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7-29 美国民主党人正在倒向反对以色列吗? | BBC全球

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时间英文中文
0:00Welcome to the Global News Podcast from the BBC.欢迎收看英国广播公司的全球新闻节目
0:03Hello, I'm Oliver Conway.你好 我是奥利弗·康威
0:05And today we're joined by our correspondent, Bernd de Bozman, in Washington.今天我们的记者贝恩德·德·博兹曼在华盛顿也加入了我们。
0:09And, Bernd,还有,贝恩德,
0:09we're talking to you today because the Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, is in town因为以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡在城里
0:15at a time when relations are strained.在关系紧张的时候
0:19How would you characterize the current state of the您将如何描述当前
0:22relationship between the U.S. and Israel?美国和以色列之间的关系?
0:25Well, even though President Trump is very quick to虽然特朗普总统很快
0:28say that he's Israel's best friend that they've ever had in Washington, it's quite clear that说他是以色列最好的朋友 他们曾经有过在华盛顿, 很明显,
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序号英文中文
1Welcome to the Global News Podcast from the BBC.欢迎收看英国广播公司的全球新闻节目
2Hello, I'm Oliver Conway.你好 我是奥利弗·康威
3And today we're joined by our correspondent, Bernd de Bozman, in Washington.今天我们的记者贝恩德·德·博兹曼在华盛顿也加入了我们。
4And, Bernd,还有,贝恩德,
5we're talking to you today because the Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, is in town因为以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡在城里
6at a time when relations are strained.在关系紧张的时候
7How would you characterize the current state of the您将如何描述当前
8relationship between the U.S. and Israel?美国和以色列之间的关系?
9Well, even though President Trump is very quick to虽然特朗普总统很快
10say that he's Israel's best friend that they've ever had in Washington, it's quite clear that说他是以色列最好的朋友 他们曾经有过在华盛顿, 很明显,
11that relationship's come increasingly under strain.关系越来越紧张
12In particular, because of the conflict in Iran,特别是,由于伊朗的冲突,
13it's no longer clear that the U.S. and Israel are on the same page.美以双方的战况不再明确.
14There's been quite a lot已经有很多了
15of concern even from other Republicans about the perception that there wasn't any daylight连其他共和党人也担心 认为没有阳光
16between Trump and Netanyahu.特朗普和内塔尼亚胡之间
17Some, including in President Trump's base, have increasingly有些人,包括特朗普总统的基地,已经越来越
18been under the impression that Israel dragged the U.S. into this war, which was never very popular给人的印象是,以色列将美国拖入了这场战争,而这场战争从未受到人们的欢迎。
19with Americans.与美国人。
20So it is also politically expedient for President Trump to kind of因此,特朗普总统在政治上也是权宜之计。
21present a little distance between him and Prime Minister Netanyahu.他和内塔尼亚胡总理之间有一段距离。
22But it's quite clear things但事情很明确
23are much more, perhaps, tense now than they were when Operation Epic Fury began back in February.也许现在比2月伊皮克·弗瑞行动开始时更加紧张。
24Now, some of the strongest criticism has actually come from the Democrats.现在,一些最强烈的批评实际上是来自民主党.
25There was a recent vote最近进行了投票
26where more than a hundred of them in the House of Representatives voted to cut off aid to Israel.众议员中有100多人投票决定切断对以色列的援助。
27Now, that didn't pass, but just a few years ago, that kind of thing would have been unthinkable.现在,这并没有过去, 但仅仅几年前, 那种事情是不可思议的。
28What's going on?这是怎么回事?
29Well, this is a kind of a shift in perceptions we started to see back in 2023这是2023年我们开始看到的一种观念转变
30when the war in Gaza began.当加沙战争开始的时候
31Among many Democrats, there was a huge exasperation that President Biden许多民主党人中,有一个巨大的愤慨 拜登总统
32at the time didn't cut military aid to Israel in light of the civilian casualties that were当时没有削减对以色列的军事援助,因为当时平民的伤亡
33mounting very, very quickly in Gaza.在加沙迅速上升。
34And it's become something that's really become quite an成为了真正成为
35emotional and powerful issue for many voters, particularly many Democrats.对许多选民来说,尤其是许多民主党人来说,情感和强大的问题。
36And I think we're我认为我们
37starting to see that reflected by Democratic lawmakers on Capitol Hill, that they no longer开始看到民主立法者 在国会山的反映, 他们不再
38want to necessarily be seen as being a close ally to Israel or someone who's extending a helping想要成为以色列的亲密盟友 或伸出援手的人
39hand to Israel financially or militarily because of the war in Gaza and more recently because of由于加沙战争,以及最近由于
40the war in Iran.伊朗战争
41Many Democrats also share that view that Israel kind of helped convince President许多民主党人也同意这一观点,即以色列有助于说服总统。
42Trump to launch this war, which among Democrats is extremely unpopular.特朗普发动这场战争,在民主党人中极不受欢迎.
