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新任联合国驻华协调员常启德,携手中国学者薛澜、高志凯,聊了聊

字幕摘录

时间英文中文
0:04Good evening everyone and welcome to the Yale Center of Beijing, Yale University's home大家晚上好 欢迎来到耶鲁大学 北京耶鲁中心
0:10here in China.在中国
0:12I'm Carol Lee Rafferty, the managing director of the center and also a Yale College我是卡罗尔·李·拉费蒂 中心总经理 还有耶鲁大学
0:18alumna.校友们
0:20Today for the benefit of some of our new distinguished guests and now also some of our new今天,为了我们的一些新贵宾,现在也为了我们的一些新贵宾,
0:25admitted students at Yale College.耶鲁学院招生.
0:28I think you're sitting together, I'm not sure.我想你们坐在一起,我不确定
0:30Yay!赞!
0:33I'm going to give a quick introduction about what the center is about.我要简短地介绍一下中心是什么
0:37So founded in 2014,故于2014年创立.
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序号英文中文
1Good evening everyone and welcome to the Yale Center of Beijing, Yale University's home大家晚上好 欢迎来到耶鲁大学 北京耶鲁中心
2here in China.在中国
3I'm Carol Lee Rafferty, the managing director of the center and also a Yale College我是卡罗尔·李·拉费蒂 中心总经理 还有耶鲁大学
4alumna.校友们
5Today for the benefit of some of our new distinguished guests and now also some of our new今天,为了我们的一些新贵宾,现在也为了我们的一些新贵宾,
6admitted students at Yale College.耶鲁学院招生.
7I think you're sitting together, I'm not sure.我想你们坐在一起,我不确定
8Yay!赞!
9I'm going to give a quick introduction about what the center is about.我要简短地介绍一下中心是什么
10So founded in 2014,故于2014年创立.
11the Yale Center of Beijing is actually Yale University's first and only university-wide北京的耶鲁中心其实是耶鲁大学的第一个 也是唯一的全大学
12center outside of the U.S. representing all of its 14 schools.代表美国所有14所学校
13So in a way it's a little bit like所以,在某种程度上,它有点像
14Yale University's embassy in China and throughout the year since 2014 we've held hundreds of events耶鲁大学驻华大使馆 2014年起全年举办数百场活动.
15convening leaders from academia, business, government, arts and sciences for important召集学术界、商界、政府、艺术界和科学界的领导人
16conversations on the most important and pressing topics in the world.就世界上最重要和最紧迫的主题进行对话。
17And tonight we're very今晚我们非常
18delighted to convene this conversation on forming partnerships and pushing for multilateralism很高兴召集这次关于建立伙伴关系和推动多边主义的对话
19and collaboration with our distinguished guests.并配合我们的贵宾。
20We have Ambassador Siddhartha Chatterjee,我们有西达莎·查特吉大使
21the United Nations resident coordinator in China.联合国中国驻地协调员。
22We have Dean Shirlun from the Schwarzman College施瓦兹曼学院的希伦院长
23of Tsinghua University and we have Dr. Victor Gao who is the chairman of the Yale Law School清华大学的Victor Gao博士是耶鲁法学院的院长
24Association in China and of course our moderator, former anchor of CCTV's international在中国的协会,当然还有我们的主持人, CCTV前国际主播
25(原始内容存档于2018-09-29). Network, CGTM.
26Tonight we're very happy to be collaborating on organizing this event今晚我们很高兴合作组织这次活动
27with the Yale Club of Beijing, our local alumni association, the Princeton Alumni Association of Beijing与北京耶鲁俱乐部,我们的当地校友会,北京普林斯顿校友会合作
28and the ambassador with his tie and the Harvard and Harvard Kennedy School Clubs of Beijing.和领带的大使 以及哈佛和哈佛肯尼迪学校俱乐部 北京。
29Yay!赞!
30See we're very open platform here, we welcome all of you.看到我们非常开放的平台在这里, 我们欢迎你们所有人。
31And I'm going to give a brief introduction of all of our distinguished guests as well.我将简短地介绍一下我们所有的贵宾
32So Ambassador Siddhartha Chatterjee, he was recently appointed as the United Nations因此,西达塔·查特吉大使最近被任命为联合国
33resident coordinator in China and presented his credentials to President Xi at the Great向习近平主席递交全权证书
34Hall of the People very recently.人民大会堂最近。
35He is, well as a resident coordinator, he is the highest作为驻地协调员,他是最高的
36ranking official in the United Development Program, United Nations Development Program,在联合国开发计划署、联合国开发计划署、
37as well as the highest ranking representative of the UN Secretary General in the country以及联合国秘书长在该国的最高级别代表
38and reports to the UN Secretary General.并向联合国秘书长报告。
39In the past 25 years he's been a senior diplomat过去25年他是资深外交官
40at the United Nations, at the Red Cross Movement and he is a three-time TED Talk speaker as well在联合国,在红十字运动中,他也是三次TED演讲演讲者
41as a regular contributor to renowned international and Chinese publications.作为知名国际和中国出版物的经常贡献者.
42He is a graduate, he has他是一个毕业生,他
43a master's degree in public policy from Princeton University as well as a bachelor's degree from普林斯顿大学公共政策硕士学位和
44the National Defense Academy of India.印度国防学院。
45So let's welcome him.让我们欢迎他。
46今天我们还有清华大学Schwarzman学院的Sherlan院长
47which is also a very close friend with Yale University in many ways.他在许多方面也是耶鲁大学的亲密朋友。
48Dean Sherlan was before谢伦院长以前是
49his role at Schwarzman College a distinguished professor and dean at the Tsinghua School of他在施瓦兹曼学院的角色是清华学院杰出教授兼院长
50Public Policy and Management.公共政策和管理。
51He was instrumental in launching the school and in propelling the他对学校的启动和推动
52school into a top-ranking public policy program in the region.学校成为本区域最高级的公共政策方案。
53He also acts as a senior advisor他还担任高级顾问
54to the government of China, the State Council, to distinguished institutions such as the Harvard致中国政府,国务院,哈佛大学等杰出机构
55Kennedy School and he also 曾担任布鲁金斯研究所的非常驻研究员,并正在
56United Nations University Council as well as the Leadership Council of the United Nations Sustainable联合国大学理事会和联合国可持续
57Development Network.发展网.
58Thank you.谢谢
59Let's welcome him.让我们欢迎他。
60And we have Dr. Victor Cao from Yale University.还有耶鲁大学的曹维克多博士
61He has two degrees from Yale, a degree from Yale他有两个学位耶鲁,一个学位耶鲁
62Law School and a master's in politics, political science from the Yale Graduate School of Arts and法学院和耶鲁大学文学院政治学硕士
63Sciences.科学.
64He was a high-ranking official with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and served as曾任外交部高级官员,
65the English interpreter for the late Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping.中国已故领导人邓小平的英文译员.
66He has been a leader in他是一个领导者
67many corporations in investment banking and private equity and he's a frequent contributor许多投资银行和私人股权的公司 他经常出钱
68and commentator on international and Chinese media.国际及中国媒体评论员.
69So let's welcome him as well.那就欢迎他吧
70And today we're delighted to have our moderator, Mr. Ray Yang, with us.今天,我们很高兴我们的主持人,雷·杨先生与我们在一起。
71He is not new to the center他不是新来的中央
72as he has moderated a number of events here both as a CGTN anchor as well as now as founder and CEO作为CGTN的主播 以及创始人兼首席执行官 他主持过很多活动
73of his company, international media company Smart East.他的公司, 国际媒体公司Smart East。
74So I'm just going to tell everyone about所以我要告诉大家
75the format of tonight.今晚的形式。
76We're going to have a one-hour long, approximately one-hour long我们将有一个小时长,大约一个小时长
77panel discussion and then we'll open up the floor to Q&A.小组讨论然后我们把地板打开给QQA.
78So without further ado, let's所以,不做进一步的,让我们
79welcome all of our distinguished guests and start the discussion.欢迎所有贵宾并开始讨论。
80Thank you very much.谢谢
81Thank you, Carol, for the nice introduction.谢谢你,卡罗尔,很好的介绍。
82Very substantial and informative.内容丰富,内容丰富。
83Quite honored.非常荣幸
84Good evening, ladies and gentlemen.晚上好 女士们先生们
85It's a big honor for me to be invited to host this我很荣幸能受邀主持这个会
86meaningful dialogue at the Yeo Beijing Center on Groupalization and Multilateralism.北京集团化和多边主义中心进行有意义的对话。
87The dynamics动态
88of globalization is based on clarity of rules and our understanding about it.全球化的基础是规则的明确性和我们对它的理解。
89A beneficiary受益人
90of the old world order, China says, however, it respects the authority of the United Nations但中国说,中国尊重联合国的权威
91and multilateralism.和多边主义。
92But how should we interpret a fair play and good execution of the rules但是,我们如何解释公平游戏 和良好的执行规则
93really depends on whether or how much we share the same mistakes in the commonwealth真正取决于我们是否 或多少 共同在联邦的错误
94co-prosperity.共为增益.
95We all care about terms that may best serve our national interests.我们都关心最符合我们国家利益的条款。
96Enduring challenges do arise under the global impact of protectionism, populism, and保护主义、民粹主义和
97unilateralism in recent years.近年来的单边主义。
98The vibrancy of digital technology in the global supply chain数字技术在全球供应链中的活力
99has complicated the old roadmap.使旧路线图变得复杂。
100What was taken for granted is called into question as we see正如我们所看到的那样,什么被认为是理所当然的受到质疑。
101acquired a shift of wealth and influence from a skeptical west to a confident east.获得了财富和影响力的转变,从怀疑的西方转向自信的东方.
102Emerging markets or G20 promise to replace the old regime of G7.新兴市场或20国集团承诺取代7国集团的旧制度。
103Politicians and policymakers政治家和决策者
104start to redefine rules of the game.开始重新定义游戏规则.
105We need to have a convincing world leadership, but its我们需要一个令人信服的世界领导者,但是,
106credibility becomes a huge given.信誉变得巨大。
107How do we define multilateralism based on the functions我们如何根据职能界定多边主义
108of the United Nations and how should a rising second biggest economy and other catch-up ones第二大经济体和其他赶超经济体应如何应对
109fit into this framework?是否适合这一框架?
110Is the vaccines of COVID-19 a blessing or an obstacle for a freeCOVID-19疫苗是免费的祝福还是障碍?
111flow of capital, human resources, and technology?资金流动、人力资源和技术?
112Today we are pleased to have this panel.今天,我们很高兴有这个小组。
113Now first of all, let me say a few things about Sid, a distinguished speaker sitting next to me.现在,首先,让我谈谈坐在我旁边的一位杰出的发言者希德。
114I was able to interview three of your heads, the former UN chiefs, Dr. Pujus Pujuskali,我采访了你们三个头目 前联合国酋长 普朱斯·普朱斯卡利博士
115Mr. Kovyan and Mr. Ban Ki-moon.科维扬先生和潘基文先生。
116I did interviews with them on the reform of the United Nations我采访了他们关于联合国改革的谈话
117and of course what China can do to help such reform which remains a very controversial process.当然,中国可以做些什么来帮助这种改革,这仍然是一个非常有争议的进程。
118Today, however, multilateralism as one of the landmark questions we face today然而,今天,多边主义作为我们今天面临的里程碑问题之一
119needs to be addressed by you to start with.需要您首先解决。
120So we all expect him to give a 10-minute所以我们都期望他给10分钟
121open speech.公开演讲。
122Thank you.谢谢
123You might not stand up.你可能不站起来。
124Well, good evening ladies and gentlemen, and first of all,晚上好 女士们先生们 首先
125thank you very much for coming.谢谢你能来
126It's truly an honor to be together with such an illustrious和这么杰出的人在一起真是荣幸
127gathering, not only of formidable panelists, but all of you, because all of you kind of represent因为你们都代表着
128the link to multilateralism.与多边主义的联系。
129You're the voice of multilateralism.你是多边主义的声音。
130So back in 1945,1945年时
131when the charter of the UN was being signed, the first person to sign it was the Chinese在签署《联合国宪章》时,第一个签署《宪章》的人是中国人。
132representative in San Francisco.在旧金山的代表。
133So the vision of President Truman then with that charter was to所以杜鲁门总统当时的愿景是
134make sure that the United Nations becomes a bridge, a bridge to social interaction, a bridge to确保联合国成为一座桥梁、通往社会互动的桥梁、通往
135humanity.人类
136It allows for the firmament of people, dynamics, social cohesion, all coming together.它使人、动力、社会凝聚力得以凝聚。
137Because we've been through two major wars and coming out of those major wars was deep suffering.因为我们经历了两次大战 并且从那些大战中出来 痛苦深重
138The economies of Europe were completely wrecked.欧洲的经济被彻底摧毁。
139Countries that were under colonial rules were在殖民统治下的国家
140forced to get into this fight which was not their own.被迫进入这场不是他们自己的战斗。
141So there was many things that happened that所以发生了很多事情
142ensured that there was a vision that the United States had.确保美国有远见。
143So on that count, let me start by这么说吧,让我先说
144commending one of the founders of the school I attended, formerly known as the Woodrow Wilson赞扬我所就读的学校的创始人之一,原名伍德罗·威尔逊
145School for Public and International Affairs, was Woodrow Wilson himself, who had that articulation公共和国际事务学校是伍德罗·威尔逊本人,他有这样的表述:
146and that vision.和那个视觉。
147It's that as the world has come out of the Cold War chapter, there was a time of随着世界从冷战的一章中走出来,
148great rebalancing, there was a time of great integration, and we suddenly saw that here in伟大的再平衡,有一个伟大的融合时期, 我们突然看到在这里
149this country where I stand, in 1979, where the per capita GDP was $180, that transformation,1979年,我国的人均国内生产总值为180美元。
150that great leap in four decades, challenges the orthodoxy of economics.40年来的伟大飞跃 挑战着经济学的正统性
151It puts a lot of the这里面有很多
152economic perspectives on its head.经济观点在它的头上。
153It rearranges the ecosystem of the way we think about global它重新安排了我们看待全球的生态系统
154growth, about development of inclusive growth.增长,指包容性增长的发展.
