法里德观点：为什么有190万人离开加州？ | 2026.6.
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:01 | Here's my take. | 这是我的选择 |
| 0:03 | At a time when President Trump and Republicans are faring poorly in most polls, the story | 特朗普总统和共和党在多数民调中表现不佳, |
| 0:08 | has been different in California. | 加州已经不一样了 |
| 0:10 | Republican Steve Hilton finished ahead of many high-spending Democrats in the governor's | 共和党人史蒂夫·希尔顿 领先州长的民主党人 |
| 0:16 | race to advance to the November election, facing Democrat Javier Becerra. | 面对民主党人哈维尔·贝塞拉, |
| 0:21 | In Los Angeles, an overwhelmingly Democratic city, Spencer Pratt, a Republican former reality | 在洛杉矶 一个压倒性的民主城市 斯宾塞·普拉特 共和党以前的现实 |
| 0:27 | television personality, looked as if he might make the mayoral general election before | 电视个性,看似他可能在市长大选之前 |
| 0:33 | finishing third. | 完成第三个。 |
| 0:35 | California Democrats will be tempted to dismiss all this as a sideshow. | 加州民主党人会想把这一切 都当做旁观 |
| 0:39 | But the frustration is real and justified. | 但挫折感是真实和正当的。 |
展开字幕全文（86 条）
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Here's my take. | 这是我的选择 |
| 2 | At a time when President Trump and Republicans are faring poorly in most polls, the story | 特朗普总统和共和党在多数民调中表现不佳, |
| 3 | has been different in California. | 加州已经不一样了 |
| 4 | Republican Steve Hilton finished ahead of many high-spending Democrats in the governor's | 共和党人史蒂夫·希尔顿 领先州长的民主党人 |
| 5 | race to advance to the November election, facing Democrat Javier Becerra. | 面对民主党人哈维尔·贝塞拉, |
| 6 | In Los Angeles, an overwhelmingly Democratic city, Spencer Pratt, a Republican former reality | 在洛杉矶 一个压倒性的民主城市 斯宾塞·普拉特 共和党以前的现实 |
| 7 | television personality, looked as if he might make the mayoral general election before | 电视个性,看似他可能在市长大选之前 |
| 8 | finishing third. | 完成第三个。 |
| 9 | California Democrats will be tempted to dismiss all this as a sideshow. | 加州民主党人会想把这一切 都当做旁观 |
| 10 | But the frustration is real and justified. | 但挫折感是真实和正当的。 |
| 11 | California is one of the most dynamic places on the planet. | 加利福尼亚是地球上最具活力的地方之一. |
| 12 | It has Silicon Valley, Hollywood, world-class universities, extraordinary agriculture, ports, | 它有硅谷,好莱坞, 世界一流的大学, 非凡的农业,港口, |
| 13 | talent and natural beauty. | 天赋和自然美貌 |
| 14 | But it is a case study in how a rich society can spend more and more while producing less | 但是,它是一个案例研究 一个富人社会如何能够花费 越来越多的同时生产更少 |
| 15 | and less of what its ordinary citizens need. | 也比普通公民需要的要少 |
| 16 | The paradox of California today is a successful economy attached to a failing model of governance. | 今天的加利福尼亚悖论是一个成功的经济,附属于一个失败的治理模式. |
| 17 | Consider the fiscal record. | 考虑一下财政记录 |
| 18 | Since 2000, California's population has grown by roughly 15 percent. | 自2000年以来,加州的人口增长了大约15%。 |
| 19 | But the state's general expenditures have grown more than 200 percent, from $78 billion | 但国家总开支增长超过200%, 从780亿美元 |
| 20 | to about $248 billion. | 大约2,480亿美元。 |
| 21 | General spending per person has risen from about $2,300 to about $6,300. | 人均一般开支从大约2 300美元增加到大约6 300美元。 |
| 22 | The number of state employees has grown by more than 50 percent by one count. | 国家雇员人数增加了50%以上。 |
