新任联合国驻华协调员常启德,携手中国学者薛澜、高志凯,聊了聊
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:04 | Good evening everyone and welcome to the Yale Center of Beijing, Yale University's home | 大家晚上好 欢迎来到耶鲁大学 北京耶鲁中心 |
| 0:10 | here in China. | 在中国 |
| 0:12 | I'm Carol Lee Rafferty, the managing director of the center and also a Yale College | 我是卡罗尔·李·拉费蒂 中心总经理 还有耶鲁大学 |
| 0:18 | alumna. | 校友们 |
| 0:20 | Today for the benefit of some of our new distinguished guests and now also some of our new | 今天,为了我们的一些新贵宾,现在也为了我们的一些新贵宾, |
| 0:25 | admitted students at Yale College. | 耶鲁学院招生. |
| 0:28 | I think you're sitting together, I'm not sure. | 我想你们坐在一起,我不确定 |
| 0:30 | Yay! | 赞! |
| 0:33 | I'm going to give a quick introduction about what the center is about. | 我要简短地介绍一下中心是什么 |
| 0:37 | So founded in 2014, | 故于2014年创立. |
展开字幕全文(1554 条)
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Good evening everyone and welcome to the Yale Center of Beijing, Yale University's home | 大家晚上好 欢迎来到耶鲁大学 北京耶鲁中心 |
| 2 | here in China. | 在中国 |
| 3 | I'm Carol Lee Rafferty, the managing director of the center and also a Yale College | 我是卡罗尔·李·拉费蒂 中心总经理 还有耶鲁大学 |
| 4 | alumna. | 校友们 |
| 5 | Today for the benefit of some of our new distinguished guests and now also some of our new | 今天,为了我们的一些新贵宾,现在也为了我们的一些新贵宾, |
| 6 | admitted students at Yale College. | 耶鲁学院招生. |
| 7 | I think you're sitting together, I'm not sure. | 我想你们坐在一起,我不确定 |
| 8 | Yay! | 赞! |
| 9 | I'm going to give a quick introduction about what the center is about. | 我要简短地介绍一下中心是什么 |
| 10 | So founded in 2014, | 故于2014年创立. |
| 11 | the Yale Center of Beijing is actually Yale University's first and only university-wide | 北京的耶鲁中心其实是耶鲁大学的第一个 也是唯一的全大学 |
| 12 | center outside of the U.S. representing all of its 14 schools. | 代表美国所有14所学校 |
| 13 | So in a way it's a little bit like | 所以,在某种程度上,它有点像 |
| 14 | Yale University's embassy in China and throughout the year since 2014 we've held hundreds of events | 耶鲁大学驻华大使馆 2014年起全年举办数百场活动. |
| 15 | convening leaders from academia, business, government, arts and sciences for important | 召集学术界、商界、政府、艺术界和科学界的领导人 |
| 16 | conversations on the most important and pressing topics in the world. | 就世界上最重要和最紧迫的主题进行对话。 |
| 17 | And tonight we're very | 今晚我们非常 |
| 18 | delighted to convene this conversation on forming partnerships and pushing for multilateralism | 很高兴召集这次关于建立伙伴关系和推动多边主义的对话 |
| 19 | and collaboration with our distinguished guests. | 并配合我们的贵宾。 |
| 20 | We have Ambassador Siddhartha Chatterjee, | 我们有西达莎·查特吉大使 |
| 21 | the United Nations resident coordinator in China. | 联合国中国驻地协调员。 |
| 22 | We have Dean Shirlun from the Schwarzman College | 施瓦兹曼学院的希伦院长 |
| 23 | of Tsinghua University and we have Dr. Victor Gao who is the chairman of the Yale Law School | 清华大学的Victor Gao博士是耶鲁法学院的院长 |
| 24 | Association in China and of course our moderator, former anchor of CCTV's international | 在中国的协会,当然还有我们的主持人, CCTV前国际主播 |
| 25 | (原始内容存档于2018-09-29). Network, CGTM. | |
| 26 | Tonight we're very happy to be collaborating on organizing this event | 今晚我们很高兴合作组织这次活动 |
| 27 | with the Yale Club of Beijing, our local alumni association, the Princeton Alumni Association of Beijing | 与北京耶鲁俱乐部,我们的当地校友会,北京普林斯顿校友会合作 |
| 28 | and the ambassador with his tie and the Harvard and Harvard Kennedy School Clubs of Beijing. | 和领带的大使 以及哈佛和哈佛肯尼迪学校俱乐部 北京。 |
| 29 | Yay! | 赞! |
| 30 | See we're very open platform here, we welcome all of you. | 看到我们非常开放的平台在这里, 我们欢迎你们所有人。 |
| 31 | And I'm going to give a brief introduction of all of our distinguished guests as well. | 我将简短地介绍一下我们所有的贵宾 |
| 32 | So Ambassador Siddhartha Chatterjee, he was recently appointed as the United Nations | 因此,西达塔·查特吉大使最近被任命为联合国 |
| 33 | resident coordinator in China and presented his credentials to President Xi at the Great | 向习近平主席递交全权证书 |
| 34 | Hall of the People very recently. | 人民大会堂最近。 |
| 35 | He is, well as a resident coordinator, he is the highest | 作为驻地协调员,他是最高的 |
| 36 | ranking official in the United Development Program, United Nations Development Program, | 在联合国开发计划署、联合国开发计划署、 |
| 37 | as well as the highest ranking representative of the UN Secretary General in the country | 以及联合国秘书长在该国的最高级别代表 |
| 38 | and reports to the UN Secretary General. | 并向联合国秘书长报告。 |
| 39 | In the past 25 years he's been a senior diplomat | 过去25年他是资深外交官 |
| 40 | at the United Nations, at the Red Cross Movement and he is a three-time TED Talk speaker as well | 在联合国,在红十字运动中,他也是三次TED演讲演讲者 |
| 41 | as a regular contributor to renowned international and Chinese publications. | 作为知名国际和中国出版物的经常贡献者. |
| 42 | He is a graduate, he has | 他是一个毕业生,他 |
| 43 | a master's degree in public policy from Princeton University as well as a bachelor's degree from | 普林斯顿大学公共政策硕士学位和 |
| 44 | the National Defense Academy of India. | 印度国防学院。 |
| 45 | So let's welcome him. | 让我们欢迎他。 |
| 46 | 今天我们还有清华大学Schwarzman学院的Sherlan院长 | |
| 47 | which is also a very close friend with Yale University in many ways. | 他在许多方面也是耶鲁大学的亲密朋友。 |
| 48 | Dean Sherlan was before | 谢伦院长以前是 |
| 49 | his role at Schwarzman College a distinguished professor and dean at the Tsinghua School of | 他在施瓦兹曼学院的角色是清华学院杰出教授兼院长 |
| 50 | Public Policy and Management. | 公共政策和管理。 |
| 51 | He was instrumental in launching the school and in propelling the | 他对学校的启动和推动 |
| 52 | school into a top-ranking public policy program in the region. | 学校成为本区域最高级的公共政策方案。 |
| 53 | He also acts as a senior advisor | 他还担任高级顾问 |
| 54 | to the government of China, the State Council, to distinguished institutions such as the Harvard | 致中国政府,国务院,哈佛大学等杰出机构 |
| 55 | Kennedy School and he also 曾担任布鲁金斯研究所的非常驻研究员,并正在 | |
| 56 | United Nations University Council as well as the Leadership Council of the United Nations Sustainable | 联合国大学理事会和联合国可持续 |
| 57 | Development Network. | 发展网. |
| 58 | Thank you. | 谢谢 |
| 59 | Let's welcome him. | 让我们欢迎他。 |
| 60 | And we have Dr. Victor Cao from Yale University. | 还有耶鲁大学的曹维克多博士 |
| 61 | He has two degrees from Yale, a degree from Yale | 他有两个学位耶鲁,一个学位耶鲁 |
| 62 | Law School and a master's in politics, political science from the Yale Graduate School of Arts and | 法学院和耶鲁大学文学院政治学硕士 |
| 63 | Sciences. | 科学. |
| 64 | He was a high-ranking official with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and served as | 曾任外交部高级官员, |
| 65 | the English interpreter for the late Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping. | 中国已故领导人邓小平的英文译员. |
| 66 | He has been a leader in | 他是一个领导者 |
| 67 | many corporations in investment banking and private equity and he's a frequent contributor | 许多投资银行和私人股权的公司 他经常出钱 |
| 68 | and commentator on international and Chinese media. | 国际及中国媒体评论员. |
| 69 | So let's welcome him as well. | 那就欢迎他吧 |
| 70 | And today we're delighted to have our moderator, Mr. Ray Yang, with us. | 今天,我们很高兴我们的主持人,雷·杨先生与我们在一起。 |
| 71 | He is not new to the center | 他不是新来的中央 |
| 72 | as he has moderated a number of events here both as a CGTN anchor as well as now as founder and CEO | 作为CGTN的主播 以及创始人兼首席执行官 他主持过很多活动 |
| 73 | of his company, international media company Smart East. | 他的公司, 国际媒体公司Smart East。 |
| 74 | So I'm just going to tell everyone about | 所以我要告诉大家 |
| 75 | the format of tonight. | 今晚的形式。 |
| 76 | We're going to have a one-hour long, approximately one-hour long | 我们将有一个小时长,大约一个小时长 |
| 77 | panel discussion and then we'll open up the floor to Q&A. | 小组讨论然后我们把地板打开给QQA. |
| 78 | So without further ado, let's | 所以,不做进一步的,让我们 |
| 79 | welcome all of our distinguished guests and start the discussion. | 欢迎所有贵宾并开始讨论。 |
| 80 | Thank you very much. | 谢谢 |
| 81 | Thank you, Carol, for the nice introduction. | 谢谢你,卡罗尔,很好的介绍。 |
| 82 | Very substantial and informative. | 内容丰富,内容丰富。 |
| 83 | Quite honored. | 非常荣幸 |
| 84 | Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. | 晚上好 女士们先生们 |
| 85 | It's a big honor for me to be invited to host this | 我很荣幸能受邀主持这个会 |
| 86 | meaningful dialogue at the Yeo Beijing Center on Groupalization and Multilateralism. | 北京集团化和多边主义中心进行有意义的对话。 |
| 87 | The dynamics | 动态 |
| 88 | of globalization is based on clarity of rules and our understanding about it. | 全球化的基础是规则的明确性和我们对它的理解。 |
| 89 | A beneficiary | 受益人 |
| 90 | of the old world order, China says, however, it respects the authority of the United Nations | 但中国说,中国尊重联合国的权威 |
| 91 | and multilateralism. | 和多边主义。 |
| 92 | But how should we interpret a fair play and good execution of the rules | 但是,我们如何解释公平游戏 和良好的执行规则 |
| 93 | really depends on whether or how much we share the same mistakes in the commonwealth | 真正取决于我们是否 或多少 共同在联邦的错误 |
| 94 | co-prosperity. | 共为增益. |
| 95 | We all care about terms that may best serve our national interests. | 我们都关心最符合我们国家利益的条款。 |
| 96 | Enduring challenges do arise under the global impact of protectionism, populism, and | 保护主义、民粹主义和 |
| 97 | unilateralism in recent years. | 近年来的单边主义。 |
| 98 | The vibrancy of digital technology in the global supply chain | 数字技术在全球供应链中的活力 |
| 99 | has complicated the old roadmap. | 使旧路线图变得复杂。 |
| 100 | What was taken for granted is called into question as we see | 正如我们所看到的那样,什么被认为是理所当然的受到质疑。 |
| 101 | acquired a shift of wealth and influence from a skeptical west to a confident east. | 获得了财富和影响力的转变,从怀疑的西方转向自信的东方. |
| 102 | Emerging markets or G20 promise to replace the old regime of G7. | 新兴市场或20国集团承诺取代7国集团的旧制度。 |
| 103 | Politicians and policymakers | 政治家和决策者 |
| 104 | start to redefine rules of the game. | 开始重新定义游戏规则. |
| 105 | We need to have a convincing world leadership, but its | 我们需要一个令人信服的世界领导者,但是, |
| 106 | credibility becomes a huge given. | 信誉变得巨大。 |
| 107 | How do we define multilateralism based on the functions | 我们如何根据职能界定多边主义 |
| 108 | of the United Nations and how should a rising second biggest economy and other catch-up ones | 第二大经济体和其他赶超经济体应如何应对 |
| 109 | fit into this framework? | 是否适合这一框架? |
| 110 | Is the vaccines of COVID-19 a blessing or an obstacle for a free | COVID-19疫苗是免费的祝福还是障碍? |
| 111 | flow of capital, human resources, and technology? | 资金流动、人力资源和技术? |
| 112 | Today we are pleased to have this panel. | 今天,我们很高兴有这个小组。 |
| 113 | Now first of all, let me say a few things about Sid, a distinguished speaker sitting next to me. | 现在,首先,让我谈谈坐在我旁边的一位杰出的发言者希德。 |
| 114 | I was able to interview three of your heads, the former UN chiefs, Dr. Pujus Pujuskali, | 我采访了你们三个头目 前联合国酋长 普朱斯·普朱斯卡利博士 |
| 115 | Mr. Kovyan and Mr. Ban Ki-moon. | 科维扬先生和潘基文先生。 |
| 116 | I did interviews with them on the reform of the United Nations | 我采访了他们关于联合国改革的谈话 |
| 117 | and of course what China can do to help such reform which remains a very controversial process. | 当然,中国可以做些什么来帮助这种改革,这仍然是一个非常有争议的进程。 |
| 118 | Today, however, multilateralism as one of the landmark questions we face today | 然而,今天,多边主义作为我们今天面临的里程碑问题之一 |
| 119 | needs to be addressed by you to start with. | 需要您首先解决。 |
| 120 | So we all expect him to give a 10-minute | 所以我们都期望他给10分钟 |
| 121 | open speech. | 公开演讲。 |
| 122 | Thank you. | 谢谢 |
| 123 | You might not stand up. | 你可能不站起来。 |
| 124 | Well, good evening ladies and gentlemen, and first of all, | 晚上好 女士们先生们 首先 |
| 125 | thank you very much for coming. | 谢谢你能来 |
| 126 | It's truly an honor to be together with such an illustrious | 和这么杰出的人在一起真是荣幸 |
| 127 | gathering, not only of formidable panelists, but all of you, because all of you kind of represent | 因为你们都代表着 |
| 128 | the link to multilateralism. | 与多边主义的联系。 |
| 129 | You're the voice of multilateralism. | 你是多边主义的声音。 |
| 130 | So back in 1945, | 1945年时 |
| 131 | when the charter of the UN was being signed, the first person to sign it was the Chinese | 在签署《联合国宪章》时,第一个签署《宪章》的人是中国人。 |
| 132 | representative in San Francisco. | 在旧金山的代表。 |
| 133 | So the vision of President Truman then with that charter was to | 所以杜鲁门总统当时的愿景是 |
| 134 | make sure that the United Nations becomes a bridge, a bridge to social interaction, a bridge to | 确保联合国成为一座桥梁、通往社会互动的桥梁、通往 |
| 135 | humanity. | 人类 |
| 136 | It allows for the firmament of people, dynamics, social cohesion, all coming together. | 它使人、动力、社会凝聚力得以凝聚。 |
| 137 | Because we've been through two major wars and coming out of those major wars was deep suffering. | 因为我们经历了两次大战 并且从那些大战中出来 痛苦深重 |
| 138 | The economies of Europe were completely wrecked. | 欧洲的经济被彻底摧毁。 |
| 139 | Countries that were under colonial rules were | 在殖民统治下的国家 |
| 140 | forced to get into this fight which was not their own. | 被迫进入这场不是他们自己的战斗。 |
| 141 | So there was many things that happened that | 所以发生了很多事情 |
| 142 | ensured that there was a vision that the United States had. | 确保美国有远见。 |
| 143 | So on that count, let me start by | 这么说吧,让我先说 |
| 144 | commending one of the founders of the school I attended, formerly known as the Woodrow Wilson | 赞扬我所就读的学校的创始人之一,原名伍德罗·威尔逊 |
| 145 | School for Public and International Affairs, was Woodrow Wilson himself, who had that articulation | 公共和国际事务学校是伍德罗·威尔逊本人,他有这样的表述: |
| 146 | and that vision. | 和那个视觉。 |
| 147 | It's that as the world has come out of the Cold War chapter, there was a time of | 随着世界从冷战的一章中走出来, |
| 148 | great rebalancing, there was a time of great integration, and we suddenly saw that here in | 伟大的再平衡,有一个伟大的融合时期, 我们突然看到在这里 |
| 149 | this country where I stand, in 1979, where the per capita GDP was $180, that transformation, | 1979年,我国的人均国内生产总值为180美元。 |
| 150 | that great leap in four decades, challenges the orthodoxy of economics. | 40年来的伟大飞跃 挑战着经济学的正统性 |
| 151 | It puts a lot of the | 这里面有很多 |
| 152 | economic perspectives on its head. | 经济观点在它的头上。 |
| 153 | It rearranges the ecosystem of the way we think about global | 它重新安排了我们看待全球的生态系统 |
| 154 | growth, about development of inclusive growth. | 增长,指包容性增长的发展. |
| 155 | And when I look at the last seven years, we've | 当我看着过去的七年,我们 |
| 156 | seen an exponential rise of China in lifting over 19 million people out of poverty. | 中国使1,900多万人摆脱贫困的指数上升。 |
| 157 | There is something | 有东西 |
| 158 | that shows about the network of what we started in 1979 was what I would term as the three V's, | 显示我们1979年开始的网络 也就是我所说的三V |
| 159 | and that is political will, the right public policies, and the right partnerships that | 这是政治意愿、正确的公共政策和正确的伙伴关系, |
| 160 | but that is precisely what multilateralism is all about. | 但这正是多边主义的目的所在。 |
| 161 | It is about the political will | 这是关于政治意愿 |
| 162 | of nation-states. | 国家。 |
| 163 | It is about the public policies of nation-states, and it is about the kind of | 它涉及民族国家的公共政策,它涉及 |
| 164 | partnership. | 伙伴关系。 |
| 165 | So I believe the last 10 years was a period of great challenges, incredible challenges. | 因此,我认为,过去十年是一个充满巨大挑战、令人难以置信的挑战的时期。 |
| 166 | We came out of the Millennium Development Goals in 2016 and started on the journey of the | 我们于2016年从千年发展目标中走出来,开始踏上 |
| 167 | Sustainable Development Goals. | 可持续发展目标。 |
| 168 | And today we are in a race to achieve the SDGs, which is by 2030. | 今天,我们正竞相争取到2030年实现可持续发展目标。 |
