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《大西洋月刊》英国是如何沦落到和密西西比一样穷的? [C1]

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0:05You're listening to How Britain Became as Poor as Mississippi, a case study and self-sabotage你们在听英国如何像密西西比那样贫穷 案例研究和自我破坏
0:12written by Idris Kalloun, published in the July 2026 issue of The Atlantic, read by由Idris Kalloun撰写,发表在2026年7月一期《大西洋》上,
0:18Zach Rosen,由Hark Audio制作,一个播客配音应用软件.
0:23You can find this and other narrated Atlantic articles along with curated podcast moments你可以找到这篇 和其他叙事的大西洋文章 与曲解的播客瞬间
0:28on the Hark Audio app.在哈克音频应用程序。
0:31Who broke Britain?谁毁了英国?
0:33Someone or something must have.一定有个人
0:34The past 18 years, enough time for a whole lost generation to be born and brought up,在过去的18年里, 有足够的时间 整个失去的一代 出生和长大,
0:40have yielded nothing but stagnation and mass disillusionment.只能造成停滞和大规模幻灭。
0:44In 2007, before the global financial crisis, Britain was at its post-imperial zenith.2007年,全球金融危机爆发前,英国处于帝国时代后期.
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1You're listening to How Britain Became as Poor as Mississippi, a case study and self-sabotage你们在听英国如何像密西西比那样贫穷 案例研究和自我破坏
2written by Idris Kalloun, published in the July 2026 issue of The Atlantic, read by由Idris Kalloun撰写,发表在2026年7月一期《大西洋》上,
3Zach Rosen,由Hark Audio制作,一个播客配音应用软件.
4You can find this and other narrated Atlantic articles along with curated podcast moments你可以找到这篇 和其他叙事的大西洋文章 与曲解的播客瞬间
5on the Hark Audio app.在哈克音频应用程序。
6Who broke Britain?谁毁了英国?
7Someone or something must have.一定有个人
8The past 18 years, enough time for a whole lost generation to be born and brought up,在过去的18年里, 有足够的时间 整个失去的一代 出生和长大,
9have yielded nothing but stagnation and mass disillusionment.只能造成停滞和大规模幻灭。
10In 2007, before the global financial crisis, Britain was at its post-imperial zenith.2007年,全球金融危机爆发前,英国处于帝国时代后期.
11Median household income had just surpassed that of Germany.中等家庭收入刚刚超过德国。
12A pound was worth more than $2, and London was arguably displacing New York as the center一英镑价值超过两美元 伦敦可能取代纽约成为中心
13of international banking.国际银行业务。
14But since then, Britain has been left behind.但从此英国被抛在后面.
15The country's output per person is now only just above that of Mississippi, America's现在全国人均产出 仅略高于美国密西西比州
16poorest state, and that slight lead is only achieved thanks to London.最贫穷的州,而这种微弱的领先只能归功于伦敦.
17Outside the capital, in places where tourists do not visit, living standards fall well below在首都以外,在游客不访问的地方,生活水平远远低于
18Mississippi's.密西西比州 密西西比州
19Brits visiting the United States find that their currency has depreciated to the point来美国访问的英国人发现他们的货币贬值到现在
20where the pound today buys only about $1.35.今天的英镑只有1.35美元
21British wages have lagged well behind those in the U.S., and also those in Germany, France,英国的工资远远落后于美国,德国,法国,
22the Netherlands, Denmark.荷兰、丹麦。
23Once you account for inflation, they've barely grown at all.一旦你计算通货膨胀, 他们几乎没有增长。
24Within the next decade, the typical poll will have a standard of living equal to the typical在未来十年里,典型的民意调查将具有与典型的生活水平相等的生活水平。
25Brit, if current trends continue.Brit 如果目前的趋势继续下去的话
26One generation ago, Britain was a major global power.一代人前,英国是全球大国.
27Today, it is a middling one, gripped by sclerosis.今天,它是一个 middle 之一, 抓住硬化症。
28Taxation is at the highest level since World War II, yet public services have deteriorated.税收处于二战以来的最高水平,然而公共服务却有所恶化.
29The National Health Service, the celebrated pillar of the British cradle-to-grave welfare国家卫生服务,英国摇篮至坟墓福利的著名支柱
30state, has a backlog of six million patients, almost a tenth of the population, waiting大约占人口的十分之一
31for treatment.治疗。
32The Health Service now has to spend more money settling maternity malpractice claims than保健服务机构现在需要花费更多的钱来解决产妇渎职索赔,而不是
33it does on actually providing maternity care.它实际上提供产妇护理。
34Many Brits can neither obtain an appointment with a publicly funded dentist, nor afford许多英国人既无法获得公共资助的牙医的预约,也负担不起
35a private one.一个私人的。
36In a 2023 survey, one in ten reported doing DIY dental work, in extreme cases, extracting在2023年的一项调查中,每10人中就有1人报告说从事DIY牙科工作,在极端情况下,提取
37their own teeth or gluing broken crowns back together.他们自己的牙齿或者擦伤的王冠 一起回来。
38Incomes can be shockingly low.收入可能非常低。
39Junior doctors recently went on strike for the 15th time in three years over their salaries,初级医生最近罢工 15次 在三年中,他们的工资,
40which start at just £38,800.一开始只有38,800英镑。
41The median salary for British civil servants is £35,680.英国公务员的中位工资为35,680英镑.
42In April, amid the Iran conflict, the Daily Mail pounced on Prime Minister Keir Starmer在伊朗冲突期间,
43for vacationing in Valencia, Spain, at what the tabloid described as a luxury hotel, costing在西班牙巴伦西亚度假 在小报上描述的豪华酒店
44£200 a night.每晚200英镑.
45Some in Britain blame rotten luck, the 2008 financial crash, the coronavirus pandemic,一些英国人怪罪坏运气, 2008年金融崩溃, 日冕病毒大流行,
46and energy crisis after Russia invaded Ukraine.以及俄罗斯入侵乌克兰后的能源危机。
47But other countries endured these challenges, too.但其他国家也面临着这些挑战。
48What differentiated Britain was its self-sabotaging responses to these and other problems.区别于英国的是对这些问题和其他问题的自我破坏。
49Brexit is the most famous example, but hardly the only one.布雷克西特是最著名的例子,但几乎是唯一的例子.