| 23 | Does anyone think that California government and its benefits have gotten 200 percent better | 有没有人认为加州政府及其利益 已经提高了200% |
| 24 | in the last 25 years? | 过去25年? |
| 25 | Housing is the central failure. | 住房是中心失败。 |
| 26 | California has long spoken the language of compassion while building a system of exclusion. | 加州在建立排斥制度的同时,长期讲同情语言. |
| 27 | Alicia Finley writes in the Wall Street Journal that from 2021 to 2024, the L.A. metro area | Alicia Finley在华尔街日报上写道: 2021年至2024年,洛杉矶地铁地区 |
| 28 | with nearly 13 million people issued only 118,000 building permits for new homes. | 近1 300万人只发放了118 000份新住房建筑许可证。 |
| 29 | Atlanta, with about half that population, issued 163,000. | 亚特兰大,人口约一半, 发行163,000。 |
| 30 | California has made it too hard, slow, and expensive to build. | 加州使它变得太硬,太慢,而且建造费用昂贵. |
| 31 | The result is predictable. | 结果可以预测。 |
| 32 | Home prices soar, rents rise, workers commute farther, homelessness grows, young people | 住房价格飙升、租金上涨、工人通勤越远、无家可归现象增加、年轻人增加 |
| 33 | leave. | 离开。 |
| 34 | And people are leaving. | 人会离开的 |
| 35 | Over the past seven years, the state has lost a net 1.9 million people through domestic | 在过去7年中,国家通过国内援助净损失了190万人。 |
| 36 | migration. | 移徙。 |
| 37 | For generations, people moved to California to pursue the future. | 世代相传,人们移居加州,追求未来. |
| 38 | Now many middle-class people are leaving because they can't afford one. | 现在许多中产阶级的人因为买不起而离开. |
| 39 | Or look at education. | 或观教育. |
| 40 | For years, California schools had a plausible excuse. | 多年来,加州的学校 有一个可信的借口。 |
| 41 | They were underfunded. | 他们资金不足。 |
| 42 | Total spending on education through 12th grade has more than doubled since the early 2010s. | 自2010年代初以来,12年级教育总支出翻了一番多。 |
| 43 | And per-pupil spending by 2023 was well above the national average. | 而到2023年,每个学生的支出远高于全国平均水平. |
| 44 | Yet the results remain dismal. | 然而,结果仍然令人沮丧。 |
| 45 | In the 2024 Nations Report Card, California was 43rd in 4th grade math, 39th in 4th grade | 在2024年的"国家成绩单"中,加州四年级数学排名第43位,四年级39位. |
| 46 | reading, 36th in 8th grade math, and 38th in 8th grade reading. | 8年级数学第36名,8年级阅读第38名。 |
| 47 | Homelessness tells the same story in a more painful register. | 无家可归在一个更痛苦的登记册中讲述同样的故事。 |
| 48 | A 2024 audit revealed California had spent $24 billion on the problem over a five-year | 2024年的审计显示 加利福尼亚州在五年内 花了240亿美元 |
| 49 | Yet in 2024, California reached a record high in homelessness, almost 200,000. | 然而在2024年,加利福尼亚州无家可归人数达到创纪录的最高点,几乎达20万人. |
| 50 | Homelessness did decline by about 3% from 2024 to 2025. | 从2024年到2025年,无家可归情况确实减少了约3%。 |
| 51 | But the state's expansive, expensive, and elaborate homelessness aid complex has not | 但是,国家范围广、费用昂贵和复杂的无家可归援助综合体并没有 |
| 52 | proven to solve homelessness in any significant way. | 证明可以解决无家可归问题。 |
| 53 | California's headline prosperity, generated in good part by a few industries like high | 加州头条的繁荣, 大部分是由少数行业创造的 像高 |
| 54 | tech, masks weaknesses underneath. | 技术,面具的弱点 |
| 55 | Job creation has been sluggish. | 创造就业机会的工作进展缓慢。 |
| 56 | In 2025, California essentially failed to add any new jobs on net. | 2025年,加州基本上没有在网络上增加任何新的工作. |
