《经济学人》西方拼命唱衰AI，亚非拉却集体说好？经济学人最新

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P1 · 《经济学人》西方拼命唱衰AI，亚非拉却集体说好？经济学人最新民调揭开惊人反差[B2] p01 原声 (P1)

《经济学人》西方拼命唱衰AI，亚非拉却集体说好？经济学人最新民调揭开惊人反差[B2] p01 原声 (P1)

发布于 2026-10-31 · 时长 11:48

字幕摘录

时间	英文	中文
0:06	What backlash?	什么反弹?
0:08	The surprising popularity of AI.	令人惊讶的是AI的流行。
0:12	Unlike rich Westerners, many around the	不像富有的西方人, 许多人在附近
0:15	world feel hopeful about the technology.	世界对技术充满希望。
0:19	As a boy growing up in the aftermath of the Korean War, Bay Odo would venture out into	作为朝鲜战争结束后长大的男孩小户湾会冒险加入
0:25	the forest to gather firewood to heat his family's home.	森林收集柴火热他的家人的家。
0:29	The manual era is completely	手动时代是完全的
0:31	ingrained in me, says the 70-year-old violin salesman sitting under a tree in a park in	我内心深处 70岁的小提琴推销员坐在公园的树下
0:37	Seoul's Jongno district.	首尔钟野区.
0:39	He recalls having to use a foot-operated treadle pump to get	他回忆说,必须使用脚踏泵才能得到

