《经济学人》AI正在拖垮国家 | 借助模型与智能体，公民能够
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:06 | How AI is breaking the state. | AI如何打破国家. |
| 0:10 | Equipped with models and agents, citizens could bring government | 有了模型和代理,公民可以带来政府 |
| 0:14 | to a halt. | 停下来。 |
| 0:17 | The British state is struggling. | 英国国家正在挣扎. |
| 0:19 | Railways go unbuilt and potholes unfilled. | 铁路未建成,坑洞未填. |
| 0:23 | Welfare | 福利 |
| 0:23 | bills go up and shoplifters go uncollared. | 钞票涨了 店铺的店员没领带 |
| 0:27 | Andy Burnham, the new Prime Minister, says | 新总理安迪·伯纳姆说 |
| 0:29 | he can get Whitehall moving, but then again so did the previous guy. | 他可以让怀特霍尔搬家 但前一个人也搬走了 |
| 0:33 | Yet the British state's | 然而,英国的 |
展开字幕全文（125 条）
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | How AI is breaking the state. | AI如何打破国家. |
| 2 | Equipped with models and agents, citizens could bring government | 有了模型和代理,公民可以带来政府 |
| 3 | to a halt. | 停下来。 |
| 4 | The British state is struggling. | 英国国家正在挣扎. |
| 5 | Railways go unbuilt and potholes unfilled. | 铁路未建成,坑洞未填. |
| 6 | Welfare | 福利 |
| 7 | bills go up and shoplifters go uncollared. | 钞票涨了 店铺的店员没领带 |
| 8 | Andy Burnham, the new Prime Minister, says | 新总理安迪·伯纳姆说 |
| 9 | he can get Whitehall moving, but then again so did the previous guy. | 他可以让怀特霍尔搬家 但前一个人也搬走了 |
| 10 | Yet the British state's | 然而,英国的 |
| 11 | ability to function is about to get dramatically worse, a warning to rich democracies everywhere. | 运作能力将急剧恶化,这是对各地富裕民主国家的警告。 |
| 12 | Citizens frustrated by the poor deal they get from the authorities are turning to artificial | 被当局的劣质交易所挫败的市民 变成了人为的 |
| 13 | intelligence to file objections and appeals and claim their dues. | 提出反对和上诉 并主张他们的应付款 |
| 14 | The resulting deluge | 由此引发的洪水 |
| 15 | of complaints and demands will overwhelm bureaucracies built for the age of the post | 投诉和要求将压倒为职位年龄而建立的官僚机构 |
| 16 | and the telephone. | 还有电话 |
| 17 | Too little is being done to prevent the state from drowning. | 为防止国家溺水,目前做得很少。 |
| 18 | This inundation has been dubbed agentic flooding and its tides are lapping at bureaucracies | 这种淹没被誉为 代理洪水 和它的潮汐 拍拍官僚 |
| 19 | everywhere, from tax appeals to welfare claims to parking tickets. | 从税收上诉到福利申请到停车罚单 |
| 20 | The waters are rising | 水涨了 |
| 21 | alarmingly fast in Britain. | 英国速度惊人 |
| 22 | As we report this week, while worries about AI dwell on | 我们本周报道时, |
| 23 | the threats to safety and jobs, the backlog in employment tribunals has quietly risen | 对安全和工作的威胁,就业法庭的积压案件悄悄增加 |
| 24 | by 55% in a year, in large part due to AI-fuelled claims. | 一年中增加55%,这主要是由于AI引起的索赔。 |
| 25 | Demand for emergency injunctions has | 对紧急禁令的要求 |
| 26 | surged 100-fold and the AI tide has only just begun to come in. | AI潮才刚刚开始出现。 |
| 27 | Britain has long pioneered | 英国早就开创了 |
| 28 | new political models, from the welfare state in the 1940s to the Third Way in the 1990s. | 新的政治模式,从1940年代的福利国家到1990年代的第三条道路. |
| 29 | It is also unusually vulnerable to the march of AI-armed citizens because its administrative | 它也异常容易受到AI武装公民游行的伤害,因为其行政职能是: |
| 30 | traditions favour the written submissions that AI is so good at drafting. | 传统倾向于大赦国际擅长起草的书面呈件。 |
| 31 | And so the state must now innovate once again. | 所以国家现在必须再次创新。 |
| 32 | The good news is that some in Mr Burnham's | 好消息是 伯纳姆先生的 |
| 33 | cabinet grasp the scale of the challenge. | 内阁掌握挑战的规模。 |
| 34 | Whether they can rise to it will show whether | 他们能否升入火狱,将显示: |
| 35 | Britain can once again be a model to emulate or a cautionary tale. | 英国可以再次成为效仿的模范或告诫性的故事. |