50Bad choices, beginning just after the financial crisis, begot worse ones.坏的选择,从金融危机之后开始, 就会有更糟糕的选择。
51As public disillusionment has grown, politicians have been rotated swiftly in and out of power,随着公众幻灭的增强 政客们迅速交替执政
52abruptly terminating whatever policies they have started.突然终止一切政策
53Six different prime ministers have governed since the 2010 general election.自2010年大选以来,有六位不同的总理执政。
54They do not seem to be getting more talented over time.随着时间的推移,他们似乎没有更多的才华。
55Less than two years after Starmer's Labour Party took power, his nat approval rating在斯塔默的工党掌权不到两年后 他的Nat批准评级
56has plunged to minus 42 points.已跌至负42分。
57He is widely expected to resign this year, and may have done so by the time you read this.人们广泛期望他今年辞职,也许你读到这个的时候已经辞职了.
58The country's downward slide has been consistent in one respect.我国的下滑趋势在某一方面是一致的。
59As Britain has become more and more aware of its diminishment, it has retreated even随着英国越来越意识到它的衰减,它甚至退缩了
60more fully into a defensive crouch.更充分进入防御性蹲下。
61Politics have become zero-sum, descending into flights over who has robbed whom.政治已经变成零和, 下降为航班 谁抢谁。
62Suspicion has fallen, above all, on immigrants, whom both major parties have turned against.主要政党都反对移民。
63There is still an enduring stain of British exceptionalism, quieter and more understated英国特殊主义的污点依然存在 更安静更低调
64than the American version, which suggests that, by retreating inward, Britain can make比美国的版本,它暗示,通过向内撤退,英国可以制造
65itself great again.又来了
66Astonishingly, or perhaps predictably, it is growing stronger as the country's problems令人惊奇,或许可以预测的是,随着国家问题的发展,它越来越强大
67get worse.越来越糟糕。
68In fairness, the 2008 financial crisis hit Britain especially hard.公平而言,2008年的金融危机对英国的打击尤为沉重.
69In the 1990s, both the Tories and Tony Blair's new Labour Party made the same bet.1990年代,托里和托尼·布莱尔的新工党都做出了同样的赌注.
70Britain was to be a post-industrial, services-based economy anchored in finance.英国将成为一个建立在金融基础上的后工业型、基于服务业的经济。
71Tax receipts from a booming London would be redistributed to lagging regions in the old兴旺的伦敦的税收收入将重新分配到旧的落后地区。
72industrial heartland, helping to renew them.工业心脏地带, 帮助更新它们。
73Then came 2008, and London's financial industry cratered.随后来到2008年,伦敦的金融业陷入了困境.
74But the government's actions during and after the crisis compounded the damage.但政府在危机期间和之后的行动加剧了损失。
75Rather than increase spending to revive depressed demand, as modern Keynesians would counsel,而不是像现代凯恩斯主义者建议的那样,增加开支以恢复低迷的需求,
76the government, then led by Conservative Prime Minister David Cameron, opted to slash budgets当时由保守党总理戴维·卡梅伦领导的政府选择削减预算
77as revenue plunged.随着收入的下降。
78The theory was that fiscal discipline, cutting spending more sharply than Britain's peer理论是,财政纪律,削减开支比英国同行更尖锐
79countries, would inspire confidence and spur growth.将激发信心和刺激增长。
80At the time, deficits and debt were seen as immoral.当时,赤字和债务被认为是不道德的.
81Unlike profligate Greece, Britain would manage its affairs prudently.与挥霍的希腊不同,英国会审慎地管理自己的事务.
82The promised growth did not materialize, and austerity left scars that linger still.承诺的增长没有实现,紧缩留下的伤疤依然存在。
83Funding for day-to-day NHS operations was maintained, for instance, but only by cannibalizing例如,维持了对日常国家保健服务业务的供资,但只能通过吞噬
84the capital budget.首都预算。
85A 2024 government report found that, as a result of austerity, Britain has, quote, crumbling一篇2024年的政府报告发现,由于紧缩, 英国,引文:
86buildings, mental health patients being accommodated in Victoria-era cells, infested with vermin,住在维多利亚时代的牢房里 患有害虫
87with 17 men sharing two showers, and parts of the NHS operating in decrepit port-a-cabins,17名男子共用两个淋浴池,部分国民保健制度在停机坪港口运作,
88unquote.说吧
89After austerity cuts to welfare benefits took effect, the share of children who grew up紧缩削减福利后,长大儿童的比例
90in long-term poverty, meaning half their childhood or more, shot up from about 14% to 23%.在长期贫困中,也就是说,他们一半的童年或更长的时间,从14%上升到23%。
91Nutrition appeared to suffer, and doctors reported increased cases of diseases stemming营养似乎受到影响,医生报告说,疾病发病病例有所增加。
92from vitamin deficiencies such as rickets and scurvy.来自于维生素缺乏症,如脊髓灰质炎和 s。
93Local governments, called councils, saw their grants from the central government fall by地方政府,称为理事会, 发现中央政府的拨款被
9440% from 2010 to 2020.2010年至2020年占40%.
95In 2023, Birmingham City Council, which is responsible for more than one million residents,2023年,伯明翰市议会负责100多万居民,
96effectively declared bankruptcy.有效地宣布破产。
97One third of all English councils could do the same within five years.所有英格兰议会的三分之一可在五年内这样做。
98Austerity was felt most harshly by those who were already suffering after deindustrialization.那些在非工业化后已经遭受苦难的人感到最严厉的紧缩。
99The welfare state had partially compensated the losers from globalization.福利国家部分补偿了全球化的失败者。
100When it abruptly shrank because the masters of the universe had miscalculated,当它突然收缩 因为宇宙的主人们计算错了
101anger erupted upward at British elites and also outward at European migrants who were对英国精英和外向的欧洲移民们愤怒
102competing for jobs and public services.竞争就业和公共服务。
103It was because of this political pressure that Cameron made another fateful decision正是由于这种政治压力,卡梅伦作出了另一个命运的决定.
104to hold the Brexit referendum in 2016.2016年举行布雷克西特公投.
105This was a gambit.简直是一团糟
106Cameron expected the vote to fail.卡梅伦预计投票失败.