43And I think now we're我觉得我们现在
44starting to see lawmakers for their own political future kind of turn their backs on Israel a bit,开始看到立法者为了自己的政治未来 有点背叛以色列
45and that's something we've seen increasingly since October of 2023.这是2023年10月以后我们所看到的
46Yeah, some top Democrats, including possible presidential contenders, California Governor是的,一些顶尖的民主党人, 包括可能的总统候选人,加州州长
47Gavin Newsom 参议员Cory Booker 说他们会拒绝支持以色列的游说
48AIPAC集团.
49Now, for those who don't know, just tell us what AIPAC is and what do you make of that现在,对于那些不知道的人,只要告诉我们什么是AIPAC,你认为什么
50taken by those Democrats?被那些民主党人带走?
51Well, AIPAC is essentially a lobbying organization that works to promote ties between the US and好吧,AIPAC本质上是一个游说组织,致力于促进美国和俄罗斯之间的联系。
52Israel, and it's something that's been enormously influential in the past.以色列,它是一个在过去有巨大影响力的东西。
53They throw quite a lot他们扔了很多
54of money around in elections for candidates that they see as being pro-Israel or someone who would他们认为是支持以色列的候选人 或愿意支持以色列的人
55help make Israel's case on Capitol Hill and to the White House.帮助以色列向国会山和白宫立案
56And that's something that's kind of这是一种
57been a fact of US politics for many, many decades.几十年来一直是美国政治的一个事实
58That started coming under much more scrutiny after这开始受到更多的审查
59the war in Gaza began as well, and some Democratic circles, particularly in the kind of far left of加沙战争也开始了,一些民主圈子,特别是极左的
60the party, it became kind of something of a black mark to be seen as taking money from an organization党,它变成了一种 黑色的标志 被视为从一个组织拿钱
61that is promoting Israeli interest in the United States.这正在促进以色列在美国的利益。
62I think now, as I mentioned, it's become我想,现在,正如我所提到的, 它变成了
63something that to many voters, particularly young voters, they don't like necessarily to see their对于许多选民,特别是年轻选民来说, 他们不一定喜欢看到自己的
64candidate having any sort of campaign contribution that they see that they would then have to do候选人有任何种类的竞选贡献 他们认为他们 将不得不这样做
65something for with regards to Israel.对于以色列。
66Of course, AIPAC has pushed back strongly on all these当然,AIPAC在所有这些方面都大力推后了
67suggestions that it's somehow an extension of Israel's government, but that idea has been out说这是以色列政府的延伸 但这个想法已经不存在了
68there.这里
69And I think especially once images of the war in Gaza started coming out, it's something that我认为,尤其是一旦加沙战争的画面出现,
70voters began to scrutinize a little more.选民们开始仔细检查一下
71And many lawmakers are keenly aware of that and don't许多立法者都非常清楚这一点,不要
72necessarily want that perception around them, particularly going into any sort of midterm or election season.特别是进入任何中期或选举季节。
73You mentioned younger voters.你提到年轻选民。
74Is this a generational shift?这是代代相传吗?
75Because we saw a very different attitude from因为我们看到一个非常不同的态度与
76the then president, Joe Biden, after Israel was attacked back on the 7th of October.当时的总统乔·拜登 在以色列于10月7日被袭击后
77Well, polls show very clearly that there is a huge generational shift in perceptions about Israel.民意调查非常清楚地表明, 对以色列的看法有巨大的世代转变。
78Many older Americans are more likely to view Israel favorably and view U.S. contributions to许多年长的美国人更可能偏袒以色列,并看待美国对以色列的贡献。
79Israel, whether financially or militarily, as a good thing, whereas younger voters skew very以色列,无论是在财政上还是在军事上,都是一件好事,而年轻的选民则非常摇摆。
80much the other way.另一条路
81The last poll I saw in that regard, there was a 20-point difference between我所看到的上一个民意调查, 与此有20点的区别
82and older voters about whether or not they view Israel positively.以及年长的选民,他们是否积极看待以色列。
83And that's something that I think,我认为,
84especially the younger edge of voters, voters that have come of age in the last several years or perhaps特别是年轻选民的边缘,在过去几年或也许
85just before they turned 18 and could vote were presented with the images of what was happening就在他们18岁之前,他们可以投票时, 展示了正在发生的事情
86in Gaza.加沙
87Those are voters that are very strongly against Israel's government.这些选民强烈反对以色列政府。
88Now you're seeing现在你看到了
89younger candidates as well.年轻候选人也是如此。
90I think Zoran Mamdani in New York is a great example who我认为纽约的Zoran Mamdani是一个很好的例子
91represents to many people that worldview that Israel is not necessarily America's friend.对许多人来说,世界认为以色列不一定是美国的朋友。
92So I think that really does present a very long-term challenge to Israel because it's因此,我认为这确实对以色列提出了非常长期的挑战,因为它
93no longer clear that that support that has been ironclad for decades, really since Israel's不再明确,这种支持自以色列建国以来已经存在数十年了。
94inception, that won't necessarily be the case in the next few years.开始,这在接下来的几年里不一定是。
95And I think that really我觉得真的
96has changed the dynamic of the U.S.-Israeli relationship as it's seen here in Washington.改变了美以关系在华盛顿的动态
97Now there was some suggestion during the last presidential election that the Gaza issue had现在在上届总统选举中有人提出加沙问题
98an impact, at least in the state of Michigan.至少在密歇根州有影响
99Could Israel-U.S. relations affect upcoming以色列和美国的关系是否会影响即将到来
100elections, the midterm and then the next presidential election?选举、中期选举,然后是下一次总统选举?
