华尔街日报：伊朗和以色列军事战力分析 | 2025.6.15
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:02 | Israel has launched one of the largest attacks on Iran in history. | 以色列向伊朗发动了历史上最大的攻击之一. |
| 0:07 | It crosses a threshold that we've thought about, considered about, war-gamed for 15 | 它跨越了一个门槛,我们已经思考,考虑, 战争游戏为15 |
| 0:12 | years at the very least. | 至少是几年时间 |
| 0:13 | It's really brought this conflict, the Iranian-Israeli conflict, into uncharted territory. | 这确实把这场冲突,伊朗-以色列冲突,带到了未知的领土上. |
| 0:19 | The first strikes hit areas throughout Iran, including several key nuclear and military | 第一次袭击袭击了伊朗全境的地区,包括几个关键的核和军事领域。 |
| 0:24 | sites. | 网站。 |
| 0:26 | Now, Iran is hitting back. | 现在,伊朗正在反击。 |
| 0:28 | But Tehran is entering this conflict in a weaker position than it held in the past. | 但德黑兰以比过去更弱的地位进入这场冲突。 |
| 0:34 | Here's what its military capabilities look like. | 这就是它的军事能力 |
| 0:38 | Iran's supreme leader leads Tehran's large military operation, two branches of its own | 伊朗最高领导人领导德黑兰的大规模军事行动,其两个分支 |
展开字幕全文（54 条）
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Israel has launched one of the largest attacks on Iran in history. | 以色列向伊朗发动了历史上最大的攻击之一. |
| 2 | It crosses a threshold that we've thought about, considered about, war-gamed for 15 | 它跨越了一个门槛,我们已经思考,考虑, 战争游戏为15 |
| 3 | years at the very least. | 至少是几年时间 |
| 4 | It's really brought this conflict, the Iranian-Israeli conflict, into uncharted territory. | 这确实把这场冲突,伊朗-以色列冲突,带到了未知的领土上. |
| 5 | The first strikes hit areas throughout Iran, including several key nuclear and military | 第一次袭击袭击了伊朗全境的地区,包括几个关键的核和军事领域。 |
| 6 | sites. | 网站。 |
| 7 | Now, Iran is hitting back. | 现在,伊朗正在反击。 |
| 8 | But Tehran is entering this conflict in a weaker position than it held in the past. | 但德黑兰以比过去更弱的地位进入这场冲突。 |
| 9 | Here's what its military capabilities look like. | 这就是它的军事能力 |
| 10 | Iran's supreme leader leads Tehran's large military operation, two branches of its own | 伊朗最高领导人领导德黑兰的大规模军事行动,其两个分支 |
| 11 | military and a network of proxies that extend outside of its borders. | 军事和境外代理人网络。 |
| 12 | In the past, these proxies have been Iran's first line of defense. | 过去,这些代理人一直是伊朗的第一道防线. |
| 13 | The Iran-Iraq war in the 1980s was devastating to Iran. | 20世纪80年代的两伊战争对伊朗造成了毁灭性的影响. |
| 14 | It convinced them that they never wanted war to return to Iran. | 它使他们相信,他们再也不希望战争回到伊朗。 |
| 15 | So dealing with the proxies kept war away from Iran's doorstep. | 因此与代理人打交道使得战争远离了伊朗的门阶. |
| 16 | Israel has already kind of laid the groundwork for this attack against Iran by either destroying | 以色列已经为这次对伊朗的袭击打下了基础,要么摧毁了伊朗。 |
| 17 | or severely degrading Iran's proxies in Gaza and in Lebanon. | 或严重侮辱伊朗在加沙和黎巴嫩的代理人。 |
| 18 | So much so that they're basically no longer potent military forces. | 这样他们就不再是强大的军队了 |
| 19 | The difference now is that Iran is all alone. | 现在的区别是,伊朗是一个国家。 |
| 20 | And when Iran is all alone, it really only has one option to hit Israel, and that's | 当伊朗独自一人时,它只有一个选择 袭击以色列,这就是 |
| 21 | to use its missiles and drones. | 使用导弹和无人机。 |
| 22 | Iran has sophisticated missiles that can strike at various ranges and reach well into Israel. | 伊朗拥有尖端导弹,可在各种射程上攻击,并深入以色列。 |
| 23 | Israel's ambassador to the United States told CNN that Iran has | 以色列驻美国大使告诉CNN伊朗 |