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序号	英文	中文
1	What backlash?	什么反弹?
2	The surprising popularity of AI.	令人惊讶的是AI的流行。
3	Unlike rich Westerners, many around the	不像富有的西方人, 许多人在附近
4	world feel hopeful about the technology.	世界对技术充满希望。
5	As a boy growing up in the aftermath of the Korean War, Bay Odo would venture out into	作为朝鲜战争结束后长大的男孩小户湾会冒险加入
6	the forest to gather firewood to heat his family's home.	森林收集柴火热他的家人的家。
7	The manual era is completely	手动时代是完全的
8	ingrained in me, says the 70-year-old violin salesman sitting under a tree in a park in	我内心深处 70岁的小提琴推销员坐在公园的树下
9	Seoul's Jongno district.	首尔钟野区.
10	He recalls having to use a foot-operated treadle pump to get	他回忆说,必须使用脚踏泵才能得到
11	water as well as his delight when the first tractors rolled into the South Korean countryside.	当第一批拖拉机驶入韩国农村时他的喜悦也随之而来
12	In recent decades he has seen things developed so conveniently with the internet and smartphones.	近几十年来,他看到互联网和智能手机的发展非常方便。
13	And what about artificial intelligence?	人工智能怎么办?
14	It's nothing for humans to worry about.	无为众生所烦恼.
15	This kind of	这样
16	thing is good, he says.	他说一切都很好
17	They should keep developing the technology.	它们应该继续发展技术。
18	Humanity has advanced so much up	人类进步了这么多
19	to our generation there's no telling how the world will change.	对我们这一代人来说,世界将如何改变,是无法言喻的。
20	Read the headlines in Western media	阅读西方媒体的头条新闻
21	and it may seem as though a backlash to AI is spreading fast everywhere, but so far it is not.	似乎对AI的反弹迅速蔓延到各地,
22	Mr. Bay's sunny disposition about AI is shared by almost two-thirds of South Koreans, according	Bay先生对AI的阳光感动几乎有三分之二的韩国人认同
23	to a survey that Globescan, a polling firm, conducted for The Economist.	环球网一家民调公司为《经济学家》所做的调查
24	Outside rich countries	富国以外
25	this good feeling is even more strongly shared.	这种良好的感觉更加强烈地得到认同。
26	Nearly nine in ten people in Nigeria and Vietnam,	尼日利亚和越南近十人中有九人
27	for example, said that AI will improve not only their own lives but the lot of humanity.	例如,大赦国际说,不仅会改善他们自己的生活,而且会改善人类的命运。
28	The polling across 34 countries was carried out online which could tilt attitudes in favour of AI,	在34个国家进行了在线投票,从而可以改变有利于大赦国际的态度。
29	yet in the same survey sentiment in rich Western countries was much gloomier.	然而,在富饶的西方国家中,同样的调查情绪却更加悲观。
30	In America, Canada	在美国,加拿大
31	and France more people felt negatively than positively about AI's future impact on humanity.	与法国相比,更多的人对大赦国际未来对人类的影响感到消极。
32	In other Western countries sentiment was net positive but far less so than in the poor world.	在其他西方国家,这种情绪是净积极的,但远低于贫穷世界。
33	Another recent survey of 37 countries carried out by Gallup with Microsoft returns similar	盖洛普最近对37个国家进行的另一项调查,其微软回报类似。
34	results.	结果。
35	AI is broadly popular but less so in rich Western countries.	AI在富裕的西方国家受到广泛欢迎,但较少。
36	Why the gap between the West	为什么西方之间的鸿沟
37	and the rest?	还有其他的呢?
38	Some of the optimism may cool as more people in poor countries come into	随着贫穷国家更多的人加入,一些乐观情绪可能会凉爽。
39	direct contact with AI or data centres and see the technology helping or hurting some more than	直接与AI或数据中心接触,并看到技术帮助或伤害了更多的人。
40	others.	别人。
41	Around 9% of working age Kenyans used AI in the second quarter of 2026, according to a	2026年第二季度,约有9%的劳动适龄肯尼亚人使用人工智能。
42	study by Microsoft, yet 85% told Globescan that it would change their lives for the better.	由微软研究,然而85%的人告诉环球网(Globescan),这将改变他们的生活,让生活变得更好.
43	But plenty of people, poor and rich alike, are already at least vaguely conscious of AI's pitfalls.	但许多人,无论是穷人还是富人,已经至少模糊地意识到了AI的陷阱.
44	In a survey by Pew Research Centre South Koreans were most likely, along with Australians,	在皮尤研究中心的一项调查中,南朝鲜人和澳大利亚人最有可能一起,
45	to say they expect AI to generate massive job losses and worsen inequality.	说他们期望AI造成大量失业,加剧不平等。
46	For now though such	现在虽然如此
47	fears appear to be outweighed by intrigue about the technology's promise.	对技术承诺的好奇心似乎压倒了恐惧。
48	Part of the explanation	部分解释
49	is that many workers outside the rich countries have less to lose from AI than do their counterparts	富裕国家以外的许多工人从人工智能中失去的比他们的工人少。
50	in the West.	于西方中.
51	In much of the poor world work is often informal and, compared with jobs in the West,	在大多数贫穷的世界中,工作往往是非正式的,与西方的工作相比,
52	precarious.	不稳定。
53	The notion of losing a secure office job to technology is more of a rich world problem,	失去安全的办公室工作技术的概念更是一个丰富的世界问题,
54	though in India, say, information technology and other back office workers look vulnerable	在印度,信息技术和其他后台工作人员看起来很脆弱
55	to disruption.	以干扰。
56	Poor world has much to gain from AI too.	贫穷世界也从大赦国际获得很多好处。