107He did not want to leave the European Union, but he wanted to arrest the rise of figures他不想离开欧盟 但他想阻止数字上升
108such as Nigel Farage, the longtime gadfly of British politics who had been campaigning例如奈杰尔·法拉吉, 英国政治的长时期gadfly 谁一直在竞选。
109for withdrawal from the EU for decades.退出欧盟几十年。
110Left behind Britain, the places especially harmed by austerity cuts voted overwhelmingly被英国抛在身后 紧缩削减特别伤害的地方 以压倒多数投票
111to leave.离开。
112The morning after he lost the referendum, Cameron resigned, ushering in a period of卡梅伦在公投失败后的第二天早上辞职,迎来了一段时期
113political instability that has now lasted a decade and shows no sign of ending.政治不稳定已经持续了十年,没有结束的迹象。
114Settling the formal Brexit deal took almost four years of negotiations between Britain英国花了将近四年的谈判 才达成正式的布雷克西特协议
115and the EU.与欧盟。
116The resulting uncertainty took a toll on British businesses even then.由此造成的不确定性甚至给英国企业造成了损失。
117In 2018, one year before his ascension to Prime Minister Boris Johnson was asked by2018年,在他对总理鲍里斯·约翰逊的就职前一年,被问及:
118a European diplomat about these adverse effects.a 欧洲外交官,关于这些不利影响。
119He replied, quote, fuck business, unquote.他回答,引用,他妈的生意,不引用。
120And indeed, something like that happened.事实上,发生了类似的事情。
121A recent paper on the economic impact of Brexit by five economists calculated that Brexit五位经济学家最近发表的一篇关于布雷克西特的经济影响的文章 计算出布雷克西特
122caused business investment to drop by 12 to 18 percent, productivity and employment to造成商业投资下降12%至18%,生产力和就业下降
123decline by about three to four percent, and most striking, GDP per capita to fall by six人均国内生产总值下降约3-4%,最引人注目的是,人均国内生产总值下降6个百分点。
124to eight percent, twice as much as earlier estimates.达到8%,是先前估计的两倍。
125The harms weren't all immediately visible.伤害并不是一目了然
126As with austerity, they accumulated over time.与紧缩一样,它们也逐渐积累。
127Outside London, the consequences of almost two lost decades are unignorable.在伦敦以外,几乎损失了两个十年的后果是不可忽视的.
128Stroke on Trent in the West Midlands, about 150 miles north of London, was once the ceramics在伦敦以北约150英里的西部中地的特伦特上 曾经是陶瓷厂
129capital of Britain and quite probably the world.英国的首都,很可能是世界
130It was geologically blessed by rich seams of both coal and clay.它在地质上受到丰富的煤和粘土缝合物的祝福。
131Its wares were transported by canal to Liverpool for export.其军械经运河运往利物浦出口.
132The whole area became known as the potteries.整个地区被称为陶器区.
133Stroke once held some 2,000 bottle kilns, huge bulbous structures in which crockery弦曾拥有约2000个瓶子窑,巨大的灯泡结构,其中有 cro
134from companies such as Wedgwood were fired.韦奇伍德等公司被解雇了
135Today, only 47 remain.今天,只剩下47个。
136The industry employs perhaps 5,000 people, down from some 300,000 in 1984.该行业雇用了5 000人,比1984年的大约30万人有所减少。
137And because of Britain's extraordinary energy costs, this number is still declining.而由于英国的异常能源成本,这一数字仍在下降.
138Depleting oil drilling in the North Sea and a failure to invest in alternative energy北海石油钻井耗竭和未投资替代能源
139sources have left the country reliant on imported energy, staggering consumers and industry alike.能源来源使该国依赖进口能源,消费者和工业都令人震惊。
140From 2004 to 2024, electricity costs for British businesses more than tripled even从2004年到2024年,英国企业的电费增加了两倍多
141after adjusting for inflation, and are now the highest in the world.在根据通货膨胀进行调整后,现在是世界上最高的。
142In March, I visited Middleport Pottery, the last remaining ceramics factory3月,我参观了波特里中港 剩下的最后一个陶瓷厂
143that has operated continuously since the Victorian era.从维多利亚时代起 一直运作着
144A charming elderly guide named Phil Knott showed me around,一个叫菲尔·诺特的迷人的老年导师带我四处走走
145pointing out the ceramics and crockery that the company supplies to the private residence指出公司向私人住宅供应的陶瓷和陶瓷
146of King Charles III.国王查理三世
147In most rooms we entered, he introduced me by saying, quote,在我们进入的大多数房间, 他介绍我说,引言,
148this man here is from Washington to write an article about the ceramics industry, unquote.这个人来自华盛顿 写了一篇文章 关于陶瓷工业,未引用。
149Though the factory once employed some 400 workers, it now has only 18.虽然工厂曾经雇用了大约400名工人,但现在只有18名工人。
150Middleport uses smaller gas ovens today, but its last bottle kiln,Middleport今天使用较小的燃气炉, 但是它的最后一个瓶窑,
151there once were seven, still sits outside, a vestige of a bygone time.有一次是七, 仍然坐在外面, 留下的过去的时间。
152All along the kiln's exterior, where heat and smoke and ash once escaped,沿着窑的外部, 热和烟雾和灰烬一度逃脱,
153small trees and plants have taken root in the dormant structure.小树和植物在休眠结构中扎根。
154The deindustrialization of Stoke began a long time ago.斯托克的去工业化始于很久以前.
155In the 1980s, Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher ushered in her, quote,1980年代,总理玛格丽特·撒切尔 迎来了她,引用:
156unquote, revolution, emphasizing privatization and breaking the trade unions.不言而喻,革命,强调私有化和打破工会.
157This improved the country's fortunes, but not those of all its parts.这改善了国家的命运,但不是所有地方的财富。
158Thatcherism hit Stoke hard, causing closures of factories, steelworks, and mines.撒切尔主义对斯托克的打击很大,导致工厂,钢铁厂和矿山关闭.