| 24 | Considerable volume of ballistic missiles somewhere in the neighborhood of 2,000. | 在两千块左右的某处 有大量的弹道导弹 |
| 25 | Ballistic missiles are large and destructive, but its arsenal also includes less powerful | 弹道导弹是大型的,具有破坏性,但其武库中也含有较弱的 |
| 26 | and less expensive cruise missiles and drones, which can fly low and be hard to detect. | 以及更便宜的巡航导弹和无人机,它们可以低飞,难以探测. |
| 27 | In previous strikes, Iran has used a mixture of these missiles to overwhelm Israel's defense system. | 在之前的打击中,伊朗使用了这些导弹的混合物来压倒以色列的防御系统. |
| 28 | Iran tries to do when it attacks Israel is to shoot all of these things at once. | 当伊朗攻击以色列时,伊朗试图立即射击所有这些东西。 |
| 29 | So you have things flying at different levels, at different trajectories, at different speeds, | 因此,你有一些东西 飞在不同的水平, 不同的轨迹, 以不同的速度, |
| 30 | which is meant to saturate radar systems, right? | 用来饱和雷达系统,对吧? |
| 31 | So that Israel has to pick and choose to knock this down, to knock that down. | 因此,以色列必须选择击倒它,击倒它。 |
| 32 | But with all of that, you're hoping that something gets through. | 但这一切,你希望 东西通过。 |
| 33 | Iran staged a retaliatory attack on Tel Aviv and a number of Israeli bases in October | 伊朗于10月对特拉维夫和一些以色列基地发动报复性袭击 |
| 34 | after Israel killed Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. | 在以色列杀害真主党领导人哈桑·纳斯鲁拉之后。 |
| 35 | Roughly 180 missiles were launched and some were able to penetrate the defense system. | 发射了大约180枚导弹,其中一些导弹能够穿透防御系统。 |
| 36 | But no deaths were reported. | 但没有任何死亡报告。 |
| 37 | Most of the missiles that got through, you know, landed sort of in parts of the military bases | 大部分导弹通过,你知道, 降落在军事基地的一部分 |
| 38 | that were not occupied, patches of sand or a runway or, you know, a warehouse. | 沙子或跑道 或是仓库 |
| 39 | But they didn't do significant damage. | 但他们并没有造成重大破坏. |
| 40 | When Israel launched the recent strikes on Tehran, it hit some residential areas. | 当以色列最近对德黑兰发动攻击时,它击中了一些居民区。 |
| 41 | Later, Iran launched a barrage of missiles aimed at populated areas in and around Tel Aviv | 后来,伊朗向特拉维夫市内和周围地区发射了大批导弹。 |
| 42 | and breached the defense system. | 并违反了防御系统。 |
| 43 | Those types of attacks would have a lot less strategic utility, | 这些类型的攻击具有的战略效用要小得多, |
| 44 | but they could be much more devastating to Israel in the sense that they could kill | 但他们可能对以色列造成更大的破坏 因为他们可以杀人 |
| 45 | dozens, hundreds of people. | 数十,数百人. |
| 46 | Because Iran needs to launch so many missiles in order to make that breach happen, | 因为伊朗需要发射如此多的导弹才能实现突破, |
| 47 | the battle comes down to numbers. | 这场战役是数字化的 |
| 48 | Even though they have thousands of missiles, because they have to fire hundreds of missiles | 尽管他们有数千枚导弹,因为他们必须发射数百枚导弹 |
| 49 | each time in order to penetrate Israel's defenses, it's not really a stockpile that | 每次为了渗透到以色列的防御系统里 并不是真正的储备 |
| 50 | would allow them to sustain a long, drawn out conflict that was fought through the air. | 让他们能维持一场漫长的 由空中爆发的冲突 |
| 51 | But Israel also can't fully defend itself on its own. | 但以色列也无法独自充分自卫. |
| 52 | In the recent attacks and in both of Iran's attacks on Israel last year, | 在最近的袭击和伊朗去年对以色列的两次袭击中, |
| 53 | the U.S. assisted in intercepting the missile barrages. | 美国协助拦截导弹炮火 |
| 54 | Other allies have also offered assistance. | 其他盟国也提供了援助。 |
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