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埃隆·马斯克的财富演变(1997-2026)| 2026.6

字幕摘录

时间英文中文
0:03Take us back to when you really started on this.带我们回到你真正开始的时候
0:06Well, that was the summer of 95.那是95年的暑假
0:09I had no money whatsoever.我没钱
0:11I was working, doing research in Silicon Valley我当时在硅谷做研究
0:15on a completely different subject关于一个完全不同的主题
0:17and trying to start this company at the same time.并试图同时启动这家公司。
0:20And when it came time to decide, do I want to do graduate studies到了决定的时候,我想读研究生吗?
0:23or do I want to start this company,或者我想开这家公司,
0:25and I decided to start the company, I had no money.我决定开公司,我没有钱
0:27As a graduate student, I would have received a scholarship作为研究生,我会得到奖学金
展开字幕全文(303 条)
序号英文中文
1Take us back to when you really started on this.带我们回到你真正开始的时候
2Well, that was the summer of 95.那是95年的暑假
3I had no money whatsoever.我没钱
4I was working, doing research in Silicon Valley我当时在硅谷做研究
5on a completely different subject关于一个完全不同的主题
6and trying to start this company at the same time.并试图同时启动这家公司。
7And when it came time to decide, do I want to do graduate studies到了决定的时候,我想读研究生吗?
8or do I want to start this company,或者我想开这家公司,
9and I decided to start the company, I had no money.我决定开公司,我没有钱
10As a graduate student, I would have received a scholarship作为研究生,我会得到奖学金
11and a stipend and so forth.和津贴等等。
12In starting the company, I had nothing.开公司时,我一无所有
13I had no income source.我没有收入来源。
14So we found that an office was actually cheaper所以我们发现一间办公室实际上更便宜
15than an apartment in Silicon Valley.而不是硅谷的公寓
16So we got this dinky little office that had a leaky roof.我们有个破烂的小办公室 屋顶漏水了
17It was just the nastiest place you can imagine.那是你所能想象的最恶心的地方
18And you lived in it too.而你也生活在其中。
19And I lived in it.而我却活在其中.
20Back in 95, there weren't very many people on the internet.95年,网上的人不多
21And suddenly, nobody was making any money at all.突然间,没有人赚钱。
22Most people thought the internet was going to be a fad.大多数人认为互联网会很热闹
23Wow, I can't believe it's actually here.哇,我真不敢相信它真的在这里。
24It's pretty wild, man.这是相当野性的,男人。
25This is definitely very cool.这绝对是很酷。
26I like it a lot.我很喜欢
27Congratulations.祝贺你
28Just three years ago, I was showering at the Y就在三年前,我在Y浴室洗澡
29and sleeping on the office floor.睡在办公室地板上
30And now, obviously, I've got a million dollar car现在,很明显,我有一百万的车
31and quite a few creature comforts.和相当一些生物安慰。
32It's just a moment in my life.这只是我生命的一刻。
33You have to spend a tremendous amount of your time at work.你得花大量时间工作
34So there's no such thing as the eight hour a day所以,没有这样的事情 每天8小时
35in Silicon Valley in any field.在硅谷 任何田间。
36Approximately two years ago, I started x.com.大约两年前,我开始了x.com.
37We were only about five people in total.我们总共只有五个人
38The company is now over 600 people.公司目前已有600多人.