159Lisa Healings, who runs the charity volunteer action Stoke on Trent,Lisa Healings, 主持慈善志愿者行动 斯托克在特伦特,
160lived through that as a young girl.年轻时就经历过这些
161VAST works with a network of charities to provide food, job trading, and counseling,VAST与慈善机构网络合作,提供食品、工作交易和咨询,
162but the group is fighting economic gravity.但是这个团体正在对抗经济重力
163Quote, there's now a third generation almost coming through, unquote,引用,现在有第三代人 几乎通过,未引用,
164Healings told me, whose, quote, parents were unemployed,治疗告诉我,谁的父母失业,
165their grandparents were unemployed, and they don't see any future for themselves他们的祖父母失业了 他们自己看不到未来
166other than living on benefits and being unemployed, unquote.除了靠福利生活和失业之外,请不要引用。
167Austerity was particularly brutal to places like Stoke,紧缩对斯托克这样的地方特别残酷
168where a large share of the population was already dependent on government benefits.大部分人口已经依赖政府的福利。
169Two out of every five children in Stoke live in poverty, one of the highest rates in Britain,斯托克每5个孩子中就有2个生活在贫困中,是英国最高比率之一,
170and in 2022, the city had one of the highest rates of infant mortality in the country.而在2022年,该市的婴儿死亡率位居全国前列.
171Since the turn of this century, successive governments have tried自本世纪之交以来,历届政府都尝试过
172and mostly failed to correct basic problems.并且大多未能纠正基本问题。
173In 2003, John Prescott, Blair's Deputy Prime Minister,2003年,布莱尔的副总理约翰·普雷斯科特,
174started a policy called Pathfinder, which aimed to demolish and replace worn-down housing推行了一项名为开拓者的政策,旨在拆除和替换破旧住房
175in post-industrial places such as Stoke.在后工业的地方,如斯托克。
176Cameron's government abruptly defunded in 2010,卡梅伦政府2010年突然解款.
177leaving empty eyesore lots where demolition had finished, but building had not yet begun.在拆除完成后留下了空眼空间,但建筑尚未开始。
178In 2019, Johnson promised that a new economic revitalization plan called Leveling Up would,2019年,约翰逊承诺,一个新的经济振兴计划,名为Leveling Up将会,
179quote, answer the plea of the forgotten people and the left behind towns, unquote.引用,回答被遗忘的人和左后方城镇的恳求,不引用.
180But few specifics were forthcoming until three years later,但直到三年之后 几乎没有什么细节
181only months before Johnson resigned.就在约翰逊辞职前几个月
182The funding it provided was a pittance compared with the support withdrawn from local governments与从地方政府撤回的支助相比,基金提供的资金微不足道。
183under austerity.在紧缩之下。
184It is in places like Stoke where discontent with London and Brussels is highest.在斯托克等地,对伦敦和布鲁塞尔的不满程度最高。
185During the 2016 referendum, 69% of residents voted to leave the EU,在2016年公投中,69%的居民投票决定离开欧盟,
186the highest share of any city in the country.占全国任何城市的最高份额。
187Afterward, Stoke was branded, quote, the capital of Brexit, unquote.之后,斯托克被打上烙印,引文,为布雷克西特的首府,未引文.
188My train north from London was, like many, seriously delayed.我从伦敦往北的火车 和许多人一样 严重延误了
189In this case, because of a loose panel on a front car.在这种情况下,因为前车上有一个松散的面板.
190Quote, hopefully it'll hold on until we get to Manchester, unquote, the conductor announced.引用,希望它能坚持到我们到达曼彻斯特, 未引用,指挥员宣布。
191This information left me, rather like the panel, flappable,这些信息留下了我, 相当像面板, 炫耀,
192but it had no discernible effect on my fellow passengers.但是这对我的乘客没有明显影响
193Although Americans should generally not cast aspersions on the rail services of other countries,虽然美国人一般不应该对其他国家的铁路服务进行诽谤,
194the episode was yet another reminder of Britain's degraded state.这集又一次提醒人们 英国的退化状态。
195Recent plans to transform the country have rested in no small part on High Speed 2,最近改革国家的计划主要靠高速2号。
196a super-fast rail line intended to connect London with Birmingham, Leeds, and Manchester.一条超快的铁路线旨在连接伦敦与伯明翰,利兹和曼彻斯特.
197But since HS2 was proposed in 2009, its costs have tripled to more than £100 billion.但自2009年提出HS2以来,其成本翻了三倍,达到1000多亿英镑.
198It is the most expensive rail line in the world.这是世界上最昂贵的铁路线。
199A special structure to protect a rare bat species near the rail line in Buckinghamshire保护白金汉郡铁路线附近稀有蝙蝠物种的特殊结构
200required 8,000 permits and was built at a cost of £216 million.需要8 000份许可证,建造费用为2.16亿英镑。
201The most important sections of the proposed route have been lopped off.提议的路线最重要的部分已停用。
202The Rump line, going from Birmingham, Britain's second largest city,从英国第二大城市伯明翰出发
203to not quite central London, may be finished by 2040.可能2040年结束
204In Birmingham, a local named Gary Moynihan walked me from the city centre在伯明翰 一个叫Gary Moynihan的当地人 从市中心带我走
205to the benighted HS2 terminus.到夜 HS2 终点。
206Moynihan, a pleasant white-haired former lawyer with a dyspeptic ex-account,莫伊尼汉,一个愉快的白发前律师 和一个忧郁的前账户,
207often focused on his hometown's troubles, was eager to show me what had gone wrong.经常关注家乡的麻烦 急于告诉我出了什么事
208He pointed out a large site called Smithfield, formerly the location of grocery wholesalers,他指出了一个叫做史密斯菲尔德的大遗址, 原为杂货批发商的所在地,
209whose warehouses have been vacant for many years.他们的仓库已经空置多年
210We passed a few film studios along the canal,我们沿着运河经过几个电影制片厂
211some of the more promising businesses that have sprouted up in recent years.一些近年来兴起的更有希望的企业。
212Moynihan admitted that their existence poses some challenges to an oft-repeated remark of his,Moynihan承认,他们的存在对他经常重复的言论提出了一些挑战。
213quote, I see nothing of merit in this city, unquote,引用,我看不出有什么价值 在这个城市,未引用,
214but then redirected my attention to the gargantuan potholes in the road, gouged so deep that you后来我把注意力转移到路上的甘蔗坑里 挖得那么深,以至于你
215could see the Victorian-era cobblestones below, to the trash piled up in vacant lots,可以看到下面的维多利亚时代的鹅卵石, 到垃圾堆积的空地,
216and to the discarded boxes for extra-large canisters of nitrous oxide,和弃置的一氧化二氮大罐箱,
217which is routinely abused in Birmingham.在伯明翰经常受到虐待
218为了到达Curzon街站的HS2终点站 我和Moynihan走在路上
219of an attempted Birmingham metro rail extension, which has itself been beset by delays and cost伯明翰地铁扩建工程 本身就受到延误和成本的困扰
220overruns, a localised version of the HS2 debacle.超支,HS2崩溃的本地化版本.