| 169 | That race will not be won unless everybody's got a state in that game. | 除非比赛中每个人都有状态 否则比赛是不会赢的 |
| 170 | That race has to be inclusive | 比赛必须包容一切 |
| 171 | because the very principle of the Sustainable Development Goals is about giving more money. | 因为可持续发展目标的根本原则是给予更多的资金。 |
| 172 | But what COVID-19 did was it struck the world like a vote of lightning. | 但COVID-19所做的是,它像闪电般触动世界. |
| 173 | And in 2020, | 而在2020年, |
| 174 | we saw the contours of inequality emerge between the most developed and the most underdeveloped, | 我们看到最发达和最不发达之间出现了不平等的轮廓, |
| 175 | between countries within countries, whether it was gender inequality being even more wider or was it | 国家内部国家之间的不平等问题,是否更为广泛或是否 |
| 176 | about economic and social aspects even more widely. | 关于经济和社会方面的内容更为广泛。 |
| 177 | If you look at the studies of Angus | 如果你看看安格斯的学习 |
| 178 | Deaton and Anne Case of Princeton University of the way the economic juggernaut of many nation-states | 普林斯顿大学的Deaton和Anne 案例,许多民族国家的经济模式 |
| 179 | have seen over the last 40 years, a relative decline. | 在过去的40年里,出现了相对的下降。 |
| 180 | And economics has an impact on the way | 经济学对路有影响 |
| 181 | politics means. | 政治意味着。 |
| 182 | And they've seen that all across the world. | 他们在全世界都看到了 |
| 183 | So you've seen a shift in the last 10 | 所以,你看到一个转变 在过去10 |
| 184 | years towards more unilateralism, more nationalism, more protection, which brings what the United | 走向更多单边主义、民族主义、更多保护, |
| 185 | Nations Secretary-General is trying to do. | 联合国秘书长正在努力这样做。 |
| 186 | And I take the point of Mr. Yu Yang when he talks about | 余阳先生说到这里,我以他为重 |
| 187 | three Secretary-General's that he interviewed, and they were all trying to make sure that they | 他采访了三个秘书长 他们都试图确保他们 |
| 188 | reform the UN. | 改革联合国。 |
| 189 | The UN is no easy task. | 联合国并非易事。 |
| 190 | It needs three C's to go with it. | 它需要三个C来进行。 |
| 191 | Huge amounts of courage, | 巨大的勇气, |
| 192 | huge amounts of conviction, and huge amounts of revenge. | 巨大的信念和巨大的复仇 |
| 193 | Because when, you know, it was | 因为,当,你知道,它是 |
| 194 | Shakespeare who said that empires will not suffer an emptiness of purpose at the time of their | 莎士比亚说,帝国不会 遭受空虚的目的的时候,他们 |
| 195 | creation. | 创建。 |
| 196 | It is not once they get created and established do they get replaced by being ritualed. | 一旦他们被创造和确立,他们就会被仪式取代。 |
| 197 | And we ended up getting ritualized. | 最后我们得到了仪式。 |
| 198 | And each agency funded program dealing on its own, | 每个机构都资助了独立交易的方案 |
| 199 | on a particular agenda. | 在某一具体议程中。 |
| 200 | But what the Secretary-General, the incoming Secretary-General did | 但秘书长、新任秘书长所做的 |
| 201 | was he made it a part of his secretary-generation. | 他把它作为他一代秘书的一部分。 |
| 202 | He ran for elections on that. | 他参加竞选 |
| 203 | And many countries | 很多国家 |
| 204 | So what he is trying to do is to make sure, because the UN itself is at an inflection, | 因此,他试图做的是 确保, 因为联合国本身 处于一个失败, |
| 205 | we can either be dynamic or we can be dinosaurs. | 我们要么是动态的 要么是恐龙 |
| 206 | We could actually be in the National Museum too. | 我们也可以去国家博物馆 |
| 207 | But the dynamism means that we have to be, first of all, fit for purpose. | 但活力意味着,我们首先必须适合目的。 |
| 208 | And fit for purpose means | 并适合目的 手段 |
| 209 | in every way, including intellectually, of the political capital that we are able to invest. | 我们有能力投资的政治资本,包括智力上的政治资本。 |
| 210 | Fit for purpose is when a member state, whether it's China or it's Niger, says, yes, this is the UN | 适合目的的是当一个成员国,无论是中国还是尼日尔,说,是的,这是联合国 |
| 211 | that they want. | 他们想要的。 |
| 212 | This is the UN that they aspire for. | 这是他们渴望的联合国。 |
| 213 | This is the UN that they want, believe that | 这是他们想要的联合国,相信 |
| 214 | will walk with the country into the next decade of action, into its next decade of development, | 将与该国一起走进下一个行动十年,进入下一个发展十年, |
| 215 | into that vision of 2030. | 2030年的愿景。 |
| 216 | The second is the UN that delivers this one, that chapter of UNICEF | 第二,联合国提供儿童基金会的这一章。 |
| 217 | doing something, UNDP doing something, UNFPH doing something, is over because those kinds of | 做一些事情,开发署做一些事情, 基金会做一些事情, |
| 218 | resources will no longer be available. | 资源将不复存在。 |
| 219 | Every country is hurting as a result of the COVID pandemic. | 每个国家因COVID流行病而受到伤害。 |
| 220 | I mean, we are looking at an economic crisis that rivals the Great Depression. | 我的意思是,我们正在研究一场经济危机,它与大萧条相对应。 |
| 221 | So what does this mean for the UN? | 这对联合国意味着什么? |
| 222 | It means that the UN has to reinvigorate and revitalize itself, | 这意味着联合国必须重振和振兴自身, |
| 223 | which is what the Secretary-General said. | 这是秘书长所说的。 |
| 224 | And the third problem is to make sure that we leave no | 第三个问题是要确保我们不离开 |
| 225 | reality. | 现实 |
| 226 | And which means leaving no country, no state, no community, no people behind because | 这意味着没有国家 没有国家 没有社区 没有人民 |
| 227 | what we saw is when communities were left behind, whether it was a pandemic or it was a natural | 我们所看到的是,当社区被抛在后面, 无论它是流行病还是自然的 |
| 228 | disaster, it spreads and it has its seasonal borders. | 灾难,它蔓延 并有它的季节性边界。 |
| 229 | So we have an opportunity to again | 所以我们有机会再来一次 |
| 230 | reinvent the UN in a very different way. | 以非常不同的方式革新联合国。 |
| 231 | And this is what precisely China's talking about. | 这就是中国说的 |
| 232 | It's a resurrection, the renaissance of the United Nations. | 这是一个复活, 联合国的复兴。 |
| 233 | It's like the renaissance of | 这就像复兴 |
| 234 | the Catholic faith in the 15th century when we saw the renaissance happening with Martin Luther | 15世纪天主教的信仰,当我们看到马丁路德的复兴 |
| 235 | from Germany and said, yes, the Catholicism has to change because Catholicism itself had gone into | 从德国说,是的,天主教必须改变,因为天主教本身已经进入 |
| 236 | a state of innate inertia. | 内在惯性状态。 |
| 237 | So that moment is here. | 因此,这一时刻就在这里。 |
| 238 | And I believe when I look at the next nine years | 我相信当我看着接下来的九年 |
| 239 | of 2030, ladies and gentlemen, I'm filled with a sense of optimism at home | 2030年 女士们先生们 我满怀乐观 |
| 240 | because I'm standing in a country which is, even when I interact, when I look at my environment | 因为我站在一个国家, 即使在我互动, 当我看着我的环境时, |
| 241 | around me, it is one of hope and inspiration. | 围绕我,这是一个希望和灵感。 |
| 242 | It's a model that we could actually be sharing | 这是一个模型,我们实际上可以分享 |
| 243 | with the rest of the world. | 与诸众生. |
| 244 | Today, very interestingly, this morning with the Irish Ambassador, | 今天,非常有趣的是,今天上午与爱尔兰大使, |
| 245 | I co-hosted a meeting which brought together member states and brought together many, many | 我共同主办了一次会议,使会员国聚集一堂,使许多会员国聚集一堂。 |
| 246 | Chinese officials, including from the party school, etc. | 中国官员,包括党校官员等. |
| 247 | And we all gathered in one big hall to | 我们都聚集在一个大大厅里 |
| 248 | discuss SDG 2 and the acceleration to food security and agriculture. | 讨论可持续发展目标2和加速实现粮食安全和农业。 |
| 249 | Fascinating to have | 迷人的拥有 |
| 250 | several African countries, European countries, the American Chamber of Commerce, British Chamber | 几个非洲国家、欧洲国家、美国商会、英国商会 |
| 251 | of Commerce, the Chinese government's three DGs from MFA and agriculture, rule revitalization, | 商务部,中国政府的三大司职 来自外交部和农业, 统治振兴, |
| 252 | all sitting in the same room. | 都坐在同一间房里 |
| 253 | So it's my third month here. | 所以,这是我在这里的第三个月。 |
| 254 | I've already seen, we can see the | 我已经看到,我们可以看到 |
| 255 | opportunity of that change coming in, of an opportunity of hope. | 充满希望的机会 |
| 256 | And it's really up to us | 这真的取决于我们 |
| 257 | as a collective hope on how we are able to shape that narrative with our counterparts and governments | 作为我们如何与我们的对口单位和政府一起塑造这种叙事的集体希望 |
| 258 | all over the world because we have alumni networks everywhere. | 因为我们到处都有校友网 |
| 259 | The Dean of the school I attended is | 我就读的学校的校长是 |
| 260 | right now, I did my China policy paper under her and she's Biden's Chief Economic Advisor. | 现在,我做了我的中国政策文件 在她和她是拜登的首席经济顾问。 |
| 261 | She's the Chair of the Economic Council. | 她是经济委员会主席. |
| 262 | So it's our network that we should be able to do | 因此,这是我们的网络 我们应该可以做的 |
| 263 | and connect in order to really connect, catalyze and convene global perspectives towards a common | 和连接,以便真正连接、催化和召集全球视角,实现共同 |
| 264 | share. | 共享。 |
| 265 | Thank you. | 谢谢 |
| 266 | Thank you, Sid. | 谢谢你,希德。 |
| 267 | And I believe you are overqualified to be run for the next | 我相信你是超资格 竞选下一个 |
| 268 | Indian Prime Minister. | 印度总理. |
| 269 | We are all impressed by your very inspiring speech. | 我们大家都对你的非常鼓舞人心的讲话印象深刻。 |
| 270 | I have many questions | 我有很多问题 |
| 271 | to start with Victor. | 从维克多开始 |
| 272 | A beneficiary of the old world order and certainly an important part of | 旧世界秩序的受益者,当然是世界秩序的重要组成部分。 |
| 273 | this old world order since 1945, the end of the second world war, China does expect to continue | 自从1945年第二次世界大战结束以来的这个旧世界秩序,中国确实希望继续下去 |
| 274 | to benefit from modern capitalism. | 从现代资本主义中获益。 |
| 275 | It's no exaggeration to say that both China and the | 说中国和中国 |
| 276 | world are of great importance to multilateralism. | 世界对多边主义非常重要。 |
| 277 | The Biden administration, needless to say, | 拜登政府 不用说 |
| 278 | is trying to rebuild its alliance of values and prosperity with the other side of the | 正在试图重建其价值观和繁荣的联盟,与另一方 |
| 279 | Atlantic Ocean. | 大西洋报. |
| 280 | So my question for you, where exactly do you stand on the issue, for example, | 所以,我问你, 你对这个问题的立场,例如, |
| 281 | whether multilateralism is outage given the huge global impact of unilateralism and protectiveness | 鉴于单边主义和保护性的巨大全球影响,多边主义是否已经停止 |
| 282 | the campaign's success of Donald Trump? | 唐纳德·特朗普的竞选成功? |
| 283 | Thank you very much, Yang Rui and Professor Xue. | 谢 very,杨瑞和薛教授. |
| 284 | It's a | 这是一个 |
| 285 | great honor to share this important panel with you. | 很荣幸与你分享这个重要面板 |
| 286 | I think China earned its place at the United | 我认为,中国赢得了它的地位 在联合 |
| 287 | Nations and its Security Council back in 1945. | 1945年各国及其安全理事会。 |
| 288 | China was one of the most important founding | 中国是最重要的创始国之一 |
| 289 | members of the United Nations and then back in 1971, China resumed its seat at the United Nations. | 中国在1971年恢复在联合国的席位。 |
| 290 | That's again a very important day in China's history. | 这又是中国历史上非常重要的一天. |
| 291 | I would say when both China and the | 我会说,当中国和 |
| 292 | United States presented their signed documents to the United Nations Secretary General for the Paris | 美国向负责巴黎事务的联合国秘书长提交了其签署的文件。 |
| 293 | Climate Change Accord, that was one of the most important and happiest day for mankind as a whole | 气候变化协议,这是全人类最重要和最幸福的一天之一 |
| 294 | and when the United States withdrew from the Paris Climate Accord under President Trump, | 而当美国退出了特朗普总统领导下的巴黎气候协议, |
| 295 | it was one of the saddest today for mankind as a whole and it gives me reason to be more optimistic | 这是今天整个人类最悲哀的一件事 让我有理由更加乐观 |
| 296 | now that the United States is back at the Paris Climate Change Accord under President Biden | 现在,美国回到了拜登总统领导下的巴黎气候变化协议 |
| 297 | because it bodes well for mankind as a whole as well as for China-U.S. relations because at least | 因为它预示着整个人类 以及中美关系 |
| 298 | these two most important countries can have a meaningful cooperation on the international front | 这两个最重要的国家可以在国际上进行有意义的合作。 |
| 299 | under the United Nations headed climate change corporations. | 联合国气候变化公司负责人。 |
| 300 | Now China is a big supporter of the | 现在中国是大支持者 |
| 301 | current international order and this is very important because lots of people in the United | 这一点非常重要,因为联合国很多人 |
| 302 | States failed to understand this very important thing about China. | 国家未能理解中国的这一非常重要的事情。 |
| 303 | China does not want to rock | 中国不想摇摆 |
| 304 | a boat. | 一条船。 |
| 305 | China wants to support the existing international order and it will be very | 中国希望支持现有的国际秩序,它将非常 |
| 306 | unconstructive if the United States wants to jump the boat from the existing order as we understand | 如果美国想从我们所理解的现有秩序中跳下船,那就毫无建设性了 |
| 307 | it and try to recreate another order which we do not know. | 并尝试重建另一个我们不知道的顺序。 |
| 308 | So first of all I think China and the | 所以,首先我认为中国和 |
| 309 | United States need to work together to make sure that the international order that we have today | 美国需要共同努力,确保我们今天的国际秩序。 |
| 310 | are maintained for years if not decades and if not even longer to come and China and the United | 维持数年甚至几十年,如果未来甚至更长,中国和联合国 |
| 311 | States need to get along with each other whether they like each other or not. | 国家无论喜欢与否,都需要彼此和睦相处。 |
| 312 | I've come up with a | и稱 |
| 313 | firm belief that to live and let live is the only right thing and the only logical thing for China | 坚信活着和放生是中国唯一正确和合乎逻辑的事 |
| 314 | and the United States. | 美国和美国。 |
| 315 | They do not need to love each other or like each other but they need to | 他们不需要彼此相爱或相爱 但是他们需要 |
| 316 | live and let live. | 生活和让生活。 |
| 317 | That is China need to live and we need to let the United States live and the | 这就是中国需要生存,我们需要让美国活下来 |
| 318 | United States needs to live and let China live. | 美国需要活下去,让中国活着. |
| 319 | That's the minimum thing for the world today and | 这是今天世界的最低条件 |
| 320 | that's the foundation for multilateralism. | 这是多边主义的基础。 |
| 321 | If one country wants to put itself on top of all the other | 如果一个国家想把自己 置于其他一切之上 |
| 322 | countries or if one single country wants to put itself on top of China it will be a very chaotic | 如果一个国家想把自己放在中国之上,那将是一个非常混乱的状态 |
| 323 | world and it also gives me hope to see that Ambassador Chatterjee is here as the highest | 也给我带来了希望 查特吉大使在这里是最高的 |
| 324 | ranking UN officials in China. | 排名中国联合国官员. |
| 325 | For your information very quickly I'm a family of the United Nations. | 很快的,我是一个联合国大家庭。 |
| 326 | My wife is a permanent staff member of the United Nations. | 我的妻子是联合国的长期工作人员。 |
| 327 | I used to work with the United Nations | 我曾经同联合国合作 |
| 328 | secretary in New York. | 纽约秘书。 |
| 329 | Our two daughters attended the UN international school in Manhattan so if | 我们的两个女儿在曼哈顿的联合国国际学校上学,如果 |
| 330 | the ambassador needs a volunteer in Beijing I'm always ready. | 大使需要一位志愿者,我随时都准备好 |
| 331 | Thank you very much. | 谢谢 |
| 332 | Victor, good for you. | 维克多,对你有好处。 |
| 333 | Your wife is a permanent employee of the United Nations. | 你的妻子是联合国的长期雇员。 |
| 334 | It means most of | 这意味着大部分 |
| 335 | the time we are doing shopping in New York you can do it duty-free. | 我们在纽约购物的时候 你可以免关税的 |
| 336 | UN does have to save a lot of | 联合国确实需要节省很多 |
| 337 | money and energy of course. | 当然是金钱和精力 |
| 338 | So Professor Sher, what are your comments on the importance of | 谢尔教授,你对 |
| 339 | multilateralism given the challenges arising from unilateralism and protectionism? | 鉴于单边主义和保护主义带来的挑战,多边主义? |
| 340 | Well I fully agree with Victor's point that we need to support and strengthen the multilateralism | 我完全同意维克多的观点,即我们需要支持和加强多边主义 |
| 341 | but let me also say that the multilateralism at its current state is not enough. | 但是,我还要说,多边主义的现状还不够。 |
| 342 | We need a version two, version three, given the challenge we face. | 鉴于我们面临的挑战,我们需要第二版,第三版。 |
| 343 | So I think you mentioned | 所以我觉得你提到 |
| 344 | about the UN reform. | 关于联合国改革。 |