39I would say it's been fairly successful,我会说它已经相当成功,
40鉴于x.com,现在叫做PayPal,
41is the number one financial site in the world.是世界第一的金融网站。
42Say your name, spell it for me.说你的名字,拼给我听
43Tell me what you do.告诉我,你做什么。
44Elon Musk, E-L-O-N, M-U-S-K,埃隆・穆斯克,E -L
45Chief Executive Officer of Space Exploration Technologies,空间探索技术首席执行官,
46for SpaceX.空间X。
47I think there's only so much we can learn我想我们只能学到这么多东西
48by looking through a telescope.通过望远镜观察。
49And eventually, we need to go out there最终,我们需要去那里
50if we're to find the answer.如果我们要找到答案。
51So, you know, being obsessive compulsive所以,你知道, 强迫性
52is a good thing in this context.在这方面是一件好事。
53Really liking what you do,真的喜欢你做的事
54whatever area that you get into,无论你进入什么领域,
55given that, even if you're the best of the best,既然如此 即使你是最优秀的
56there's always a chance of failure.总是有失败的机会
57So, I think it's important that you really like所以,我认为这很重要 你真的很喜欢
58whatever you're doing.无论你在做什么。
59If you don't like it, life is too short.如果你不喜欢, 生活太短。
60I'd say, and also, if you like what you're doing,我会说,还有,如果你喜欢 你在做什么,
61you think about it even when you're not working.即使你不工作,你也会考虑的
62I mean, it'll just, it's something我的意思是,它只是,它的东西
63that your mind is drawn to.让你的头脑被吸引。
64And if you don't like it,如果你不喜欢的话
65you just really can't make it work, I think.你只是真的不能 它的工作,我认为。
66It quickly became obvious它很快变得明显
67that there really isn't anything fundamental根本没什么
68that prevents chemical rockets防止化学火箭
69from being much cheaper than they are right now.因为比现在便宜得多
70You know, to give you an example,举个例子
71the propellant cost of the Falcon 1,猎鹰1的推进剂成本
72what it costs to pull the gas tank, essentially,拖动油箱的成本,基本上,
73is about $30,000.大约三万元
74And that's on a $6.5 million launch, initially.而这是在650万美元的启动, 最初。
75We don't want to keep driving that launch cost down.我们不想继续让发射成本降低
76But, you know, in airlines, that is a dominating factor,但是,你知道,在航空公司, 这是一个主导因素,
77often the predominant factor in cost,经常是成本的主要因素,
78whereas for rockets, it's an accounting error.而对于火箭来说,这是一个会计错误。
79I have to ask you, Elon, why?我必须问你,伊隆,为什么?
80I mean, this could potentially soak up我的意思是,这有可能浸泡
81你用PayPal赚的钱
82and some of your other companies,和你们中一部分人,
83yet you're still very interested in doing this.但你还是很有兴趣这么做
84It's funny you should say that, actually.你这么说真有趣
85There's a joke that's so common,有个很常见的笑话
86and I started reversing the joke.我开始扭转这个笑话
87It's, people would say,人们会说,
88how do you make a small fortune in the space business你怎么在太空生意上赚到小钱
89where you start with a large one?你从哪里开始的?
90So people would ask me,所以人们会问我,
91why did you start a space company?你为什么要创办太空公司?
92I'd say, well, you know, I had a large fortune.我说,嗯,你知道,我有一大笔钱。
93I was trying to turn it into a small one我想把它变成一个小的
94as fast as possible,尽可能快
95and this seemed like a good way to do it.这似乎是一个很好的方式做到这一点。
96But in all seriousness,但说真的
97I think that the opportunities in space我认为太空中的机会
98are actually very significant,其实很重要
99and we're really potentially at a point我们真的有潜力
100with space exploration that we were with the internet与太空探索 我们与互联网
101about 10 or 15 years ago,大约10或15年前
102and I think it's really poised我觉得它真的准备
103for some very significant growth.对于一些非常显著的增长。
104I'm Elon Musk.我是伊隆・穆斯克
105I'm the chairman and the product architect of the company.我是公司的董事长和产品设计师.
106And what car do you drive yourself?那你自己开什么车?
107Well, a Tesla Roadster, of course.当然是特斯拉路斯特
108Is that the only car you drive?这是你唯一开的车吗?
109No, no, I also have a Porsche Turbo.不,不,我也有一个保时捷涡轮。
110And?还有呢?
111That's the family car.这是家用车。
112And what kind of mileage is that, again?又是什么样的里程?