| 36 | Amid low growth and | 在低增长和 |
| 37 | ageing population and rising defence bills, the state is sputtering in many ways, leaving | 人口老化和国防法案不断上升,国家在许多方面都涌现,离开 |
| 38 | voters convinced that they are getting a raw deal. | 选民相信他们正在得到一个原始的交易。 |
| 39 | But those familiar fiscal problems are | 但那些熟悉的财政问题是 |
| 40 | at least slow-moving and can be forecasted. | 至少缓慢移动,并且可以预测. |
| 41 | Agentic flooding is different. | 代理洪水不同. |
| 42 | It strikes | 击中了 |
| 43 | fast and where you least expect. | 快速和最不期待的地方。 |
| 44 | It does not just damage the public finances, it will also | 不仅会损害公共财政,而且会 |
| 45 | clog the cogs that drive the machinery of state. | 堵住驱动国家机器的齿轮 |
| 46 | AI is superb at dealing with bureaucracy. | AI擅长处理官僚主义. |
| 47 | It can digest small print, ferret out loopholes and draft appeal letters in seconds. | 它可以消化小的印刷品,在几秒钟内消除漏洞和起草上诉信. |
| 48 | Autonomous | 自动 |
| 49 | AI agents will accelerate the trend, filing tax complaints with minimal intervention. | 人工智能人员将加快趋势,在极少干预的情况下提出税务申诉。 |
| 50 | Unlike humans faced with officialdom, AI agents will never lose their temper or the will to live. | 与面临官制的人类不同,AI特工永远不会失去自己的脾气或生活意志. |
| 51 | Officials complain about AI slop and hallucinations but as the technology improves they will face the | 官员们抱怨AI崩盘和幻觉,但随着技术的改进,他们会面对 |
| 52 | opposite problem. | 相反的问题。 |
| 53 | Demands as well crafted as of first class lawyers. | 要求和头等律师一样精细 |
| 54 | At first sight this looks | 初见此相. |
| 55 | like a cracking result for fed up citizens. | 就像对厌倦的公民的破碎结果 |
| 56 | No one likes parking tickets. | 没有人喜欢停车罚单。 |
| 57 | The poor could exercise | 穷人可以锻炼 |
| 58 | their lawful rights as successfully as the sharp-elbowed middle classes do today. | 他们的合法权利 和今天那些被打倒的中产阶级一样成功 |
| 59 | Yet it | 不过 |
| 60 | threatens to become a tragedy of the commons. | 有可能成为普通百姓的悲剧。 |
| 61 | If the state is overwhelmed and cannot function, | 如果国家不堪重负 无法运作 |
| 62 | everyone loses. | 每个人都输了。 |
| 63 | When 20th century governments created broad rights they have the noble ideal | 当20世纪政府创造广泛的权利时, 他们有崇高的理想 |
| 64 | of making citizenship meaningful. | 使公民身份有意义。 |
| 65 | The public would be heard in consultations, get information | 在磋商中听取公众的意见,获得信息 |
| 66 | under transparency laws and win redress for maladministration from a panoply of ombudsman | 根据透明度法律,并争取从全权监察员处纠正管理不善问题 |
| 67 | tribunals, commissioners and judges. | 法庭、专员和法官。 |
| 68 | But these analogue systems assumed that few people would | 但是这些模拟系统 假设很少有人会 |
| 69 | have the time or temperament to pursue their rights to the bitter end and that of those who did, few | 有时间或脾气 追求他们的权利 到痛苦的尽头 以及那些这样做的人 |
| 70 | would have the power to pay for a lawyer. | 有权支付律师费 |
| 71 | AI is changing that, in effect making professional | 大赦国际正在改变这一点,实际上使职业化 |
| 72 | standard petitioning quick and costless. | 标准请愿 快速和无代价。 |
| 73 | Yet as each petitioner pursues their own interests the | 然而,当每个申请人追求自己的利益时, |
| 74 | state will buckle. | 州会扣上安全带 |
| 75 | Britain's labour laws are becoming increasingly expansive, a problem in | 英国的劳动法越来越宽广 问题在于 |
| 76 | itself. | 它本身。 |
| 77 | But they will not be much help to aggrieved workers because plaintiffs face a four-year wait | 但是他们不会对受害的工人有什么帮助 因为原告要等四年 |
| 78 | for a tribunal hearing. | 参加法庭听证会。 |
| 79 | An onerous planning regime is meant to produce handsome towns | 繁琐的规划制度是为了创造出英俊的城镇 |
| 80 | Paralyzed by AI objections nothing will get built at all. | 由人工智能的反对分析 根本无法建立 |