| 345 | Let me just take the one example, the WHO. | 让我举一个例子,卫生组织。 |
| 346 | I think this pandemic really | 我觉得这个流行病真的 |
| 347 | revealed many, many weaknesses in the global public health system and I think I was told that | 暴露了全球公共卫生系统的许多弱点,我想我被告知 |
| 348 | the WHO's budget is less than a research hospital in New York. | 卫生组织的预算还不到纽约的一家研究医院。 |
| 349 | Can you imagine? | 你能想象吗? |
| 350 | So I think that | 所以我觉得 |
| 351 | indeed we need to strengthen the current multilateralism in many, many ways and also | 确实,我们需要在许多方面和在很多方面加强目前的多边主义。 |
| 352 | there are many new challenging issues that will not have any institution that can address those | 有许多新的挑战性问题,没有任何机构能够解决这些问题。 |
| 353 | issues. | 问题。 |
| 354 | I think climate change is likely. | 我认为气候变化是可能的。 |
| 355 | Now we have this kind of system but I think there are | 现在我们有这种系统 但我认为有 |
| 356 | many other things like for example in the area of AI technologies and in many, many other fields | 其它很多事情 比如AI技术领域 以及很多其它领域 |
| 357 | so we actually need a lot more institutions to be created and be expensive. | 因此,我们实际上需要 更多的机构被创建 和昂贵。 |
| 358 | So I think that I | 所以我觉得 |
| 359 | run the way but also that's not enough. | 运行的方式,但也不够。 |
| 360 | We need to do more to strengthen the system. | 我们需要做更多的工作来加强这一制度。 |
| 361 | Thank you Peter and Professor Xue. | 谢谢你彼得和薛教授 |
| 362 | You have put a lot of interesting points into your individual | 你给个人留下了很多有趣的点子 |
| 363 | perspectives. | 观点。 |
| 364 | Let me get back to Sid. | 让我回到西德。 |
| 365 | With a clear focus on two most important multilateral | 明确侧重于两个最重要的多边 |
| 366 | values since 1945, the World Bank and the IMF. | 自1945年以来,世界银行和货币基金组织的价值。 |
| 367 | Now since there are no signs indicating clearly | 现在没有明显的迹象了 |
| 368 | that the trade war if any between the United States and China is receding seriously. | 美国和中国之间的贸易战争正在严重退缩。 |
| 369 | Do you | 你会吗? |
| 370 | believe that the process of increasing China's voting powers at the World Bank and the | 认为中国在世界银行和 |
| 371 | International Monetary Fund will come to a halt? | 国际货币基金组织会停摆吗? |
| 372 | The old world financial order is actually based on United States currency, US dollars. | 旧世界金融秩序实际上以美元货币为基础。 |
| 373 | But given the separation of US dollars from golden standards in the early 1970s, | 但是,鉴于美元与黄金标准在1970年代初分离, |
| 374 | the United States is still, I mean US dollars still viewed as the most important reserve | 美元仍然是最重要的储备 |
| 375 | and global payment. | 以及全球支付。 |
| 376 | Do you think the current tensions between the two biggest economies | 你认为两个最大的经济体之间 目前的紧张关系 |
| 377 | threaten to suspend this process that China will have a more important say, a voting power | 威胁要中止这一进程 中国将拥有更重要的发言权 |
| 378 | for example with the special drawing rights to the basket that gathers all the | 例如,对收集所有 |
| 379 | major policies about the sovereignty of the individual nation states? | 关于个别民族国家主权的重大政策? |
| 380 | So like any other institution, the Bretton Woods also need to go through a dramatic | 所以,像任何其他机构一样,布雷顿森林也需要经历一个戏剧性的 |
| 381 | reform. | 改革。 |
| 382 | So whether it's the World Bank or the IMF, but therefore we are also seeing the emergence | 因此,无论是世界银行还是国际货币基金组织, 但我们也看到了这个现象 |
| 383 | of regional banks like the Asia Bank, the Africa Bank, the AIIB. | 亚洲银行、非洲银行、亚投行等区域银行。 |
| 384 | In fact I had the AIIB recently | 其实我最近有亚投行 |
| 385 | join the UN country team as a member because it's again an example of multilateralism at a regional | 加入联合国国家工作队是因为它再次成为区域多边主义的典范 |
| 386 | level. | 级别。 |
| 387 | So like everything else, the problem with institutions is over time they develop inertia | 所以像其他一切一样, 机构的问题 在于随着时间推移,它们变得惰性 |
| 388 | and once that inertia develops deep roots come in and therefore the change becomes difficult. | 一旦惯性发展到深层 变化就会变得困难 |
| 389 | So I think that change is absolutely mission critical to happen including like the UN, | 因此,我认为变革绝对是关键的任务 包括联合国, |
| 390 | but to me the US and China represent hope to the world. | 但对我来说,美国和中国代表着世界的希望。 |
| 391 | Their coupling represents hope to | 他们的结合代表着希望 |
| 392 | and bringing the best. | 并带来最好的。 |
| 393 | I mean today when I look at this network of US educated | 我的意思是,今天,当我看到 这个网络 美国教育 |
| 394 | Ivy League schoolers who are influencing the public policy space at every level, | 常春藤联盟的校友 影响各级公共政策空间, |
| 395 | China's own growth would not have happened had it not been for that knowledge that allowed | 如果不是这种知识允许了中国自身的增长,中国就不会有这样的增长。 |
| 396 | China's human capital to also develop from. | 中国的人力资本也从发展起来。 |
| 397 | You know there was someone asking me, how would you | 你知道有人问我,你会怎么做 |
| 398 | best describe China's growth as I said it's MPH. | 最好描述一下中国的增长,就像我说的是MPH. |
| 399 | So the M stands for meritocratic. | 故M代表功德. |
| 400 | You could be from | 你可能来自 |
| 401 | remote village, but if you've got the talent you can still get to wherever you want to. | 边远的村庄,但是如果你有天赋 你仍然可以得到任何地方。 |
| 402 | The P is pragmatism. | P是实用主义。 |
| 403 | You embrace all forms of knowledge and allowed it to get into your | 你接受各种形式的知识,让它进入你的 |
| 404 | research, into your technology and the edge was on. | 研究, 研究你的技术和边缘。 |
| 405 | So you moved your economy to an MPH process | 所以,你把经济转移到了MPH进程 |
| 406 | and kept it moving. | 并保持它移动。 |
| 407 | And I think when I look at the US and China, when I look at my own self, | 当我看着美国和中国 当我看着我自己的时候 |
| 408 | I come from a family that was displaced. | 我来自一个流离失所的家庭。 |
| 409 | My country was partitioned into three. | 我国被分为三个。 |
| 410 | My father | 我父亲 |
| 411 | had to flee from one part of the country to the other. | 不得不从该国的一个地方逃到另一个地方。 |
| 412 | The fact that I had an opportunity to get | 我有一个机会 |
| 413 | into one of the top schools gave me an opportunity and opened up doors. | 进入顶尖的学校 让我有机会打开大门 |
| 414 | I really believe that our | 我真的相信,我们 |
| 415 | role should be to look at where those points of convergence are and it's the climate for sure | 作用应该是研究这些趋同点在哪里,这是肯定的气候 |
| 416 | that we can actually make a massive difference. | 我们实际上可以做出巨大的改变。 |
| 417 | It's rebuilding economics | 它正在重建经济 |
| 418 | and getting the US and China to help the rest of the developing world come up. | 让美国和中国 帮助其他发展中国家崛起 |
| 419 | It's coming together | 都出来了 |
| 420 | around health. | 与健康有关 |
| 421 | And this time at the BOP forum there were four weaknesses or four deficits | 而这次在BOP论坛,有四个弱点或四个缺点 |
| 422 | which was an outcome of the 2030 agenda. | 这是2030年议程的成果。 |
| 423 | The first deficit is a health deficit. | 第一个赤字是健康赤字。 |
| 424 | The second | 第二个 |
| 425 | deficit is a digital deficit. | 赤字是一种数字赤字。 |
| 426 | The third is a green deficit. | 第三是绿色赤字。 |
| 427 | The fourth is an infrastructure deficit. | 第四是基础设施短缺。 |
| 428 | Right, I'm coming to that. | 好吧,我来了。 |
| 429 | I just wrote a piece about that and I said there are two deficits that | 我只是写了一篇关于这个的,我说有两个缺陷 |
| 430 | underpin these two and one is a trust and one is a deficit of multilateralism. | 支持这两个方面,一个是信任,一个是多边主义的缺失。 |
| 431 | But you know what? | 但你知道吗? |
| 432 | It's people who help develop trust. | 是帮助发展信任的人 |
| 433 | It is the people-to-people connectivity that we have to | 我们必须把人与人联系起来 |
| 434 | help develop trust. | 帮助发展信任。 |
| 435 | Frankly, I'm saying this with every emphasis at my disposal that the next 10 | 坦白地说,我用我的所有重点说 接下来的10个 |
| 436 | years will see a much better upswing in relationships across the world. | 多年来,全世界的关系将会有更好的上升。 |
| 437 | I'm quite confident. | 我相当有信心。 |
| 438 | Yet another focus on an embarrassing question about the prospects of the WTO. | 另一个重点是世贸组织前景的尴尬问题。 |
| 439 | We are all talking | 我们都在谈论 |
| 440 | about the reform of the United Nations and one important multilateral body is of course | 当然,关于联合国改革和一个重要的多边机构 |
| 441 | the World Trade Organization. | 世界贸易组织。 |
| 442 | We all understand that towards the closing days of Donald Trump's | 我们都明白 在唐纳德·特朗普的闭幕日 |
| 443 | administration the appellate body of the World Trade Organization was basically dead because | 世界贸易组织上诉机构由于 |
| 444 | majority of the judges disappeared. | 多数法官失踪。 |
| 445 | The Trump administration was not very supportive of this | 川普政府对此并不十分支持 |
| 446 | idea, settling trade disputes through the appellate body. | 通过上诉机构解决贸易纠纷。 |
| 447 | Now, trained as a JD at Yale, Dr. Gao, | 现在,在耶鲁接受过JD训练,高博士 |
| 448 | are you optimistic that the process of reforming the World Trade Organization | 你对世界贸易组织的改革进程感到乐观吗? |
| 449 | will go ahead as scheduled? | 照计划进行吗? |
| 450 | Or do you think the Biden administration will carry on the legacy of | 或者你认为拜登政府会继承 |
| 451 | the Trump administration and trade disputes threaten to further erode the dynamics of globalization? | 特朗普政府和贸易争端有可能进一步侵蚀全球化的动态? |
| 452 | Thank you, Yang Rui. | 谢谢杨锐. |
| 453 | By nature, I'm an eternal optimist. | 自然,我是一个永恒的乐观主义者。 |
| 454 | So if you ask me about anything, | 所以,如果你问我什么, |
| 455 | I'm always optimist. | 我总是乐观。 |
| 456 | I'm always optimistic. | 我总是很乐观 |
| 457 | That's by my nature. | 照我的本性 |
| 458 | Number two is that before | 二号是以前 |
| 459 | answering the WTO, I would say in the medium and longer term, I'm very optimistic about China-U.S. | 中长期而言,我对中美关系非常乐观。 |
| 460 | relations because I know for sure, and I can get my house with you, that with the passage of time, | 关系,因为我知道肯定, 我可以得到我的房子与你, 随着时间的推移, |
| 461 | the current hostility in Washington against China will eventually mellow down. | 现在华盛顿对中国的敌意 最终会消退 |
| 462 | China and the United | 中国与联合国 |
| 463 | States are not destined to be enemies against each other. | 国家注定不会相互敌对。 |
| 464 | That's my firm belief. | 这是我的坚定信念。 |
| 465 | That gives me all | 这让我所有 |
| 466 | optimism about China-U.S. relations, not for today, but for the medium and longer term. | 对中美关系持乐观态度,不是今天,而是中长期. |
| 467 | We can go into | 我们可以进去了 |
| 468 | more details about what do I mean by medium and longer term. | 更多关于我中长期含义的详情。 |
| 469 | But on that basis, it gives me | 但在此基础上,它给了我 |
| 470 | optimism for WTO reform. | 对世贸组织改革的乐观态度。 |
| 471 | I believe now the resistance against WTO reform is mainly from | 我认为,对世贸组织改革的抵制主要来自 |
| 472 | the United States. | 美国。 |
| 473 | And the basis of the U.S. opposition against WTO reform is mainly because | 而美国反对世贸组织改革的基础主要在于 |
| 474 | it's misjudgment about how to take on China, whether China is an enemy, is a rival, is a competitor, | 它错误地判断了如何占领中国, 无论中国是敌人,是对手,是竞争对手, |
| 475 | etc. | 页:1 |
| 476 | It's all very confused in Washington about China. | 华盛顿对中国都非常困惑. |
| 477 | So I think one thing we can do is to really | 所以我想我们可以做的一件事就是 |
| 478 | let the United States know better about China. | 让美国更了解中国. |
| 479 | For example, one thing we can all do together is to | 例如,我们可以一起做的一件事就是 |
| 480 | tell the American people who really paid the tariffs that the U.S. government has charged on | 告诉美国人民谁真的支付了 关税,美国政府已经收取 |
| 481 | Chinese exports to the United States. | 中国出口美国. |
| 482 | It's not the Chinese government. | 这不是中国政府。 |
| 483 | It's not the Chinese exporters. | 不是中国的出口商 |
| 484 | It's the American importers and the American consumers eventually. | 最终是美国进口商和美国消费者. |
| 485 | I think President Biden's | 我认为拜登总统 |
| 486 | administration should at least have that decency of telling the truth to the American people, | 政府至少应该有 向美国人民说实话的体面, |
| 487 | if not about many other things, at least about who really paid the tariff, because the tariff | 如果不是很多事情, 至少关于谁真正支付关税, 因为关税 |
| 488 | is really just a tax on the American people for whatever that is imported from China. | 其实只是美国人民从中国进口的税 |
| 489 | And about | 还有 |
| 490 | one third of the Chinese exports to the United States is actually made by American companies | 中国对美国出口的三分之一实际上是美国公司做的 |
| 491 | operating in China. | 在中国经营。 |
| 492 | So if we really can explain the situation to the American government, to the | 所以,如果我们真的可以 解释的情况 美国政府,向 |
| 493 | United States, against reform of the WTO. | 美国,反对世贸组织改革. |
| 494 | Now, having said that, at present, I think WTO is more | 现在,说到这里,我认为世贸组织更 |
| 495 | or less dead, if not operative in an efficient way. | 或更少的死亡,如果不是有效操作。 |
| 496 | And this is why now the focus is on setting up more | 这就是为什么现在的重点是 建立更多的 |
| 497 | multilateral or regional free trade arrangements or trade agreements, etc., which probably will | 多边或区域自由贸易安排或贸易协定,等等,可能 |
| 498 | replicate the situation going forward. | 复制未来的情况。 |
| 499 | But I suppose it will take at least five to ten years | 不过我想至少要五到十年 |
| 500 | before real serious reform of the WTO can really take place. | 在世贸组织真正进行真正的认真改革之前。 |
| 501 | And that period of time should | 这段时期应该 |
| 502 | correspond more or less to one thing. | 或多或少对应一件事。 |
| 503 | That is, within ten years, the overall size of the Chinese | 也就是说,在十年之内,中国人的整体规模 |
| 504 | economy will be larger than that of the United States. | 经济将大于美国。 |
| 505 | I think once we cross that most important | 我想一旦我们穿过那个最重要的地方 |
| 506 | point of no return, Washington will have to mellow down. | 华盛顿将不得不低调 |
| 507 | So I hope you will join me in my optimism. | 因此,我希望你与我一样感到乐观。 |
| 508 | Don't always be distraught by the hostilities now between China and the United States. | 现在中美两国之间的敌对行为,不要总是心烦意乱. |
| 509 | In the | 在那个 |
| 510 | medium and long term, China and the United States will need to get along with each other. | 中长期,中美两国需要和睦相处. |
| 511 | Live and let live is the mega trend going forward. | 生活与生活是向前发展的巨大趋势。 |
| 512 | Thank you. | 谢谢 |
| 513 | Thank you so much, Victor, for your | 谢谢你,维克多,谢谢你 |
| 514 | mystic note in the self-fulfilling prophecy. | 在自我实现的预言中神秘的笔记. |
| 515 | But may I have the benefit of doubt as to whether | 但能否让我怀疑 |
| 516 | WTO will continue to perform its role? | 世贸组织将继续发挥其作用? |
| 517 | My next question actually is a noble one. | 我的下一个问题其实是一个崇高的问题。 |
| 518 | I'd like to open | 我想打开 |
| 519 | this floor to three of the panelists here. | 这层楼是给这里的三位小组成员的 |
| 520 | The question is, and I need to have a debate, | 问题是 我需要辩论一下 |
| 521 | now one important reason that threatens to undermine the normal functions of the WTO is | 现在有可能破坏世贸组织正常职能的一个重要原因是: |
| 522 | how to look at the economy of China. | 如何看中国经济. |
| 523 | Is it still the biggest developing country or developed one? | 它仍然是最大的发展中国家还是发达国家? |
| 524 | Most Western powers argue strongly China has become an economic superpower. | 大多数西方强国极力主张中国已经成为经济超级大国. |
| 525 | China says no. | 中国说不. |
| 526 | We still, despite the millions of people being lifted out of poverty in the year 2020, China, | 尽管2020年中国有数百万人摆脱贫困, |
| 527 | we argue, remains a developing country. | 我们说,仍然是一个发展中国家。 |
| 528 | So first of all, your argument, I'd like to have a debate. | 所以,首先,你的论点, 我想有一个辩论。 |
| 529 | Now, I believe there will be discrepancies in your opinion about whether China is a | 现在,我相信,对于中国是否是一个 |
| 530 | developed one or a developing country. | 发达国家或发展中国家。 |
| 531 | The pros and the cons is to share is China a developing | 利弊是中国的发展 |
| 532 | country or a developed one? | 国家还是发达国家? |
| 533 | Depending on what you look at. | 取决于你所看。 |
| 534 | Depending on the per capita GDP? | 取决于人均GDP? |