57	In countries where institutions and formal	在有机构和正式机构的国家
58	education can be lacking, AI helps some people help themselves.	可能缺乏教育,大赦国际帮助一些人自助。
59	Pessimism is a privilege for	悲观主义是一种特权
60	those who can afford to despair, argues Payal Aurora, author of From Pessimism to Promise,	那些能承受绝望的人, 认为Payal Aurora "从悲观到承诺"的作者,
61	a book about diverging attitudes to technology.	一本关于对技术的不同态度的书。
62	In India, users have gained cheap or free access	在印度,用户获得了廉价或免费的上网服务
63	如谷歌的双子座或OpenAI的Chat GPT等应用.
64	Nearly one in five working-age Indians	近五分之一的工龄印第安人
65	used generative AI in the second quarter of 2026, compared with a third of Americans,	2026年第二季度使用基因AI, 相比三分之一的美国人,
66	according to a recent Microsoft study.	根据最近微软的一项研究。
67	DeepSeek, a free Chinese alternative, is popular in Africa,	DeepSeek是自由的中国替代品,在非洲很受欢迎,
68	where Microsoft estimates that in many countries about one in ten working-age people used generative	其中微软公司估计,在许多国家,大约十分之一的劳动适龄人使用基因
69	AI in the second quarter.	第二季度的AI.
70	An arrow street in a busy suburb of Mumbai illustrates the benefits.	孟买一个繁忙的郊区的箭头街说明了这些好处。
71	Many shops on it use Chat GPT to generate advertisements.	上面的许多商店使用Chat GPT来制作广告.
72	Dinesh Chandra, an optician,	迪尼什·钱德拉光学家
73	asked the Chatbot to produce a gravity-defying photo for his brand.	要求Chatbot为他的品牌制作一张重力阻断照片.
74	It duly created an image,	它造就了一个形象,
75	now printed on brochures, of glasses floating above clouds while riding a feather.	现在印在小册子上, 眼镜浮在云上,骑着羽毛。
76	Next door,	隔壁的门,
77	Omka Sapere, 卖干果、马萨拉和泡菜,
78	在Instagram和WhatsApp上, 已经注意到他的销售回收。
79	Ash Lesher,在干燥时工作过
80	cleaner on the same street, says, We work hard and AI is extra support for us.	同一条街上的清洁工说我们努力工作 AI是对我们的额外支持
81	Everyone is on	每个人都上场了
82	腾讯网. Instagram.
83	All of them love the convenience of using AI.	他们都喜欢使用AI的方便.
84	None worry about safety, privacy,	不要担心安全,隐私,
85	or data leaks, much less AI slop.	或者数据泄露更别提人工智能了
86	The shaming of AI content seems less common outside America and	对AI内容的羞辱在美国以外似乎不太常见,
87	Europe.	欧洲。
88	Westerners have historically monopolised knowledge and ideational production, but AI	西方人历来垄断知识和思想制作,但AI
89	Johns Hopkins大学的Yuen Yuen Ong表示,
90	Is it a crisis only for those	难道只有他们才有危机吗?
91	who lose from disruption?	谁因为中断而输?
92	As Mr Bay illustrates, even in some rich and middle-income countries	正如贝先生所说明的,即使在一些富国和中等收入国家,
93	where there seems more to lose from disruption, AI is surprisingly popular.	在干扰导致更多损失的地方,AI令人惊讶地受到欢迎.
94	Singaporeans are among	新加坡人中
95	the world's top AI users, says Microsoft.	世界顶尖的AI用户,微软说.
96	Nearly two-thirds told Globespan they thought the	近三分之二告诉环球网他们以为
97	technology would have a positive effect on their lives.	技术将对他们的生活产生积极影响。
98	In Malaysia, which has experienced a big	在马来西亚,它经历了一个巨大的
99	data centre boom, minor protests against the sites have not yet turned into a wider backlash.	数据中心热潮,对网站的轻微抗议尚未变成更广泛的反弹。
100	Some countries where AI optimism runs high share common factors that seem to cut across	AI持高度乐观态度的一些国家有着共同的因素,似乎相互交织。
101	socio-economic lines.	社会经济路线。
102	One is a looming shortage of workers.	一是工人日益短缺。
103	Parts of the world that have long had	世界上长期存在
104	low fertility rates like East Asia are ageing rapidly.	像东亚这样的低生育率正在迅速老龄化。
105	Many hope that AI and AI-powered robots	许多人希望AI和AI驱动的机器人
106	can fill in for workers who do not exist, helping countries to care for greying populations.	可以为不存在的工人服务,帮助各国照顾灰质人口。
107	Another feature of some AI-optimist countries is a living memory of technology	一些AI-乐观主义国家的另一个特点是对技术的活记忆.
108	radically transforming societies in the span of a lifetime.	在一生中彻底改变社会。
109	Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan	新加坡、韩国和台湾
110	went from poor to rich, partly by rapidly adopting new technologies that originated abroad.	从贫穷走向富裕,部分原因是迅速采用源自国外的新技术。
111	In China and India, technological leaps, including through digital payments and delivery apps,	在中国和印度,技术飞跃,包括通过数字支付和交付应用,
112	have brought extraordinary convenience and autonomy.	带来了非凡的便利和自主。
113	At our age, we've lived through	在我们这个年纪我们活了下来
114	countless changes, says Ms Meng, who works in advertising in Beijing and who at 40	无数的改变,孟小姐说,她在北京做广告,40岁
115	feels ancient.	感觉很古老
116	Things haven't even settled in China before another huge shift comes	事情还没有在中国解决之前,另一个巨大的转变来临
117	two or three years later.	两三年后
118	In India, smartphones have offered hundreds of millions of people	在印度,智能手机提供了数亿人
119	a god in their hand over the course of just a few years, says Ms Arora.	阿罗拉女士说,在他们手中的神在短短几年的时间里
120	In western countries,	在西方国家,
