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《经济学人》放任AI野蛮生长?“不踩刹车”可能是一场政治与技

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P1《经济学人》放任AI野蛮生长?“不踩刹车”可能是一场政治与技6:15

P1 · 《经济学人》放任AI野蛮生长?“不踩刹车”可能是一场政治与技术的灾难 [B2] p01 原声 (P1)

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时间英文中文
0:19Who can blame MAGA for wishing it were still early 2025, when Donald Trump was fresh off谁可以责怪MAGA希望它仍然是2025年初, 当唐纳德·特朗普刚离开时
0:25an election win back in the White House and relatively popular with voters?一场选举在白宫赢得胜利 并且相对受到选民的欢迎?
0:30One place where time has stood still, though, is artificial intelligence policy.然而,时间停滞不前的一个地方是人工智能政策。
0:36The technology技术
0:36has advanced ferociously and is now launching cyber attacks and solving reams of problems并正在发动网络攻击和解决一系列问题
0:42that have confounded the best human mathematicians.使最好的人类数学家感到困惑
0:45Yet the attitude to AI in the Trump administration但特朗普政府对于AI的态度
0:49is still just three words.仍然只有三个字。
0:51Let it rip.让它撕裂。
0:53Two years ago, that approach was flawed but defensible.两年前,这种做法是有缺陷的,但可以辩解。
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序号英文中文
1Who can blame MAGA for wishing it were still early 2025, when Donald Trump was fresh off谁可以责怪MAGA希望它仍然是2025年初, 当唐纳德·特朗普刚离开时
2an election win back in the White House and relatively popular with voters?一场选举在白宫赢得胜利 并且相对受到选民的欢迎?
3One place where time has stood still, though, is artificial intelligence policy.然而,时间停滞不前的一个地方是人工智能政策。
4The technology技术
5has advanced ferociously and is now launching cyber attacks and solving reams of problems并正在发动网络攻击和解决一系列问题
6that have confounded the best human mathematicians.使最好的人类数学家感到困惑
7Yet the attitude to AI in the Trump administration但特朗普政府对于AI的态度
8is still just three words.仍然只有三个字。
9Let it rip.让它撕裂。
10Two years ago, that approach was flawed but defensible.两年前,这种做法是有缺陷的,但可以辩解。
11AI risks were mostly theoretical.AI风险大多是理论上的.
12Strangling a promising technology with overly onerous rules以过于繁琐的规则扼杀有希望的技术
13would have been a mistake.会是个错误
14But in late 2026, let it rip is reckless.但在2026年末,让它撕裂是鲁莽的.
15As a matter of politics作为政治问题
16and policy, there must be a better way.与政策,必须有一个更好的方法。
17Voters in America have long been leery美国的选民早就发狂了
18of AI.来文日期: 1999年7月1日
19Until recently, however, it did not feature much in elections.然而,直到最近,它并没有在选举中占据多大位置。
20When Mr Trump took当特朗普先生带走
21office in January 2025, a quarter of Americans rated AI as an important issue.2025年1月,四分之一的美国人将AI评为重要问题.
22Now half do.现在一半做。
23The backlash against data centres which fuses techno-fears with NIMBYism has scrambled将科技恐惧与NIMBY主义相结合的数据中心遭到反弹,
24mid-term races from Michigan to Texas.从密歇根州到德克萨斯州的中期比赛.
25Having for years ignored researchers sounding the alarm研究者们多年来一直被忽略 发出警报
26about AI safety, voters are growing concerned that AI might cost them not just their jobs,关于AI的安全, 选民们越来越担心AI可能让他们付出不光是工作的代价,
27but their lives too.但他们的生活也一样。
28Squint和对Hugging Face的网络攻击,一个群的编码平台
29of hundreds of unmonitored OpenAI agents, looks like a trial run for a robot takeover.数百名无人监控的OpenAI特工 看起来像机器人收购的试运行
309月退出Anthropic的Boffin指控实验室及其主要对手OpenAI,
31of gambling with our lives, has become a minor celebrity and cable news fixture.赌博我们的生活, 已经成为一个小名人 和有线新闻固定。
32As with his other unpopular policies, like tariffs and war in Iran, Mr Trump does not seem to care.与他其他不受欢迎的政策一样,
33A charitable reading is that he sees AI regulation as a Chinese ploy to hobble America.慈善读物认为,他把AI监管视为中国人玩弄美国的手段.
34Insiders believe that he is worried that limits on AI could crash the soaring stock market,内幕人士认为,他担心对AI的限制会打破飞涨的股市,
35which is a bet on the technology succeeding.这是对成功技术的赌注。
36Either way, his fellow Republicans, who in不管怎么样 他的共和党人
37is toxic.有毒的 有毒的吗?
38Even candidates as fire-breathingly magga as Ken Paxton, running in Texas for the Senate,即使是在德克萨斯州竞选参议院的 火爆巨星肯·帕克斯顿
39are pledging to block some data centres.承诺封锁一些数据中心。
40By next year, bipartisan pressure may build到明年,两党的压力将逐渐形成
41in Congress to do something.在国会做一些事情。