101Well, both yes and no.嗯,是和不是。
102Polls show that when it comes to Americans headed to the ballot box to民意调查显示,当美国人走向投票箱时,
103vote, foreign policy really isn't the top thing on their minds.投票,外交政策真的不是他们心中最重要的
104They're much more concerned with他们更关心
105the economy and their daily finances.经济及其日常财政。
106I think, for example, in the upcoming midterms, one issue例如,我认为在即将到来的中期,有一个问题
107that many Americans will have number one in their minds is the issue of rising petrol prices because许多美国人的心目中头号人物 是汽油价格上涨的问题 因为
108of the war in Iran.伊朗战争
109That, of course, in the minds of many is something that's tied to Israel and当然,在许多人的心目中,这是与以色列和
110that perception that I've mentioned of Israel kind of dragging the U.S. into this war.我提到的以色列 将美国拖入这场战争
111At the在那个
112same time, there are younger voters for which this is perhaps the biggest foreign policy issue.与此同时,有些年轻选民认为这也许是最大的外交政策问题。
113And I think in combination, it really could be a factor, certainly in the upcoming midterms,我认为,结合, 它确实是一个因素, 肯定在未来的中期,
114this is all still very fresh in everyone's mind.这在每个人的脑海中都还是很新鲜的
115But U.S. ties with Israel is something that comes但美国与以色列的关系是必然的
116up in presidential debates every four years.每四年举行一次总统辩论。
117And I suspect given the events of the last few years,我怀疑过去几年的事件
118it'll very much play a prominent role in the foreign policy discussions once Americans had在美国有后,它将在外交政策讨论中发挥显著作用。
119to elect a new president, even if it's still kind of somewhat far behind the economy in terms of选出一位新总统 即使从经济角度来说 仍然有点落后
120what people are thinking about when they head to those polls.当人们去投票时,他们在想什么。
121Now, we talked about the Democrats.现在,我们谈论民主党。
122Is this also a difficult issue for some Republicans?对于一些共和党人来说,这也是一个困难的问题吗?
123Certainly we've seen some当然我们见过一些
124debates in the right-wing podosphere, as it were.在右翼的球场上展开辩论,就像现在这样。
125Indeed.没错
126And I think particularly within that core Make America Great Again MAGA base of President我特别认为,在这个核心 使美国再次伟大 MAGA基础总统
127Trump, there is much more split opinion about Israel than was the case in the past.与过去相比,
128Earlier in早些时候
129this administration just a few months ago, we saw the head of the National Counterterrorism Center,几个月前,我们见到国家反恐中心负责人
130Joe Kent, who was something of a MAGA darling.乔・肯特,他是一个MAGA亲爱的东西。
131He resigned from his position because in his view,他辞职是因为他认为
132Israel tricked the United States into joining this conflict.以色列欺骗美国加入这场冲突。
133And I think that's a perception我认为这是一种感觉
134that's now shared among some of the more conservative members of the MAGA base.这在MAGA基地的一些比较保守的成员中是共享的.
135There's also many people within that MAGA base that are against foreign aid and military aid andMAGA基地内还有很多人反对外援和军援
136money overseas and weapons overseas full stop, including to Israel.海外的钱和海外的武器完全停止,包括前往以色列。
137And Israel is the largest而以色列是最大的
138recipient of U.S. military aid.获得美国军事援助。
139So I think there is very much a split between that MAGA base and所以我觉得MAGA基地和
140Republicans such as the late Lindsey Graham, who was really an outspoken supporter of Israel and共和党人,如已故的林西·格雷厄姆, 他确实是一个直言不讳的支持者 以色列和
141someone who was seen as very close to Israel on Capitol Hill.在Capitol Hill被看成与以色列非常亲近的人
142There's a very visible split有一个非常明显的分裂
143within Republicans over Israel.共和党内部的以色列。
144Bernd 谢谢你
145Bernd de Bozman there in Washington.贝恩德·德·博兹曼在华盛顿
146If you'd like如果你愿意的话
147to hear more from the Global News Podcast, click the link below.请点击下面的链接。
148Thanks for watching.谢谢你的观看。
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