155And when I look at the last seven years, we've当我看着过去的七年,我们
156seen an exponential rise of China in lifting over 19 million people out of poverty.中国使1,900多万人摆脱贫困的指数上升。
157There is something有东西
158that shows about the network of what we started in 1979 was what I would term as the three V's,显示我们1979年开始的网络 也就是我所说的三V
159and that is political will, the right public policies, and the right partnerships that这是政治意愿、正确的公共政策和正确的伙伴关系,
160but that is precisely what multilateralism is all about.但这正是多边主义的目的所在。
161It is about the political will这是关于政治意愿
162of nation-states.国家。
163It is about the public policies of nation-states, and it is about the kind of它涉及民族国家的公共政策,它涉及
164partnership.伙伴关系。
165So I believe the last 10 years was a period of great challenges, incredible challenges.因此,我认为,过去十年是一个充满巨大挑战、令人难以置信的挑战的时期。
166We came out of the Millennium Development Goals in 2016 and started on the journey of the我们于2016年从千年发展目标中走出来,开始踏上
167Sustainable Development Goals.可持续发展目标。
168And today we are in a race to achieve the SDGs, which is by 2030.今天,我们正竞相争取到2030年实现可持续发展目标。
169That race will not be won unless everybody's got a state in that game.除非比赛中每个人都有状态 否则比赛是不会赢的
170That race has to be inclusive比赛必须包容一切
171because the very principle of the Sustainable Development Goals is about giving more money.因为可持续发展目标的根本原则是给予更多的资金。
172But what COVID-19 did was it struck the world like a vote of lightning.但COVID-19所做的是,它像闪电般触动世界.
173And in 2020,而在2020年,
174we saw the contours of inequality emerge between the most developed and the most underdeveloped,我们看到最发达和最不发达之间出现了不平等的轮廓,
175between countries within countries, whether it was gender inequality being even more wider or was it国家内部国家之间的不平等问题,是否更为广泛或是否
176about economic and social aspects even more widely.关于经济和社会方面的内容更为广泛。
177If you look at the studies of Angus如果你看看安格斯的学习
178Deaton and Anne Case of Princeton University of the way the economic juggernaut of many nation-states普林斯顿大学的Deaton和Anne 案例,许多民族国家的经济模式
179have seen over the last 40 years, a relative decline.在过去的40年里,出现了相对的下降。
180And economics has an impact on the way经济学对路有影响
181politics means.政治意味着。
182And they've seen that all across the world.他们在全世界都看到了
183So you've seen a shift in the last 10所以,你看到一个转变 在过去10
184years towards more unilateralism, more nationalism, more protection, which brings what the United走向更多单边主义、民族主义、更多保护,
185Nations Secretary-General is trying to do.联合国秘书长正在努力这样做。
186And I take the point of Mr. Yu Yang when he talks about余阳先生说到这里,我以他为重
187three Secretary-General's that he interviewed, and they were all trying to make sure that they他采访了三个秘书长 他们都试图确保他们
188reform the UN.改革联合国。
189The UN is no easy task.联合国并非易事。
190It needs three C's to go with it.它需要三个C来进行。
191Huge amounts of courage,巨大的勇气,
192huge amounts of conviction, and huge amounts of revenge.巨大的信念和巨大的复仇
193Because when, you know, it was因为,当,你知道,它是
194Shakespeare who said that empires will not suffer an emptiness of purpose at the time of their莎士比亚说,帝国不会 遭受空虚的目的的时候,他们
195creation.创建。
196It is not once they get created and established do they get replaced by being ritualed.一旦他们被创造和确立,他们就会被仪式取代。
197And we ended up getting ritualized.最后我们得到了仪式。
198And each agency funded program dealing on its own,每个机构都资助了独立交易的方案
199on a particular agenda.在某一具体议程中。
200But what the Secretary-General, the incoming Secretary-General did但秘书长、新任秘书长所做的
201was he made it a part of his secretary-generation.他把它作为他一代秘书的一部分。
202He ran for elections on that.他参加竞选
203And many countries很多国家
204So what he is trying to do is to make sure, because the UN itself is at an inflection,因此,他试图做的是 确保, 因为联合国本身 处于一个失败,
205we can either be dynamic or we can be dinosaurs.我们要么是动态的 要么是恐龙
206We could actually be in the National Museum too.我们也可以去国家博物馆
207But the dynamism means that we have to be, first of all, fit for purpose.但活力意味着,我们首先必须适合目的。
208And fit for purpose means并适合目的 手段
209in every way, including intellectually, of the political capital that we are able to invest.我们有能力投资的政治资本,包括智力上的政治资本。
210Fit for purpose is when a member state, whether it's China or it's Niger, says, yes, this is the UN适合目的的是当一个成员国,无论是中国还是尼日尔,说,是的,这是联合国
211that they want.他们想要的。
212This is the UN that they aspire for.这是他们渴望的联合国。
213This is the UN that they want, believe that这是他们想要的联合国,相信
214will walk with the country into the next decade of action, into its next decade of development,将与该国一起走进下一个行动十年,进入下一个发展十年,
215into that vision of 2030.2030年的愿景。
216The second is the UN that delivers this one, that chapter of UNICEF第二,联合国提供儿童基金会的这一章。
217doing something, UNDP doing something, UNFPH doing something, is over because those kinds of做一些事情,开发署做一些事情, 基金会做一些事情,
218resources will no longer be available.资源将不复存在。
219Every country is hurting as a result of the COVID pandemic.每个国家因COVID流行病而受到伤害。
220I mean, we are looking at an economic crisis that rivals the Great Depression.我的意思是,我们正在研究一场经济危机,它与大萧条相对应。
221So what does this mean for the UN?这对联合国意味着什么?
222It means that the UN has to reinvigorate and revitalize itself,这意味着联合国必须重振和振兴自身,
223which is what the Secretary-General said.这是秘书长所说的。
224And the third problem is to make sure that we leave no第三个问题是要确保我们不离开
225reality.现实
226And which means leaving no country, no state, no community, no people behind because这意味着没有国家 没有国家 没有社区 没有人民
227what we saw is when communities were left behind, whether it was a pandemic or it was a natural我们所看到的是,当社区被抛在后面, 无论它是流行病还是自然的
228disaster, it spreads and it has its seasonal borders.灾难,它蔓延 并有它的季节性边界。
229So we have an opportunity to again所以我们有机会再来一次
230reinvent the UN in a very different way.以非常不同的方式革新联合国。
231And this is what precisely China's talking about.这就是中国说的
232It's a resurrection, the renaissance of the United Nations.这是一个复活, 联合国的复兴。
233It's like the renaissance of这就像复兴
234the Catholic faith in the 15th century when we saw the renaissance happening with Martin Luther15世纪天主教的信仰,当我们看到马丁路德的复兴
235from Germany and said, yes, the Catholicism has to change because Catholicism itself had gone into从德国说,是的,天主教必须改变,因为天主教本身已经进入
236a state of innate inertia.内在惯性状态。
237So that moment is here.因此,这一时刻就在这里。
238And I believe when I look at the next nine years我相信当我看着接下来的九年
239of 2030, ladies and gentlemen, I'm filled with a sense of optimism at home2030年 女士们先生们 我满怀乐观
240because I'm standing in a country which is, even when I interact, when I look at my environment因为我站在一个国家, 即使在我互动, 当我看着我的环境时,
241around me, it is one of hope and inspiration.围绕我,这是一个希望和灵感。
242It's a model that we could actually be sharing这是一个模型,我们实际上可以分享
243with the rest of the world.与诸众生.
244Today, very interestingly, this morning with the Irish Ambassador,今天,非常有趣的是,今天上午与爱尔兰大使,
245I co-hosted a meeting which brought together member states and brought together many, many我共同主办了一次会议,使会员国聚集一堂,使许多会员国聚集一堂。
246Chinese officials, including from the party school, etc.中国官员,包括党校官员等.
247And we all gathered in one big hall to我们都聚集在一个大大厅里
248discuss SDG 2 and the acceleration to food security and agriculture.讨论可持续发展目标2和加速实现粮食安全和农业。
249Fascinating to have迷人的拥有
250several African countries, European countries, the American Chamber of Commerce, British Chamber几个非洲国家、欧洲国家、美国商会、英国商会
251of Commerce, the Chinese government's three DGs from MFA and agriculture, rule revitalization,商务部,中国政府的三大司职 来自外交部和农业, 统治振兴,
252all sitting in the same room.都坐在同一间房里
253So it's my third month here.所以,这是我在这里的第三个月。
254I've already seen, we can see the我已经看到,我们可以看到
255opportunity of that change coming in, of an opportunity of hope.充满希望的机会
256And it's really up to us这真的取决于我们
257as a collective hope on how we are able to shape that narrative with our counterparts and governments作为我们如何与我们的对口单位和政府一起塑造这种叙事的集体希望
258all over the world because we have alumni networks everywhere.因为我们到处都有校友网
259The Dean of the school I attended is我就读的学校的校长是
260right now, I did my China policy paper under her and she's Biden's Chief Economic Advisor.现在,我做了我的中国政策文件 在她和她是拜登的首席经济顾问。
261She's the Chair of the Economic Council.她是经济委员会主席.
262So it's our network that we should be able to do因此,这是我们的网络 我们应该可以做的
263and connect in order to really connect, catalyze and convene global perspectives towards a common和连接,以便真正连接、催化和召集全球视角,实现共同
264share.共享。
265Thank you.谢谢
266Thank you, Sid.谢谢你,希德。
267And I believe you are overqualified to be run for the next我相信你是超资格 竞选下一个
268Indian Prime Minister.印度总理.
269We are all impressed by your very inspiring speech.我们大家都对你的非常鼓舞人心的讲话印象深刻。
270I have many questions我有很多问题
271to start with Victor.从维克多开始
272A beneficiary of the old world order and certainly an important part of旧世界秩序的受益者,当然是世界秩序的重要组成部分。
273this old world order since 1945, the end of the second world war, China does expect to continue自从1945年第二次世界大战结束以来的这个旧世界秩序,中国确实希望继续下去
274to benefit from modern capitalism.从现代资本主义中获益。
275It's no exaggeration to say that both China and the说中国和中国
276world are of great importance to multilateralism.世界对多边主义非常重要。
277The Biden administration, needless to say,拜登政府 不用说
278is trying to rebuild its alliance of values and prosperity with the other side of the正在试图重建其价值观和繁荣的联盟,与另一方
279Atlantic Ocean.大西洋报.
280So my question for you, where exactly do you stand on the issue, for example,所以,我问你, 你对这个问题的立场,例如,
281whether multilateralism is outage given the huge global impact of unilateralism and protectiveness鉴于单边主义和保护性的巨大全球影响,多边主义是否已经停止
282the campaign's success of Donald Trump?唐纳德·特朗普的竞选成功?
283Thank you very much, Yang Rui and Professor Xue.谢 very,杨瑞和薛教授.
284It's a这是一个
285great honor to share this important panel with you.很荣幸与你分享这个重要面板
286I think China earned its place at the United我认为,中国赢得了它的地位 在联合
287Nations and its Security Council back in 1945.1945年各国及其安全理事会。
288China was one of the most important founding中国是最重要的创始国之一
289members of the United Nations and then back in 1971, China resumed its seat at the United Nations.中国在1971年恢复在联合国的席位。
290That's again a very important day in China's history.这又是中国历史上非常重要的一天.
291I would say when both China and the我会说,当中国和
292United States presented their signed documents to the United Nations Secretary General for the Paris美国向负责巴黎事务的联合国秘书长提交了其签署的文件。
293Climate Change Accord, that was one of the most important and happiest day for mankind as a whole气候变化协议,这是全人类最重要和最幸福的一天之一
294and when the United States withdrew from the Paris Climate Accord under President Trump,而当美国退出了特朗普总统领导下的巴黎气候协议,
295it was one of the saddest today for mankind as a whole and it gives me reason to be more optimistic这是今天整个人类最悲哀的一件事 让我有理由更加乐观
296now that the United States is back at the Paris Climate Change Accord under President Biden现在,美国回到了拜登总统领导下的巴黎气候变化协议
297because it bodes well for mankind as a whole as well as for China-U.S. relations because at least因为它预示着整个人类 以及中美关系
298these two most important countries can have a meaningful cooperation on the international front这两个最重要的国家可以在国际上进行有意义的合作。
299under the United Nations headed climate change corporations.联合国气候变化公司负责人。
300Now China is a big supporter of the现在中国是大支持者
301current international order and this is very important because lots of people in the United这一点非常重要,因为联合国很多人
302States failed to understand this very important thing about China.国家未能理解中国的这一非常重要的事情。
303China does not want to rock中国不想摇摆
304a boat.一条船。
305China wants to support the existing international order and it will be very中国希望支持现有的国际秩序,它将非常
306unconstructive if the United States wants to jump the boat from the existing order as we understand如果美国想从我们所理解的现有秩序中跳下船,那就毫无建设性了
307it and try to recreate another order which we do not know.并尝试重建另一个我们不知道的顺序。
308So first of all I think China and the所以,首先我认为中国和
309United States need to work together to make sure that the international order that we have today美国需要共同努力,确保我们今天的国际秩序。
310are maintained for years if not decades and if not even longer to come and China and the United维持数年甚至几十年,如果未来甚至更长,中国和联合国
311States need to get along with each other whether they like each other or not.国家无论喜欢与否,都需要彼此和睦相处。
312I've come up with aи稱
313firm belief that to live and let live is the only right thing and the only logical thing for China坚信活着和放生是中国唯一正确和合乎逻辑的事
314and the United States.美国和美国。
315They do not need to love each other or like each other but they need to他们不需要彼此相爱或相爱 但是他们需要
316live and let live.生活和让生活。
317That is China need to live and we need to let the United States live and the这就是中国需要生存,我们需要让美国活下来
318United States needs to live and let China live.美国需要活下去,让中国活着.
319That's the minimum thing for the world today and这是今天世界的最低条件
320that's the foundation for multilateralism.这是多边主义的基础。
321If one country wants to put itself on top of all the other如果一个国家想把自己 置于其他一切之上
322countries or if one single country wants to put itself on top of China it will be a very chaotic如果一个国家想把自己放在中国之上,那将是一个非常混乱的状态
323world and it also gives me hope to see that Ambassador Chatterjee is here as the highest也给我带来了希望 查特吉大使在这里是最高的
324ranking UN officials in China.排名中国联合国官员.
325For your information very quickly I'm a family of the United Nations.很快的,我是一个联合国大家庭。
326My wife is a permanent staff member of the United Nations.我的妻子是联合国的长期工作人员。
327I used to work with the United Nations我曾经同联合国合作
328secretary in New York.纽约秘书。
329Our two daughters attended the UN international school in Manhattan so if我们的两个女儿在曼哈顿的联合国国际学校上学,如果
330the ambassador needs a volunteer in Beijing I'm always ready.大使需要一位志愿者,我随时都准备好
331Thank you very much.谢谢
332Victor, good for you.维克多,对你有好处。
333Your wife is a permanent employee of the United Nations.你的妻子是联合国的长期雇员。
334It means most of这意味着大部分
335the time we are doing shopping in New York you can do it duty-free.我们在纽约购物的时候 你可以免关税的
336UN does have to save a lot of联合国确实需要节省很多
337money and energy of course.当然是金钱和精力
338So Professor Sher, what are your comments on the importance of谢尔教授,你对
339multilateralism given the challenges arising from unilateralism and protectionism?鉴于单边主义和保护主义带来的挑战,多边主义?