42That is encouraging, for Let It Rip fails on the substance too.这令人鼓舞,因为 " 让它撕裂 " 在实质内容上也是失败的。
43Mr Trump's AI advisors argue that today's liability laws are enough.特朗普先生的AI顾问认为,今天的责任法已经足够了.
44Fear of damages担心损害
45and the cost of insuring against them keep makers of aeroplanes, cars and drugs in line, they say.他们说,对飞机、汽车和毒品的制造者进行保险的代价很高。
46But courts are too languid for the age of rapidly advancing AI.但是,对于迅速推进AI的时代来说,法院太无礼了。
47Lawsuits take years to resolve in established industries, let alone a new one with no precedents诉讼要花很多年才能解决,更不要说没有先例的新诉讼了
48for judges to call on.给法官打电话
49By the time they issue a ruling, AI might have transformed the economy,当他们发布裁决时,AI可能已经改变了经济,
50or caused a cataclysm.或造成灾难。
51Mr Trump's idea of tremendous self-policing is not the answer either.特朗普先生的自我管制 也不是答案
52The Let It Rip crowd forget让它撕裂人群忘记
53that world-changing new technologies always invite new rules.世界变化的新技术总能带来新的规则。
54Aeroplanes need inspections飞机需要检查
55and air traffic control.空中交通管制
56Cars require right-of-way, speed limits and seatbelts.车厢需要右转,限速和安全带.
57Novel drugs must be小说药物一定是
58tested to see if they actually work and are safe.测试他们是否真的工作 并且安全。
59It is hard to say how many plane crashes, road很难说有多少飞机坠毁,多少路
60accidents or medical side-effects regulators help avert.事故或医疗副作用的监管者有助于避免。
61But hardly anyone thinks the但几乎没有人认为
62optimal amount of regulation in these areas is none at all.这些领域的最佳监管量根本不是一文不值。
63The world has, mercifully so far,至今为止,世界已经...
64avoided an AI Chernobyl.避免AI切尔诺贝利。
65No lives and no real money were lost in the hugging face attack,没有生命 没有真正的钱 在拥抱的脸部攻击,
66the most concerning to have come to light, but the odds of disaster are shortening.但灾难的几率正在缩短
67In a few months, open models could be as capable as Anthropix Mythos, the first to be seriously几个月后,开放的模型可以和Anthropix Mythos一样能力,第一个认真的
68adept at hacking.擅长黑客攻击
69If politicians wait for a catastrophe before writing the rules,如果政治家们在写规则之前 等待一场灾难
70the ones they draft in haste in its aftermath are likely to be poor.之后他们匆忙起草的草案可能很穷。
71Plenty of bad ideas are许多坏主意
72already out there, from data centre moratoriums to Bernie Sanders' superintelligence ban.从数据中心暂停到伯尼・桑德斯的超级情报禁令
73And bad laws may be just the start.而不良的法律可能只是开始。
74The terrorist attacks of September 11th 20012001年9月11日的恐怖主义袭击
75inspired a rethink of aviation safety, but also two long wars.激发了对航空安全的重新思考,但也引发了两次漫长的战争.
76What might wise AI regulation lookAI的监管看起来有什么明智之处
77like?喜欢?
78The goal cannot be to stymie technological advances altogether.目标不能是完全阻碍技术进步。
79That would indeed cause那确实会导致
80democratic America to cede the frontier to authoritarian China and forego remarkable民主的美国将疆界割让给专制的中国 放弃非凡的
81scientific and economic opportunities.科学与经济机会。
82Making AI labs lock up their cleverer models indefinitely,让AI实验室无限期地锁住他们更聪明的模型
83even if they could be contained, could create a dangerous gap between them and everyone else.即使它们可以被遏制,也可能在它们和其他人之间造成危险的鸿沟。
84Instead, America should mandate that advanced models be thoroughly tested and, if necessary,相反,美国应当要求彻底测试先进的模式,如有必要,
85held back until they have safeguards to block dangerous use cases, like building bio-weapons.在他们有保障措施阻止危险使用的情况下,例如制造生物武器之前,应先予以搁置。
86Companies must be required to report safety incidents and whistleblowers who do so in their必须要求各公司报告安全事故和举报人。
87stead, granted protection.代替,给予保护。
88Independent evaluators should be embedded with major labs just as bank独立评估员应与银行一样,将主要实验室嵌入其中。
89examiners are with lenders.考官和贷款人在一起
90Some of these ideas were hinted at in the voluntary pledges that Mr其中一些想法是在特别报告员自愿保证中暗示的。
91Trump recently coaxed out of the big AI firms.特朗普最近从大型AI公司中脱颖而出.
92They should be spelled out and made mandatory.这些原则应加以阐述并成为强制性的。
93By signalling that it is serious about regulating AI, America would also foster international美国通过表明对AI的监管是严肃的信号,也将促进国际化。
94cooperation, particularly with China.合作,特别是与中国的合作。
95As the models advance, so must the rules.随着模型的发展,规则也必须如此。
96Let it rip is a dead让它撕裂就死定了
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