| 535 | Well, you mentioned I was trained at Yale Law School. | 你说我在耶鲁法学院受训 |
| 536 | Graduates from Yale Law School always | 耶鲁法学院毕业生 |
| 537 | try to avoid questions like that. | 尽量避免这样的问题。 |
| 538 | It's like whether you are still feeding your wife. | 就像你是否还在喂你妻子 |
| 539 | Yes or no? | 是还是不是? |
| 540 | You can't answer questions like that. | 你不能回答这样的问题。 |
| 541 | But anyway, I've come up with my own coinage of a term. | 但总之,我已经想出了 我自己的钱一个术语。 |
| 542 | I've created a term calling both China and India the superpopulations. | 我创造了一个称中国和印度为超级人口的术语. |
| 543 | Superpopulations, meaning | 超级人口,意指 |
| 544 | if any country has a population above one billion, automatically it becomes a superpopulation. | 如果任何国家的人口超过10亿,就会自动成为超级人口。 |
| 545 | I think China and India are the only two superpopulations in the world. | 我认为中国和印度是世界上仅有的两个超级人口. |
| 546 | Now, if you try to say | 现在,如果你试图说 |
| 547 | whether China is a developed or a developing country in the world, it also reminds me of | 无论中国是世界上的发达国家还是发展中国家,它也让我想起 |
| 548 | arguments when Deng Xiaoping was asked whether a black cat is better than a white cat or icy. | 邓小平被问到黑猫比白猫好还是冰冷时的论点. |
| 549 | You cannot answer that kind of question because the old man really said the right thing. | 你不能回答这种问题 因为那个老头说得没错 |
| 550 | He said | 他说 |
| 551 | it doesn't matter whether it's black or white. | 无论是黑还是白都无所谓. |
| 552 | What matters is if the cat catches rice. | 重要的是如果猫抓住了大米。 |
| 553 | So I think if you look at Shanghai or Shenzhen or Guangzhou, it's very much developed. | 所以,我认为如果你看上海或者深圳或者广州,就非常发达. |
| 554 | It's | 这是 |
| 555 | any city in Europe. | 欧洲的任何城市。 |
| 556 | My hometown, the little Suzhou, when I was born with, for example, is now | 故乡小苏州,以我生时为例,今已矣. |
| 557 | having a population of 12 million people. | 有1 200万人口。 |
| 558 | 12 million people for Suzhou. | 苏州一千二百万人. |
| 559 | We always say the | 我们总是说 |
| 560 | mega-Shanghai versus the little Suzhou. | 上海对阵小苏州. |
| 561 | Suzhou has 12 million people larger than any city in | 苏州有1200万人 比任何城市都大 |
| 562 | Europe. | 欧洲。 |
| 563 | Can you believe it? | 你能相信吗? |
| 564 | Larger than any city in the United States except probably the city. | 比美国任何一个城市都大 除了这个城市 |
| 565 | Can you stop your past speech and come up with your opinion about whether his wisdom of | 你能停止你过去的演讲, 提出你的意见 关于他的智慧 |
| 566 | ambiguity always bothers me? | 模糊总是让我烦恼? |
| 567 | But I would like to have a clear answer from you. | 但我想从你那里得到一个明确的答案。 |
| 568 | But from a United Nations perspective, we have a cooperation framework, | 但从联合国的角度来看,我们有一个合作框架, |
| 569 | and it's a cooperation framework which is from 2021 to 2025. | 它是一个合作框架 从2021年到2025年。 |
| 570 | It's called the United Nations | 它叫联合国 |
| 571 | Sustainable Development Cooperation Framework, and this has been discussed with the government. | 已与政府讨论了可持续发展合作框架。 |
| 572 | The government itself acknowledges that there are three strategic areas here, | 政府自己承认这里有三个战略领域, |
| 573 | people and prosperity, the planet, and partnership. | 人类与繁荣 地球与伙伴关系 |
| 574 | The government is keen to make sure that while we | 政府渴望确保我们 |
| 575 | have made significant gains in removing people out of Arctic poverty, an external shock like a | 在使人民摆脱北极贫困方面取得了显著进展,这种外部冲击像 |
| 576 | natural disaster or an economic shock should not take away those gains, which means we still have | 自然灾害或经济冲击不应夺走这些成果,这意味着我们仍然有 |
| 577 | a lot of work to do to get into the remotest parts of China, making sure that we make sure | 为了进入中国最偏远的地区, 需要做很多工作, 确保我们确保 |
| 578 | that the infrastructure, the socio-economic infrastructure is robust. | 基础设施、社会经济基础设施都十分健全。 |
| 579 | So there is work to | 所以还有工作要做 |
| 580 | be done. | 已经做了。 |
| 581 | So let's say that China today is at the point where you say $12,000 per capita GDP is very | 因此,让我们假设,今天的中国是 你说的12,000美元人均GDP非常 |
| 582 | kind of putting you into the developed country space. | 让你进入发达国家的空间 |
| 583 | Frankly, in my view, it should be in the | 坦白说,我认为,它应该是在 |
| 584 | space of $20,000 to $25,000, which is where it will go to in the next five to 10 years. | 20 000美元至25 000美元,这是今后5至10年将达到的目标。 |
| 585 | He's | 琌 |
| 586 | and perhaps the next 10 years will define that economic strength and might of China | 也许未来十年 将决定中国的经济实力 |
| 587 | when we can actually see absolute confidence. | 当我们看到绝对的信心时 |
| 588 | Now we've had a census, which has just come up | 现在我们做了个人口普查,刚刚开始 |
| 589 | that no person is below a particular per income level. | 任何人的人均收入水平都低于特定水平。 |
| 590 | Surprisingly, I found these three guest | 没想到我找到这三位客人 |
| 591 | speakers are more of a diplomat than a commentator, and their philosophical questions have further | 演讲者更像是外交家而不是评论家 他们的哲学问题更进一步 |
| 592 | puzzled me on my question as to these two issues. | 我对这两个问题感到困惑。 |
| 593 | Why the United States launched one after another | 美国为何逐一发动 |
| 594 | anti-dumping and anti-subsidy investigations against China? | 对中国的反倾销和反补贴调查? |
| 595 | And the talent body was the place where | 才华横溢 |
| 596 | such trade disputes were supposed to be settled. | 这种贸易纠纷应该得到解决。 |
| 597 | But as Victor Gao said, to my dismay, that the | 但是,正如Victor Gao所说,我感到失望的是, |
| 598 | So why don't we regard China as a developing or a developed one, really, besides or seals the | 因此,我们为什么不把中国视为一个发展中或发达的,真的,除了或封印 |
| 599 | fate of China being an economy that launches a dumping or a subsidy so soon? | 中国的命运是一个经济 启动倾销或补贴 这么快? |
| 600 | To me, the WTO is working for us without a doubt. | 对我来说,世贸组织无疑为我们工作。 |
| 601 | I mean, it is precisely because there was a level | 我的意思是,这正是因为 有一个水平 |
| 602 | of, should I say, the same inertia that we are talking about. | 我要说,我们所说的同样惰性。 |
| 603 | And that is why the WTO really | 这就是为什么世贸组织 |
| 604 | needs to be rewired. | 需要重新连接。 |
| 605 | And I think, therefore, the ambition with which both China and America come | 因此,我认为,中国和美国的野心 |
| 606 | to it is absolutely critical to make sure that the newly appointed WTO Director General is given the | 确保新任命的世贸组织总干事获得 |
| 607 | keeping and the space to be able to reemerge and reinvigorate the WTO. | 保持和保持能够重新出现和重振世贸组织的空间。 |
| 608 | It's a great institution, | 这是一个伟大的机构, |
| 609 | but it needs reforms. | 但它需要改革。 |
| 610 | Without those reforms, it is not keeping up with current. | 没有这些改革,它就跟不上现状。 |
| 611 | I mean, if we are | 我的意思是,如果我们 |
| 612 | learning tensors analysis and we realize that geometric progression in calculus has advanced | 我们意识到微积分中的几何进化已经进步 |
| 613 | to space, and if we are still learning tensors analysis, then we are caught in a different place. | 如果我们还在学习抗辐射分析 那么我们就被困在另一个地方 |
| 614 | I think that's where WTO is. | 我想这就是WTO的位置。 |
| 615 | It has to make that great leap forward in terms of its intellectual | 它必须在智力上实现这一巨大的飞跃 |
| 616 | capital as well. | 资本也是。 |
| 617 | And this is what the new Director General of WTO is trying to do. | 这也是世贸组织新任总干事试图做的事情。 |
| 618 | Now the issue of unilateralism. | 现在谈谈单边主义问题。 |
| 619 | Since the Biden administration was sworn in, in late January, | 自从拜登政府宣誓就职后 1月下旬 |
| 620 | Professor Xue, to what degree do you think this newly elected Democratic President | 薛教授,你觉得这位新当选的民主总统 达到什么程度? |
| 621 | would change the Trump administration's policy of populism and trade protectionism? | 是否会改变川普政府的民粹主义和贸易保护主义政策? |
| 622 | Because | 因为 |
| 623 | in this particular area, we're going to see divergence or convergence of our stakes. | 在这个特殊领域,我们将看到我们的利益分歧或趋同。 |
| 624 | China always says it loud and clear, we are a big fan of unilateralism, and we take side | 中国总是大声说,我们是单边主义的大粉丝,我们站在一边 |
| 625 | with the United Nations, and we are on the right side of history. | 我们站在历史的正确一边。 |
| 626 | I think we're still patiently | 我觉得我们还有耐心 |
| 627 | watching to see what's happening. | 看着看发生了什么。 |
| 628 | I think that at the moment, I think that | 我认为,现在,我想 |
| 629 | certainly I think from the officials from Biden administration, from their remarks and so on, | 我从拜登政府的官员, 从他们的言论等等看来, |
| 630 | indeed this seems the intention to do that, but at the same time, we are not seeing the actual | 确实,这似乎是打算这样做的,但与此同时,我们没有看到实际存在的情况。 |
| 631 | movement. | 移动。 |
| 632 | So I think that's what I think we're watching. | 我想这就是我们所看到的 |
| 633 | And of course, I think it's | 当然,我认为 |
| 634 | understandable that the four years of Trump administration has generated a lot of poison, | 可以理解的是,特朗普政府的四年 产生了大量的毒药, |
| 635 | you know, the atmosphere, and also has generated a lot of bad initials there. | 你知道,大气, 也产生了很多不好的缩写。 |
| 636 | So that may take some time. | 所以这可能需要一些时间。 |
| 637 | At the same time, I think that we are really looking for some | 与此同时,我认为我们真的在寻找一些 |
| 638 | political courage, I think, that can overcome this initial and then, you know, really coming out | 我认为,政治勇气可以克服 最初,然后,你知道,真的出来 |
| 639 | to fulfill and to do what they create to do. | 完成和做他们创造的做。 |
| 640 | A question for both Victor and Sid, as to on what side will the European Union stand on the issue of | 维克多和希德都有一个问题,即欧洲联盟将站在哪一边? |
| 641 | multilateralism? | 多边主义? |
| 642 | Since the EU does not see eye to eye with the United States on most of the issues | 由于欧盟在大多数问题上没有同美国保持对等 |
| 643 | that the Biden administration is seriously concerned with, therefore, there's likelihood | 拜登政府很担心 因此有可能 |
| 644 | that President Biden will try to align itself again with the Europeans in pushing back the | 拜登总统将试图再次与欧洲人结盟,推动 |
| 645 | alleged assertiveness of China's rights. | 所谓中国权利的坚定性。 |
| 646 | This is a little bit sensitive for Sid, but Victor, | 这对希德来说有点敏感 但维克多 |
| 647 | you are notoriously known for being evasive and dodgy. | 臭名昭著的以逃避和狡猾著称 |
| 648 | Let me have a clear answer about | 让我有一个清楚的答案 |
| 649 | whether the European Union will take the right side. | 欧洲联盟是否采取正确的立场。 |
| 650 | First of all, EU itself is a product of multilateralism, and I believe it will | 首先,欧盟本身是多边主义的产物,我相信它将 |
| 651 | remain a multilateral institution, and I hope it will remain a force for multilateralism | 我希望它仍将是多边主义的力量。 |
| 652 | rather than unilateralism, because if EU shifts into unilateralism, it will destroy EU itself. | 而不是单边主义,因为如果欧盟转变为单边主义,它将摧毁欧盟本身。 |
| 653 | That's my firm belief. | 这是我的坚定信念。 |
| 654 | Secondly, I think multilateralism, in what sense? | 第二,我认为什么意义上的多边主义? |
| 655 | That's | 这是 |
| 656 | important, because if you talk about economic and trade, definitely, I hope and I believe, | 重要的是,因为如果你谈论 经济和贸易, 绝对,我希望,我相信, |
| 657 | EU will remain a very important factor for multilateralism. | 欧盟仍将是多边主义的一个非常重要的因素。 |
| 658 | But if you talk about, let's say, | 但是,如果你谈论, 让我们说, |
| 659 | in the world of today, then EU may have no other choice but to side with the United States. | 在当今世界上,欧盟可能别无选择,只能与美国站在一起。 |
| 660 | It depends on the circumstances, but I truly believe EU as a regional or international | 这取决于具体情况,但我确实认为欧盟是区域或国际的。 |
| 661 | organization will have enough independence of judgment to become a pawn of any other | 组织将有足够的独立判断能力,成为任何其他组织的棋子。 |
| 662 | international force in the world of today, and China need to really keep very good relations | 当今世界的国际力量,中国需要真正保持良好的关系 |
| 663 | with EU as a whole and all its constituent member states, and at the same time, this is my firm | 与整个欧盟及其所有成员国, 同时,这是我的公司 |
| 664 | personal belief, the world will be a better place if China and the United States can get along with | 如果中国和美国能和睦相处,世界将会更美好 |
| 665 | each other. | 彼此间. |
| 666 | And if any force wants to distance China and the United States, that force should be | 如果有势力想与中美两国保持距离,那就应该 |
| 667 | a very unhealthy force, and none of us, I hope, will have anything to do with that. | 一个非常不健康的势力, 我希望,我们没有人会 与此有关。 |
| 668 | I hope you | 我希望你能够 |
| 669 | agree with me on this. | 同意我的意见 |
| 670 | Thank you. | 谢谢 |
| 671 | But I'm afraid there are major leadership changes in the political | 但恐怕政治领导班子有重大变动 |
| 672 | landscape of continental Europe following the Brexit. | Brexit之后的欧洲大陆地貌。 |
| 673 | For example, Chancellor Angela Merkel | 例如,安格拉·默克尔总理 |
| 674 | is going to step down, and the head of the Green Party is rising as the most likely leader of the | 绿党的领袖正在崛起 作为最有可能的领袖 |
| 675 | next coalition government in Germany. | 下届德国联合政府. |
| 676 | Does that, under the negative impact of COVID-19, indicate | 在COVID-19的负面影响下,这是否表明 |
| 677 | clearly that the EU will change its policy that respects multilateralism? | 显然,欧盟将改变其尊重多边主义的政策? |
| 678 | I'd like to have your side for analysis about what the EU is going to do next. | 我想请你们来分析一下欧盟下一步会做什么。 |
| 679 | Well, I wish I had a crystal ball. | 我希望我有一个水晶球。 |
| 680 | I would have told you that, but I feel that the EU does represent | 我本来会告诉你的 但我觉得欧盟确实代表 |
| 681 | a strong spirit of multilateralism. | 一种强有力的多边主义精神。 |
| 682 | I've interacted with them today. | 我今天和他们互动过 |
| 683 | I mean, I've come out of a meeting | 我的意思是,我已经出来了 一个会议 |
| 684 | this morning, and you should ask DG Gopal or the DG from culture or the DG from brutal revitalization. | 今天早上,你应该问DG Gopal 或DG 从文化或DG 从残酷的振兴。 |
| 685 | We all felt a sense of hope. | 我们都感到了一种希望感。 |
| 686 | In that room, we were about 50 people, and it was not big enough. | 在那个房间里,我们大约50人,而且不够大。 |
| 687 | We | 我们 |
| 688 | didn't realize that we oversubscribed at that meeting. | 没想到那次会议上我们订的太多了 |
| 689 | We also had the American Chamber of | 我们还有美国众议院 |
| 690 | Commerce, the British Chamber of Commerce, the EU Chamber of Commerce, all coming together on two | 商务,英国商会,欧盟商会, 都聚集在两个 |
| 691 | fronts. | 前卫 |
| 692 | Number one, how do we work with China on the rural revitalization side? | 第一,如何在农村振兴方面与中国合作? |
| 693 | Number two, how do | 二号,怎么样? |
| 694 | we work with China to advance Africa's economy? | 我们与中国合作推进非洲经济? |
| 695 | That's a 2.5 billion population by 2050. | 到2050年,人口达到25亿。 |
| 696 | It is | 没错 |
| 697 | going to be the market of the future consumers and producers. | 将成为未来消费者和生产者的市场。 |
| 698 | With the rest of the world aging, | 随着世界的老龄化 |
| 699 | which you call in demographic terms an echo, a demographic echo, you will need the new markets. | 从人口学角度来说,你需要一个新的市场。 |
| 700 | It's that there was a united voice that came out over there. | 这是有一个统一的声音 出来了那里。 |
| 701 | It was hosted by the Irish Ambassador | 会议由爱尔兰大使主持。 |
| 702 | that we all need to come together. | 我们都需要团结起来。 |
| 703 | I believe our human capital, the human race, our human progress | 我相信我们的人力资本,人类,人类的进步 |
| 704 | will be defined by the US, China, EU, all coming together under the rubric of the renewed revitalized | 由美国、中国、欧盟共同确定 重新振兴后 |
| 705 | multilateral institutions like the United Nations. | 联合国等多边机构。 |
| 706 | Therefore, the importance of that reform | 因此,改革的重要性 |
| 707 | will become even more critical. | 将变得更加重要。 |
| 708 | Without the US, without China, without EU, without Great Britain, | 没有美国 没有中国 没有欧盟 没有大不列颠 |
| 709 | without France, we would not be able to achieve that inflection point. | 没有法国,我们就无法达到这个错误点。 |
| 710 | So I'm confident that we | 所以我相信我们 |
| 711 | will see a renewal of this which is happening. | 将看到这种情况的重演。 |
| 712 | You are indeed a super fan of optimism. | 你确实是乐观的超级粉丝 |