113It's 20 miles a gallon,这是20英里一加仑,
114so it's actually good as a sports car goes, you know.所以,它实际上好 像一辆运动车去,你知道的。
115But my daily driver is the Tesla Roadster.但我的日常司机是特斯拉路斯特
116I have production year one,我有生产第一年,
117and I drive it to work every day.我每天开车去上班
118I put 2,000 miles on the car.我把两千英里的车。
119It's very important that we accelerate我们必须加快步伐
120the adoption of electric vehicles.采用电动车辆。
121And it was not with the idea of just creating a sports car也不是想创造一辆运动车
122that's very expensive,这是非常昂贵的,
123because that doesn't really change the world.因为那样不会改变世界
124That's not gonna make a dent on our energy usage.这不会影响我们的能量使用
125But the sports car is really just an entry point但运动车其实只是一个入口
126to the marketplace.到市场。
127And from the sports car,而从运动车,
128we'll go to model two, model three,我们去二号模型,三号模型
129and in each case, with each successive model,在每种情况下, 每一个相继的模型,
130we'll increase the production volume我们要增加产量
131and decrease the footfall.并减少足迹。
132Elon, what do you think Tesla will look like伊隆 你觉得特斯拉会是什么样子
133in five years?五年内?
134This company has changed so much just in the past few years.这家公司在过去几年里变化很大。
135Well, you know, what I hope we're doing in five years嗯,你知道,我希望我们在五年内做什么
136is doing our mass-market vehicle.正在做我们的大众市场载体。
137And then that's really been the goal all along.这一直是我们的目标
138From the beginning, my dream for Tesla从一开始 我对特斯拉的梦想
139has been to make mass-market electric vehicles.一直在制造大众市场电动车辆。
140And that's, you know, we're about to do step,这就是,你知道, 我们即将做一步,
141we've done step one of that with the Roadster,我们已经做了一步 与罗德斯特,
142which is the high-priced, low-volume.这是高价,低量。
143Now we're moving to Model S, mid-priced, mid-volume.现在我们要搬到S型车 中价 中量
144And then hopefully in five years, maybe six years,希望五年,也许六年后
145we're also producing the mass-market electric vehicle.我们还在生产大众市场电动车
146That's the ultimate dream for me, for Tesla.这是最终的梦想 对于我,Tesla。
147In terms of actually bringing humans to Mars,在实际将人类带到火星方面,
148well, one South African-born billionaire一个南非出生的亿万富翁
149is looking to do just that and more as early as 2025.早在2025年,人们就期望这样做。
150Here's ABC's David Wright.这是ABC的大卫·赖特
151Well, so pretty much from scratch.从头到尾都是这样
152Here on Earth, there are real people地球上有真实的人
153already planning the logical next step.已经规划了逻辑下一步。
154I think we'll be able to send我想我们可以送
155probably the first people to Mars可能是火星上第一个人
156in roughly 12 to 15 years.大约12到15年
157That's my estimate.这是我的估计
158Meet Elon Musk, a high-tech executive见见高科技高管伊隆·穆斯克
159who recently entered the space race.最近才进入太空竞赛
160You know, there are American heroes你知道,有美国英雄
161who don't like this idea.谁不喜欢这个想法。
162Neil Armstrong, Gene Cernan have both testified尼尔·阿姆斯特朗 吉恩·塞南都作证了
163against commercial space flight打击商业空间飞行
164and the way that you're developing it.和你开发它的方式。
165And I wonder what you think of that.我想知道你对此的看法。
166I was very sad to see that我非常伤心地看到
167because those guys are, yeah.因为他们是,是的。
168But those guys are heroes of mine, so it's really tough.但那些家伙是我的英雄,所以这真的很难。
169You know, I wish they would come and visit你知道,我希望他们会来看我
170and see the hard way that we're doing here.并看到我们在这里的艰难道路。
171And I think that would change their mind.我认为这会改变他们的想法。
172They inspired you to do this, didn't they?他们激励你这样做,不是吗?
173Yes.
174And to see them casting stones in your direction.看见他们朝你的方向扔石头
175It's difficult.难曰.
176Did you expect them to cheer you on?你指望他们为你加油吗?
