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美国参议院选战 进步派能否扩大支持票仓 | 2026.11.

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时间英文中文
0:02Why am I in a cornfield in Iowa when I'm covering the midterm elections?为什么我在爱荷华州玉米地 当我报道中期选举时?
0:09I can't call them what I'd like to.我不能把他们称为我想要的。
0:11We're on our way to Hill.临济山.
0:13This is a post-industrial landscape, all right.这是一个后工业景观,好吧。
0:16A dollar more gallon of gas is not going to change what we believe in.再加一加仑的气体不会改变我们所相信的。
0:21They can't hear you booing.他们听不到你的嘘声。
0:22They can hear you vote.他们可以听到你的投票。
0:24Sarah, are you ready for another hour drive?Sarah 你准备好再开车吗?
0:31That, behind me, is Detroit, Motor City.在我身后是底特律,汽车城。
0:35And I'm in Michigan to see if the predicted surge in Democratic support is going to reach here,我住在密歇根州 看看预计的民主党支持会否达到
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序号英文中文
1Why am I in a cornfield in Iowa when I'm covering the midterm elections?为什么我在爱荷华州玉米地 当我报道中期选举时?
2I can't call them what I'd like to.我不能把他们称为我想要的。
3We're on our way to Hill.临济山.
4This is a post-industrial landscape, all right.这是一个后工业景观,好吧。
5A dollar more gallon of gas is not going to change what we believe in.再加一加仑的气体不会改变我们所相信的。
6They can't hear you booing.他们听不到你的嘘声。
7They can hear you vote.他们可以听到你的投票。
8Sarah, are you ready for another hour drive?Sarah 你准备好再开车吗?
9That, behind me, is Detroit, Motor City.在我身后是底特律,汽车城。
10And I'm in Michigan to see if the predicted surge in Democratic support is going to reach here,我住在密歇根州 看看预计的民主党支持会否达到
11or if a Republican might be able to win the Senate seat for the first time in more than 30 years,或者如果一个共和党人可能在30多年里第一次赢得参议院席位,
12all because the Democrats picked a rather controversial, really quite left-wing candidate to run for them.都因为民主党选了一个相当有争议的, 非常左翼的候选人来竞选他们。
13Abdul Al Sayed is the Democrat running for the Senate in Michigan.阿卜杜勒·赛义德是密歇根州竞选参议院的民主党人.
14He defeated a much more moderate Democrat in the first round primary election.他在第一轮初选中击败了一位温和得多的民主党人.
15And his progressive positions, like advocating free health care for all, might cost him votes.而他的进步立场,如提倡全民免费保健,可能要花掉他的选票.
16His harsh criticism of Israel has angered some Jewish Democrats.他对以色列的严厉批评激怒了一些犹太民主党人.
17The polls suggest the race here in Michigan is very tight.民调显示密歇根州的比赛非常紧张
18Why are you not further ahead, do you think, like other Democrats across the country?你怎么不像全国其他民主党人一样走得更远?
19Races get close, and at the end of the day, there's also a historic amount of money being spent here, right?种族越来越接近,最后, 也有一个历史性的金额 花费在这里,对不对?
20More money spent against me in a primary than has ever been spent against any candidate in history in a primary.在小学里花在我身上的钱 比在小学里花在历史上任何候选人身上的钱都多
21We feel very confident about where we are.我们对我们所处的位置非常有信心。
22We're going to continue to chase every vote, and we feel good about the results.我们将继续追逐每一票,结果也感觉不错.
23Shops closed, land for sale, empty buildings.商店关闭,土地出售,空置建筑.
24This is a post-industrial landscape, all right, in Detroit.这是在底特律的后工业景观
25So the Republican, Mike Rogers, opened a new campaign office in downtown Detroit, specifically to try and court black votes.于是共和党人迈克·罗杰斯(Mike Rogers)在底特律市中心的市中心开设了一个新的竞选办公室,专门用来尝试和审判黑人选票.
26I wonder if we're anywhere near him.不知道我们是不是在他身边
27We decided to open this office because we said, listen, we're going to be in Detroit.我们决定开设这个办公室 因为我们说,听着,我们要去底特律
28This is new territory for a Republican candidate like Mike Rogers trying to win over urban voters.这是共和党候选人的新领地 像迈克・罗杰斯试图赢得城市选民。
29The race for the Senate seat here in Michigan is looking really tight.密歇根州参议院席位的竞选非常激烈
30The campaigns are fighting for every single vote.竞选活动正在争取每一票。
31So how is that working out in the barbers and the hairdressers in Detroit?在底特律的理发师和理发师那里怎么样?
