《经济学人》放任AI野蛮生长?“不踩刹车”可能是一场政治与技
共 1 集
剧集目录
| 集 | 标题 | 时长 |
|---|---|---|
| P1 | 《经济学人》放任AI野蛮生长?“不踩刹车”可能是一场政治与技 | 6:15 |
P1 · 《经济学人》放任AI野蛮生长?“不踩刹车”可能是一场政治与技术的灾难 [B2] p01 原声 (P1)
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:19 | Who can blame MAGA for wishing it were still early 2025, when Donald Trump was fresh off | 谁可以责怪MAGA希望它仍然是2025年初, 当唐纳德·特朗普刚离开时 |
| 0:25 | an election win back in the White House and relatively popular with voters? | 一场选举在白宫赢得胜利 并且相对受到选民的欢迎? |
| 0:30 | One place where time has stood still, though, is artificial intelligence policy. | 然而,时间停滞不前的一个地方是人工智能政策。 |
| 0:36 | The technology | 技术 |
| 0:36 | has advanced ferociously and is now launching cyber attacks and solving reams of problems | 并正在发动网络攻击和解决一系列问题 |
| 0:42 | that have confounded the best human mathematicians. | 使最好的人类数学家感到困惑 |
| 0:45 | Yet the attitude to AI in the Trump administration | 但特朗普政府对于AI的态度 |
| 0:49 | is still just three words. | 仍然只有三个字。 |
| 0:51 | Let it rip. | 让它撕裂。 |
| 0:53 | Two years ago, that approach was flawed but defensible. | 两年前,这种做法是有缺陷的,但可以辩解。 |
展开字幕全文(96 条)
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Who can blame MAGA for wishing it were still early 2025, when Donald Trump was fresh off | 谁可以责怪MAGA希望它仍然是2025年初, 当唐纳德·特朗普刚离开时 |
| 2 | an election win back in the White House and relatively popular with voters? | 一场选举在白宫赢得胜利 并且相对受到选民的欢迎? |
| 3 | One place where time has stood still, though, is artificial intelligence policy. | 然而,时间停滞不前的一个地方是人工智能政策。 |
| 4 | The technology | 技术 |
| 5 | has advanced ferociously and is now launching cyber attacks and solving reams of problems | 并正在发动网络攻击和解决一系列问题 |
| 6 | that have confounded the best human mathematicians. | 使最好的人类数学家感到困惑 |
| 7 | Yet the attitude to AI in the Trump administration | 但特朗普政府对于AI的态度 |
| 8 | is still just three words. | 仍然只有三个字。 |
| 9 | Let it rip. | 让它撕裂。 |
| 10 | Two years ago, that approach was flawed but defensible. | 两年前,这种做法是有缺陷的,但可以辩解。 |
| 11 | AI risks were mostly theoretical. | AI风险大多是理论上的. |
| 12 | Strangling a promising technology with overly onerous rules | 以过于繁琐的规则扼杀有希望的技术 |
| 13 | would have been a mistake. | 会是个错误 |
| 14 | But in late 2026, let it rip is reckless. | 但在2026年末,让它撕裂是鲁莽的. |
| 15 | As a matter of politics | 作为政治问题 |
| 16 | and policy, there must be a better way. | 与政策,必须有一个更好的方法。 |
| 17 | Voters in America have long been leery | 美国的选民早就发狂了 |
| 18 | of AI. | 来文日期: 1999年7月1日 |
| 19 | Until recently, however, it did not feature much in elections. | 然而,直到最近,它并没有在选举中占据多大位置。 |
| 20 | When Mr Trump took | 当特朗普先生带走 |
| 21 | office in January 2025, a quarter of Americans rated AI as an important issue. | 2025年1月,四分之一的美国人将AI评为重要问题. |
| 22 | Now half do. | 现在一半做。 |
| 23 | The backlash against data centres which fuses techno-fears with NIMBYism has scrambled | 将科技恐惧与NIMBY主义相结合的数据中心遭到反弹, |
| 24 | mid-term races from Michigan to Texas. | 从密歇根州到德克萨斯州的中期比赛. |
| 25 | Having for years ignored researchers sounding the alarm | 研究者们多年来一直被忽略 发出警报 |