| 713 | Let's look at | 我们来看看 |
| 714 | the forgotten sub-Saharan region, the most impoverished region in this world. | 被遗忘的撒哈拉以南地区, 世界上最贫穷的地区。 |
| 715 | Do you foresee | 你预见到 |
| 716 | benefits by this part of the world that will benefit from multilateralism, the United Nations, | 将受益于多边主义、联合国、 |
| 717 | IMF and the World Bank? | 货币基金组织和世界银行? |
| 718 | To what degree do you think they're going to work out the shadow of | 你觉得他们会在什么程度上 消除阴影 |
| 719 | the pandemic and will sustain their economic development? | 并维持其经济发展? |
| 720 | Economies such as Rwanda and Nigeria | 卢旺达和尼日利亚等经济体 |
| 721 | used to be very dynamic and very impressive ahead of the outbreak of COVID-19, but what's | 以前在COVID-19爆发前非常活跃和令人印象深刻,但什么是 |
| 722 | going to happen next? | 接下来会发生什么? |
| 723 | So you know I've spent most of my career in Africa and I'm actually coming from | 所以,你知道我大部分的职业生涯 在非洲,我其实来自 |
| 724 | Kenya after six years of serving there. | 在肯尼亚服役六年之后。 |
| 725 | And in my view, sub-Saharan Africa will be the bridge or | 我认为,撒哈拉以南非洲将是桥梁或 |
| 726 | the vanguard of economic change in the rest of Africa. | 非洲其他地区经济变革的先锋。 |
| 727 | So a green infrastructure, a green BRI | 绿色基础设施,绿色BRI |
| 728 | which connects all of Africa, brings the US's blue dot network, China's BRI, the EU's infrastructure, | 连结整个非洲,带来美国蓝点网络,中国的BRI,欧盟的基础设施, |
| 729 | all of it needs to come together because the EU would not have taken shape had they not been | 这一切需要齐头并进,因为如果不是欧盟,它们就不会成形。 |
| 730 | connected by roads, infrastructure bridges etc. | 由道路,基础设施桥梁等连接. |
| 731 | This is precisely what we need in Africa. | 这正是我们非洲所需要的。 |
| 732 | Africa | 非洲 |
| 733 | has an infrastructure deficit. | 基础设施不足。 |
| 734 | Without covering that infrastructure deficit, we will not be able | 如果不弥补基础设施的不足,我们将无法 |
| 735 | to kind of exponentially move the velocity of economics, commerce and trade. | 使经济、商业和贸易的速度急剧上升。 |
| 736 | And therefore, | 因此, |
| 737 | it is in everybody's interest to actually invest in that. | 实际投资符合每个人的利益。 |
| 738 | So I'm really hoping that Africa becomes | 所以我真的希望非洲变成 |
| 739 | the spot at which the EU, the US, China, Russia, all countries come together because nobody can | 欧盟、美国、中国、俄罗斯、所有国家走到一起的地方,因为没有人能够 |
| 740 | do it alone. | 单干 |
| 741 | Now it's clear that you need governments, you need the private sector, you need | 现在很明显,你需要政府,你需要私人部门,你需要 |
| 742 | civil society institutions all uniting towards a common goal. | 民间社会机构都联合起来,争取实现共同目标。 |
| 743 | There's no question about the global | 毫无疑问,全球 |
| 744 | implications of the BRI, particularly in the sub-Saharan region. | 特别是撒哈拉以南地区。 |
| 745 | However, my question remains | 不过,我的问题仍然是 |
| 746 | whether ahead of everything African nations in this region need to get re-industrialized | 该地区非洲国家是否需要重新工业化? |
| 747 | because infrastructure, talking smart about infrastructure, you've got to ask the basic | 因为基础设施,说到基础设施,你得问基本 |
| 748 | question as to, maybe at the end of the day, as to whether industrialization or re-industrialization | 是否实现工业化或再工业化的问题 |
| 749 | in South Africa, for example, would be the most important priority on the agenda. | 例如,在南非,这将是议程上最重要的优先事项。 |
| 750 | Most of sub-Saharan | 大部分撒哈拉以南地区 |
| 751 | Africa miss the second and third industrial revolution, most of them, except... What about the alleged | 非洲错过了第二次和第三次工业革命,除了. 所指称的 |
| 752 | digital gap? | 数字差距? |
| 753 | Right, there is a huge digital gap. | 是的,有一个巨大的数字鸿沟。 |
| 754 | So I talked about the four deficits for the world | 所以我谈了世界的四大赤字 |
| 755 | 实现SDG. | |
| 756 | But the prospect of taking Africa or sub-Saharan Africa into the fourth | 但将非洲或撒哈拉以南非洲带入第四个 |
| 757 | industrial revolution is actually there. | 工业革命实际上就在那里。 |
| 758 | In my view, the next five years, Kenya, Ethiopia, Tanzania, | 我认为,今后五年,肯尼亚、埃塞俄比亚、坦桑尼亚, |
| 759 | Rwanda, Uganda, Sudan, will have a population of about 700 million by 2050. | 到2050年,卢旺达、乌干达、苏丹将有大约7亿人口。 |
| 760 | And are you alluding | 你在说 |
| 761 | quietly to the understatement of Huawei's 5G in Africa? | 悄悄地对华威在非洲5G的低调评价?. |
| 762 | Because, you know, the industrialization | 因为,你知道,工业化 |
| 763 | of those poor economies largely depends on, particularly what you're talking about, the fourth | 这些贫穷经济体主要依赖,特别是你所说的第四个 |
| 764 | industrial revolution. | 工业革命。 |
| 765 | 5G will play definitely an important role. | 5G肯定将发挥重要作用。 |
| 766 | Well, Huawei was a partner of mine | 华伟是我的搭档 |
| 767 | when we brought down maternal deaths, I just mentioned it to you. | 当我们把产妇死亡 刚刚提到你。 |
| 768 | So I don't see a contradiction | 我看不出有什么矛盾 |
| 769 | but we do need to bridge the digital divide. | 但我们确实需要弥合数字鸿沟。 |
| 770 | And we need not just Huawei, we need Google there, | 我们不仅需要华伟 我们需要谷歌 |
| 771 | we need everybody coming together with a united push to kind of cover the digital divide. | 我们需要大家团结起来 团结起来 努力弥补数字鸿沟 |
| 772 | Yes, but the professor here remains pretty quiet. | 是的,但这里的教授仍然相当安静。 |
| 773 | Victor从不回答他 | |
| 774 | He's never replied. | 他从来没有回答。 |
| 775 | You always take the floor. | 你总是在发言。 |
| 776 | Yeah, I actually wanted to shift our focus a little bit, you know, away from the sovereign nations of | 是啊,我其实想转移 我们的焦点一点点, 你知道,从主权国家 |
| 777 | the, you know, so when we talk about multilateralism, we always talk about the, you know, | 所以当我们谈论多边主义时 我们总是谈论... |
| 778 | sort of the nation's things. | 国家的东西。 |
| 779 | But I think there's also a trend emerging that I think that we see, | 但我认为也出现了一种趋势 我认为我们看到 |
| 780 | you know, for example, the civil societies and the networks like this one, the kind of a network, | 比如说,民间社会 和这样的网络, 那种网络, |
| 781 | as you said, at the working level. | 正如你说的 在工作层面 |
| 782 | So, you know, on digital technology, on agriculture and so on. | 所以,你知道,关于数字技术, 关于农业等等。 |
| 783 | So I think those kind of systems are also emerging and they actually often play a much better role | 所以,我认为这些系统 也正在出现, 实际上它们经常发挥 更好的作用 |
| 784 | in addressing some of the challenges we face. | 解决我们面临的一些挑战。 |
| 785 | So I think that, you know, I think many people | 所以我觉得,你知道,我认为很多人 |
| 786 | study the national relations or know the terms of the regime complex. | 研究国家关系或了解政权复杂条件。 |
| 787 | That is, for the same | 就是说,同样 |
| 788 | issue, you have many different government systems. | 你有很多不同的政府制度 |
| 789 | Some of them are actually, you know, linked and | 其中一些其实是,你知道,连接和 |
| 790 | there are some hierarchical relations, but in many, they don't. | 有一些等级关系,但在许多方面,它们没有. |
| 791 | So I think that we need to | 所以,我认为我们需要 |
| 792 | strengthen that type of multilateralism to supplement the failures by these nation-states | 加强这种多边主义,以补充这些民族国家的失败; |
| 793 | of multilateralism. | 多边主义。 |
| 794 | I think that's what we actually, we should, you know, we should really | 我觉得这就是我们实际上, 我们应该,你知道,我们真的应该 |
| 795 | focus on. | 专心点 |
| 796 | And particularly this group, I think that can play that role. | 特别是这个团体,我认为它可以发挥这种作用。 |
| 797 | So I think that's where, | 所以,我想这就是, |
| 798 | I think that we need to, we need not to forget about that part of multilateralism. | 我认为,我们需要,我们不应忘记多边主义的这一部分。 |
| 799 | So Victor. | 所以维克多。 |
| 800 | Well, I agree with V.M. | 好吧,我同意V. M. |
| 801 | Asada and Professor Xuan. | 浅田和 教授. |
| 802 | Let me just share with you one | 让我跟你分享一个 |
| 803 | thing. | 东西。 |
| 804 | You may remember back in the early 1980s, the small population of Hong Kong, at that time, | 你可能记得1980年代初 香港人口少的时候 |
| 805 | was much smaller than the 7 million people now they have in Hong Kong. | 比香港现在的七百万人还小得多 |
| 806 | People in Hong Kong, | 香港人,我们... |
| 807 | at that time, had more fixed line phones than mainland China combined together. | 当时的固定线电话比中国大陆的组合多. |
| 808 | Can you believe | 你能相信吗 |
| 809 | it? | 是吗? |
| 810 | You can see China was really very much disadvantaged in the early 1980s. | 你可以看到,中国在20世纪80年代早期确实非常不利。 |
| 811 | It is similar | 类似 |
| 812 | to Africa today, but I believe using China as an example, if the African brothers and sisters can | 但是我相信如果非洲兄弟姐妹们能 |
| 813 | get their acts together, if they can maintain stability, if they can avoid war, if they can | 只要他们能维持稳定 只要他们能避免战争 |
| 814 | focus on building up their connectivity, infrastructure, etc., they need to do a lot of | 重点是加强它们的连通性、基础设施等,它们需要做大量的工作。 |
| 815 | things. | 东西。 |
| 816 | The disadvantages today in Africa can actually be transformed into their advantages | 非洲今天的不利条件实际上可以转化为他们的优势 |
| 817 | for tomorrow. | 为明天。 |
| 818 | And this is my firm belief for Africa. | 这就是我对非洲的坚定信念。 |
| 819 | If you look at the younger generations | 如果你看年轻一代 |
| 820 | of the African population, the vast resources and the very enriched endowments for Africa, | 以及非洲丰富的资源和财富, |
| 821 | both in population and natural resources, you name it, they just need to get the right act together. | 无论是在人口还是自然资源方面,你都说,他们只需要把正确的行动集中起来。 |
| 822 | So I've always been thinking, if Deng Xiaoping did not reemerge in China in 1978, | 所以我一直想 如果1978年邓小平没有在中国复出 |
| 823 | but reemerged, let's say, in India, then India should have been about five times larger than | 在印度,印度应该比 |
| 824 | China today. | 今日中国. |
| 825 | Now if there will be one Deng Xiaoping emerging in Africa today, 20 years later, | 如果一个邓小平今天在非洲出现 20年后 |
| 826 | Africa could be equally as big as China is today. | 非洲可以和中国今天一样大。 |
| 827 | So let's always hope for the miracle to happen, | 因此,让我们永远希望 奇迹发生, |
| 828 | and we need to have the right miracle. | 我们需要有一个正确的奇迹。 |
| 829 | As a matter of fact, any person sitting in this hall today | 事实上,今天在座的任何人 |
| 830 | can be a rainmaker in Africa. | 在非洲可以做一个降雨者。 |
| 831 | You can really bring the right thing, the governors, | 州长们,你真的可以带来正确的东西 |
| 832 | the wonderful ideas, the importance of stability and innovation and creativity to Africa. | 稳定、创新和创造力对非洲的重要性。 |
| 833 | And the ambassador will be a very important bridge from China to Africa and from anywhere else to | 而大使将是一个非常重要的桥梁 从中国到非洲和 从其他地方到 |
| 834 | Africa. | 非洲。 |
| 835 | The only problem, Victor, Africa is not homogeneous. | 唯一的问题,维克多,非洲不是单一的。 |
| 836 | It's a heterogeneous entity. | 它是一个不同的实体。 |
| 837 | It's | 这是 |
| 838 | in order to make sure that the government structures, both in the upstream level when | 以确保政府结构,无论是在上游一级,在 |
| 839 | it comes to the public policy space, but at the implementation side. | 它涉及公共政策空间,但在执行方面。 |
| 840 | That's why I gave you this | 所以我才给你这个 |
| 841 | example that in 2014, even within the UN, there was a lot of opposition to us partnering up with | 例如,2014年,即使在联合国内部,也有很多人反对我们携手合作。 |
| 842 | the private sector, but results matter. | 私营部门,但结果很重要。 |
| 843 | And when this happened, even the government of Kenya stepped | 事情发生后 连肯尼亚政府都挺身而出 |
| 844 | back and said, oh my God, actually these relationships work. | 说,哦,我的上帝, 这些关系实际上工作。 |
| 845 | And they opened up space | 他们打开了空间 |
| 846 | for the United Nations, which we were not allowed into because these were pretty unstable, | 对于联合国,我们不允许进入, 因为这些是相当不稳定的, |
| 847 | fragile. | 脆弱。 |
| 848 | And it's transformed these places. | 它改变了这些地方。 |
| 849 | If you look at them, it's like an economic juggernaut | 你看他们,就像一个经济杂耍家 |
| 850 | of change. | 变化。 |
| 851 | There's a road which was built from the port of Lamu all the way to Addis, financed by the | 有一条公路是从拉穆港修建的,一直到亚的斯亚贝巴,资金来自 |
| 852 | European Union, the African Development Bank, the government of Kenya and the government of Ethiopia, | 欧洲联盟、非洲开发银行、肯尼亚政府和埃塞俄比亚政府, |
| 853 | built by a Chinese company on budget and in less time. | 由一家中国公司按预算建造,在较短的时间内建成. |
| 854 | That road changed the lives of people that | 那条路改变了人们的生活 |
| 855 | lived along it. | 沿着它生活。 |
| 856 | We did a cross-border program in Ethiopia. | 我们在埃塞俄比亚做了一个跨界方案。 |
| 857 | It's online. | 腾讯网. |
| 858 | If you just Google Kenya, | 如果你只是谷歌肯尼亚, |
| 859 | Ethiopia, United Nations, you'll find several studies which have been done on it. | 埃塞俄比亚,联合国,你会发现 已经做了几项研究。 |
| 860 | That one | 那个 |
| 861 | group was significant enough not only to reduce conflicts, but suddenly brought mutual trade | 集团的重要性不仅足以减少冲突,而且突然带来相互贸易 |
| 862 | prosperity along the border. | 沿着边境繁荣。 |
| 863 | And that is exactly what Africa needs because the Africans targeting | 而这正是非洲需要的,因为非洲人的目标 |
| 864 | the Africa free trade area. | 非洲自由贸易区。 |
| 865 | So the governance structure will be the African Union, while each | 因此,施政结构将是非洲联盟,而每一个 |
| 866 | state like the European Union will retain its, you know, but the African Union has to be spent | 像欧盟那样的国家会保留它 但非洲联盟必须花掉 |
| 867 | just the way the European Union, just the way the ASEAN, we need a model of that sort coming up. | 就象欧洲联盟一样,就像东盟一样, 我们需要一个这样的模式。 |
| 868 | Many examples of regional integration are actually based on the success of the European Union and its | 区域一体化的许多例子实际上都以欧洲联盟的成功及其成果为基础。 |
| 869 | original economic integration. | 最初的经济一体化。 |
| 870 | However, ironically, with the Brexit of the UK, I don't think | 然而,讽刺的是,英国的英国人,我不认为 |
| 871 | other economies would still follow the example of the European Union, therefore the weaknesses of | 其他经济体仍将仿效欧洲联盟的做法,因此,欧洲联盟的弱点是: |
| 872 | the African Union. | 非洲联盟 |
| 873 | Having said this, let's look at the role of other players in the game. | 说了这番话之后,让我们看看其他角色在游戏中的角色. |
| 874 | For example, | 举例来说, |
| 875 | are you sure, Sid, Professor Shea and Victor, it is the governments of sovereign states that play the | 希德,谢教授和维克多,你确定吗? 是主权国家的政府 |
| 876 | vital and pivotal role in the process of colonization, or actually it's the multinationals, | 在殖民化过程中 扮演重要和关键的角色 或者其实是跨国公司 |
| 877 | overseas multinationals. | 海外跨国公司. |
| 878 | Now when we look at the importance of global supply chains, it is | 当我们审视全球供应链的重要性时, |
| 879 | that giant players such as Huawei, Facebook, Twitter, you know, soft bank, I mean these global | 那些巨型玩家,如华威,Facebook,Twitter, 你知道,软银行,我的意思是这些全球 |
| 880 | players threaten to replace the role of traditional ones of individual governments. | 行为者威胁要取代政府的传统角色。 |
| 881 | Do you think that | 你觉得 |
| 882 | it is these big companies that will seal the fate of human being? | 是这些大公司会封住人类的命运? |
| 883 | Actually I see them as an advantage. | 其实我把他们看成是优势 |
| 884 | They would actually complement the work. | 它们实际上将补充这项工作。 |
| 885 | And that is what when I talk about the renewal of | 当我谈论更新 |
| 886 | multilateralism, I see the giants like Huawei and Tencent and Google, all coming together, to | 多边主义,我看到像华威,Tencent和Google这样的巨人 都走到一起 |
| 887 | come work with the United Nations, work with member states, to advance the growth, prosperity agenda. | 将与联合国合作,与会员国合作,推动增长、繁荣议程。 |
| 888 | And that is why technology you cannot abandon. | 这就是为什么技术 你不能放弃。 |
| 889 | I think there would be five areas, and, let me | 我想有五个领域,让我 |
| 890 | to be critical for human development | 对人类发展至关重要 |
| 891 | and global perspective. | 以及全球观点。 |
| 892 | First is the space of artificial intelligence, | 首先是人工智能的空间 |
| 893 | absolutely necessary. | 绝对有必要 |
| 894 | The second is the space of semiconductors. | 第二是半导体的空间. |