32Black voters overwhelmingly backed El-Sayed's moderate opponent in the Democratic primary election to select the party's Senate candidate.黑人选民以压倒多数支持赛义德的温和对手在民主党初选中选出该党的参议院候选人.
33So does that mean they will refuse to support him because he's too left-wing?那是否意味着他们会拒绝支持他 因为他太左翼了?
34Does El-Sayed have to work quite hard to secure the black vote this time?El -Sayed这次必须努力争取黑人选票吗?
35I just think taking black people for granted is tough.我只是觉得把黑人当做理所当然是很难的。
36I think in this type of climate, it's very important.我认为在这种气候下,这是非常重要的.
37Specifically, when you look at the price of milk, the price of gas, it's tough.具体地说,当你看牛奶的价格,气的价格,是很艰难的.
38So you need to work.所以,你必须工作。
39I like the things that he's saying.我喜欢他说的话
40I like that he's representing the people.我喜欢他代表人民
41People are tired of the disrespect to Americans because he is an American.人们厌倦对美国人的不尊重,因为他是美国人.
42And I think people are just tired and they're ready to see a change.我认为人们只是累了, 他们准备看到一个变化。
43So that's the barber and two doors down there's a hairdresser.这就是理发师和下面的两扇门 有一个理发师。
44Let's see if there's anyone we can talk to in there.看看里面有没有人可以谈谈
45We are smarter than they think we are.我们比他们想象的要聪明
46So it looks to you like Republicans think that they're going to be able to pick up more black votes this time than they maybe have thought in previous elections.所以你们觉得共和党人认为 他们这次能拿到的黑人选票 比以前选举时想象的还要多
47I do.当然
48I do think that that is their ultimate goal.我认为这是他们的最终目标。
49I'm hoping and I believe it just is not working.我希望而且我相信它只是不起作用。
50Like I said, I just think we're smarter than they think we are.就像我说的 我只是觉得我们比他们想象的聪明
51Are you worried that he's a bit too left-wing to win in Michigan?你担心他在密歇根州太左翼了吗?
52At this point, what do we have to worry about?此时,我们有什么可担心的?
53Anything but what we have.除了我们所拥有的一切
54We're on our way to hell.我们正要去地狱
55So at this point, socialists, socialize, social.所以此时社会主义者,社会化,社会化.
56Don't matter to me.没关系
57Lower my cost of living.降低我的生活费。
58Well, we needed a lunch break to digest some of that and work out what it means for this election.我们需要一个午餐休息时间 来消化其中的一些, 并找出它意味着什么 对于这次选举。
59A big part of the reason why Abdul El Saeed was able to become the Democratic candidate here,阿卜杜勒·赛义德成为民主党候选人的原因之一
60even though the party establishment really didn't want him to be,即使党内机构真的不希望他这样
61was the enthusiasm from younger voters, from students who really love the progressive policies that he's advocating,年轻选民的热情, 学生的热情 他们真正喜欢 他倡导的进步政策,
62but it's at the same time a bit too left-wing for some of the more moderate parts of Michigan但与此同时,对于密歇根州的一些温和地区来说,它有点太左翼了
63and that's going to be a problem that could repeat itself all over the country for these more progressive candidates.这将是一个问题, 它可能重复 在全国各地为这些更进步的候选人。
64Like Troy Jackson, the left-winger in Maine who is trying to oust the sitting Republican senator.像特洛伊·杰克逊,缅因州的左翼选手,他正试图赶走现任共和党参议员.
65In Minnesota, progressive Democrat Peggy Flanagan is leading in a state that hasn't elected a Republican for 24 years,在明尼苏达州,进步的民主党人佩吉·弗拉纳根(Peggy Flanagan)在24年没有选举共和党人的情况下领先,
66while Angie Nixon, self-proclaimed socialist, is doing rather better than expected in Florida.而自封为社会主义者的安吉·尼克松(Angie Nixon)在佛罗里达州的表现比预期的要好.
67Back in Michigan, Barack Obama flew in to sprinkle some stardust on this campaign,回到密歇根,巴拉克·奥巴马飞来 喷出一些星尘在这个竞选,
68lending his moderate establishment support to this left-wing candidate.支持这位左翼候选人
69Let's get on to the path of making this country better.让我们走上使这个国家变得更好的道路.