| 26 | about AI safety, voters are growing concerned that AI might cost them not just their jobs, | 关于AI的安全, 选民们越来越担心AI可能让他们付出不光是工作的代价, |
| 27 | but their lives too. | 但他们的生活也一样。 |
| 28 | Squint和对Hugging Face的网络攻击,一个群的编码平台 | |
| 29 | of hundreds of unmonitored OpenAI agents, looks like a trial run for a robot takeover. | 数百名无人监控的OpenAI特工 看起来像机器人收购的试运行 |
| 30 | 9月退出Anthropic的Boffin指控实验室及其主要对手OpenAI, | |
| 31 | of gambling with our lives, has become a minor celebrity and cable news fixture. | 赌博我们的生活, 已经成为一个小名人 和有线新闻固定。 |
| 32 | As with his other unpopular policies, like tariffs and war in Iran, Mr Trump does not seem to care. | 与他其他不受欢迎的政策一样, |
| 33 | A charitable reading is that he sees AI regulation as a Chinese ploy to hobble America. | 慈善读物认为,他把AI监管视为中国人玩弄美国的手段. |
| 34 | Insiders believe that he is worried that limits on AI could crash the soaring stock market, | 内幕人士认为,他担心对AI的限制会打破飞涨的股市, |
| 35 | which is a bet on the technology succeeding. | 这是对成功技术的赌注。 |
| 36 | Either way, his fellow Republicans, who in | 不管怎么样 他的共和党人 |
| 37 | is toxic. | 有毒的 有毒的吗? |
| 38 | Even candidates as fire-breathingly magga as Ken Paxton, running in Texas for the Senate, | 即使是在德克萨斯州竞选参议院的 火爆巨星肯·帕克斯顿 |
| 39 | are pledging to block some data centres. | 承诺封锁一些数据中心。 |
| 40 | By next year, bipartisan pressure may build | 到明年,两党的压力将逐渐形成 |
| 41 | in Congress to do something. | 在国会做一些事情。 |
| 42 | That is encouraging, for Let It Rip fails on the substance too. | 这令人鼓舞,因为 " 让它撕裂 " 在实质内容上也是失败的。 |
| 43 | Mr Trump's AI advisors argue that today's liability laws are enough. | 特朗普先生的AI顾问认为,今天的责任法已经足够了. |
| 44 | Fear of damages | 担心损害 |
| 45 | and the cost of insuring against them keep makers of aeroplanes, cars and drugs in line, they say. | 他们说,对飞机、汽车和毒品的制造者进行保险的代价很高。 |
| 46 | But courts are too languid for the age of rapidly advancing AI. | 但是,对于迅速推进AI的时代来说,法院太无礼了。 |
| 47 | Lawsuits take years to resolve in established industries, let alone a new one with no precedents | 诉讼要花很多年才能解决,更不要说没有先例的新诉讼了 |
| 48 | for judges to call on. | 给法官打电话 |
| 49 | By the time they issue a ruling, AI might have transformed the economy, | 当他们发布裁决时,AI可能已经改变了经济, |
| 50 | or caused a cataclysm. | 或造成灾难。 |
| 51 | Mr Trump's idea of tremendous self-policing is not the answer either. | 特朗普先生的自我管制 也不是答案 |
| 52 | The Let It Rip crowd forget | 让它撕裂人群忘记 |
| 53 | that world-changing new technologies always invite new rules. | 世界变化的新技术总能带来新的规则。 |
| 54 | Aeroplanes need inspections | 飞机需要检查 |
| 55 | and air traffic control. | 空中交通管制 |
| 56 | Cars require right-of-way, speed limits and seatbelts. | 车厢需要右转,限速和安全带. |
| 57 | Novel drugs must be | 小说药物一定是 |
| 58 | tested to see if they actually work and are safe. | 测试他们是否真的工作 并且安全。 |
| 59 | It is hard to say how many plane crashes, road | 很难说有多少飞机坠毁,多少路 |
| 60 | accidents or medical side-effects regulators help avert. | 事故或医疗副作用的监管者有助于避免。 |
| 61 | But hardly anyone thinks the | 但几乎没有人认为 |
