《经济学人》执政40年强人迟暮：乌干达会迎来下一个阿明吗？
![《经济学人》执政40年强人迟暮：乌干达会迎来下一个阿明吗？ [B2]](https://1zimu.com/subtitle/imgs/20260914/ocb25m7bw1hp886wdmq8roaj_1789356508200.jpg)
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:11 | Uganda has never been an easy place to be a dissident. | 乌干达从来就不易成为持不同政见者。 |
| 0:21 | Since taking power at the head of a rebel army 40 years ago, Yoweri Museveni, the president, | 总统约韦里·穆塞韦尼 40年前掌权后 |
| 0:27 | has restored order to a country drenched in blood, overseen robust economic growth and | 已经恢复了秩序,使国家血流成河,监督强劲的经济增长, |
| 0:33 | ruthlessly suppressed challenges to his rule. | 无情地镇压了对他的统治的挑战. |
| 0:36 | Of his two main opponents, one, Bobby Wine, lives in exile. | 他的两个主要对手中,一个是鲍比·酒,生活在流亡中. |
| 0:41 | The other, Kisa Basija, is in jail and on trial for treason. | 另一人Kisa Basija因叛国罪入狱和受审。 |
| 0:47 | In July he collapsed in court. | 七月崩于庭. |
| 0:49 | In January, Mr Museveni won a sham election marred by thuggery and ballot stuffing. | 1月,穆塞韦尼先生赢得了一场被暴徒和选票塞满的虚假选举。 |
| 0:56 | Yet as the president, who is 81, grows frailer, Ugandans have begun to worry less about what | 然而,随着81岁的总统越来越虚弱,乌干达人开始不担心什么。 |
| 1:02 | he will do next and more about what will happen when he is gone. | 他接下来会做更多的事情 当他走了之后会发生什么。 |
展开字幕全文（63 条）
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uganda has never been an easy place to be a dissident. | 乌干达从来就不易成为持不同政见者。 |
| 2 | Since taking power at the head of a rebel army 40 years ago, Yoweri Museveni, the president, | 总统约韦里·穆塞韦尼 40年前掌权后 |
| 3 | has restored order to a country drenched in blood, overseen robust economic growth and | 已经恢复了秩序,使国家血流成河,监督强劲的经济增长, |
| 4 | ruthlessly suppressed challenges to his rule. | 无情地镇压了对他的统治的挑战. |
| 5 | Of his two main opponents, one, Bobby Wine, lives in exile. | 他的两个主要对手中,一个是鲍比·酒,生活在流亡中. |
| 6 | The other, Kisa Basija, is in jail and on trial for treason. | 另一人Kisa Basija因叛国罪入狱和受审。 |
| 7 | In July he collapsed in court. | 七月崩于庭. |
| 8 | In January, Mr Museveni won a sham election marred by thuggery and ballot stuffing. | 1月,穆塞韦尼先生赢得了一场被暴徒和选票塞满的虚假选举。 |
| 9 | Yet as the president, who is 81, grows frailer, Ugandans have begun to worry less about what | 然而,随着81岁的总统越来越虚弱,乌干达人开始不担心什么。 |
| 10 | he will do next and more about what will happen when he is gone. | 他接下来会做更多的事情 当他走了之后会发生什么。 |
| 11 | As potential successors jockey for position, Uganda is a reminder of how nasty things can | 作为可能的继任者,乌干达提醒人们,事情是多么糟糕。 |
| 12 | get when an aging autocrat starts to lose his grip. | 当一个衰老的专制者开始失去控制时 |
| 13 | Once known for punishingly long work days, Mr Museveni has lately been spending less | 穆塞韦尼先生曾经因惩罚性地长时间工作而闻名于世,最近却少花钱 |
| 14 | time at the office. | 在办公室。 |
| 15 | He has cancelled engagements at short notice and appeared shaky in public. | 他一接到通知就取消了订婚,在公众面前显得摇摆不定。 |
| 16 | Stunts to demonstrate youthful vigour, such as a brief jog down a red carpet during last | 展示青春活力的姿势,比如在最后一次短暂的慢跑中, |
| 17 | year's election campaign, have fooled nobody. | 今年的竞选活动,没有骗过任何人。 |
| 18 | As the leader fades, those around him are stepping up. | 随着领导人的逐渐消退,周围的人正在加紧行动. |
| 19 | Salim Saleh, Mr Museveni's brother, is thought to handle much of the day-to-day governance | 萨利姆·萨利赫,穆塞韦尼先生的兄弟,被认为处理大部分日常治理 |
| 20 | from behind the scenes. | 从幕后。 |
| 21 | Other relatives have increased their influence too. | 其他亲属也增加了他们的影响力. |
| 22 | Most worrying is Muhusi Kainirugaba, the president's son and head of the army. | 最令人担忧的是穆胡西·凯尼鲁加巴,他是总统的儿子和军队的首脑. |
| 23 | He has called himself the future president and a descendant of Jesus. | 他自称是未来的总统,也是耶稣的后裔. |
| 24 | As he throws his weight around, repression in Uganda is growing more intense and less | 乌干达的镇压越来越激烈, |
| 25 | predictable. | 可预测。 |