| 895 | The world has to work together in the space | 世界必须在太空中共同努力 |
| 896 | of semiconductors because that will get the velocity | 半导体,因为那会得到速度 |
| 897 | that we need for technology. | 我们需要技术。 |
| 898 | The third is quantum computing, | 第三个是量子计算, |
| 899 | and it will need much faster decision making | 它需要更快的决策 |
| 900 | through the quantum computing networks | 通过量子计算网络 |
| 901 | in order to come to decisions or come to technologies | 以作出决定或技术 |
| 902 | or give vibrancy or scale to our two ideas. | 或赋予我们两个想法活力或规模。 |
| 903 | The fourth is biotechnology, | 第四是生物技术, |
| 904 | and it has become even more evident | 越来越明显 |
| 905 | that we need biotechnology right out there, | 我们需要生物技术 |
| 906 | given the fact that the COVID pandemic reminded us | 鉴于COVID大流行提醒我们 |
| 907 | that we got caught on the back foot. | 我们被抓住在后脚。 |
| 908 | And the fifth is financial technology. | 第五是金融技术。 |
| 909 | If you go to Kenya, you'll be surprised. | 若去肯尼亚则惊. |
| 910 | They are perhaps unpowered or better | 他们也许没有力量或更好 |
| 911 | than most countries in the world | 比世界上大多数国家 |
| 912 | when it comes to the MPSR system, | 当涉及到MPSR系统时, |
| 913 | which is actually powered up by Huawei | 其实是华威的电源 |
| 914 | and a few other companies back in 2008. | 还有2008年的其他几家公司。 |
| 915 | But the remarkable nature of cashless transactions | 但无现金交易的显著性质 |
| 916 | is quickly catching up in most of sub-Saharan Africa. | 大多数撒哈拉以南非洲地区正在迅速赶上。 |
| 917 | So, you know, when I look at this whole ecosystem, | 所以,你知道,当我看着整个生态系统, |
| 918 | it therefore inspires me with a level of hope. | 因此,它使我充满希望。 |
| 919 | 25 years in the U.N., and if you're seeing a level | 在联合国呆了25年 如果你看到一个等级 |
| 920 | of energy and enthusiasm in me, | 我充满活力和热情 |
| 921 | it's because I've seen it on the ground, | 因为我在地面上见过 |
| 922 | not at Neo, not in Geneva, but on the ground. | 不是在尼欧 不是在日内瓦 而是在地面上 |
| 923 | So far, we've been able to... | 到目前为止,我们已经... |
| 924 | So far, we are very careful to avoid a discussion | 到目前为止,我们非常小心地避免讨论 |
| 925 | a serious one about digital technology, | 一个严肃的数字技术, |
| 926 | because the issue of decoupling China. | 因为与中国脱钩的问题 |
| 927 | I need to... | 我必须... |
| 928 | We need to take a second look at this. | 我们得再看看这个 |
| 929 | Huawei 3 is barred, it's rejected. | 华伟3被禁赛,被拒绝. |
| 930 | So will you, Sid, the ambassador, | 你也一样,希德,大使, |
| 931 | show optimism that Google, Huawei, | 显示乐观的谷歌,华伟, |
| 932 | Townsend, Alibaba are likely to come together? | 汤森,阿里巴巴很可能会在一起吗? |
| 933 | May I have the benefit of doubt? | 我可以怀疑一下吗? |
| 934 | The shadow of the Cold War is a sensitive issue, | 冷战的阴影是一个敏感的问题, |
| 935 | but Professor Xie and Victor, | 但谢教授和维克多, |
| 936 | what do you think of ideology? | 你觉得意识形态如何? |
| 937 | Do you think China can be accepted | 你认为中国可以被接受吗? |
| 938 | where we look at the sustainability of globalization? | 我们如何看待全球化的可持续性? |
| 939 | Or do you think everyone is trying | 或者你认为每个人都在尝试 |
| 940 | to redefine globalization, Professor Xie? | 为了重新定义全球化,谢教授? |
| 941 | I think that, first of all, I share, you know, | 我认为,首先,我分享,你知道, |
| 942 | Sid's optimism about technology, | 希德对科技的乐观 |
| 943 | but I also agree with you that, indeed, | 但我也同意你的观点,其实, |
| 944 | I think the nation states can serve as a way to, | 我认为,民族国家可以作为一个途径, |
| 945 | in a way to promote the collaborations | 以增进合作的方式 |
| 946 | and technologies, but also can block the collaboration. | 技术,但也能够阻碍合作。 |
| 947 | So I think what the U.S. has done | 所以我认为美国做了什么 |
| 948 | by building on ideological divide, | 通过扩大意识形态的鸿沟, |
| 949 | and actually has the potential to threaten, | 并且实际上有可能威胁, |
| 950 | to disrupt the global supply chain, | 扰乱全球供应链, |
| 951 | the global innovation systems, | 全球创新体系, |
| 952 | and I think the potential cost for the world is huge. | 我认为世界的潜在代价是巨大的。 |
| 953 | So I think that that's where I think that, you know, | 所以我想这就是我想,你知道, |
| 954 | we need to watch for and also to see | 我们需要观察和观察 |
| 955 | in what ways that can be changed. | 怎样才能改变这一切 |
| 956 | Otherwise, I think that, I think Victor has said that, | 否则,我认为,我认为维克多说过, |
| 957 | you know, the costs, you know, | 你知道,代价,你知道, |
| 958 | sort of the trade barriers, the cost of that | 贸易障碍,成本 |
| 959 | was, you know, bad by the U.S. general public, | 是,你知道,坏 美国公众, |
| 960 | but I think they disrupted the supply chain, | 但我认为他们破坏了供应链, |
| 961 | the cost would be bad by the entire world population. | 全世界人民将付出惨重的代价。 |
| 962 | Victor, how likely will the global supply chain be sustained? | 维克多,全球供应链能否维持下去? |
| 963 | Well, it depends on the time frame you are talking about, | 那要看你说的时间范围 |
| 964 | and it depends on China-U.S. relations. | 这取决于中美关系 |
| 965 | Why? | 为什么? |
| 966 | Because you also mentioned ideology. | 因为你也提到了意识形态 |
| 967 | I think I have confidence in the American people | 我想我对美国人民有信心 |
| 968 | being a very pragmatic people, | 作为一个非常务实的人, |
| 969 | and I think they are being hijacked by some politicians | 我认为他们正被一些政客劫持 |
| 970 | in the United States who really see China | 在美国,谁真正看到中国 |
| 971 | as a competitor or a rival, et cetera. | 作为竞争者或竞争对手,等等。 |
| 972 | Why? | 为什么? |
| 973 | Because they want to remain | 因为他们想留下来 |
| 974 | the largest economy in the world. | 是世界上最大的经济体 |
| 975 | But then, if we talk about what we experience in nature, | 但是,如果我们谈论 我们经历的自然, |
| 976 | everything has its own momentum. | 一切都有自己的动力。 |
| 977 | I don't think anyone can stop China's continued development | 我想没有人能阻止中国的持续发展 |
| 978 | out of our hands, so I think one big thing | 从我们的手中, 所以我想一件大事 |
| 979 | that need to happen in the world of today | 需要发生在当今世界 |
| 980 | is for Washington to sooner or later conquer terms | 是华盛顿迟早要征服条件 |
| 981 | with the prospect and the imminent reality | 未来和即将到来的现实 |
| 982 | that China will have a larger economy than the United States. | 中国的经济将比美国大 |
| 983 | It may happen very soon. | 这可能很快发生。 |
| 984 | In five years or less than 10 years. | 于五年或不足十年时. |
| 985 | So this is the time frame. | 这就是时间范围。 |
| 986 | Now, in this period of time, | 现在,在这个时期, |
| 987 | and I'm afraid that in the coming four years or so, | 恐怕在未来四年左右 |
| 988 | it will get worse. | 它会变得更糟。 |
| 989 | Lots of people in Washington will start | 华盛顿很多人会开始 |
| 990 | worrying their heads off about the size of China | 担心中国的大小 |
| 991 | gaining upon the United States, et cetera. | 获取美国,等等。 |
| 992 | But eventually, see, there will be a crucial point | 但最终,你看, 将有一个关键点 |
| 993 | of no return. | 无法返回。 |
| 994 | When the Chinese economy surpasses that of the United States, | 当中国经济超过美国时 |
| 995 | and then in another 12 to 15 years, | 再过12到15年 |
| 996 | the size of the Chinese economy will be about twice | 中国经济规模将达到两倍左右 |
| 997 | as big as that of the United States. | 和美国的一样大 |
| 998 | By then, rest assured, America as a government, | 那时,你放心,美国作为一个政府, |
| 999 | the American people as a people will mellow down. | 美国人民作为一个民族将沉沦。 |
| 1000 | They will accept a larger China as a matter of fact. | 事实上,他们将接受一个更大的中国。 |
| 1001 | They need to deal with China as a matter of fact. | 他们需要把中国当作事实来处理. |
| 1002 | And China-U.S. relations will become more normalized. | 而中美关系将变得更加正常化. |
| 1003 | There will be less hostility in Washington against China. | 华盛顿对中国的敌意将会减少. |
| 1004 | And that will give rise to a better environment | 这将带来一个更好的环境 |
| 1005 | when the so-called ideology will be less important | 当所谓的意识形态不再重要时 |
| 1006 | and the diversification of technologies | 技术的多样化 |
| 1007 | between China and the United States | 中美关系 |
| 1008 | will be much less of an objective | 更不会是一个目标 |
| 1009 | for the United States to pursue. | 让美国去追求 |
| 1010 | And I think what the ambassador is talking about | 我觉得大使说的是什么 |
| 1011 | is that a more integrated world involving key areas | 是这样一个更加一体化的世界,涉及关键领域 |
| 1012 | of technology will eventually prevail. | 技术最终将占上风。 |
| 1013 | Mankind should always prefer to bring us back | 人类总喜欢把我们带回来 |
| 1014 | into the U.S.-China relationship. | 进入美中关系. |
| 1015 | That's the key of everything we're talking about. | 此是一切如来所说之关键. |
| 1016 | Some ice does matter, but why size cannot fit all. | 有些冰块确实很重要,但为什么尺寸不能完全合适。 |
| 1017 | Today, you may have discovered that we do enjoy | 今天,你可能发现 我们确实喜欢 |
| 1018 | this broad spectrum of public opinions | 这些广泛的公共舆论 |
| 1019 | with the ambassador being a very good example of optimism. | 大使是乐观主义的典范 |
| 1020 | And he is the representative of the U.N. | 他是联合国的代表。 |
| 1021 | which hopes to bring all major economies together | 希望把所有主要经济体聚集在一起 |
| 1022 | for the same purpose of furthering | 的同一目的,以推进 |
| 1023 | or sustaining dynamic civilization. | 或维持活跃的文明。 |
| 1024 | I thank you so much for your very convincing | 非常感谢你很有说服力 |
| 1025 | informed opinions on the issue of multilateralism | 关于多边主义问题的知情意见 |
| 1026 | and the role of the United Nations, | 以及联合国的作用, |
| 1027 | which of course need to be reformed | 当然需要改革 |
| 1028 | through collective effort. | 通过集体努力。 |
| 1029 | Next, I'm gonna give the floor to Carol | 接下来我请卡罗尔发言 |
| 1030 | (原始内容存档于2019-09-31). For the QQA session. | |
| 1031 | Thank you to all of you and Mr. Yang. | 感谢大家和杨先生. |
| 1032 | And now we're just gonna open up | 现在,我们只是要去打开 |
| 1033 | and please just raise your hands. | 请举起手来 |
| 1034 | This is sort of like a Yale, Harvard, or Princeton classroom. | 这有点像耶鲁、哈佛或普林斯顿的教室。 |
| 1035 | So yes, please, and please press on the microphone | 所以请按下麦克风 |
| 1036 | continuously to ask your question. | 不断问你的问题。 |
| 1037 | Hello. | 哈罗 |
| 1038 | And please introduce yourself very briefly | 请您简单介绍一下 |
| 1039 | and ask your question. | 并问你的问题。 |
| 1040 | Okay, hello everyone. | 好了,大家好,你们好 |
| 1041 | I'm a junior high school student for major. | 我是高中生,为主修 |
| 1042 | And thank you for your wonderful panel talking. | 谢谢你的精彩演讲 |
| 1043 | You really learned a lot. | 你真的学到了很多东西。 |
| 1044 | Well, my question is about the pragmatism | 我的问题是关于实用主义 |
| 1045 | of multilateralism. | 多边主义。 |
| 1046 | For me personally, multilateralism looks like | 对我来说,多边主义看起来像 |
| 1047 | and somehow utopian notion. | 还有乌托邦的概念 |
| 1048 | The idea of all for one and one for all. | 普为一众生想. |
| 1049 | But we also see the huge gap between the ideal | 但我们也看到了理想之间的巨大差距 |
| 1050 | and the reality of unilateralism, | 和单边主义的现实, |
| 1051 | the powerful discourse of populism, | 民粹主义的有力言论, |
| 1052 | and generally the failure to realize | 以及一般未能实现 |
| 1053 | the long existing blueprint of the multilateralism. | 长期存在的多边主义蓝图。 |
| 1054 | So my question is twofold. | 所以我的问题有两个 |
| 1055 | First, in your opinion, | 首先,在你看来, |
| 1056 | what hampers the full realization of multilateralism? | 是什么阻碍了多边主义的充分实现? |
| 1057 | Is it information asymmetry, like a political will, | 是信息不对称, 像政治意愿, |
| 1058 | or something else? | 还是别的? |
| 1059 | And second, how should multilateralism itself evolve | 第二,多边主义本身应如何演变? |
| 1060 | so that it will be more realistic? | 这样会更现实吗? |
| 1061 | Thank you. | 谢谢 |
| 1062 | Very good question. | 问得好 |
| 1063 | So whom do you want to answer your question? | 你想回答你的问题吗? |
| 1064 | Anyone? | 有人吗? |
| 1065 | Anyone back here can answer this question? | 有人能回答这个问题吗? |
| 1066 | Okay, I'll take a crack at it. | 好吧,我会有一个裂缝。 |
| 1067 | And it's a brilliant question. | 而问妙法. |
| 1068 | And this is precisely what the kind of intellectual | 这就是那种知识分子 |
| 1069 | questioning that we need from young people | 质疑我们需要年轻人 |
| 1070 | who are going to be influencing the public policy space, | 他们将影响公共政策空间, |
| 1071 | because finally you will be in that space soon, | 因为最后你很快就会进入那个空间了 |
| 1072 | not too far away, and 10, 15 years | 不远,10,15年 |
| 1073 | you will be making those decisions. | 你将做出这些决定。 |
| 1074 | You know, it is about nation-states, | 你知道,这是关于民族国家, |
| 1075 | and it is about nation-states coming together | 是关于民族国家的团结 |
| 1076 | at a converging point. | 在汇合点 |
| 1077 | Just as we did in 1945 when the world came together | 就像我们1945年世界走到一起一样 |
| 1078 | after the two great wars. | 在两次大战之后 |
| 1079 | It is about political will at the outset. | 首先是政治意愿。 |
| 1080 | It is about people demanding that political will be in place | 而是要求有政治意愿的人 |
| 1081 | so that the world converges. | 以便世界趋同。 |
| 1082 | We have three imminent crises right in front of us. | 我们面前有三个迫在眉睫的危机。 |
| 1083 | Climate crisis, a health crisis, and an economic crisis, | 气候危机、健康危机和经济危机, |
| 1084 | which we have to address collectively. | 我们必须共同处理 |
| 1085 | We can't do it, or each one can't do it on its own. | 我们不能这样做,或者每个人都不能自己去做. |
| 1086 | China could do everything about its own climate, | 中国对自己的气候可以做任何事 |
| 1087 | but you can't do much about the climate in Mongolia | 但蒙古的气候你却无能为力 |
| 1088 | and elsewhere, so you continue to have the sandstorms. | 和其他地方,所以你继续有 沙暴。 |
| 1089 | So you'll have to look at the climate in its entirety. | 所以,你必须看 整个气候。 |
| 1090 | So the impact of climate of the US or Europe | 美国或欧洲气候的影响 |
| 1091 | is having an impact on what's happening in Africa | 影响着非洲的情况 |
| 1092 | or in the low island states, where more and more | 或低岛屿国家,其中越来越多 |
| 1093 | of global warming is causing sea rises, | 全球变暖导致海平面上升, |
| 1094 | and there are islands which are disappearing. | 有些岛屿正在消失 |
| 1095 | So it's interconnected. | 故曰互通. |
| 1096 | With that realization in mind, with just these three, | 考虑到这个认识, 就这三, |
| 1097 | it's good enough for the whole world to come together, | 足够让全世界走到一起 |
| 1098 | because this is an existentialist crisis | 因为这是存在主义危机 |
| 1099 | which confronts everybody. | 面对每个人。 |
| 1100 | Nobody is safe until everybody is safe. | 没有人是安全的,直到每个人都安全。 |
| 1101 | Allow me to give a short edge on question. | 请允许我简短地谈谈这个问题。 |
| 1102 | It's a very important question. | 这是一个非常重要的问题。 |
| 1103 | I think, philosophically speaking, | 我认为,哲学上, |
| 1104 | if you talk about unilateralism for the world, | 如果你为世界谈论单边主义 |
| 1105 | first of all, it's not realistic in the world of today. | 首先,这在今天的世界里是不现实的. |
| 1106 | When will it become realistic? | 什么时候才变得现实? |
| 1107 | I think it will be realistic if, for example, | 我认为,如果,例如, |
| 1108 | the world really becomes a global village, | 世界真的成为一个地球村, |
| 1109 | because that's the future trend for mankind, | 因为这是人类未来的趋势 |
| 1110 | to eventually, we all belong to the same global village. | 最后,我们都属于同一个地球村。 |
| 1111 | By then, multilateralism will be less important | 到那时,多边主义就不那么重要了 |
| 1112 | and less material, and unilateralism | 和单边主义 |
| 1113 | will probably be more important. | 可能会更重要 |
| 1114 | Now, in the world of today, if you have a repetition | 现在,在今天的世界, 如果你有重复 |
| 1115 | of the Trump administration which wants to put America | 特朗普政府想要美国 |
| 1116 | ahead of all the other countries, | 超越一切其他国家, |
| 1117 | as if America first, meaning all the other countries | 就像美国第一,意味着所有其他国家 |
| 1118 | last and least, who wants to accept a world order like that? | 最后,谁想接受这样的世界秩序? |
| 1119 | Any other country can say Britain first, | 任何国家都可以先说英国 |
| 1120 | or France first, et cetera. | 或法国先,等等。 |
| 1121 | That will be, by its nature, a world of disorder and chaos. | 从本质上讲,这将是一个混乱和混乱的世界。 |