221I could see crawler cranes and excavators moving busily around, huge Y-shaped piers我可以看到爬行鹤和挖土机在繁忙的移动 巨大的Y形码头
222that will perhaps in a decade hoist the high-speed rail stood disconnected from each other.也许在十年后,高速铁路将相互中断。
223HS2 has been delayed for so long that two swiftly built towers near the terminusHS2被延迟了这么久 以至于两座快速建造的塔楼
224now themselves look derelict and in need of demolition.现在自己看起来被抛弃了,需要拆除。
225Quote, if you're a developer, why would you invest here?引文 如果你是开发商 为什么在这里投资?
226The only reason is HS2, and it's moribund, unquote, Moynihan said.唯一的原因是HS2,它已经枯萎,没有引文,莫伊尼汉说.
227Building infrastructure, or much of anything else, has become all but impossible in the建设基础设施,或者其他任何东西, 已经变得几乎不可能
228built train line.建成列车线路.
229Britain also hosts the world's most expensive and not yet built nuclear power plant,英国还拥有世界上最昂贵的 尚未建成的核电站
230Hinkley Point C.欣克利点C.
231Its environmental impact assessment ran 31,401 pages.其环境影响评价共达31,401页.
232The plant will feature a 700 million pound, quote, fish disco, unquote,植物将呈现出7亿磅的特征,引文,鱼迪斯科,不引文,
233which will pulse sounds underwater to deter animals from its intake pipes.它的脉冲在水下会发出声响 阻止动物从摄入管中走出来
234The government spent 32 years and 179 million pounds政府花了32年,1.79亿英镑
235planning a tunnel beneath Stonehenge to relieve traffic,计划在巨石阵下修建一条隧道 以缓解交通流量
236only to officially scrap the plan this year.只有正式废除今年的计划。
237Even basic tasks, such as obtaining power, can be nightmarish.甚至基本任务,如获得权力,也可能是夜梦.
238Quote, in the UK, you can be waiting for five years引文 在英国 你可以等五年
239to get any kind of energy-intensive project connected to the grid, unquote,获得任何种类的能源密集型项目 连接到电网,没有报价,
240Sam Bowman, a founding editor of the magazine Works in Progress, told me."进步工程"杂志的创始编辑萨姆·鲍曼(Sam Bowman)告诉我.
241These failures are all self-imposed.这些失败都是自我造成的。
242Parliament, by design, could exercise broad authority over these matters,根据设计,议会可对这些事项行使广泛权力,
243yet rather than wielding this power to confront Britain's problems,而不是用这种力量对抗英国的问题,
244it has chosen instead to smother the state with veto points, proceduralism, and endless reviews.它选择用否决权、程序主义和无休止的审查来扼杀国家。
245Britain suffers from a housing crisis significantly worse than America's.英国住房危机比美国严重得多。
246The problem cannot even be blamed on zoning,这个问题甚至不能归咎于分区,
247because Britain does not have a zoning regime to speak of.因为英国没有分区制度
248Rather, every attempt to build is a painful ad hoc negotiation相反,每一项尝试都是痛苦的特设谈判
249with local government councils and NIMBY residents.地方政府委员会和NIMBY居民。
250As a result, housing costs per square foot are among the highest in Europe.因此,每平方英尺的住房费用是欧洲最高的。
251In the words of one report, quote,用一份报告的话来说,
252our housing stock offers the worst value for money of any advanced economy, unquote.任何发达经济体的物价都最低
253France has roughly the same population as the UK, but almost 50% more homes.法国人口与英国大致相同,但几乎增加了50%的住宅.
254And yet, since the financial crisis, the UK's rate of housing production has only fallen.然而,自金融危机以来,英国的住房生产率只有所下降。
255Britain's building problems are not limited to the periphery.英国的建筑问题并不限于外围地区.
256In London, the typical house sold in 2024 cost 11 times median earnings.在伦敦,2024年出售的典型房屋花费了中位数收入的11倍.
257And although London remains an alluring global city,虽然伦敦仍然是一个吸引人的全球城市,
258it too is stagnating.它也是停滞不前的。
259Since the financial crisis, worker productivity there has been essentially flat.自金融危机以来,工人的生产力基本平稳。
260Even so, London today is almost 50% more productive than the West Midlands,即便如此,今天伦敦的产量几乎比西部中部地区高50%,
261which includes both Stoke and Birmingham.包括斯托克和伯明翰
262Anna Stansbury, an economist at MIT,麻省理工学院的经济学家安娜·斯坦斯伯里
263told me that the gaps between London and other British cities说伦敦和其他英国城市之间的隔阂
264are comparable to those between cities in West and East Germany.与西德和东德城市之间的类似。
265In regional terms, the problem of the past two decades is essentially that就区域而言,过去20年的问题基本上是:
266London has hardly grown, yet Britain's smaller cities remain so far behind it.伦敦几乎没有增长,然而英国的较小城市仍然远远落后于它.
267There are some exceptions to the general pattern of British malaise.英国的病情一般模式有一些例外.
268Oxford and Cambridge, world leaders in science for centuries,牛津大学和剑桥大学 几个世纪以来科学领域的世界领袖
269are belatedly becoming hubs for startups,成为初创企业的中心,
270though they are close enough to London to share its housing afflictions.虽然他们离伦敦很近 足以分担其住房灾难
271The most optimistic place I visited outside London's orbit was Manchester,我在伦敦轨道外最乐观的地方是曼彻斯特
272where growth has consistently been double the UK average.其增长率始终是联合王国平均水平的两倍。
273Downtown Manchester was once almost totally depopulated.曼彻斯特市中心一度几乎完全人口减少。
274Today, approximately 100,000 people live there.今天,那里大约有10万人。
275After working hours in the city's pubs, you will hear conspicuous southern accents.在城市的酒吧里工作后 你会听到明显的南方口音
276In 2024, more Londoners moved to Manchester than vice versa.2024年,更多的伦敦人移居曼彻斯特,反之亦然.