340Well I fully agree with Victor's point that we need to support and strengthen the multilateralism我完全同意维克多的观点,即我们需要支持和加强多边主义
341but let me also say that the multilateralism at its current state is not enough.但是,我还要说,多边主义的现状还不够。
342We need a version two, version three, given the challenge we face.鉴于我们面临的挑战,我们需要第二版,第三版。
343So I think you mentioned所以我觉得你提到
344about the UN reform.关于联合国改革。
345Let me just take the one example, the WHO.让我举一个例子,卫生组织。
346I think this pandemic really我觉得这个流行病真的
347revealed many, many weaknesses in the global public health system and I think I was told that暴露了全球公共卫生系统的许多弱点,我想我被告知
348the WHO's budget is less than a research hospital in New York.卫生组织的预算还不到纽约的一家研究医院。
349Can you imagine?你能想象吗?
350So I think that所以我觉得
351indeed we need to strengthen the current multilateralism in many, many ways and also确实,我们需要在许多方面和在很多方面加强目前的多边主义。
352there are many new challenging issues that will not have any institution that can address those有许多新的挑战性问题,没有任何机构能够解决这些问题。
353issues.问题。
354I think climate change is likely.我认为气候变化是可能的。
355Now we have this kind of system but I think there are现在我们有这种系统 但我认为有
356many other things like for example in the area of AI technologies and in many, many other fields其它很多事情 比如AI技术领域 以及很多其它领域
357so we actually need a lot more institutions to be created and be expensive.因此,我们实际上需要 更多的机构被创建 和昂贵。
358So I think that I所以我觉得
359run the way but also that's not enough.运行的方式,但也不够。
360We need to do more to strengthen the system.我们需要做更多的工作来加强这一制度。
361Thank you Peter and Professor Xue.谢谢你彼得和薛教授
362You have put a lot of interesting points into your individual你给个人留下了很多有趣的点子
363perspectives.观点。
364Let me get back to Sid.让我回到西德。
365With a clear focus on two most important multilateral明确侧重于两个最重要的多边
366values since 1945, the World Bank and the IMF.自1945年以来,世界银行和货币基金组织的价值。
367Now since there are no signs indicating clearly现在没有明显的迹象了
368that the trade war if any between the United States and China is receding seriously.美国和中国之间的贸易战争正在严重退缩。
369Do you你会吗?
370believe that the process of increasing China's voting powers at the World Bank and the认为中国在世界银行和
371International Monetary Fund will come to a halt?国际货币基金组织会停摆吗?
372The old world financial order is actually based on United States currency, US dollars.旧世界金融秩序实际上以美元货币为基础。
373But given the separation of US dollars from golden standards in the early 1970s,但是,鉴于美元与黄金标准在1970年代初分离,
374the United States is still, I mean US dollars still viewed as the most important reserve美元仍然是最重要的储备
375and global payment.以及全球支付。
376Do you think the current tensions between the two biggest economies你认为两个最大的经济体之间 目前的紧张关系
377threaten to suspend this process that China will have a more important say, a voting power威胁要中止这一进程 中国将拥有更重要的发言权
378for example with the special drawing rights to the basket that gathers all the例如,对收集所有
379major policies about the sovereignty of the individual nation states?关于个别民族国家主权的重大政策?
380So like any other institution, the Bretton Woods also need to go through a dramatic所以,像任何其他机构一样,布雷顿森林也需要经历一个戏剧性的
381reform.改革。
382So whether it's the World Bank or the IMF, but therefore we are also seeing the emergence因此,无论是世界银行还是国际货币基金组织, 但我们也看到了这个现象
383of regional banks like the Asia Bank, the Africa Bank, the AIIB.亚洲银行、非洲银行、亚投行等区域银行。
384In fact I had the AIIB recently其实我最近有亚投行
385join the UN country team as a member because it's again an example of multilateralism at a regional加入联合国国家工作队是因为它再次成为区域多边主义的典范
386level.级别。
387So like everything else, the problem with institutions is over time they develop inertia所以像其他一切一样, 机构的问题 在于随着时间推移,它们变得惰性
388and once that inertia develops deep roots come in and therefore the change becomes difficult.一旦惯性发展到深层 变化就会变得困难
389So I think that change is absolutely mission critical to happen including like the UN,因此,我认为变革绝对是关键的任务 包括联合国,
390but to me the US and China represent hope to the world.但对我来说,美国和中国代表着世界的希望。
391Their coupling represents hope to他们的结合代表着希望
392and bringing the best.并带来最好的。
393I mean today when I look at this network of US educated我的意思是,今天,当我看到 这个网络 美国教育
394Ivy League schoolers who are influencing the public policy space at every level,常春藤联盟的校友 影响各级公共政策空间,
395China's own growth would not have happened had it not been for that knowledge that allowed如果不是这种知识允许了中国自身的增长,中国就不会有这样的增长。
396China's human capital to also develop from.中国的人力资本也从发展起来。
397You know there was someone asking me, how would you你知道有人问我,你会怎么做
398best describe China's growth as I said it's MPH.最好描述一下中国的增长,就像我说的是MPH.
399So the M stands for meritocratic.故M代表功德.
400You could be from你可能来自
401remote village, but if you've got the talent you can still get to wherever you want to.边远的村庄,但是如果你有天赋 你仍然可以得到任何地方。
402The P is pragmatism.P是实用主义。
403You embrace all forms of knowledge and allowed it to get into your你接受各种形式的知识,让它进入你的
404research, into your technology and the edge was on.研究, 研究你的技术和边缘。
405So you moved your economy to an MPH process所以,你把经济转移到了MPH进程
406and kept it moving.并保持它移动。
407And I think when I look at the US and China, when I look at my own self,当我看着美国和中国 当我看着我自己的时候
408I come from a family that was displaced.我来自一个流离失所的家庭。
409My country was partitioned into three.我国被分为三个。
410My father我父亲
411had to flee from one part of the country to the other.不得不从该国的一个地方逃到另一个地方。
412The fact that I had an opportunity to get我有一个机会
413into one of the top schools gave me an opportunity and opened up doors.进入顶尖的学校 让我有机会打开大门
414I really believe that our我真的相信,我们
415role should be to look at where those points of convergence are and it's the climate for sure作用应该是研究这些趋同点在哪里,这是肯定的气候
416that we can actually make a massive difference.我们实际上可以做出巨大的改变。
417It's rebuilding economics它正在重建经济
418and getting the US and China to help the rest of the developing world come up.让美国和中国 帮助其他发展中国家崛起
419It's coming together都出来了
420around health.与健康有关
421And this time at the BOP forum there were four weaknesses or four deficits而这次在BOP论坛,有四个弱点或四个缺点
422which was an outcome of the 2030 agenda.这是2030年议程的成果。
423The first deficit is a health deficit.第一个赤字是健康赤字。
424The second第二个
425deficit is a digital deficit.赤字是一种数字赤字。
426The third is a green deficit.第三是绿色赤字。
427The fourth is an infrastructure deficit.第四是基础设施短缺。
428Right, I'm coming to that.好吧,我来了。
429I just wrote a piece about that and I said there are two deficits that我只是写了一篇关于这个的,我说有两个缺陷
430underpin these two and one is a trust and one is a deficit of multilateralism.支持这两个方面,一个是信任,一个是多边主义的缺失。
431But you know what?但你知道吗?
432It's people who help develop trust.是帮助发展信任的人
433It is the people-to-people connectivity that we have to我们必须把人与人联系起来
434help develop trust.帮助发展信任。
435Frankly, I'm saying this with every emphasis at my disposal that the next 10坦白地说,我用我的所有重点说 接下来的10个
436years will see a much better upswing in relationships across the world.多年来,全世界的关系将会有更好的上升。
437I'm quite confident.我相当有信心。
438Yet another focus on an embarrassing question about the prospects of the WTO.另一个重点是世贸组织前景的尴尬问题。
439We are all talking我们都在谈论
440about the reform of the United Nations and one important multilateral body is of course当然,关于联合国改革和一个重要的多边机构
441the World Trade Organization.世界贸易组织。
442We all understand that towards the closing days of Donald Trump's我们都明白 在唐纳德·特朗普的闭幕日
443administration the appellate body of the World Trade Organization was basically dead because世界贸易组织上诉机构由于
444majority of the judges disappeared.多数法官失踪。
445The Trump administration was not very supportive of this川普政府对此并不十分支持
446idea, settling trade disputes through the appellate body.通过上诉机构解决贸易纠纷。
447Now, trained as a JD at Yale, Dr. Gao,现在,在耶鲁接受过JD训练,高博士
448are you optimistic that the process of reforming the World Trade Organization你对世界贸易组织的改革进程感到乐观吗?
449will go ahead as scheduled?照计划进行吗?
450Or do you think the Biden administration will carry on the legacy of或者你认为拜登政府会继承
451the Trump administration and trade disputes threaten to further erode the dynamics of globalization?特朗普政府和贸易争端有可能进一步侵蚀全球化的动态?
452Thank you, Yang Rui.谢谢杨锐.
453By nature, I'm an eternal optimist.自然,我是一个永恒的乐观主义者。
454So if you ask me about anything,所以,如果你问我什么,
455I'm always optimist.我总是乐观。
456I'm always optimistic.我总是很乐观
457That's by my nature.照我的本性
458Number two is that before二号是以前
459answering the WTO, I would say in the medium and longer term, I'm very optimistic about China-U.S.中长期而言,我对中美关系非常乐观。
460relations because I know for sure, and I can get my house with you, that with the passage of time,关系,因为我知道肯定, 我可以得到我的房子与你, 随着时间的推移,
461the current hostility in Washington against China will eventually mellow down.现在华盛顿对中国的敌意 最终会消退
462China and the United中国与联合国
463States are not destined to be enemies against each other.国家注定不会相互敌对。
464That's my firm belief.这是我的坚定信念。
465That gives me all这让我所有
466optimism about China-U.S. relations, not for today, but for the medium and longer term.对中美关系持乐观态度,不是今天,而是中长期.
467We can go into我们可以进去了
468more details about what do I mean by medium and longer term.更多关于我中长期含义的详情。
469But on that basis, it gives me但在此基础上,它给了我
470optimism for WTO reform.对世贸组织改革的乐观态度。
471I believe now the resistance against WTO reform is mainly from我认为,对世贸组织改革的抵制主要来自
472the United States.美国。
473And the basis of the U.S. opposition against WTO reform is mainly because而美国反对世贸组织改革的基础主要在于
474it's misjudgment about how to take on China, whether China is an enemy, is a rival, is a competitor,它错误地判断了如何占领中国, 无论中国是敌人,是对手,是竞争对手,
475etc.页:1
476It's all very confused in Washington about China.华盛顿对中国都非常困惑.
477So I think one thing we can do is to really所以我想我们可以做的一件事就是
478let the United States know better about China.让美国更了解中国.
479For example, one thing we can all do together is to例如,我们可以一起做的一件事就是
480tell the American people who really paid the tariffs that the U.S. government has charged on告诉美国人民谁真的支付了 关税,美国政府已经收取
481Chinese exports to the United States.中国出口美国.
482It's not the Chinese government.这不是中国政府。
483It's not the Chinese exporters.不是中国的出口商
484It's the American importers and the American consumers eventually.最终是美国进口商和美国消费者.
485I think President Biden's我认为拜登总统
486administration should at least have that decency of telling the truth to the American people,政府至少应该有 向美国人民说实话的体面,
487if not about many other things, at least about who really paid the tariff, because the tariff如果不是很多事情, 至少关于谁真正支付关税, 因为关税
488is really just a tax on the American people for whatever that is imported from China.其实只是美国人民从中国进口的税
489And about还有
490one third of the Chinese exports to the United States is actually made by American companies中国对美国出口的三分之一实际上是美国公司做的
491operating in China.在中国经营。
492So if we really can explain the situation to the American government, to the所以,如果我们真的可以 解释的情况 美国政府,向
493United States, against reform of the WTO.美国,反对世贸组织改革.
494Now, having said that, at present, I think WTO is more现在,说到这里,我认为世贸组织更
495or less dead, if not operative in an efficient way.或更少的死亡,如果不是有效操作。
496And this is why now the focus is on setting up more这就是为什么现在的重点是 建立更多的
497multilateral or regional free trade arrangements or trade agreements, etc., which probably will多边或区域自由贸易安排或贸易协定,等等,可能
498replicate the situation going forward.复制未来的情况。
499But I suppose it will take at least five to ten years不过我想至少要五到十年
500before real serious reform of the WTO can really take place.在世贸组织真正进行真正的认真改革之前。
501And that period of time should这段时期应该
502correspond more or less to one thing.或多或少对应一件事。
503That is, within ten years, the overall size of the Chinese也就是说,在十年之内,中国人的整体规模
504economy will be larger than that of the United States.经济将大于美国。
505I think once we cross that most important我想一旦我们穿过那个最重要的地方
506point of no return, Washington will have to mellow down.华盛顿将不得不低调
507So I hope you will join me in my optimism.因此,我希望你与我一样感到乐观。
508Don't always be distraught by the hostilities now between China and the United States.现在中美两国之间的敌对行为,不要总是心烦意乱.
509In the在那个
510medium and long term, China and the United States will need to get along with each other.中长期,中美两国需要和睦相处.
511Live and let live is the mega trend going forward.生活与生活是向前发展的巨大趋势。
512Thank you.谢谢
513Thank you so much, Victor, for your谢谢你,维克多,谢谢你
514mystic note in the self-fulfilling prophecy.在自我实现的预言中神秘的笔记.
515But may I have the benefit of doubt as to whether但能否让我怀疑
516WTO will continue to perform its role?世贸组织将继续发挥其作用?
517My next question actually is a noble one.我的下一个问题其实是一个崇高的问题。
518I'd like to open我想打开
519this floor to three of the panelists here.这层楼是给这里的三位小组成员的
520The question is, and I need to have a debate,问题是 我需要辩论一下
521now one important reason that threatens to undermine the normal functions of the WTO is现在有可能破坏世贸组织正常职能的一个重要原因是:
522how to look at the economy of China.如何看中国经济.
523Is it still the biggest developing country or developed one?它仍然是最大的发展中国家还是发达国家?
524Most Western powers argue strongly China has become an economic superpower.大多数西方强国极力主张中国已经成为经济超级大国.
525China says no.中国说不.
526We still, despite the millions of people being lifted out of poverty in the year 2020, China,尽管2020年中国有数百万人摆脱贫困,
527we argue, remains a developing country.我们说,仍然是一个发展中国家。
528So first of all, your argument, I'd like to have a debate.所以,首先,你的论点, 我想有一个辩论。
529Now, I believe there will be discrepancies in your opinion about whether China is a现在,我相信,对于中国是否是一个
530developed one or a developing country.发达国家或发展中国家。
531The pros and the cons is to share is China a developing利弊是中国的发展
532country or a developed one?国家还是发达国家?
