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巴基斯坦如何成为美国和伊朗的外交中介 | 2026.7.25

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0:05The Roosevelt Hotel, with its Italian Renaissance-style facade, used to be a happening spot, a choice罗斯福酒店 以其意大利文艺复兴风格的外观 曾经是一个现成的地方 一个选择
0:12location when Hollywood visited New York.好莱坞访问纽约时的位置
0:15But ladies and gentlemen, we're not here to indulge in fantasy.但是女士们先生们 我们不是来幻想的
0:19The reality is, last year it was a migrant centre.实际情况是,去年它是一个移民中心。
0:22Today it's shuttered.今则闭塞.
0:25And yet its owners say it's worth a billion dollars and they've called in help from this然而它的主人说它值十亿美元 他们已经从中求救
0:31guy.这家伙。
0:32Oh, and who are the owners?哦,谁是主人?
0:34That would be the Pakistan government.这将是巴基斯坦政府。
0:38It is one of Pakistan's most valuable foreign assets.它是巴基斯坦最宝贵的外国资产之一。
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1The Roosevelt Hotel, with its Italian Renaissance-style facade, used to be a happening spot, a choice罗斯福酒店 以其意大利文艺复兴风格的外观 曾经是一个现成的地方 一个选择
2location when Hollywood visited New York.好莱坞访问纽约时的位置
3But ladies and gentlemen, we're not here to indulge in fantasy.但是女士们先生们 我们不是来幻想的
4The reality is, last year it was a migrant centre.实际情况是,去年它是一个移民中心。
5Today it's shuttered.今则闭塞.
6And yet its owners say it's worth a billion dollars and they've called in help from this然而它的主人说它值十亿美元 他们已经从中求救
7guy.这家伙。
8Oh, and who are the owners?哦,谁是主人?
9That would be the Pakistan government.这将是巴基斯坦政府。
10It is one of Pakistan's most valuable foreign assets.它是巴基斯坦最宝贵的外国资产之一。
11In February 2026, Steve Wyckoff, one of Trump's closest advisors, helped broker a deal for2026年2月,特朗普最亲近的顾问之一史蒂夫·威克夫(Steve Wyckoff)帮助促成一项交易.
12the US government and Pakistan to jointly redevelop the hotel.美国政府和巴基斯坦 共同重新开发酒店。
13But recent deals between the Trump administration and Pakistan have extended beyond the hospitality但最近川普政府和巴基斯坦之间的交易 已经超出了招待范围
14scene.现场。
15Markets are waiting for Islamabad as delegations from Iran and the United States prepare for市场正在等待伊斯兰堡,伊朗和美国代表团准备
16talks in Pakistan.在巴基斯坦的会谈。
17The ceasefire remains fragile.停火仍然脆弱。
18Pakistan has done something impossible.巴基斯坦做了一些不可能的事。
19Pakistan brought the US and Iran together on one table after 50 years.巴基斯坦50年后把美国和伊朗拉到一桌.
20This was a deliberate attempt by Pakistan to make itself a global player.这是巴基斯坦使自己成为全球行动者的蓄意企图。
21That peace hasn't lasted.和平没有持续。
22The ceasefire between the US and Iran has collapsed.美伊停火破裂.
23But Pakistan hopes its role as mediator has more longevity.但是,巴基斯坦希望它作为调解人的作用能够更持久。
24So this has really been Pakistan's shining moment.所以这是巴基斯坦的光辉时刻。
25So how did Pakistan become one of Trump's favourite diplomatic partners and can it capitalise巴基斯坦如何成为川普最喜爱的外交伙伴之一,
26on it?在吗?
27I would like to nominate this great president for Noël Peace Prize.我要提名这位伟大的诺埃尔和平奖主席。
28That's Pakistan's Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif.这是巴基斯坦总理沙巴兹·谢里夫.
29In the past year or so, Pakistan has found its way into Trump's inner circle.在过去一年左右,巴基斯坦找到了自己进入特朗普内部圈子的方法.
30I have two very, very important people in my life, an Indian and a Pakistani.我生命中有两个非常重要的人 一个印度人和一个巴基斯坦人
31The Indian is my wife and the Pakistani is Field Marshal Munir.印度人是我的妻子 巴基斯坦是穆尼尔元帅
32There's several occasions where we have seen President Trump refer to the Army Chief and我们曾多次看到川普总统提到陆军首长
33the Prime Minister as his good friends.总理是他的好朋友
34The key character in Pakistan is Field Marshal Asim Munir.巴基斯坦的关键人物是阿西姆·穆尼尔元帅.
35He's the most powerful army chief that Pakistan has had almost since its founding.他是巴基斯坦建国后几乎拥有的最强大的陆军总长.
36We have sacrificed a lot for the creation of this country.我们为创造这个国家牺牲了很多
37He was the first army chief to be invited to the White House for lunch.他是第一位被邀请到白宫吃午饭的陆军首长.