| 62 | optimal amount of regulation in these areas is none at all. | 这些领域的最佳监管量根本不是一文不值。 |
| 63 | The world has, mercifully so far, | 至今为止,世界已经... |
| 64 | avoided an AI Chernobyl. | 避免AI切尔诺贝利。 |
| 65 | No lives and no real money were lost in the hugging face attack, | 没有生命 没有真正的钱 在拥抱的脸部攻击, |
| 66 | the most concerning to have come to light, but the odds of disaster are shortening. | 但灾难的几率正在缩短 |
| 67 | In a few months, open models could be as capable as Anthropix Mythos, the first to be seriously | 几个月后,开放的模型可以和Anthropix Mythos一样能力,第一个认真的 |
| 68 | adept at hacking. | 擅长黑客攻击 |
| 69 | If politicians wait for a catastrophe before writing the rules, | 如果政治家们在写规则之前 等待一场灾难 |
| 70 | the ones they draft in haste in its aftermath are likely to be poor. | 之后他们匆忙起草的草案可能很穷。 |
| 71 | Plenty of bad ideas are | 许多坏主意 |
| 72 | already out there, from data centre moratoriums to Bernie Sanders' superintelligence ban. | 从数据中心暂停到伯尼・桑德斯的超级情报禁令 |
| 73 | And bad laws may be just the start. | 而不良的法律可能只是开始。 |
| 74 | The terrorist attacks of September 11th 2001 | 2001年9月11日的恐怖主义袭击 |
| 75 | inspired a rethink of aviation safety, but also two long wars. | 激发了对航空安全的重新思考,但也引发了两次漫长的战争. |
| 76 | What might wise AI regulation look | AI的监管看起来有什么明智之处 |
| 77 | like? | 喜欢? |
| 78 | The goal cannot be to stymie technological advances altogether. | 目标不能是完全阻碍技术进步。 |
| 79 | That would indeed cause | 那确实会导致 |
| 80 | democratic America to cede the frontier to authoritarian China and forego remarkable | 民主的美国将疆界割让给专制的中国 放弃非凡的 |
| 81 | scientific and economic opportunities. | 科学与经济机会。 |
| 82 | Making AI labs lock up their cleverer models indefinitely, | 让AI实验室无限期地锁住他们更聪明的模型 |
| 83 | even if they could be contained, could create a dangerous gap between them and everyone else. | 即使它们可以被遏制,也可能在它们和其他人之间造成危险的鸿沟。 |
| 84 | Instead, America should mandate that advanced models be thoroughly tested and, if necessary, | 相反,美国应当要求彻底测试先进的模式,如有必要, |
| 85 | held back until they have safeguards to block dangerous use cases, like building bio-weapons. | 在他们有保障措施阻止危险使用的情况下,例如制造生物武器之前,应先予以搁置。 |
| 86 | Companies must be required to report safety incidents and whistleblowers who do so in their | 必须要求各公司报告安全事故和举报人。 |
| 87 | stead, granted protection. | 代替,给予保护。 |
| 88 | Independent evaluators should be embedded with major labs just as bank | 独立评估员应与银行一样,将主要实验室嵌入其中。 |
| 89 | examiners are with lenders. | 考官和贷款人在一起 |
| 90 | Some of these ideas were hinted at in the voluntary pledges that Mr | 其中一些想法是在特别报告员自愿保证中暗示的。 |
| 91 | Trump recently coaxed out of the big AI firms. | 特朗普最近从大型AI公司中脱颖而出. |
| 92 | They should be spelled out and made mandatory. | 这些原则应加以阐述并成为强制性的。 |
| 93 | By signalling that it is serious about regulating AI, America would also foster international | 美国通过表明对AI的监管是严肃的信号,也将促进国际化。 |
| 94 | cooperation, particularly with China. | 合作,特别是与中国的合作。 |
| 95 | As the models advance, so must the rules. | 随着模型的发展,规则也必须如此。 |
| 96 | Let it rip is a dead | 让它撕裂就死定了 |
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