533Depending on what you look at.取决于你所看。
534Depending on the per capita GDP?取决于人均GDP?
535Well, you mentioned I was trained at Yale Law School.你说我在耶鲁法学院受训
536Graduates from Yale Law School always耶鲁法学院毕业生
537try to avoid questions like that.尽量避免这样的问题。
538It's like whether you are still feeding your wife.就像你是否还在喂你妻子
539Yes or no?是还是不是?
540You can't answer questions like that.你不能回答这样的问题。
541But anyway, I've come up with my own coinage of a term.但总之,我已经想出了 我自己的钱一个术语。
542I've created a term calling both China and India the superpopulations.我创造了一个称中国和印度为超级人口的术语.
543Superpopulations, meaning超级人口,意指
544if any country has a population above one billion, automatically it becomes a superpopulation.如果任何国家的人口超过10亿,就会自动成为超级人口。
545I think China and India are the only two superpopulations in the world.我认为中国和印度是世界上仅有的两个超级人口.
546Now, if you try to say现在,如果你试图说
547whether China is a developed or a developing country in the world, it also reminds me of无论中国是世界上的发达国家还是发展中国家,它也让我想起
548arguments when Deng Xiaoping was asked whether a black cat is better than a white cat or icy.邓小平被问到黑猫比白猫好还是冰冷时的论点.
549You cannot answer that kind of question because the old man really said the right thing.你不能回答这种问题 因为那个老头说得没错
550He said他说
551it doesn't matter whether it's black or white.无论是黑还是白都无所谓.
552What matters is if the cat catches rice.重要的是如果猫抓住了大米。
553So I think if you look at Shanghai or Shenzhen or Guangzhou, it's very much developed.所以,我认为如果你看上海或者深圳或者广州,就非常发达.
554It's这是
555any city in Europe.欧洲的任何城市。
556My hometown, the little Suzhou, when I was born with, for example, is now故乡小苏州,以我生时为例,今已矣.
557having a population of 12 million people.有1 200万人口。
55812 million people for Suzhou.苏州一千二百万人.
559We always say the我们总是说
560mega-Shanghai versus the little Suzhou.上海对阵小苏州.
561Suzhou has 12 million people larger than any city in苏州有1200万人 比任何城市都大
562Europe.欧洲。
563Can you believe it?你能相信吗?
564Larger than any city in the United States except probably the city.比美国任何一个城市都大 除了这个城市
565Can you stop your past speech and come up with your opinion about whether his wisdom of你能停止你过去的演讲, 提出你的意见 关于他的智慧
566ambiguity always bothers me?模糊总是让我烦恼?
567But I would like to have a clear answer from you.但我想从你那里得到一个明确的答案。
568But from a United Nations perspective, we have a cooperation framework,但从联合国的角度来看,我们有一个合作框架,
569and it's a cooperation framework which is from 2021 to 2025.它是一个合作框架 从2021年到2025年。
570It's called the United Nations它叫联合国
571Sustainable Development Cooperation Framework, and this has been discussed with the government.已与政府讨论了可持续发展合作框架。
572The government itself acknowledges that there are three strategic areas here,政府自己承认这里有三个战略领域,
573people and prosperity, the planet, and partnership.人类与繁荣 地球与伙伴关系
574The government is keen to make sure that while we政府渴望确保我们
575have made significant gains in removing people out of Arctic poverty, an external shock like a在使人民摆脱北极贫困方面取得了显著进展,这种外部冲击像
576natural disaster or an economic shock should not take away those gains, which means we still have自然灾害或经济冲击不应夺走这些成果,这意味着我们仍然有
577a lot of work to do to get into the remotest parts of China, making sure that we make sure为了进入中国最偏远的地区, 需要做很多工作, 确保我们确保
578that the infrastructure, the socio-economic infrastructure is robust.基础设施、社会经济基础设施都十分健全。
579So there is work to所以还有工作要做
580be done.已经做了。
581So let's say that China today is at the point where you say $12,000 per capita GDP is very因此,让我们假设,今天的中国是 你说的12,000美元人均GDP非常
582kind of putting you into the developed country space.让你进入发达国家的空间
583Frankly, in my view, it should be in the坦白说,我认为,它应该是在
584space of $20,000 to $25,000, which is where it will go to in the next five to 10 years.20 000美元至25 000美元,这是今后5至10年将达到的目标。
585He's琌
586and perhaps the next 10 years will define that economic strength and might of China也许未来十年 将决定中国的经济实力
587when we can actually see absolute confidence.当我们看到绝对的信心时
588Now we've had a census, which has just come up现在我们做了个人口普查,刚刚开始
589that no person is below a particular per income level.任何人的人均收入水平都低于特定水平。
590Surprisingly, I found these three guest没想到我找到这三位客人
591speakers are more of a diplomat than a commentator, and their philosophical questions have further演讲者更像是外交家而不是评论家 他们的哲学问题更进一步
592puzzled me on my question as to these two issues.我对这两个问题感到困惑。
593Why the United States launched one after another美国为何逐一发动
594anti-dumping and anti-subsidy investigations against China?对中国的反倾销和反补贴调查?
595And the talent body was the place where才华横溢
596such trade disputes were supposed to be settled.这种贸易纠纷应该得到解决。
597But as Victor Gao said, to my dismay, that the但是,正如Victor Gao所说,我感到失望的是,
598So why don't we regard China as a developing or a developed one, really, besides or seals the因此,我们为什么不把中国视为一个发展中或发达的,真的,除了或封印
599fate of China being an economy that launches a dumping or a subsidy so soon?中国的命运是一个经济 启动倾销或补贴 这么快?
600To me, the WTO is working for us without a doubt.对我来说,世贸组织无疑为我们工作。
601I mean, it is precisely because there was a level我的意思是,这正是因为 有一个水平
602of, should I say, the same inertia that we are talking about.我要说,我们所说的同样惰性。
603And that is why the WTO really这就是为什么世贸组织
604needs to be rewired.需要重新连接。
605And I think, therefore, the ambition with which both China and America come因此,我认为,中国和美国的野心
606to it is absolutely critical to make sure that the newly appointed WTO Director General is given the确保新任命的世贸组织总干事获得
607keeping and the space to be able to reemerge and reinvigorate the WTO.保持和保持能够重新出现和重振世贸组织的空间。
608It's a great institution,这是一个伟大的机构,
609but it needs reforms.但它需要改革。
610Without those reforms, it is not keeping up with current.没有这些改革,它就跟不上现状。
611I mean, if we are我的意思是,如果我们
612learning tensors analysis and we realize that geometric progression in calculus has advanced我们意识到微积分中的几何进化已经进步
613to space, and if we are still learning tensors analysis, then we are caught in a different place.如果我们还在学习抗辐射分析 那么我们就被困在另一个地方
614I think that's where WTO is.我想这就是WTO的位置。
615It has to make that great leap forward in terms of its intellectual它必须在智力上实现这一巨大的飞跃
616capital as well.资本也是。
617And this is what the new Director General of WTO is trying to do.这也是世贸组织新任总干事试图做的事情。
618Now the issue of unilateralism.现在谈谈单边主义问题。
619Since the Biden administration was sworn in, in late January,自从拜登政府宣誓就职后 1月下旬
620Professor Xue, to what degree do you think this newly elected Democratic President薛教授,你觉得这位新当选的民主总统 达到什么程度?
621would change the Trump administration's policy of populism and trade protectionism?是否会改变川普政府的民粹主义和贸易保护主义政策?
622Because因为
623in this particular area, we're going to see divergence or convergence of our stakes.在这个特殊领域,我们将看到我们的利益分歧或趋同。
624China always says it loud and clear, we are a big fan of unilateralism, and we take side中国总是大声说,我们是单边主义的大粉丝,我们站在一边
625with the United Nations, and we are on the right side of history.我们站在历史的正确一边。
626I think we're still patiently我觉得我们还有耐心
627watching to see what's happening.看着看发生了什么。
628I think that at the moment, I think that我认为,现在,我想
629certainly I think from the officials from Biden administration, from their remarks and so on,我从拜登政府的官员, 从他们的言论等等看来,
630indeed this seems the intention to do that, but at the same time, we are not seeing the actual确实,这似乎是打算这样做的,但与此同时,我们没有看到实际存在的情况。
631movement.移动。
632So I think that's what I think we're watching.我想这就是我们所看到的
633And of course, I think it's当然,我认为
634understandable that the four years of Trump administration has generated a lot of poison,可以理解的是,特朗普政府的四年 产生了大量的毒药,
635you know, the atmosphere, and also has generated a lot of bad initials there.你知道,大气, 也产生了很多不好的缩写。
636So that may take some time.所以这可能需要一些时间。
637At the same time, I think that we are really looking for some与此同时,我认为我们真的在寻找一些
638political courage, I think, that can overcome this initial and then, you know, really coming out我认为,政治勇气可以克服 最初,然后,你知道,真的出来
639to fulfill and to do what they create to do.完成和做他们创造的做。
640A question for both Victor and Sid, as to on what side will the European Union stand on the issue of维克多和希德都有一个问题,即欧洲联盟将站在哪一边?
641multilateralism?多边主义?
642Since the EU does not see eye to eye with the United States on most of the issues由于欧盟在大多数问题上没有同美国保持对等
643that the Biden administration is seriously concerned with, therefore, there's likelihood拜登政府很担心 因此有可能
644that President Biden will try to align itself again with the Europeans in pushing back the拜登总统将试图再次与欧洲人结盟,推动
645alleged assertiveness of China's rights.所谓中国权利的坚定性。
646This is a little bit sensitive for Sid, but Victor,这对希德来说有点敏感 但维克多
647you are notoriously known for being evasive and dodgy.臭名昭著的以逃避和狡猾著称
648Let me have a clear answer about让我有一个清楚的答案
649whether the European Union will take the right side.欧洲联盟是否采取正确的立场。
650First of all, EU itself is a product of multilateralism, and I believe it will首先,欧盟本身是多边主义的产物,我相信它将
651remain a multilateral institution, and I hope it will remain a force for multilateralism我希望它仍将是多边主义的力量。
652rather than unilateralism, because if EU shifts into unilateralism, it will destroy EU itself.而不是单边主义,因为如果欧盟转变为单边主义,它将摧毁欧盟本身。
653That's my firm belief.这是我的坚定信念。
654Secondly, I think multilateralism, in what sense?第二,我认为什么意义上的多边主义?
655That's这是
656important, because if you talk about economic and trade, definitely, I hope and I believe,重要的是,因为如果你谈论 经济和贸易, 绝对,我希望,我相信,
657EU will remain a very important factor for multilateralism.欧盟仍将是多边主义的一个非常重要的因素。
658But if you talk about, let's say,但是,如果你谈论, 让我们说,
659in the world of today, then EU may have no other choice but to side with the United States.在当今世界上,欧盟可能别无选择,只能与美国站在一起。
660It depends on the circumstances, but I truly believe EU as a regional or international这取决于具体情况,但我确实认为欧盟是区域或国际的。
661organization will have enough independence of judgment to become a pawn of any other组织将有足够的独立判断能力,成为任何其他组织的棋子。
662international force in the world of today, and China need to really keep very good relations当今世界的国际力量,中国需要真正保持良好的关系
663with EU as a whole and all its constituent member states, and at the same time, this is my firm与整个欧盟及其所有成员国, 同时,这是我的公司
664personal belief, the world will be a better place if China and the United States can get along with如果中国和美国能和睦相处,世界将会更美好
665each other.彼此间.
666And if any force wants to distance China and the United States, that force should be如果有势力想与中美两国保持距离,那就应该
667a very unhealthy force, and none of us, I hope, will have anything to do with that.一个非常不健康的势力, 我希望,我们没有人会 与此有关。
668I hope you我希望你能够
669agree with me on this.同意我的意见
670Thank you.谢谢
671But I'm afraid there are major leadership changes in the political但恐怕政治领导班子有重大变动
672landscape of continental Europe following the Brexit.Brexit之后的欧洲大陆地貌。
673For example, Chancellor Angela Merkel例如,安格拉·默克尔总理
674is going to step down, and the head of the Green Party is rising as the most likely leader of the绿党的领袖正在崛起 作为最有可能的领袖
675next coalition government in Germany.下届德国联合政府.
676Does that, under the negative impact of COVID-19, indicate在COVID-19的负面影响下,这是否表明
677clearly that the EU will change its policy that respects multilateralism?显然,欧盟将改变其尊重多边主义的政策?
678I'd like to have your side for analysis about what the EU is going to do next.我想请你们来分析一下欧盟下一步会做什么。
679Well, I wish I had a crystal ball.我希望我有一个水晶球。
680I would have told you that, but I feel that the EU does represent我本来会告诉你的 但我觉得欧盟确实代表
681a strong spirit of multilateralism.一种强有力的多边主义精神。
682I've interacted with them today.我今天和他们互动过
683I mean, I've come out of a meeting我的意思是,我已经出来了 一个会议
684this morning, and you should ask DG Gopal or the DG from culture or the DG from brutal revitalization.今天早上,你应该问DG Gopal 或DG 从文化或DG 从残酷的振兴。
685We all felt a sense of hope.我们都感到了一种希望感。
686In that room, we were about 50 people, and it was not big enough.在那个房间里,我们大约50人,而且不够大。
687We我们
688didn't realize that we oversubscribed at that meeting.没想到那次会议上我们订的太多了
689We also had the American Chamber of我们还有美国众议院
690Commerce, the British Chamber of Commerce, the EU Chamber of Commerce, all coming together on two商务,英国商会,欧盟商会, 都聚集在两个
691fronts.前卫
692Number one, how do we work with China on the rural revitalization side?第一,如何在农村振兴方面与中国合作?
693Number two, how do二号,怎么样?
694we work with China to advance Africa's economy?我们与中国合作推进非洲经济?
695That's a 2.5 billion population by 2050.到2050年,人口达到25亿。
696It is没错
697going to be the market of the future consumers and producers.将成为未来消费者和生产者的市场。
698With the rest of the world aging,随着世界的老龄化
699which you call in demographic terms an echo, a demographic echo, you will need the new markets.从人口学角度来说,你需要一个新的市场。
700It's that there was a united voice that came out over there.这是有一个统一的声音 出来了那里。
701It was hosted by the Irish Ambassador会议由爱尔兰大使主持。
702that we all need to come together.我们都需要团结起来。
703I believe our human capital, the human race, our human progress我相信我们的人力资本,人类,人类的进步
704will be defined by the US, China, EU, all coming together under the rubric of the renewed revitalized由美国、中国、欧盟共同确定 重新振兴后
705multilateral institutions like the United Nations.联合国等多边机构。
706Therefore, the importance of that reform因此,改革的重要性
707will become even more critical.将变得更加重要。
708Without the US, without China, without EU, without Great Britain,没有美国 没有中国 没有欧盟 没有大不列颠
709without France, we would not be able to achieve that inflection point.没有法国,我们就无法达到这个错误点。
710So I'm confident that we所以我相信我们
711will see a renewal of this which is happening.将看到这种情况的重演。
712You are indeed a super fan of optimism.你确实是乐观的超级粉丝
713Let's look at我们来看看
714the forgotten sub-Saharan region, the most impoverished region in this world.被遗忘的撒哈拉以南地区, 世界上最贫穷的地区。
715Do you foresee你预见到
716benefits by this part of the world that will benefit from multilateralism, the United Nations,将受益于多边主义、联合国、
717IMF and the World Bank?货币基金组织和世界银行?