70I love you Detroit.我爱你底特律。
71God bless you.上帝保佑你们。
72God bless the United States of America.上帝保佑美利坚合众国。
73He does not come out and do this very often, Barack Obama, only when it's absolutely necessary.他不会经常出来做这件事,巴拉克·奥巴马, 只有在绝对必要的时候。
74So with him here, that shows you Democrats must really be worried about Michigan.所以,在这里, 显示你民主党人 一定很担心密歇根州。
75Win or lose, this is a test case of where progressives can succeed.无论输赢,这是进步者能够成功的一个考验。
76I'm just having a look at some of the latest opinion polls,我只是看看最新的民意调查
77and it seems as though here in Michigan, Abdul El Saeed and Mike Rogers are in pretty much a dead heat.好像在密歇根州 阿卜杜勒·赛义德和迈克·罗杰斯都快发热了
78But look across the country, and in some other much more traditionally Republican states,但看看全国, 在一些其他 更传统的共和党州,
79like say, Texas or Kansas, there are Democrats who seem to be pulling ahead,比如说,德克萨斯州或堪萨斯州, 有一些民主党人似乎在领先,
80even though these are places that haven't elected a Democrat in decades.尽管这些地方几十年都没有选出民主党人。
81There is a deep hunger in this state and in this country for a different kind of politics.这个州和这个国家都存在着对不同种类政治的极度饥饿.
82In Texas, of all unlikely places, Democrat James Talarico might be on course to victory.在德克萨斯州,所有不可能的地方,民主党人詹姆斯·塔拉里科可能走上了胜利的道路.
83Mary Peltola seems to be doing well in Alaska.玛丽·佩尔托拉似乎在阿拉斯加表现良好.
84Now another largely Republican state that could be about to flip.现在又一个基本上属于共和党的州 可能要翻身了
85This is such a classic Midwest landscape as we're driving through Iowa here.这是典型的中西部风景,因为我们正开车经过爱荷华州。
86I think if you were to look up the state of Iowa in an illustrated dictionary, this is what you would get.我想如果你在一本插图字典中 查看一下爱荷华州的情况 你会得到这个
87Just miles and miles of corn fields and this bright blue sky above it.只有好几英里长的玉米田 和上面的蓝色天空
88It's just perfect Americana.这是完美的美国。
89It is the corn that has put Iowa into play in this election.正是这种玉米让爱荷华州在这次选举中发挥作用。
90High diesel prices and trade tariffs have hit the agricultural sector particularly hard.高昂的柴油价格和贸易关税尤其沉重地打击了农业部门。
91Voter dissatisfaction at some of President Trump's actions is one of the reasons why选民对特朗普总统的一些行动不满是原因之一。
92a normally largely Republican state like Iowa is now considered to be a toss-up and a key battleground.像爱荷华州这样的共和党州 通常被认为是一个大战和关键战场
93In Iowa City, it's game day at Kinnick Stadium where the Hawkeyes are taking on Ohio State在爱荷华州,今天是金尼克体育场的比赛日 鹰眼队正攻打俄亥俄州立大学
94and Donald Trump is even less popular than the rival American football team.而唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)甚至不如对手美国足球队那么受欢迎.
95Oh, he's got us in the war.哦,他让我们在战争中。
96He's got prices, groceries high, sky high, gas sky high.他有物价,杂货高,天高,气天高.
97I think it definitely puts voters off.我觉得这绝对会推迟投票
98There's no doubt about that.无疑.
99And I do think it probably raises the Democratic side to a level that isn't always there just because it's Donald Trump.我确实认为这可能会把民主党方面提升到 并非总能达到的水平 只因为它是唐纳德·特朗普
100President Trump's campaigning hard.川普总统竞选努力.
101Would that make people more likely to vote Republican, do you think, or less?你觉得那会使人们更可能投票给共和党吗?
102With the current climate, I would think possibly less, believe it or not.在目前的气候下,我可能认为更少,信不信由你。
103As a Republican myself, I would think it might be detrimental.作为一名共和党人,我认为这可能会是有害的。
104Into this revelry rolls the Democratic candidate, gold medal winning Paralympian Josh Turek, who might soon be on his way to the U.S. Senate.这场盛典让民主党候选人大获全胜,
105If you win here, that would be quite something.如果你在这里赢了,那会很了不起的。
106What would you put it down to?你会把它放下吗?