| 81 | Britons under claim the benefits | 索赔中的英国人 |
| 82 | to which they are legally entitled by as much as 20 billion pounds, that's 27 billion dollars or | 他们有200亿英镑的法定权益 也就是270亿美元 |
| 83 | 0.7 percent of GDP a year. | 每年占GDP的0.7%. |
| 84 | If everyone gets their dues the public finances will wilt. | 如果每个人都得到他们的会费 公共财政会。 |
| 85 | The prospect is of a doom loop of complaints and worsening services. | 前景是,投诉循环不断,服务日益恶化。 |
| 86 | More and more people may come to believe that the only way to get a result is to pull strings or | 越来越多的人可能开始相信,得到结果的唯一方法就是拉弦,或者 |
| 87 | cheat. | 骗人 |
| 88 | Amid the inevitable anger and discontent populism will thrive. | 在不可避免的愤怒和不满中,民粹主义将蓬勃发展。 |
| 89 | So politicians need to | 所以政治家们需要 |
| 90 | grapple with agentic flooding now before the tide rises further. | 在潮水进一步涨潮前 全力应对特效洪灾 |
| 91 | One step is to stop creating | 一步就是停止创造 |
| 92 | entitlements that are ripe for AI-fuelled claims. | (c) AI型索赔的成熟权利。 |
| 93 | Britain's Employment Rights Act and Renters' | 英国《就业权利法》和《租户法》 |
| 94 | Rights Act open avenues of legal challenge for workers and tenants. | 权利 行动起来,为工人和租户提供法律质疑的渠道。 |
| 95 | Not only are they misguided | 他们不只被误导, |
| 96 | but ministers put little thought into how they would burden the courts. | 但是,部长们对如何使法院承担重任没有多少考虑。 |
| 97 | Another step is to prune | 另一步是冲浪 |
| 98 | the mass of procedural rights that have accreted over decades. | 数十年来获得的大量程序性权利。 |
| 99 | To make the state less vulnerable | 让国家更加脆弱 |
| 100 | requires tightening rules, closing loopholes and creating disincentives to AI-enabled excess. | 要求收紧规则,堵塞漏洞,对AI驱动的过量造成抑制. |
| 101 | Byzantine vague appeals systems could give way to simple, precise and limited ones. | 拜占庭模糊的上诉制度可以让位于简单、准确和有限的上诉制度。 |
| 102 | Money should be part of the solution. | 金钱应该是解决问题的一部分。 |
| 103 | Britain could charge a fee for freedom of information | 英国可以收取信息自由费 |
| 104 | requests, as other countries do. | 正如其他国家所做的那样。 |
| 105 | So could employment tribunals, which should also be | 就业法庭也应该是 |
| 106 | able to award costs against opportunistic claims. | 能够根据机会性索赔裁定费用。 |
| 107 | The most important task is to act faster and more | 最重要的任务就是加快行动速度 |
| 108 | radically on remaking the state with AI. | 彻底改变国家与AI的关系。 |
| 109 | That means not just speeding up the old cycle of | 这意味着不只是加速 旧循环 |
| 110 | applications, decisions and appeals, but replacing it altogether. | 申请、裁决和上诉,但完全取代。 |
| 111 | The recast state would be flood | 重塑的状态是洪水 |
| 112 | proof. | 证明 |
| 113 | It would also be more efficient and more responsive to citizens' needs. | 它还将更有效和更能满足公民的需要。 |
| 114 | Politicians promise | 政治家们的承诺 |
| 115 | to be radical, but their solutions are incremental. | 但他们的解决办法是渐进的。 |
| 116 | Rather than just handling locals' objections, | 不只是处理当地人的反对, |
| 117 | a new AI-driven planning system could decide for itself whether a housing development meets a | 一个新的AI驱动规划系统可以自行决定住房开发是否满足 |
| 118 | zoning code. | 区划代码. |
| 119 | Rather than processing benefit claims, it could devise personalised welfare | 与其处理福利申请,不如设计个性化福利 |
| 120 | interventions. | 干预。 |
| 121 | Freedom of information requests could give way to transparency on demand. | 信息自由请求可以让位于应要求的透明度。 |
| 122 | The state risks being swamped by agentic flooding. | 国家面临被特质洪水淹没的风险。 |
| 123 | Even if the state's rapid adoption of AI alarms | 即使国家迅速采用AI警报 |
| 124 | on some people, it is essential. | 对有些人来说,这很重要。 |
| 125 | It is essential. | 这一点至关重要。 |
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