718To what degree do you think they're going to work out the shadow of你觉得他们会在什么程度上 消除阴影
719the pandemic and will sustain their economic development?并维持其经济发展?
720Economies such as Rwanda and Nigeria卢旺达和尼日利亚等经济体
721used to be very dynamic and very impressive ahead of the outbreak of COVID-19, but what's以前在COVID-19爆发前非常活跃和令人印象深刻,但什么是
722going to happen next?接下来会发生什么?
723So you know I've spent most of my career in Africa and I'm actually coming from所以,你知道我大部分的职业生涯 在非洲,我其实来自
724Kenya after six years of serving there.在肯尼亚服役六年之后。
725And in my view, sub-Saharan Africa will be the bridge or我认为,撒哈拉以南非洲将是桥梁或
726the vanguard of economic change in the rest of Africa.非洲其他地区经济变革的先锋。
727So a green infrastructure, a green BRI绿色基础设施,绿色BRI
728which connects all of Africa, brings the US's blue dot network, China's BRI, the EU's infrastructure,连结整个非洲,带来美国蓝点网络,中国的BRI,欧盟的基础设施,
729all of it needs to come together because the EU would not have taken shape had they not been这一切需要齐头并进,因为如果不是欧盟,它们就不会成形。
730connected by roads, infrastructure bridges etc.由道路,基础设施桥梁等连接.
731This is precisely what we need in Africa.这正是我们非洲所需要的。
732Africa非洲
733has an infrastructure deficit.基础设施不足。
734Without covering that infrastructure deficit, we will not be able如果不弥补基础设施的不足,我们将无法
735to kind of exponentially move the velocity of economics, commerce and trade.使经济、商业和贸易的速度急剧上升。
736And therefore,因此,
737it is in everybody's interest to actually invest in that.实际投资符合每个人的利益。
738So I'm really hoping that Africa becomes所以我真的希望非洲变成
739the spot at which the EU, the US, China, Russia, all countries come together because nobody can欧盟、美国、中国、俄罗斯、所有国家走到一起的地方,因为没有人能够
740do it alone.单干
741Now it's clear that you need governments, you need the private sector, you need现在很明显,你需要政府,你需要私人部门,你需要
742civil society institutions all uniting towards a common goal.民间社会机构都联合起来,争取实现共同目标。
743There's no question about the global毫无疑问,全球
744implications of the BRI, particularly in the sub-Saharan region.特别是撒哈拉以南地区。
745However, my question remains不过,我的问题仍然是
746whether ahead of everything African nations in this region need to get re-industrialized该地区非洲国家是否需要重新工业化?
747because infrastructure, talking smart about infrastructure, you've got to ask the basic因为基础设施,说到基础设施,你得问基本
748question as to, maybe at the end of the day, as to whether industrialization or re-industrialization是否实现工业化或再工业化的问题
749in South Africa, for example, would be the most important priority on the agenda.例如,在南非,这将是议程上最重要的优先事项。
750Most of sub-Saharan大部分撒哈拉以南地区
751Africa miss the second and third industrial revolution, most of them, except... What about the alleged非洲错过了第二次和第三次工业革命,除了. 所指称的
752digital gap?数字差距?
753Right, there is a huge digital gap.是的,有一个巨大的数字鸿沟。
754So I talked about the four deficits for the world所以我谈了世界的四大赤字
755实现SDG.
756But the prospect of taking Africa or sub-Saharan Africa into the fourth但将非洲或撒哈拉以南非洲带入第四个
757industrial revolution is actually there.工业革命实际上就在那里。
758In my view, the next five years, Kenya, Ethiopia, Tanzania,我认为,今后五年,肯尼亚、埃塞俄比亚、坦桑尼亚,
759Rwanda, Uganda, Sudan, will have a population of about 700 million by 2050.到2050年,卢旺达、乌干达、苏丹将有大约7亿人口。
760And are you alluding你在说
761quietly to the understatement of Huawei's 5G in Africa?悄悄地对华威在非洲5G的低调评价?.
762Because, you know, the industrialization因为,你知道,工业化
763of those poor economies largely depends on, particularly what you're talking about, the fourth这些贫穷经济体主要依赖,特别是你所说的第四个
764industrial revolution.工业革命。
7655G will play definitely an important role.5G肯定将发挥重要作用。
766Well, Huawei was a partner of mine华伟是我的搭档
767when we brought down maternal deaths, I just mentioned it to you.当我们把产妇死亡 刚刚提到你。
768So I don't see a contradiction我看不出有什么矛盾
769but we do need to bridge the digital divide.但我们确实需要弥合数字鸿沟。
770And we need not just Huawei, we need Google there,我们不仅需要华伟 我们需要谷歌
771we need everybody coming together with a united push to kind of cover the digital divide.我们需要大家团结起来 团结起来 努力弥补数字鸿沟
772Yes, but the professor here remains pretty quiet.是的,但这里的教授仍然相当安静。
773Victor从不回答他
774He's never replied.他从来没有回答。
775You always take the floor.你总是在发言。
776Yeah, I actually wanted to shift our focus a little bit, you know, away from the sovereign nations of是啊,我其实想转移 我们的焦点一点点, 你知道,从主权国家
777the, you know, so when we talk about multilateralism, we always talk about the, you know,所以当我们谈论多边主义时 我们总是谈论...
778sort of the nation's things.国家的东西。
779But I think there's also a trend emerging that I think that we see,但我认为也出现了一种趋势 我认为我们看到
780you know, for example, the civil societies and the networks like this one, the kind of a network,比如说,民间社会 和这样的网络, 那种网络,
781as you said, at the working level.正如你说的 在工作层面
782So, you know, on digital technology, on agriculture and so on.所以,你知道,关于数字技术, 关于农业等等。
783So I think those kind of systems are also emerging and they actually often play a much better role所以,我认为这些系统 也正在出现, 实际上它们经常发挥 更好的作用
784in addressing some of the challenges we face.解决我们面临的一些挑战。
785So I think that, you know, I think many people所以我觉得,你知道,我认为很多人
786study the national relations or know the terms of the regime complex.研究国家关系或了解政权复杂条件。
787That is, for the same就是说,同样
788issue, you have many different government systems.你有很多不同的政府制度
789Some of them are actually, you know, linked and其中一些其实是,你知道,连接和
790there are some hierarchical relations, but in many, they don't.有一些等级关系,但在许多方面,它们没有.
791So I think that we need to所以,我认为我们需要
792strengthen that type of multilateralism to supplement the failures by these nation-states加强这种多边主义,以补充这些民族国家的失败;
793of multilateralism.多边主义。
794I think that's what we actually, we should, you know, we should really我觉得这就是我们实际上, 我们应该,你知道,我们真的应该
795focus on.专心点
796And particularly this group, I think that can play that role.特别是这个团体,我认为它可以发挥这种作用。
797So I think that's where,所以,我想这就是,
798I think that we need to, we need not to forget about that part of multilateralism.我认为,我们需要,我们不应忘记多边主义的这一部分。
799So Victor.所以维克多。
800Well, I agree with V.M.好吧,我同意V. M.
801Asada and Professor Xuan.浅田和 教授.
802Let me just share with you one让我跟你分享一个
803thing.东西。
804You may remember back in the early 1980s, the small population of Hong Kong, at that time,你可能记得1980年代初 香港人口少的时候
805was much smaller than the 7 million people now they have in Hong Kong.比香港现在的七百万人还小得多
806People in Hong Kong,香港人,我们...
807at that time, had more fixed line phones than mainland China combined together.当时的固定线电话比中国大陆的组合多.
808Can you believe你能相信吗
809it?是吗?
810You can see China was really very much disadvantaged in the early 1980s.你可以看到,中国在20世纪80年代早期确实非常不利。
811It is similar类似
812to Africa today, but I believe using China as an example, if the African brothers and sisters can但是我相信如果非洲兄弟姐妹们能
813get their acts together, if they can maintain stability, if they can avoid war, if they can只要他们能维持稳定 只要他们能避免战争
814focus on building up their connectivity, infrastructure, etc., they need to do a lot of重点是加强它们的连通性、基础设施等,它们需要做大量的工作。
815things.东西。
816The disadvantages today in Africa can actually be transformed into their advantages非洲今天的不利条件实际上可以转化为他们的优势
817for tomorrow.为明天。
818And this is my firm belief for Africa.这就是我对非洲的坚定信念。
819If you look at the younger generations如果你看年轻一代
820of the African population, the vast resources and the very enriched endowments for Africa,以及非洲丰富的资源和财富,
821both in population and natural resources, you name it, they just need to get the right act together.无论是在人口还是自然资源方面,你都说,他们只需要把正确的行动集中起来。
822So I've always been thinking, if Deng Xiaoping did not reemerge in China in 1978,所以我一直想 如果1978年邓小平没有在中国复出
823but reemerged, let's say, in India, then India should have been about five times larger than在印度,印度应该比
824China today.今日中国.
825Now if there will be one Deng Xiaoping emerging in Africa today, 20 years later,如果一个邓小平今天在非洲出现 20年后
826Africa could be equally as big as China is today.非洲可以和中国今天一样大。
827So let's always hope for the miracle to happen,因此,让我们永远希望 奇迹发生,
828and we need to have the right miracle.我们需要有一个正确的奇迹。
829As a matter of fact, any person sitting in this hall today事实上,今天在座的任何人
830can be a rainmaker in Africa.在非洲可以做一个降雨者。
831You can really bring the right thing, the governors,州长们,你真的可以带来正确的东西
832the wonderful ideas, the importance of stability and innovation and creativity to Africa.稳定、创新和创造力对非洲的重要性。
833And the ambassador will be a very important bridge from China to Africa and from anywhere else to而大使将是一个非常重要的桥梁 从中国到非洲和 从其他地方到
834Africa.非洲。
835The only problem, Victor, Africa is not homogeneous.唯一的问题,维克多,非洲不是单一的。
836It's a heterogeneous entity.它是一个不同的实体。
837It's这是
838in order to make sure that the government structures, both in the upstream level when以确保政府结构,无论是在上游一级,在
839it comes to the public policy space, but at the implementation side.它涉及公共政策空间,但在执行方面。
840That's why I gave you this所以我才给你这个
841example that in 2014, even within the UN, there was a lot of opposition to us partnering up with例如,2014年,即使在联合国内部,也有很多人反对我们携手合作。
842the private sector, but results matter.私营部门,但结果很重要。
843And when this happened, even the government of Kenya stepped事情发生后 连肯尼亚政府都挺身而出
844back and said, oh my God, actually these relationships work.说,哦,我的上帝, 这些关系实际上工作。
845And they opened up space他们打开了空间
846for the United Nations, which we were not allowed into because these were pretty unstable,对于联合国,我们不允许进入, 因为这些是相当不稳定的,
847fragile.脆弱。
848And it's transformed these places.它改变了这些地方。
849If you look at them, it's like an economic juggernaut你看他们,就像一个经济杂耍家
850of change.变化。
851There's a road which was built from the port of Lamu all the way to Addis, financed by the有一条公路是从拉穆港修建的,一直到亚的斯亚贝巴,资金来自
852European Union, the African Development Bank, the government of Kenya and the government of Ethiopia,欧洲联盟、非洲开发银行、肯尼亚政府和埃塞俄比亚政府,
853built by a Chinese company on budget and in less time.由一家中国公司按预算建造,在较短的时间内建成.
854That road changed the lives of people that那条路改变了人们的生活
855lived along it.沿着它生活。
856We did a cross-border program in Ethiopia.我们在埃塞俄比亚做了一个跨界方案。
857It's online.腾讯网.
858If you just Google Kenya,如果你只是谷歌肯尼亚,
859Ethiopia, United Nations, you'll find several studies which have been done on it.埃塞俄比亚,联合国,你会发现 已经做了几项研究。
860That one那个
861group was significant enough not only to reduce conflicts, but suddenly brought mutual trade集团的重要性不仅足以减少冲突,而且突然带来相互贸易
862prosperity along the border.沿着边境繁荣。
863And that is exactly what Africa needs because the Africans targeting而这正是非洲需要的,因为非洲人的目标
864the Africa free trade area.非洲自由贸易区。
865So the governance structure will be the African Union, while each因此,施政结构将是非洲联盟,而每一个
866state like the European Union will retain its, you know, but the African Union has to be spent像欧盟那样的国家会保留它 但非洲联盟必须花掉
867just the way the European Union, just the way the ASEAN, we need a model of that sort coming up.就象欧洲联盟一样,就像东盟一样, 我们需要一个这样的模式。
868Many examples of regional integration are actually based on the success of the European Union and its区域一体化的许多例子实际上都以欧洲联盟的成功及其成果为基础。
869original economic integration.最初的经济一体化。
870However, ironically, with the Brexit of the UK, I don't think然而,讽刺的是,英国的英国人,我不认为
871other economies would still follow the example of the European Union, therefore the weaknesses of其他经济体仍将仿效欧洲联盟的做法,因此,欧洲联盟的弱点是:
872the African Union.非洲联盟
873Having said this, let's look at the role of other players in the game.说了这番话之后,让我们看看其他角色在游戏中的角色.
874For example,举例来说,
875are you sure, Sid, Professor Shea and Victor, it is the governments of sovereign states that play the希德,谢教授和维克多,你确定吗? 是主权国家的政府
876vital and pivotal role in the process of colonization, or actually it's the multinationals,在殖民化过程中 扮演重要和关键的角色 或者其实是跨国公司
877overseas multinationals.海外跨国公司.
878Now when we look at the importance of global supply chains, it is当我们审视全球供应链的重要性时,
879that giant players such as Huawei, Facebook, Twitter, you know, soft bank, I mean these global那些巨型玩家,如华威,Facebook,Twitter, 你知道,软银行,我的意思是这些全球
880players threaten to replace the role of traditional ones of individual governments.行为者威胁要取代政府的传统角色。
881Do you think that你觉得
882it is these big companies that will seal the fate of human being?是这些大公司会封住人类的命运?
