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卫星图像揭示伊朗对美军基地的攻击情况 | 2026.5.13

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0:01So in the early days of the war between the US, Israel, and Iran, my colleagues and I started seeing a lot of these videos that were filmed on US military bases and also foreign bases where the US operates in the Gulf and the Middle East.因此,在美国、以色列和伊朗的战争初期,我的同事和我开始看到许多这些录像,这些录像是在美国军事基地和美国在海湾和中东活动的外国基地拍摄的。
0:14And they showed a number of Iranian, usually drone strikes, on key infrastructure.他们展示了一些伊朗人, 通常是无人机袭击关键基础设施。
0:19And then not too long after that, we started seeing a stream of Iranian satellite imagery that came out of Iranian state media that were then filtering down through social media.不久之后,我们开始看到伊朗国家媒体流出的伊朗卫星图像,这些图像随后通过社交媒体过滤下来。
0:27And these images claim to show very mass swaths of destruction at these bases that the US operates out of.这些图像声称显示 美国在这些基地的破坏非常大
0:33And normally what we would do is we would hit these up against American satellite imagery.通常我们要做的就是 用美国的卫星图像来打击这些东西。
0:38But the US government requested for American satellite companies to restrict the release of this imagery in the Middle East and the Gulf.但美国政府要求美国卫星公司限制在中东和海湾发布这种图像.
0:44Not even restrict it, but even to retroactively remove images going back to early March.甚至不限制,甚至追溯去除3月初的图像.
0:49And also US officials weren't talking a whole lot about specific attacks on these US bases.而且美国官员也很少谈论 对这些美国基地的具体攻击。
0:54I mean, the best defense is good offense.我的意思是,最好的防御 是良好的进攻。
0:56And when they did speak, they said the air defenses were working as designed.当他们说话的时候,他们说防空部队是按设计工作的.
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1So in the early days of the war between the US, Israel, and Iran, my colleagues and I started seeing a lot of these videos that were filmed on US military bases and also foreign bases where the US operates in the Gulf and the Middle East.因此,在美国、以色列和伊朗的战争初期,我的同事和我开始看到许多这些录像,这些录像是在美国军事基地和美国在海湾和中东活动的外国基地拍摄的。
2And they showed a number of Iranian, usually drone strikes, on key infrastructure.他们展示了一些伊朗人, 通常是无人机袭击关键基础设施。
3And then not too long after that, we started seeing a stream of Iranian satellite imagery that came out of Iranian state media that were then filtering down through social media.不久之后,我们开始看到伊朗国家媒体流出的伊朗卫星图像,这些图像随后通过社交媒体过滤下来。
4And these images claim to show very mass swaths of destruction at these bases that the US operates out of.这些图像声称显示 美国在这些基地的破坏非常大
5And normally what we would do is we would hit these up against American satellite imagery.通常我们要做的就是 用美国的卫星图像来打击这些东西。
6But the US government requested for American satellite companies to restrict the release of this imagery in the Middle East and the Gulf.但美国政府要求美国卫星公司限制在中东和海湾发布这种图像.
7Not even restrict it, but even to retroactively remove images going back to early March.甚至不限制,甚至追溯去除3月初的图像.
8And also US officials weren't talking a whole lot about specific attacks on these US bases.而且美国官员也很少谈论 对这些美国基地的具体攻击。
9I mean, the best defense is good offense.我的意思是,最好的防御 是良好的进攻。
10And when they did speak, they said the air defenses were working as designed.当他们说话的时候,他们说防空部队是按设计工作的.