| 26 | General Kainirugaba is notorious for his unhinged and often quickly deleted social media posts, | Kainirugaba将军因不闻不问而臭名昭著, |
| 27 | ranging from boasts about his sexual appetite to ethnic slurs and threats to kill or castrate | 从吹嘘他的性欲到种族污辱 以及威胁杀害或阉割 |
| 28 | opponents. | 对手 |
| 29 | His father used to curb his antics. | 他的父亲曾经抑制他的肛门. |
| 30 | One post in 2022, in which the general said it wouldn't take us, my army and me, two | 2022年的一个帖子 将军说不会带我们,我的军队和我,两个 |
| 31 | weeks to capture Nairobi, briefly got him sacked from his army position. | 几周后攻占内罗毕 短暂地把他从军队阵地上解雇了 |
| 32 | Mr Museveni apologised to Kenya, a friendly, bigger neighbour on whose ports Uganda relies | 穆塞韦尼先生向肯尼亚道歉,肯尼亚是一个友好、更大的邻国,乌干达依赖其港口。 |
| 33 | for the unprovoked threat to its capital. | 为了无端威胁首都 |
| 34 | As he ages though, the president seems less able to rein in his son. | 总统似乎不太能控制儿子 |
| 35 | In June, the general sent the army to occupy Uganda's biggest private media outfit. | 6月,将军派军队占领乌干达最大的私营媒体。 |
| 36 | It reopened after weeks of negotiations. | 在经过数周的谈判之后,它重新开放。 |
| 37 | He has ordered the abduction of dissidents. | 他下令绑架持不同政见者。 |
| 38 | In late August, he had his men kidnap an associate of his own brother-in-law, gloated over the | 8月下旬,他让手下绑架了 自己的姐夫的同伙, 被他赞美为 |
| 39 | man's mistreatment and threatened to arrest the brother-in-law too. | 男人的虐待,威胁要逮捕 姐夫。 |
| 40 | What will happen once Mr Museveni leaves the scene? | 穆塞韦尼先生离开现场后会怎么样? |
| 41 | Even government insiders have started talking darkly of a return to the days of Idi Amin, | 即使是政府内部人士 也开始暗中谈论 回到伊迪·阿明的时代 |
| 42 | a mass-murdering military dictator in the 1970s. | 1970年代大规模屠杀的军事独裁者. |
| 43 | That is not likely, but the future still looks bleak. | 这是不可能的,但未来仍然黯淡。 |
| 44 | The general could take over from his father and impose a capricious, vengeful and ethnically | 将军可以从他父亲那里接管 并强加一个反复无常,复仇和种族 |
| 45 | charged despotism on Uganda. | 对乌干达实行专制。 |
| 46 | He could also exacerbate the conflict in the east of the neighbouring Democratic Republic | 他还可能加剧邻国民主共和国东部的冲突。 |
| 47 | of Congo, where Uganda has meddled in the past. | 乌干达过去曾介入刚果。 |
| 48 | He has a close relationship with Congo's main enemy, Rwanda. | 他与刚果的主要敌人卢旺达关系密切. |
| 49 | Others in Mr Museveni's inner circle and in the armed forces may try to stop his errant | 穆塞韦尼先生的圈子和军队中的其他人可能试图阻止他的错人 |
| 50 | heir. | 继承人。 |
| 51 | A power struggle or even a violent split in the army might ensue. | 权力斗争甚至军队的暴力分裂可能随之而来。 |
| 52 | Some younger officers are loyal to the general, others are appalled by him. | 有的年轻军官忠于将军,有的被他震惊. |
| 53 | Veterans of the civil war are devoted to the father, but wary of the son. | 内战的老兵们忠于父亲,但敬畏儿子. |
| 54 | In theory, the passing of an autocrat could create space for free elections that Mr Wine | 理论上说,通过一个专制政体可以为Wine先生的自由选举创造空间 |
| 55 | or Mr Besidja might even win. | 否则贝西贾先生甚至会赢 |
| 56 | In reality, that is unlikely. | 实际上,这是不可能的。 |
| 57 | Mr Museveni came to power at a time of democratic resurgence, when many other African countries | 穆塞韦尼先生在民主复兴之际上台,当时许多其他非洲国家 |
| 58 | ditched military dictatorship for multi-party democracy. | 为多党民主而抛弃了军事独裁。 |
| 59 | Back then, Western donors sometimes used their influence to promote human rights. | 当时,西方捐助者有时利用其影响力促进人权。 |
| 60 | Now, by contrast, coups occur with impunity and plenty of leaders who won power democratically | 相形之下,政变的发生没有受到惩罚,许多领导人以民主方式夺权。 |
| 61 | are looking for undemocratic means to hang onto it. | 正在寻找不民主的手段 坚持下去。 |
| 62 | Uganda's plight should serve as a warning to its peers. | 乌干达的困境应作为对同龄人的警告。 |
| 63 | Without real elections to refresh the faces at the top, expect trouble as autocrats age. | 没有真正的选举来刷新顶层的面孔, 期望麻烦随着独裁者的时代。 |
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