883Actually I see them as an advantage.其实我把他们看成是优势
884They would actually complement the work.它们实际上将补充这项工作。
885And that is what when I talk about the renewal of当我谈论更新
886multilateralism, I see the giants like Huawei and Tencent and Google, all coming together, to多边主义,我看到像华威,Tencent和Google这样的巨人 都走到一起
887come work with the United Nations, work with member states, to advance the growth, prosperity agenda.将与联合国合作,与会员国合作,推动增长、繁荣议程。
888And that is why technology you cannot abandon.这就是为什么技术 你不能放弃。
889I think there would be five areas, and, let me我想有五个领域,让我
890to be critical for human development对人类发展至关重要
891and global perspective.以及全球观点。
892First is the space of artificial intelligence,首先是人工智能的空间
893absolutely necessary.绝对有必要
894The second is the space of semiconductors.第二是半导体的空间.
895The world has to work together in the space世界必须在太空中共同努力
896of semiconductors because that will get the velocity半导体,因为那会得到速度
897that we need for technology.我们需要技术。
898The third is quantum computing,第三个是量子计算,
899and it will need much faster decision making它需要更快的决策
900through the quantum computing networks通过量子计算网络
901in order to come to decisions or come to technologies以作出决定或技术
902or give vibrancy or scale to our two ideas.或赋予我们两个想法活力或规模。
903The fourth is biotechnology,第四是生物技术,
904and it has become even more evident越来越明显
905that we need biotechnology right out there,我们需要生物技术
906given the fact that the COVID pandemic reminded us鉴于COVID大流行提醒我们
907that we got caught on the back foot.我们被抓住在后脚。
908And the fifth is financial technology.第五是金融技术。
909If you go to Kenya, you'll be surprised.若去肯尼亚则惊.
910They are perhaps unpowered or better他们也许没有力量或更好
911than most countries in the world比世界上大多数国家
912when it comes to the MPSR system,当涉及到MPSR系统时,
913which is actually powered up by Huawei其实是华威的电源
914and a few other companies back in 2008.还有2008年的其他几家公司。
915But the remarkable nature of cashless transactions但无现金交易的显著性质
916is quickly catching up in most of sub-Saharan Africa.大多数撒哈拉以南非洲地区正在迅速赶上。
917So, you know, when I look at this whole ecosystem,所以,你知道,当我看着整个生态系统,
918it therefore inspires me with a level of hope.因此,它使我充满希望。
91925 years in the U.N., and if you're seeing a level在联合国呆了25年 如果你看到一个等级
920of energy and enthusiasm in me,我充满活力和热情
921it's because I've seen it on the ground,因为我在地面上见过
922not at Neo, not in Geneva, but on the ground.不是在尼欧 不是在日内瓦 而是在地面上
923So far, we've been able to...到目前为止,我们已经...
924So far, we are very careful to avoid a discussion到目前为止,我们非常小心地避免讨论
925a serious one about digital technology,一个严肃的数字技术,
926because the issue of decoupling China.因为与中国脱钩的问题
927I need to...我必须...
928We need to take a second look at this.我们得再看看这个
929Huawei 3 is barred, it's rejected.华伟3被禁赛,被拒绝.
930So will you, Sid, the ambassador,你也一样,希德,大使,
931show optimism that Google, Huawei,显示乐观的谷歌,华伟,
932Townsend, Alibaba are likely to come together?汤森,阿里巴巴很可能会在一起吗?
933May I have the benefit of doubt?我可以怀疑一下吗?
934The shadow of the Cold War is a sensitive issue,冷战的阴影是一个敏感的问题,
935but Professor Xie and Victor,但谢教授和维克多,
936what do you think of ideology?你觉得意识形态如何?
937Do you think China can be accepted你认为中国可以被接受吗?
938where we look at the sustainability of globalization?我们如何看待全球化的可持续性?
939Or do you think everyone is trying或者你认为每个人都在尝试
940to redefine globalization, Professor Xie?为了重新定义全球化,谢教授?
941I think that, first of all, I share, you know,我认为,首先,我分享,你知道,
942Sid's optimism about technology,希德对科技的乐观
943but I also agree with you that, indeed,但我也同意你的观点,其实,
944I think the nation states can serve as a way to,我认为,民族国家可以作为一个途径,
945in a way to promote the collaborations以增进合作的方式
946and technologies, but also can block the collaboration.技术,但也能够阻碍合作。
947So I think what the U.S. has done所以我认为美国做了什么
948by building on ideological divide,通过扩大意识形态的鸿沟,
949and actually has the potential to threaten,并且实际上有可能威胁,
950to disrupt the global supply chain,扰乱全球供应链,
951the global innovation systems,全球创新体系,
952and I think the potential cost for the world is huge.我认为世界的潜在代价是巨大的。
953So I think that that's where I think that, you know,所以我想这就是我想,你知道,
954we need to watch for and also to see我们需要观察和观察
955in what ways that can be changed.怎样才能改变这一切
956Otherwise, I think that, I think Victor has said that,否则,我认为,我认为维克多说过,
957you know, the costs, you know,你知道,代价,你知道,
958sort of the trade barriers, the cost of that贸易障碍,成本
959was, you know, bad by the U.S. general public,是,你知道,坏 美国公众,
960but I think they disrupted the supply chain,但我认为他们破坏了供应链,
961the cost would be bad by the entire world population.全世界人民将付出惨重的代价。
962Victor, how likely will the global supply chain be sustained?维克多,全球供应链能否维持下去?
963Well, it depends on the time frame you are talking about,那要看你说的时间范围
964and it depends on China-U.S. relations.这取决于中美关系
965Why?为什么?
966Because you also mentioned ideology.因为你也提到了意识形态
967I think I have confidence in the American people我想我对美国人民有信心
968being a very pragmatic people,作为一个非常务实的人,
969and I think they are being hijacked by some politicians我认为他们正被一些政客劫持
970in the United States who really see China在美国,谁真正看到中国
971as a competitor or a rival, et cetera.作为竞争者或竞争对手,等等。
972Why?为什么?
973Because they want to remain因为他们想留下来
974the largest economy in the world.是世界上最大的经济体
975But then, if we talk about what we experience in nature,但是,如果我们谈论 我们经历的自然,
976everything has its own momentum.一切都有自己的动力。
977I don't think anyone can stop China's continued development我想没有人能阻止中国的持续发展
978out of our hands, so I think one big thing从我们的手中, 所以我想一件大事
979that need to happen in the world of today需要发生在当今世界
980is for Washington to sooner or later conquer terms是华盛顿迟早要征服条件
981with the prospect and the imminent reality未来和即将到来的现实
982that China will have a larger economy than the United States.中国的经济将比美国大
983It may happen very soon.这可能很快发生。
984In five years or less than 10 years.于五年或不足十年时.
985So this is the time frame.这就是时间范围。
986Now, in this period of time,现在,在这个时期,
987and I'm afraid that in the coming four years or so,恐怕在未来四年左右
988it will get worse.它会变得更糟。
989Lots of people in Washington will start华盛顿很多人会开始
990worrying their heads off about the size of China担心中国的大小
991gaining upon the United States, et cetera.获取美国,等等。
992But eventually, see, there will be a crucial point但最终,你看, 将有一个关键点
993of no return.无法返回。
994When the Chinese economy surpasses that of the United States,当中国经济超过美国时
995and then in another 12 to 15 years,再过12到15年
996the size of the Chinese economy will be about twice中国经济规模将达到两倍左右
997as big as that of the United States.和美国的一样大
998By then, rest assured, America as a government,那时,你放心,美国作为一个政府,
999the American people as a people will mellow down.美国人民作为一个民族将沉沦。
1000They will accept a larger China as a matter of fact.事实上,他们将接受一个更大的中国。
1001They need to deal with China as a matter of fact.他们需要把中国当作事实来处理.
1002And China-U.S. relations will become more normalized.而中美关系将变得更加正常化.
1003There will be less hostility in Washington against China.华盛顿对中国的敌意将会减少.
1004And that will give rise to a better environment这将带来一个更好的环境
1005when the so-called ideology will be less important当所谓的意识形态不再重要时
1006and the diversification of technologies技术的多样化
1007between China and the United States中美关系
1008will be much less of an objective更不会是一个目标
1009for the United States to pursue.让美国去追求
1010And I think what the ambassador is talking about我觉得大使说的是什么
1011is that a more integrated world involving key areas是这样一个更加一体化的世界,涉及关键领域
1012of technology will eventually prevail.技术最终将占上风。
1013Mankind should always prefer to bring us back人类总喜欢把我们带回来
1014into the U.S.-China relationship.进入美中关系.
1015That's the key of everything we're talking about.此是一切如来所说之关键.
1016Some ice does matter, but why size cannot fit all.有些冰块确实很重要,但为什么尺寸不能完全合适。
1017Today, you may have discovered that we do enjoy今天,你可能发现 我们确实喜欢
1018this broad spectrum of public opinions这些广泛的公共舆论
1019with the ambassador being a very good example of optimism.大使是乐观主义的典范
1020And he is the representative of the U.N.他是联合国的代表。
1021which hopes to bring all major economies together希望把所有主要经济体聚集在一起
1022for the same purpose of furthering的同一目的,以推进
1023or sustaining dynamic civilization.或维持活跃的文明。
1024I thank you so much for your very convincing非常感谢你很有说服力
1025informed opinions on the issue of multilateralism关于多边主义问题的知情意见
1026and the role of the United Nations,以及联合国的作用,
1027which of course need to be reformed当然需要改革
1028through collective effort.通过集体努力。
1029Next, I'm gonna give the floor to Carol接下来我请卡罗尔发言
1030(原始内容存档于2019-09-31). For the QQA session.
1031Thank you to all of you and Mr. Yang.感谢大家和杨先生.
1032And now we're just gonna open up现在,我们只是要去打开
1033and please just raise your hands.请举起手来
1034This is sort of like a Yale, Harvard, or Princeton classroom.这有点像耶鲁、哈佛或普林斯顿的教室。
1035So yes, please, and please press on the microphone所以请按下麦克风
1036continuously to ask your question.不断问你的问题。
1037Hello.哈罗
1038And please introduce yourself very briefly请您简单介绍一下
1039and ask your question.并问你的问题。
1040Okay, hello everyone.好了,大家好,你们好
1041I'm a junior high school student for major.我是高中生,为主修
1042And thank you for your wonderful panel talking.谢谢你的精彩演讲
1043You really learned a lot.你真的学到了很多东西。
1044Well, my question is about the pragmatism我的问题是关于实用主义
1045of multilateralism.多边主义。
1046For me personally, multilateralism looks like对我来说,多边主义看起来像
1047and somehow utopian notion.还有乌托邦的概念
1048The idea of all for one and one for all.普为一众生想.
1049But we also see the huge gap between the ideal但我们也看到了理想之间的巨大差距
1050and the reality of unilateralism,和单边主义的现实,
1051the powerful discourse of populism,民粹主义的有力言论,
1052and generally the failure to realize以及一般未能实现
1053the long existing blueprint of the multilateralism.长期存在的多边主义蓝图。
1054So my question is twofold.所以我的问题有两个
1055First, in your opinion,首先,在你看来,
1056what hampers the full realization of multilateralism?是什么阻碍了多边主义的充分实现?
1057Is it information asymmetry, like a political will,是信息不对称, 像政治意愿,
1058or something else?还是别的?
1059And second, how should multilateralism itself evolve第二,多边主义本身应如何演变?
1060so that it will be more realistic?这样会更现实吗?
1061Thank you.谢谢
1062Very good question.问得好
1063So whom do you want to answer your question?你想回答你的问题吗?
1064Anyone?有人吗?
1065Anyone back here can answer this question?有人能回答这个问题吗?
1066Okay, I'll take a crack at it.好吧,我会有一个裂缝。
1067And it's a brilliant question.而问妙法.
1068And this is precisely what the kind of intellectual这就是那种知识分子
1069questioning that we need from young people质疑我们需要年轻人
1070who are going to be influencing the public policy space,他们将影响公共政策空间,
1071because finally you will be in that space soon,因为最后你很快就会进入那个空间了
1072not too far away, and 10, 15 years不远,10,15年
1073you will be making those decisions.你将做出这些决定。
1074You know, it is about nation-states,你知道,这是关于民族国家,
1075and it is about nation-states coming together是关于民族国家的团结
1076at a converging point.在汇合点
1077Just as we did in 1945 when the world came together就像我们1945年世界走到一起一样
1078after the two great wars.在两次大战之后
1079It is about political will at the outset.首先是政治意愿。
1080It is about people demanding that political will be in place而是要求有政治意愿的人
1081so that the world converges.以便世界趋同。
1082We have three imminent crises right in front of us.我们面前有三个迫在眉睫的危机。
1083Climate crisis, a health crisis, and an economic crisis,气候危机、健康危机和经济危机,
1084which we have to address collectively.我们必须共同处理
1085We can't do it, or each one can't do it on its own.我们不能这样做,或者每个人都不能自己去做.
1086China could do everything about its own climate,中国对自己的气候可以做任何事
1087but you can't do much about the climate in Mongolia但蒙古的气候你却无能为力
1088and elsewhere, so you continue to have the sandstorms.和其他地方,所以你继续有 沙暴。
1089So you'll have to look at the climate in its entirety.所以,你必须看 整个气候。
1090So the impact of climate of the US or Europe美国或欧洲气候的影响
1091is having an impact on what's happening in Africa影响着非洲的情况
1092or in the low island states, where more and more或低岛屿国家,其中越来越多
1093of global warming is causing sea rises,全球变暖导致海平面上升,
1094and there are islands which are disappearing.有些岛屿正在消失
1095So it's interconnected.故曰互通.
1096With that realization in mind, with just these three,考虑到这个认识, 就这三,
1097it's good enough for the whole world to come together,足够让全世界走到一起
1098because this is an existentialist crisis因为这是存在主义危机
1099which confronts everybody.面对每个人。
1100Nobody is safe until everybody is safe.没有人是安全的,直到每个人都安全。
1101Allow me to give a short edge on question.请允许我简短地谈谈这个问题。
1102It's a very important question.这是一个非常重要的问题。
1103I think, philosophically speaking,我认为,哲学上,
1104if you talk about unilateralism for the world,如果你为世界谈论单边主义
1105first of all, it's not realistic in the world of today.首先,这在今天的世界里是不现实的.
1106When will it become realistic?什么时候才变得现实?
1107I think it will be realistic if, for example,我认为,如果,例如,
1108the world really becomes a global village,世界真的成为一个地球村,
1109because that's the future trend for mankind,因为这是人类未来的趋势
1110to eventually, we all belong to the same global village.最后,我们都属于同一个地球村。
1111By then, multilateralism will be less important到那时,多边主义就不那么重要了
1112and less material, and unilateralism和单边主义
1113will probably be more important.可能会更重要
1114Now, in the world of today, if you have a repetition现在,在今天的世界, 如果你有重复
1115of the Trump administration which wants to put America特朗普政府想要美国
1116ahead of all the other countries,超越一切其他国家,
1117as if America first, meaning all the other countries就像美国第一,意味着所有其他国家
1118last and least, who wants to accept a world order like that?最后,谁想接受这样的世界秩序?