| 1122 | So, I think multilateralism of today | 所以,我认为今天的多边主义 |
| 1123 | means, as the ambassador correctly said, | 意思是,正如大使正确指出的那样, |
| 1124 | there are challenges which no single country | 挑战没有单一的国家 |
| 1125 | can handle on itself, for itself, or by itself. | 能够自己,为自己,或自己处理. |
| 1126 | There are challenges which are challenges | 有一些挑战是挑战 |
| 1127 | for mankind as a whole, and all the countries, | 为全人类和所有国家, |
| 1128 | people of all countries, need to be united | 所有国家的人民,必须团结起来, |
| 1129 | to deal with these challenges. | 迎接这些挑战。 |
| 1130 | I always imagine if, for example, | 我总是想,如果,比如, |
| 1131 | there will be an alien invasion of the Earth, | 将会有外星人入侵地球 |
| 1132 | then the world will suddenly and appropriately | 然后世界会突然和适当 |
| 1133 | become a global village, and multilateralism | 成为全球村和多边主义 |
| 1134 | will be out of the window, and unilateralism | 将走出窗口,单边主义 |
| 1135 | under one single united global leadership, | 在一个统一的全球领导下, |
| 1136 | maybe under the United Nations, and at that time, | 也许在联合国之下, 当时, |
| 1137 | maybe Sid will be the secretary general, who knows, | 也许希德将成为总书记 谁知道, |
| 1138 | will be the best way to deal with that menace. | 这将是对付这种威胁的最佳办法。 |
| 1139 | If you look up at the sky to see whether there is | 如果你抬头看天空 看有没有 |
| 1140 | an alien invasion, it will be a bad thing, | 外星入侵, 这将是坏事, |
| 1141 | but it may be the stimulus for unilateralism | 但这可能是单边主义的刺激 |
| 1142 | for mankind as a whole, but that may never happen. | 对全人类来说,但这种情况可能永远不会发生。 |
| 1143 | So, we need to live with the world today. | 因此,我们需要与当今世界共存。 |
| 1144 | We need to deal with multilateralism. | 我们需要处理多边主义问题。 |
| 1145 | That's the only right megatrend for mankind as a whole. | 这是整个人类唯一正确的大趋势 |
| 1146 | Don't try to do anything with unilateralism. | 不要试图用单边主义做任何事情. |
| 1147 | That's a dead end, and I can say this to people in Beijing | 死路一条,我可以对北京人说 |
| 1148 | as much as I can say that to people in Washington, | 只要我对华盛顿的人这么说 |
| 1149 | and that's the only right thing for us to say. | 这是我们唯一正确的说法。 |
| 1150 | Thank you. | 谢谢 |
| 1151 | Are you saying that multilateralism | 你是在说多边主义 |
| 1152 | is in itself very realistic? | 本身是否非常现实? |
| 1153 | Before the other two distinguished panelists | 在另外两位杰出小组成员之前 |
| 1154 | answer your question, I think multilateralism | 回答你的问题,我认为多边主义 |
| 1155 | is only realistic if you do not have political forces | 只有没有政治力量,才是现实的 |
| 1156 | like President Donald Trump, because otherwise, | 像唐纳德·特朗普总统一样 因为否则 |
| 1157 | if these dangerous forces become the president | 如果这些危险的势力成为总统 |
| 1158 | of not a banana republic, but of the United States | 不是香蕉共和国,而是美国 |
| 1159 | of America, a permanent member of the Security Council | 美利坚合众国,安全理事会常任理事国 |
| 1160 | or the United Nations, that will be a recipe for disaster. | 或联合国,这将是一场灾难。 |
| 1161 | And I think people everywhere in the world, | 我认为世界上所有的人, |
| 1162 | including everyone here in this hall, | 包括在这个大厅里的所有人 |
| 1163 | need to use our independent judgment | 需要用我们的独立判断 |
| 1164 | to tell the right from the wrongs | 告诉对与错 |
| 1165 | and to always make a contribution for better judgment | 永远为更好的判断作出贡献 |
| 1166 | and better science to guide everything we do. | 更好的科学来指导我们的一切 |
| 1167 | In that sense, I believe multilateralism | 在这个意义上,我相信多边主义 |
| 1168 | will be the only right thing, and I hope | 将是唯一正确的事情,我希望 |
| 1169 | when you get admitted to any one of the three schools, | 当你被三所学校录取时 |
| 1170 | and I hope it will start with a Y, | 我希望从Y开始 |
| 1171 | you will be a good inspiration for mankind as a whole. | 你将是整个人类的灵感 |
| 1172 | Thank you. | 谢谢 |
| 1173 | I think I wanted to pick up something from your question. | 我想我想从你的问题中取点东西 |
| 1174 | I think you mentioned by information asymmetry. | 我想你提到的信息不对称。 |
| 1175 | I think that's something that we have been missing | 我想这是我们一直缺失的东西 |
| 1176 | from this discussion. | 从这次讨论。 |
| 1177 | Why there's such a strong populism around the world? | 为什么全世界都有如此强烈的民粹主义? |
| 1178 | Why this unilateralism and that? | 为什么是单边主义? |
| 1179 | But I think because there are indeed a huge population | 但我认为,因为确实 有大量的人口 |
| 1180 | in the U.S. and in many parts of the world | 在美国和世界许多地区 |
| 1181 | that really do not have the right image, | 这真的没有正确的图像, |
| 1182 | right sort of analysis of what they call | 他们所谓的正确分析 |
| 1183 | the benefits of the multilateralism. | 多边主义的好处。 |
| 1184 | So I think that the one thing we should not forget | 所以,我认为一件事 我们不应该忘记 |
| 1185 | about is the role of media in presenting the reality, | 关于媒体在展现现实中的作用, |
| 1186 | the war, the story to the world. | 战争,世界的故事。 |
| 1187 | So I think actually, I think maybe it's a good time | 所以我想,实际上,我想 也许这是一个好时机 |
| 1188 | for us to turn the table around and ask Ray a question. | 让我们把桌子翻过来 问雷一个问题 |
| 1189 | How do you view the narratives | 你怎么看待这些叙事 |
| 1190 | that's been going on for many years? | 这已经持续了很多年了? |
| 1191 | To what degree that those narratives actually poison | 这些叙事究竟有多毒? |
| 1192 | the general public's mind on multilateralism? | 一般公众对多边主义的看法? |
| 1193 | I think Victor has poisoned most of our minds | 我觉得维克多已经毒害了我们大部分人 |
| 1194 | by pointing his fingers to Donald Trump, | 用手指指着唐纳德·特朗普 |
| 1195 | who unfortunately represents grievances and complaints | 不幸代表冤情和申诉的人 |
| 1196 | of those white deplorables and rednecks | 那些白人可悲和乡巴佬 |
| 1197 | in the Midwest, Wisconsin for example, | 比如在威斯康辛州的中西部 |
| 1198 | those who have lost their jobs in the Midwest | 在中西部失去工作的人 |
| 1199 | and they're in their rust belt. | 他们的锈带。 |
| 1200 | Now this is not just a lonely island itself. | 现在这不仅仅是孤岛本身 |
| 1201 | It represents a mega trend of the middle class | 代表着中产阶级的一大趋势 |
| 1202 | whose jobs are being outsourced in the process | 其工作在这一过程中被外包 |
| 1203 | of globalization. | 全球化。 |
| 1204 | So by pointing our fingers to Donald Trump, | 所以通过指向唐纳德·特朗普 |
| 1205 | I think you're threatened to oversimplify global issue. | 我想你被威胁要过度简化全球问题。 |
| 1206 | So the narrative of globalization or multilateralism | 因此,全球化或多边主义的叙述 |
| 1207 | actually depends on how we deal with the job market. | 实际上,取决于我们如何处理就业市场。 |
| 1208 | Because hallmarks of globalization include | 因为全球化的标志包括: |
| 1209 | free flow of ideas, capital, technology, human resources | 思想、资本、技术、人力资源的自由流动 |
| 1210 | or free movement of labor resources. | 或劳动力资源的自由流动。 |
| 1211 | Now if you continue to pin hopes on the role | 如果你继续寄希望于这个角色 |
| 1212 | of multilateral, the overseas multilaterals, | 多边、海外多边、 |
| 1213 | then those white deplorables will put yet another Donald Trump | 然后那些白人的悲哀 将会让唐纳德·特朗普再次出现 |
| 1214 | into the White House next time, in the next campaign. | 下一次进入白宫 在下一次竞选中 |
| 1215 | So your question on the issue of an evolving multilateralism | 所以,你的问题 关于一个不断发展的多边主义的问题 |
| 1216 | actually depends on how we redefine globalization. | 实际上,这取决于我们如何重新定义全球化。 |
| 1217 | Now that's another question. | 这是另一个问题。 |
| 1218 | I'm not very optimistic about the gathering momentum | 我对聚集的势头并不乐观 |
| 1219 | of multilateralism because we see such formidable, | 多边主义,因为我们看到如此可怕, |
| 1220 | detrimental force of unilateralism and tree protectionism | 单边主义和树保护主义的有害影响 |
| 1221 | in electoral politics. | 在选举政治中。 |
| 1222 | Now all economists live in a country like China | 现在所有经济学家都生活在像中国这样的国家 |
| 1223 | where political will of central government says everything. | 在那里,中央政府的政治意志说一切。 |
| 1224 | So competitive democracies, competitive politics | 所以有竞争力的民主,有竞争力的政治 |
| 1225 | will continue to deliver one Donald Trump after another. | 唐纳德·特朗普会继续接踵而至 |
| 1226 | And they are the black horses that will undermine | 他们是将破坏的黑马 |
| 1227 | definitely the process of globalization. | 无疑是全球化进程。 |
| 1228 | They are the crippling force. | 它们是致命的力量。 |
| 1229 | So I would say, and I have to put this straight up, | 所以我会说, 我得把这个直上, |
| 1230 | that the United States still presents itself | 美国仍然在展示自己 |
| 1231 | as a beacon of hope for humanity without a doubt. | 无疑是人类希望的灯塔。 |
| 1232 | I mean a lot of who we are today was that | 我的意思是,今天我们是谁 |
| 1233 | those three years of that one year | 那一年的三年时间 |
| 1234 | that we did a graduate program, it opened up our windows, | 我们做了一个研究生课程, 它打开了我们的窗户, |
| 1235 | our eyes to so many networks, | 我们的眼睛 如此众多的网络, |
| 1236 | it allowed us to interface, connect. | 它让我们可以连接 连接 |
| 1237 | And I believe in every emphasis and in every feeling | 我相信每一个重点和感觉 |
| 1238 | within me that the China and the U.S. | 我内心的中国和美国 |
| 1239 | will be the global changers for global goals. | 将推动全球目标的实现。 |
| 1240 | They will reshape the global destiny of humanity. | 它们将重新塑造人类的全球命运。 |
| 1241 | So our conversation needs to be how do we make it work | 所以,我们的对话需要 如何使它工作 |
| 1242 | rather than looking at all the pitfalls in our way. | 而不是看着所有我们的方式的陷阱。 |
| 1243 | And frankly, as the United Nations, I hope, | 坦率地说,作为联合国,我希望, |
| 1244 | and together with all the alumni sitting here, | 和所有校友一起坐在这里, |
| 1245 | that we could actually become those bridgeways, | 我们可以成为那些桥道, |
| 1246 | that we could actually open up a new narrative | 我们可以打开一个新的叙述 |
| 1247 | which talks about convergence rather than conflict, | 他们谈论的是趋同而不是冲突, |
| 1248 | that talks about dialogue rather than indeterminate, | 谈论对话而不是不确定, |
| 1249 | talks about cooperation rather than frittering out | 谈的是合作,而不是空谈 |
| 1250 | into our different domains. | 进入我们不同的领域。 |
| 1251 | So I think this is where our opportunity really is, | 所以我认为这是我们真正的机会所在 |
| 1252 | is to converge together and to look at this relationship | 即凝聚在一起,看这个关系 |
| 1253 | because this relationship is not just important | 因为这种关系不仅仅是重要的 |
| 1254 | to China and America, this relationship is important | 对中国和美国来说,这种关系很重要 |
| 1255 | to the entire world. | 给整个世界。 |
| 1256 | Can I get a question from this side of the room? | 能问个问题吗? |
| 1257 | We'll have you next. | 下一个给你 |
| 1258 | Thank you for this great learning experience. | 谢谢你的学习经验 |
| 1259 | I really appreciate all the talks given by these four | 我真的很感谢这四个人的所有会谈 |
| 1260 | distinguished speakers and moderator. | 尊敬的发言者和主持人。 |
| 1261 | So my question is, we have been talking about | 所以我的问题是 我们一直在谈论 |
| 1262 | multilateralism in a very abstract way. | 多边主义非常抽象。 |
| 1263 | So I'd like to hear one example from each of you | 所以我想听听你们每个人的例子 |
| 1264 | to give one concrete example of multilateralism. | 举一个多边主义的具体例子。 |
| 1265 | And particularly for Ambassador, I'm wondering, | 尤其是对于大使,我想知道, |
| 1266 | because we have this China-India border clashes recently, | 因为我们最近发生了中印边境冲突 |
| 1267 | if that issue is to be resolved | 如果这个问题要得到解决 |
| 1268 | under a multilateral framework, | 在多边框架下, |
| 1269 | how would that, what is a concrete example of that? | 怎样呢? 具体的例子是什么? |
| 1270 | Thank you. | 谢谢 |
| 1271 | I'll give you one example of the success of multilateralism. | 我举一个例子来说明多边主义的成功。 |
| 1272 | The eradication of smallpox at the height of a cold. | 寒极时消灭天花. |
| 1273 | Many of the people were not even born at that time | 当时很多人都还没出生 |
| 1274 | when smallpox was around. | 天花出现的时候 |
| 1275 | And it was eradicated because all the major powers | 它被消灭了 因为所有的大国 |
| 1276 | came together and said, we have to get rid of this disease. | 走到一起说,我们必须消除这种疾病。 |
| 1277 | And that was a good example of how multilateralism worked | 这是多边主义如何运作的好例子 |
| 1278 | when Russia, America, China, France, UK, | 当俄罗斯,美国,中国,法国,英国, |
| 1279 | everybody came together with one common system. | 每个人都有一个共同的制度。 |
| 1280 | That is why I see the current pandemic as an opportunity | 因此,我认为目前的流行病是一个机会。 |
| 1281 | to go precisely that way. | 正好走那边。 |
| 1282 | I agree with the Ambassador. | 我同意大使的意见。 |
| 1283 | Allow me to mention another example. | 请允许我再举一个例子。 |
| 1284 | I was interviewed two days ago by BBC | 我两天前接受BBC的采访 |
| 1285 | about how China look at this proposed | 关于中国如何看待这个建议 |
| 1286 | international cooperation about the pandemic. | 关于这一流行病的国际合作。 |
| 1287 | And I said one thing, | 我说一件事, |
| 1288 | and allow me to repeat that here for your benefit. | 请允许我在此重复,以造福你。 |
| 1289 | I said the world community need to come up with | 我说国际社会需要想出 |
| 1290 | better improved early warning system | 改进预警系统 |
| 1291 | before the outbreak of the pandemic. | 在疫情爆发前 |
| 1292 | Because we now already know that before the pandemic | 因为我们已经知道 在流行之前 |
| 1293 | was reported in Wuhan, there were lots of instances | 在武汉有报道, 有很多案例 |
| 1294 | in different parts of the world, | 在世界不同地区, |
| 1295 | which now with the benefit of hindsight, | 以事后观察的结局盟誓, |
| 1296 | we can do the scientific research, | 我们可以做科学研究, |
| 1297 | we can do the tracing back, and we suddenly knew, | 我们可以追溯回来,我们突然知道, |
| 1298 | know that they were actually related to the COVID-19 virus. | 知道他们实际上与COVID-19病毒有关. |
| 1299 | Now, if mankind had a better system | 现在,如果人类有一个更好的系统 |
| 1300 | to detect and report such cases in a timely way, | 及时发现和报告此类案件, |
| 1301 | then mankind will be better prepared. | 然后人类就会有更好的准备。 |
| 1302 | And this cannot be done by any one country by itself. | 任何一个国家自己都无法做到这一点。 |
| 1303 | It need to have a global network, | 它需要一个全球网络, |
| 1304 | international cooperation, | 国际合作, |
| 1305 | sometimes seamless international cooperation | 有时无缝的国际合作 |
| 1306 | {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}为了实现这个目标 | |
| 1307 | That's multilateralism in the best sense of the word. | 这是最好的多边主义。 |
| 1308 | Thank you. | 谢谢 |
| 1309 | I was trying to find something, | 我想找点什么 |
| 1310 | but I couldn't find it here. | 但我找不到它在这里。 |
| 1311 | But basically, I think one example of multilateralism | 但基本上,我认为多边主义的一个例子 |
| 1312 | is the Lancet Commission on COVID-19 | COVID-19的柳叶刀委员会 |
| 1313 | and to which I'm a part of member. | 而我是其中的一员 |
| 1314 | So it's really, it's a huge expert network | 所以,它是一个巨大的专家网络 |
| 1315 | with people from around the world, | 与世界各地的人, |
| 1316 | including people from the US, India, China, | 包括来自美国、印度、中国、 |
| 1317 | and people from Europe and so on. | 以及来自欧洲等地的人 |
| 1318 | So we've been sort of working on how actually | 所以我们一直在研究 |
| 1319 | the world can learn from the lessons of the COVID-19 | 世界可以从COVID-19中吸取教训 |
| 1320 | and to develop systems better | 并更好地开发系统 |
| 1321 | to prepare for the next pandemic. | 准备迎接下一个大流行病。 |
| 1322 | And actually today, exactly today, | 而实际上今天, 正是今天, |
| 1323 | now we actually just have a commentary published in Lancet. | 现在我们在Lancet上发表了一篇评论 |
| 1324 | So I'm trying to find it, but I couldn't find it now. | 所以我想找到它 但我现在找不到了 |
| 1325 | But if you look at Lancet today, | 但是如果你今天看柳叶刀 |
| 1326 | there should be something from this commission. | 应该有来自这个委员会的东西。 |
| 1327 | Thank you so much for your, oh, can you hear me? | 谢谢你,哦,你能听到我吗? |
| 1328 | Yes. | 对 |
| 1329 | Thank you so much for your very stunning speech. | 谢谢你的精彩演讲 |
| 1330 | And I'm both M.G., I'm a current student at Princeton, | 我是普林斯顿大学的现任学生 |
| 1331 | and next to me is also a new admit from Princeton, | 我旁边还有普林斯顿的新承认 |
| 1332 | so we're a Princeton group. | 所以我们是普林斯顿集团 |