11Our air defenders are operating at the very top of their game.我们的空防人员在他们的比赛中处于顶峰
12I couldn't be prouder.我不能再骄傲了
13We wanted to cut through the allegations and the talking points and understand the reality of the damage.我们想谈谈指控和谈话要点,并了解损害的现实。
14And so we couldn't just take this Iranian satellite imagery onto face value.所以我们不能把伊朗的卫星图像 放在面值上。
15We had to actually verify it, cross-reference it, and all that.我们必须核实它, 交叉引用它, 以及所有这一切。
16So what we did was we collected all these images that the Iranians released.所以我们收集了伊朗人公布的所有图像。
17These are dozens and dozens of images from quite a few different countries.这些是来自几个不同国家的数十幅图像。
18And then we looked at European satellite companies, which did not have similar restrictions on the release of imagery.然后我们看看欧洲的卫星公司,它们并没有类似的限制图像的发布。
19So this, for example, is in Saudi Arabia.因此,例如在沙特阿拉伯。
20This is the Prince Sultan Air Base, where the US operates out of.这是苏丹王子空军基地,美国在那里行动。
21And here's the Iranian image right here, where you see there's 12 buildings right here in the before.这里有伊朗的图像, 你看到前面有12座建筑。
22And then you see about four or five of them have been destroyed in the after image.然后,你可以看到大约四五个 在后面的图像中被摧毁。
23And then we take the exact same location in this imagery from a European provider, and it's identical.然后我们从一个欧洲供应商的图像中 取出一个完全相同的位置,它是一样的。
24I mean, you look at it, it's the exact same buildings destroyed, the same pattern, same location.我的意思是,你看它, 它是完全相同的建筑 摧毁,相同的模式,相同的位置。
25And we did this across the board.我们做了所有的事情。
26We did this with dozens of images.我们用几十个图像做了这个。
27We didn't find even one of them that was fake.我们连假的都找不到
28Overall, we found that Iran and Iranian-backed militias had attacked 18 different military sites in seven different countries that the US operates out of.总体而言,我们发现伊朗和伊朗支持的民兵袭击了美国撤出的七个不同国家的18个不同的军事地点。
29Other news organizations have reported similar amounts of damage.其他新闻组织也报道了类似程度的破坏.
30But we found that in addition to large US bases in the region, even sites where the US had small or temporary presence were struck.但是,我们发现,除了美国在该地区的大型基地之外,甚至连美国小规模或临时存在的地点也遭到袭击。
31US Central Command declined to comment on our findings.美国中央指挥部拒绝对我们的调查结果发表评论.
32This is the widest ranging attack on US military sites in the region ever.这是有史以来对美国军事地点的最广泛的攻击。
33Some of these Iranian strikes killed American service members.其中一些伊朗罢工杀害了美国军人.
34A strike on a makeshift command post in Kuwait at a port killed six American service members.袭击科威特一个港口的临时指挥所造成6名美国军人死亡。
35And a strike in Saudi Arabia killed one.沙特阿拉伯的一次罢工造成一人死亡。
36So we took all this imagery we compiled, we sent them to a number of defense experts to put all this into context.所以我们把所编集的图像 都拿来给一些国防专家 把这些都放在一起
37And most experts that we spoke to said that these attacks on these military sites did not hamper the US's offensive capabilities in Iran.我们交谈过的多数专家都说,这些对这些军事地点的袭击并不妨碍美国在伊朗的进攻能力。
38But our analysis does show that there are new vulnerabilities in America's security posture in the region.但是,我们的分析确实表明,美国在本区域的安全态势出现了新的弱点。
39And back in March, my colleagues at the Times reported that many American bases in the region were evacuated.而早在3月,我在"泰晤士报"的同事们报道说,该地区的许多美国基地被疏散.
40As we looked at the silent imagery, we saw that these were fairly precise drone attacks across the entire US footprint in the Middle East.当我们看着静默的图像时,我们看到,这些是相当精确的无人机袭击 横跨整个美国在中东的足迹。
41So, for example, here in Bahrain, this is the US 5th Fleet's base and also the US Navy's headquarters in the Middle East.例如,在巴林,这里是美国第五舰队的基地,也是美国海军在中东的总部.
42There were attacks on the communications infrastructure here in the northern part of the base.基地北部的通讯基础设施遭到袭击。
43So you see right here, there's some radomes, satellite dishes, and also down here, also some larger warehouses, too, that were hit by Iranian drone strikes.你看这里,有一些雷达,卫星天线, 还有下面,还有一些更大的仓库, 被伊朗无人机袭击。
44This radome right here, a little bit northeast of this baseball field, was hit in a one-way drone attack.球场东北一点处的这颗萝卜 被单程无人机击中
45And it's not just these giant bases that are being attacked.不仅仅是这些巨型基地被攻击。
46Down a little bit further south in Bahrain, there's a joint base from the Bahrainis and the Americans, where they work together to combine air defense.在巴林向南稍远的地方,有一个巴林人和美国人的联合基地,他们在那里共同努力,将防空结合起来.