38This was shocking for a number of reasons, mostly because the US President in the past这令人震惊,原因很多,主要是因为美国总统过去
39has tried to deal with the Pakistani Prime Minister who's elected by the people.试图与巴基斯坦总理打交道,
40And this was to support democracy within Pakistan.这是为了支持巴基斯坦的民主。
41Trump really didn't care about that so much.特朗普其实并不那么在乎.
42He wanted to talk to the most powerful person in Pakistan, which is Asim Munir.他想和巴基斯坦最有权势的人,即阿西姆·穆尼尔谈话.
43It was also surprising because for years Pakistan's global image has been shaped by crisis.这也令人惊讶,因为多年来巴基斯坦的全球形象一直受到危机的影响。
44Devastating floods, energy shortages, security concerns and repeated IMF bailouts.洪水、能源短缺、安全关切和基金组织多次救援等情况不断恶化。
45Take a look at this.看看这个
46Foreign direct investment into the country has remained mostly stagnant for the past two decades.过去20年来,对该国的外国直接投资大多停滞不前。
47Pakistan is heavily reliant on external financing.巴基斯坦严重依赖外部融资。
48It's currently the fourth largest IMF debtor behind only Argentina, Ukraine and Egypt.它目前是仅落后阿根廷,乌克兰和埃及的第四大IMF债务国.
49Pakistan is continually looking for IMF support, so a good relationship with the US would help巴基斯坦不断寻求国际货币基金组织的支持,因此与美国的良好关系将有所帮助。
50it get loans from the IMF and from other Western partners potentially.它有可能从货币基金组织和其他西方伙伴那里获得贷款。
51Traditionally, the country has largely relied on financing from another key partner, China.传统上,该国主要依靠另一个关键伙伴中国的资助。
52China invested lots of money in Pakistan to build out what they call the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor.中国在巴基斯坦投入大量资金,建设他们所称的中巴经济走廊.
53US-Pakistan relations weren't always this good.美巴关系并不总是这么好
54From the US side there had been distrust of Pakistan because the history that most Americans美国方面对巴基斯坦一直不信任 因为大部分美国人的历史
55know of Pakistan in recent times was that Osama bin Laden was of course located and最近知道巴基斯坦的情况是,乌萨马·本·拉丹当然在巴基斯坦境内。
56killed in a compound in Pakistan.在巴基斯坦的一个大院里被杀
57Now more on the escalation in the India-Pakistan conflict.现在更多关于印度-巴基斯坦冲突升级。
58The tipping point came in May 2025.2025年5月达到临界点.
59India's saying it conducted targeted military strikes against Pakistan, which says it shot印度说,它有针对性地对巴基斯坦进行军事打击,说它开枪了
60down five Indian jets in retaliation.击落5架印度喷气式飞机以报复
61The four-day conflict ended in a ceasefire, which Trump quickly claimed credit for.4天的冲突以停火告终,特朗普迅速声称对此予以赞扬.
62We helped a lot.我们帮了很多忙
63I said, come on, we're going to do a lot of trade with you guys.我说,来吧,我们会做很多交易 与你们。
64Let's stop it.让我们停止它。
65If you stop it, we'll do a trade.如果你停下来,我们会做交易。
66If you don't stop it, we're not going to do any trade.如果你不阻止它, 我们不会做任何交易。
67And all of a sudden they said, I think we're going to stop.他们突然说,我想我们会停止。
68The two parties involved in the conflict reacted somewhat differently to Trump's claims.冲突双方对特朗普的主张反应有些不同.
69The Indians said no external actors mediated the ceasefire.印度人说,没有任何外部行为者调解停火。
70They rejected Trump's claims outright.他们断然拒绝了特朗普的主张.
71On the other hand...另一方面...
72Pakistan was extremely generous and effusive in its praise of President Trump.巴基斯坦对特朗普总统的赞誉极为慷慨和有效.
73Prime Minister Pakistan said yesterday that President Trump could have saved 35 million巴基斯坦总理昨天说,川普总统本可以挽救3500万
74lives by getting us to stop fighting.通过让我们停止战斗来维持生命
75Other areas have seen the benefit of these warming relationships, particularly in business其他领域,特别是在商业领域,也看到了这些变暖关系的好处。
76and of course that hotel in Men in Black.当然还有布莱克男酒店
77By the end of 2025, Pakistan and the US had signed a memorandum of understanding where截至2025年底,巴基斯坦和美国签署了一份谅解备忘录,其中
78they would be investing in Pakistan's critical minerals.他们将投资巴基斯坦的重要矿产。
79When the army chief visited the White House with the prime minister, he took this briefcase陆军总长和总理一起参观白宫时 拿走了这个公文包
80full of minerals and gems that he showed the president.他给总统看的矿物和宝石
81And it doesn't end there.亦不终於此.
82Pakistan's also struck up a relationship with World Liberty Financial, a cryptocurrency巴基斯坦也与世界自由金融公司建立了关系,
83venture co-founded by Donald Trump Jr., Eric Trump and Zachary Witkoff, son of Trump adviser小唐纳德·特朗普(英语:Donald Trump Jr.),埃里克·特朗普(英语:Eric Trump)和特朗普顾问的儿子扎卡里·维特科夫(英语:Zachary Witkoff)共同创办的合资公司.