277Manchester has succeeded in part because it gained some independence曼彻斯特之所以成功 部分原因是因为它获得了一些独立
278from the shambolic central government in London.来自伦敦的桑博利中央政府
279In an experiment in de-evolution begun in 2011,在2011年开始的脱产实验中.
280London granted the city more power over taxes and transportation.伦敦给予该市更多的税收和运输权.
281The bus network was brought under public control,公交网络被公众控制
282and a local £1 billion good growth fund was set up to distribute investments across the city.并建立了一个当地10亿英镑的良好增长基金,以在整个城市分配投资。
283Manchester, as a result, is now better able to set its own economic course.因此,曼彻斯特现在能够更好地确定自己的经济路线.
284You can't order growth from the top down, Andy Burnham,你不能自上而下地命令成长,安迪·伯纳姆
285the mayor of Greater Manchester since 2017, told me.大曼彻斯特市长 从2017年起,告诉我。
286The UK for most of our lives has been an overly centralized country.我们大部分时间里,联合王国是一个过于集中的国家。
287Many Labour supporters wished that Burnham, rather than the hapless Starmor, was Prime Minister.许多工党支持者希望伯纳姆,而不是不幸的斯塔莫尔担任总理.
288But for that to happen, Burnham would need to return to Parliament,但为了做到这一点,伯纳姆需要回到议会,
289where he had previously served for 16 years.在那里,他以前服务了16年。
290He attempted to do so in January when a parliamentary seat became vacant in Greater他在1月份试图这样做,当时大国民议会席位出现空缺。
291Manchester, but he was blocked by Starmor's allies who did not want to elevate a potential rival,曼彻斯特,但他被Starmor的盟友挡住了 他们不想提升潜在的对手,
292already called the quote, King of the North, unquote.北方的国王,已经叫了引号,没有引号
293In May, after Starmor's grip on power had loosened even further,5月,在斯塔莫掌握权力后,
294a Labour movement of Parliament in Makerfield, another Manchester seat,a Makerfield的议会劳工运动,曼彻斯特的另一个席位,
295voluntarily resigned to offer Burnham another avenue to challenging the party leader.自愿辞职为伯纳姆提供了另一条挑战党领袖的渠道.
296He will not be blocked this time.这次他不会被封锁的
297Yet Burnham's path to power is not guaranteed.然而伯纳姆的掌权之路并没有保障.
298Even Manchester is not immune to the country's anti-establishment mood.连曼彻斯特也未能幸免国家的反建国情绪.
299In Makerfield, recent elections have seen significant improvement for the Green Party,在马克菲尔德,最近的选举 绿党,
300the populist left party on the rise in Britain.民粹主义的左翼政党在英国崛起.
301The Greens are run by Zach Polanski, a former hypnotherapist and a self-described,格林一家由扎克·波兰斯基(Zach Polanski)管理,他是一位前催眠师和自我描述的,
302quote, eco-populist, unquote, who wants to legalize drugs and implement a wealth tax.引文,生态流行主义者,不引文,想将毒品合法化,实行财富税.
303But the strongest performance has been put up by the Reform Party,但改革党最强的表现,
304the populist hard-right party that's rising nationally even faster than the Greens.民粹主义的硬右翼政党 在全国崛起的速度甚至比绿党还快
305Both of these parties, once relegated to the fringe of British politics,这两个政党,曾经处于英国政治的边缘,
306have done exceptionally well in recent national surveys.在最近的全国调查中表现特别出色。
307Reform has in fact been out polling all the others for months,事实上,几个月来, 改革已经结束了所有其他人的投票,
308the first time in more than 40 years that neither conservatives nor Labour has led.这是40多年来第一次 无论是保守派还是工党都没有领导
309No matter who in the Labour Party replaces Stammer, presuming he resigns,不管工党谁取代斯塔默 假定他辞职
310Britain must hold another general election within the next three years.英国必须在未来三年内再举行一次大选.
311The odds-on favorite to be the next Prime Minister after the election is Reform's leader.当选后的下一任总理,
312His name is Nigel Farage.他的名字是奈杰尔·法拉吉。
313How could the prime instigator of Brexit now find himself in a position to be promoted to Prime布雷克西特的主要煽动者 怎么会发现自己能晋升为首相
314Minister?部长?
315Farage is ascendant because he has an enticing answer to the question,法拉吉很强壮 因为他对问题有诱惑性回答
316who broke Britain?谁毁了英国?
317The feckless elites, the ineffective civil servants, and the unwanted immigrants.无足轻重的精英,无效的公务员,以及不受欢迎的移民.
318Even if the country's problems are beyond his capacity to solve,即使国家的问题超出了他的能力
319he at least can promise their reckoning.他至少可以答应他们的清算。
320I met Farage in March, right before he took the stage at a campaign rally in Milton Keynes,我遇见法拉吉在3月, 就在他走上舞台 在米尔顿凯恩斯的竞选集会,
321a commuter town outside London most famous for its many roundabouts.伦敦外的一个通勤小镇 因其众多环路而闻名
322He and his merry band of insurgents were touring the country ahead of the local elections in May,他和他的一群暴徒在5月地方选举前前往该国旅行,
323in which Reform would gain some 1,400 municipal government seats.其中,改革将获得大约1 400个市政府席位。
32430% of the total seats contested, while Labour would lose about 1,400 and the Tories about 500.全部席位的30%进行竞争,而工党将损失约1,400人,托里党将损失约500人。
325Farage was in character, besuited with a pink and purple tie immaculately matched to his shirt,法拉吉有品格 穿着粉色紫色的领带
326and sporting his trademark Union Jack socks.并运动他的商标联盟杰克袜子。
327When he leaned forward, I smelled tobacco and possibly a faint whiff of the pint of lager他往前看时,我闻到烟草味 可能闻到一丁点啤酒味
328that he is so often pictured holding.以至于他经常被想象中的持有。
329He suddenly told me how he was preparing, upon his election,他突然告诉我,他是如何准备的, 在他当选时,
330to wrest power from the deep state and deploy it to enact the will of the people.将权力从深州夺去,并部署它来颁布人民的意志.