177So they're hoping they would.所以,他们希望他们会。
178But as governments and businesses但作为政府和企业
179explore artificial intelligence,探索人工智能,
180including their military applications,及其军事用途,
181a leading U.S. billionaire has voiced fears美国著名亿万富翁表达了恐惧
182about what machines could do on their own.关于机器可以自己做什么。
183And he isn't alone.他并不孤单
184The CBC's Ron Charles has more.CBC的罗恩查尔斯还有更多
185I think there's potentially a dangerous outcome there我觉得那里有危险的结果
186and we need to...我们需要...
187Dangerous?危险?
188Potentially, yes.很有可能,是的。
189I mean, there's been movies about this, you know,我的意思是,有电影 关于这一点,你知道,
190like Terminator.像终结者。
191Is the future of the auto industry autonomous?汽车工业的未来是自主的吗?
192Are these things really gonna be a reality?这些事情真的会变成现实吗?
193Autonomous cars will definitely be a reality.自主汽车绝对会成为现实.
194A Tesla car next year will probably be明年会有一辆特斯拉车
19590% capable of autopilot.90%能自动驾驶.
196Like, so 90% of your miles could be on auto.喜欢,所以90%的里程 可能是汽车。
197You know, for sure highway travel.你知道,肯定的公路旅行。
198How is that gonna happen?怎么会这样?
199With a combination of various sensors,结合各种传感器
200you combine cameras with image recognition with radar将相机和图像识别与雷达相结合
201and long range ultrasonics, that'll do it.长距离超音速 就可以了
202Going back to the AI situation,回到AI的情况,
203this is quite an important, quite an important debate.这是一项相当重要的辩论。
204Like the, if you assume any rate of advancement in AI,比如,如果你假设AI有任何进步,
205we will be left behind by a lot.我们会被很多事情留下
206And so then we could be in, you know, benign,这样我们就可以,你知道的,善良的,
207even the benign situation, if you have some,即使是良性的情况, 如果你有一些,
208if you have ultra-intelligent AI, we would be, you know,如果你有超智能AI, 我们会,你知道,
209so far below them in intelligence在情报部门,目前还不到他们
210that it would be like, you know, a pet, basically.就像,你知道,一个宠物,基本上。
211Pet, that's what I was thinking.佩特,这就是我的想法。
212Like a pet.就像宠物一样
213A cat, like a cat.猫,像猫。
214Elon the cat.猫伊隆
215Yeah, we'd be like the house cat.是啊,我们会像 家猫。
216Right.
217And yeah, so that's not the end of the world, you know,是啊,所以这不是世界末日,你知道,
218it's just, you know, sort of pets.只是,你知道的, 那种宠物。
219You've seen the movie, it could be.你看过那部电影,可能吧
220It could be, it could be.它可能是,它可能是。
221The, you know, so that, but that, honestly,你知道,这样,但是,说实话,
222that would be the benign scenario.这将是良性的情况。
223You tweet a lot.你发了很多推特
224I use my tweets to express myself.我用我的微博表达自己。
225Some people use their hair.有人用发.
226I use Twitter.我用的是微博,我用的是微博。
227Well, but you use your tweeting不过你用你的推特
228to kind of get back at critics.那种回到批评者。
229Rarely.很少见
230You kind of have little wars with the press.你和媒体有点小战争
231Twitter是一个战区.
232If somebody is gonna jump in the war zone,如果有人要跳进战区
233it's like, okay, you're in the arena, let's go.就像,好吧,你在竞技场,我们走吧。
234His war zone tweeting drew fire他的战区推文着火了
235when out of the blue in August, he tweeted, quote,当八月他突然发推特,
236I'm considering taking Tesla private at 420.我考虑在420点把特斯拉关起来
237Do you laugh?你笑吗?
238Easy guy, easy guy, easy guy.轻松的家伙,轻松的家伙,轻松的家伙。
239Ready?准备好了吗?
240I have great respect for the justice system.我非常尊重司法系统。
241I think the American system are outstanding.我认为美国的制度是杰出的。
242What about the SEC?证监会呢?