84(原始内容存档于2018-09-26). Steve Witkoff.
85And they signed a memorandum of understanding to allow the company to do business within他们签署了一份谅解备忘录 允许公司在
86the country.国家。
87Pakistan's now the world's third largest crypto market with over 40 million crypto users.巴基斯坦现在是世界第三大密码市场,拥有超过4000万密码用户.
88And chumming up to Trump's inner circle helped build trust between Washington and Islamabad,在特朗普的圈子里 华盛顿和伊斯兰堡之间建立信任
89trust Pakistan has leveraged.巴基斯坦已经利用了信任。
90Hold that thought till after this.等会再考虑
91There's trust on both sides.两边有信.
92Pakistan ultimately emerged as the key mediator, not only thanks to its relationship with the巴基斯坦最终成为关键的调解人,不仅因为巴基斯坦与阿富汗的关系,而且由于巴基斯坦与巴基斯坦的关系,巴基斯坦最终成为主要的调解人。
93Trump administration, but also with Iran.特朗普政府,但也与伊朗.
94Pakistan's relationship with Iran has been a relationship that has gotten stronger over巴基斯坦与伊朗的关系已经变得更加牢固
95years.岁月
96It shares a massive border with Iran, so it's trusted by Iran.它与伊朗有着庞大的边界,因此得到伊朗的信任.
97There is a vast majority of the Shia population that's in Pakistan, which is the prominent绝大多数什叶派人口在巴基斯坦,
98religion in Iran.伊朗的宗教。
99The ties are not just political or neighborly, it's also the religion and culture that brings联系不仅仅是政治或邻里 也是宗教和文化带来的
100them together.他们在一起。
101In the early stages of the talks, Pakistan was literally passing messages back and forth在会谈的早期阶段,巴基斯坦实际上不断传递信息。
102between Iran and the U.S.伊朗和美国之间
103Then in April 2026,后来在2026年4月,
104You hadn't seen a figure as high level as the vice president of the U.S. sitting down你没见过像美国副总统这样高的人物
105with top officials from Iran, top counterparts from Iran in decades.数十年来伊朗的高层官员
106Pakistan really rolled out the red carpet for both negotiating teams.巴基斯坦确实为两个谈判小组铺出了红地毯。
107The press center had these cups of coffee that were labeled on them, brewed for peace.媒体中心有这几杯咖啡 上面贴着标签,为和平而酿造。
108The talks took place in another luxury hotel, this time in Islamabad.会谈在另一家豪华酒店举行,这次是在伊斯兰堡。
109The government requisitioned the entire hotel just for these talks, and they were really政府征用了整个酒店 只是为了这些谈话,他们真的
110trying to use the opportunity to show the world a different side of Pakistan.试图利用这个机会向世界展示巴基斯坦的另一面。
111For Pakistan, a permanent ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran could lead to much needed对巴基斯坦来说,美国和伊朗之间的永久停火可能导致迫切需要
112economic gains.经济收益。
113If the sanctions get lifted from Iran, it means more trade in the region.如果制裁从伊朗解除,这意味着该区域贸易增加。
114If there are better relations between the U.S. and Iran, it could pave the way for a如果美国和伊朗之间有更好的关系,这可以为建立
115long stalled gas pipeline between Iran and Pakistan that would help alleviate Pakistan's伊朗和巴基斯坦之间长期停滞的天然气管道将有助于缓解巴基斯坦的天然气供应。
116energy woes.能量灾难。
117Those hopes will have to wait as the U.S. and Iran return to conflict.这些希望必须等到美国和伊朗重新陷入冲突。
118Pakistan also has challenges on its border with Afghanistan.巴基斯坦与阿富汗的边界也面临挑战。
119Pakistan has been in contact with Afghanistan since the beginning of this year.巴基斯坦自今年年初以来一直与阿富汗保持联系。
120Both countries keep attacking each other.两国不断互相攻击.
121There's definitely been a shift in how Pakistan is perceived globally.全世界对巴基斯坦的看法确实发生了转变。
122The question is how long will it last?问题是它能持续多久?
123It's a truism of diplomacy that countries do not have friends, they have interests.国家没有朋友,有利益,这是外交上的不言而喻.
124Trump can be very fickle.特朗普可以非常虚幻.
125He could like you one minute and you could be in the doghouse the next minute.他可以喜欢你一分钟, 你也可以在狗屋 一分钟。
126Just look at India next door.看看隔壁的印度,好吗?
127Modi and Trump were best friends and all of a sudden Trump turned on him very quickly.莫迪和特朗普是好友,突然特朗普很快地对他发火.
128So the same thing could eventually happen to Pakistan.因此,巴基斯坦最终也会发生同样的事情。
129This isn't a question of whether Pakistan is doing this to score good points diplomatically.这不是巴基斯坦是否在外交上获得好评的问题。
130Pakistan needs this good relationship with the U.S. to secure the legitimacy of the government巴基斯坦需要与美国的这种良好关系,以确保政府的合法性
131and the regime that's in power there now,现在执政的政权,
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