331We have to make sure within the civil service that we have people who are not willful obstructors,我们必须在公务员中确保 我们的人不是故意阻挠者,
332unquote, he said.他说,没有引用。
333His government would not be like Donald Trump's first administration, initially unsure of how他的政府不会像唐纳德·特朗普的第一任政府那样,起初不确定如何
334to wield power, but like the second, ready to go from the start.掌权,但就像第二个,准备从头开始。
335Several hundred people had come to see Farage speak.几百人来看法拉吉的演讲
336Political rallies in England are more civilized than the American ones I am used to.英国的政治集会比我习惯的美国集会更文明.
337People drink pints before the event, sit patiently in chairs during it,人们喝品脱之前, 耐心地坐在椅子上,
338and leave in an orderly queue afterward.并且依次排队。
339After everyone took their seat, Farage delivered his speech, which was a rhapsody of declinism.在大家登上座位后,法拉吉发表了他的演讲,这简直是德林主义的狂言.
340Quote, it is a period of complete political failure.引文:这是完全政治失败的时期.
341Economically, we're going down the drain, unquote, he said.从经济上讲,我们要下水道,他说,不提。
342Every current and recent political leader was to blame.每个现任和最近的政治领袖都要受到指责。
343The Conservatives had delivered Brexit too slowly, allowed mass migration anyway,保守派给布雷克西特带来的太慢, 允许大规模迁徙,反正,
344agreed to net zero emissions commitments.同意净零排放承诺。
345Labour was responsible for Britain's humiliation on the world stage工党对英国在世界舞台上的羞辱负责
346through its weak responses to the war on Iran and its general dithering.因为它对伊朗的战争反应软弱 和一般的分裂。
347The message was clear.信息是明确的。
348Only Farage could fix it.只有法拉吉能修复它。
349Farage's plan to consolidate power through a defanged civil service and constitutional法拉吉计划通过败坏的公务员制度和宪法巩固权力
350reform are detailed.改革是详细的。
351Cuts to the civil service are not just being promised in a general way.公务员职位的削减不仅仅是一般的许诺。
352A project 2025 style ministry by ministry roadmap is being discussed by reforms allies.改革盟国正在讨论按部委路线图划分的2025年风格部项目。
353Quasi constitutional laws that have restrained the power of the central government,限制中央政府权力的准宪法,
354such as the 1998 Human Rights Act and the 2010 Equality Act, will be redrafted.将重新起草1998年《人权法》和2010年《平等法》。
355So will the 2008 Climate Change Act, which enshrined Britain's net zero commitments.《2008年气候变化法》也是如此,它体现了英国的净零承诺。
356Danny Kruger, a Conservative MP who defected to reform last year and is now part of itsDanny Kruger,一位保守党议员,去年叛逃改革,现在成为其成员
357brain trust, told me that fixing the country's problems requires first restoring parliamentary大脑信任,告诉我,解决国家的问题 首先需要恢复议会
358sovereignty.主权。
359That would mean limiting the ability of independent government bodies to direct policy,这意味着限制独立政府机构指导政策的能力,
360and of course to exercise judicial review on acts of parliament.当然还要对议会的行为进行司法审查。
361Greater power for parliament could indeed enable needed reforms.议会更大的权力确实能够促成必要的改革。
362The accumulation of legal clutter is in no small part responsible for the country's法律上的杂乱无章的积累对我国的
363inability to build housing, infrastructure, and industry.无法建造住房、基础设施和工业。
364And parliament's ability to self-govern after decades of delegation to EU committees和议会的自我治理能力 经过几十年对欧盟委员会的授权
365has atrophied.已经萎缩。
366Even after Brexit, a sort of learned helplessness has prevailed within the political class.即使在布雷克西特之后,政治阶层中也普遍出现了某种学识丰富的无助现象.
367Fred de Fassard, a former Tory political advisor, now at the Prosperity Institute, told me,弗雷德·德·法萨德(Fred de Fassard),前托里政治顾问,现在在繁荣研究所,告诉我,
368If Farage is elected, perhaps that will change.如果法拉吉当选,那或许会改变。
369But Brexit proved that a sweeping assertion of sovereignty is by itself insufficient to但是,布雷克西特证明,全面主张主权本身不足以
370ensure growth, and indeed can be self-harming.确保增长,而且确实可能伤害自己。
371Many of the details about how Farage would restore Britain's place among wealthy nations,关于法拉吉如何恢复英国在富裕国家中的地位的许多细节,
372and a sense of opportunity for its people are hazy.给人民带来机会的感觉很模糊
373I asked him how he would spur the kind of strong economic growth that the conservative我问他如何刺激保守派的强劲经济增长
374and labour parties had failed to achieve.劳工政党未能实现这一点。
375He answered by saying that he and his future ministers were successful businesspeople,他回答说,他和他的未来的部长是成功的商人,
376unlike the current lot, and would therefore do better.与现在的情况不同,因此会做得更好。
377The Reform Party had promised to slash government spending and national deficits, though it has改革党承诺削减政府开支和国家赤字,尽管它已经
378promised to cut some taxes too.答应也会减税的
379Farage told me that shock therapy for the British state would be necessary.法拉吉告诉我 英国国家需要休克疗法
380He said, adding that he anticipates protests when he unveils plans to cut welfare benefits.他说,他预计,当他公布削减福利的计划时,将会有抗议。
381Because of such statements, Reform is often accused of being austerity rehashed,由于这些言论,改革经常被指责为紧缩,
382or Thatcherism rewarmed.或撒切尔主义重新武装。
383But Reform's most specific economic pronouncements have largely been of the crowd-pleasing,但改革最具体的经济声明 在很大程度上是 众说纷纭,
384non-Thatcherite variety.非撒切尔人品种。
385Cutting fuel taxes, keeping the NHS free at the point of service, and preserving the削减燃料税,在服务点保持国家保健服务的免费性,并保留
386triple lock, a policy effectively ensuring that state pensions increase faster than ordinary三锁,有效确保国家养老金增长快于普通
387wages.工资。
388Being cryptic about hard economic choices is electorally advantageous, particularly对艰难的经济选择持隐秘态度对选举有利,特别是
389when the general election could be years away.大选可能要等很多年
390This was in fact the strategy that Starmer employed in his election campaign, repeating这其实是斯塔默在竞选活动中采用的策略,
391the word growth like a mantra without revealing how he would achieve it.成长的词就像一个漫画, 却没有揭示他是如何实现的。
392His political capital proved fleeting.他的政治资本被证明是短暂的。
393Reform may ascend to power only to find itself snared in the same trap.改革可能只是为了陷入同一个陷阱而上台。
394Still, even well-connected Westminster types, who served in prior governments,即使在前几届政府任职的威斯敏斯特 关系也很好
395told me they did not really dread a Reform government.他们不害怕改革政府。
396Reform, in their view, is the only party iconoclastic enough to attempt major structural他们认为,改革是唯一一个 足以尝试重大结构的政党
397repairs on the foundations of the British state and economy.修复英国国家和经济的基础。
398To believe that something is broken doesn't mean that it's irretrievably broken.相信某物被打破,并不意味着它已经不可挽回地被打破了.