47And there were three attacks here from the Iranian forces.这里发生了三次来自伊朗部队的袭击。
48There are two here on a radar site, very, very expensive radar system.这里有两个在雷达现场, 非常非常昂贵的雷达系统。
49┮硂 Sha
50And one a little bit west of here, either a warehouse or a hangar, was hit by a pretty precise attack here that took out the roof.而这里以西一点的地方, 无论是仓库还是机库, 都遭到了非常精确的攻击, 摧毁了屋顶。
51And this is out in the Gulf as well, too.这也是在海湾。
52So if you look up north in Syria, there's an airfield up in the northeast of the country where the U.S. has been operating lately.所以如果你往叙利亚北部看, 这个国家东北部有个机场, 美国最近一直在运营。
53They pulled out in mid-April, but they were operating here for a few months.他们于4月中旬退出,但在这里活动了几个月.
54And Iranian-backed militias targeted this base repeatedly in March and April.3月和4月,伊朗支持的民兵一再攻击该基地。
55But Iran claimed this attack took out U.S. barracks.但伊朗声称这次袭击摧毁了美国兵营.
56In fact, these are actually just grain storage structures.事实上,这些只是谷物储存结构。
57So this shows that even when the satellite image is accurate, the claim needs to be checked.因此,这说明即使卫星图象准确,也需要检查其说法.
58And a camp victory outside of Baghdad in Iraq.以及伊拉克巴格达外的营地胜利
59There were Iranian-backed militias that launched drone attacks and took out about six or seven different buildings.有伊朗支持的民兵发动无人机袭击,并摧毁了大约六七座不同的建筑物.
60This is a warehouse that was hit.这是一个仓库被击中。
61There was drone footage actually released by the Iranian-backed militia that carried out the attacks.进行袭击的伊朗支持的民兵实际发布了无人机录像。
62This drone video is obviously used as propaganda footage, but it helps you understand the nature of their attacks.这段无人机视频显然被用作宣传片段,但有助于你了解他们攻击的性质.
63They flew around Camp Victory for a few minutes, and they eventually hit a warehouse.他们环绕胜利营飞行了几分钟,最终击中了一个仓库.
64They've hit shelters.他们袭击了避难所
65They hit fuel tanks, radar system, and they even took out a Black Hawk helicopter at one point.他们击中了燃料箱,雷达系统,甚至还一度击出一架黑鹰直升机.
66The total cost of these attacks is difficult to estimate.这些攻击的总费用难以估计。
67But the loss of the aircraft at these bases likely ranges around a billion dollars,但是这些基地的飞机损失可能高达十亿美元左右,
68according to analysts from the Center for Strategic International Studies, a nonpartisan research center.根据无党派研究中心国际战略研究中心的分析。
69They also said that a single radar system damaging Jordan cost about $500 million to repair or to replace.他们还说,一个破坏约旦的单一雷达系统修复或更换费用约为5亿美元。
70Experts that we spoke to said that the American air defense systems in place at their bases across the Gulf had around a 90% interception rate, ideally.我们交谈的专家说,美国防空系统 在其基地 在海湾对面,有大约90%的拦截率,理想的。
71But even at 90%, there's still these 10% of Iranian drones and missiles that can get through the air defense shield.但即使是90%,仍有这10%的伊朗无人机和导弹能够通过防空屏蔽.
72And this may pose a problem for the United States.这可能会给美国带来问题。
73With this large physical footprint in the Middle East, Iran is able to send cheap drones towards these bases.在中东有如此庞大的实际足迹,伊朗能够向这些基地派遣廉价的无人机.
74What used to be an asset for the United States may also now be liability.过去美国的资产现在也可能是负债。
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