1119Any other country can say Britain first,任何国家都可以先说英国
1120or France first, et cetera.或法国先,等等。
1121That will be, by its nature, a world of disorder and chaos.从本质上讲,这将是一个混乱和混乱的世界。
1122So, I think multilateralism of today所以,我认为今天的多边主义
1123means, as the ambassador correctly said,意思是,正如大使正确指出的那样,
1124there are challenges which no single country挑战没有单一的国家
1125can handle on itself, for itself, or by itself.能够自己,为自己,或自己处理.
1126There are challenges which are challenges有一些挑战是挑战
1127for mankind as a whole, and all the countries,为全人类和所有国家,
1128people of all countries, need to be united所有国家的人民,必须团结起来,
1129to deal with these challenges.迎接这些挑战。
1130I always imagine if, for example,我总是想,如果,比如,
1131there will be an alien invasion of the Earth,将会有外星人入侵地球
1132then the world will suddenly and appropriately然后世界会突然和适当
1133become a global village, and multilateralism成为全球村和多边主义
1134will be out of the window, and unilateralism将走出窗口,单边主义
1135under one single united global leadership,在一个统一的全球领导下,
1136maybe under the United Nations, and at that time,也许在联合国之下, 当时,
1137maybe Sid will be the secretary general, who knows,也许希德将成为总书记 谁知道,
1138will be the best way to deal with that menace.这将是对付这种威胁的最佳办法。
1139If you look up at the sky to see whether there is如果你抬头看天空 看有没有
1140an alien invasion, it will be a bad thing,外星入侵, 这将是坏事,
1141but it may be the stimulus for unilateralism但这可能是单边主义的刺激
1142for mankind as a whole, but that may never happen.对全人类来说,但这种情况可能永远不会发生。
1143So, we need to live with the world today.因此,我们需要与当今世界共存。
1144We need to deal with multilateralism.我们需要处理多边主义问题。
1145That's the only right megatrend for mankind as a whole.这是整个人类唯一正确的大趋势
1146Don't try to do anything with unilateralism.不要试图用单边主义做任何事情.
1147That's a dead end, and I can say this to people in Beijing死路一条,我可以对北京人说
1148as much as I can say that to people in Washington,只要我对华盛顿的人这么说
1149and that's the only right thing for us to say.这是我们唯一正确的说法。
1150Thank you.谢谢
1151Are you saying that multilateralism你是在说多边主义
1152is in itself very realistic?本身是否非常现实?
1153Before the other two distinguished panelists在另外两位杰出小组成员之前
1154answer your question, I think multilateralism回答你的问题,我认为多边主义
1155is only realistic if you do not have political forces只有没有政治力量,才是现实的
1156like President Donald Trump, because otherwise,像唐纳德·特朗普总统一样 因为否则
1157if these dangerous forces become the president如果这些危险的势力成为总统
1158of not a banana republic, but of the United States不是香蕉共和国,而是美国
1159of America, a permanent member of the Security Council美利坚合众国,安全理事会常任理事国
1160or the United Nations, that will be a recipe for disaster.或联合国,这将是一场灾难。
1161And I think people everywhere in the world,我认为世界上所有的人,
1162including everyone here in this hall,包括在这个大厅里的所有人
1163need to use our independent judgment需要用我们的独立判断
1164to tell the right from the wrongs告诉对与错
1165and to always make a contribution for better judgment永远为更好的判断作出贡献
1166and better science to guide everything we do.更好的科学来指导我们的一切
1167In that sense, I believe multilateralism在这个意义上,我相信多边主义
1168will be the only right thing, and I hope将是唯一正确的事情,我希望
1169when you get admitted to any one of the three schools,当你被三所学校录取时
1170and I hope it will start with a Y,我希望从Y开始
1171you will be a good inspiration for mankind as a whole.你将是整个人类的灵感
1172Thank you.谢谢
1173I think I wanted to pick up something from your question.我想我想从你的问题中取点东西
1174I think you mentioned by information asymmetry.我想你提到的信息不对称。
1175I think that's something that we have been missing我想这是我们一直缺失的东西
1176from this discussion.从这次讨论。
1177Why there's such a strong populism around the world?为什么全世界都有如此强烈的民粹主义?
1178Why this unilateralism and that?为什么是单边主义?
1179But I think because there are indeed a huge population但我认为,因为确实 有大量的人口
1180in the U.S. and in many parts of the world在美国和世界许多地区
1181that really do not have the right image,这真的没有正确的图像,
1182right sort of analysis of what they call他们所谓的正确分析
1183the benefits of the multilateralism.多边主义的好处。
1184So I think that the one thing we should not forget所以,我认为一件事 我们不应该忘记
1185about is the role of media in presenting the reality,关于媒体在展现现实中的作用,
1186the war, the story to the world.战争,世界的故事。
1187So I think actually, I think maybe it's a good time所以我想,实际上,我想 也许这是一个好时机
1188for us to turn the table around and ask Ray a question.让我们把桌子翻过来 问雷一个问题
1189How do you view the narratives你怎么看待这些叙事
1190that's been going on for many years?这已经持续了很多年了?
1191To what degree that those narratives actually poison这些叙事究竟有多毒?
1192the general public's mind on multilateralism?一般公众对多边主义的看法?
1193I think Victor has poisoned most of our minds我觉得维克多已经毒害了我们大部分人
1194by pointing his fingers to Donald Trump,用手指指着唐纳德·特朗普
1195who unfortunately represents grievances and complaints不幸代表冤情和申诉的人
1196of those white deplorables and rednecks那些白人可悲和乡巴佬
1197in the Midwest, Wisconsin for example,比如在威斯康辛州的中西部
1198those who have lost their jobs in the Midwest在中西部失去工作的人
1199and they're in their rust belt.他们的锈带。
1200Now this is not just a lonely island itself.现在这不仅仅是孤岛本身
1201It represents a mega trend of the middle class代表着中产阶级的一大趋势
1202whose jobs are being outsourced in the process其工作在这一过程中被外包
1203of globalization.全球化。
1204So by pointing our fingers to Donald Trump,所以通过指向唐纳德·特朗普
1205I think you're threatened to oversimplify global issue.我想你被威胁要过度简化全球问题。
1206So the narrative of globalization or multilateralism因此,全球化或多边主义的叙述
1207actually depends on how we deal with the job market.实际上,取决于我们如何处理就业市场。
1208Because hallmarks of globalization include因为全球化的标志包括:
1209free flow of ideas, capital, technology, human resources思想、资本、技术、人力资源的自由流动
1210or free movement of labor resources.或劳动力资源的自由流动。
1211Now if you continue to pin hopes on the role如果你继续寄希望于这个角色
1212of multilateral, the overseas multilaterals,多边、海外多边、
1213then those white deplorables will put yet another Donald Trump然后那些白人的悲哀 将会让唐纳德·特朗普再次出现
1214into the White House next time, in the next campaign.下一次进入白宫 在下一次竞选中
1215So your question on the issue of an evolving multilateralism所以,你的问题 关于一个不断发展的多边主义的问题
1216actually depends on how we redefine globalization.实际上,这取决于我们如何重新定义全球化。
1217Now that's another question.这是另一个问题。
1218I'm not very optimistic about the gathering momentum我对聚集的势头并不乐观
1219of multilateralism because we see such formidable,多边主义,因为我们看到如此可怕,
1220detrimental force of unilateralism and tree protectionism单边主义和树保护主义的有害影响
1221in electoral politics.在选举政治中。
1222Now all economists live in a country like China现在所有经济学家都生活在像中国这样的国家
1223where political will of central government says everything.在那里,中央政府的政治意志说一切。
1224So competitive democracies, competitive politics所以有竞争力的民主,有竞争力的政治
1225will continue to deliver one Donald Trump after another.唐纳德·特朗普会继续接踵而至
1226And they are the black horses that will undermine他们是将破坏的黑马
1227definitely the process of globalization.无疑是全球化进程。
1228They are the crippling force.它们是致命的力量。
1229So I would say, and I have to put this straight up,所以我会说, 我得把这个直上,
1230that the United States still presents itself美国仍然在展示自己
1231as a beacon of hope for humanity without a doubt.无疑是人类希望的灯塔。
1232I mean a lot of who we are today was that我的意思是,今天我们是谁
1233those three years of that one year那一年的三年时间
1234that we did a graduate program, it opened up our windows,我们做了一个研究生课程, 它打开了我们的窗户,
1235our eyes to so many networks,我们的眼睛 如此众多的网络,
1236it allowed us to interface, connect.它让我们可以连接 连接
1237And I believe in every emphasis and in every feeling我相信每一个重点和感觉
1238within me that the China and the U.S.我内心的中国和美国
1239will be the global changers for global goals.将推动全球目标的实现。
1240They will reshape the global destiny of humanity.它们将重新塑造人类的全球命运。
1241So our conversation needs to be how do we make it work所以,我们的对话需要 如何使它工作
1242rather than looking at all the pitfalls in our way.而不是看着所有我们的方式的陷阱。
1243And frankly, as the United Nations, I hope,坦率地说,作为联合国,我希望,
1244and together with all the alumni sitting here,和所有校友一起坐在这里,
1245that we could actually become those bridgeways,我们可以成为那些桥道,
1246that we could actually open up a new narrative我们可以打开一个新的叙述
1247which talks about convergence rather than conflict,他们谈论的是趋同而不是冲突,
1248that talks about dialogue rather than indeterminate,谈论对话而不是不确定,
1249talks about cooperation rather than frittering out谈的是合作,而不是空谈
1250into our different domains.进入我们不同的领域。
1251So I think this is where our opportunity really is,所以我认为这是我们真正的机会所在
1252is to converge together and to look at this relationship即凝聚在一起,看这个关系
1253because this relationship is not just important因为这种关系不仅仅是重要的
1254to China and America, this relationship is important对中国和美国来说,这种关系很重要
1255to the entire world.给整个世界。
1256Can I get a question from this side of the room?能问个问题吗?
1257We'll have you next.下一个给你
1258Thank you for this great learning experience.谢谢你的学习经验
1259I really appreciate all the talks given by these four我真的很感谢这四个人的所有会谈
1260distinguished speakers and moderator.尊敬的发言者和主持人。
1261So my question is, we have been talking about所以我的问题是 我们一直在谈论
1262multilateralism in a very abstract way.多边主义非常抽象。
1263So I'd like to hear one example from each of you所以我想听听你们每个人的例子
1264to give one concrete example of multilateralism.举一个多边主义的具体例子。
1265And particularly for Ambassador, I'm wondering,尤其是对于大使,我想知道,
1266because we have this China-India border clashes recently,因为我们最近发生了中印边境冲突
1267if that issue is to be resolved如果这个问题要得到解决
1268under a multilateral framework,在多边框架下,
1269how would that, what is a concrete example of that?怎样呢? 具体的例子是什么?
1270Thank you.谢谢
1271I'll give you one example of the success of multilateralism.我举一个例子来说明多边主义的成功。
1272The eradication of smallpox at the height of a cold.寒极时消灭天花.
1273Many of the people were not even born at that time当时很多人都还没出生
1274when smallpox was around.天花出现的时候
1275And it was eradicated because all the major powers它被消灭了 因为所有的大国
1276came together and said, we have to get rid of this disease.走到一起说,我们必须消除这种疾病。
1277And that was a good example of how multilateralism worked这是多边主义如何运作的好例子
1278when Russia, America, China, France, UK,当俄罗斯,美国,中国,法国,英国,
1279everybody came together with one common system.每个人都有一个共同的制度。
1280That is why I see the current pandemic as an opportunity因此,我认为目前的流行病是一个机会。
1281to go precisely that way.正好走那边。
1282I agree with the Ambassador.我同意大使的意见。
1283Allow me to mention another example.请允许我再举一个例子。
1284I was interviewed two days ago by BBC我两天前接受BBC的采访
1285about how China look at this proposed关于中国如何看待这个建议
1286international cooperation about the pandemic.关于这一流行病的国际合作。
1287And I said one thing,我说一件事,
1288and allow me to repeat that here for your benefit.请允许我在此重复,以造福你。
1289I said the world community need to come up with我说国际社会需要想出
1290better improved early warning system改进预警系统
1291before the outbreak of the pandemic.在疫情爆发前
1292Because we now already know that before the pandemic因为我们已经知道 在流行之前
1293was reported in Wuhan, there were lots of instances在武汉有报道, 有很多案例
1294in different parts of the world,在世界不同地区,
1295which now with the benefit of hindsight,以事后观察的结局盟誓,
1296we can do the scientific research,我们可以做科学研究,
1297we can do the tracing back, and we suddenly knew,我们可以追溯回来,我们突然知道,
1298know that they were actually related to the COVID-19 virus.知道他们实际上与COVID-19病毒有关.
1299Now, if mankind had a better system现在,如果人类有一个更好的系统
1300to detect and report such cases in a timely way,及时发现和报告此类案件,
1301then mankind will be better prepared.然后人类就会有更好的准备。
1302And this cannot be done by any one country by itself.任何一个国家自己都无法做到这一点。
1303It need to have a global network,它需要一个全球网络,
1304international cooperation,国际合作,
1305sometimes seamless international cooperation有时无缝的国际合作
1306{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}为了实现这个目标
1307That's multilateralism in the best sense of the word.这是最好的多边主义。
1308Thank you.谢谢
1309I was trying to find something,我想找点什么
1310but I couldn't find it here.但我找不到它在这里。
1311But basically, I think one example of multilateralism但基本上,我认为多边主义的一个例子
1312is the Lancet Commission on COVID-19COVID-19的柳叶刀委员会
1313and to which I'm a part of member.而我是其中的一员
1314So it's really, it's a huge expert network所以,它是一个巨大的专家网络
1315with people from around the world,与世界各地的人,
1316including people from the US, India, China,包括来自美国、印度、中国、
1317and people from Europe and so on.以及来自欧洲等地的人
1318So we've been sort of working on how actually所以我们一直在研究
1319the world can learn from the lessons of the COVID-19世界可以从COVID-19中吸取教训
1320and to develop systems better并更好地开发系统
1321to prepare for the next pandemic.准备迎接下一个大流行病。
1322And actually today, exactly today,而实际上今天, 正是今天,
1323now we actually just have a commentary published in Lancet.现在我们在Lancet上发表了一篇评论
1324So I'm trying to find it, but I couldn't find it now.所以我想找到它 但我现在找不到了
1325But if you look at Lancet today,但是如果你今天看柳叶刀
1326there should be something from this commission.应该有来自这个委员会的东西。
1327Thank you so much for your, oh, can you hear me?谢谢你,哦,你能听到我吗?