399James Orr, a Cambridge theology professor who leads policy for Reform, told me,剑桥神学教授詹姆斯·奥尔 领导改革政策,告诉我
400We think it's becoming increasingly obvious that we're the only political movement with我们认为我们是唯一的政治运动
401a chance.一个机会。
402The most detailed plans released by Reform involve immigration, the one issue that evokes改革所公布的最详细计划涉及移民问题,这是一个引起人们注意的问题。
403as much anger among voters as living standards do.选民的愤怒和生活水平一样多。
404The Conservatives broke their pledges.保守党打破承诺.
405Johnson promised to reduce the net inflow of migrants, but his policies, meant to bolster约翰逊承诺减少移民的净流入量,但他的政策意在加强
406healthcare staffing and stabilize falling university enrollment, led to the legal arrival保健人员配备和大学入学率稳定下降,导致合法入学
407more than three million non-EU immigrants, who now amount to one out of every 25 people超过300万非欧盟移民,现在占每25人中的1人
408in Britain.在英国。
409Later, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak struggled to deal with the arrival of more than 150,000后来,里希·苏纳克总理奋力应付15万多人的到来.
410migrants who'd crossed the English Channel on small boats.乘小船穿越英吉利海峡的移民
411Even the current Labour government, sensing the anger in the electorate, has pledged to甚至现任工党政府也意识到选民的愤怒,承诺
412reduce migration.减少移徙。
413It is on immigration that Farage offers the starkest choice.正是在移民问题上,法拉吉提出了最严峻的选择。
414He has put Zia Youssef, a wealthy businessman and the son of Sri Lankan immigrants, at the他把Zia Youssef,一个富有的商人和斯里兰卡移民的儿子,带到了那里。
415helm of his immigration agenda.主持他的移民议程。
416Youssef's major policy pitch is, quote, operation restoring justice, unquote, which尤瑟夫的主要政策投注是,引文:行动恢复正义,不引文。
417calls for the deportation of all unauthorized migrants in Britain through a new ICE-style要求通过新的ICE方式将所有未经许可的移民驱逐出境
418agency called UK Deportation Command.称为英国驱逐指挥部的机构。
419Youssef is the kind of zealous and paradoxical convert whom Reform and other parties of theYoussef是那种狂热和自相矛盾的皈依者。
420global New Right revel in, a practicing Muslim who strenuously campaigns to keep churches全球新权利欢乐,一个执教的穆斯林,他们奋力维护教堂
421from being converted to mosques.从被改造成清真寺。
422He is, to Farage, what Stephen Miller is to Donald Trump, a hard-faced nativist, always对法拉吉来说 他就是史蒂芬·米勒 对唐纳德·特朗普来说
423aware of the latest heinous offense committed by an immigrant and always warning of impending了解移民最近犯下的令人发指的罪行,并随时警告即将到来;
424civilizational collapse, next to whom the boss looks moderate and relaxed.文明的崩溃,旁边的老板看起来温和放松。
425Quote, never again will British people be a second-class citizen in their own country,引文 英国人再也不会成为自己国家的二等公民了
426unquote.说吧
427Youssef declared in a speech on the night I saw Farage and Milton Keynes.尤瑟夫在我见到法拉吉和米尔顿·凯恩斯的那晚的演讲中宣布.
428Quote, under a reform government, His Majesty's Parliament will be sovereign once again, and引文:在改革政府之下,陛下的议会将再次拥有主权,
429the rights of the great British people will reign supreme, unquote.伟大的英国人民的权利 将统治至高无上,不言自明。
430Given the anger over broken border promises, it's no surprise that Reform's clearest鉴于对违反边界承诺的愤怒 改革最清楚并不奇怪
431message has been on restricting migration.有关限制移徙的信息。
432It resonates because Britain's economic failures have contributed to a growing culture它的共鸣是因为英国的经济失败 促进了文化的发展
433of precarity, too.也具有先天性
434But unwinding migration is likely to solve Britain's deepest woes, most of which are但是,不减少的移徙有可能解决英国最深重的灾难,其中多数是:
435domestically manufactured, not imported.国内制造,非进口.
436With every disappointing year, with the failure of every backfiring government policy,每逢令人失望的一年,每一次反政府政策的失败,
437the nostalgia for British exceptionalism has grown stronger.对英国特殊主义的怀旧已经变得更加强烈。
438Restoration to global hegemony is impossible.恢复全球霸权是不可能的。
439Stabilization is achievable, but only if Britain's next ruling class does something that its稳定是可以实现的,但只有英国的下一个统治阶级 做一些它自己的
440governments over the past two decades have not managed.过去20年中,政府未能成功。
441Stop choosing the self-harming option.停止选择自我伤害的选择.
442Arresting the current trajectory of decline will require the recognition of a hard truth.要遏制目前的衰退趋势,就必须承认一个确凿的真相。
443What broke Britain was not Brussels, bad luck, or bankers.打破英国的不是布鲁塞尔,不是运气不好,也不是银行家。
444The British broke Britain.英国人打破了英国.
445To mend it, they must first stop breaking it further.为了弥补它,他们必须首先停止进一步打破它。
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