| 57 | Private industries outside government and government-supported health care actually | 政府以外的私营企业和政府支助的医疗保健 |
| 58 | shed jobs, according to the Center for Jobs and the Economy. | 根据就业与经济中心的资料, |
| 59 | The state is using public spending to paper over private sector stagnation. | 国家正在利用公共开支来弥补私营部门的停滞。 |
| 60 | Nowhere is this more vivid than Los Angeles, where Hollywood, the city's defining industry, | 最生动的莫过于洛杉矶, 好莱坞,城市的决定性产业, |
| 61 | is in slow motion collapse. | 正在缓慢的运动崩溃。 |
| 62 | The effects are being felt not by celebrity actors and influencers, but the carpenters, | 影响不是由名人演员和影响者感受到的 而是木匠们 |
| 63 | costumers, sound engineers, camera operators, editors, drivers, caterers, dry cleaners, | 服装师、音响工程师、摄像师、编辑、司机、餐饮员、干洗工、 |
| 64 | prop houses, and small businesses that once formed one of the world's great industrial | 道具房 和小企业 曾经形成世界大工业之一 |
| 65 | clusters. | 集群。 |
| 66 | The numbers are stark. | 数字是惊人的。 |
| 67 | One report found LA shoot days fell from 36,792 in 2022 to just 19,694 in 2025. | 有一份报告发现LA拍摄日从2022年的36,792天下降到2025年的19,694天. |
| 68 | Another report estimates film, television, and sound jobs fell by nearly 30%. | 另一份报告估计电影、电视和有声工作减少了近30%。 |
| 69 | Motion picture employment in LA County fell from about 142,000 at the end of 2022 to roughly | 洛杉矶县的动画工作从2022年底的142,000人下降到了大致 |
| 70 | 100,000 two years later. | 十万后二经. |
| 71 | Hollywood is still the symbol, the brand, the mythology, and it still houses the big | 好莱坞仍然是象征,品牌,神话, 它仍然有大 |
| 72 | studios that produced most of the world's greatest entertainment for almost a century. | 制作世界大多数最伟大的娱乐节目近一个世纪的录音室. |
| 73 | But thanks largely to high taxes, costs, and regulations, the work has moved elsewhere, | 但主要得益于高额的税收、成本和法规 工程已经转移到别的地方 |
| 74 | to Georgia, New Jersey, Toronto, London, and Warsaw. | 前往佐治亚,新泽西,多伦多,伦敦,华沙. |
| 75 | Michael Linton, who ran Sony Entertainment, told me that the big studio lots look like | 管理索尼娱乐的迈克尔·林顿(Michael Linton)告诉我,大工作室的很多像 |
| 76 | ghost towns now with tens of acres of sound stages and recording studios when nothing | 鬼城现在有数十英亩的音响舞台 和录音室 |
| 77 | is happening. | 正在发生。 |
| 78 | He said Los Angeles is becoming a sunny version of Detroit. | 他说洛杉矶正在成为底特律的阳光版. |
| 79 | Consider the simple fact, according to Fortune, none of the 10 films nominated for Best Picture | 想想这个简单的事实,根据"财富"杂志的报道, 十部电影都没有被提名最佳影片 |
| 80 | this year were primarily produced in Hollywood. | 今年主要在好莱坞生产。 |
| 81 | Los Angeles still hosts the Oscars, but increasingly it does not actually make the movies being | 洛杉矶还是奥斯卡颁奖典礼的主办地 但越来越多的电影并没有真正制作 |
| 82 | honored there. | 很荣幸 |
| 83 | For years, Democrats in California have governed without any real competition. | 多年来,加州的民主党人在没有真正竞争的情况下执政. |
| 84 | The recent primary results suggest that even in deep blue territory, voters are restless. | 最近的主要结果表明,即使在深蓝色的领土上,选民也是不安的。 |
| 85 | They're not becoming Republicans, but they are asking a reasonable question. | 他们不会成为共和党人,但他们正在问一个合理的问题. |
| 86 | Why does a state with so much money, talent, and promise make life for ordinary people? | 为什么一个有这么多钱,才华,承诺的国家会为普通人创造生活? |
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