107I think that Iowans are uniquely struggling and hurting and so I think they're ready for change.我认为爱荷华人有独特的挣扎和伤害 所以我认为他们已经做好了改变的准备
108I mean, the tariffs of her Iowa more than any other state, the war in Iran, gas prices, diesel prices.我的意思是,她的爱荷华州的关税比任何其他国家都要高 伊朗的战争,天然气价格,柴油价格。
109Here's the thing, lots of voters I've spoken to here today say they are deeply worried about that.今天我和很多选民说 他们对此深感忧虑。
110But it's not going to change how they cast their votes.但这不会改变他们投票的方式.
111They're still going to vote for Republican candidates in November.他们仍准备在11月投票选举共和党候选人.
112I hope that we do stay the Republican state that we've always been.我希望我们保持共和党的状态
113I'm a straight Republican ticket party voter.我是共和党的选民
114Do you know how you'll be voting?你知道你要怎么投票吗?
115I do.当然
116Republican ticket.共和党票.
117Sarah, are you ready for another hour drive?Sarah 你准备好再开车吗?
118We are off to Davenport, Iowa this time.这次我们要去爱荷华州达文波特
119I was last here just over two years ago when the McKinnons here told me they were pretty keen on Donald Trump.两年前,麦金农夫妇告诉我 他们非常热衷于唐纳德·特朗普
120They liked his policies, not so much all the noise and controversy he generates, but they were voting for him.他们喜欢他的政策,不是他制造的所有噪音和争议,而是投他一票.
121I'm back now to see what they make of Donald Trump these days and how that might affect how they'll vote in the midterms.我回来看看他们如何看待唐纳德·特朗普 这可能会如何影响他们在中期投票
122Hi, good to see you.嗨,很高兴见到你。
123We just like our backyard in Iowa with the cornfield.我们只是喜欢我们的后院 在爱荷华州与玉米田。
124We like to stay out of people's business.我们喜欢远离别人的生意。
125We like to mind our own business.我们喜欢管自己的事
126And so this world stage intervention time after time after time, we don't love it.所以这个世界的干预 时隔时隔, 我们不喜欢它。
127We just don't love it.我们只是不喜欢它。
128We didn't expect necessarily him to be perfect choir boy, obviously.我们不认为他一定是完美的唱诗班男孩
129We didn't vote for him on those levels.我们没有投票支持他 在这些级别。
130We voted, again, for the underbelly of what he was standing for.我们再次投票支持他所主张的。
131They are disappointed to a degree, but Democrats cannot rely on support from people like the McKinnons,他们在某种程度上感到失望 但民主党人不能依赖麦金农人的支持
132whose frustrations with the president are not sufficient to make them change their vote.他们对总统的不满不足以让他们改变他们的投票。
133A dollar more a gallon of gas is not going to change what we believe in.再加一加仑的汽油 也不会改变我们所相信的
134So for me to describe the Democrat, I would just say some of the policies just don't line up fully所以,我想说,民主党,我只想说一些政策 只是不完全排队
135with what we would like to see going forward for our country, for our kids, for our grandkids.为了我们的国家,为了我们的孩子,为了我们的孙子,我们希望看到什么。
136So we do lean Republican for that way.因此,我们确实倾向于共和党的方式。
137That was so interesting.这太有趣了。
138Tim and Michelle, who really don't like the war in Iran,蒂姆和米歇尔,谁真的不喜欢伊朗的战争,
139they certainly don't like what it's done to prices.他们肯定不喜欢对价格所做的
140They don't like a lot of the things Donald Trump does and says,他们不太喜欢唐纳德·特朗普所做的事
141but they are not even considering voting for Democrats because that's not who they are但他们甚至没有考虑投票给民主党 因为这不是他们是谁
142and they don't think that this is about Donald Trump.他们不认为这是关于唐纳德·特朗普。
143That is the big question for lots of voters in Iowa and across America.这是艾奥瓦州和全美许多选民的大问题。
144Is this election about protesting against Trump policies or sticking with your traditional loyalties?这次选举是为了抗议特朗普政策还是坚持你传统的忠诚?
145In this highly polarized nation, people who side with one party actually rarely change their allegiances.在这个高度两极分化的民族中,与一党站在一起的人实际上很少改变他们的效忠.
146But if they're feeling disenchanted, they might choose not to vote, to just stay home.但是如果他们觉得不感兴趣, 他们可能选择不投票, 只是呆在家里。
147So this election could come down to whoever it is who can best enthuse their side所以这次选举可以归谁管 谁最能说服谁
148to get off the sofa and into a polling station.离开沙发,进入投票站
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