1328Yes.对
1329Thank you so much for your very stunning speech.谢谢你的精彩演讲
1330And I'm both M.G., I'm a current student at Princeton,我是普林斯顿大学的现任学生
1331and next to me is also a new admit from Princeton,我旁边还有普林斯顿的新承认
1332so we're a Princeton group.所以我们是普林斯顿集团
1333So.所以说 So.
1334Four times.诵四遍.
1335Yeah, so my question is, as we all know,是的,所以我的问题是,我们都知道,
1336there are lots of differences,有很多不同,
1337especially like ideological differences特别是意识形态的差异
1338between China and the US in terms of our definitions中国和美国之间的定义
1339of human rights, of liberty, of all the kind of issues.人权、自由、所有各类问题。
1340And I'm wondering, especially I'm asking Siddique,我想知道 特别是我问西迪克
1341I'm wondering whether the United Nations should play a role我想知道联合国是否应该发挥作用
1342in mitigating these political differences.缓解这些政治分歧。
1343And if so, how?如果有,怎么办?
1344Because recall that UN has once published因为记得联合国曾经出版过
1345this universal human rights declaration《世界人权宣言》
1346as a way to mitigate differences across the world.作为缓解世界各地差异的方法。
1347But many signed it, but actually very few implemented但很多人都签了,但实际上很少执行
1348to the full extent.尽其所能。
1349So I'm wondering, going forward所以我想继续前进
1350with this transformed UN model you proposed,有了这个转变后的联合国模式 你提出的,
1351what kind of, whether we should play a role什么样的,我们是否应该发挥作用
1352in really solving this problem.真正解决这个问题。
1353Thanks.谢谢
1354The UN is as strong as the member states wanted to be.联合国与成员国一样强大。
1355And that's the bottom line.且道是底义.
1356And therefore, the role of China,因此,中国的作用,
1357the role of the United States, of Russia,美国、俄罗斯、
1358of the permanent five is going to be absolutely critical5个常任理事国将绝对关键
1359in making sure that the Secretary General确保秘书长
1360is not only given the tools to making sure不仅获得工具来确保
1361that the reforms and multilateralism work,改革和多边主义行之有效,
1362but given the authority to be able to do it.但却被授权能够做到这一点。
1363And that is where it stands strong.这就是它坚挺的地方。
1364That authority comes from member states.这一权力来自会员国。
1365People don't talk much about ASEAN.人们很少谈论东盟.
1366ASEAN is perhaps a Nobel Prize winning enterprise.东盟也许是诺贝尔奖获得者。
1367Nobody thought it could survive when it started.没有人认为它能活下来 当它开始。
1368Everybody thought this organization大家都以为这个组织
1369was doomed to decline.注定要失败的
1370650 million people is what represents the ASEAN network.6.5亿人是东盟网络的代表。
1371And when you add China to that,当你加入中国的时候,
1372then you are talking at close to two billion people.然后,你正在谈论 接近20亿人。
1373Massive market.大规模市场。
1374But ASEAN is a good model.但东盟是一个很好的模式。
1375There are many differences that are there有很多不同之处
1376between member states, but they know how to resolve it.成员国之间,但他们知道如何解决这个问题。
1377That is precisely the kind of United Nations we want at the moment.这正是我们现在想要的那种联合国。
1378Perhaps the ambassador said it's underestimated也许大使说这是低估的
1379the difficulties that we face in, for example,我们所面临的困难,例如,
1380addressing the issue of meeting powers.讨论会议权力问题。
1381The Permanent Five, P5, each of them has the power to veto.五常,五常各有否决权.
1382And therefore, we have the strong appeal因此,我们强烈呼吁
1383calling for abolition of the vetoing power.要求废除否决权。
1384So what do you make of the prospect of reforming你对改革的前景有什么看法?
1385the Security Council and putting aside their powers of veto?并搁置其否决权?
1386That is precisely why the Secretary of State said it's reforming.这正是国务卿说改革的原因.
1387At the same time, the UN is said to be a talking shop.与此同时,据说联合国是一个谈话店。
1388People discuss endlessly issues of importance.人们无休止地讨论重要的问题。
1389However, there's no possibility of finding a solution.然而,找不到解决方案的可能性.
1390So look at what happened during the Cold War看看冷战期间发生了什么
1391between the former Soviet Union and the United States前苏联与美国间
1392at this Security Council.在安全理事会。
1393It's always the exercise of vetoes.总是行使否决权.
1394I agree.и種
1395And that is why the UN has to be reformed.这就是为什么必须改革联合国。
1396The Security Council has to be resolved.安全理事会必须得到解决。
1397It's an absolute necessity.这是绝对必要的。
1398And I'm glad that China is speaking out我很高兴中国能说出来
1399about the importance and the renewal of multilateralism.关于多边主义的重要性和革新。
1400And one of that will be the reform of the Security Council改革安全理事会将是其中之一。
1401and the entire peace and security structure.以及整个和平与安全结构。
1402But what is most important here is that we actually但这里最重要的是 我们实际上
1403have an opportunity that despite all the differences,有机会,尽管所有的差异,
1404there are children being immunized有儿童接种疫苗
1405in different parts of the world where actually we在世界不同地区,我们在哪里
1406are close to ending polio.接近消灭小儿麻痹症。
1407That's because of multilateralism working.这是因为多边主义发挥作用。
1408We are close, making sure that many, many countless children我们很接近,确保很多,无数的儿童
1409who were trapped in poverty and as child soldiers被困在贫困之中和作为儿童兵
1410are being lifted out of those situations.正在摆脱这种局面。
1411People are having better access to water,人们有更好的水,
1412better health, better education.更好的健康,更好的教育。
1413The world has improved.世界已经改善。
1414And that is because of multilateralism.这是多边主义的结果。
1415Had it not been there, it would not have happened.如果没有它,它就不会发生。
1416So essentially what this means is,所以基本上,这意味着,
1417can we now go to the next level of human prosperity我们现在可以走向人类繁荣的下一个阶段了
1418as I talked about the three crisis that we are confronted当我谈到我们面对的三个危机时
1419with, a health, an economic, and a climate crisis?健康、经济和气候危机?
1420We have to come together.我们必须一起来。
1421And this is where I feel the renewal of the UN system,这就是我对联合国系统的更新的感受,
1422the security structure, the Security Council,安全理事会,
1423all of it becomes absolutely critical.这一切都变得绝对关键。
1424So as we journey towards the 2030 agenda,因此,在我们迈向2030年议程的过程中,
1425this continues to happen.这种情况仍在继续发生。
1426Among all the uncertainties concerning the future在与未来有关的所有不确定因素中
1427of the United Nations, I believe that one promising job我认为,这项有希望的工作是:
1428that enlightens us about the prospects of the UN启发我们了解联合国的前景
1429is the use of blue helmet forces, the peacekeeping forces.使用蓝盔部队,即维和部队。
1430China is one of the P5 that contributes中国是五常之一
1431to most of the peacekeeping forces.对大多数维和部队来说
1432Yeah, so this is among all of the issues of one是的,所以这是所有的问题之一
1433that unites all of the P5 and members of the United Nations团结五常和所有联合国会员国
1434in sending out peacekeeping forces for peacemaking派遣维和部队以促成和平
1435and to ensure peace and stability in the impoverished area确保贫困地区的和平与稳定
1436and in the turbulent war-torn countries在动荡的战乱国家
1437such as Afghanistan, Cambodia, Haiti, you name it.例如阿富汗、柬埔寨、海地,
1438I come from China Foundation for Quality Innovation,我来自中国质量创新基金会
1439International Development Department.国际发展部。
1440So I studied from 2005,所以我从2005年开始学习
1441we are response to the Indonesian tsunami.我们正在应对印度尼西亚海啸。
1442So for the past 16 years,所以在过去16年里
1443we already implement projects in 16 countries.我们已经在16个国家实施了项目。
1444Now we have three overseas offices现在有三个海外办事处
1445in the People, Myanmar, and the East Asia.在人民、缅甸和东亚。
1446So we have raised 260 server media因此,我们培养了260个服务器媒体
1447and the benefit to 1.3 million people overseas.并惠及130万海外居民。
1448So what my question is,所以,我的问题是,
1449I want to get to the primary three parties' advice我想听三党的意见
1450because now China, the government already因为现在中国,政府已经
1451established the South-South Cooperation Funds设立南南合作基金
1452with the aim to help the developing country帮助发展中国家
1453achieve the SDG in the earliest time.最早实现 SDG 。
1454And they also encourage Chinese NGO sectors abroad.他们还鼓励中国的非政府组织部门在国外。
1455So we are encouraged to go abroad.因此,鼓励我们出国。
1456So we want to help the developing country所以我们想帮助发展中国家
1457to achieve the SDG in the earliest time.最早实现 SDG.
1458But the challenge is we have lack of the experience但挑战是我们缺乏经验
1459to work in the outside of China在中国境外工作
1460and we also lack of the knowledge我们缺乏知识,
1461of international rules, regulations, like that.诸如此类的国际规则和条例。
1462So I want to get your advice,所以我想得到你的建议
1463how to help the Chinese NGOs如何帮助中国的非政府组织
1464to get involved in the international development cooperation.参与国际发展合作。
1465My hope is to see many, many Chinese NGOs我希望见到许多中国的非政府组织
1466going out there, working with UNICEF,在那里,与儿童基金会合作,
1467working with UNESCO, working with UNDP,与教科文组织合作,与开发署合作,
1468because these are the kind of relationships因为这是那种关系
1469that we want to build.我们想要建立。
1470Like the United States has a Peace Corps.就像美国有一支和平部队
1471I call the Peace Corps the Marines of Humanitarian Action.我称和平队为人道主义行动的海军陆战队。
1472They've done outstanding work throughout the world.他们在全世界都做了出色的工作.
1473They've gone into the remotest villages.他们进入了最偏远的村庄。
1474I hope to see many more Chinese undergrad students我希望能见到更多的中国毕业生
1475getting out into the world over there,进入世界 在那里,
1476interacting with people,与人互动,
1477because that is how you build people-to-people connection因为这就是你如何构建人与人之间的联系
1478and that is part of what I would term这也是我所说的
1479as humanitarian diplomacy,作为人道主义外交,
1480reaching out to people and communities向人民和社区进行宣传
1481and staying with them and doing this.和他们在一起,并这样做。
1482And by the way, many Chinese companies actually do that,顺便说一句 很多中国公司都这样做
1483go and live and work in many of these places在很多这些地方生活和工作
1484where we are.我们在哪里。
1485For the civil society organizations such as OZ,对于OZ等民间社会组织,
1486it becomes even more important它变得更重要
1487that we see you much more active,我们看到你更活跃,
1488but also making sure that you're not doing it还要保证你不会这么做
1489out of a sense of charity.从慈善的意义上说
1490That's where the problem in Africa is.这就是非洲的问题所在。
1491It's been too charity-driven这是太慈善的驱动力
1492rather than really building up the capacity而不是真正建立能力
1493of society, and as a result,因此,
1494we keep them in a state of dependency.我们让他们处于依赖状态
1495There are many examples, South Sudan, Congo,南苏丹、刚果、
1496many of these places are constantly in fragile,许多这些地方 总是处于脆弱的,
1497constantly in a state of dependency.不断处于依赖状态。
1498We have to change the development model.我们必须改变发展模式。
1499We need to rethink how we work with those communities.我们需要重新考虑我们如何与这些社区合作。
1500So therefore, partnerships again,因此,再次建立伙伴关系,
1501a multilateral approach at a country level国家一级多边办法
1502is going to be important.这将是重要的。
1503So I would really encourage your NGO所以我会鼓励你的非政府组织
1504getting that with Chin Chin.和钦钦一起吃
1505She's from UNICEF and she'll actually connect you她来自儿童基金会 她会联系你
1506with the UNICEF offices there,与儿童基金会驻那里的办事处,
1507because they do a lot of work in building up the capacities因为他们在建立能力方面做了很多工作
1508of the community, or with Rinfei here who's from UNICEF.或者和来自儿童基金会的林非一起
1509They can actually help you with getting you up他们可以帮你起床
1510to those norms and standards准则和标准
1511and using you as a partner in that.利用你作为合伙人
1512That's precisely what I was going to say,这就是我要说的,
1513that probably join some sort of international network可能加入某种国际网络
1514and partner with some international organizations.并与一些国际组织合作。
1515But also, I think given that the said mention但是,我认为,鉴于 上面提到的
1516about the capacity building,关于能力建设,
1517I wanted also to mention something我也想提点事
1518that I used to work for,我曾经为他工作
1519serve on the board of IDRC,在国际发展研究中心董事会任职,
1520Canadian International Development Agency.加拿大国际开发署.
1521I think that the IDRC is basically,我认为IDRC基本上是,
1522I think as an aid agency,我认为作为一个援助机构,
1523it's really supporting the research capabilities它真的支持 研究能力
1524of developing countries.(b) 与发展中国家有关的问题。
1525So it's really sort of capacity building所以这是真正的能力建设
1526in developing countries.在发展中国家。
1527I think that's probably,我觉得这也许,
1528I think that you will get in much ways我想你会得到很多方面
1529a much more leverage of this money is spent,这笔钱的杠杆作用要大得多
1530and also having sustenance to impact in the globally.也能够在全球产生影响。
1531I think that's the way probably you can try to think about.我想这是你可能 试图思考的方式。
1532In fact, you've just given me an idea,事实上,你刚刚给了我一个想法,
1533and you know, Rinfei and Xinxin,你知道,林飞和辛欣,
1534what we should be doing is looking at Chinese NGOs我们应该做的是看中国的非政府组织
1535that are planning to go abroad,计划去国外,
1536and let's work with them in building up their capacities here.让我们和他们合作 建立他们的能力。
1537Let's give them the best advice and guidance让我们给他们最好的建议和指导
1538before you actually go.在你真正离开之前
1539So spend two to three months,所以花两到三个月的时间
1540we will make sure that across the UN system,我们将确保在整个联合国系统,
1541we will give you some lessons我们会给你一些教训
1542so that by the time you get there,所以当你到达那里时
1543we will also connect you with networks on the other side.我们还会把你们连接到另一边的网络
1544So that you can count on me,这样你就可以指望我
1545that you've actually given me an idea today.你今天给我一个想法
1546Well, actually, our time is up,其实我们的时间到了
1547but on that note, I just feel very optimistic但从这一点来看,我只是觉得非常乐观
1548and thrilled that the Yale Center of Beijing并且对北京耶鲁中心感到兴奋
1549has become a platform for ideas and conversations.成为思想和对话的平台。
1550And I want all of us to give a warm round of applause我要大家热烈鼓掌
1551to our audience, but especially our very distinguished guests我们的观众, 特别是我们的贵宾
1552and moderator for this conversation to be continued.和主持人继续对话。
1553Thank you.谢谢
1554Today.今时.
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