important to note | 我觉得这很重要 |
| 280 | that there are gradients of activity, | 活动有梯度, |
| 281 | and that's why deterrence activity is so important, | 这就是为什么威慑活动如此重要, |
| 282 | to make sure that if you start to go up those escalation points | 以确保如果你开始升级点 |
| 283 | in that ladder, there are measures to de-escalate as well. | 在这个梯子中,也有缓和升级的措施。 |
| 284 | For the past few weeks, my feed has been full of videos | 在过去的几周里,我的视频充斥着 |
| 285 | about nuclear Armageddon, but listening to Ed and Tim, | 关于核世界末日, 但听埃德和蒂姆, |
| 286 | it sounds like the current assessment is | 这听起来像目前的评估是 |
| 287 | that we don't need to be hidden for the bunkers any time soon. | 我们不需要马上被掩体藏起来 |
| 288 | I set out to understand if FAS Lane makes Scotland a target, | 我开始理解FAS Lane是否让苏格兰成为目标 |
| 289 | and the answer is complicated. | 答案很复杂 |
| 290 | Major cities and infrastructure would be at risk | 主要城市和基础设施将面临风险 |
| 291 | in any large-scale conflicts, with or without nuclear weapons. | 在任何大规模冲突中,无论有无核武器。 |
| 292 | The chances of a nuclear strike anywhere in the world | 世界任何地方发生核打击的可能性 |
| 293 | remains very low. | 仍然很低。 |
| 294 | What was clear is that war can take a lot of shapes, | 很明显的是 战争会有很多形态 |
| 295 | and what really matters for Scotland and the UK is resilience, | 而对于苏格兰和联合王国来说真正重要的是复原力, |
| 296 | being prepared and being aware. | 准备和意识到。 |
| 297 | And I know that's a big thought to leave you on. | 我知道离开你是个好主意 |
| 298 | If you do want to go further, | 如果你想更进一步 |
| 299 | BBC journalists have produced extensive reporting | BBC的记者做了大量报道 |
| 300 | on both UK security issues and major international security issues. | • 联合王国的安全问题和主要国际安全问题。 |
| 301 | I'll put links in the description | 我会把链接 在描述 |
| 302 | of some of the stuff that I've been reading, | 我读过的一些东西, |
| 303 | but you can also find it all on YouTube or on the BBC News app. | 但你也可以在YouTube或BBC新闻应用上找到。 |
| 304 | And I'd really like to hear what you think. | 我很想听听你的看法 |
| 305 | Please share your thoughts on all of this in the comments. | 请在评论中阐述你对所有这些问题的看法。 |
| 306 | That's all from me. | 皆从我故. |
| 307 | Thanks for watching. | 谢谢你的观看。 |
该视频共有字幕 307 条。解锁更多字幕为会员功能，请移动到 价格