121	by contrast, pessimism towards AI may reflect people's perception that their lives are not	相比之下,对AI的悲观主义可能反映了人们的看法,即他们的生活不是
122	getting much better, that AI could make their lives worse, and that politicians cannot be	越来越好, AI会让他们的生活更糟, 政客不能
123	relied upon to protect their interests.	依靠保护他们的利益。
124	Daniel Dobrygowski, author of the book	丹尼尔·多布里戈夫斯基,该书的作者
125	Technology Governance, argues that this attitude is coloured by people's experience of social media	科技治理(Technology Government)认为,这种态度被人们的社交媒体经验所染指.
126	and big tech, which western governments have struggled to rein in.	和大科技, 西方政府一直在努力控制。
127	The ways in which politicians	政治家们的方式
128	and firms talk about AI may also make a difference.	公司谈论大赦国际也可能有所改变。
129	Bosses of American labs warn of job losses and	美国实验室的老板警告他们失业
130	human extinction as they race towards artificial general intelligence.	人类走向人工智能的灭绝
131	Asian politicians and tech	亚洲政治家和技术
132	bosses rarely talk like that, perhaps in part because they are not developing frontier capabilities	老板很少这样说话,也许部分原因是因为他们没有发展边境能力
133	of their own.	他们自己的。
134	Instead, they tend to focus on the practical uses of AI, what they will do with the	相反,它们倾向于侧重于AI的实际用途,以及它们将如何对待它。
135	technology rather than what it will do to them.	技术,而不是它会对他们做什么。
136	You're unlikely to hear the boss of Samsung	你不可能听到三星老板的话
137	talking publicly about AI doom.	公开谈论AI末日。
138	In China, where big advances in AI are being made,	在中国,AI正在取得巨大进步,
139	officials do worry about risks, from cyber security threats to economic dislocation,	官员们的确担心网络安全威胁以及经济混乱的风险
140	but the general tenor of state media is boosterish.	但国家媒体的主旨是振奋人心
141	It would be wrong to conclude, though,	不过,得出这样的结论是错误的,
142	that people in more AI-positive countries have no worries at all.	在AI积极性较高的国家,人们毫不担心。
143	Some are more resigned to the	一些人辞职了
144	impact might be different from every previous shift, but the earth has its own rhythms,	撞击可能与之前的每一次转变不同, 但地球有自己的节奏,
145	says Miss Meng in Beijing.	说孟小姐在北京。
146	When it's not meant for you to survive, you won't.	当以无量寿佛为意.
147	You can't live	你不能活着
148	every day worrying, right?	每天都在担心,对吧?
149	Cho Kyu-jin of Seoul National University reckons that South Koreans	首尔国立大学的Cho Kyu-jin认为韩国人
150	are embracing AI despite their concerns because of the fear of being left behind is higher than	尽管他们担心被抛弃,但是他们仍然接受大赦国际,因为害怕被抛弃比他们更加恐惧。
151	of losing stability.	失去稳定。
152	40岁的劳工律师Kim Ah-ran说:
153	When changes came in the Industrial Revolution, there were positive and negative effects.	工业革命发生变革时,产生了积极和消极的影响.
154	We'll find a way to live.	We么则会寻生路.
155	Her young son, standing next to her at the Galaxy Robot Park	她小儿子站在银河机器人公园旁边
156	outside Seoul, is mimicking a humanoid that is practicing Muay Thai moves while clutching	在首尔外边模仿着一个人造人一边操控着泰语动作
157	workbook that explains how to use AI to code such robots.	说明如何用AI来编码这些机器人的工作手册.
158	Such pragmatic acceptance suggests	这种务实的接受意味着
159	that positive attitudes like Mr. Bae's could yet be fragile.	像裴先生这样积极的态度可能还很脆弱
160	Kim Jong-nam of KACE, a tech-focused	KACE的金正南,一个以技术为重点的
161	university, serves on South Korea's Presidential Council on National Artificial Intelligence	在韩国总统国家人工智能委员会任职
162	Strategy.	战略。
163	He thinks that South Korea's tolerance is conditional on competently built policy.	他认为,韩国的宽容是以有能力建立的政策为条件的.
164	If AI starts to produce visible losers, such as an exam fairness or jobs, he worries that leeway	如果AI开始产生明显的失败者,比如考试的公平性或工作,他担心有余地
165	could vanish.	可能会消失
166	The same could hold true elsewhere.	其他地方的情况也是如此。
167	How are you going to invent an AI that can drive	你怎么发明一个能开车的人工智能
168	a motorbike?	摩托车?
169	asks Anderson Santos, a delivery driver in Sao Paulo, Brazil, who is later dismayed	问安德森·桑托斯巴西圣保罗的送货司机他后来很沮丧
170	at a mention of driverless cars.	在提到无驾驶的汽车。
171	There are some nascent signs of data center backlash	有一些新生的数据中心反弹迹象
172	in other parts of the world, too, if nothing like the outright rebellion seen in many parts	在世界上其他地方, 也一样, 如果没有什么像彻底的叛乱在许多地方
173	of America.	美国
174	In the Philippines, people are marching against Pax Silica, an American-led	在菲律宾,人们正在游行反对美国领导的和平党
175	initiative to develop AI and semiconductor supply chains.	倡议发展AI和半导体供应链。
176	In Tarnay, a city near Mumbai,	塔奈,孟买附近的城市,
177	hundreds are protested against an Amazon hyperscale data center that is planned for their	数以百计的人抗议亚马逊超规模的数据中心,
178	neighborhood.	邻里
179	Rage is not yet all-consuming, though.	愤怒还不是全部消耗
180	It is just like any other factory,	就像其他工厂一样
181	says one resident, AI is the future.	说一个居民,AI是未来。

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