| 1333 | So. | 所以说 So. |
| 1334 | Four times. | 诵四遍. |
| 1335 | Yeah, so my question is, as we all know, | 是的,所以我的问题是,我们都知道, |
| 1336 | there are lots of differences, | 有很多不同, |
| 1337 | especially like ideological differences | 特别是意识形态的差异 |
| 1338 | between China and the US in terms of our definitions | 中国和美国之间的定义 |
| 1339 | of human rights, of liberty, of all the kind of issues. | 人权、自由、所有各类问题。 |
| 1340 | And I'm wondering, especially I'm asking Siddique, | 我想知道 特别是我问西迪克 |
| 1341 | I'm wondering whether the United Nations should play a role | 我想知道联合国是否应该发挥作用 |
| 1342 | in mitigating these political differences. | 缓解这些政治分歧。 |
| 1343 | And if so, how? | 如果有,怎么办? |
| 1344 | Because recall that UN has once published | 因为记得联合国曾经出版过 |
| 1345 | this universal human rights declaration | 《世界人权宣言》 |
| 1346 | as a way to mitigate differences across the world. | 作为缓解世界各地差异的方法。 |
| 1347 | But many signed it, but actually very few implemented | 但很多人都签了,但实际上很少执行 |
| 1348 | to the full extent. | 尽其所能。 |
| 1349 | So I'm wondering, going forward | 所以我想继续前进 |
| 1350 | with this transformed UN model you proposed, | 有了这个转变后的联合国模式 你提出的, |
| 1351 | what kind of, whether we should play a role | 什么样的,我们是否应该发挥作用 |
| 1352 | in really solving this problem. | 真正解决这个问题。 |
| 1353 | Thanks. | 谢谢 |
| 1354 | The UN is as strong as the member states wanted to be. | 联合国与成员国一样强大。 |
| 1355 | And that's the bottom line. | 且道是底义. |
| 1356 | And therefore, the role of China, | 因此,中国的作用, |
| 1357 | the role of the United States, of Russia, | 美国、俄罗斯、 |
| 1358 | of the permanent five is going to be absolutely critical | 5个常任理事国将绝对关键 |
| 1359 | in making sure that the Secretary General | 确保秘书长 |
| 1360 | is not only given the tools to making sure | 不仅获得工具来确保 |
| 1361 | that the reforms and multilateralism work, | 改革和多边主义行之有效, |
| 1362 | but given the authority to be able to do it. | 但却被授权能够做到这一点。 |
| 1363 | And that is where it stands strong. | 这就是它坚挺的地方。 |
| 1364 | That authority comes from member states. | 这一权力来自会员国。 |
| 1365 | People don't talk much about ASEAN. | 人们很少谈论东盟. |
| 1366 | ASEAN is perhaps a Nobel Prize winning enterprise. | 东盟也许是诺贝尔奖获得者。 |
| 1367 | Nobody thought it could survive when it started. | 没有人认为它能活下来 当它开始。 |
| 1368 | Everybody thought this organization | 大家都以为这个组织 |
| 1369 | was doomed to decline. | 注定要失败的 |
| 1370 | 650 million people is what represents the ASEAN network. | 6.5亿人是东盟网络的代表。 |
| 1371 | And when you add China to that, | 当你加入中国的时候, |
| 1372 | then you are talking at close to two billion people. | 然后,你正在谈论 接近20亿人。 |
| 1373 | Massive market. | 大规模市场。 |
| 1374 | But ASEAN is a good model. | 但东盟是一个很好的模式。 |
| 1375 | There are many differences that are there | 有很多不同之处 |
| 1376 | between member states, but they know how to resolve it. | 成员国之间,但他们知道如何解决这个问题。 |
| 1377 | That is precisely the kind of United Nations we want at the moment. | 这正是我们现在想要的那种联合国。 |
| 1378 | Perhaps the ambassador said it's underestimated | 也许大使说这是低估的 |
| 1379 | the difficulties that we face in, for example, | 我们所面临的困难,例如, |
| 1380 | addressing the issue of meeting powers. | 讨论会议权力问题。 |
| 1381 | The Permanent Five, P5, each of them has the power to veto. | 五常,五常各有否决权. |
| 1382 | And therefore, we have the strong appeal | 因此,我们强烈呼吁 |
| 1383 | calling for abolition of the vetoing power. | 要求废除否决权。 |
| 1384 | So what do you make of the prospect of reforming | 你对改革的前景有什么看法? |
| 1385 | the Security Council and putting aside their powers of veto? | 并搁置其否决权? |
| 1386 | That is precisely why the Secretary of State said it's reforming. | 这正是国务卿说改革的原因. |
| 1387 | At the same time, the UN is said to be a talking shop. | 与此同时,据说联合国是一个谈话店。 |
| 1388 | People discuss endlessly issues of importance. | 人们无休止地讨论重要的问题。 |
| 1389 | However, there's no possibility of finding a solution. | 然而,找不到解决方案的可能性. |
| 1390 | So look at what happened during the Cold War | 看看冷战期间发生了什么 |
| 1391 | between the former Soviet Union and the United States | 前苏联与美国间 |
| 1392 | at this Security Council. | 在安全理事会。 |
| 1393 | It's always the exercise of vetoes. | 总是行使否决权. |
| 1394 | I agree. | и種 |
| 1395 | And that is why the UN has to be reformed. | 这就是为什么必须改革联合国。 |
| 1396 | The Security Council has to be resolved. | 安全理事会必须得到解决。 |
| 1397 | It's an absolute necessity. | 这是绝对必要的。 |
| 1398 | And I'm glad that China is speaking out | 我很高兴中国能说出来 |
| 1399 | about the importance and the renewal of multilateralism. | 关于多边主义的重要性和革新。 |
| 1400 | And one of that will be the reform of the Security Council | 改革安全理事会将是其中之一。 |
| 1401 | and the entire peace and security structure. | 以及整个和平与安全结构。 |
| 1402 | But what is most important here is that we actually | 但这里最重要的是 我们实际上 |
| 1403 | have an opportunity that despite all the differences, | 有机会,尽管所有的差异, |
| 1404 | there are children being immunized | 有儿童接种疫苗 |
| 1405 | in different parts of the world where actually we | 在世界不同地区,我们在哪里 |
| 1406 | are close to ending polio. | 接近消灭小儿麻痹症。 |
| 1407 | That's because of multilateralism working. | 这是因为多边主义发挥作用。 |
| 1408 | We are close, making sure that many, many countless children | 我们很接近,确保很多,无数的儿童 |
| 1409 | who were trapped in poverty and as child soldiers | 被困在贫困之中和作为儿童兵 |
| 1410 | are being lifted out of those situations. | 正在摆脱这种局面。 |
| 1411 | People are having better access to water, | 人们有更好的水, |
| 1412 | better health, better education. | 更好的健康,更好的教育。 |
| 1413 | The world has improved. | 世界已经改善。 |
| 1414 | And that is because of multilateralism. | 这是多边主义的结果。 |
| 1415 | Had it not been there, it would not have happened. | 如果没有它,它就不会发生。 |
| 1416 | So essentially what this means is, | 所以基本上,这意味着, |
| 1417 | can we now go to the next level of human prosperity | 我们现在可以走向人类繁荣的下一个阶段了 |
| 1418 | as I talked about the three crisis that we are confronted | 当我谈到我们面对的三个危机时 |
| 1419 | with, a health, an economic, and a climate crisis? | 健康、经济和气候危机? |
| 1420 | We have to come together. | 我们必须一起来。 |
| 1421 | And this is where I feel the renewal of the UN system, | 这就是我对联合国系统的更新的感受, |
| 1422 | the security structure, the Security Council, | 安全理事会, |
| 1423 | all of it becomes absolutely critical. | 这一切都变得绝对关键。 |
| 1424 | So as we journey towards the 2030 agenda, | 因此,在我们迈向2030年议程的过程中, |
| 1425 | this continues to happen. | 这种情况仍在继续发生。 |
| 1426 | Among all the uncertainties concerning the future | 在与未来有关的所有不确定因素中 |
| 1427 | of the United Nations, I believe that one promising job | 我认为,这项有希望的工作是: |
| 1428 | that enlightens us about the prospects of the UN | 启发我们了解联合国的前景 |
| 1429 | is the use of blue helmet forces, the peacekeeping forces. | 使用蓝盔部队,即维和部队。 |
| 1430 | China is one of the P5 that contributes | 中国是五常之一 |
| 1431 | to most of the peacekeeping forces. | 对大多数维和部队来说 |
| 1432 | Yeah, so this is among all of the issues of one | 是的,所以这是所有的问题之一 |
| 1433 | that unites all of the P5 and members of the United Nations | 团结五常和所有联合国会员国 |
| 1434 | in sending out peacekeeping forces for peacemaking | 派遣维和部队以促成和平 |
| 1435 | and to ensure peace and stability in the impoverished area | 确保贫困地区的和平与稳定 |
| 1436 | and in the turbulent war-torn countries | 在动荡的战乱国家 |
| 1437 | such as Afghanistan, Cambodia, Haiti, you name it. | 例如阿富汗、柬埔寨、海地, |
| 1438 | I come from China Foundation for Quality Innovation, | 我来自中国质量创新基金会 |
| 1439 | International Development Department. | 国际发展部。 |
| 1440 | So I studied from 2005, | 所以我从2005年开始学习 |
| 1441 | we are response to the Indonesian tsunami. | 我们正在应对印度尼西亚海啸。 |
| 1442 | So for the past 16 years, | 所以在过去16年里 |
| 1443 | we already implement projects in 16 countries. | 我们已经在16个国家实施了项目。 |
| 1444 | Now we have three overseas offices | 现在有三个海外办事处 |
| 1445 | in the People, Myanmar, and the East Asia. | 在人民、缅甸和东亚。 |
| 1446 | So we have raised 260 server media | 因此,我们培养了260个服务器媒体 |
| 1447 | and the benefit to 1.3 million people overseas. | 并惠及130万海外居民。 |
| 1448 | So what my question is, | 所以,我的问题是, |
| 1449 | I want to get to the primary three parties' advice | 我想听三党的意见 |
| 1450 | because now China, the government already | 因为现在中国,政府已经 |
| 1451 | established the South-South Cooperation Funds | 设立南南合作基金 |
| 1452 | with the aim to help the developing country | 帮助发展中国家 |
| 1453 | achieve the SDG in the earliest time. | 最早实现 SDG 。 |
| 1454 | And they also encourage Chinese NGO sectors abroad. | 他们还鼓励中国的非政府组织部门在国外。 |
| 1455 | So we are encouraged to go abroad. | 因此,鼓励我们出国。 |
| 1456 | So we want to help the developing country | 所以我们想帮助发展中国家 |
| 1457 | to achieve the SDG in the earliest time. | 最早实现 SDG. |
| 1458 | But the challenge is we have lack of the experience | 但挑战是我们缺乏经验 |
| 1459 | to work in the outside of China | 在中国境外工作 |
| 1460 | and we also lack of the knowledge | 我们缺乏知识, |
| 1461 | of international rules, regulations, like that. | 诸如此类的国际规则和条例。 |
| 1462 | So I want to get your advice, | 所以我想得到你的建议 |
| 1463 | how to help the Chinese NGOs | 如何帮助中国的非政府组织 |
| 1464 | to get involved in the international development cooperation. | 参与国际发展合作。 |
| 1465 | My hope is to see many, many Chinese NGOs | 我希望见到许多中国的非政府组织 |
| 1466 | going out there, working with UNICEF, | 在那里,与儿童基金会合作, |
| 1467 | working with UNESCO, working with UNDP, | 与教科文组织合作,与开发署合作, |
| 1468 | because these are the kind of relationships | 因为这是那种关系 |
| 1469 | that we want to build. | 我们想要建立。 |
| 1470 | Like the United States has a Peace Corps. | 就像美国有一支和平部队 |
| 1471 | I call the Peace Corps the Marines of Humanitarian Action. | 我称和平队为人道主义行动的海军陆战队。 |
| 1472 | They've done outstanding work throughout the world. | 他们在全世界都做了出色的工作. |
| 1473 | They've gone into the remotest villages. | 他们进入了最偏远的村庄。 |
| 1474 | I hope to see many more Chinese undergrad students | 我希望能见到更多的中国毕业生 |
| 1475 | getting out into the world over there, | 进入世界 在那里, |
| 1476 | interacting with people, | 与人互动, |
| 1477 | because that is how you build people-to-people connection | 因为这就是你如何构建人与人之间的联系 |
| 1478 | and that is part of what I would term | 这也是我所说的 |
| 1479 | as humanitarian diplomacy, | 作为人道主义外交, |
| 1480 | reaching out to people and communities | 向人民和社区进行宣传 |
| 1481 | and staying with them and doing this. | 和他们在一起,并这样做。 |
| 1482 | And by the way, many Chinese companies actually do that, | 顺便说一句 很多中国公司都这样做 |
| 1483 | go and live and work in many of these places | 在很多这些地方生活和工作 |
| 1484 | where we are. | 我们在哪里。 |
| 1485 | For the civil society organizations such as OZ, | 对于OZ等民间社会组织, |
| 1486 | it becomes even more important | 它变得更重要 |
| 1487 | that we see you much more active, | 我们看到你更活跃, |
| 1488 | but also making sure that you're not doing it | 还要保证你不会这么做 |
| 1489 | out of a sense of charity. | 从慈善的意义上说 |
| 1490 | That's where the problem in Africa is. | 这就是非洲的问题所在。 |
| 1491 | It's been too charity-driven | 这是太慈善的驱动力 |
| 1492 | rather than really building up the capacity | 而不是真正建立能力 |
| 1493 | of society, and as a result, | 因此, |
| 1494 | we keep them in a state of dependency. | 我们让他们处于依赖状态 |
| 1495 | There are many examples, South Sudan, Congo, | 南苏丹、刚果、 |
| 1496 | many of these places are constantly in fragile, | 许多这些地方 总是处于脆弱的, |
| 1497 | constantly in a state of dependency. | 不断处于依赖状态。 |
| 1498 | We have to change the development model. | 我们必须改变发展模式。 |
| 1499 | We need to rethink how we work with those communities. | 我们需要重新考虑我们如何与这些社区合作。 |
| 1500 | So therefore, partnerships again, | 因此,再次建立伙伴关系, |
| 1501 | a multilateral approach at a country level | 国家一级多边办法 |
| 1502 | is going to be important. | 这将是重要的。 |
| 1503 | So I would really encourage your NGO | 所以我会鼓励你的非政府组织 |
| 1504 | getting that with Chin Chin. | 和钦钦一起吃 |
| 1505 | She's from UNICEF and she'll actually connect you | 她来自儿童基金会 她会联系你 |
| 1506 | with the UNICEF offices there, | 与儿童基金会驻那里的办事处, |
| 1507 | because they do a lot of work in building up the capacities | 因为他们在建立能力方面做了很多工作 |
| 1508 | of the community, or with Rinfei here who's from UNICEF. | 或者和来自儿童基金会的林非一起 |
| 1509 | They can actually help you with getting you up | 他们可以帮你起床 |
| 1510 | to those norms and standards | 准则和标准 |
| 1511 | and using you as a partner in that. | 利用你作为合伙人 |
| 1512 | That's precisely what I was going to say, | 这就是我要说的, |
| 1513 | that probably join some sort of international network | 可能加入某种国际网络 |
| 1514 | and partner with some international organizations. | 并与一些国际组织合作。 |
| 1515 | But also, I think given that the said mention | 但是,我认为,鉴于 上面提到的 |
| 1516 | about the capacity building, | 关于能力建设, |
| 1517 | I wanted also to mention something | 我也想提点事 |
| 1518 | that I used to work for, | 我曾经为他工作 |
| 1519 | serve on the board of IDRC, | 在国际发展研究中心董事会任职, |
| 1520 | Canadian International Development Agency. | 加拿大国际开发署. |
| 1521 | I think that the IDRC is basically, | 我认为IDRC基本上是, |
| 1522 | I think as an aid agency, | 我认为作为一个援助机构, |
| 1523 | it's really supporting the research capabilities | 它真的支持 研究能力 |
| 1524 | of developing countries. | (b) 与发展中国家有关的问题。 |
| 1525 | So it's really sort of capacity building | 所以这是真正的能力建设 |
| 1526 | in developing countries. | 在发展中国家。 |
| 1527 | I think that's probably, | 我觉得这也许, |
| 1528 | I think that you will get in much ways | 我想你会得到很多方面 |
| 1529 | a much more leverage of this money is spent, | 这笔钱的杠杆作用要大得多 |
| 1530 | and also having sustenance to impact in the globally. | 也能够在全球产生影响。 |
| 1531 | I think that's the way probably you can try to think about. | 我想这是你可能 试图思考的方式。 |
| 1532 | In fact, you've just given me an idea, | 事实上,你刚刚给了我一个想法, |
| 1533 | and you know, Rinfei and Xinxin, | 你知道,林飞和辛欣, |
| 1534 | what we should be doing is looking at Chinese NGOs | 我们应该做的是看中国的非政府组织 |
| 1535 | that are planning to go abroad, | 计划去国外, |
| 1536 | and let's work with them in building up their capacities here. | 让我们和他们合作 建立他们的能力。 |
| 1537 | Let's give them the best advice and guidance | 让我们给他们最好的建议和指导 |
| 1538 | before you actually go. | 在你真正离开之前 |
| 1539 | So spend two to three months, | 所以花两到三个月的时间 |
| 1540 | we will make sure that across the UN system, | 我们将确保在整个联合国系统, |
| 1541 | we will give you some lessons | 我们会给你一些教训 |
| 1542 | so that by the time you get there, | 所以当你到达那里时 |
| 1543 | we will also connect you with networks on the other side. | 我们还会把你们连接到另一边的网络 |
| 1544 | So that you can count on me, | 这样你就可以指望我 |
| 1545 | that you've actually given me an idea today. | 你今天给我一个想法 |
| 1546 | Well, actually, our time is up, | 其实我们的时间到了 |
| 1547 | but on that note, I just feel very optimistic | 但从这一点来看,我只是觉得非常乐观 |
| 1548 | and thrilled that the Yale Center of Beijing | 并且对北京耶鲁中心感到兴奋 |
| 1549 | has become a platform for ideas and conversations. | 成为思想和对话的平台。 |
| 1550 | And I want all of us to give a warm round of applause | 我要大家热烈鼓掌 |
| 1551 | to our audience, but especially our very distinguished guests | 我们的观众, 特别是我们的贵宾 |
| 1552 | and moderator for this conversation to be continued. | 和主持人继续对话。 |
| 1553 | Thank you. | 谢谢 |
| 1554 | Today. | 今时. |
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