243So I think we should be cautious with AI所以我觉得我们应该谨慎对待AI
244and we should, I think there should be some我们应该,我认为应该有一些
245government oversight because it affects the,政府监督,因为它影响到
246it's a danger to the public.这是对公众的威胁。
247So when you have things that are a danger to the public,所以当你有对公众有危险的东西时
248like let's say, so food and drugs,比如说 食物和毒品
249that's why we have the Food and Drug Administration所以我们才有食品药品管理局
250and the Federal Aviation Administration, the FCC.联邦航空局 联邦航空局
251We have these agencies to oversee things我们有这些机构来监督事情
252that affect the public where there could be public harm.影响公众的 可能发生公众伤害。
253And you don't want companies cutting corners也不要公司乱来
254on safety and then having people suffer as a result.安全,然后让人们因此受苦。
255So that's why I've actually for a long time┮и竒
256been a strong advocate of AI regulation.曾大力倡导大赦国际的条例。
257So that I think regulation is,所以,我认为监管是,
258you know, it's not fun to be regulated.你知道,这是不好玩的 管制。
259It's sort of somewhat of a,有点像...
260it's somewhat arduous to be regulated.管制起来有点困难
261If you Google Elon Musk,如果你谷歌埃隆·穆斯克
262I think you have 156 million search results.我想你有1.56亿的搜索结果
263Really?真的吗?
2647600万Twitter追随者.
265You're definitely one of the most popular people on earth.你绝对是世界上最受欢迎的人之一
266Is popularity a pleasure or a liability for you?受欢迎是你的乐趣还是你的责任?
267Well, it makes it difficult to go buy a coffee很难买咖啡
268at the corner store, that's for sure.在街角商店,这是肯定的。
269So it's hard to go around places.故难绕处.
270I used to be able to just, you know,我曾经能够,你知道,
271go to the store or walk down the street.去商店 或者走在街上。
272It's quite difficult to do that.这很难做到
273It's hard for me to go to a restaurant.我很难去餐厅
274And if I do, I just try to find a corner table如果我这样做,我只是想找到一个角落的桌子
275{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}这有点淡淡
276where I can sort of stay out of the way.在那里,我可以 排序远离的方式。
277You said that you cannot be and don't want to be alone.你说你不能一个人 也不想一个人
278I very much share that feeling.我非常赞同这种感觉。
279Yeah.
280Where does it come from?从何处来.
281I think it's just a natural human reaction.我认为这只是人类的自然反应.
282It's got to be encoded in DNA, which is not that long.它必须被编码在DNA中, 它没有那么长。
283So the algorithm for intelligence所以情报的算法
284cannot be complicated because it's limited不能因为有限而复杂
285by the DNA information constraint.根据DNA信息限制。
286I give SpaceX less than a 10% chance我给SpaceX不到10%的机会
287of succeeding at all, to be clear.说得很清楚
288In fact, I told people this.事实上,我告诉别人了
289I said, look, we're probably gonna fail,我说,你看,我们可能会失败,
290but you know, we should give it a try但你知道,我们应该试试看
291because if we don't, if there's not a new company因为如果我们不这样做, 如果没有一个新的公司
292that enters space, we will never be进入太空,我们永远不会
293a truly space-bearing civilization.真正的空间文明。
294You know, while the other aerospace companies,你知道, 而其他航空航天公司,
295they build good rockets and everything,他们制造好的火箭和一切
296they were simply not pursuing the technology他们只是没有追求技术
297that's necessary to make life multi-planetary,这是创造多行星生命的必要条件,
298to make Star Trek, to make the exciting让《星际迷航》更精彩
299science fiction futures that we've read about real.我们所读到的关于真实的科幻未来.
300这就是SpaceX的目的
301is to take the fiction out of science fiction就是把小说从科幻小说中取出来
302and create an exciting, inspiring future for everyone.并为每个人创造一个激动人心、鼓舞人心的未来。
303Tingo!丁戈 丁戈 丁戈 丁戈 丁戈 丁戈 丁戈 丁戈 丁戈 丁戈 丁戈
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